2024 European Parliament election

2024 European Parliament election

6–9 June 2024
All 720 seats to the European Parliament 361 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	(51.08% 0.42 pp)
Leader Ursula von der Leyen Nicolas Schmit Ryszard Legutko Nicola Procaccini Alliance EPP Group S&D ECR Leader's seat Not running Not running Not running Central Italy Last election 187 seats, 21.0% 148 seats, 18.5% 62 seats, 8.2% Seats won 188 136 84 Seat change 1 12 22 Percentage 21.2% 19.2% 12.2% Swing 0.2% 0.7% 4.0%   Leader Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann Anders Vistisen Terry Reintke Bas Eickhout Alliance Renew ID Greens/EFA Leader's seat Germany Denmark Germany Netherlands Last election 97 seats, 13.0% 76 seats, 10.8% 67 seats, 11.7% Seats won 77 57 54 Seat change 20 19 13 Percentage 10.5% 9.0% 8.8% Swing 2.5% 1.8% 2.9%   Leader Walter Baier Alliance The Left Leader's seat Not running Last election 40 seats, 6.5% Seats won 47 Seat change 7 Percentage 6.7% Swing 0.2%
Results by member state, shaded by EP group popular vote winner
European Commission before election Von der Leyen Commission (EPP) EPP Group–S&D–Renew European Commission after election TBD

The 2024 European Parliament election was held in the European Union (EU) between 6 and 9 June 2024. It was the tenth parliamentary election since the first direct elections in 1979, and the first European Parliament election after Brexit. A total of 720 Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) were elected to represent more than 450 million people from 27 member states. This election also coincided with a number of other elections in some European Union member states.

On 9 June 2024, the European People's Party led by Ursula von der Leyen won the most seats in the European Parliament. The pro-EU centrist, liberal and environmentalist parties suffered significant losses, while anti-EU right-wing populist parties made substantial gains. The right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists group overtook the centrist Renew Europe group to win the third most seats. In addition, several new or Non-Inscrits parties gained seats in the Parliament.

Background

In the previous election, held on 23–26 May 2019, in terms of the political Groups in the Parliament, they resulted in the EPP Group and S&D suffering significant losses, while the liberal/centrist (Renew), the Greens/EFA and ID made substantial gains, with ECR and The Left had small reduction. The European People's Party, led by Manfred Weber, won the most seats in the European Parliament, but was then unable to secure support from other parties for Weber as candidate for President of the Commission. After initial deadlock, the European Council decided to nominate Ursula von der Leyen as a compromise candidate to be the new Commission President, and the European Parliament elected von der Leyen with 383 votes (374 votes needed). The commission as a whole was then approved by the European Parliament on 27 November 2019, receiving 461 votes.

The 2019 election saw an increase in the turnout, when 50.7% of eligible voters had cast a vote compared with 42.5% of the 2014 election. This was the first time that turnout had increased since the first European Parliament election in 1979. In 2024, the Eurobarometer data shows that 71% of Europeans say they are likely to vote in June, 10% higher than those who said they would in 2019.

Since the last European-wide election, the right has continued to rise across Europe, remaining however split, mainly by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Russian relations issue. In 2024, before the European elections, right-wing populist parties hold or share political power in Hungary (Fidesz), Italy (Brothers of Italy), Sweden (Sweden Democrats), Finland (Finns Party), Slovakia (Slovak National Party) and Croatia (Homeland Movement). The centre-right EPP has "raised eyebrows" among some commentators for its efforts to charm parties in the ECR to create a broad conservative block, which could upset the long-standing status-quo that has seen the EPP share power with the centre-left S&D and the centrist Renew Group.

Electoral system

Elections to the European Parliament are regulated by the Treaty on European Union, Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, and the Act concerning the election of the members of the European Parliament by direct universal suffrage (the Electoral Act). The Electoral Act states that the electoral procedure is governed by the national provisions in each member state, subject to the provisions of the act. Elections are conducted by direct universal suffrage by proportional representation using either a list system or single transferable vote. The national electoral threshold may not exceed 5% of votes cast.

Attempts at electoral reform

In June 2018, the Council agreed to change the EU electoral law and to reform old laws from the 1976 Electoral Act as amended in 2002. New provisions included a mandatory 2% threshold for countries with more than 35 seats and rules to prevent voters from voting in multiple countries. After the Act was adopted by the Council following consent given by the European Parliament in July 2018, not all member states ratified the Act prior to the 2019 elections, which took place under the old rules. As of 2023, the reform has yet to be ratified by Cyprus and Spain; Germany only ratified in summer 2023.

On 3 May 2022, the European Parliament voted to propose a new electoral law, which would contain provisions for electing 28 seats on transnational lists. As of 2024, this reform has not been approved by the Council, which must approve it unanimously, meaning the election will be conducted under the 1976 Electoral Act as amended in 2002.

Apportionment

As a result of Brexit, 27 seats from the British delegation were distributed to other countries in January 2020 (those elected in 2019, but not yet seated took their seats). The other 46 seats were abolished with the total number of MEPs decreasing from 751 to 705.

A report in the European Parliament proposed in February 2023 to modify the apportionment in the European Parliament and increase the number of MEPs from 705 to 716 in order to adapt to the development of the population and preserve degressive proportionality. It was passed in the plenary in June 2023. On 26 July 2023, the Council reached a preliminary agreement, which would increase the size of the European Parliament to 720 seats. On 13 September 2023, the European Parliament consented to this decision, which was adopted by the European Council on 22 September 2023.

