Hypostat 2013
Hypostat 2013
Hypostat 2013
1. Background
The building stock has a key role to play in fulfilling the climate protection goals
set at European and national levels. Every member state of the EU has promised to
reduce its energy consumption considerably and to boost the usage of renewable
energy resources. Since new buildings consume only one third of the energy
required for existing buildings, the building stock offers a high potential for
reducing energy consumption and thus preventing carbon dioxide emissions.
However, to raise the energy standard of the existing stock, massive investments
will be needed. In addition, from an individual perspective, investing in energy
saving is often unattractive, because outlays seem to outweigh potential revenues.
Therefore, the availability of green mortgages for refinancing investment in energy
efficiency is essential if climate goals are to be reached.
In this article we present the extent of green investments and the use of green
mortgages in Germany. For clarity, we concentrate on the residential market since
the circumstances and concerns of owners of commercial properties are much
more diverse. First, the level and development of investments is presented and
compared with the targets set by the government. Then, we discuss the profitability
of energetic building refurbishments in view of the barriers and obstacles to green
investments. Next, the possibilities of financing green investments are discussed.
Here we focus particularly on the KfW, a German government-owned bank that
offers subsidised loans for green investments. Finally, the German approach is
contrasted with the experience of other countries, such as the United States and
Australia. The article ends with a summary and conclusions.
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year. Therefore substantial energy savings will have to come from the existing
building stock.
Over the last few years, investments have been shifting from construction to
renovation. In 2011, EUR 307 bn went into the building sector, 60% (EUR 183 bn) of
which was invested in the stock (BMVBS, 2012). At the same time, green renovations
are becoming more and more popular. As Table 1 shows, 29% (EUR 53.5 bn) of all
building stock investments can be classified as green investments, in the sense that
building refurbishment includes measures which explicitly improve energy efficiency.
Although green investments are increasing, climate targets are still unlikely to be
reached. One reason for this is the predominance of partial renovations. As a study by
the Institut fr Wohnen und Umwelt (Institute for Housing and the Environment) points
out, most investors restrict their investments to specific energetic improvements,
such as modernising the heating system, renewing the roof, cellar or wall insulation
or replacing windows (IWU, 2010). Only a small fraction of investors be they
households or enterprises undertake all the measures necessary to reach the
governments planned energy consumption level. As a result of this preference for
piecemeal refurbishment, the overall renovation rate amounts to only 1% of the
stock, while it would have to be twice this to attain the climate goals (Henger and
Voigtlnder, 2012). One important reason for this reluctance to fully modernise
residential properties lies in the limited profitability of energetic investments.
Table 1
2011
Non-residential
buildings
2010
Construction
work on existing 118.9 bn 125.3 bn 55.6 bn
building stock
Green invest38.6 bn 38.4 bn 14.3 bn
ments (share in
(33 %)
(31 %)
(26 %)
brackets)
2011
Total
2010
2011
52.9 bn
(30 %)
53.5 bn
(29%)
200
100
Chart 2
800
Full costs
Energy efficiency costs
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
Chart 3
60
Full costs - subsidy (kfw)
Energy efficiency costs - subsidy (kfw)
Energy savings
50
40
30
20
10
ARGE 2011 (KfW 70)
Germany has a range of policies and programs which support a variety of different
measures to improve energy efficiency. Though Germanys building stock is
already relatively efficient, there remains such a huge savings potential that the
German government has made the building sector a focus of its climate change
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Chart 3 compares the costs with the energy savings shown in the first two charts.
For their comparison, Henger and Voigtlnder (2012) translated the costs into a
loan (in other words into an annuity) for a period of 20 years at an interest rate of
4%. They also had to assume a price for energy, which was done by choosing the
current price of seven eurocents per kilowatt hour. They also account for the KfW
subsidies, including soft loans (discussed in the next section). The amount of the
subsidy depends on the standard achieved. In 2012, KfW paid up to 20 % of the
total costs up to a maximum of EUR15,000. The KfW schemes are also translated
into an annuity and are subtracted from the costs. In Chart3 the full costs are
displayed in blue, the energy efficiency costs in yellow, and the cost saving in green
bars. It can be seen that the full costs are too high ever to be recouped with future
energy savings. Under these circumstances, energetic refurbishments should not
be carried out outside the regular renovation cycle of a building. However, the
result is quite different for the energy efficiency costs, which are much closer to the
energy savings. In 7 out of the 10 calculations the energy savings are higher than
the energy efficiency costs reduced by the amount of the subsidy.
400
Chart 1 shows selected case-study calculations carried out over the last few
years. Although not representative, they give a good impression of the range of
energy savings. There are 10 calculations from the 6 most important case studies
conducted on this issue in recent years in Germany (Henger and Voigtlnder, 2012).
The first four calculations refer to single-unit houses, the remaining six to multi-unit
buildings. Almost all examples concern buildings built between 1945 and 1970.
The energy requirement immediately before a refurbishment is in most cases
over 200 kwh per square meter and year. After an energetic refurbishment the
final energy demand falls below 100. In some cases, where high KfW standards
have been met, the energy demand is substantially lower. In all cases, the energy
savings greatly exceed 50%, and are quite often in a range of 70 to 80%.
The average energy consumption is 172 kWh/myr for a single family house
(weather-adjusted and including hot water) and 145 kWh/myr for multi-unit
buildings, some 20 % less (ARGE, 2012). The consumption level is considerably
higher for homes built before 1979, when the first Energy Saving Ordinance was
introduced. Without renovation, their energy consumption average 220 kwh/
myr. The current minimum standard for new buildings is 90 to 100 kWh/myr.
Chart 1
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policy. The governments central strategy for reducing carbon emissions takes
the form of subsidies and soft loans (green mortgages) granted by the KfW,
which itself receives subsidies to offer loans below market prices. In Germany,
mortgages are typically offered by private banks, but these private mortgages can
be combined with KfW programs, so that in fact a significant part of the investment
is financed by the KfW. The most important of the KfWs programs with respect
to energy efficiency are Energieeffizient Sanieren (Energy-Efficient Renovation)
and Energieeffizient Bauen (Energy-Efficient Construction), which are part of the
governments CO2-Gebudesanierungsprogramm (CO2 Building Refurbishment
Program). Besides comprehensive refurbishments this program also subsidises
single measures, such as the insulation or replacement of building components
or upgrades of the heating system. To meet the technical requirements of the
program, a certificate from an approved energy consultant is required (Schrder
et al. 2011). The KfW subsidies are not meanstested.
Compared to similar programs in other countries, the KfW programs are financially
well endowed. Chart 4 shows the federal expenditures for the KfW programs.
The recent volatility stems from the fact that this support for green mortgages
is part of the federal budget and must therefore always compete with other
government policies, such as cutting taxes, investing in traffic infrastructure or
increasing social security benefits. Spending rose significantly in 2006, when
the decision was made to supplement the soft loans with a subsidy program for
those not needing a loan. Investors have to decide which kind of support is more
helpful for them. Table 2 offers an overview of the programs offered by the KfW
for renovations. Soft loans are combined with a redemption subsidy in Program
151. Alternatively, homeowners can apply for a subsidy within Program 430. The
amount of the subsidies varies according to the energetic measures undertaken.
All in all, the programs have an important impact on all green investments in
the property stock. For instance, nearly half of all low carbon refurbishments in
Germany receive support from the Energieeffizient Sanieren program (see also
Schimschar et al., 2011).
Chart 4
2500
2000
1500
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
500
Table 2
1000
There are also other kinds of funding schemes, such as the market incentive
programs offered by the Bundesamt fr Wirtschaft und Ausfuhrkontrolle (Federal
Office of Economics and Export Control - BAFA), which is more focused on renewable
energy. In addition, at a local level there are over 500 different programs offered
by regional banks and utility companies (Henger and Voigtlnder 2012), but even
their total impact is low compared to the KfW programs.
