Math10 LM U3
Math10 LM U3
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Mathematics
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Learners Module
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Unit 3
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Education at [email protected].
Department of Education
Republic of the Philippines
All rights reserved. No part of this material may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means -
electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Mathematics Grade 10
Learners Module
First Edition 2015
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Only institution and companies which have entered an agreement with FILCOLS and
only within the agreed framework may copy this Learners Module. Those who have not
entered in an agreement with FILCOLS must, if they wish to copy, contact the publisher and
authors directly.
Authors and publishers may email or contact FILCOLS at [email protected] or (02)
439-2204, respectively.
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Published by the Department of Education
Secretary: Br. Armin A. Luistro FSC
Undersecretary: Dina S. Ocampo, PhD
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Development Team of the Learners Module
Consultants: Soledad A. Ulep, PhD, Debbie Marie B. Verzosa, PhD, and
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Rosemarievic Villena-Diaz, PhD
Authors: Melvin M. Callanta, Allan M. Canonigo, Arnaldo I. Chua, Jerry D. Cruz,
Mirla S. Esparrago, Elino S. Garcia, Aries N. Magnaye, Fernando B. Orines,
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Introduction
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finalization with the guidance of the consultants.
Module 1 Sequences
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Module 2 Polynomials and Polynomial Equations
Module 3 Polynomial Functions
Module 4 Circles
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Module 5 Plane Coordinate Geometry
Module 6 Permutations and Combinations
Module 7 Probability of Compound Events
Module 8 Measures of Position
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With the different activities provided in every module, may you find this
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Table of Contents
Unit 3
Module 6: Permutations and Combinations ....................................... 275
Lessons and Coverage ........................................................................ 276
Module Map ......................................................................................... 277
Pre-Assessment .................................................................................. 278
Learning Goals and Targets ................................................................ 282
Lesson 1: Permutations .............................................................................. 283
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Activity 1 .................................................................................... 283
Activity 2 .................................................................................... 284
Activity 3 .................................................................................... 286
Activity 4 .................................................................................... 286
Activity 5 .................................................................................... 295
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Activity 6 .................................................................................... 296
Activity 7 .................................................................................... 297
Activity 8 .................................................................................... 298
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Activity 9 .................................................................................... 299
Activity 10 .................................................................................. 299
Summary/Synthesis/Generalization ........................................................... 300
Lesson 2: Combinations .............................................................................. 301
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Activity 1 .................................................................................... 301
Activity 2 .................................................................................... 303
Activity 3 .................................................................................... 304
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Lesson 1: Union and Intersection of Events ............................................... 328
Activity 1 .................................................................................... 328
Activity 2 .................................................................................... 330
Activity 3 .................................................................................... 332
Activity 4 .................................................................................... 334
Activity 5 .................................................................................... 336
Activity 6 .................................................................................... 337
Activity 7 .................................................................................... 338
Activity 8 .................................................................................... 339
Activity 9 .................................................................................... 340
Summary/Synthesis/Generalization ........................................................... 340
Lesson 2: Independent and Dependent Events .......................................... 341
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Activity 1 .................................................................................... 341
Activity 2 .................................................................................... 343
Activity 3 .................................................................................... 344
Activity 4 .................................................................................... 344
Activity 5 .................................................................................... 345
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Activity 6 .................................................................................... 345
Summary/Synthesis/Generalization ........................................................... 345
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Lesson 3: Conditional Probability .............................................................. 346
Activity 1 .................................................................................... 346
Activity 2 .................................................................................... 347
Activity 3 .................................................................................... 348
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Activity 4 .................................................................................... 350
Activity 5 .................................................................................... 351
Activity 6 .................................................................................... 351
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
I. INTRODUCTION
Look at the pictures shown below. Have you ever wondered why
some locks such as the one shown below have codes in them? Do you
know why a shorter code is weak, while a longer code is a strong
personal password in a computer account? Have you ever realized that
there are several possible ways in doing most tasks or activities like
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planning a seating arrangement or predicting the possible outcomes of a
race? Have you ever been aware that there are numerous possible
choices in selecting from a set, like deciding which combination of dishes
to serve in a catering service or deciding which dishes to order in a menu?
Did you know that awareness of these can help you form conclusions and
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make wise decisions?
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Find out the answers to these questions and discover the wide
applications of permutations and combinations through this module.
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
II. LESSONS AND COVERAGE
In this module, you will examine and determine the number of possible
ways of doing certain tasks, or selecting some objects from a set. You will
learn about these through the following lessons:
Lesson 1 Permutations
Lesson 2 Combinations
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Lesson 1 illustrate permutation of objects;
derive the formula for finding the number of
permutations of n objects taken r at a time, n r ; and
solve problems involving permutations.
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Lesson 2 illustrate the combination of n objects;
differentiate permutation from combination of n
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objects taken r at a time, n r ;
derive the formula for finding the number of
combinations of n objects taken r at a time; and
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solve problems involving permutations and
combinations.
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Here is a simple map of the lessons that will be covered in this module:
COMBINATORICS
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Finding the Permutations of n
Objects Taken r at a Time
Permutations
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Permutations
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D
Finding the Combinations of n
Objects Taken r at a Time
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Problems Involving
Combinations Combinations
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Problems Involving
Permutations and Combinations
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
III. PRE-ASSESSMENT
Part I
Find out how much you already know about the topics in this module.
Choose the letter that you think best answers the question. Please answer
all the items. Take note of the items that you were not able to answer
correctly and find the right answer as you go through this module.
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A. matching shirts and pants
B. forming different triangles out of 5 points on a plane, no three of
which are collinear
C. assigning telephone numbers to subscribers
D. forming a committee from the members of a club
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3. The product of a positive integer n and all the positive integers less
than it is _____.