Electoral system by country

Member state	Seats	Date	Voting age	Compulsory voting	Absentee voting	Min. age for candidacy	Constituencies	Legal threshold	Maximum threshold	Electoral system	Candidate selection
Austria	20(+1)	9 June	16	No	By post	18	01	4%	~4.8%	D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Belgium	22(+1)	9 June	16	Yes	By post and by proxy	18	03	—	Up to 50%	D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Bulgaria	17	9 June	18	Yes	—	21	01	~5.9%		Largest remainder	Semi-open list
Croatia	12	9 June	18	No	—	18	01	5%	~7.7%	D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Cyprus	06	9 June	18	No	—	21	01	1.8%	~14.3%	Largest remainder	Open list
Czech Republic	21	7–8 June	18	No	—	21	01	5%		D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Denmark	15(+1)	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	—	~6.3%	D'Hondt	Open list
Estonia	07	3–9 June	18	No	By post and online	21	01	—	12.5%	D'Hondt	Open list
Finland	15(+1)	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	—	~6.3%	D'Hondt	Open list
France	81(+2)	9 June	18	No	By proxy	18	01	5%		D'Hondt	Closed list
Germany	96	9 June	16	No	By post	18	1	—	~1.0%	Sainte-Laguë	Closed list
Greece	21	9 June	17	Yes	By post	25	01	3%	~4.5%	Largest remainder	Open list
Hungary	21	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	5%		D'Hondt	Closed list
Ireland	14(+1)	7 June	18	No	—	21	03	N/A	Up to 20%	Single transferable vote
Italy	76	8–9 June	18	No	—	25	05	4%		Largest remainder	Open list
Latvia	09(+1)	8 June	18	No	By post	21	01	5%	10%	Sainte-Laguë	Open list
Lithuania	11	9 June	18	No	By post	21	01	5%	~8.3%	Largest remainder	Open list
Luxembourg	06	9 June	18	Yes	By post	18	01	—	~14.3%	D'Hondt	Panachage
Malta	06	8 June	16	No	—	18	01	N/A	~14.3%	Single transferable vote
Netherlands	31(+2)	6 June	18	No	By post and by proxy	18	01	~3.2%		D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Poland	53(+1)	9 June	18	No	By post and by proxy	21	13	5%		Largest remainder	Open list
Portugal	21	9 June	18	No	—	18	01	—	~4.5%	D'Hondt	Closed list
Romania	33	9 June	18	No	—	23	01	5%		D'Hondt	Closed list
Slovakia	15(+1)	8 June	18	No	—	21	01	5%	~6.3%	Largest remainder	Semi-open list
Slovenia	09(+1)	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	—	10%	D'Hondt	Semi-open list
Spain	61(+2)	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	—	~1.6%	D'Hondt	Closed list
Sweden	21	9 June	18	No	By post	18	01	4%	~4.5%	Modified Sainte-Laguë	Semi-open list

Lead candidates

Spitzenkandidat system

In the run-up to the 2014 European Parliament elections a new informal system was unveiled for the selection of the European Commission President (known colloquially as the Spitzenkandidat system) dictating that whichever party group gained the most seats (or the one able to secure the support of a majority coalition) would see their candidate become President of the Commission. In 2014, the candidate of the largest group, Jean-Claude Juncker, was eventually nominated and elected as Commission President. European party leaders aimed to reintroduce the system in 2019, with them selecting lead candidates and organizing a televised debate between those candidates. In the aftermath of the election German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen was chosen as Commission President, even though she had not been a candidate prior to the election, while Manfred Weber, lead candidate for the EPP, which had gained the most seats, was not nominated as he was unable to secure support from any other party. Following this appointment of a Commission President who had not been a Spitzenkandidat, some called for the system to be abandoned, while others called for it to be revived in the 2024 elections.

In 2023, multiple political parties at the European level announced their intentions to nominate a main candidate. ECR and ID have rejected doing so.

Overview of party candidates for Commission President in 2024

European political party			EP Group	Lead candidate(s)	Election program
	EPP	European People's Party	EPP Group	Ursula von der Leyen	"Our Europe"
	PES	Party of European Socialists	S&D	Nicolas Schmit	"The Europe We Want"
	ALDE	Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party	Renew	Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann	“Your Europe, Your Freedom"
	EDP	European Democratic Party		Sandro Gozi	"Reinventing Europe"
	EGP	European Green Party	Greens/EFA	Bas Eickhout, Terry Reintke	"Courage to Change"
	EFA	European Free Alliance	Greens/EFA, ECR	Maylis Roßberg, Raül Romeva	"A Europe for All"
	ID	Identity and Democracy Party	ID	None	None
	ECR	European Conservatives and Reformists Party	ECR	None	"Party Manifesto"
	PEL	Party of the European Left	The Left	Walter Baier	"Our Moment"
	ECPM	European Christian Political Movement	EPP Group, ECR	Valeriu Ghilețchi	"elevate. empower. engage."
European political party not recognised by the EU			EP Group	Lead candidate(s)	Election program
	PPEU	European Pirate Party	Greens/EFA	Marcel Kolaja, Anja Hirschel	"Common European Election Program"
	Volt	Volt Europa		Damian Boeselager, Sophie in 't Veld	"Electoral Moonshot Programme"
	DiEM25	Democracy in Europe Movement 2025	None	None	"What we are fighting for"

European People's Party

The centre-right EPP held its congress in Bucharest on 6–7 March 2024 to elect its presidential candidate and adopt its election programme. Nominees required the backing of their own member party and not more than two other EPP member parties from EU countries, with nominations closing on February 21.

