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2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout76.33% (of registered voters) [1] Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 4 1
Popular vote 556,846 374,583
Percentage 58.22% 39.17%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.[3]

Located in the conservative Great Plains, Nebraska is one of the most reliably Republican states in the country, having backed the Democratic presidential nominee only once since 1936, during Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide, and having gone to the Republican nominee by a double-digit margin in every presidential election since. However, Nebraska is one of two states, the other being Maine, to allocate its electoral votes by congressional district. A candidate receives one electoral vote for each district won while the statewide winner receives an additional two electoral votes. Ever since Nebraska first adopted this system in 1992, in practice the Republican nominee has almost always won all three districts, and hence all the state's electoral votes. The first time it split its electoral votes came in 2008 when Barack Obama carried Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Omaha, and thus received one electoral vote from the state despite losing statewide. The 2nd district returned to the Republican column in the following two elections, but in 2020 it was considered a key battleground.

Trump carried Nebraska statewide by 19 points on Election Day, down from 25 points in 2016. Biden was able to flip the 2nd district, carrying it by 6.6 points, the best Democratic performance since Nebraska first adopted its system of allocation by district, and the first time in this period that the district has voted more Democratic than the nation. Trump received the state's other four electoral votes. Before the election, all news organizations declared Nebraska a safe red state, while most organizations viewed the 2nd district as either leaning towards Biden or a tossup. This was the first election in which both Nebraska and Maine split their electoral votes.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were held on May 12, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]

Donald Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary,[4] and thus received all of Nebraska's 36 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

2020 Nebraska Republican Primary
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 243,721 91.4 36
Bill Weld 22,934 8.6 0
Total 266,655 100% 36

Democratic primary

[edit]

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.[4]

2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Joe Biden 126,444 76.83 29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 23,214 14.10
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 10,401 6.32
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,523 2.75
Total 164,582 100% 29

Libertarian primary

[edit]
2020 Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary

← 2016 May 12, 2020 2024 →
← NY
NM →
 
Candidate Jo Jorgensen Jacob Hornberger Adam Kokesh
Home state South Carolina Virginia Indiana
Popular vote 508 444 263
Percentage 27.8% 24.3% 14.4%

 
Candidate Lincoln Chafee
(withdrawn)
Max Abramson
(withdrawn)
Dan Behrman
Home state Wyoming New Hampshire Nevada
Popular vote 254 182 177
Percentage 13.9% 10.0% 9.7%

Election results by county
  Jo Jorgensen
  Jacob Hornberger
  Adam Kokesh
  Lincoln Chafee
  Max Abramson
  Dan Behrman
  Tie
  No votes

Jo Jorgensen was declared the winner of the Libertarian primary and went on to win the LP nomination.[8]

Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary, May 12, 2020[9]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jo Jorgensen 508 27.8%
Jacob Hornberger 444 24.3%
Adam Kokesh 263 14.4%
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn) 254 13.9%
Max Abramson (withdrawn) 182 10.0%
Dan Behrman 177 9.7%
Total 1,828 100%

General election

[edit]

Final predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking (statewide) Ranking (1st) Ranking (2nd) Ranking (3rd)
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R
Inside Elections[11] Solid R Solid R Tilt D (flip) Solid R
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R Safe R Lean D (flip) Safe R
Politico[13] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R
RCP[14] Solid R Solid R Tossup Solid R
Niskanen[15] Safe R Safe R Tossup Safe R
CNN[16] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R
The Economist[17] Safe R Not given Not given Not given
CBS News[18] Likely R Likely R Lean D (flip) Likely R
270towin[19] Safe R Safe R Lean D (flip) Safe R
ABC News[20] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R
NPR[21] Likely R Lean R Lean D (flip) Likely R
NBC News[22] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R
538[23] Solid R Solid R Lean D (flip) Solid R

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[24] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 42.5% 52.1% 5.4% Trump +9.7

Statewide

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,742 (LV) ± 3.5% 56%[c] 43%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Oct 1–28, 2020 2,423 (LV) 53% 46%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Sep 1–30, 2020 799 (LV) 57% 41% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Aug 1–31, 2020 560 (LV) 53% 47% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Jul 1–31, 2020 910 (LV) 54% 44% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Jun 8–30, 2020 267 (LV) 56% 42% 2%

in Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz[26][A] Jul 16–22, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46%

in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
University of Nevada[27] Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020 191 (LV) ± 7% 44% 50% 5%
Change Research[28] Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 920 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 2% 0%[d] 0%
Emerson College[29] Oct 29–30, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 48%[e] 50% 2%[f]
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[30][B] Oct 1–4, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 42% 53% 5%[g]
Siena College/NYT[31] Sep 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 41% 48% 4% 1%[h] 6%[i]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[32][C] Sep 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 50% 1%[j] 3%[i]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[32][C] Jul 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) 45% 51% 2%[k] 3%[i]
GQR/Kara Eastman[33][D] Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 44% 51%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick[34][E] May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 41% 52%

