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    Environics - National Observer Swing Riding Poll Report - Oct 6-15

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    Vancouver_Observer
    The document summarizes polling results from three federal ridings in Canada conducted in October 2015 by the National Observer. In Essex riding, the NDP and Conservatives were in a dead heat at 34% and 35% respectively, with the Liberals a distant third. In London West, the Liberals and Conservatives were tied at 33% each, and the NDP was third. In Kenora, the Conservative incumbent Greg Rickford led with 40%, while the opposition vote was split among the NDP, Liberals, and Greens. The polls surveyed over 600 eligible voters in each riding and had margins of error of 3.8% or less.

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    Environics - National Observer Swing Riding Poll Report - Oct 6-15

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    Vancouver_Observer
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    The document summarizes polling results from three federal ridings in Canada conducted in October 2015 by the National Observer. In Essex riding, the NDP and Conservatives were in a dead heat at 34% and 35% respectively, with the Liberals a distant third. In London West, the Liberals and Conservatives were tied at 33% each, and the NDP was third. In Kenora, the Conservative incumbent Greg Rickford led with 40%, while the opposition vote was split among the NDP, Liberals, and Greens. The polls surveyed over 600 eligible voters in each riding and had margins of error of 3.8% or less.

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    Polls in Kenora, Essex and West London for October 2015 election

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    The document summarizes polling results from three federal ridings in Canada conducted in October 2015 by the National Observer. In Essex riding, the NDP and Conservatives were in a dead heat at 34% and 35% respectively, with the Liberals a distant third. In London West, the Liberals and Conservatives were tied at 33% each, and the NDP was third. In Kenora, the Conservative incumbent Greg Rickford led with 40%, while the opposition vote was split among the NDP, Liberals, and Greens. The polls surveyed over 600 eligible voters in each riding and had margins of error of 3.8% or less.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    978 views7 pages

    Environics - National Observer Swing Riding Poll Report - Oct 6-15

    Uploaded by

    Vancouver_Observer
    The document summarizes polling results from three federal ridings in Canada conducted in October 2015 by the National Observer. In Essex riding, the NDP and Conservatives were in a dead heat at 34% and 35% respectively, with the Liberals a distant third. In London West, the Liberals and Conservatives were tied at 33% each, and the NDP was third. In Kenora, the Conservative incumbent Greg Rickford led with 40%, while the opposition vote was split among the NDP, Liberals, and Greens. The polls surveyed over 600 eligible voters in each riding and had margins of error of 3.8% or less.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 7

    Swing Riding Polls

    NATIONAL OBSERVER
    OCTOBER 6, 2015

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    METHODOLOGY
    Environics was commissioned by the National Observer to conduct telephone
    surveys of over 600 eligible voters in each of three federal ridings across
    Canada between October 2 and 5, 2015. The sample sizes and margins of
    error for each individual riding are described on the following page.
    The research was conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR)
    technology and the findings were weighted by age and gender to reflect the
    demographic makeup of the electorate. Listed phone numbers in each riding
    were randomly contacted to take part in the survey. Cell phone numbers are
    not directory listed or linked to street addresses, therefore they cannot be
    assigned to individual ridings for research purposes at this localized level.
    The survey explored vote intention in the upcoming federal election. In each
    riding, the names of nominated local candidates were read.

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    Methodology
    Riding

    Field dates

    Sample size

    Margin of error*

    Essex

    Oct. 2-4

    655

    3.8

    London West

    Oct. 2-4

    1,132

    2.9

    Kenora

    Oct. 2-5

    647

    3.8

    *plus or minus, 19 times out of 20

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    FEDERAL VOTE INTENTION - ESSEX


    The NDP and Conservatives are locked in a dead heat with
    the Liberals a distant third in Essex
    Q5 If the federal election were held today, who would you vote for here in the riding of Essex?
    Q6 Even though you are undecided, is there a candidate you might be leaning towards supporting in your riding?

    All voters

    34%

    Decided voters

    37%

    Election 2011
    results
    NDP/Ramsey

    35%

    38%

    35%
    CPC/Watson

    20%3% 8%

    22% 4%

    48%

    Liberal/Festeryga

    Green/Alderson

    14% 2%
    Undecided/dk/na

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    FEDERAL VOTE INTENTION: LONDON WEST


    The Liberals and Conservatives are locked in a dead heat
    with the NDP a distant third in London West
    Q5 If the federal election were held today, who would you vote for here in the riding of Essex?
    Q6 Even though you are undecided, is there a candidate you might be leaning towards supporting in your riding?

    All voters

    Decided voters

    Election 2011
    results
    NDP/Rowlinson

    19%

    20%

    37% 5%

    38%

    25%
    CPC/Holder

    33% 5% 8%

    34%

    45%
    Liberal/Young

    Green/Lascaris

    27% 3%
    Undecided/dk/na

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    FEDERAL VOTE INTENTION - KENORA


    Conservative Greg Rickford leads with 40% over a perfectly
    split opposition
    Q5 If the federal election were held today, who would you vote for here in the riding of Essex?
    Q6 Even though you are undecided, is there a candidate you might be leaning towards supporting in your riding?

    All voters

    Decided voters

    Election 2011
    results
    NDP/Hampton

    27%

    36%

    29%

    40%

    28%
    CPC/Rickford

    25% 3%7%

    47%
    Liberal/Nault

    Green/McKillop

    28% 4%

    22% 3%
    Undecided/dk/na

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION OR QUESTIONS CONTACT:


    Jenny Uechi, National Observer
    Email: [email protected]
    Telephone: 604-346-5227

    FOR MEDIA INQUIRIES ONLY REGARDING POLLING


    METHODOLOGY:
    Sarah Roberton
    Email: [email protected]
    Telephone: 613-230-5089 ext. 224

    NATIONAL OBSERVER SWING SEAT POLL: OCTOBER 2015 |

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