On 19 February 2024, Ursula von der Leyen announced her intention to run, supported by the CDU. On 7 March von der Leyen was elected presidential candidate with 400 votes in favour, 89 against and 10 blank, out of the 737 EPP delegates at the EPP congress. Among others, it is believed that the French and Slovenian delegations voted against.

Party of European Socialists

The centre-left PES held its congress in Rome on 2 March. Nominees required the backing of nine PES full member parties or organisations, with nominations closing on 17 January.

On 18 January, the PES announced that the Luxembourgish European Commissioner for Jobs and Social Rights Nicolas Schmit was the sole nominee to meet the nominating requirements. He was then nominated on 2 March during the party congress, along with the adoption of the election programme.

Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party

The ALDE party held its extraordinary congress in Brussels on 20–21 March 2024. On 7 March 2024, following months of speculation, Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas announced that she had rejected the offer from ALDE to be the party's Spitzenkandidat. Luxembourg’s former Prime Minister Xavier Bettel announced that he is not interested in the post either.

On 11 March, the German FDP nominated Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann to become presidential candidate. She was then elected on March 20 during the party congress, along with the adoption of the election programme.

European Democratic Party

During the 8 March 2024 Convention in Florence, the European Democratic Party nominated Sandro Gozi as its lead candidate and approved its election programme.

European Green Party

During the 2–4 February 2024 congress in Lyon, the European Green Party elected Terry Reintke and Bas Eickhout as its two presidential candidates and adopted its election programme. Nominees were Bas Eickhout, Elīna Pinto, Terry Reintke, Benedetta Scuderi.

European Free Alliance

In October 2023, the congress of the European Free Alliance elected Maylis Roßberg and Raül Romeva as its presidential candidates, and adopted its election programme.

Party of the European Left

During the 24–25 February 2024 congress in Ljubljana, the PEL elected Walter Baier as its presidential candidate and adopted its election programme.

European Christian Political Movement

In a meeting held on 24 February 2024, the European Christian Political Movement appointed party president Valeriu Ghilețchi as its lead candidate for the European Commission.

European Pirate Party

At its General Assembly in Luxembourg in January 2024, the European Pirate Party nominated Marcel Kolaja and Anja Hirschel as lead candidates.

Volt Europa

On 27 November 2023, Volt Europa adopted its European election programme at its General Assembly in Paris. During the 6–7 April 2024 campaign launch event in Brussels the party elected German MEP Damian Boeselager and Dutch MEP Sophie in 't Veld as its lead candidates. Regarding which European Parliament group to join after the elections, Boeselager said he was “open to discussions” between remaining in Greens/EFA or joining Renew Europe in due course. To emphasise its demand for transnational lists, Volt Europa also presented a symbolic transnational list for the election alongside its leading candidates.

Issues

Economy

Main article: Economy of the European Union

Climate change

Main article: Climate change in Europe

See also: European Green Deal

Foreign policy

Main article: Common Foreign and Security Policy

Immigration

Immigration was cited by Politico as a key issue in elections in several countries, including Austria, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Ireland and Sweden.

Potential enlargement

Main article: Potential enlargement of the European Union

Various sources wrote that an increased influence of right-wing and far-right parties in the European Parliament could derail Ukrainian accession, as polling showed low support for EU enlargement in countries where such parties have power. Exceptions were Poland's Law and Justice supporting Ukrainian accession, and Hungary's Fidesz – a party highly sceptical of Ukraine – being in favour of bids from Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, two countries with governments favourable to Russia.

Campaign

The future of Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen, the current European Commission President, did not formally announce her intention to stand for a second term until February 2024. This led to speculation about other potential EPP candidates, such as President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola. However, on 19 February 2024, von der Leyen announced her intention to seek a second term. and on 7 March she was elected European People's Party presidential candidate with 400 votes in favour, 89 against and 10 blank, out of the 737 EPP congressional delegates.

In Germany, the coalition government had also agreed to support the spitzenkandidat system, implicitly accepting the prospect of von der Leyen, who within Germany hails from the opposition CDU party, becoming Commission President again, depending on the election results. Otherwise, the German government coalition agreement grants the right to nominate the next German EU Commissioner to the Greens, provided the Commission President is not from Germany.

The future of Charles Michel

In January 2024, Charles Michel announced he would step down early as president of the European Council to run for the European Parliament instead. This would have meant that European Union leaders would potentially discuss his successor in the summer as, if elected to the European Parliament, he would have had to step down because of prohibition of the dual mandate. His mandate had been to set to expire in November 2024. For this unanticipated decision Michel was criticised by EU officials and diplomats. He was criticised by his political ally Sophie in 't Veld who questioned his "credibility". This timing was further criticised for potential disruptions it could cause, as Article 2(4) of the European Council's Rules of Procedure provide that, if its President leaves office early, he "shall be replaced, where necessary until the election of his or her successor, by the member of the European Council representing the Member State holding the six-monthly Presidency of the Council". This would have been the Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, whose country would be scheduled to take over the rotating presidency of the European Council on 1 July. On 26 January 2024, Michel withdrew his candidacy and thus delayed his departure.

