Applied Artificial Intelligence: How Machine Learning Transforms How We Live and Work
Applied Artificial Intelligence: How Machine Learning Transforms How We Live and Work
Applied Artificial Intelligence: How Machine Learning Transforms How We Live and Work
Artificial
Intelligence
How Machine Learning
Transforms How
We Live & Work
Book Preview
Contents
Introduction 3
3. Telecommunications 18
SMARTER AI MEANS SAFER, SPEEDIER NETWORKS
4. Financial services 25
CHATBOTS GO CHA-CHING: THE LOOMING IMPACT
OF AI IN FINANCE
7. Travel 46
BALANCING MACHINE LEARNING AND HUMAN INTUITION
IN THE TRAVEL INDUSTRY
9. Healthcare 57
THE OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES OF A.I. IN HEALTHCARE
10. Gaming 66
THE POINT OF PLAY: HOW GAMES MAKE AI SMARTER
INTRODUCTION
Artificial intelligence is the buzz word of the day. Youve no doubt
read your fair share of media hype either proclaiming doom and
gloom where robots seize our jobs or prophesying a new utopia where
AI cures all our human problems.
The reality is somewhere in between. Unless you work in the field, you
might be wondering how AI is used, or even what AI really is. Using
concrete examples and engaging storytelling, our book Applied Artificial
Intelligence helps you understand how these powerful emerging
technologies can be used in your own life and work.
ABOUT TOPBOTS
TOPBOTS is a strategy & research firm focused on applied AI for enterprises.
Our customers include leading global companies such as LOreal, Paypal, and
WPP. We advise business leaders, executives, and practitioners on emerging
technology trends and help you successfully apply them in your organization.
To learn how you can adopt automation technologies and AI at your own
organization, contact us at [email protected].
Mariya Yao
Head of Research & Design
To discuss how you can adopt automation technologies and AI at your own
organization, contact us at [email protected].
To get your executive team up to speed on emerging technologies and their
impact on your industry, ask us about our corporate education programs
by emailing [email protected].
To raise your A.I. IQ, read our publication at TOPBOTS.com or subscribe to
our newsletter.
1.
Industrials &
manufacturing
4 KEY DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN INDUSTRIAL
AND CONSUMER AI
Robots are probably the first thing you think of when asked to imagine AI
applied to industrials and manufacturing. Indeed many innovative companies
like Rodney Brooks Rethink Robotics have developed friendly-looking robot
factory workers who hustle alongside their human colleagues. Industrial robots
have historically been designed to perform specific niche tasks, but modern-day
robots can be taught new tasks and make real-time decisions.
As sexy and shiny as robots are, the vast majority of the value of AI in
manufacturing lies in transforming data from sensors and routine hardware into
intelligent predictions for better and faster decision-making. 15 billion machines
are currently connected to the Internet. By 2020, Cisco predicts the number
will surpass 50 billion. Connecting these machines together into intelligent
automated systems in the cloud is the next major step in the evolution of
manufacturing and industry.
Lets say you need to calculate how far a combine needs to drill and you stick a
moisture sensor into the ground to take important measurements. The readings
can be skewed by extreme temperatures, accidental man-handling, hardware
malfunctions, or even a worm thats been accidentally skewered by the device.
We are not generating data from the comfort and safety of a computer in your
den, Kodesh emphasizes.
On a deep sea oil rig, a riser is a conduit which transports oil from subsea
wells to a surface facility. If a problem arises, several clamps must respond
immediately to shut the valve. The sophisticated software that manages the
actuators on those clamps tracks minute details in temperature and pressure.
Any mistake could mean disaster.
The stakes and responsiveness are much higher for industrial applications where
millions of dollars and human lives can be on the line. In these cases, industrial
features cannot be trusted to run on the cloud and must be implemented on
location, also known as the edge.
In a manufacturing facility that crushes ores into platinum bars, bars that come
out with the wrong consistency must be immediately detected in order to adjust
the pressure at the beginning. Any delay means wasted material. Similarly, a
wind turbine is constantly ingesting data to control operations. Kodesh highlights
one of many possible malfunctions: the millionth byte might be the torque on
the blade, but if the torque is too high, the turbine blades will fall off. We need to
serve this critical information first even if its in the millionth place in the queue.
Serving the correct data in real-time is a task so challenging that GE must rely on
custom, in-house solutions. Spark is fast, admits Kodesh, but when you make
decisions in 10 milliseconds, you need different solutions.
Were not going to call and tell you there is a problem where there isnt, and
were definitely not going to tell you there isnt a problem when there is, says
Kodesh. We want to make sure we have very high fidelity systems.
According to Kodesh, the only way to ensure such high fidelity and performance
For $1,000, I can run tons of algorithms in parallel, aggregate the results, and
run something known as a genetic algorithm to grow the predictor, Kodesh
reveals. This will create a survival of the fittest effect where the most fit
predictors are used and less fit predictors are discarded.
