SCM Workshop 6 March 2024 Part 1
SCM Workshop 6 March 2024 Part 1
SCM Workshop 6 March 2024 Part 1
as
Competitive Advantage
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Market Landscape
Implications on the Supply Chain
….which will have significant implications on your entire supply chain
from a value chain, service offerings, environmental and financial
treatment perspective.
Key Drivers Trends Implications
Deteriorating
Increased need to outsource non-core activities
Product Prices Collapsing intermediaries for a “one-stop” shop
solution, focusing on the
Shortening of assimilation of more activities along the value
Product Life chain with core logistic services, and
Cycle
integration of contract and service logistics
solutions for a streamline “end-to-end” supply
Environmental chain
Compliance
Improving shareholder value through healthier
balance sheet and cash flow positions
Increasing
Shareholder Moving towards 3PL inventory management
Value with ownership based on transactional pricing
Deposition compliance to environmental
Renewed requirements and reduction in carbon emission
Focus on Core
Business Source: DHL Internal Analysis, Accenture Analysis
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Technology Advancement
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Hardware & Software Revolution
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What is Supply Chain
Management
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Supply Chain Management
The Supply Chain is the process that integrates, coordinates and controls the
movement of goods and materials from suppliers to the consumer (retailer) to the
final consumer
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The Supply Chain’s Back Story
The concept of working with suppliers and customers is an old as commerce
itself, but modern idea of a “supply chain” is fairly recent ………
late 1950s to the pioneering research conducted by At some point in the early 1980s, the concepts
Jay Forrester and is colleagues at the Massachusetts of transportation, distribution, and materials
Institute of Technology (MIT) management began to merge into a single, all
•They began studying supply pipelines and encompassing term: supply chain management
channel interrelationships between suppliers
and customers
•The term apparently first appeared
•And identified a phenomenon that latter in print in1982 and is attributed to Keith
Oliver, a consultant with Booz Allen
came to be known as the bullwhip effect i.e.
inventories in the company’s pipeline (supply •In summary, a vertical strategy i.e.
chain) tend to fluctuate the further they are from the idea of compartmentalizing every
the ultimate end users department and group into unconnected
silos – was counterproductive to a company
•The idea of bullwhip effect remained largely ‘s long –term growth and health
a curiosity until the 1990s, when computer was
fast enough , powerful enough and affordable •In 2006, Porter’s in his work use is
enough that researchers could only gain an popular buzzwords of the day “unsiloing”
understanding of the bullwhip effect, but also refers to the concept of manager
design software to circumvent it. cooperating across departments and
functions, sharing resources and cross-
•Supply chain management as a discipline selling products to promote the entire
company’s bottom line
basically evolved out of Forrester’s quest to
understand and ultimately control these
increases in demand fluctuations
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Supply Chain Excellence
To achieve excellence in the supply chain organisations should:
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Business Supply Chain
Implementation Strategy
Supply Chain is a combination of process, functions, activities, relationships,
and pathways along products, services, information and financial transaction
in and between enterprises
Location Strategy
• Location decisions
• The network planning process
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The Time Paradigm
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SCM Improve Shareholder Value
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Group Exercise
The phrase “Supply Chain Management” was first coined in the early 1980s to
describe the range of activities coordinated by an organization to produce and
manage supplies.
In your group identify and describe how an internal focus bounded by a single
organization and how they sourced and procured the supplies, managed their
internal inventory and moved goods onto their customers.