Future of Identity and Democracy

Ahead of the 2024 European Parliament election, National Rally spokespeople Jordan Bardella and Caroline Parmentier announced they would part ways with Alternative for Germany after the election and not include the AfD in the ID group due to controversial statements on Nazi Germany made by AfD lead candidate Maximilian Krah in an interview and allegations of Chinese espionage influence on the party. Italy's Lega and the Czech SPD backed the position taken by the National Rally, but Vlaams Belang declined to support expulsion of the AfD from the ID group or rule out further cooperation with the AfD, while criticising Krah's remarks. The Danish People's Party conditioned future cooperation with the AfD on Krah's exclusion from the ID group. The AfD was expelled from the group on 23 May.

European Parliament groups

After the European elections, there are often changes or creation of new political groups by the national parties in the European Parliament. This concerns both the new parties that have not yet announced which group they will be part of, and the parties already present in the European Parliament who choose to change group at the beginning of a new legislature. According to the Parliament’s rules of procedure, a political group requires at least 23 MEPs from at least one-quarter of the Member States (7 out of 27), and a political declaration, setting out the purpose of the group.

Several news outlets have speculated on the possibility of a new group guided by the German Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht party, created in January 2024. This 'left-conservative' and eurosceptic group could also include La France Insoumise, the Five Star Movement, ANO 2011, Course of Freedom, Direction – Social Democracy, Voice – Social Democracy, the Lithuanian Regions Party, For Stability!, and Together for Catalonia.

After the expulsion of the AfD from ID, it is uncertain where its MEPs will be part of a group after the election. On 30 May, RTL Hungary reported that MHM and AfD were considering forming a new group. This 'far-right' and eurosceptic group could include also Niki and Republic Movement. After Revival was expelled from IDP, the party organized the 'Sofia Declaration' with the Republic Movement, Forum for Democracy, Our Homeland Movement, Alternative for Sweden and the Agricultural Livestock Party of Greece on 12 April 2024. Czech Republic in First Place! stated they would either join ID or a "pacifist" and eurosceptic group with parties like the Republic Movement.

Debates

2024 European Parliament election debates

Date and time	Location	Organisers	Moderators	Language	Participants  P  Present  A  Absent  I  Invited  NI  Not invited
					EPP	PES	ALDE	EDP	EGP	EFA	ID	ECR	PEL	ECPM
29 April 2024 19:00 CET	Theater aan het Vrijthof, Maastricht, Netherlands	Studio Europa Maastricht, Politico Europe	Barbara Moens, Marcia Luyten	English	P von der Leyen	P Schmit	P Strack-Zimmermann		P Eickhout	P Roßberg	P Vistisen	A	P Baier	P Ghilețchi
21 May 2024 16:00 CET	Brussels, Belgium	Bruegel, Financial Times	Maria Demertzis, Henry Foy	English	P von der Leyen	P Schmit	P Gozi		NI	NI	P Vistisen	NI	NI	NI
23 May 2024 17:00 CET	Espace Léopold, Brussels, Belgium	European Broadcasting Union, European Parliament	Annelies Beck, Martin Řezníček	English	P von der Leyen	P Schmit	P Gozi		P Reintke	NI	NI	NI	P Baier	NI

29 April (Maastricht, Netherlands)

Lead Candidates participating in the Maastricht Debate 2024

The first debate was held on Monday, 29 April 2024 from 19:00 to 20:30 CET at the Theater aan het Vrijthof in Maastricht, Netherlands. It was hosted by Studio Europa Maastricht and Politico Europe and was EBU’s Eurovision News Exchange distributed the feed to its public service media network of members. An initiative of Maastricht University, it was the third edition of the so-called "Maastrich Debate" All ten registered European Political parties were invited to the debate.

The debate questions focused on three main themes: climate change, foreign and security policy, and EU democracy. During the debate, Ursula von der Leyen indicated she would be open to a deal with the European Conservatives and Reformists group after the election saying that the collaboration “depends very much on how the composition of the Parliament is, and who is in what group”.

21 May (Brussels, Belgium)

Financial Times and Bruegel debate in 2024

The second debate was held on Tuesday, 21 May 2024 from 17:00 to 18:15 in Brussels, Belgium. It was hosted by the think tank Bruegel and the Financial Times. The debate questions focused on economic policy in the EU.

23 May (Brussels, Belgium)

Eurovision Debate 2024 with Lead Candidates

The third debate was held on Thursday, 23 May 2024 from 15:00 to 17:00 CET at the European Parliament in Brussels, Belgium. It was hosted by the European Broadcasting Union together with the European Parliament and it was broadcast on public service media channels and online platforms members. The debate took place in English, with interpretation into all 24 official EU languages and International Sign Language. It was the third edition of the so-called "Eurovision Debate".

Invitations to the debate were sent by the EBU to the ten recognised European Political parties, with only one lead candidate allowed to be nominated from each of the seven Political groups of the European Parliament. On 7 May, EBU announced the candidates for the debate. Two parties, the ECR and ID, were considered by EBU not eligible to take part in the debate, since they have not nominated lead candidates for the Presidency of the European Commission and.