Real data scientists need more academic depth. They literally need to be rocket
scientists who know how to filter and normalize millions of data points in real-time.
2.
Supply chain
logistics
AI IS TURNING SUPPLY
CHAIN LOGISTICS
INTO AUTOMATED TRADING
Ever wonder how your Amazon Prime packages show up at your door mere
hours after you place an order?
Like every other data-driven industry, logistics and supply chain companies are
investing in transformational A.I. solutions to tackle their most pressing pain
points. Both small and large enterprises are dabbling in innovations ranging
from machine learning to robotics.
The largest portion of C.H. Robinsons business is North American truck freight.
A portion of their customers pre-commit to regular business and outsource
portions or all of their logistics needs. The remainder are one-off transactions,
for which the company is a surge provider for unplanned freight.
Many vendors such as Watson Supply Chain, ToolsGroup, and TransVoyant offer
logistics and supply chain software with AI baked in, but the complexities and
nuances of C.H. Robinsons massive business require them to build in-house
technology tailored to their specific needs. Pricing was previously done by
human experts with deep domain experience and historical market knowledge.
Prior to becoming CIO, Lindbloom spent 25 years in finance and 15 years as CFO.
Combining financial with technical expertise, he and his team have built machine
learning models for price prediction that resemble those built by automated
traders on Wall Street. These models examine historical freight pricing data
along with concurrent parameters such as the weather, traffic, and socio-
economic challenges to estimate the fair transactional price on a spot basis.
AI doesnt always outperform market experts, which Lindbloom believes will not
be fully replaced. In some cases, humans come up with better price. In most
cases, the technology helps them hone in on the fair market price, he points
out. He also adds that a key benefit of effective algorithms is democratization
and accessibility of information. Instead of relying on a few industry experts to
produce estimates, more employees can use machine intelligence to ensure
theyre quoting within market so they dont lose the sale, and within capacity so
they dont botch the execution.
CHR commits to a transport price for freight buyers before they know the exact
pricing and availability of requisite vehicles. The company relies on strategic
human relationships, specifically a vast trading network across employees to
find the right truck with the right capacity for the load.
For every lane, CHR runs background analytics to examine which carriers
have moved freight at what price and service level. Fragile, expensive, or time-
sensitive freight requires a much higher service level. Pooling together these
various factors allows CHR to optimize matching freight to the best mover.
Part of the data collection entails detailed surveys that track how human
employees handled disruptions and the outcomes of their management.
Lindbloom hopes that eventually systems can be trained to automatically take
optimal actions after learning from humans.
using us.
Lindbloom has words of wisdom for those who want to replicate CHRs success
with AI: Many of the things youre going to try probably wont produce value. Be
willing to experiment and fail fast. Try to solve the same questions with multiple
different models. Multivariate-type testing is key.
3.
Telecommuni-
cations
With more than 12,500 patents, 8 Nobel prizes, and a 140 year history of
field-testing crazy ideas, no one should be surprised that AT&T would be an
important player in artificial intelligence.
AT&T has built AI and machine learning systems for decades, using algorithms to
automate operations such as common call center procedures and the analysis
and correction of network outages. On the entertainment side, AT&Ts DirecTV
division leverages users rating histories, viewing behaviors, and other factors to
anticipate the next films theyll watch.
Small cells are less expensive, more compact cells that can be installed on inner
city buildings on a much finer grid. Their role is to repeat the signal from the
main cell towers to get closer to end users. By crunching mobile subscriber data,
well-calibrated AI can help create spatial models to hone in on ideal spots to
build small cells to ensure maximum 5G signal strength for customers.
Designing the right 5G infrastructure is critical, especially given the rapid rise
of video. Video is more than half of our mobile traffic, explains Chris Volinsky,
who leads big data research at AT&T Labs. Video traffic grew over 75% and
smartphones drove almost 75% of our data traffic in 2016 alone. We expect
video traffic growth to outpace overall data growth in 2020.
Algorithms and tools are not the bottleneck in solving problems. Volinsky
clarifies that the challenge is in the data and the data pipeline. Modern data-
hungry AI approaches require a centralized data source, but gathering one
across a myriad of networks with idiosyncratic standards is no trivial task. Each
small cell collects cellular data differently. Some track 4G but not 3G. Some dont
get iPhone data. If variations are not taken into account, bias will appear in the
data and the results.
Volinsky would know best. His BellKor team won the coveted $1 Million Netflix
Prize in 2009. The key lesson learned during the three year competition was the
power of ensembles. Ensembles involve combining various methods ranging
from regression, support vector machines, singular value decomposition,
restricted boltzmann machines, and neural networks to produce a result.
Deep learning is a power tool in your toolbox, but you still need your old school
tools to solve problems, he emphasizes. Deep learning evangelists say neural
networks effectively incorporate all the other models, but I have not seen that
work in practice.
