12 Books in One Hour

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Some of the key takeaways from the discussion include the S-curve of technology investment over time, Christensen's insights around disruptive innovation targeting non-consumers, and that innovation is as much psychological and cultural as technological.

Some concepts discussed include the S-curve of diminishing returns on technology investment over time, the technology adoption life cycle in markets, and sources of innovation in systematically searching for opportunities.

Christensen provides insights that disruptive innovations often start by overshooting customer needs or targeting undesirable/overserved customers known as 'non-consumers', and that new markets are often best entered elsewhere before scaling up to mainstream markets.

Twelve Books in One Hour

For the Busy CEO


Sean Murphy, SKMurphy Inc.
Talk @ SDForum Marketing SIG
Presented December 11, 2006

Bookshelf: Why These Books?


Whos Here? What Are You Up To?
Clayton Christensen

The Innovators Dilemma (Solution)

1997, 2003

Geoffrey Moore

Crossing the Chasm


Inside the Tornado

1991, 1998, 2002


1995

Peter Drucker

Innovation and Entrepreneurship

1985

William Davidow

Marketing High Technology

1986

Steve Blank

Four Steps to the Epiphany

2003

Doug Hall

Jumpstart Your Business Brain

2001

Michael Gerber

E-Myth (Revisited)

1985, 1995

W. Chan Kim & R. Mauborgne

Blue Ocean Strategy

2005

Gerald Weinberg

Secrets of Consulting

1985

Robert Cialdini

Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion

1984

Al Ries and Jack Trout

The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing

1993

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

Three Key Questions


on Discontinuous Innovation
How Does The World Work?
Business Oriented Discontinuous Innovation
Explain Physics Of New Product Adoption

What Strategies Are Available To Startups?


How Should They View The World?

How To Influence Prospects?


First Understand Their Psychology

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

How the World Works: Key Concepts


Technology: S-curve of Investment Yield
Markets: Technology Adoption Life Cycle
Focus: Enter On a Niche
Customer View: Whole Product
Sources of Innovation: How to Search
Systematically for Opportunities

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

How the World Works: S-Curve


For Technology Investment Yield
S-Curve

Investment/Time

Fosters Innovation: Attackers Advantage (85)


Learning Curve with Setup Cost
Eventually Technology Plateaus

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

Christensen's Insights about S-curve


Low End: Overshoot Customers Needs
New Market: Cut Teeth Elsewhere
Start with Non-Consumers

Disruptive Markets Start with


Undesirable or Overserved Customers
Non-Consumers Not Tracked by Incumbents

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

Innovation is Psychological and Cultural


Technology Does Not Drive Change At All.
Technology Merely Enables Change.
It's Our Collective Cultural Response
To The Options And Opportunities
Presented By Technology
That Drives Change.
Paul Saffo
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

How the World Works


Technology Adoption Life Cycle
Early
Adopters
Innovators

Early
Majority

Late
Majority

Laggards

Rogers Diffusion of Innovation (62,71,83,95,03)


Normal Distribution of Risk Aversion
Nice Single Parameter Model

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

Two Kinds of Change / Innovation

Evolution
Continuous
Sustaining
Incremental
Smooth Transition
BetterFasterCheaper
Red Queen Race

Revolution
Discontinuous
Disruptive
Radical
Singularity
Different
Overturn Chessboard

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

How the World Really Works: A Chasm


in Discontinuous Technology Adoption

Early
Adopters

C
H
A
S
M

Early
Late
Majority Majority

Laggards

Geoffrey Moores Insight was the Chasm


Early Majority Not Influenced By Early Adopters
They Want the Comforts of an Established Market
They Want a Whole Product
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

10

Cross the Chasm into a Niche


Early Majority
Pragmatists

Early Adopters
Visionaries

C
H
A
S
M

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Early Majority Want A Whole Product


Marketing High Technology by Davidow
Quality, Service, Support Part Of Design
Documentation, Training, Development Kits,
As Important As Core (Chip, SW, System)

Market Share Funds The Whole Product


Need At Least 1/6 Of A Niche To Survive
Critical Mass If You Are First
1/3 Share Normally Hard To Dislodge

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Drucker on Innovation
"Innovation requires us to systematically
identify changes that have already occurred
but whose full effects have not yet been felt,
and then to look at them as opportunities. It
also requires existing companies to abandon
rather than defend yesterday."
Innovation & Entrepreneurship (1985)
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Sources of Innovation: How to


Systematically Search for Opportunities
The Unexpected.
The Incongruous
Weak Link In Existing Process
Industry Or Market Structure Change
Demographics: Size, Age Structure
New Zeitgeist: Perception, Mood, Meaning
New Knowledge
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Three Key Questions


on Discontinuous Innovation
How Does The World Work?
Business Oriented Discontinuous Innovation
Explain Physics Of New Product Adoption

What Strategies Are Available To Startups?


How Should They View The World?

How To Influence Prospects?


First Understand Their Psychology

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How Startups Need to View the World?