A. powers of n
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C. n - factors
B. multiples of n D. n factorial
5. How many different 4-digit even numbers can be formed from the digits
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8. Ms. Santos asked Renz to draw all the diagonals of a certain polygon
on the blackboard. Renz was able to draw 27 diagonals which his
teacher declared correct. What was the given polygon?
A. pentagon C. nonagon
B. hexagon D. decagon
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
9. Ms. De Leon wants to produce different sets of test questions for her
essay test. If she plans to do this by putting together 3 out of 5
questions she prepared, how many different sets of questions could
she construct?
A. 10 B. 20 C. 60 D. 80
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12. What is P(8, 5)?
A. 56 B. 336 C. 1400 D. 6720
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14. Given x = P(n, n) and y = P(n, n 1), what can be concluded about x
and y?
A. x > y B. x < y
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C. x = y D. x = y
16. If a combination lock must contain 5 different digits, in how many ways
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17. In how many ways can 4 men and 3 women arrange themselves in a
row for picture taking if the men and women must stand in alternate
positions?
A. 5040 B. 720 C. 144 D. 30
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18. In a room, there are 10 chairs in a row. In how many ways can 5
students be seated in consecutive chairs?
A. 720 B. 600 C. 252 D. 120
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
20. If w = C(5, 2), x = C(5, 3), y = C(5, 4), and z = C(5, 5), and we are
given 5 points on a plane of which no three are collinear, which
expression gives the total number of polygons that can be drawn?
A. x + y C. x + y + z
B. w + x + y D. w + x + y + z
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A. 11 B. 10 C. 9 D. 7
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25. A caterer offers 3 kinds of soup, 7 kinds of main dish, 4 kinds of
vegetable dish, and 4 kinds of dessert. In how many possible ways can
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a caterer form a meal consisting of 1 soup, 2 main dishes, 1 vegetable
dish, and 2 desserts?
A. 140 B. 336 C. 672 D. 1512
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26. In how many ways can a committee of 7 students be chosen from 9
juniors and 9 seniors if there must be 4 seniors in the committee?
A. 10 584 B. 1764 C. 210 D. 84
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Part II
Read and understand the situation below, and then answer the question
or perform what is required.
Suppose you had graduated from high school but did not have
enough money to continue your college education. You decided to work
temporarily and save for your schooling. You applied at Mr. Aquinos
restaurant and were hired. After a few days, you noticed that the
restaurant business was not doing very well, and Mr. Aquino asked for
your opinion. What you noticed was that there was no variety in the food
being served in the restaurant.
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1. Prepare a list of different choices of food that may be served (soup,
meat/chicken dishes, fish, vegetables, fruits, desserts, beverages).
Consider health and nutritional values.
2. What mathematical concepts are utilized in this given situation?
3. Formulate two problems involving the mathematical concepts in the
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situation.
4. Write the equation(s) or expressions that describe the situation.
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5. Solve the equations and problems formulated.
6. Present a sample menu for the day and explain the reason for your
choice. In view of the fact that there will be several possible
combinations, explain also why you should prepare certain dishes
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more often or less frequently.
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D
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with two or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes
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Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts
of the solution and communicates ideas accurately, shows
4
in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
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Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
3
shows comprehension of major concepts although neglects
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or misinterprets less significant ideas or details
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately, but shows
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gaps on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension,
1
not being able to develop an approach
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Start Lesson 1 of this module by assessing your knowledge of the
basic counting technique called the Fundamental Counting Principle.
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This knowledge and skill will help you understand permutations of
objects. As you go through this lesson, keep in mind this important
question: How does the concept of permutation help in forming
conclusions and in making wise decisions? To be able to answer this,
perform each activity that follows. Seek the assistance of your teacher
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and peers if you encounter any difficulty. Have your work checked by
your teacher. C
Activity 1:
occasions.
1. Assuming that any skirt can be paired with
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Questions:
a. How did you determine the different possibilities asked for in the
two situations? What methods did you use?
b. What did you feel when you were listing the answers?
Were you able to list all the possibilities asked for? How did you
ensure that your list was complete? What method(s) did you use in order
to give the accurate count? Why do you think there is a need to know the
number of possible ways a certain task can be done? You will find this
out as you go through this lesson.
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Activity 2:
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1. Ten runners join a race. In how many possible ways can they be
arranged as first, second, and third placers?
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2. If Jun has 12 T-shirts, 6 pairs of pants, and 3 pairs of shoes, how many
possibilities can he dress himself up for the day?
3. In how many ways can Aling Rosa arrange 6 potted plants in a row?
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
5. If there are 3 roads from Town A to Town B and 4 roads from Town B
to Town C, in how many ways can one go from Town A to Town C and
back to Town A, through Town B, without passing through the same
road twice?
7. In how many ways can you place 9 different books on a shelf if there is
space enough for only 5 books?
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8. You want to order your lunch from the school canteen, which offers
student meals consisting of 1 cup of rice, 1 meat dish, and 1 vegetable
dish. How many choices do you have for your meal if there are 3
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choices of meat dishes and 2 choices of vegetable dishes?
Questions:
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a. How did you find the answer to each of the questions? What
previously learned principle did you apply?
b. Show and explain how you answered each item.
In the activity you have done, were you able determine the exact
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Activity 3:
Questions:
1. In which situations in Activity 2 is order or arrangement of the selection
important?
2. Justify your answer by giving an example for each situation.
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3. In performing a certain task where order or arrangement is important,
what do you call each possible arrangement?
Activity 4:
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Perform the following activity using four number cards with different digits.
Follow all instructions and write all your answers on a clean sheet of paper.
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Then, complete the table and answer the questions that follow.
2 ways
2
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2. a. Arrange the cards using 2 pieces at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each arrangement.
c. Count the number of arrangements you have made, using 2 cards at
a time from the 3 given cards.
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2. a. Arrange the objects using all 4 pieces at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each arrangement.
c. Count the number of arrangements you have made using all the 4
number cards at a time. Tabulate all results.
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Results:
3 2
3 3
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4 1
4 2
4 3
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4 4
Questions:
a. What do you call each arrangement?
b. Can you find any pattern in the results?
c. Can you think of other ways of finding these answers?
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How did you find the preceding activities? Are you ready to learn
about permutations? From the activities you have done, you recalled the
Fundamental Counting Principle which is an essential tool in under-
standing about arrangement, or permutations. You also identified tasks
in which the arrangement or order is important. How can permutations
help in solving real-life problems or in making conclusions and decisions?
You will find out in the next activities. Before doing these activities, read
and understand first some important notes on permutations including the
examples presented.
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Suppose we have 6 different potted plants and we wish to arrange 4 of
them in a row. In how many ways can this be done?
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We can determine the number of ways these plants can be arranged in
a row if we arrange only 4 of them at a time. Each possible arrangement is
called a permutation.
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The permutation of 6 potted plants taken 4 at a time is denoted by
P(6, 4), 6P4 , P6,4 , or P46
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be denoted by P(n, r) .
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How do we find the number of permutations of n objects taken r at a
time? Study the following illustrations:
Example 1. Given the 4-letter word READ. In how many ways can we arrange
its letters, 3 at a time?
Solution: There are 3 positions to be filled. We write the horizontal marks:
_ _ _. On each horizontal mark, we write the number of choices
we have in filling up the said position. There are 4 choices for the
first position. After the first position is filled, there are 3 choices
left for the second position. After the first and second positions
are filled, there are 2 choices left for the third position. So the
three entries on the horizontal marks would be
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4 3 2
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Thus, there are 24 possible ways of arranging the 4 letters of READ
taking 3 of them at a time. We also say the 4 letters of READ, taken 3 at a
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time, have 24 permutations. One of them is R-E-D. Verify this result.
Notice that the first factor is n, and the succeeding factors decrease by
1 each time. Look at the last factor: n - 2 = n (3 1)
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= n (r 1) or n r + 1.
Take note also that there are r factors in all, starting with n.
Example 2. In a school club, there are 5 possible choices for the president, a
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Solution: P(5, 4) = 5 4 3 2
= 120 ways
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Note that there are r factors.
Can you now answer the problem earlier? Suppose we have 6 potted
plants and we wish to arrange 4 of them in a row. In how many ways can this
be done?
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in a row for picture taking?
Solution: n = 5, r = 5
P(5, 5) = 5 4 3 2 1 (5 factors)
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= 120 possible pictures
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In the third example, we used all the numbers from n = 5 down to 1.
Another way of writing 5 4 3 2 1 is 5! (read as 5 factorial)
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Similarly, 4! = 4 3 2 1 = 24
8! = 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 = 40 320
3! = 3 2 1 = 6
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Remember: The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is:
n!
P(n, r) = , n r
(n r )!
Notice that, in the previous examples, the objects to be arranged are all
distinct. Suppose some of the objects to be arranged are not distinct, that is,
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some are identical. Study the following examples.
Example 4. Find the number of permutations of the letters of the word EVEN.
Solution: There are 4 letters of the word. Initially, suppose these letters
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are distinct, then the number of permutation is
C P(4, 4) = 4!.
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Now, these two Es are the same, and so the two entries in each box
are also the same. Take note that for each permutation like E-V-E-N, there
are 2, or 2! ways of arranging the two Es without changing the arrangement
of the others. The duplications are eliminated by dividing 4! or 24 by the
number of ways of arranging the 2 Es which is 2! So, out of the 24
arrangements, the number of distinct or distinguishable permutations, P,
would be:
P (4,4)
P =
2!
4!
=
2
24
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=
2
= 12 distinguishable permutations
Solution:
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There are 10 letters of the word. Assuming that the letters are
distinct, there are P(10, 10) = 10! permutations.
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However, we have to take into consideration that the 3 Ss are alike,
the 3 Ts are alike, and the 2 Is are also alike. The permutations of the 3 Ss
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is P(3, 3) = 3!. The permutations of the 3 Ts is P(3, 3) = 3! The permutation
of the 2 Ts is P(2, 2) = 2!
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10!
P =
3! 3! 2!
= 50 400 permutations
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Let us now consider arrangement of objects in a circle, which we call
circular permutations.
Example 6.
a. In how many ways can 3 people be seated around a circular
table?
Solution: n=3
1 1
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3 2 2 3
(a) (b)
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Notice that the arrangement 1-2-3 in (a) above is the same
as 2-3-1 and 3-1-2; meaning these 3 permutations are just one and
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the same. Notice also that the arrangements 1-3-2, 3-2-1, and 2-1-
3 are also just the same as seen in (b).
6
P
E
3
3!
3
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3 2!
3
2!
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
We can also look at it this way:
If there are 3 seats around the circular table, we can assign one
of the persons to a fixed seat and determine the number of ways
that the other two can be arranged. This way, we avoid counting
again an arrangement that resulted from a mere rotation. Thus, the
number of circular permutations of 3 objects is (3 1)! or 2! and the
circular permutations of n objects is (n 1)!.
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The arrangements are:
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C-D-A-B D-C-A-B B-D-A-C D-B-A-C B-C-A-D C-B-A-D
D-A-B-C C-A-B-D D-A-C-B C B-A-C-D C-A-D-B B-A-D-C
4 3!
=
4
= 3!
Or simply, P = (n - 1)!
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= (4 - 1)!
= 3!
= 6
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http://mathworld.wolfram.com/circularpermutations.ht
ml
http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinatio
Know more about ns-permutations.html
permutations through http://users.math.yale.edu/~anechka/math107/lecture
these websites. 13.pdf
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Your goal in this section is to apply the key concepts of
permutations. Use the mathematical ideas and the examples presented
in the preceding section to answer the activities provided.
Activity 5:
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Solve for the unknown in each item, and then answer the questions that
follow.
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1. P(6, 6) = ___ 6. P(8, r) = 6 720
2. P(7, r) = 840 7. P(8, 3) = ___
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Questions:
a. How did you calculate the different permutations?
b. What mathematics concepts or principles did you apply to solve
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each permutation?
c. Did you find any difficulty in finding the answers? What technique or
strategy can you think of to facilitate your way of solving?
How did you find the preceding activity? Was it easy? I am sure it
was! Find out from your peers if you had the same answers or strategies
in solving. If not, discover why. In the next activity, you are going to apply
the concept of permutations to solve real-life problems.
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Activity 6:
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3. In how many different ways can 5 bicycles be parked if there are 7
available parking spaces?
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4. How many distinguishable permutations are possible with all the letters
of the word ELLIPSES?
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5. There are 8 basketball teams competing for the top 4 standings in
order to move up to the semi-finals. Find the number of possible
rankings of the four top teams.
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6. In how many different ways can 12 people occupy the 12 seats in a
front row of a mini-theater?
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9. If there are 10 people and only 6 chairs are available, in how many
ways can they be seated?
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Activity 7:
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2. There are 4 different Mathematics books and 5 different Science
books. In how many ways can the books be arranged on a shelf if
a. there are no restrictions?
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b. books of the same subject must be placed together?
c. if they must be placed alternately?
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3. Five couples want to have their pictures taken. In how many ways can
they arrange themselves in a row if
a. couples must stay together?
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4. There are 12 people in a dinner gathering. In how many ways can the
host (one of the 12) arrange his guests around a dining table if
a. they can sit on any of the chairs?
b. 3 people insist on sitting beside each other?
c. 2 people refuse to sit beside each other?
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5. A teacher drew a number line on the board and named some points on
it. The teacher then asked the class to list all the rays in the figure. A
student answered 30 rays in all and the teacher said it was correct.
How many points were named in the figure?
How were the activities done so far? Were you able to answer all of
the exercises? I hope you just did successfully!
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In this section, permutation was discussed, including permutation with
identical objects, circular permutation, and its real-life applications. You may go
back to the previous sections and compare your initial ideas about the concept
of permutation. Were these further clarified?
Now that you have learned the basic ideas about permutations, let
us deepen your understanding and study the next section.
PY
In this section, you are going to think deeper and test further your
understanding of permutations. After doing the following activities, you
should be able to answer the important question: How are permutations
used in forming conclusions and in making wise decisions?
O
Activity 8: C
Answer the following questions completely.
3.
a. Find the number of permutations of n objects when arranged (n - 1)
at a time for any positive integer n.
b. Find the number of permutations of n objects when taken all at a
time.
D
c. Compare the two (a and b). Explain why the answers still make
sense.
298
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
In this section, the discussion was about your understanding of
permutations and how they are illustrated and used in real life. What new
realizations do you have about permutations? How would you connect
these realizations to real life?
Activity 9:
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ready to do the tasks in the next section.
O
Your goal in this section is to apply your learning to real-life
situations. You will be given a practical task which will demonstrate your
understanding of permutations.
C
Activity 10:
D
299
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with two or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes
PY
Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts of
the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows in-
4
depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
O
Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant parts
of the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows
3
comprehension of major concepts although neglects or
C
misinterprets less significant ideas or details
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately but shows gaps
D
on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension, not
1
being able to develop an approach
E
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
300
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Start Lesson 2 of this module by assessing your knowledge of the
Fundamental Counting Principle and permutations. This knowledge and
PY
skill will help you understand combinations, which will further help you in
forming conclusions and in making decisions. To be able to do this,
perform each activity that follows. Seek the assistance of your teacher
and peers if you encounter any difficulty. Have your work checked by
your teacher.
Activity 1:
O
C
Solve each problem below and answer the questions that follow.
2. You were tasked to take charge of the auditions for the female parts of
D
a stage play. In how many possible ways can you form your cast of 5
female members if there were 15 hopefuls?
3. If ice cream is served in a cone, in how many ways can Abby choose
her three-flavor ice cream scoop if there are 6 available flavors?
301
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5. How many possible permutations are there in the letters of the word
PHILIPPINES?
PY
9. A family catering business prides itself with its offerings of delicious
meals and other food requirements. If you were one of the staff or key
persons in this business, how can you apply your knowledge of
permutation and combination to further improve your business?
O
10. Due to the huge population of Mapayapa High School, one of the
C
problems encountered is the big crowd through the gates during the
early morning and at dismissal time in the afternoon. If you were one of
the administrators of the school, what step can you suggest to remedy
this problem?
E D
EP
a. How did you find the number of ways asked for in each item?
What mathematics concepts or principles did you apply? How did
you apply these concepts or principles?
b. Which situations above illustrate permutations? Which do not?
D
Why?
302
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Were you able to find what was required in each problem? Were
you able to recall and apply the different mathematics concepts or
principles in solving each problem? Why do you think it is important to be
able to perform such mathematical tasks? You will find this out as you go
through this lesson.
Activity 2:
Study the tasks or activities below, and then answer the questions that follow.
PY
1. Choosing 5 questions to answer out of 10 questions in a test
2. Opening a combination lock
3. Winning in a contest
4. Selecting 7 people to form a Student Affairs Committee
5. Forming triangles from 6 distinct points in which no 3 points are
O
collinear
6. Assigning seats to guests at dinner
7. Drawing a set of 6 numbers in a lottery containing numbers 1 to 45
8.
C
Entering the PIN (Personal Identification Number) of your ATM card
9. Selecting 3 posters to hang out of 6 different posters
10. Listing the elements of subsets of a given set
D
Questions:
E
In the activity you have just done, were you able to identify
situations that involve permutations and those that do not? The latter
are called combinations and you will learn more about them in the next
D
activities.
303
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Activity 3:
Perform the following activity using any 5 different fruits (mango, guava,
banana, pomelo, avocado, or any fruits available in your place). Follow all
instructions and write all your answers on a clean sheet of paper. Then,
complete the table and answer the questions that follow.
PY
mango
banana 2 ways
O
2. a. Select the fruits 2 pieces at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of different selections you have made.
C
B. Get 3 fruits.
1. a. Select a fruit 1 piece at a time. Do all possible selections.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
D
c. Count the number of different selections you have made when using
1 object at a time from the 3 given fruits.
E
C. Get 4 fruits.
1. Repeat Steps B.1 to 3.
2. a. Continue the process until you select 4 fruits at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of different selections you have made using all
the 4 fruits at a time.
304
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Results:
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4 2
4 3
4 4
5 1
O
5 2
5 C 3
5 4
5 5
D
Questions:
How did you find the preceding activities? Are you ready to learn
about combinations? From the activities you have done, you identified
D
305
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Suppose you were assigned by your teacher to be the leader of your
group for your project. You were given the freedom to choose 4 of your
classmates to be your group mates. If you choose Aira, Belle, Charlie, and
Dave, does it make any difference if you choose instead Charlie, Aira, Dave,
and Belle? Of course not, because the list refers to the same people. Each
selection that you could possibly make is called a combination. On the other
hand, if you choose Aira, Belle, Dave, and Ellen, now that is another
combination, and it is different from the first combination cited.
PY
The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is denoted by
n
C(n, r) , nCr , C rn or .
r
O
In this learning material, we will use the first notation.
C
How do we find the number of combinations of n objects taken r at a
time?
D
Suppose now, that you are asked to form different triangles out of 4
points plotted, say, A, B, C, and D, of which no three are collinear.
E
EP
D
We can see that ABC is the same as BCA and CBA. In the same
manner, BCD is the same as CBD and DBC. This is another illustration
of combination. The different triangles that can be formed are ABC,
ABD, BCD, and CDA. Thus, there are 4 combinations.
306
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How can we find the number of combinations more systematically?
Consider this: If order of the letters is important, then we have the following
possibilities:
PY
P(4, 3) =
(4 3)!
= 24.
O
name a triangle using its three vertices in any order, then if we look more
closely, we can see that all the triangles in the same column are identical.
Thus, the actual number of combinations is
C
24 P ( 4, 3) P ( 4, 3)
C(4, 3) = or or . (Equation 1)
6 6 3!
D
Notice that 6 or 3! is the number of ways of arranging 3 objects taken
all at a time. We divided by 3! to eliminate duplicates.
E
P(n, r)
And so equation (1) becomes C(n,r) = .
r!
n!
Since P(n, r) = ,
(n r )!
D
P(n, r)
then C(n, r) =
r!
n!
(n r )!
=
r!
n!
= .
r!(n r )!
307
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Remember: The combination of n objects taken r at a time is:
n!
C(n, r) = , n r 0
r! ( n r )!
n!
C(n,r) =
r ! (n r )!
PY
8!
=
4! (8 4)!
8 7 6 2 5 4 3 21
O
=
4 3 2 1 4 3 2 1
= 7 2 5 after common factors are cancelled
C
= 70 ways
r!
8765 Permutation of r objects
=
EP
4!
There are r = 4 factors
8 7 62 5
=
4 3 2 1
D
308
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Example 2. How many polygons can be possibly formed from 6 distinct
points on a plane, no three of which are collinear?
6 5 4 6 5 43 6 5 432 6 5 4 3 2 1
= + + +
3! 4! 5! 6!
PY
65 4 6 5 43 6 5 432 6 5 4 3 2 1
= + + +
3 2 1 4 3 2 1 5 4 3 2 1 6 5 4 3 2 1
= 54 + 53 + 6 + 1
= 20 + 15 + 7
O
C
N = 42 possible polygons.
www.beatthegmat.com/mba/2013/09/27/does-order-
matter-combinations-and-non-combinations
EP
http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinatio
ns-permutations.html
permutations-combinations-in-10262.html
309
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Your goal in this section is to apply the key concepts of
combinations. Use the mathematical ideas and the examples presented
in the preceding section to answer the given activities.
Activity 4:
Study the following situations. Then, answer the questions that follow.
PY
1. Determining the top three winners in a Science Quiz Bee
2. Forming lines from six given points with no three of which are collinear
3. Forming triangles from 7 given points with no three of which are
collinear
O
4. Four people posing for pictures
5. Assembling a jigsaw puzzle
6. Choosing 2 household chores to do before dinner
C
7. Selecting 5 basketball players out of 10 team members for the different
positions
8. Choosing three of your classmates to attend your party
9. Picking 6 balls from a basket of 12 balls
D
10. Forming a committee of 5 members from 20 people
E
Questions:
permutation from those that involve combination? The next activity will
provide you with more exercises to improve your calculating skills.
310
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Activity 5:
How did you find the activity? Was it easy? I guess it was! Go on to
PY
the next activity to apply your knowledge of combinations in real-life
situations.
Activity 6:
O
Solve the following problems completely. (Choose a partner.)
C
1. If there are 12 teams in a basketball tournament and each team must
play every other team in the eliminations, how many elimination games
will there be?
D
2. If there are 7 distinct points on a plane with no three of which are
collinear, how many different polygons can be possibly formed?
E
5. In problem number 4, how many ways can you select the 5 questions if
D
8. A box contains 5 red balls, 7 green balls, and 6 yellow balls. In how
many ways can 6 balls be chosen if there should be 2 balls of each
color?
311
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9. From 7 Biology books and 6 Chemistry books, in how many ways can
one select 2 Biology and 2 Chemistry books to buy if all the said books
are equally necessary?
10. Mrs. Riveras business is gown rental and sale. She decided one day
that she would display her 10 newest gowns in her shops window to
attract customers. If she only had 5 mannequins and planned to
change the set of gowns every 2 days, how many days will have to
pass before she runs out of a new set to display?
PY
on to the next activity to see if you can solve the following set of
permutation and combination problems.
Activity 7:
O
Solve the following permutation and combination problems.
C
1. In how many ways can you arrange 5 Mathematics books, 4 Science
books, and 3 English books on a shelf such that books of the same
subject are kept together?
E D
EP
D
3. In a gathering, the host makes sure that each guest shakes hands with
everyone else. If there are 25 guests, how many handshakes will be
done?
312
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4. Suppose you are the owner of a sari-sari store and you want to put 12
pieces of canned goods in a row on the shelf. If there are 3 identical
cans of meat loaf, 4 identical cans of tomato sauce, 2 identical cans of
sardines, and 3 identical cans of corned beef, in how many different
ways can you display these goods?
PY
dance group select their piece?
O
8. There are 10 identified points on a number line. How many possible
C
rays can be drawn using the given points?
10. At Enzos Pizza Parlor, there are seven different toppings, where a
customer can order any number of these toppings. If you dine at the
EP
said pizza parlor, with how many possible toppings can you actually
order your pizza?
How did you find all the activities you have done? I hope you have
answered the exercises correctly.
D
313
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
In this section you are going to think more deeply and test further
your understanding of combinations. After doing the following activities,
you should be able to answer the important question: How are
combinations used in forming conclusions and making wise decisions?
Activity 8:
PY
Answer the following questions completely.
O
7!
C(7, 3) =
4! 3!
7 6 5 4!
C
=
4! 3!
765
D
=
3 2 1
= 35 different polygons
E
3. (a) In how many ways can the 12 members of the Board of Directors
(BOD) be chosen from 12 parent-nominees and 7 teacher-nominees if
there must be 8 parents in the BOD? (b) After the 12 members are
chosen, in how many ways can they elect among themselves the 7 top
positions (president, vice president, and others)?
D
314
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c. In how many possible ways can the top five players in the semi-
finals come up?
d. In how many possible ways can the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd placer be
declared in the final round?
e. How many matches will be played altogether?
PY
Activity 9:
Write an entry in your journal describing how much you have learned
about combinations, and how these can be applied to real life. Add also the
parts of the lesson that you still find confusing, if any. Work on these
O
difficulties with your teacher.
C
Now that you have a deeper understanding of the topic, you are
ready to do the tasks in the next section.
E D
Activity 10:
D
1. formulate a problem.
2. solve the problem.
3. explain how this particular problem may help you in formulating
conclusions and/or making decisions.
315
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Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with 2 or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes.
PY
Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts
of the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows
4
in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant
O
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately ,
3
shows comprehension of major concepts although neglects
or misinterprets less significant ideas or details
C
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately but shows
gaps on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension,
D
1
not being able to develop an approach
Source: D.O. #73, s. 2012
E
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
EP
This lesson was about combinations and their applications in real life.
Through the lesson, you were able to identify situations that describe
combinations and differentiate them from those that do not. You were also
given the opportunity to perform practical activities to further understand the
D
topic, formulate related real-life problems, and solve these problems. You
also applied your knowledge to formulating conclusions and making wise
decisions. Your understanding of this lesson, combined with other previously
learned Mathematics concepts will help you understand the next lesson,
probability.
316
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GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Combinations the number of ways of selecting from a set when the order
is not important. The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is
n!
given by C(n, r) = , n r.
(n r )! r !
PY
objects where some of them are alike. The number of distinguishable
permutations of n objects when p are alike, q are alike, r are alike, and so on,
n!
is given by P = .
p! q! r !...
O
Fundamental Counting Principle states that if activity A can be done in n1
ways, activity B can be done in n2 ways, activity C in n3 ways, and so on, then
C
activities A, B, and C can be done simultaneously in n1 n2 n3 ways.
n-Factorial the product of the positive integer n and all the positive integers
EP
References:
Bennett, J. & Chard, D., et al. (2005). Pre-Algebra. Texas: Holt, Rinehart and
Winston.
Bhowal, M. & Barua, P. (2008). Statistics: 2nd ed. New Delhi: Kamal Jagasia.
317
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
McCune, S. (2010). Statistics. New York: The Mc-Graw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Spiegel, M.R. & Stephens, L.J. (2008). Schaums Outline of Theory and
Problems of Statistics 4th ed. New York: The Mc-Graw-Hill
Companies, Inc.
BBC News About International Summits. Jonathan Powell. May 29, 2012.
PY
www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-18237721 Accessed on Feb. 27, 2014
O
C
http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations.html
Accessed on Feb. 26, 2014
318
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
I. INTRODUCTION
It is remarkable that a science which began with the consideration
of games of chance should have become the most important object of
human knowledge. The most important questions of life are indeed, for
the most part, really only problems of probability.
PY
Pierre Simon de Laplace
Maybe, you are familiar with games of chance such as lotto. You
have also learned that the likelihood of winning in any game of chance can
O
be estimated using probability. However, do you not know that the theory
of probability is not only for games of chance? Probability is very useful in
C
many practical and important fields in science, engineering, economics,
and social sciences. Why do you think is the study of probability so
important to the advancement of science and technology? You will learn
D
the reasons when you study this module.
E
EP
D
319
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II. LESSONS AND COVERAGE
PY
Lesson 1 intersection of events
illustrate and find probabilities of mutually exclusive
events
illustrate independent and dependent events
O
Lesson 2
find probabilities of independent and dependent events
identify conditional probabilities
Lesson 3
C
solve problems on conditional probabilities
E D
320
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III. PRE-ASSESSMENT
PY
7 4 3 4 3 7 7 4
A. B. C. D.
10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
O
2. The spinner on the right is spun. What is the
probability of a spin that results in an even
number or a number less than 4?
C
1 3 4 5
A. B. C. D.
4 8 8 8
D
3. Jody has four cans of juice one can of orange, one of pineapple, one
E
4. A man tosses a fair coin eight times, and observes whether the toss
yields a head (H) or a tail (T). Which of the following sequences of
outcomes yields a head (H) on his next toss?
(I) TTTTTTTT
(II) HHTHTTHH
A. I C. Neither I nor II
B. II D. Either I or II
321
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
5. A baby has 5 blocks in a box. One block is red, one is yellow, one is
green, one is blue, and one is black. The baby pulls out a block, looks
at it, and puts it back in the box. If he does this 4 times before he gets
bored and crawls away, what is the probability that the 4 blocks
selected are all of the same color?
5 1 4 2
A. 4 B. 4 C. 4 D. 4
5 5 5 5
6. A box contains 4 red balls and 6 blue balls. A second box contains 16
red balls and an unknown number of blue balls. A single ball is drawn
from each box. The probability that both balls are of the same color is
PY
0.44. How many blue balls are there in the second box?
A. 4 B. 20 C. 24 D. 44
7. A family has two children. Suppose that the birth of each child is an
O
independent event and that it is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. Let
C denote the event that the family has one boy and one girl. Let D
denote the event that the family has at most one girl. Which of the
following must be true about events C and D?
C
A. C and D are independent events.
B. C occurs given that D does not occur.
D
C. C and D are not independent events.
D. C and D are mutually exclusive events.
E
the probability that the first person likes eating pizza while the second
one does not?
A. 0.42 + (1 0.42) C. 1 - 0.42
B. 2 (1 0.42) D. 0.42 (1 0.42)
D
9. A married couple agreed to continue bearing a new child until they get
two boys, but not more than 4 children. Assuming that each time that a
child is born, the probability that it is a boy is 0.5, independent from all
other times. Find the probability that the couple has at least two girls.
1 5 5 4
A. B. C. D.
2 16 8 15
322
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10. Some street foods were sampled and tested for the presence of
disease-causing bacteria or harmful chemicals. A random sample of
200 street foods of various types according to how they are prepared
was examined. The table below shows the results:
Number of Number of
Number of
Food with Food with
Type of Food with
Harmful Both Bacteria Total
Food Bacteria
Chemicals and Harmful
Only
Only Chemicals
Fried 35 15 18 68
Boiled 46 14 32 92
PY
Grilled 24 8 8 40
Total 105 37 58 200
O
fried?
68 35 50 68
A. B. C. D.
200 105 142 142
C
b.) What is the probability that a food selected at random is both grilled
and contained harmful chemical?
D
40 58 16 16
A. B. C. D.
200 105 142 200
E
c.) What is the probability that a randomly selected food has both
bacteria and harmful chemicals?
EP
40 58 16 8
A. B. C. D.
200 200 142 58
11. A survey of a groups sports viewing habits over the last year revealed
the following information:
D
What percent of the group watched none of the three sports last year?
A. 24 B. 36 C. 41 D. 52
323
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12. The probability that a visit to the school clinic is neither due to dental
reasons nor medical reasons is 35%. Of those coming to the clinic,
30% are due to medical reasons and 40% are due to dental reasons.
What is the probability that a visit to the school clinic is due to both
dental and medical reasons?
A. 0.05 B. 0.12 C. 0.18 D. 0.25
PY
312 men, 102 died from causes related to heart disease. Determine
the probability that a man randomly selected from this group died of
causes related to heart disease, given that neither of his parents
suffered from heart disease.
102 108 312 414
O
A. B. C. D.
625 625 625
C 625
14. There are four batteries, and one of them is defective. Two are to be
selected at random for use on a particular day. Find the probability that
the second battery selected is not defective, given that the first was not
D
defective.
2 1 1 1
A. B. C. D.
3 4 3 2
E
For numbers 15 to 16: A sample of 150 plastic pipes were selected and
EP
subjected to shock resistance and scratch resistance tests. The results are
summarized in the table below.
Shock Resistance
Scratch Resistance
High Low
D
High 125 12
Low 7 6
15. A pipe is selected at random. What is the probability that it has high
shock resistance given that it has high scratch resistance?
125 125 137 132
A. B. C. D.
132 137 150 150
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16. What is the probability that it has high scratch resistance and high
shock resistance?
125 125 137 132
A. B. C. D.
150 137 150 150
PY
respectively. Determine the probability that a randomly chosen
employee will choose no supplementary coverage.
7 1 47 9
A. B. C. D.
9 2 144 144
O
18. There are 24 dolphins in an ocean park. The caretaker tags 6 of them
with small chips and returns them to the ocean park. The next month,
C
he randomly selects five dolphins from the ocean park.
a.) Find the probability that exactly two of the selected dolphins are
tagged.
D
6C218C3 6C3 18C2 6P3 18P2 6P218P3
A. B. C. D.
24C5 24C5 24P5 24P5
E
b.) What were some of your assumptions in part (a) of this item?