The debate questions focused on six main topics: Economy and Jobs, Defence and Security, Climate and Environment, Democracy and Leadership, Migration and Borders, Innovation and Technology.

Voting advice applications

Several voting advice applications at the European level have been developed to help voters choose their candidates. Some of these applications could collect user data for research or commercial purpose.

• EUROMAT allows users to compare their positions on 20 statements with the answers given by the European political parties. The result is presented as a percentage of agreement with each party. At the end, users can see the stances of each group. The EUROMAT was created as a joint project of the NGOs Pulse of Europe and Polis 180 and the blog Der (europäische) Föderalist and is available in eight languages.

• VoteMatch.eu is a comprehensive collection of VAAs, with a unique application tailored for each member state. This application first matches users with political parties within their own country. While answering the questions, users can see the stances of the national parties (but not all, it depends of the country), and, in some countries, their arguments. This is because votematch.eu aggregate VVA proposed by external actors at the national level. After this initial matching and because each VAA share at least 15 questions, users can compare their results with those in other member states. The overall platform was developed by German bpb and Dutch ProDemos.

• VoteTracker.eu allows users to visualise the votes of the outgoing MEPs on 18 selected votes, and to find the MEPs who best match their convictions. The website allows MEP to submit explanations of their stances.

• EuroMPmatch is a collaborative project between EUmatrix and the European University Institute aimed at enhancing citizen engagement in EU policy-making. By analyzing MEPs' actual voting records on 20 key topics, the project offers citizens a quiz to determine alignment with MEPs, parties, and political groups. It has been translated in 25 languages.

• EU&I, developed by the European University Institute in Florence, offers 30 questions to which the user can answer from ‘completely agree’ to ‘completely disagree’. They can then give more weight to certain questions. The result is presented as a percentage of agreement with each national party. The site has been translated into 20 languages. They had more than 150 000 users.

• Adeno is an application that allows users to discover the European group that best matches their convictions through 100 questions (20 in the express mode) covering 10 themes. The application also offers a multiplayer mode. It is available on Android and iPhone.

• Palumba is an application, developed by an association of young professionals, offers 27 questions to be answered ‘for’, ‘against’ or ‘neutral’. Explanations are provided for each question. The application provides the result in the form of a percentage of agreement for each European group and displays the closest national parties. The application is available on Android and iPhone and is available in over 30 languages (including regional dialects)
• The Bloom association, whose goal is to fight the destruction of the ocean, the climate, and livelihoods, ranked the European groups both globally and at the national scale on 4 issues: ocean, climate, biodiversity and environmental justice. The page is available in 5 languages.

Opinion polling and seat projections

Main article: Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

Polling aggregations

Seat projections

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	Number of seats	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
2024 election	After reorganisation of groups	16 July 2024	720	46	136	53	77	188	78	84 (as PfE)	33+25 ESN	–
	Dynamic	9 June 2024	720	40	136	54	80	188	82	64	76	–
	Baseline	9 June 2024	720	39	136	54	78	177	73	58	48	67
PolitPro		9 June 2024	720	40	139	40	81	174	74	89	43	40
Politico Europe		6 June 2024	720	32	143	41	75	173	76	67	58	55
election.de		6 June 2024	720	42	138	58	85	181	82	69	65	–
Cassandra-odds.com		5 June 2024	720	38	145	57	89	167	84	73	67	–
euobserver		5 June 2024	720	43	140	52	79	178	89	63	76	–
Europe Elects		4 June 2024	720	38	136	55	81	182	79	69	76	4
Der Föderalist	Baseline	3 Jun 2024	720	37	136	57	81	172	79	66	50	42
	Dynamic		720	40	137	58	85	186	80	78	56	–
Euronews		23 May 2024	720	43	135	54	82	181	80	83	62	–
2019 election	After Brexit	1 Feb 2020	705	40	148	67	97	187	62	76	28	–
	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	751	41	154	74	108	182	62	73	57	–

Popular vote projections

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
2024 election		9 June 2024	6.7 %	19.2 %	8.8 %	10.4 %	21.2 %	12.3 %	9.0 %	9.0 %	3.4 %
PolitPro		9 June 2024	5.6%	19.3%	5.6%	11.3%	24.2%	10.3%	12.4%	6.0%	5.3%
The Economist		9 June 2024	6.0%	16.0%	6.0%	10.0%	22.0%	10.0%	9.0%	7.0%	14.0%
Europe Elects		31 May 2024	6.4%	19.8%	7.7%	11.2%	21.1%	12.2%	8.5%	8.9%	4.2%
2019 election
	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	6.5%	18.5%	11.7%	13.0%	21.0%	8.2%	10.8%	7.2%	3.1%

Voter turnout

About 357 million people were eligible to vote in 27 countries.

Results

Largest group and distribution of seats within each country.

Groups

Group		Seats	+/–
	European People's Party Group	188	+1
	Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats	136	–12
	European Conservatives and Reformists	84	+22
	Renew Europe	77	–20
	Identity and Democracy	57	–19
	Greens–European Free Alliance	54	–13
	The Left in the European Parliament – GUE/NGL	47	+7
	Non-Inscrits	35	+7
	Others	42	+33
Total		720	+15
Source: Elections official website (as of 3 July, 05:43 GMT+2)

European parties

Party		Seats	+/–
	European People's Party	170	–7
	Party of European Socialists	129	–7
	European Conservatives and Reformists Party	58	+6
	Identity and Democracy Party	56	–20
	Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party	51	–13
	European Green Party	42	–12
	Party of the European Left	29	+1
	European Democratic Party	10	0
	European Free Alliance	6	–1
	Volt Europa	5	+4
	European Christian Political Movement	4	0
	European Communist Action	2	0
	Animal Politics EU	2	–1
	European Pirate Party	1	–3
	Others	155	+38
Total		720	+15
Source: European Parliament Election 2024 Europe Elects (as of 22 June)

By country

Unless otherwise noted, this shows the seat breakdown according to the European Parliament's results page.

State	Political groups																MEPs
	EPP Group		S&D		ECR		Renew		ID		G/EFA		The Left		NI and others
Austria	5 (ÖVP)	-2	5 (SPÖ)	±0			2 (NEOS)	+1	6 (FPÖ)	+3	2 (Grüne)	−1					20
Belgium	2 (CD&V) 1 (CSP)	±0 ±0	2 (Vooruit) 2 (PS)	+1 ±0	3 (N-VA)	±0	3 (MR) 1 (Open VLD) 1 (LE)	+1 −1 ±0	3 (VB)	±0	1 (Groen) 1 (ECOLO)	±0 -1	2 (PTB)	+1			22
Bulgaria	5 (GERB–SDS) 1 (PP-DB: DSB)	-1 ±0	2 (BSP)	-3	1 (ITN)	+1	3 (DPS) 2 (PP-DB: PP)	±0 +2							3 (Revival)	+3	17
Croatia	6 (HDZ)	+2	4 (SDP)	±0	1 (DP)	+1					1 (Možemo!)	+1					12
Cyprus	2 (DISY)	±0	1 (DIKO)	±0	1 (ELAM)	+1							1 (AKEL)	-1	1 (Fidias)	+1	6
Czech Republic	2 (SPOLU: TOP 09) 1 (SPOLU: KDU–ČSL) 2 (STAN)	±0 -1 +1			3 (SPOLU: ODS)	-1			1 (SPD)	-1	1 (Piráti)	-2	1 (Stačilo!: KSČM)	±0	7 (ANO) 2 (Přísaha) 1 (Stačilo!: SD-SN)	+1 +2 +1	21
Denmark	1 (C) 1 (I)	±0 +1	3 (A)	±0	1 (Æ)	+1	2 (V) 1 (B) 1 (M)	-2 -1 +1	1 (O)	±0	3 (F)	+1	1 (Ø)	±0			15
Estonia	2 (Isamaa)	+1	2 (SDE)	±0	1 (EKRE)	±0	1 (RE) 1 (KE)	-1 ±0									7
Finland	4 (Kok.)	+1	2 (SDP)	±0	1 (PS)	-1	2 (Kesk) 1 (SFP)	±0 ±0			2 (VIHR)	-1	3 (Vas.)	+2			15
France	6 (LR)	−2	13 (PS-PP)	+7	4 (R!)	+4	13 (Ensemble)	-10	30 (RN)	+7	5 (LE)	-8	9 (FI)	+3	1 (R!)	+1	81
Germany	23 (CDU) 6 (CSU) 1 (FAMILIE)	±0 ±0 ±0	14 (SPD)	−2			5 (FDP) 3 (FW)	±0 +1			12 (B90/Grüne) 3 (Volt) 1 (ÖDP)	-9 +2 ±0	3 (Linke) 1 (Tierschutz)	−2 ±0	15 (AfD) 6 (BSW) 2 (PARTEI) 1 (PdF)	+4 +6 ±0 +1	96
Greece	7 (ND)	-1	3 (PASOK-KINAL)	+1	2 (EL)	+1							4 (Syriza)	-2	2 (KKE) 1 (NIKI) 1 (PE) 1 (FL)	±0 +1 +1 +1	21
Hungary	7 (TISZA)	+7	2 (DK-MSZP-P)	−3											11 (Fidesz–KDNP) 1 (MHM)	−2 +1	21
Ireland	4 (FG)	-1	1 (Lab)	+1			4 (FF) 1 (II) 1 (McNamara)	+2 +1 +1					2 (SF) 1 (Flanagan)	+1 ±0			14
Italy (Provisional results)	8 (FI) 1 (SVP)	+1 ±0	21 (PD)	+2	24 (FdI)	+18			8 (Lega)	-21	4 (AVS: EV)	+4	8 (M5S) 2 (AVS: SI)	−6 +2			76
Latvia (Provisional results)	2 (JV)	±0	1 (Saskaņa)	-1	2 (NA) 1 (AS)	±0 +1	1 (LA)	±0			1 (P)	+1			1 (LPV)	+1	9
Lithuania	3 (TS–LKD)	±0 +1	2 (LSDP)	±0	1 (LVŽS) 1 (LLRA-KŠS)	-1 ±0	1 (LP) 1 (LS)	+1 ±0			1 (DSVL)	+1			1 (LCP)	+1	11
Luxembourg	2 (CSV)	±0	1 (LSAP)	±0	1 (ADR)	+1	1 (DP)	-1			1 (Gréng)	±0					6
Malta	3 (PN)	+1	3 (PL)	-1													6
Netherlands	3 (CDA) 2 (BBB) 1 (NSC)	−1 +2 +1	4 (GL–PvdA: PvdA)	-2	1 (SGP)	0	4 (VVD) 3 (D66)	±0 +1	6 (PVV)	+6	4 (GL–PvdA: GL) 2 (Volt)	+1 +2	1 (PvdD)	±0			31
Poland	21 (KO) 2 (TD: PSL)	+7 -1	3 (Lewica)	-5	20 (PiS-SP)	-7	1 (TD: PL2050)	+1							6 (Confederation)	+6	53
Portugal	7 (AD)	±0	8 (PS)	-1			2 (IL)	+2	2 (CH)	+2			1 (BE) 1 (CDU)	−1 -1			21
Romania	8 (CNR: PNL) 2 (UDMR)	−2 ±0	11 (CNR: PSD)	+2	6 (AUR Alliance)	+6	3 (ADU)	-6			1 (Ștefănuță)	+1			2 (SOS)	+2	33
Slovakia	1 (KDH)	−1					6 (PS)	+4							5 (Smer) 2 (Republic) 1 (Hlas)	+2 +2 +1	15
Slovenia	4 (SDS) 1 (NSi)	+2 ±0	1 (SD)	-1			2 (Svoboda)	±0			1 (Vesna)	+1					9
Spain	22 (PP)	+9	20 (PSOE)	-1	6 (Vox)	+2	1 (CEUS)	±0			1 (AR: ERC) 1 (AR: BNG) 1 (Sumar: Comuns) 1 (Sumar: Compromís)	-1 +1 ±0 +1	2 (Podemos) 1 (AR: EH Bildu) 1 (Sumar: SMR)	−1 ±0 +1	3 (SALF) 1 (Junts)	+3 –2	61
Sweden	4 (M) 1 (KD)	±0 -1	5 (S)	±0	3 (SD)	±0	2 (C) 1 (L)	±0 ±0			3 (MP)	±0	2 (V)	+1			21
Total																	MEPs
	EPP		S&D		ECR		Renew		ID		G/EFA		The Left		NI and others
	187 (26.0%)	0	136 (18.9%)	−13	84 (11.6%)	+22	77 (10.7%)	–20	57 (7.9%)	–17	54 (7.5%)	−13	47 (6.5%)	+7	77 (11%)	+39	720 (+15)

