Ocean - Carriers Revised 2011

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Cost of New Vessel

Event Year

Calendar
Year

Capital Expenditure

Book Value

Cash Flow

2000

3,900,000

3,900,000

(3,900,000)

2001

3,900,000

7,800,000

(3,900,000)

2002

31,200,000

39,000,000

(31,200,000)

PV (CF) at 9 %

PV (CF) at 6 %

(3,900,000)

(3,900,000)

(3,577,982)

(3,679,245)

(26,260,416)

(27,767,889)

(33,738,398)

(35,347,134)

Cash Flow Recipe


Line Item
Revenues
sub Operating Expenses
sub Depreciation
equals Operating Income (EBIT)
sub Taxes
equals EBIAT
plus Depreciation
sub Capital Expenditure
sub Change in Net Working Capital
plus After-Tax Proceeds from Sale of Equipment
equals Cash Flow

Calculation
Daily Hire Rate * Days Hired
Daily Operating Costs * 365 Days in Year
$39MM / 25 Years + 1/5 CAPX(t-1)

35% or 0 % of EBIT

From Above
Given in Exhibit 1
Initially , NWC = $500,000; grows at inflation rate of 3 %
Sale Price - Tax Rate * (Sale Price - Book Value)

Operating Cash Flows ($ Thousands)


Book Value of Ship
Annual Depreciation
Tax Rate
Expected Inflation Rate
Discount Rate
Life

Age of
Ship

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Event
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

39,000
1,560
35.0%
3.0%
9.0%
25

Year

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027

Daily Hire Daily Oper


Rate
Costs

20,000
20,200
20,400
18,714
17,283
17,481
17,682
17,886
18,092
17,428
17,628
17,931
18,036
18,243
14,762
14,932
15,104
15,278
15,454
14,654
14,823
14,993
15,166
15,341
13,448

4,000
4,160
4,326
4,499
4,679
4,867
5,061
5,264
5,474
5,693
5,921
6,158
6,404
6,660
6,927
7,204
7,492
7,792
8,103
8,427
8,764
9,115
9,480
9,859
10,253

Days
Hired

357
357
357
357
357
353
353
353
353
353
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349

Rev

7,140
7,211
7,283
6,681
6,170
6,171
6,242
6,314
6,386
6,152
6,152
6,258
6,295
6,367
5,152
5,211
5,271
5,332
5,393
5,114
5,173
5,233
5,293
5,354
4,693

Oper
Costs

1,460
1,518
1,579
1,642
1,708
1,776
1,847
1,921
1,998
2,078
2,161
2,248
2,338
2,431
2,528
2,629
2,735
2,844
2,958
3,076
3,199
3,327
3,460
3,598
3,742

Deprec

1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730

Tax

1,442
1,447
1,450
1,218
1,016
971
971
970
969
859
826
833
814
807
348
305
289
272
254
115
85
61
36
9
(273)

EBIAT

2,678
2,686
2,693
2,261
1,886
1,803
1,803
1,802
1,799
1,595
1,535
1,547
1,513
1,499
646
567
537
506
472
213
159
114
67
1
(506)

Deprec

1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730

CAPX

300

350

750

850

After-Tax
Changes
Proceeds
in NWC
from Sale

500
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
19
20
20
21
21
22
23
23
24
25
26
26
27
28
29
30
(1,016)

4,368

Cash
Flow

(500)
4,223
4,231
4,237
3,805
3,129
3,406
3,405
3,404
3,400
2,846
3,145
3,156
3,121
3,107
1,503
2,253
2,223
2,191
2,156
1,047
1,862
1,816
1,768
1,701
6,608

PV
NPV
NPV

PV(CF)

(421)
3,261
2,997
2,754
2,268
1,711
1,709
1,567
1,437
1,317
1,010
1,024
936
855
781
346
476
431
389
351
156
255
228
203
181
643

NWC

500
515
530
546
563
580
597
615
633
652
672
692
713
734
756
779
802
826
851
877
903
930
958
987
1,016
-

26,865
-6873
($6,023.90)