Electoral slates

[edit]

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[35]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Darlene Starman (At-large)
Steve Nelson (At-large)
George Olmer (District 1)
Mark Quandahl (District 2)
Teresa Ibach (District 3)
Roger Wess (At-large)
Peg Lippert (At-large)
Larry Wright (District 1)
Precious McKesson (District 2)
Kathy Moore Jensen (District 3)
Ben Backus (At-large)
Laura Ebke (At-large)
Trevor Reilly (District 1)
Margaret Austgen (District 2)
Patrick Birkel (District 3)

Results

[edit]

As expected, Trump easily carried the state at large. However, because Nebraska (along with Maine) allocates its remaining electoral votes by congressional district, Joe Biden was able to win an electoral vote from Nebraska's second district, which covers the increasingly liberal Omaha metro area. Barack Obama also won the same district in 2008 before it went back to the Republican column in 2012 and 2016.

2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
556,846 58.22% −0.53%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
374,583 39.17% +5.47%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
20,283 2.12% −2.49%
Write-in 4,671 0.49% −1.41%
Total votes 956,383 100.00%
Republican win

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 10,085 68.83% 4,213 28.75% 355 2.42% 5,872 40.08% 14,653
Antelope 3,093 86.23% 452 12.60% 42 1.17% 2,641 73.63% 3,587
Arthur 260 91.23% 21 7.37% 4 1.40% 239 83.86% 285
Banner 362 88.08% 43 10.46% 6 1.46% 319 77.62% 411
Blaine 280 88.33% 35 11.04% 2 0.63% 245 77.29% 317
Boone 2,653 82.24% 499 15.47% 74 2.29% 2,154 66.77% 3,226
Box Butte 4,002 76.96% 1,051 20.21% 147 2.83% 2,951 56.75% 5,200
Boyd 1,010 87.45% 135 11.69% 10 0.86% 875 75.76% 1,155
Brown 1,470 87.29% 191 11.34% 23 1.37% 1,279 75.95% 1,684
Buffalo 16,640 70.18% 6,350 26.78% 721 3.04% 10,290 43.40% 23,711
Burt 2,580 69.00% 1,063 28.43% 96 2.57% 1,517 40.57% 3,739
Butler 3,542 78.40% 873 19.32% 103 2.28% 2,669 59.08% 4,518
Cass 10,121 66.04% 4,737 30.91% 468 3.05% 5,384 35.13% 15,326
Cedar 4,174 83.23% 725 14.46% 116 2.31% 3,449 68.77% 5,015
Chase 1,740 87.00% 226 11.30% 34 1.70% 1,514 75.70% 2,000
Cherry 2,844 87.00% 373 11.41% 52 1.59% 2,471 75.59% 3,269
Cheyenne 3,813 79.84% 855 17.90% 108 2.26% 2,958 61.94% 4,776
Clay 2,848 79.78% 632 17.70% 90 2.52% 2,216 62.08% 3,570
Colfax 2,636 70.75% 1,025 27.51% 65 1.74% 1,611 43.24% 3,726
Cuming 3,507 78.65% 870 19.51% 82 1.84% 2,637 59.14% 4,459
Custer 5,090 84.69% 786 13.08% 134 2.23% 4,304 71.61% 6,010
Dakota 3,926 57.59% 2,744 40.25% 147 2.16% 1,182 17.34% 6,817
Dawes 2,931 70.61% 1,082 26.07% 138 3.32% 1,849 44.54% 4,151
Dawson 6,524 70.98% 2,497 27.17% 170 1.85% 4,027 43.81% 9,191
Deuel 871 84.24% 141 13.64% 22 2.12% 730 70.60% 1,034
Dixon 2,335 75.47% 651 21.04% 108 3.49% 1,684 54.43% 3,094
Dodge 10,984 64.85% 5,544 32.73% 410 2.42% 5,440 32.12% 16,938
Douglas 119,159 43.09% 150,350 54.37% 7,031 2.54% -31,191 -11.28% 276,540
Dundy 883 88.04% 105 10.47% 15 1.49% 778 77.57% 1,003
Fillmore 2,359 74.94% 693 22.01% 96 3.05% 1,666 52.93% 3,148
Franklin 1,437 83.16% 276 15.97% 15 0.87% 1,161 67.19% 1,728
Frontier 1,229 84.99% 189 13.07% 28 1.94% 1,040 71.92% 1,446
Furnas 2,163 83.13% 399 15.33% 40 1.54% 1,764 67.80% 2,602
Gage 7,445 66.96% 3,385 30.44% 289 2.60% 4,060 36.52% 11,119
Garden 1,016 84.67% 161 13.42% 23 1.91% 855 71.25% 1,200
Garfield 933 86.71% 133 12.36% 10 0.93% 800 74.35% 1,076