MEPs who lost their seat

Main article: List of MEPs who lost their seat in the 2024 European Parliament election

Aftermath

Reactions

Before all results were declared, President of France Emmanuel Macron announced the dissolution of the French National Assembly, calling a snap election on 30 June.

Parliament formation

Main article: Tenth European Parliament

After the election, the political groups of the European Parliament reconstitute themselves and recruit new members. The first plenary session of the European Parliament will be held on 16–19 July.

European People's Party

On 18 June 2024, Hungary's Christian Democratic People's Party (KDNP) officially left the European People's Party, in response to the group's decision to admit the Tisza Party (TISZA), also from Hungary, in their ranks. Elected MEPs from the Netherlands' Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB) and New Social Contract (NSC), Czech Republic's Mayors and Independents (STAN), Denmark's Liberal Alliance (LA) and Germany's Family Party also submitted requests to join the EPP Group.

European Conservatives and Reformists

On 19 June 2024, the European Conservatives and Reformists Group announced in an official press release that elected MEPs from Romania's Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), as well as former members of France's Reconquête (including Marion Maréchal), had joined the group. As a result, the ECR became the third-largest faction in the European Parliament, overtaking Renew Europe in the process.

Volt Europa

In June 2024, it was reported that five elected MEPs from Volt Europa, two of whom from the Netherlands and three from Germany, had begun negotiations both with Renew Europe and the Greens/EFA to join their respective ranks on a stable basis. On June 20, the Volt MEPs released a joint press statement recommending to join Greens/EFA, which they perceived as closer to their stance against right-wing populism, while expressing concerns over the presence of parties such as Czech Republic's ANO 2011 and the Netherlands' People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) – which had agreed to join a coalition with the right-wing populist Party for Freedom (PVV) to form the Schoof cabinet – in the ranks of Renew. On June 24, Volt officially announced that 87% of the party's members had voted in favour of joining the Greens/EFA group.

Renew Europe

On 21 June 2024, Czech Republic's ANO 2011 announced their decision to unilaterally withdraw from the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party, as well as Renew Europe, due to "different positions" on the European Green Deal and the EU's migration policy.

On 2 July, Irish MEP Michael McNamara, who had been elected as an independent candidate, officially became a member of Renew.

Patriots for Europe

On 30 June 2024, the Prime Minister of Hungary and leader of the Fidesz party, Viktor Orbán, publicly announced his intention to form a new parliamentary group, named Patriots for Europe, together with Austria's Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) and Czech Republic's ANO 2011; the alliance needed support from parties from at least four other EU countries in order to be recognized as an official group in the European Parliament. As a result, the FPÖ would complete a switch from the Identity and Democracy group; on the other hand, ANO 2011 had left Renew Europe a week before the announcement, while MEPs from Fidesz were part of Non-Inscrits since 2021, when the party had left the European People's Party.

Portugal's Chega officially entered the alliance on 2 July, while Italy's Lega also publicly expressed interest in joining the new group.

