7. âBig data is like teenage sex:
everyone talks about it,
nobody really knows how to do it,
everyone thinks everyone else is doing it,
so everyone claims they are doing it...â
-- Dan Ariely @danariely (2013)
Substitute âBig dataâ with âAIâ, âBlockchainâ, âIoTâ
of your choice.
-- Nawanan Theera-Ampornpunt (2018)
8. Hype vs. Hope
Jeremy Kemp via http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle
http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/methodologies/hype-cycle.jsp
11. A Real-Life Personal Story of
My Failure (as a Doctor and as
a Son) in Misdiagnosing
My Mom
Would AI Help?
12. ⢠Nothing is certain in medicine &
health care
⢠Large variations exist in patient
presentations, clinical course,
underlying genetic codes, patient &
provider behaviors, biological
responses & social contexts
Why Clinical Judgment Is Still Necessary?
13. ⢠Most diseases are not diagnosed by
diagnostic criteria, but by patterns of
clinical presentation and perceived
likelihood of different diseases given
available information (differential
diagnoses)
⢠Human is good at pattern
recognition, while machine is good at
logic & computations
Why Clinical Judgment Is Still Necessary?
14. ⢠Machines are (at best) as good as
the input data
âNot everything can be digitized or
digitally acquired
âNot everything digitized is accurate
(âGarbage In, Garbage Outâ)
⢠Experience, context & human touch
matters
Why Clinical Judgment Is Still Necessary?
17. ⢠âDonât implement technology just for
technologyâs sake.â
⢠âDonât make use of excellent technology.
Make excellent use of technology.â
(Tangwongsan, Supachai. Personal communication, 2005.)
⢠âHealth care IT is not a panacea for all that ails
medicine.â (Hersh, 2004)
Some âSmartâ Quotes
24. To treat & to care
for their patients
to their best
abilities, given
limited time &
resources
Image Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Newborn_Examination_1967.jpg (Nevit Dilmen)
What Clinicians Want?
25. Why Arenât We Talk About These Words?
http://hcca-act.blogspot.com/2011/07/reflections-on-patient-centred-care.html
26. The Goal of Health Care
The answer is already obvious...
âHealthâ
âCareâ
27. ⢠Safe
⢠Timely
⢠Effective
⢠Patient-Centered
⢠Efficient
⢠Equitable
Institute of Medicine, Committee on Quality of Health Care in America. Crossing the quality
chasm: a new health system for the 21st century. Washington, DC: National Academy
Press; 2001. 337 p.
High Quality Care
29. ⢠Humans are not perfect and are bound to
make errors
⢠Highlight problems in U.S. health care
system that systematically contributes to
medical errors and poor quality
⢠Recommends reform
⢠Health IT plays a role in improving patient
safety
Summary of These Reports
31. 31
Image Source: (Left) http://docwhisperer.wordpress.com/2007/05/31/sleepy-heads/
(Right) http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/12/05/health/chen_600.jpg
To Err Is Human 2: Attention
32. 32
Image Source: Suthan Srisangkaew, Department of Pathology, Facutly of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University
To Err Is Human 3: Memory
33. 33
⢠Cognitive Errors - Example: Decoy Pricing
The Economist Purchase Options
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Ariely (2008)
16
0
84
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68
32
# of
People
# of
People
To Err Is Human 4: Cognition
34. 34Klein JG. Five pitfalls in decisions about diagnosis and prescribing. BMJ. 2005 Apr 2;330(7494):781-3.
âEveryone makes mistakes. But our
reliance on cognitive processes prone to
bias makes treatment errors more likely
than we thinkâ
Cognitive Biases in Healthcare
35. 35
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
Clinical Decision Making
36. 36
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
Possible Human Errors
Possibility of
Human Errors
38. 38
⢠Clinical Decision Support (CDS) âis a
process for enhancing health-related
decisions and actions with pertinent,
organized clinical knowledge and patient
information to improve health and healthcare
deliveryâ (Including both computer-based &
non-computer-based CDS)
(Osheroff et al., 2012)
What Is A CDS?