Gosper 893 79.66% 215 19.18% 13 1.16% 678 60.48% 1,121
Grant 375 93.28% 20 4.98% 7 1.74% 355 88.30% 402
Greeley 1,016 80.70% 229 18.19% 14 1.11% 787 62.51% 1,259
Hall 16,189 66.21% 7,681 31.42% 580 2.37% 8,508 34.79% 24,450
Hamilton 4,309 77.42% 1,118 20.09% 139 2.49% 3,191 57.33% 5,566
Harlan 1,615 83.51% 282 14.58% 37 1.91% 1,333 68.93% 1,934
Hayes 494 92.16% 34 6.34% 8 1.50% 460 85.82% 536
Hitchcock 1,264 85.99% 185 11.90% 31 2.11% 1,089 74.09% 1,470
Holt 4,769 85.93% 686 12.36% 95 1.71% 4,083 73.57% 5,550
Hooker 376 85.07% 59 13.35% 7 1.58% 317 71.72% 442
Howard 2,786 79.35% 648 18.46% 77 2.19% 2,138 60.89% 3,511
Jefferson 2,616 70.13% 1,016 27.24% 98 2.63% 1,600 42.89% 3,730
Johnson 1,518 67.98% 647 28.97% 68 3.05% 871 39.01% 2,233
Kearney 2,822 78.02% 701 19.38% 94 2.60% 2,121 58.64% 3,617
Keith 3,544 81.12% 763 17.46% 62 1.42% 2,781 63.66% 4,369
Keya Paha 476 89.81% 49 9.25% 5 0.94% 427 80.56% 530
Kimball 1,563 83.27% 268 14.28% 46 2.45% 1,295 68.99% 1,877
Knox 3,721 79.04% 905 19.22% 82 1.74% 2,816 59.82% 4,708
Lancaster 70,092 44.58% 82,293 52.34% 4,830 3.08% -12,201 -7.76% 157,215
Lincoln 13,071 76.16% 3,692 21.51% 400 2.33% 9,379 54.65% 17,163
Logan 407 90.44% 38 8.44% 5 1.12% 369 82.00% 450
Loup 370 81.50% 75 16.52% 9 1.98% 295 64.98% 454
Madison 11,940 75.48% 3,478 21.99% 401 2.53% 8,462 53.49% 15,819
McPherson 275 91.06% 17 5.63% 10 3.31% 258 85.43% 302
Merrick 3,419 79.85% 743 17.35% 120 2.80% 2,676 62.50% 4,282
Morrill 2,113 82.60% 386 15.09% 59 2.31% 1,727 67.51% 2,558
Nance 1,437 78.44% 359 19.60% 36 1.96% 1,078 58.84% 1,832
Nemaha 2,428 70.75% 921 26.84% 83 2.41% 1,507 43.91% 3,432
Nuckolls 1,857 80.56% 409 17.74% 39 1.70% 1,448 62.82% 2,305
Otoe 5,649 67.61% 2,490 29.80% 216 2.59% 3,159 37.81% 8,355
Pawnee 1,071 74.95% 322 22.53% 36 2.52% 749 52.42% 1,429
Perkins 1,321 85.50% 199 12.88% 25 1.62% 1,122 72.62% 1,545
Phelps 4,157 82.79% 752 14.98% 112 2.23% 3,405 67.81% 5,021
Pierce 3,462 86.29% 480 11.96% 70 1.75% 2,982 74.33% 4,012
Platte 12,186 77.51% 3,260 20.74% 275 1.75% 8,926 56.77% 15,721
Polk 2,291 79.36% 530 18.36% 66 2.28% 1,761 61.00% 2,887
Red Willow 4,525 82.72% 811 14.83% 134 2.45% 3,714 67.89% 5,470
Richardson 3,073 74.33% 996 24.09% 65 1.58% 2,077 50.24% 4,134
Rock 744 88.36% 84 9.98% 14 1.66% 660 78.38% 842
Saline 3,631 62.82% 1,986 34.36% 163 2.82% 1,645 28.46% 5,780
Sarpy 51,979 54.04% 41,206 42.84% 3,008 3.12% 10,773 11.20% 96,193
Saunders 9,108 71.23% 3,331 26.05% 347 2.72% 5,777 45.18% 12,786
Scotts Bluff 10,952 70.55% 4,196 27.03% 376 2.42% 6,756 43.52% 15,524
Seward 6,490 70.55% 2,438 26.50% 271 2.95% 4,052 44.05% 9,199
Sheridan 2,292 85.39% 340 12.67% 52 1.94% 1,952 72.72% 2,684
Sherman 1,322 77.76% 343 20.18% 35 2.06% 979 57.58% 1,700
Sioux 642 87.82% 72 9.85% 17 2.33% 570 77.97% 731
Stanton 2,561 80.92% 532 16.81% 72 2.27% 2,029 64.11% 3,165
Thayer 2,308 77.22% 624 20.88% 57 1.90% 1,684 56.34% 2,989
Thomas 377 88.29% 45 10.54% 5 1.17% 332 77.75% 427
Thurston 1,180 49.60% 1,122 47.16% 77 3.24% 58 2.44% 2,379
Valley 1,901 81.10% 412 17.58% 31 1.32% 1,489 63.52% 2,344
Washington 8,583 68.85% 3,554 28.51% 330 2.64% 5,029 40.34% 12,467
Wayne 3,055 72.43% 1,022 24.23% 141 3.34% 2,033 48.20% 4,218
Webster 1,511 80.54% 335 17.86% 30 1.60% 1,176 62.68% 1,876
Wheeler 438 87.08% 59 11.73% 6 1.19% 379 75.35% 503
York 5,337 74.53% 1,630 22.76% 194 2.71% 3,707 51.77% 7,161
Totals 556,846 58.22% 374,583 39.17% 24,954 2.61% 182,263 19.05% 956,383