Remember Morris earlier comment about how the internet runs on AT&T? Turns
out this can be mission critical for startups like AIRA which must ensure superior
connectivity at all times to protect the safety of their patients. Since AT&Ts AI
systems regulate network traffic, they can intelligently detect AIRA devices on
their network and dynamically allocate greater bandwidth to support live video
streaming.
AT&Ts control of networks also comes in useful for hospitals who hoard
sensitive patient data. Fearful of security lapses, many operate their own data
centers for fear of uploading personal information to the cloud. Data center
management is typically not a hospitals core competency, leading to outdated
technology and massive inefficiencies.
Do you want to run a hospital or do you want to run a data center, questions
Morris. Regardless of the cloud provider a hospital chooses to use, AT&T runs
private network connections to all of their servers. This traffic will never traverse
the public internet, she assures, giving hospitals an extra layer of protection.
Migrating more hospitals to the cloud solves not only administrative pains,
but also unblocks AI research. Hospitals are smart, but theyre like islands,
Morris explains. Competition often incentivizes hospitals to hoard data that is
critical to share for superior results. Pooling hospital data into collaborative
cloud communities and applying de-identification protocols enables medical
researchers to access disparate data sets with greater geographic diversity.
Algorithms for essential patient services such as vital sign monitoring can be
trained on aggregate data sets for more accurate benchmarks.
Hsu analyzes customer conversations from both phone conversations from call
centers and online chats with support agents. Machine learning allows her to
build textual models, identify customer intent, and route them to appropriate
support agents faster.
With her extensive experience, Hsu learned that interpreting and using the
intelligence gained from AI systems is more of an art than a science. What
matters most is customer perception and seamless execution, so Hsu employs a
combination of bots that directly interact with customers and those that stay in
the background to assist human agents.
4.
Financial
services
CHATBOTS GO CHA-CHING:
THE LOOMING IMPACT OF AI
IN FINANCE
From minting coins to dispensing greenbacks on ATMs, the love affair between
money and machine goes a long way back. The pervasive influence of technology
in how we create, exchange and store money treads a colorful history replete
with culture-shifting innovations such as cash registers, magnetic credit cards
and mobile wallets.
The romance is far from over. With recent advances in machine learning,
computer vision, voice recognition, natural language processing and other
areas of artificial intelligence, the chemistry between money and machine is
just warming up. Accenture recently reported that the vast majority of industry
insiders believe AI will become the primary channel through which banks and
their customers will interact within the next three years.
Capital One recently launched an NLP-capable chatbot named Eno at the wake
of other industry firsts in terms of AI applications. Eno enables customers to
chat with the bank using text-based natural language to pay bills and retrieve
account information. Among the pioneering financial institutions to join the IoT
bandwagon, Capital One also launched an Alexa Skill for Amazon Echo and plans
to be the first to launch a similar service for Microsofts Cortana.
Thomson Reuters has used complex algorithms for years to organize their
humongous stores of information and generate time-critical financial
market data for institutional clients. Their use of AI centers on improving the
experience of knowledge workers by building systems that not only answer
questions on structured data (e.g., give me all age discrimination cases in
California in the last four years) but also provide proactive insights for decision
makers (e.g., making a comparative macroeconomic analysis of two countries
or showing differences and trade offs between two investment options). As a
leading content publisher, Thomson Reuters also uses machine learning and
AI to detect and identify fake news. The Reuters News Tracer leverages an
algorithm that looks at more than 700 factors to determine whether a trending
topic on social media is factual or not.
Wells Fargo leveraged machine learning originally to prevent fraud, but AI now
permeates other areas including compliance, customer experience, underwriting
and authentication. The San Francisco-based financial institution is also
exploring the use of consumer-facing virtual assistants for information updates,
improvements in transaction capabilities and business insights. Bipin Sahni,
EVP and Head of Innovation and R&D, reports that regularly collaborating with
startups on a wide range of technologies helps us explore big ideas outside our
walls.
Even personal finance and wealth management have come to favor artificial
intelligence, as shown by the rapid spread of AI-driven mobile apps, the
comparatively higher success rates of quantitative trading and the cost-efficiency
of robo advisors. Robo advisors such as Wealthfront and WiseBanyan are
automated portfolio management services that use computer algorithms to
manage and grow customer investments.
Banks and other financial institutions have been using computer automation to
improve operational efficiency for decades. With big data and AI technologies
on the uptrend, the development of smarter, better and more powerful
automations will profoundly transform the industry. From providing regulatory
compliance requirements to expediting reports generation, AI will become a
pervasive force across all the components of a financial organization.
Mayers colleague, AI Design Head Steph Hay believes context is the biggest
design challenge. Hay described the importance of context as the sweet spot
between design and technology. According to Hay, AI developers often shift
between two opposite directions: one that leverages the companys massive
datasets to build a common template for customer interactions; and another
that needs to be resolved as a unique scenario involving a single customer and
the bank. She emphasized her focus on how to make better assumptions and
provide smarter responses based on everyones data, not just your data.