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Supply Chain Needs
Collaboration
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Consumer Products Logistics
Trends: Horizontal Collaboration
• Seasonality • Raw materials Consolidation • Inbound Logistics
• Flow Synchronization • Tractor/Trailer/Tanker Sharing • Empty Running
CHALLENGES • Fleet Maintenance • Combined Delivery • Multi-drop Distribution
• Reverse Logistics/Returns • New Market Development • Common Warehousing
BARRIERS
1. Fear of information disclosure to competitors (selected by 42% of
4. Difficulty finding appropriate partners (selected by 33% of shippers)
shippers)
5. Lack of industry case studies (selected by 28% of shippers)
2. No widespread acceptance of the idea (selected by 42% of shippers)
6. No internal knowledge on how to orchestrate this (selected by 28% of shippers)
3. Difficulty establishing relationships of trust (selected by 39% of shippers)
Source: Eye for Transport Study “European Supply Chain Horizontal Collaboration 2010”, Transport Intelligence, 2011
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Effective Collaboration
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Designing Effective Collaboration
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Consumer Products Logistics
Trends: Horizontal Collaboration
Collaboration – Example – Changes in supply in the future
As-Is Situation
As-is: 100% road transport
• Over longer-term diesel prices will rise
• Road Tax Impact increase
• CO2s taxation – Regulations
• Congestion increase (unreliable transit times)
• Trailer theft
• Short transit times
• Limited timeslots for lorry transport Urban stores
Manufacturer B Warehouse B
Manufacturer C Warehouse C
Non-Urban stores
Manufacturer D Warehouse D
Manufacturer E Warehouse E
Manufacturer F Warehouse F
Manufacturer G Warehouse G
Manufacturer H warehouse H
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Consumer Products Logistics Trends:
Horizontal Collaboration
Collaboration – Example – Changes in supply in the future
To-Be Situation
To-be: Multi-modal transport sharing
• Less road KM
• Less personnel required
• 50%–80% less CO2 emissions
• Low cost, provided a critical mass
• Longer, but more reliable transit times
• Payload increase (24 tons 28tons per train)
Urban Stores
Manufacturer A
Manufacturer B Collaborative
City hub
Manufacturer C warehouse
Manufacturer E
Manufacturer H
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Why is Supply Chain so
difficult to manage?
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The Drivers of Supply Chain
Complexity
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Supply Chain Challenges
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Competitive Advantage
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Supply Chain Problems
Two researches looked at more than 800 announcement of supply chain problems
from public companies over 8 years period i.e. 1992-1999
These problems included things like inventory write-offs, parts shortages, shipping delays and
the likes
The researches then tracked the price of these companies’ stock one year before and two
years after the announcement
Companies that experienced supply chain glitches over that time period saw their average
operating income drop 107%, return on sales fall 114% , return on assets decrease by 93%
and 7% lower sales growth, 11% higher costs and 14% increase in inventories
The supply chain disruption lowers the level of operating performance for a company,
and the firms continue to perform at that lower level for the next couple of years
As companies try to make their supply chain more efficient, they take
away slack because it is expensive. The answer though, isn’t to throw
a lot money at your supply chain problem. It’s to get smarter at
Identifying and tracking key indicators that might indicate potential
glitches early on
Source: Vinod Snigh Georgia Institute & Kevin Hendrik University of Western Ontario
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Case Study – Planning and Forecasting
Cisco System Inc. – as the leading manufacturer of networking routers and switches,
was one of the most influential companies driving the dot-com boom of the late 1990s
In the 1st Quarter of 2001, Cisco was riding high as any high-tech company had ever
ridden, having reported a profit of 40 quarters growth in a row.
With the culture that literally knew nothing but growth, naturally enough Cisco’s
planning systems – which ever considered state of the art – kept forecasting more of
the same
Unfortunately, the inevitable bursting of the dot-com bubble happened to coincide with
a severe slump in the telecom industry, both of which had a direct impact on Cisco’s
business
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A Bias Against Good Plan!
Cisco planning suffered from a common malady that afflicts many companies
– bias!
It’s pattern of behaviour within a company where different departments focus
on their own individual priorities, often disregarding the overall health of the
company in favour of propping up their fiefdoms
A good supply chain plan will fail every time, for instance, if employees are
being given incentives to avoid stock-outs, and a result keep building up
safety stock
The challenge comes in meeting with major players in the industry Everyone
wants to win and everyone’s planning for success, so they add 30 percent
But not everyone wins. If you add up all the players in the
industry, you might double a realistic forecast
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Case Study – Planning and Forecasting
Cisco System Inc. – Ultimately in the wake of the economic downturn in 2001,
Cisco ended up with far more products than it could ever sell.
How much more?
