Aminuddin Baki 2013 M2 (Q)

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 3

SMK AMINUDDIN BAKI

Section A [ 45 marks ] Answer all question in this section.

1.

a.

There are 12 towels, two of which are red. If five towels are chosen at random, find the probability that at least one is red. [4 marks] Two companies X and Y operate call-taxi services in a town. The percentages of residents in the town using the taxi services from companies X and Y are 40 % and 60 % respectively. The probabilities of taxis from companies X and Y being late are 0.02 and 0.01 respectively. A taxi is booked at random. Find the probability that i. ii. the taxi is late and its from company X the taxi is late [2 marks] [3 marks]

b.

2.

Medicine M produced by a researcher can cure a type of eye disease with probability 0.9. If eight people having the same eye disease are treated with medicine M, find the probability that a. exactly 6 people are cured after the treatment [2 marks] b. at most 7 people are cured after the treatment [3 marks]

3.

A discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution. x P(X = x) Given that E(X) = 0 a and Var(X) = 1 b 2 c

, find the values of a, b and c. [6 marks]

4.

Telephone calls arriving at a switch board are answered by a telephone operator. The table below shows the length of time (to the nearest second) needed by the operator to answer the calls received on a certain day. Time (s) 09 10 19 20 29 30 39 40 49 50 59 60 69 Number of calls 18 18 13 11 16 9 8

Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the length of the time needed to answer a call. [ 8 marks ]

5.

The table shown below is the deseasonalised time series (adjusted value ) of the number of successful loans approved by a bank from year 2005 to 2008. Number of loans approval Quarter Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 93.79 98.05 101.25 104.44 2 106.76 104.25 102.59 98.42 3 101.79 103.68 99.91 98.02 4 93.57 102.31 109.79 114.78

Forecast the number of loan approval for the 2nd and 4th quarters of the year 2009. [ 9 marks ]

6.

Group X

Group Y sen per day

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

250

270

The diagram above shows a boxplot for the pocket money received by two groups of students in school. a) Write down the median and semi-interquartile range for each distributions by using the boxplot. b) State two differences between the two distributions. c) State one similarity between the two distributions. [ 8 marks ]

Section B [ 15 marks ] Answer any one question in this section.

7.

A random variable X has a cumulative distribution function

Find a. b. c. d. e.

the value of the constants and , P(1.5 X 2.5), the probability density function, f(x) sketch the graph of y = f(x) the mean and variance of X

[3 marks] [2 marks] [3 marks] [2 marks] [5 marks]

8.

The following table shows the power load (in megawatt) for an electric company every quarter from the years 2002 to 2005. Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 Jan March 104 126 145 166 April June 95 116 137 152 July September 119 141 159 178 October - December 110 132 150 169

a) Draw a graph for this data. [ 3 marks ] b) Calculate a 4-point moving average for the above quarter time series and plot the moving average on your graph. [ 5 marks ] c) Find the seasonal variation index for each quarter of the power load. [ 4 marks ] d) Calculate the adjusted quarterly seasonal variations. [ 3 marks ]

*************** END OF QUESTIONS **********************

You might also like