Jeff Hexter's Reviews > Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World

This book is an overview of Bayes theory, a history of Bayes theory, and many examples of how to use Bayesian Statistics. It does this all while being conscious of the fact that many people are confused by Bayes, misunderstand Bayes, and either undervalue or overvalue the relevancy of Bayes to modern life.

I recently read A Brief History of Intelligence, and Chivers here manages to connect the understanding of Bayesian inference to the brain structures and neurochemical processes that Max Bennett talks about in his history, though I do not know that either author is aware of the other (there is no mention in the index). I mention this as it adds credence to his idea that our consciousness is indeed Bayesian in essential ways.

Also his discussion of the work of Aubrey Clayton who wrote Bernoulli's Fallacy was helpful in clarifying some of Clayton's points.

I highly recommend this book, and the podcast the Tom Chivers does called The Studies Show.