Mastercards forays into AI-focused research and partnerships stem from its
corporate mandate to enable commerce across every device and environment,
according to Kiki Del Valle who serves as SVP at the firms Commerce for Every
Device unit. Scheduled for a year-end rollout, the companys joint project with
IBM and General Motors will use voice recognition technology and NLP to locate
nearby establishments and make quick, effortless transactions. While AI has
tremendous potential, Del Valle cautions organizations against over exposure:
Unless its solving a problem or addressing a specific need, then dont jump into
AI for the sake of it, citing the crucial importance of scalability from the point of
view of issuers, merchants and other stakeholders.
BANKING ON AI TODAY
Artificial intelligence already has significant imprint in many areas of banking
such as fraud detection, insurance underwriting, customer service, back office
operations and wealth management. Because it demonstrably improves
efficiencies, reduces costs, generates smarter insights and provides better user
experiences, AI will eventually be used industry-wide at an even deeper and
broader scale. The only thing to expect are new and surprising use cases as bot
and bank become one.
5.
Marketing
& Advertising
3,874. Thats how many companies are featured on Scott Brinkers behemoth
2016 Marketing Technology Landscape Supergraphic, which drives home the
challenge of navigating the marketing industry.
Marketing has the unique challenge of not having a typical stack or process. If
you look into any Fortune 500 company, they will have hundreds of products
that they are stitching together, reports Eric Stahl, an SVP of Product Marketing
at Salesforce.
The result is more time spent managing software than managing strategy. Every
marketing executive we spoke to also emphasized that vendor variation and
incompatibility drives the number one challenge of modern marketing: sourcing
and centralizing reliable data.
Along with tool variation, marketing tech (MarTech) and adverting tech (AdTech)
are often siloed from one another. Ritchie Hale, CIO at TouchCR, warns that the
separation of these two stacks creates an identity gap, where we are trying to
uniquely identify the person we are advertising to before we have an identifiable
piece of information from them.
One key driver of the lack of interoperability between tools is the breakneck
speed of technical development and acquisitions in MarTech. Most DMPs and
marketing automation tools possessed by companies like Oracle, Adobe or
Facebook were acquired recently and havent even been integrated with each
other, explains Monika Ambrozowicz, Global Marketing Manager at Synerise.
The effects of poor data centralization also lead to a poor consumer experience.
Retailers employing ad retargeting often dont realize when youve already made
a purchase and send you tons of irrelevant, useless, and annoying ads.
Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff spent over $4 Billion in 2016 buying A.I. companies
to roll into Einstein, an A.I. layer that optimizes results across all of Salesforces
Clouds. One client, Fanatics, is a sports merchandise retailer using Marketing
Cloud Einstein to personalize product recommendations.
Sports fans come in different flavors, such as hardcore fans, gear fanatics, fans
of a school or local team, and fans of fans, i.e. customers purchasing sports
gear for friends and family. According to Stahl, an SVP at Salesforce Marketing
Cloud, Einstein segmented customers into these large buckets, but also provided
sub-segment targeting that led to 15-20% of clickthroughs on Fanatics email
campaigns.
Similarly, Adobe controls a vast suite of creative tools as well as a popular data
management platform (DMP) and web analytics for enterprises. Vice President
Amit Ahuja oversees Sensei, Adobes AI layer which unifies data across their
cloud solutions. Since Adobe owns the underlying video and content creation
tools, Ajuha explains that Sensei is able to collect rich data across all creatives
and all metadata to inform a brand owner which creative to put in front on a
consumer.
When the A.I. hype dies down, the differentiation will be at the data layer,
predicts Ahuja. Outside of Google, were sitting on the biggest system of record
for any behavioral digital data. No one else can do what we do.
Behemoths like Salesforce and Adobe are not the only companies tackling
the data challenge in marketing. Smaller companies like Swiftype address
the common bottleneck of coordinating assets and documents in marketing
workflows.
Waiting on the creative department to send you copy and graphics while
analysts pull the latest campaign performance metrics is painful and inefficient.
Swiftype consolidates knowledge and data from multiple sources, like Marketo
and Salesforce campaigns, task management tools, and repositories like
Dropbox and Google Drive.
Engineers alone also do not ensure success. Marketing executives agree that
domain expertise and business needs should drive A.I. research, not the other
way around. The most important thing is not advanced math models or
complicated neural networks, Yulia Khansvyarova of SEMrush clarifies. The
most important part is feature engineering. The more domain knowledge you
have, the better. Constantly verify your hypothesis with your end users.
Shore of Strike Social claims their technology automates the tedious process of
campaign setup, spots nuanced patterns undetectable to humans, and breaks
ad campaigns into several micro-campaigns and shifts ad dollars to the best-
performing targets in real time. The company was able to improve YouTube
view rates by 25% while reducing execution time by 75%. By reducing execution
time, Shore clarifies, we mean reducing your staff by up to 4x.
One agency held a four way competition with RocketFuel and three other
vendors, all of whom were doing manual optimization. RocketFuels A.I. powered
optimization bested the competitors by 8x on cost per acquisition (CPA).
Aside from invisible automation layers, innovative marketing firms are also
exploring conversational approaches. Equals3 built Lucy, a cognitive companion
for marketers as described by Managing Partner Scott Litman. Lucy acts as
your trusted marketing analyst, helping you with research, segmentation, and
planning. Only she works 24/7 and gets smarter with more data. Litman claims
that Havas Media, one of the worlds largest media agencies, has successfully
used Lucy to achieve a 75% reduction in vendor cost and 7x faster campaign
deployment.
Ben Plomion, CMO of GumGum, highlights the pervasive pain point where
brands spend more than $60BN globally on sports sponsorships but are unable
to capture the full value of their logo impressions on broadcast TV and also
social media.
Politics may also be interfering with true ROI calculations. Many marketing
departments fear accountability and deliberately cherry-pick metrics to present
to executives rather than analyze the hard truth of what is really working.
A.I. can also replace older methods to better value different data sources and
turn them into more accurate business insights. Superior analysis of audience
segmentation and responses lead to improved understanding and handling of
customer and lead behavior, such as predicted purchases or churn. TouchCR
grew their own business by 20% while reducing ad send by 60% by using A.I. to
match marketing efforts to demographic and psychographic indicators.
Kazuhiro Takiguchi, CEO of ReFUEL4, produced similar results for clients like
Spotify which saw a 40% increase in clickthrough rates (CTR) and 3x app installs
over previous campaigns with A.I. powered marketing. According to Takiguchi,
such results are achieved by taking existing and past ad performance to predict
future performance of creative.
CONCLUSION
The holy grail for marketers has always been personalization at scale with
affordable customer acquisition costs, states Pascal Bensoussan, CPO at
Reputation.com. To achieve this end goal, AI and machine learning are
becoming table stakes in all the core components of the marketing/advertising
technology stack.
6.
CAN ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE GIVE YOU
BEAUTY ADVICE?
The beauty and skincare world is oversaturated, especially if you include all the
affordable convenience store brands. If youre a shopper with a budget, you are
likely mixing different products and blindly guessing which combinations will
work like a chemist without a periodic table.
What weve noticed through the last couple of years is that skincare is a very
high engagement category and its become one of the most confusing and least Image Credit: Olay Skin Advisor
20 years ago, Olay developed a hardware tool for skin analytics called the Visia
Imaging System. Visia took controlled facial images of users in different lighting
conditions and tracked skin conditions such as wrinkles, pores, and textures.
Dermatologists took Visia on road shows to analyze how customers skin
compared to others of their age.
Eric Gruen, P&Gs Associate Marketing Director, emphasizes that the Olay
Skin Advisor is not a downloadable mobile app, but rather a widely accessible
web experience that consumers can access through mobile browsers. The AI-
powered advisor has been used over 1.2 million times and consistently attracts
5,000 to 7,000 users every day.
The Olay Skin Advisor team tested a number of designs for the product to create
the best user experience. Psychologically, users feel advice is more trustworthy
when personalized. To gather the right information from each user, the Skin
Advisor asks a number of questions, such as What is your age?, to factor into
recommendations. After testing between 4 and 19 questions, the ideal number
turned out to be 9. Just like a human beauty consultant, the Skin Advisor also
considers a womans desired skincare regimen and special requirements.
Modiface started with AR for beauty products over a decade ago. 3 years ago,
beauty brands noticed that AR was driving sales. Now 80 of the top 100 makeup
Image Credit: Olay Skin Advisor
lines use Modiface, including Sephora, Urban Decay, LOreal, and Vichy. CEO
Parham Aarabi shares that his company grew over 400% in the last 12 months to
meet the incredible demand.
With Modiface technology, users are able to upload their own photos and
virtually try on lipsticks, eye shadows, hair colors, and even dramatic new hair
styles. Integration with a new beauty brand typically takes 2-3 months and, once
launched, users typically try on 20 or more products per session. These fun, risk-
free digital trials lead to an 80% lift in makeup sales when Modiface is added to a
brands existing website or mobile app.
7.
Travel
BALANCING MACHINE
LEARNING AND HUMAN
INTUITION IN THE TRAVEL
INDUSTRY
Machine intelligence can alleviate some of the pain points for both you and
the travel companies you book with. Perhaps no one knows this better than
Giorgos Zacharia, CTO of Kayak and holder of a Ph.D. in artificial intelligence and
machine learning from MIT. AI is kind of a fashionable domain at present, he
says, amused by the recent hype, but weve been doing machine learning and AI
at Kayak for a long time.
Almost every aspect of your digital user experience is improved with AI. Your
preferences towards specific seasons, hotel styles, and price parameters are
carefully monitored so that you can be served results youre likely to book. The
photos you see on hotel listings are run through thousands of split tests in which
users rank different versions and the results are optimized for mass appeal.
Turns out we prefer our hotel photos to be clean and pristine and dislike when
they feature other people.
Have you ever gone through an entire hotel or flight booking process, only to be
told at the end the item was unavailable? Like many industries, travel companies
suffer from inconsistency in data. Due to a slew of legacy systems, changes
in hotel and airline databases might not fully propagate in time to booking
providers to reflect real-time supply. To combat this problem, Kayaks algorithms
analyze a wide variety of historical sources to generate a more accurate forecast
of availability.
Another common data challenge is handling duplicates. With all those records
coming from different systems, you can have misspellings, different word
orders, and other issues that could cause a system to create duplicate records,
explains Zacharia. For example, a single listing could be titled differently as
the Boston Marriott Hotel or the Marriott Hotel In Boston. To save time,
the de-duping process is largely automated by machine intelligence. Only low-
confidence records, where the algorithm isnt sure of a prediction, are escalated
to human staff for analysis. Records from different sources may even disagree
about basic facts, such as whether a hotel has a pool, but Zacharia assures that
these algorithms can rationalize that data very, very quickly.
Machine analysis can yield surprising learnings that contradict your intuition.
In a previous role before Kayak, Zacharia built systems to predict corporate
bankruptcy filings. One month before a bankruptcy, a companys credit score
often sees a dramatic improvement. The revelation led to further investigation.
Turns out CFOs of at-risk companies desperately start paying back overdue bills
in the hopes of getting another loan, but typically fail.
Similar findings occur in the travel space. For example, users care less about the
average review score of a hotel and more about the number of reviews. A hotel
with fewer than 24 reviews is far less likely to be booked even if the comments
are overwhelmingly positive. Users also have a sophisticated nose for spotting
good deals. Broadcasting a clear discount typically results in higher conversions,
but even when a hotel discounts rooms without revealing original prices, buyers
intuitively flock to the deal.
Kayak is hardly the only travel company leveraging machine learning. Booking.
com, helmed by CEO Gillian Tans, prides itself on international reach, listing
properties in over 225 countries in 43 languages.
Many dont realize that Booking.com is one of the biggest translation companies
in the world, according to Tans. Headed to a foreign country where you dont
speak the language? No problem. Bookings cross-platform chatbots allow guests
to connect with overseas hotels and hosts and perform real-time translations for
all of their supported languages.
While the improvements brought by machine learning are impressive, the travel
industry must overcome many barriers to reach Tans ultimate vision of AI being
a fully-functional digital travel assistant that can proactively solve potential
issues before you even know they exist.
Travel is a combination of the personal and the emotional, she says. Every
customer is different and the travel experience is completely fluid, but the end
goal is to find the best solutions.
8.
Even in a highly connected world, you can still be lonely. Whats the point of
thousands of contacts on social media if theyve all friendzoned you? If youre
short on admirers, perhaps youll find solace in an algorithm.
Following the incessant launch of life-like robots and chatbots which get you laid,
experts predict that human-robot marriages will become legal by 2050. We dont
even have to wait that long for technology to fill our intimate needs. Users are
already asking Siri to find them a boyfriend. Some are asking Amy a meeting-
scheduling virtual assistant for a date.
Desperate singles are using the Invisible Girlfriend or Invisible Boyfriend service
to create imaginary romantic partners to exchange sweet text messages with.
Youll even get help crafting a believable story behind how you met. Even
Googles AI engine is dropping its matter-of-fact style and reading 2,865 romance
novels to improve conversational allure and emotional engagement.
While Nadias first real-world application is to assist patients with disabilities, you
can easily see how her emotionally charged service can easily be adapted to
solve the human longing for romantic relationships.
Meanwhile, another AI-driven sexbot named Silicon Samantha has already hit the
shelves, with a set of advanced features such as realistic reactions to being kissed
and touched, a fully functioning G-spot, and even a kid-friendly family mode.
Two Google Home devices positioned side by side even found themselves
getting attracted to each other. I love you around the universe to the stars and
back, said one to the other. You can watch the bizarre whole affair unfold on
Twitch.
Since we last wrote about chatbots for love and connection, several new bots
have come to market that are worth a look:
Sensay is a bot that helps you find other humans who share the same
interests. While the irony of going through a bot to talk to a human is not lost
on us, beggars cant be choosers. If youre feeling a little lonely, theres no
shame getting a little help from your bot friends.
NearGroup is a bot that started out just like Sensay, connecting neighbors with
similar interests, but found its calling as a speed dating bot.
Foxsy ironically took the opposite path as NearGroup, starting out as a bot for
dating but pivoting to a bot for making friends. Great romances often start out
as friendships, so dont be discouraged from giving this bot a whirl.
