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    Voting Intention Graphs

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    ChrisDca
    A survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults conducted in December 2014 found: - 48% would support the Progressive Conservatives in a provincial election, compared to 26% for the NDP and 19% for the Liberals. - Support for the PCs was higher in non-Winnipeg regions compared to Winnipeg. - The PCs polled highest among males, older age groups, those with high school education or less, and middle/high income brackets.

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    Voting Intention Graphs

    Uploaded by

    ChrisDca
    248 views6 pages
    A survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults conducted in December 2014 found: - 48% would support the Progressive Conservatives in a provincial election, compared to 26% for the NDP and 19% for the Liberals. - Support for the PCs was higher in non-Winnipeg regions compared to Winnipeg. - The PCs polled highest among males, older age groups, those with high school education or less, and middle/high income brackets.

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    Voting Intention Graphs / Probe Research Inc. poll

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    A survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults conducted in December 2014 found: - 48% would support the Progressive Conservatives in a provincial election, compared to 26% for the NDP and 19% for the Liberals. - Support for the PCs was higher in non-Winnipeg regions compared to Winnipeg. - The PCs polled highest among males, older age groups, those with high school education or less, and middle/high income brackets.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    248 views6 pages

    Voting Intention Graphs

    Uploaded by

    ChrisDca
    A survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults conducted in December 2014 found: - 48% would support the Progressive Conservatives in a provincial election, compared to 26% for the NDP and 19% for the Liberals. - Support for the PCs was higher in non-Winnipeg regions compared to Winnipeg. - The PCs polled highest among males, older age groups, those with high school education or less, and middle/high income brackets.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 6

    Manitoba Voting Preferences December 2014

    Survey Methodology
    This province-wide survey was designed and conducted by Probe Research Inc. via
    telephone interviews conducted between December 1st and 12th, 2014 among a random
    and representative sampling of 1,002 Manitoba adults.
    With a sample of 1,002, one can say with 95 percent certainty that the results are within +/3.1 percentage points of what they would have been if the entire adult population of
    Manitoba had been interviewed. The margin-of-error is higher within each of the surveys
    population sub-groups.
    Modified random-digit dialing was used to ensure that all Manitoba adults would have an
    equal opportunity to participate in this Probe Research survey.
    Minor statistical weighting has been applied to this sample to ensure that the age and
    gender balance corresponds with the province as a whole.
    For more information, please contact:
    Scott MacKay, President
    Probe Research Inc.
    (204) 926-6567 (tel)
    (204) 955-9777 (cell)
    [email protected]

    for what you need to know

    Provincial Party Support


    If a provincial election were held tomorrow, which party's candidate would you be most likely to support?

    NDP

    PC

    Liberal

    Green/Other

    60%

    50%

    46%

    46%

    48%

    45%
    42%

    40%

    43%
    32%

    30%

    30%

    28%

    26%

    23%
    20%
    20%

    10%

    19%

    16%
    8%
    3%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    Sept. 2014 (n=1,009)

    Dec. 2014 (n=1,002)

    3%

    0%
    2011 Election

    Base: Decided Voters

    Mar. 2014 (n=1,010)

    Jun. 2014 (n=1,004)

    Provincial Party Support


    -By Region If a provincial election were held tomorrow, which party's candidate would you be most likely to support?

    2011 Election

    Sept. 2014 (n=602)

    Dec. 2014 (n=600)

    2011 Election

    Sept. 2014 (n=407)

    Dec. 2014 (n=402)

    80%

    80%

    65%

    60%

    40%

    60%

    52%

    35% 35%

    37%

    55%
    53%
    39%

    38%

    40%

    33%
    21%22%

    20%

    10%

    19%
    15%

    18%
    15%

    20%

    11%
    4%

    7% 8%
    3%

    5%
    1%

    0%

    0%
    PCs

    NDP

    Liberals

    - WINNIPEG -

    Base: Decided Voters

    Other

    PCs

    NDP

    Liberals

    - NON-WINNIPEG -

    Other

    Provincial Party Support


    - By Winnipeg Region Northwest (n=126)
    PC: 41%
    NDP: 29%
    Liberal: 26%
    Others: 3%

    Core (n=110):
    NDP: 40%
    Liberal: 25%
    PC: 22%
    Others: 13%

    Northeast (n=107):
    PC: 42%
    NDP: 32%
    Liberal: 22%
    Others: 4%

    Southwest (n=149):
    PC: 42%
    NDP: 31%
    Liberals: 18%
    Others: 9%

    Southeast (n=108):
    PC: 35%
    NDP: 34%
    Liberal: 21%
    Others: 10%

    Party Support Across


    Demographic Sub-Groups
    If a provincial election were held tomorrow, which party's candidate would you be most likely to support?

    Total

    Gender

    Age

    (n=1,002)
    (%)

    Male
    (n=480)
    (%)

    Female
    (n=522)
    (%)

    18-34
    (n=321)
    (%)

    35-54
    (n=361)
    (%)

    55+
    (n=296)
    (%)

    PC

    48

    56

    40

    40

    52

    52

    NDP

    26

    21

    30

    28

    24

    25

    Liberal

    19

    15

    23

    25

    17

    18

    Others

    Education

    Income

    HS or Less
    (n=278)
    (%)

    Some PS
    (n=198)
    (%)

    Univ./College
    (n=507)
    (%)

    <$30K
    (n=104)
    (%)

    $30K-$59K
    (n=216)
    (%)

    $60K-$99K
    (n=305)
    (%)

    $100K+
    (n=216)
    (%)

    PC

    59

    40

    46

    34

    48

    49

    51

    NDP

    20

    26

    28

    21

    29

    26

    24

    Liberal

    18

    25

    18

    31

    18

    18

    20

    Others

    13

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