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Histogram of The Trade Slopes

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Marcos Menchaca
This document contains statistical summaries and histograms of trade openness slopes from regressions with and without a world growth control variable. It also contains scatter plots showing the relationship between annual growth rates and years for selected countries. Finally, it depicts the predicted probabilities of voting for different candidates based on party identification from a multinomial logit model.

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33 views6 pages

Histogram of The Trade Slopes

Uploaded by

Marcos Menchaca
This document contains statistical summaries and histograms of trade openness slopes from regressions with and without a world growth control variable. It also contains scatter plots showing the relationship between annual growth rates and years for selected countries. Finally, it depicts the predicted probabilities of voting for different candidates based on party identification from a multinomial logit model.

Copyright:

Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
Download as pdf or txt
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For the distribution of trade openness slopes, I found the following summary statistics when the world growth

control variable is included in the regression mean: 0.01849338 standard deviation: 0.02803650

Histogram of the Trade Slopes

Frequency

0 -0.06

-0.04

-0.02

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

tslopes

histogram of the standard errors of the trade slopes

Frequency

0 0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

standard error

The means of the standard errors is 0.1065918. The standard errors for the trade slopes:
Benin Bolivia Botswana Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador El Salvador Gambia Ghana Guatemala GuineaBissau Guyana 0.025858 0.021131 0.037884 0.013096 0.016222 0.018674 0.032025 0.038352 0.019824 0.012673 0.043771 0.053935

Israel Jamaica Mexico Morocco New Zealand Paraguay Philippines Sri Lanka Tunisia Turkey Venezuela

0.013736 0.029589 0.019294 0.020086 0.013203 0.021823 0.029498 0.010702 0.020116 0.025265 0.024086

Then I rerun the regressions without the world growth variables mean: -0.008351071 standard deviation: 0.02656272

trade openness slopes w/o world growth as a control variable


6 Frequency 0 -0.06 1 2 3 4 5

-0.04

-0.02 ntslopes

0.00

0.02

0.04

Annual growth rate -0.10 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.00 0.05 0.10

Annual growth rate

1980

1980

Costa Rica

Morocco

yr 1985 1990 Annual growth rate -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1980 1990 1980 yr 1985

yr

Annual growth rate 0.00 0.05 0.10

Turkey

Guyana

yr 1985 1990

1985 1990

Part 2: Clinton-Bush-Perott Multinomial Logit


strongly distrust
1.0 1.0

strongly trust

0.8

0.6

prob of vote

0.4

prob of vote 0.2 0.0 -2 -1 0 party ID 1 2 0.0 -2 0.2 0.4

0.6

0.8

-1

0 party ID

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