39. 39
⢠The real place where most of the values
of health IT can be achieved
⢠There are a variety of forms and nature
of CDS
Clinical Decision Support
Systems (CDS)
40. 40
⢠Expert systems
âBased on artificial
intelligence, machine
learning, rules, or
statistics
âExamples: differential
diagnoses, treatment
options
CDS Examples
Shortliffe (1976)
41. 41
⢠Alerts & reminders
âBased on specified logical conditions
⢠Drug-allergy checks
⢠Drug-drug interaction checks
⢠Drug-lab interaction checks
⢠Drug-formulary checks
⢠Reminders for preventive services or certain actions
(e.g. smoking cessation)
⢠Clinical practice guideline integration (e.g. best
practices for chronic disease patients)
CDS Examples
45. 45
⢠Pre-defined documents
âOrder sets, personalized âfavoritesâ
âTemplates for clinical notes
âChecklists
âForms
⢠Can be either computer-based or
paper-based
CDS Examples
46. 46
Order Sets
Image Source: http://www.hospitalmedicine.org/ResourceRoomRedesign/CSSSIS/html/06Reliable/SSI/Order.cfm
47. 47
⢠Simple UI designed to help clinical
decision making
âAbnormal lab highlights
âGraphs/visualizations for lab results
âFilters & sorting functions
CDS Examples
49. 49
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Abnormal lab
highlights
50. 50
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Order Sets
51. 51
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Drug-Allergy
Checks
52. 52
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Drug-Drug
Interaction
Checks
53. 53
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Clinical Practice
Guideline
Alerts/Reminders
54. 54
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Integration of
Evidence-Based
Resources (e.g.
drug databases,
literature)
55. 55
External Memory
Knowledge Data
Long Term Memory
Knowledge Data
Inference
DECISION
PATIENT
Perception
Attention
Working
Memory
CLINICIAN
Elson, Faughnan & Connelly (1997)
How CDS Supports
Decision Making
Diagnostic/Treatment
Expert Systems
59. ภาŕ¸ŕ¸Łŕ¸§ŕ¸Ąŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸˛ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕšŕ¸˛ŕ¸ Health IT
Intra-Hospital IT
⢠Electronic Health Records &
Health IT for Quality & Safety
⢠Digital Transformation
⢠AI, Data Analytics
⢠Hospital IT Quality
Improvement (HA-IT)
Inter-Hospital IT
⢠Health Information
Exchange (HIE)
Extra-Hospital IT
⢠Patients: Personal
Health Records (PHRs)
⢠Public Health: Disease
Surveillance & Analytics
Patient
at Home
61. ภาŕ¸ŕ¸Łŕ¸§ŕ¸Ąŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕ¸˛ŕ¸ŕ¸ŕšŕ¸˛ŕ¸ Health IT
Intra-Hospital IT
⢠Electronic Health Records &
Health IT for Quality & Safety
⢠Digital Transformation
⢠AI, Data Analytics
⢠Hospital IT Quality
Improvement (HA-IT)
Inter-Hospital IT
⢠Health Information
Exchange (HIE)
Extra-Hospital IT
⢠Patients: Personal
Health Records (PHRs)
⢠Public Health: Disease
Surveillance & Analytics
Patient
at Home
62. Hospital A Hospital B
Clinic D
Policymakers
Patient at
Home
Hospital C
HIE Platform
Health Information Exchange (HIE)
65. Areas of Health Informatics
Patients &
Consumers
Providers &
Patients
Healthcare
Managers, Policy-
Makers, Payers,
Epidemiologists,
Researchers
Copyright ď Nawanan Theera-Ampornpunt (2018)
Clinical
Informatics
Public
Health
Informatics
Consumer
Health
Informatics
66. Incarnations of Health IT
Clinical
Informatics
Public
Health
Informatics
Consumer
Health
Informatics
HIS/CIS
EHRs
Computerized Physician
Order Entry (CPOE)
Clinical Decision
Support Systems
(CDS) (including AI)
Closed Loop
Medication
PACS/RIS
LIS
Nursing
Apps
Disease Surveillance
(Active/Passive)
Business
Intelligence &
Dashboards
Telemedicine
Real-time Syndromic
Surveillance
mHealth for Public
Health Workers &
Volunteers
PHRs
Health Information
Exchange (HIE)
eReferral
mHealth for
Consumers
Wearable
Devices
Social
Media
Copyright ď Nawanan Theera-Ampornpunt (2018)
67. Where We Are Today...
Copyright ď Nawanan Theera-Ampornpunt (2018)
Clinical
Informatics
Public
Health
Informatics
Consumer
Health
Informatics
Technology that
focuses on the sick,
not the healthy
Silos of data
within hospitalPoor/unstructured
data quality
Lack of health data
outside hospital
Poor data
integration across
hospitals/clinics
Poor data integration
for monitoring &
evaluation
Poor data quality (GIGO)
Finance leads
clinical outcomes
Poor IT change
management
Cybersecurity
& privacy risks
Few real examples
of precision
medicine
Little access
to own
health data
Poor patient
engagement
Poor accuracy
of wearables Lack of evidence
for health values
Health literacy
Information ďš
Behavioral
change
Few standards
Lack of health IT
governance
68. ⢠CDS as a replacement or supplement of
clinicians?
â The demise of the âGreek Oracleâ model (Miller & Masarie, 1990)
The âGreek Oracleâ Model
The âFundamental Theoremâ Model
Friedman (2009)
Wrong Assumption
Correct Assumption
Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDS)