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    NewfoundlandandLabrador Final 2021

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    QuitoMaggi
    The document summarizes the methodology of a poll conducted between February 9-10, 2021 of 996 eligible voters in Newfoundland & Labrador. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and was conducted through automated telephone interviews of both landlines and cellular phones. The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The document also includes screening and questionnaire questions that were asked as part of the poll to determine voting intentions and preferences.

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    NewfoundlandandLabrador Final 2021

    Uploaded by

    QuitoMaggi
    1K views11 pages
    The document summarizes the methodology of a poll conducted between February 9-10, 2021 of 996 eligible voters in Newfoundland & Labrador. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and was conducted through automated telephone interviews of both landlines and cellular phones. The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The document also includes screening and questionnaire questions that were asked as part of the poll to determine voting intentions and preferences.

    Original Description:

    Final pre-election survey

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    The document summarizes the methodology of a poll conducted between February 9-10, 2021 of 996 eligible voters in Newfoundland & Labrador. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and was conducted through automated telephone interviews of both landlines and cellular phones. The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The document also includes screening and questionnaire questions that were asked as part of the poll to determine voting intentions and preferences.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    1K views11 pages

    NewfoundlandandLabrador Final 2021

    Uploaded by

    QuitoMaggi
    The document summarizes the methodology of a poll conducted between February 9-10, 2021 of 996 eligible voters in Newfoundland & Labrador. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and was conducted through automated telephone interviews of both landlines and cellular phones. The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The document also includes screening and questionnaire questions that were asked as part of the poll to determine voting intentions and preferences.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 11
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    The document outlines the results of a survey conducted in Newfoundland & Labrador between February 9-10, 2021 regarding voting intentions in an upcoming provincial election. It provides details on the methodology, sample size, and questions included in the survey.

    The survey was conducted over two days with 996 respondents via automated telephone interviews. The sample aimed to be representative of the voting population in the province based on age, gender, and region. The margin of error was +/- 3.1%.

    The survey asked about likelihood of voting, method of voting, party support, and leanings for undecided voters.

    Newfoundland &

    Labrador
    Votes 2021

    For Immediate Release:


    February 11 2021
    Methodology

    The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted over two days including February
    9th and 10th 2021. among a sample of 996 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in the Province of
    Newfoundland & Labrador. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart
    IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to
    represent the voting population in Newfoundland & Labrador according to Census 2016.

    The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in
    each subsample.

    The frame consisted of Mainstreet Research’s commercial directory which includes both current
    landlines and past directories ported to cellular lines. It also includes an RDD component. The Directory
    components are 30% cellular lines and 70% landlines. The RDD component was 80% cellular lines and
    20% landlines.

    The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The poll was paid for using the Mainstreet
    Research public polling fund.
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    If the provincial election were held
    today, which party would you vote for?
    How likely are you to vote in the
    upcoming provincial election on
    February 13, 2021?
    And how would you or have you cast
    your ballot?
    Questionnaire

    Screening Question: Are you over 18 years of age and eligible to vote in the Provincial election? Yes, Screen in, No, Screen out

    Q1How likely are you to vote in the upcoming provincial election on February 13, 2021?
    Have Already Voted
    Certain To Vote
    Probably Will Vote
    Somewhat Likely To Vote
    Won’t Vote For media inquiries about this
    Q2And how would you or have you cast your ballot? poll, please email
    By mail [email protected]
    In person during the Advance Vote or call (416)570-3762.
    In person on Election Day
    Not sure

    Q3. If the provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for?
    The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Andrew Furey
    The Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Ches Crosbie
    The New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Alison Coffin
    The Newfoundland and Labrador Alliance led by Graydon Pelley
    Another Party
    Undecided

    Q4. Undecided Only - And which party are you leaning towards?
    The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Andrew Furey
    The Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Ches Crosbie
    The New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador led by Alison Coffin
    The Newfoundland and Labrador Alliance led by Graydon Pelley
    Another Party
    Undecided

    Q5. Repeat Second Choices excluding first choice

    Q6. How likely are you to change your vote from your first choice to your second choice?
    Very Likely
    Somewhat Likely
    Somewhat Unlikely
    Very Unlikely
    Not Sure

    Q7.-Q9. – Age, Gender, Location

    * Response orders are randomized

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