***2024-25 CFB Playoff/Bowl (Dec. 17-Jan. 20) Games Thread***

Gonzo

Well-Known Member
Mar 10, 2009
25,252
28,631
113
Behind you
The NCAA tournament has a much larger data pool to work from (particularly cross-conference), and isn't so heavily impacted by preseason rankings the way its abundantly evident college football is.

Its honestly a farce how bad the polling (and from it, the committee rankings that seem to weigh those heavily) is.
So you think Boise St. deserves a bye over Texas?
 

alarson

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Mar 15, 2006
57,623
70,366
113
Ankeny
So you think Boise St. deserves a bye over Texas?

Not particularly.

Boise State is itself a part of the polling problem where certain G5s often get bumped way too high.

Boise shouldn't even be one of the top 4 conference champions. That's where the problem lies, not with having the bye in the first place.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Die4Cy

Gonzo

Well-Known Member
Mar 10, 2009
25,252
28,631
113
Behind you
I could support a change that the top 4 rated teams receive the byes. But I think a conference championship needs to have value. So I think the CCG winners that do not make the top 4 are rewarded with hosting a campus game, so they would be slotted possibly different than committee ranking.

It is likely at least two of the top 4 might be P4 conference winners anyway. So there is room to award a hosted game to the other P4 conference winners. And I guess maybe the G5. So this year, ASU and BSU would not get a bye, but guaranteed a home game in round. 1.
Yeah give conference champions who aren't ranked high enough for a bye home field in the first round. That makes sense. What doesn't make sense is giving ASU or Boise St. a bye over Texas. That's just dumb. Texas had a way better season and was much more deserving.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Fizer

Gonzo

Well-Known Member
Mar 10, 2009
25,252
28,631
113
Behind you
Not particularly.

Boise State is itself a part of the polling problem where certain G5s often get bumped way too high.

Boise shouldn't even be one of the top 4 conference champions. That's where the problem lies, not with having the bye in the first place.
Yeah but that's sidestepping the point. In a 12-team tourney there'll be 4 byes. Those should go to the highest ranked teams in the field.
 

alarson

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Mar 15, 2006
57,623
70,366
113
Ankeny
Yeah but that's sidestepping the point. In a 12-team tourney there'll be 4 byes. Those should go to the highest ranked teams in the field.

The rankings are pretty much utter trash set up to try to maximize ratings. Week in and week out we see that.

The only thing we really know is who won the power conferences (of which boise state is not)
 

ESciGuy

Well-Known Member
Mar 16, 2010
484
641
93
Joliet, IL
Conference champions don't automatically receive higher seeds in the NCAA MBB tourney. They get an automatic bid, but then are seeded accordingly. A Mountain West conference champion doesn't automatically get a higher seed than a 3rd place team from the Big 12 or ACC just because they won their conference. Why should it be different in football? Do you honestly think Boise St. had a better season than Texas?
It's not quite the same. In BB, every team gets to play in their conference tournament, so you can get auto qualifiers that aren't very good. In FB, now that conferences have eschewed divisions, the top two teams play for the championship. I'd argue these are more deserving of a bye.

Also, the BB tournament committee use defined criteria for seeding. It's not perfect, but it's a lot better than the CFP committee, who make criteria up to suit their desires.
 

12191987

Well-Known Member
Aug 20, 2012
1,093
1,216
113
This is why they need to change the byes and base them on rankings. Clemson v. ASU and
Boise St. v. SMU would've been much better 1st round games IMO.
But those aren’t the games that would be played under this system.

It’d be:

ND vs Clemson
OSU vs ASU
Tenn. vs SMU
IU vs Boise State

if the argument is playing at home (or on neutral fields) would have made IU and Tennessee competitive it seems like all the more reason to keep the byes as-is.

The byes are really the only mitigation for conference/school bias.
 

CascadeClone

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2009
10,265
12,906
113
Having a home game is a HUGE advantage. The 9 thru 12 seeds are going to win about twice a decade.