Book
Value

Scrap
Value

3,900
7,800
39,000
37,440
35,880
34,320
32,760
31,500
29,880
28,260
26,640
25,020
23,750
22,120
20,490
18,860
17,230
16,350
14,640
12,930
11,220
9,510
8,650
6,920
5,190
3,460
1,730
-

3,306
3,405
3,507
3,612
3,720
3,832
3,947
4,065
4,187
4,313
4,442
4,576
4,713
4,851
5,000
5,150
5,305
5,464
5,628
5,796
5,970
6,149
6,334
6,524
6,720

3,260.93
2,997.35
2,754.06
2,268.62
1,711.91
1,709.37
1,567.96
1,437.75
1,317.78
1,011.70
1,025.67
944.55
856.89
782.49
347.35
477.70

3260.9308
2997.3471
2754.0635
2268.6164
1711.9118
1709.368
1567.9575
1437.7492

2,066.97
1,871.32
1,691.83
1,527.51
680.52
1,110.03
993.53
887.36
783.37
4368 946.20021
12,558.62

Operating Cash Flows ($ Thousands)


Book Value of Ship
Annual Depreciation
Tax Rate
Expected Inflation Rate
Discount Rate
Life

Age of
Ship

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Event
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Year
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027

39,000
1,560
0.0%
3.0%
9.0%
25

Daily Hire
Rate

20,200
20,200
20,400
18,714
17,283
17,481
17,682
17,886
18,092
17,428
17,628
17,931
18,036
18,243
14,762
14,932
15,104
15,278
15,454
14,654
14,823
14,993
15,166
15,341
13,448

Daily
Oper
Costs

4,000
4,161
4,329
4,503
4,685
4,874
5,070
5,274
5,487
5,708
5,938
6,177
6,426
6,685
6,955
7,235
7,527
7,830
8,145
8,474
8,815
9,170
9,540
9,924
10,234

Days
Hired

357
357
357
357
357
353
353
353
353
353
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349

Rev

7,140
7,211
7,283
6,681
6,170
6,171
6,242
6,314
6,386
6,152
6,152
6,223
6,295
6,367
5,152
5,211
5,271
5,332
5,393
5,114
5,173
5,233
5,293
5,354
4,693

Oper
Costs

1,460
1,519
1,580
1,644
1,710
1,779
1,851
1,925
2,003
2,083
2,167
2,255
2,346
2,440
2,538
2,641
2,747
2,858
2,973
3,093
3,218
3,347
3,482
3,622
3,768

Deprec

1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730

Tax

EBIAT Deprec

4,120
4,132
4,143
3,477
2,900
2,772
2,771
2,769
2,763
2,449
2,355
2,338
2,319
2,297
984
860
814
764
710
311
225
156
81
1
(805)

1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,560
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,630
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,710
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730
1,730

CAPX

300

350

750

850

After-Tax
Changes
Proceeds
in NWC
from Sale

500
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
19
20
20
21
21
22
23
23
24
25
26
26
27
28
29
30
(1,016)

6,720

Cash
Flow

(500)
5,665
5,677
5,687
5,021
4,143
4,375
4,373
4,371
4,364
3,699
3,965
3,947
3,928
3,905
1,841
2,547
2,500
2,449
2,394
1,145
1,928
1,858
1,782
1,701
8,661

PV
NPV

PV(CF)

(421)
4,374
4,022
3,696
2,994
2,266
2,196
2,014
1,846
1,691
1,315
1,293
1,181
1,078
983
425
540
486
437
392
172
266
235
207
181
845

NWC

500
515
530
546
562
579
596
614
632
651
671
691
712
733
755
778
801
825
850
876
902
929
957
986
1,016
-

34,714
976

Book Value
3,900
7,800
39,000
37,440
35,880
34,320
32,760
31,500
29,880
28,260
26,640
25,020
23,750
22,120
20,490
18,860
17,230
16,350
14,640
12,930
11,220
9,510
8,650
6,920
5,190
3,460
1,730
-

Scrap
Value

3,306
3,405
3,507
3,612
3,720
3,832
3,947
4,065
4,187
4,313
4,442
4,576
4,713
4,851
5,000
5,150
5,305
5,464
5,628
5,796
5,970
6,149
6,334
6,524
6,720

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