Blank: Your Product Starts as a Hypothesis
Hall: Simple Physics in the Early Market
Blue Ocean Strategy: Go Somewhere else
Gerber: Technology is Not Enough

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to View the World: Steve Blanks


Four Steps to the Epiphany
Your Product Starts as a Hypothesis
As Is Customer, Price, Distribution,

Founders Must Sell


To Test, Evaluate, and Learn First Hand
Facts Are Outside the Building

Customer Hypothesis Most Important


Too Much Focus on Engineering Beta
Instead of Defined Scalable Sales Process
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Steve Blank on Earlyvangelist


Characteristics of Visionary Customer
1.
2.
3.
4.

Has a Critical Business Problem


Know That They Have the Problem
Actively Looking for a Solution
Has Tried to Solve the Problem
Unsatisfied with In-House or Custom Fix

5. Has (Or Can Acquire) Budget

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to View the World: Doug Halls


Jumpstart Your Business Brain
3 Laws of
Market Physics
for Products

1. Demonstrable Benefit
2. Reason to Believe
3. Dramatic Difference

3 Laws of
Capitalist Creativity
for Product Team

1. Explore Stimuli
2. Leverage Diversity
3. Face Fears

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to View the World: Blue Ocean Strategy by


W. Chan Kim and Renee Mauborgne

Avoid the Competition


Under-served or Undesirable Customers
vs. Beat the Competition Across the Board

You Have To Subtract To Be Able To Add

Eliminate Features That Dont Add Value


Reduce Tables Stakes to Minimum Ante
Improve Features that Differentiate
Add One Or Two New Features or Aspects
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to View the World: Michael


Gerbers E-Myth (Revisited)
Business Needs:
Technologist
Manager
Entrepreneur

Technology Not Enough


Process -> Franchise -> Scale

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Three Key Questions


on Discontinuous Innovation
How Does The World Work?
Business Oriented Discontinuous Innovation
Explain Physics Of New Product Adoption

What Strategies Are Available To Startups?


How Should They View The World?

How To Influence Prospects?


First Understand Their Psychology

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How To Influence Prospects?


First Understand Their Psychology
Cialdini Explores Basis of Influence
Reis & Trout Explain Perception
Weinberg Offers Tip for Change Agents

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to Influence Prospects?


Influence by Robert Cialdini
Customers & Prospects Will Learn Truth
About Your Sales, Marketing, Service, Product
Cialdini Explains Consequences of Behavior
Internet Has Vastly Accelerated This Process

Use Real Testimonials


Target Every Customer as a Reference
Be Authentic in Your Corporate Generosity

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to Influence Prospects?


Real Testimonials
Interview Customer & Visit Their Workplace
Understand Why they Bought
What Benefits Do They Believe Accrued

Use Their Description of Pain & Benefits


Best Guide to what they will tell other
Avoids Echo Chamber Effect

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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How to Influence Prospects?


22 Immutable Laws of Marketing
Marketing is a battle of Perceptions
Not Products, Effects Take Time

First in Mind Before First in the Market


Create a Category to Be First in
Word(s) You Own in Prospects Mind
Two Firms Cant Own the Same Word

Build on trends and not fads

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Tips for Change Agents


Gerald Weinberg in "Secrets of Consulting"
Spend One Day A Week Getting Exposure.
No Client More Than 25% Of Your Business
Pre-mortem: ID 3 Things That Might Go Wrong
And How To Prevent, Mitigate, or Fix
You Have To Accept Failure To Succeed

People Don't Tell You If They Stop Trusting You


Money Is Usually The Smallest Part Of The Price.

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Advice to Mad Scientists


Innovation is the First Reduction to Practice of
an Idea in a Culture. James Brian Quinn
Stop Working From Idea To Culture
1.
2.
3.
4.

Start With Culture (Niche)


Analyze Needs (Pain)
Determine What Constitutes Proof
Find an In Culture Partner Willing To Help
Jointly Reduce To Practice
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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About SKMurphy, Inc.


We Offer Strategy and Business
Development Consulting & Products
Our Focus is on Software Entrepreneurs
We Help Them Find
Early Customers / Early References
Early Revenue

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Backup Slides

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Our Focus Tonight is on Innovation


As the births of living creatures are at first ill-shapen, so
are all innovations, which are the births of time.
Francis Bacon
More innovations come from borrowing and combining than
simple invention. 'I invented nothing new,' said Henry Ford. 'I
simply assembled into a car discoveries of other men behind
whom were centuries of work.' It sounds easy, but it
emphasizes another quality more significant than originality:
imagination as manifest in the ability to see relationships.
Harold Evans "They Made America"
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Yahoo Labs Motto


Captures Technology Life Cycle
Invention, disruption, innovation, improvement
Yahoo Labs http://labs.yahoo.com/

12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,


SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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Peer Insights Take on Blue Ocean


"customer experience mapping for service innovation.
http://www.norcalpdma.org/resources/2005/Peer_Insight_NorCap
PDMA2005-1-27.pdf
In particular see PDF pages: 15, 17, 22, 28, 30
(slide & page numbers don't match, I mean PDF page numbers)
Their presentation mirrors the "Blue Ocean" strategy mapping
Calling it "exploiting the white space
Except they fix potential value innovations at ten pre-defined
points in the "customer experience map"
They don't suggest that new value points should be added to
enable further value-added differentiation.
Its a very useful elaboration/enhancement on strategy map
12/11/06 SDForum Mktg SIG: 12 Books/ One Hour by Sean Murphy,
SKMurphy, Inc. (www.skmurphy.com)

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