Having a week off is also a HUGE advantage, though not nearly as much. Id guess it will be 3/4 of the top 4 than win annually.

This isnt going to be march madness. Theres no cinderella here. There ia a big gap between the top team or 3 and the rest, so there was never a need to go past 4 teams. The other games are just about money.
 

JEFF420

Not on weed
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Dec 6, 2014
1,064
1,474
113
35
Having a home game is a HUGE advantage. The 9 thru 12 seeds are going to win about twice a decade.

Having a week off is also a HUGE advantage, though not nearly as much. Id guess it will be 3/4 of the top 4 than win annually.

This isnt going to be march madness. Theres no cinderella here. There ia a big gap between the top team or 3 and the rest, so there was never a need to go past 4 teams. The other games are just about money.


meh, we have 1 year of data
 
  • Like
Reactions: SolterraCyclone

Clonehomer

Well-Known Member
Apr 11, 2006
24,310
21,239
113
I could support a change that the top 4 rated teams receive the byes. But I think a conference championship needs to have value. So I think the CCG winners that do not make the top 4 are rewarded with hosting a campus game, so they would be slotted possibly different than committee ranking.

It is likely at least two of the top 4 might be P4 conference winners anyway. So there is room to award a hosted game to the other P4 conference winners. And I guess maybe the G5. So this year, ASU and BSU would not get a bye, but guaranteed a home game in round. 1.

Since they want to expand it anyways, just make it 16 and the conference champions get a top 8 seed and get to host a game. Cause I’ve heard all week from podcasters from the South that cold weather is not football weather. To me, that’s just a result of playing these important bowl games in the South for too long. Let’s give everyone a chance to experience what football is in the Northern half of the country.

And while we’re at it, let’s get some of the later round games up North. Even if they’re in indoor stadiums, let’s take the sport back and get some games in Indianapolis or Minneapolis to allow other fanbases a chance to have close games.
 

Pope

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Feb 7, 2015
9,199
20,739
113
No, they started this weekend. Playoffs are playoffs. They're all good teams and it's win or go home no matter what round it is. It's fun. They should expand to 16 and have all games on higher seeded home fields until the championship.

I think it's okay to have the 1st round games played on the higher seeded team's home field, but if you want to determine a true champion all subsequent games should be played on neutral fields.

There's such a thing as a home field advantage, and then there's an unfair advantage. There were times yesterday when the SMU QB literally could not hear the play call in his helmet speaker so he had no choice but to use up a time out.
 

StLouisClone

Well-Known Member
Apr 16, 2006
7,810
538
113
St. Louis
This is why they need to change the byes and base them on rankings. Clemson v. ASU and
Boise St. v. SMU would've been much better 1st round games IMO.
No way. What's clear to me is that Tennessee, Indiana and SMU were ranked too high and BYU should have been somewhere in the mix. So we need guardrails (automatic bids and automatic byes) to help overcome the bias toward the SEC and B10. Next year the committee also needs to put more weight on quality wins and head to head. It never made any sense that SMU was always ranked ahead of BYU when they had the same number of losses.

If you (and the talking heads) had your way, Indiana (#8) would have hosted a playoff game against Boise State (#9). How in the heck would that be fair? Boise State has better wins, a better loss and a conference championship. If this isn't B10 bias on full display, I don't know what it is.

 
  • Like
Reactions: AlaCyclone

NoCreativity

Well-Known Member
Nov 12, 2015
11,260
9,974
113
Des Moines
Well, weekend 1 of this experiment was a total disaster. I wonder how many people turned these games off at halftime and watched the NFL or Carry On?
 

madguy30

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2011
53,899
51,107
113
Totally won't happen since we're in the abyss but college football is not going to get better in its current format and I'm sure there's a lot of logistics and 'But what if?'s or whatever, but:

8 Conferences.

10 teams each. Don't care if the SEC wants to keep 'divisions' and have two 10 team conferences. Whatever.

