Ist 214-Statictics Ii: Week 5: Continuous Random Variables and Normal Distribution - Z Values

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IST 214- STATICTICS II

Week 5: Continuous Random Variables and


Normal Distribution - Z Values

Prof. Dr. Erginbay Uğurlu

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Normal Distribution

P ( a  x  b)

a  b x
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Normal Distribution

 The normal probability distribution is the most


important distribution in all of statistics

• Many continuous random variables have normal


or approximately normal distributions

• Need to learn how to describe a normal


probability distribution
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Normal Distribution
1. A continuous random variable
2. Description involves two functions:
a. A function to determine the ordinates of the graph
picturing the distribution
b. A function to determine probabilities

3. Normal probability distribution function:


1 ( x-m) 2

1 -
f ( x) = e 2 s
s 2p
This is the function for the normal (bell-shaped) curve

4. The probability that x lies in some interval is the area


under the curve
4
Normal Distribution

  3   2         2   3

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Normal Distribution
• Illustration

b
P (a  x  b)   f ( x )dx
a

a b x
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The Standard Normal Distribution

 There are infinitely many normal probability


distributions

• They are all related to the standard normal


distribution

• The standard normal distribution is the


normal distribution of the standard variable z
(the z-score)
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Standard Normal Distribution

Properties:
The total area under the normal curve is equal to 1
The distribution is mounded and symmetric; it extends
indefinitely in both directions, approaching but never
touching the horizontal axis
The distribution has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of
1
The mean divides the area in half, 0.50 on each side
Nearly all the area is between z = -3.00 and z = 3.00

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Z Values

0 z

 The table contains the area under the standard


normal curve between 0 and a specific value of z
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Z Values

 Example: Find the area under the standard normal


curve between z = 0 and z = 1.45

0 145
. z
• A portion of Table 3:
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06
..
.

1.4 0.4265
..
.

P (0  z  1.45)  0.4265
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Z Values

 Example: Find the area under the normal curve


to the right of z = 1.45; P(z > 1.45)

Area asked for


0.4265

0 145
. z

P ( z  145
. )  0.5000  0.4265  0.0735
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Z Values

 Example: Find the area to the left of z = 1.45; P(z <


1.45)

0.5000 0.4265

0 145
. z

P ( z  145
. )  0.5000  0.4265  0.9265
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Z Values

 Example: Find the area between the mean (z = 0)


and
z = -1.26

Area asked for

 126
. 0 1.26 z

P ( 126
.  z  0)  0.3962
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Using the TI 83/84

 Find the area to the left of z = -0.98

 Use -1E99 for - ∞ and enter 2nd DISTR

 Normalcdf (-1e99, -0.98) which gives .164


Area asked for

-0.98 0
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Z Values

 Example: Find the area between z = -2.30 and z =


1.80

0.4893 0.4641

- 230
. 0 180
.

P ( -230
. < z < 180
. ) = P ( -2.30 < z < 0) + P ( 0 < z < 180
. )
= 0.4893 + 0.4641 = 0.9534
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Standardization

 Suppose x is a normal random variable with


mean m and standard deviation s

• The random variable z  x   has a standard normal



distribution

 c x
c
0 z
 16
Example

 Example: A bottling machine is adjusted to fill bottles


with a mean of 32.0 lt of soda and standard deviation of
0.02. Assume the amount of fill is normally distributed
and a bottle is selected at random:

1) Find the probability the bottle contains between 32.00 lt


and 32.025 lt
2) Find the probability the bottle contains more than 31.97 lt

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 Example: A bottling machine is adjusted to fill bottles with a mean of 32.0 lt
of soda and standard deviation of 0.02. Assume the amount of fill is normally
distributed and a bottle is selected at random:

1) Find the probability the bottle contains between 32.00 lt


and 32.025 lt

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 Example: A bottling machine is adjusted to fill bottles with a mean of 32.0 lt
of soda and standard deviation of 0.02. Assume the amount of fill is normally
distributed and a bottle is selected at random:

2) Find the probability the bottle contains more than 31.97 lt

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Example
1) Find the probability the bottle contains between 32.00 lt and 32.025 lt
2) Find the probability the bottle contains more than 31.97 oz

Area asked
for

32.025 x
32.0
0 1.25 z
Solutions:
32.00 - m 32.00 - 32.0
1) When x = 32.00 ; z= = = 0.00
s 0.02

32.025 - m 32.025 - 32.0


When x = 32.025; z= = = 1.25
s 0.02
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Solution Continued

Area asked for

32.0 32.025 x
0 125
. z

æ 32.0 - 32.0 x - 32.0 32.025 - 32.0 ö


P (32.0 < x < 32.025) = P ç < < ÷
è 0.02 0.02 0.02 ø
= P ( 0 < z < 1.25) = 0. 3944
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Example

2)

3197
. 32.0 x
- 150
. 0 z

æ x -32.0 3197
. - 32.0 ö
P( x > 3197
. ) = Pç > ÷ = P( z > -150)
.
è 0.02 0.02 ø
= 0.5000 + 0.4332 = 0.9332
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Notation

 If x is a normal random variable with mean


m and standard deviation s, this is often
denoted:
x ~ N(m, s)
 Example: Suppose x is a normal random variable
with m = 35 and s = 6. A convenient notation to
identify this random variable is: x ~ N(35, 6).

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