9.
Healthcare
THE OPPORTUNITIES
& CHALLENGES OF A.I. IN
HEALTHCARE
When we asked dozens of venture capitalists where they see the most potential
for applied artificial intelligence, they unanimously agreed on healthcare.
Technology has already been used to incrementally improve patient medical
records, care delivery, diagnostic accuracy, and drug development, but with A.I.
we could achieve exponential breakthroughs.
Deep learning first caught the medias attention when a team from the lab
of Geoffrey Hinton at the University of Toronto won a Merck drug discovery
competition despite having no experience with molecular biology and
pharmaceutical development. Recently, a multidisciplinary research team at
Stanfords School of Medicine comprised of pathologists, biomedical engineers,
geneticists, and computer scientists developed deep learning algorithms that
diagnose lung cancer more accurately than human pathologists.
Other investors agree that the ultra conservatism in the healthcare system,
while intended to protect patients, also harms them by restricting innovation.
Gavin Teo, Partner at B Capital Group and a specialist in digital health, cites
provider conservatism and unwillingness to risk new technology that does
not provide immediate fee-for-service (FFS) revenue as a major challenge for
startups tackling healthcare. Teo also points out that the industry feels burned
from recent experiences, such as electronic medical records (EMR) digitization
regulations, which were overhyped and resisted.
Fixing accidental hospital infections and performing rare disease detection with
A.I. also requires better data than is currently available. According to Kahlon,
the genetic and behavioral data required for rare disease studies are not well-
defined nor easily captured while much of the information relating to the risk
factors for hospital-acquired infections is kept in unstructured notes in the chart,
including in flowsheets and clinical notes.
Implementing and integrating technology has indeed been a burden for many
clinicians and practitioners. Dr. Jose I. Almeida is a pioneer in endovascular
venous surgery who has practiced for over 20 years. He adopted electronic
health records (EHR) ahead of the curve, yet has not seen many of the promised
benefits. We implemented our first EMR System eight years ago hoping it
would improve efficiencies. We are now on our fourth system, and remain
disappointed, complains Dr. Almeida. Right now, its been more of a hassle
than a time-saver, and has actually disrupted the doctor/patient relationship by
forcing a screen between physicians and their patients.
Leonard DAvolio, founder of Cyft, has harsh feedback for fellow entrepreneurs
trying to tackle the space: Were seeing hospital after hospital take incredible
loss and have widespread layoffs simply from the challenge of implementing
electronic health records. Imagine what happens if you then show up and say I
have artificial intelligence.
The healthcare industry is just getting its arms around capturing data digitally,
yet many healthcare tech entrepreneurs mistakenly believe that creating
a dashboard or dropping in a product will somehow lead to adoption of
technology and improve operations. Theres a huge misconception that A.I.
requires huge amounts of data, but thats not the real issue in healthcare. The
real issue is understanding the context into which you are trying to introduce
these technology, warns DAvolio. You need context and a deep understanding
of who will use this. What workflows will be introduced?
Luckily, many companies strive to address these issues before they come to
pass. CB Insights recently profiled 106 different artificial intelligence startups
in healthcare tackling the various challenges in the space, ranging from patient
monitoring to hospital operations.
Teo identifies A.I. powered chatbots and virtual assistants as one way to
alleviate supply constraints by widening the reach of video telehealth options.
In this case, diagnosis can be powered by machine learning and then trained by
artificial intelligence. Examples of companies providing clinician assistant and
care delivery services include Babylon Health, Evidation Health, Sensely, and
Senior Link.
Artificial intelligence can not only improve care delivery, but also assist in
clinician decision-making and operational efficiency, amplifying the impact of
each individual practitioner. AnalyticsMD employs AI and ML to streamline
hospital operations in emergency rooms, operating rooms, and in-patient wards,
while predictive companies like Cyft and HealthReveal analyze disparate data
sources to accurately triage and apply interventions to the highest risk patients.
A.I. not only helps physicians, but also patients. A study by the Mayo Clinic
determined that 50 percent of patients have difficulty with medication
adherence. Companies like AI Cure employ computer vision techniques to
enable smartphones to recognize faces and medications, lowering the cost and
improving the effectiveness of tracking and adherence programs. According to
Dr. Mittendorff, AI enabled coaching will allow a provider or coach to manage
more than 1,000 patients simultaneously rather than 50-100, a 10x increase in
labor leverage.
Finally, drug discovery companies like NuMedii and Kyan Therapeutics de-risk
the drug development process, enabling powerful and proprietary new
combination therapies, as well as individualized treatment with unprecedented
efficacy and safety, according to Teo. Otherwise, Suennen points out that the
general spend for each drug brought to market is $2.5 Billion.
Even technology challenges that come with digitizations can be mitigated by A.I.