Everyone plays one another.

CCG is two top teams, is treated like a 1st round playoff, just like the pros, winner goes on, loser goes to a bowl. That's cutthroat for an undefeated team, but too bad.

Keep the committee out of it outside of using an actual formula that seeds the teams.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KidSilverhair

AlaCyclone

Well-Known Member
Jun 14, 2007
4,940
5,691
113
Since they want to expand it anyways, just make it 16 and the conference champions get a top 8 seed and get to host a game. Cause I’ve heard all week from podcasters from the South that cold weather is not football weather. To me, that’s just a result of playing these important bowl games in the South for too long. Let’s give everyone a chance to experience what football is in the Northern half of the country.

And while we’re at it, let’s get some of the later round games up North. Even if they’re in indoor stadiums, let’s take the sport back and get some games in Indianapolis or Minneapolis to allow other fanbases a chance to have close games.
d'accord!

A couple of things.

Notre Dame, Penn State and Ohio State all won because they are better teams than Indiana, SMU and Tennessee. Better teams that play at home usually win. Weather had NOTHING to do with it. Yes, it was cold, but it was cold for all 6 teams just like games in September can be really out for both teams that play in extreme heat early in the year.

The myth that northern December cold, etc. is "Football Weather" is just that, a myth. The majority of games played by northern teams are not in this kind of weather. One, maybe two games a year in November are played in wintry weather and it usually is not as cold as it is in December. As was pointed out in all three games, ND, PSU and OSU all hosted their FIRST December home games EVER this weekend. So, by the myth of northern football weather - those three teams have never played a home game in true December football weather - not even against each other.

It's actually funny when fans (not you:) of northern teams try to make a point that their teams cannot play as well in good weather (excuses for losing Bowl Games) as in cold weather - when the vast majority of the season is played in nice decent weather in September and October (best month for CFB across the country!). Even in November, it gets cooler, and it can get downright cold and nasty (K-State @ ISU this year), but it is an exception to the majority of the season.

Once again, weather was not the reason ND, PSU and OSU won yesterday. Beaing BETTER and playing at HOME were the reasons. ND would have won @ Indiana, Penn State would have won @ SMU and Ohio State would have won @ Tennessee yesterday. They were all three just better than their opponents. Maybe an Upset happens due to being on the road, but I doubt it.

However, I do like the point of giving everyone a chance to experience what football is in the northern half of the country. That is a good thing. This is especially true when it comes to travel. It has not been fair that northern teams always have to travel far for their Bowl Games. I am all for northern Bowl Games indoors or outside. FWIW, that is one of the reasons so many Tennessee fans travelled to Columbus, because Columbus is closer to Knoxville than New Orleans, Miami, Pasadena, etc.

On the lighter side, I've always thought the B1G should start a Bowl Game @ Solider Field (outdoors) or Ford Field (indoors) on NYD to send their Champion to play to set the narrative, but they LOVE Pasadena on NYD. Cannot figure out why? So, blame the B1G!
 
Last edited:

chadly82

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 10, 2009
5,536
4,291
113
Tennessee beat Bama and the Vols barely had a pulse last night in Columbus 2 weeks after losing to 7-5 Michigan. I can see why Bama thinks they should have been in the CFP.
 

KidSilverhair

Well-Known Member
Dec 18, 2010
9,354
18,071
113
Rapids of the Cedar
www.kegofglory.blogspot.com
Can’t wait for the first time in the playoff when a 2-loss 11 seed manages to upset an undefeated SEC team and everybody starts screaming about “unfair!” and “a decent system wouldn’t have allowed this outcome!” and “we must protect the better teams!”

Cause it’s gonna happen. Maybe not for a really long time, but it will happen. Sports are funny that way.
 

cyatheart

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Nov 18, 2008
8,767
6,020
113
48
It’s athletics, blowouts happen, just part of sports.