Estudio de Mercado
Estudio de Mercado
Estudio de Mercado
AÑO DEMANDA
MOVIL
2,014 70,157,550 #N/A
2,015 78,451,159 #N/A Media móv
2,016 90,378,198 #N/A
150,000,000
2,017 102,590,347 #N/A
100,000,000
2,018 117,319,967 91,779,444
Valor
2,019 133,668,492 104,481,633 50,000,000
2,020 99,416,573 108,674,715 -
2,021 113,248,845 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2,022 116,801,677 Punto de datos
2,023 116,542,532
2,024 99,416,573
2,025 #DIV/0!
Media móvil
0,000
0,000 Real
0,000 Pronóstico
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Punto de datos
AÑO DEMANDA #N/A MAD
2,014 70,157,550 70,157,550 -
2,015 78,451,159 74,304,355 4,146,805 Suavización exponen
2,016 90,378,198 82,341,276 8,036,922
150,000,000
Suavización exponen
2,017 102,590,347 92,465,811 10,124,535
150,000,000
100,000,000
2,018 117,319,967 104,892,889 12,427,078
Valor
100,000,000
50,000,000
2,019 133,668,492 119,280,690 14,387,801
Valor
2,020 99,416,573 99,416,573 - 50,000,000
-
2,021 49,708,286 49,708,286 - 1 2 3 4 5 6
2,022 24,854,143 24,854,143 1 2Punto 3de datos
4 5 6
2,023 12,427,072 12,427,072 Punto de datos
2,024 6,213,536 6,213,536
2,025 3,106,768 3,106,768
MAD
avización exponencial
avización exponencial
Real
Pronóstico
Real
Pronóstico
2 3 4 5 6 7
2Punto 3de datos
4 5 6 7
Punto de datos
AÑO DEMANDA PRONOSTICO ERROR
2,014 1 $ 70,157,550 $ 78,000,000 - 7,842,450
2,015 2 $ 78,451,159 $ 86,000,000 - 7,548,841
Chart T
2,016 3 $ 90,378,198 $ 94,000,000 - 3,621,802 $ 180,000,000
2,017 4 $ 102,590,347 $ 102,000,000 590,347 $ 160,000,000
2,018 5 $ 117,319,967 $ 110,000,000 7,319,967 $ 140,000,000
2,019 6 $ 133,668,492 $ 118,000,000 15,668,492 $ 120,000,000
2,020 7 $ 99,416,573 $ 126,000,000 - 26,583,427 $ 100,000,000
2,021 8 $ 134,000,000 - 134,000,000 $ 80,000,000
2,022 9 $ 142,000,000 - 142,000,000 $ 60,000,000
2,023 10 $ 150,000,000 - 150,000,000 $ 40,000,000
2,024 11 $ 158,000,000 - 158,000,000 $ 20,000,000
2,025 12 $ 166,000,000 - 166,000,000 $-
1 2 3 4 5 6
DEMANDA
Chart Title
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
$-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
DEMANDA PRONOSTICO
DEMANDA DE PRODUCTOS
48% 26%
DEMANDA (EN PESOS) A DEM EN UND B
2016 $ 90,378,198 43,381,535 1,430 23,498,331
2017 $ 102,590,347 49,243,366 1,624 26,673,490
2018 $ 117,319,967 56,313,584 1,857 30,503,191
2019 $ 133,668,492 64,160,876 2,115 34,753,808
2020 $ 99,416,573 47,719,955 1,573 25,848,309
2021 $ 134,000,000 64,320,000 2,121 34,840,000
2022 $ 142,000,000 68,160,000 2,247 36,920,000
2023 $ 150,000,000 72,000,000 2,374 39,000,000
2024 $ 158,000,000 75,840,000 2,500 41,080,000
2025 $ 166,000,000 79,680,000 2,627 43,160,000
PRONOSTICO
7% 19%
DEM EN DEMANDA
DEM EN UND C DEM EN UND D
UND TOTAL
1,874 6,326,474 189 17,171,858 533 4,027
2,127 7,181,324 215 19,492,166 605 4,571
2,432 8,212,398 246 22,290,794 692 5,227
2,771 9,356,794 280 25,397,013 788 5,955
2,061 6,959,160 208 18,889,149 586 4,429
2,778 9,380,000 281 25,460,000 790 5,970
2,944 9,940,000 297 26,980,000 838 6,326
3,110 10,500,000 314 28,500,000 885 6,683
3,276 11,060,000 331 30,020,000 932 7,039
3,442 11,620,000 348 31,540,000 979 7,396
CONSUMO PERCAPITA
Demanda 2020
Consumo de tejas de vidrio en Colombia 99,416,572.80
Habitantes en Colombia 50,300,000.00
Habitantes en Valledupar en estrato 3-6 y su 1,123,382.00 7%
consumo anual percapita colombia 1.98
consumo anual percapita Valledupar 44.78
demanda anual 99,416,572.80
tasa de crecimiento 1,96%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0