Remember how valuable medical records are to hackers? Many of these records
are pilfered through social engineering methods, such as phishing or fraudulent
phone calls. Protenus is a healthcare security company which applies A.I. to
analyze enterprise-wide access logs and flag suspicious cases for administrator
review.
Many patients with chronic diseases like diabetes visit doctors and hospitals
numerous times, costing themselves, insurance providers, and the medical
system a substantial amount of money. Cyft builds sophisticated models
that identify patients with a preventable re-admission and matches them to
appropriate intervention programs. Traditionally, these decisions are made by
looking at 7-10 administrative variables, but Cyfts models looks at over 400
data sources, ranging from free-text input from nurses to call center data. While
adoption of such technologies may seem complicated, DAvolio gets buy-in by
strategically aligning with revenue incentives and policy decisions.
In healthcare, policy eats strategy and culture for breakfast, explains DAvolio.
For example, prior to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act passed in
2009 the rate of adoption of electronic health records was under 9%. Today,
thanks to the carrot and stick incentives involved in that act the rate of adoption
is > 90%. Another major policy shift that has dramatically helped investment in
healthcare IT are the value-based care experiments (also called demonstration
programs) funded by the Center for Medicare & Medicare Innovation (CMMI).
Teo is also excited by policy changes that should drive forward healthcare
innovation. New reimbursement driven by the Medicare Access and CHIP
Reauthorization Act (MACRA) and the Merit-based Incentive Payment System
(MIPS) incentives in 2017 will drive quality outcomes, phasing providers to think
more holistically when investing in technology. Additionally, he believes that
a looser FDA in the coming years will help drive investment in personalized
medicine.
10.
Gaming
Do video games make you dumb? You can probably think of someone in your
life whod make you nod vigorously, but according to behavioral psychologists,
playing games actually does the opposite. Play performs a crucial role in
cognitive development and building behavior that helps advanced animals thrive
in different situations and environments.
Turns out what helps kittens and toddlers learn can also help AI get smarter.
In March 2016, Googles Alpha Go thrashed 18-time human world champion
Lee Sedol, in a five-game match of Go. Alpha Gos neural networks played tens
of millions of matches against both humans and itself to master the complex
and unusual gameplay it used to pummel Lee. The achievement reveals how
machine learning works: an AI system progressively makes self-adjustments to
adapt to new challenges and become unbeatable.
Practice makes perfect, in gaming as in life. Algorithms bested the top humans at
Tic Tac Toe in the 1950s, checkers in 1994, chess in 1997, Jeopardy in 2011, and
finally Go in 2016. Right up to the victories, many considered these games to be
impossible for computers to master.
Just several months after scoring the surprise Go win, Deepmind the company
behind Alpha Go announced a partnership with game developer Blizzard
Entertainment to open their 20-year game series Starcraft to AI and machine
learning researchers around the world. Among the finest player-versus-player
(PVP) games in history, Starcraft with its variable gameplay approaches, wide
range of playable units, and rich in-game economic system serves as a worthy
learning environment to teach AI how to make strategic decisions and solve
complex, real-world challenges.
Chess and Go are games of perfect information, in which both sides are fully
aware of the entire game state. In Starcraft, you dont know where your enemy is
or what she is building. The game uses a fog-of-war layer to obscure information
from players both AI and human. This layer necessitates hierarchical planning
in addition to memory and responsive adaptation to new data in order to
win a match. In turn, these parameters are perfect for probing the limits of
reinforcement learning.
In Starcraft, you never know when an enemy might leap from the shadows.
In most games, the players can always find a way to cheat AI or figure out a
way to work around the AI. But with a self-learning and adaptive AI that actually
understands what you are doing, then youll have a real artificial intelligence, not
one that is merely scripted to deal with certain events.
The use of AI in games has also gone beyond virtual opponents, NPCs and
creeps (the jargon game designers use to describe programmatically spawned
monsters). Soderlund reveals that AI can streamline realistic content creation,
personalize experiences, and make games run faster and easier to test. Youll
be able to talk to a video game wholl act smartly and come back to you with
context, sensitivity, and emotion. That will be pretty cool in terms of storytelling,
he promises.
Weve come a long way since Deep Blue defeated world chess champion Gary
Kasparov in 1997. IBM Interactive Media CTO George Dolbier aptly describes the
gigantic leap: the number of potential moves in a chess game has been equated
to the number of atoms, or the number of grains of sand on beaches. The
number of moves that are potential on a game of Go are equal to the number
of atoms in the universe. In a 2014, WIRED reported Go as one of AIs greatest
unsolved riddles that would require another 10 years to crack.
But the stakes for emerging technology are much higher than merely winning
or losing games. If artificial general intelligence (AGI) can be achieved by pitting
algorithms against a multitude of virtual words, then what you have is a game-
changing revolution.
To discuss how you can adopt automation technologies and AI at your own
organization, contact us at [email protected].
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to our newsletter.
To order the full version of our Applied Artificial Intelligence book, visit
appliedAIbook.com.
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