Boom and Bust Cycle 1

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BOOM AND BUST CYCLE

BEHAVIORAL INDICATORS

Submitted to-: Prof. Nirali Madam


THE TEAM

Zeel Patel - IU2152000024


Dhruvi Khatiria - IU2155550018
Poojan Mantri - IU2155550049

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WHAT IS BOOM AND BUST?

• The boom and bust cycle is a process • During the boom the economy grows, jobs are
of economic expansion plentiful and the market brings high returns to
and contraction that occurs investors. In the subsequent bust the economy
repeatedly. The boom and bust cycle shrinks, people lose their jobs and investors
is a key characteristic of capitalist
lose money. Boom-bust cycles last for varying
economies and is sometimes
lengths of time; they also vary in severity.
synonymous with the business cycle.

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KEY TAKEAWAYS
• The boom and bust cycle describes alternating phases of
economic growth and decline typically found in modern
capitalist economies.
• First anticipated by Karl Marx in the 19th century, the boom
bust cycle is driven just as much by investor and consumer
psychology as it is by market and economic fundamentals.

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BOOM AND BUST CYCLE DIGRAM

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WHAT ARE BEHAVIOURAL INDICATORS?

• Behavioural finance is the study of the influence of psychology


on the behaviour of investors or financial analysts. It also
includes the subsequent effects on the markets. It focuses on
the fact that investors are not always rational, have limits to
their self-control, and are influenced by their own biases

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BEHAVIORAL INDICATORS

SOCIAL

BEHAVIORAL

APPLIED

EDUCATIONAL

COGNITIVE

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BEHAVIORAL INDICATORS OF COGNITIVE

Cognitive biases generally involve decision making based on


established concepts that may or may not be accurate. Think
of a cognitive bias as a rule of thumb that may or may not be
factual.
We’ve all seen movies where a thief wears a police uniform
to pass through a security checkpoint. The real police officers
assume that because the person is wearing a uniform like
theirs, he must be a real police officer. That’s an example of
a cognitive bias.

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BEHAVIORAL INDICATORS OF SOCIAL FACTORS

While much of behavioural economics has been driven by cognitive


psychology, economic sociology indicates that there are also supra-
individual forces at work that drive investor behaviour. For instance, people
are more conservative when making investment decisions on behalf of
close others. Moreover, investors became even more conservative with
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investments made in accounts that had culturally-salient labels such as


"retirement" or "college savings.“

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BEHAVIORAL INDICATORS OF BEHAVIORAL

Investors are treated as “normal” not “rational”


They actually have limits to their self-control
Investors are influenced by their own biases
Investors make cognitive errors that can lead to wrong
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decisions

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THANK YOU!

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