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17.5%
12.5%
7.5%
5%
2.5 %
--
13,125
9,375
5,625
3,750
1,875
--
Program 430
Subsidy
Proportion of investment costs
Maximum subsidy per housing
that can be covered by KfW
unit (in EUR)
subsidy (%)
10%
7,500
12.5%
9,375
15%
11,250
20%
15,000
25 %
18,750
10%
5,000
6. Conclusion
Over the last few years, many countries have implemented programs to encourage
people to purchase greener homes and to make renovations to existing homes greener.
This article has focused on Germany, describing the extent of green investments and
discussing the availability of green mortgages. With the KfW programs, offering either
direct subsidies or indirect subsidies combining green mortgages with redemption
subsidies, Germany has a more sophisticated subsidy scheme for green investors
than most other countries. The programs are continuously monitored, and adjusted
if necessary, but nevertheless offer scope for improvement. In particular, the role
of the KfW itself could be questioned, since state-owned enterprises of all kinds
tend to waste money by creating oversized administrations. Instead of funding and
operating a state-owned bank, the government could directly subsidise the granting
of green mortgages by private banks, awarding subsidies, for instance, to those
banks offering their customers the best conditions. Thus, competition would insure
that public money is used most efficiently. A second and more important drawback
of the German approach is the unpredictable funding of green mortgages from the
federal budget. With constant debate on cutting subsidies of all kinds, investors
can never be sure whether the federal government will grant subsidies for green
investments the following year, and it is difficult for them to draw up long-term plans.
Moreover, even the current level of funding is insufficient to reach the governments
climate goals. Despite subsidies amounting to EUR 1.5 bn per year, only half of the
necessary green investments have been made. The primary reason is that most
such investments offer investors a poor return, even if KfW programs are included in
their calculations. To boost the renovation rate, therefore, even more subsidies and
probably other kind of incentives, such as taxes based on energy consumption will
be needed to ensure that the climate goals are reached.
Literature
Amram, M.; P. Angkinand and B. Zeidman, 2010, Financing the residential retrofit
revolution, Milken Institute, Santa Monica
ANOA, 2010, Green Loans Programme, Performance Audit, Audit Report No.9
201011, Australian National Audit Office
ARGE, 2011, Wohnungsbau in Deutschland 2011 Modernisierung oder
Bestandsersatz. Walberg, Dietmar; Holz, Astrid; Gniechwitz Timo; Schulze, Torsten.
Arbeitsgemeinschaft fr zeitgemes Bauen, Kiel
ASBEC, 2012, Drivers of Demand for Zero and Towards Zero Emissions Residential
Retrofits, (Authors: Willand, N., T. Moore, S. Hunter, H. Stanley and R. Horne),
Australian Sustainable Built Environment Council, RMIT University, Melbourne
BMVBS, 2011, Strukturdaten zur Produktion und Beschftigung im Baugewerbe,
Berechnungen fr das Jahr 2010, Bundesministerium fr Verkehr, Bau und
Stadtentwicklung, BMVBS-Online-Publikation, Nr. 19/2011
BMVBS, 2012, Strukturdaten zur Produktion und Beschftigung im Baugewerbe,
Berechnungen fr das Jahr 2011, Bundesministerium fr Verkehr, Bau und
Stadtentwicklung, BMVBS-Online-Publikation, Nr. 21/2012
Hamilton B. et al., 2010, A Comparison of Energy Efficiency Programmes for
Existing Homes in Eleven Countries, Department of Energy and Climate Change,
United Kingdom
Henger R. and M. Voigtlnder, 2012, Energetische Modernisierung des
Gebudebestandes: Herausforderungen fr private Eigentmer, Haus und Grund
Deutschland
IWU, 2010, Datenbasis Gebudebestand Datenerhebung zur energetischen
Qualitt und zu den Modernisierungstrends im deutschen Wohngebudebestand.
Diefenbach, Nikolaus; Cischinsky, Holger, Rodenfels, Markus; Klaus-Dieter, Institut
Wohnen und Umwelt, Bremer Energie Institut, Darmstadt
KfW, 2013a, Energieeffizient Sanieren Kredit. Programm 151.
http://www.kfw.de/kfw/de/Inlandsfoerderung/Programmuebersicht/
Energieeffizient_Sanieren_-_Kredit/Konditionen.jsp
2013 EMF HYPOSTAT |
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