Currency Future
Currency Future
Currency Future
Currency future
CURRENCY FUTURE
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CONCEPT
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MEANING
It is a derivative instrument
Definition is the same as currency forward
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FEATURES
Standardised terms
Clearing house
Margin system
Closing of futures
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STANDARDISED TERMS
Contract size is standardised
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CLEARING HOUSE
Each exchange has a clearing house
Clearing house arranges for delivery of asset and
payment of money
Clearing house becomes the counter party to the original
parties
Original parties: buyer and seller
Clearing house becomes counter party to buyer (to
deliver the asset)
Clearing house becomes the counter party to the seller
(to make payment)
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MARGIN SYSTEM
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CLOSING OF FUTURES
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HEDGING WITH CURRENCY FUTURES
Importer buys the required currency futures contract
Thus “locks in” a price for the purchase of foreign
currency
Hedges (avoids) risk due to exchange rate fluctuations
Exporter sells the expected currency futures contract
“locks in” a price for the sale
Hedges risk due to exchange rate fluctuations
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IMPERFECTIONS IN HEDGING WITH CURRENCY
FUTURES
Maturity mismatch
Mismatch in maturity date of futures contract and
date of cash transaction
Size mismatch
Mismatch between size of futures contract and size of
cash transaction
Maturity and size mismatch
Hedging with currency futures may not result in
perfect hedge
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SPECULATION WITH CURRENCY FUTURES
Fluctuations in exchange rates used to reap speculative profits
Spot rate: USD = Rs.46.40
1 month future rate: USD = Rs.46.60
Expected spot rate on maturity: USD = Rs. 46.75
Dealer buys one currency futures contract of size 100,000 USD
Value of contract: Rs.46,60,000; Margin deposit: Rs.4,66,000
If exchange rate move up to Rs.46.75 as anticipated, dealer gains
profit of Rs.15,000 (100,000* Re.0.15)
Rate of return: (15000/466,000)(12)(100) = 38.63%
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SPECULATION THROUGH CASH TRANSACTION
Spot rate: USD = Rs.46.40
Dealer buys 100,000 USD at spot rate
Investment required: Rs.46,40,000
If exchange rate moves upto Rs.46.75 within a month,
dealer gains profit of Rs.35,000 (100,000* Re.0.35)
Rate of return: (35000/46,40,000)(12)(100) = 9.05%
Speculation with currency futures - larger returns on
smaller investment
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THANK YOU
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