Partner and Associate Director, Innovation; BCG Henderson Institute Fellow
Washington, DC
By Johann Harnoss, Viacheslav Romanov, Tanya Mondal, and Mounia Mansouri
Leadership in technology and business relies heavily on one factor: access to the world’s top talent.
That’s why countries and companies increasingly compete for the world’s best and brightest. But real-time numbers capturing the pulse of this competition are hard to come by—much of the movement of this highly mobile group remains hidden from official statistics. BCG’s Top Talent Tracker fills this gap by tracking the movement of close to 200 million highly skilled workers in real time, giving actionable feedback to policymakers and senior executives vying for such talent or eager to locate talent hot spots.
BCG’s Top Talent Tracker focuses on two subsets of highly skilled talent: workers with expertise in STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) and AI (artificial intelligence). These two groups are in high demand and are highly mobile. (See “About Our Research.”)
Consider this: Of the close to 200 million highly skilled people who we are able to track, 1.2% move annually for work. In contrast, 1.9% of the 3 million STEM experts and 2.2% of the 1.4 million AI experts move each year. Put another way, for every 100 AI experts, approximately 11 move internationally every five years, and their mobility is about 80% higher than that of other highly skilled workers.
Where they go—which company, which city, which country—matters profoundly and has the potential to shape geopolitical, technological, and economic advantage. Evidence shows that complex innovation and technology challenges are best solved by a blend of cross-functional, cross-national teams of top talent. That’s why countries that are more open to the influx of global talent are also the ones that tend to invent more (as measured by patents) and to grow faster. As countries jockey for leadership in emerging technologies like battery technologies, generative AI, and semiconductors (to name just a few), their ability to attract the best and brightest has a clear impact on their competitiveness. Case in point: A nation that leads in the attraction of talent in a given technology is 17 times more likely to also be the leader in that technology. And, as is well known, highly skilled first- or second-generation immigrants often go on to found or co-lead notable companies, such as BioNTech, OpenAI, Nvidia, or Snowflake.
BCG’s Top Talent Tracker allows us to explore the dynamic nature of this competition for STEM and AI talent. For example, as of Q4 2024, the US remains the undisputed hot spot for top talent worldwide—but countries in the Middle East are catching up fast.
Winning the competition for the world’s best and brightest is a team sport best played by public and private players together. Leaders across all sectors can start by answering a series of questions.
Private-sector leaders should ask:
Public-sector leaders of top talent destination countries and cities should ask:
Public-sector leaders of top talent origin countries should ask:
The global competition for top talent is already in full swing, but the outcome is far from decided. The true winners will be those that set clear objectives and lead the way with innovative approaches, such as talent funds, before others catch on. BCG’s Top Talent Tracker is designed to guide those who are ready to embrace this new era of competition for technological, economic, and geostrategic advantage.
The BCG Top Talent Tracker covers highly skilled talent, defined as those with at least a bachelor’s degree. Our STEM talent cohort comprises those working in research, engineering, IT, and product roles. Our AI parameters deliberately exclude many workers with end-user knowledge of AI and focus instead on those who build, train, and deploy frontier models such as GenAI. With that in mind, we follow AI talent with skills in at least one of the following areas: deep learning, computer vision, PyTorch, Hadoop, reinforcement learning, neural networks, MapReduce, and high-performance computing.
Together with Revelio Labs, we collected a full year of mobility data on close to 200 million highly skilled workers through September 12, 2024, using publicly available data from professional social networks. Our analysis covers more than 200 countries, with a special focus on 29 countries: Australia, Bangladesh, Brazil, Canada, China, Egypt, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, the UK, and the US.
The authors express their gratitude to Christophe Haesler for data analysis.
Partner and Associate Director, Innovation; BCG Henderson Institute Fellow
Washington, DC
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