Currency Future

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PRODUCTS

Currency future
CURRENCY FUTURE

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CONCEPT

 : Currency futures are contracts to buy or sell one currency (only


dollar-rupee as of now) against another at a specified price and date
in the future
 The trading period will range from one month to 12 months and the
contract will be settled on the basis of RBI's reference rate on the
last trading date
 An Indian resident would be required to open an exchange-traded
currency futures account with a recognized broker.
 The minimum trading amount will be $1000. The trading period
will range from one month to 12 months and the contract will be
settled on the basis of RBI's reference rate on the last trading date

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MEANING
 It is a derivative instrument
 Definition is the same as currency forward

 Forwards are traded over the counter

 Futures are traded in organised exchanges (NSE)

 Futures are transacted through brokers

 Traded only in a limited number of currencies (only


dollar-rupee as of now).

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FEATURES
 Standardised terms
 Clearing house

 Margin system

 Closing of futures

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STANDARDISED TERMS
 Contract size is standardised

 Date of delivery is predetermined

 Third Wednesday of Jan, March, April, June, July, Sept.,


Oct., Dec.

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CLEARING HOUSE
 Each exchange has a clearing house
 Clearing house arranges for delivery of asset and
payment of money
 Clearing house becomes the counter party to the original
parties
 Original parties: buyer and seller
 Clearing house becomes counter party to buyer (to
deliver the asset)
 Clearing house becomes the counter party to the seller
(to make payment)

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MARGIN SYSTEM

 There are 3 types of margins


 Initial margin, maintenance margin and variation margin
 Initial margin to be paid upfront
 Balance is marked to the market every day
 Maintenance margin to be maintained throughout the
duration of the contract
 Variation margin (shortfall in margin) to be remitted
promptly

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CLOSING OF FUTURES

 Forward contract is settled on delivery date by


delivery of asset and payment of money
 Futures can be closed:
 Exchange of asset and cash on delivery date
 Cash settlement through a reverse trade on any day

 Hedgers prefer exchange of asset; speculators


prefer cash settlement

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HEDGING WITH CURRENCY FUTURES
 Importer buys the required currency futures contract
 Thus “locks in” a price for the purchase of foreign
currency
 Hedges (avoids) risk due to exchange rate fluctuations
 Exporter sells the expected currency futures contract
 “locks in” a price for the sale
 Hedges risk due to exchange rate fluctuations

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IMPERFECTIONS IN HEDGING WITH CURRENCY
FUTURES

 Maturity mismatch
 Mismatch in maturity date of futures contract and
date of cash transaction
 Size mismatch
 Mismatch between size of futures contract and size of
cash transaction
 Maturity and size mismatch
 Hedging with currency futures may not result in
perfect hedge
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SPECULATION WITH CURRENCY FUTURES
 Fluctuations in exchange rates used to reap speculative profits
 Spot rate: USD = Rs.46.40
 1 month future rate: USD = Rs.46.60
 Expected spot rate on maturity: USD = Rs. 46.75
 Dealer buys one currency futures contract of size 100,000 USD
 Value of contract: Rs.46,60,000; Margin deposit: Rs.4,66,000
 If exchange rate move up to Rs.46.75 as anticipated, dealer gains
profit of Rs.15,000 (100,000* Re.0.15)
 Rate of return: (15000/466,000)(12)(100) = 38.63%

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SPECULATION THROUGH CASH TRANSACTION
 Spot rate: USD = Rs.46.40
 Dealer buys 100,000 USD at spot rate
 Investment required: Rs.46,40,000
 If exchange rate moves upto Rs.46.75 within a month,
dealer gains profit of Rs.35,000 (100,000* Re.0.35)
 Rate of return: (35000/46,40,000)(12)(100) = 9.05%
 Speculation with currency futures - larger returns on
smaller investment

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THANK YOU
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