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won 2 of the 3 congressional districts, while Biden won 1 district, which elected a Republican.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 56.0% 41.1% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 45.5% 52.0% Don Bacon
3rd 75.6% 22.4% Adrian Smith

Analysis

[edit]

Biden won only the two most populous counties in the state: Douglas County, home to Omaha, by 11 points, approximately the same margin Lyndon B. Johnson won the county within 1964 and the best result for Democrats since that election, and Lancaster County, home to the state's second-largest city and state capital Lincoln, where the University of Nebraska is located, by just under 8 points, another 56-year high for Democrats. While he didn't win the state's third largest, Sarpy County, a growing suburban county to the south of Omaha, which in all presidential elections from 1968 to 2016 except 2008 had backed the Republican candidate by at least 21 points, he reduced Trump's winning margin to only 11 points and won 43 percent of the vote there, again a 56-year best for Democrats. Biden also received more than 40 percent of the vote in two counties in the northeastern corner of the state: Thurston County, of which Trump only won by a plurality of 49.6% and is home to a Native American majority, and Dakota County, located to the north of the former and is home to a large Hispanic population.[37]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Nebraska came from whites, who constituted 90% of the electorate, and specifically from Protestants with 70%. Post-election, many rural Nebraskans expressed worries about trade and the economy under a Biden presidency,[38] with 59% of voters stating they trusted Trump more to handle international trade.[39] Joe Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's performance in Nebraska, as he did in most other states. Despite his loss, Biden's 374,583 votes are the most received by a Democratic candidate for president statewide in Nebraska, surpassing the previous record set by Franklin D. Roosevelt in the 1932 landslide.

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Don't recall" and Would not vote with 0%
  5. ^ With voters tho lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^ "Undecided, will vote for another candidate or refused to answer" with 5%
  8. ^ would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  9. ^ a b c Includes "Refused"
  10. ^ "Other candidate" with 1%
  11. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Bolz's campaign
  2. ^ The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC which exclusively endorses Democratic candidates
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the DCCC

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Voter Turnout". Nebraska Secretary of State Election Results. November 6, 2020. Retrieved December 1, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ a b "Joe Biden picks up more delegates in Nebraska primary win". CBS News. May 12, 2020.
  5. ^ "Nebraska Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 12, 2020.
  6. ^ "Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers: Primary Election, May 12, 2020" (PDF). Nebraska Board of State Canvassers. June 8, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  7. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  8. ^ Winger, Richard (May 23, 2020). "Jo Jorgensen Wins Libertarian Presidential Nomination on Fourth Vote". Ballot Access Date. Retrieved May 24, 2020.
  9. ^ "Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers - Primary Election May 12, 2020" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State.
  10. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  24. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  25. ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
  26. ^ Strategies 360/Kate Bolz
  27. ^ University of Nevada
  28. ^ Change Research
  29. ^ Emerson College
  30. ^ FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
  31. ^ Siena College/NYT
  32. ^ a b Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC
  33. ^ GQR/Kara Eastman
  34. ^ DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick
  35. ^ "Certificate of Ascertainment" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
  36. ^ "Official Results" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  37. ^ Leip, Dave. "2020 Presidential General Election Results - Nebraska". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  38. ^ Searcey, Dionne (November 8, 2020). "A Nation Votes for Joe Biden, and a Red State Shrugs". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  39. ^ "Nebraska Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

Further reading

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