Cisco wrote off US$2.2 billion worth of unsaleable, unusable inventory
and reported a US$2.6 billion quarterly loss
Although Cisco had gained the reputation of being the supply chain poster child for
the new economy, it reacted to the supply chain glitch in a typically Old Economy
fashion
Cisco laid off 8,500 employees
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Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and
Replenishment [CPFR]
Traditionally we conduct forecasting at a very high level, based on history
To get truly collaborative relationship, it must get key stakeholders involved in the
forecasting and planning i.e. with its customers, functional support & operations,
suppliers, distributors and retailers, 3PL
CPFR requires manufacturer and retailers to share point-of-sale data over the internet
in real time
Real-time forecasting tool capable creating daily, short-term forecasts with 52 weeks
of live data
CPFR program essentially integrate all those different departments and processes
into a central plan, and that strategy can be applied in any company and industry i.e.
manufacturing, procurement, logistics, distribution, customer ordering, planning and
scheduling
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Group Exercise 2
Mapping Supply Chain Processes
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VIDEO –DELL COMPUTER
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SUPPLY CHAIN SOLUTION
& DESIGN
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Moving Away From One-Dimensional Solution
Define and explore the idea of multiple supply chain by considering the criteria:
Products Supply Uncertainty and Demand Production
• Functional or • Uncertainty, demand strategy has to be • Mass production i.e., push
• Innovation created by marketing or lean
• Subject to different customer behaviours, • Unpredictable demand i.e.,
which in turn change their demand and pull or agile
supply situation
Each requiring distinctly different supply chains, i.e. “ the root cause of the problems
plaguing many supply chains is a mismatch between situation and type of supply chain
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Aligning Supply Chain Strategies with
Product Uncertainties
Demand predictable e.g. Respond opportunistically
(from historic off-take), but and manage yield. Focus
loose relationship does not on providing creative
necessitates an extreme Loose
Fully Flexible solutions to premium price
service level.
Focus on efficiency
Lean
With Customer
Relationship
Continuous
Replenishment Agile
Tight
Predictable demand, easily
Unplanned or unforeseen
managed through tight High Predictable of Low demand and sometimes
collaboration with customers
Focus on retention of customer
Demand loose relationship with
customers – almost always
relationship
demands an agile response
at higher cost-to-serve. Focus
“The four generic supply chain types” on speed and capacity
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Supply Chain Management
Case Study
2
Affordable Automobile 1908
"Any customer can have a car painted any colour that he wants, so long as it
is black.“ Henry Ford
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Toyota Supply Chain Management 4VL
Velocity, Visibility, Variability, Variety + Learning
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Fully Flexible Supply Chain
Postponement is a business strategy that maximizes possible benefit
and minimizes Risk by delaying further investment into a product or
service until the last possible moment.
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Agile Supply Chain
Agile refers to the ability to react and adapt to the changes in demand
and supply situations in a supply chain.
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Supply Chain is a Business Process
Plan Source
• Two season Spring/Summer and Falls/Winter • 40 percent of the fabric from another of its subsidiary
• Commits 6 months in advance to only 15-25 percent • Almost half of these fabric un-dyed to allow faster
of season’s line and only lock in 50-60 of its line at the response to mid season
start of the season
• Work closely with dyestuff producer partly owned and
• If demand surge during mid season, Zara react get purchase 20 percent from it
them to stores while trend is still peaking
• The rest of the fabric comes from a range of 260 other
• All design are produce in-house a staff of 300 people, suppliers, none of which account more than 4 percent
design 40,000 a year of which 10,000 are selected for of Zara’s total production to minimize dependency and
production encourage maximum responsiveness
Deliver Make
• Own distribution center in Arteixo
• Zara manufactures approximately 50 percent of its
• Satellite centers in Argentina, Mexico and Brazil products on its own network of 22 Spanish factories
• Franchise system, Company owned store & JV • Uses subcontractors for all sewing operations
• Reduce cycle time for quick response system. • The other half of the products is produced by 400
outside suppliers, 70 percent of which in Europe and
• Shipped more often in smaller batches, new style can
the rest in Asia
hit stores twice per week
• Actually Zara source basic product in Asia
• Minimize unsold inventory to get rid off
• With it relatively large and stable orders, Zara is
• Double up production hit and raise price in its stores
preferred buyer
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Continuous Supply Chain
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Another Example of Fashion Retailers
Approach
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Case Study – The three different
supply chain at Coca-Cola
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THANK YOU FOR
YOUR ATTENTION
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