The Sovereignists

In June 2024, it was reported that Germany's Alternative for Germany party, which had been expelled from Identity and Democracy before the election, was holding talks with other far-right parties for the creation of a new parliamentary group, tentatively named "The Sovereignists". According to reports, the group could also include Poland's Confederation, Bulgaria's Revival, Spain's Se Acabó La Fiesta, Romania's S.O.S. Romania, Slovakia's Republic Movement, France's Reconquête, Hungary's Our Homeland Movement, Greece's Niki and Czechia's Freedom and Direct Democracy.

Commission formation

Possible majorities	Seats
Total seats	720
Absolute majority (361 or more seats)
EPP Group, S&D, RE	399
EPP Group, S&D, RE, G/EFA	453
EPP Group, S&D, ECR, RE	482
No majority (360 or fewer seats)
EPP Group, S&D	324
EPP Group, ECR, RE	346

To be elected Commission President, a candidate must be nominated by the European Council by at least 55% of the states representing at least 65% of the population and receive votes from 361 of the 720 members of the European Parliament. The results of the election confirm a majority to the outgoing parties of the von der Leyen Commission, and the same coalition could again elect Ursula von der Leyen.

On June 17, an "informal meeting" of the European Council was held, where the heads of state and government discussed the next institutional cycle and their candidate for the Commission presidency. On June 25, negotiators from the EPP (Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Donald Tusk), PES (Pedro Sánchez and Olaf Scholz) and Renew Europe (Emmanuel Macron and Mark Rutte) reached a preliminary agreement on the nominations. On June 27, during the European Council meeting, national leaders proposed Ursula von der Leyen (EPP) as candidate for President of the European Commission, considered Kaja Kallas (ALDE) to be the appropriate candidate for High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and elected António Costa (PES) as President of the European Council.

Controversies

Conflict with Portuguese national holiday

See also: 2024 European Parliament election in Portugal § Date

The dates chosen for the elections conflicted with a long weekend in Portugal, where Portugal Day, a national holiday, was celebrated on 10 June, which was expected to suppress turnout. Despite an attempt by Portuguese leaders to find a compromise, no change was made to the default date of 6–9 June, which required unanimity to be changed.

Qatargate

Main article: Qatar corruption scandal at the European Parliament

The Qatargate corruption scandal, which began in December 2022, had destabilized the European Parliament following the arrest of several MEPs including Marc Tarabella; Andrea Cozzolino and Eva Kaili who was stripped of her vice presidency. Other suspects in the case include Francesco Giorgi, the parliamentary assistant of MEP Andrea Cozzolino, Pier Antonio Panzeri, founder of the Fight Impunity NGO; Niccolo Figa-Talamanca, head of the No Peace Without Justice NGO; and Luca Visentini, head of the International Trade Union Confederation.

Following the scandal, the European Parliament revised its rules of procedure and its code of conduct in September 2023 placing six main obligations on MEPs:

• Detailed declaration of private interests, including those from the 3 years prior to their election
• When external income exceeds €5,000, all the entities from which their income is received must be listed
• All conflicts of interest must be resolved or declared
• Not engaging in paid lobbying activities linked directly to the EU’s decision-making process
• Meetings with interested parties can only be with people who sign up to the EU's Transparency Register and MEPs must make a disclosure of such meetings and also of meetings held with representatives of third country diplomats
• Make a declaration of all assets and liabilities at the beginning, and again at the end, of every term of office

Hungary

See also: History of Hungary § Orbán governments: 2010–

The European Parliament views Hungary as a "hybrid regime of electoral autocracy" since 2022 and considers Hungary according to Article 7.1 of the Treaty on European Union in clear risk of a serious breach of the Treaty on European Union. In January 2024, a majority of European Parliament MEPs voted for a resolution demanding that the EU Council considers that Hungary be stripped of its EU voting rights under Article 7 of the Treaty.

Russian influence scandal

Main article: Russian interference in European politics

On 27 March, the Czech Republic sanctioned the news site Voice of Europe, claiming that the site is part of a network for pro-Russian influence. The following day, Belgian Prime Minister De Croo, referring to the sanctions during a debate in the Belgian parliament, said that Russia had targeted MEPs, but also paid them. On 2 April, the Czech news portal Denik N reported, citing several ministers, that there are audio recordings of the German far-right politician Petr Bystron (MP, AfD) that incriminate him of having accepted money. On 12 April, it became known that the Belgian public prosecutor's office is investigating whether European politicians were paid to spread Russian propaganda. In addition to Bystron, the investigation is also targeting Dutch MEP Marcel de Graaff (FvD) and German MEP Maximilian Krah (AfD). Ukrainian politician and businessman Viktor Medvedchuk, who is close to Russian President Vladimir Putin, is believed to be the man behind Voice of Europe.

See also

• List of MEPs who stood down at the 2024 European Parliament election
• 2024 elections in the European Union

Concurrent elections

• Belgium: general elections (parliamentary and regional elections)
• Bulgaria: parliamentary elections
• Cyprus: local elections
• Germany: local elections, 2024 Hamburg borough elections
• Hungary: local elections
• Ireland: local elections
• Italy: local elections, 2024 Piedmontese regional election
• Malta: local elections
• Romania: local elections
• Slovenia: three referendums with four questions
• Sweden: local referendum

Further reading

• Manuel Müller, Two years to go: What to expect from the 2024 European Parliament elections, Jacques Delors Centre, 30 May 2022.

External links

• Official website