EP
Read and understand the situations below and solve the problem. Show your
complete solution.
19. Varsity Try-Out. Suppose you are applying as a tennis varsity player
of a team. To be accepted, you need to play with the teams good
player (G) and top player (T) in three games and win against both G
and T in two successive games. You must choose one of the two
schedules: playing G, T, G or T, G, T. Which one should you choose?
Why?
325
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20. Food Preference Survey. A school conducts a survey of their
students food preference during lunch and gets the following
information:
PY
have exactly one viand and that is fish. Show your solution.
O
After going through this module, you should be able to demonstrate
understanding of the key concepts of probability of compound events,
mutually exclusive events, independent events, and of conditional probability.
C
With these expected knowledge and skills, you should be able to use
probability in formulating conclusions and in making decisions.
E D
EP
D
326
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Scoring Rubrics for Problem Solving
1 2 3 4
No strategy is A partially correct A correct strategy is An efficient strategy is
chosen, or a strategy is chosen, chosen based on the chosen and progress
strategy chosen or a correct strategy mathematical situation towards a solution is
will not lead to a for solving only part in the task. evaluated.
solution. of the task is Adjustments in strategy,
Little or no chosen. Planning or monitoring if necessary, are made
evidence of en- Evidence of drawing of strategy is evident. along the way, and/or
gagement in the on some relevant Evidence of solidifying alternative strategies are
Problem
task present previous knowledge prior knowledge and considered.
Solving
is present, showing applying it in problem- Evidence of analyzing
some relevant solving is present. the situation in
engagement in the Note: At this level a mathematical terms and
task. student must achieve a extending prior
correct answer. knowledge is present.
Note: At this level a
PY
student must achieve a
correct answer.
Arguments are Arguments are Arguments are Deductive arguments are
made with made with some constructed with used to justify decisions
mathematical mathematical basis. adequate math- and may result in formal
basis. ematical basis. proofs.
Reasoning No correct Some correct A systematic approach Evidence is used to
O
reasoning nor reasoning or and/or justification of justify and support
justification for justification for correct reasoning is decisions made and
reasoning is reasoning is present. present. conclusions reached.
present.
No awareness of
audience or
C
Some
communication of an
Communication of an
approach is evident
Communication of
argument is supported by
purpose is approach is evident through a methodical, mathematical properties.
communicated. through organized, coherent, Formal math language
No formal verbal/written sequenced and and symbolic notation is
mathematical accounts and labeled response. used to consolidate math
D
terms or explanations. Formal math language thinking and to
Communication
symbolic is used to share and communicate ideas. At
notations are evi- An attempt is made clarify ideas. At least least one of the math
dent. to use formal math two formal math terms terms or symbolic
E
327
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Begin Lesson 1 of this module by assessing your knowledge and skills of
the different mathematics concepts related to counting techniques and
PY
probability of simple events as well as concepts of sets you previously studied.
These knowledge and skills are important in understanding the probability of
compound events. As you go through this lesson, think of this question, Why do
you think is the study of probability important in making decisions in real life?
O
Activity 1:
C
Consider the situation below. Use your knowledge on probability in answering
the questions that follow.
1. A die is rolled once. Find the probability of obtaining
D
a. a 5.
b. a 6.
c. an odd number.
E
2. A box contains 3 red balls, 5 yellow balls, and 2 blue balls. If a ball is
EP
picked at random from the box, what is the probability that a ball picked
is a
a. yellow ball?
b. red ball?
D
328
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Activities such as rolling a die, tossing a coin, or randomly choosing a ball
from a box which could be repeated over and over again and which have well-
defined results are called experiments. The results of an experiment are called
outcomes. The set of all outcomes in an experiment is called a sample space.
An event is a subset of the sample space.
PY
Probability of Simple Events: If each of the outcomes in a sample space is
O
equally likely to occur, then the probability of an event E, denoted as P(E) is
given by
number
ofwaystheevent
can
occur
P E
C
numberof
possible
outcomes
or
number
ofoutcomesin
the
event
D
P E
number
of
outcomesin
thesample
space
E
EP
D
329
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Activity 2:
Consider the situation below. Use the tree diagram given below in answering
the questions that follow.
PY
pineapple juice
chicken adobo orange juice
O
pineapple juice
chicken adobo orange juice
Steamed rice
pinakbet pineapple juice
C orange juice
D
1. Give the sample space of combination of rice, viand, and drink. How
many possible outcomes are there?
E
4. How many outcomes are there for selecting a lunch with steamed rice
and with pineapple juice?
5. How many outcomes are there for selecting a lunch with chicken
adobo and a pineapple juice?
6. How many outcomes are there for selecting a lunch with pinakbet and
D
an orange juice?
330
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Reflect:
a. What does the tree diagram tell you?
b. How did you determine the sample space?
c. Differentiate an outcome from a sample space. Give another
example of an outcome.
d. Aside from the tree diagram, how else can you find the total
number of possible outcomes?
e. Describe the outcome in this situation as compared to the events
that you studied in grade 8.
PY
From the above activity, you were able to recognize that the events in the
given situation are not simple events. This is because in finding the sample, you
need to find first the sample space using the fundamental counting principle.
The events mentioned here are called compound events. Typically, when the
sample space is finite, any subset of the sample space is an event. Any subset
of the sample space is an event. Since all events are sets, they are usually
O
written as sets (e.g., {1, 2, 3}).
Compound Events: Events which consist of more than one outcome are called
C
compound events. A compound event consists of two or more simple
events.
D
Example: Finding the probability of getting a 6 and a 1 when two dice are
rolled is an event consisting of (1, 6), (6, 1) as outcomes. The first die falls in 6
different ways and the second die also falls in 6 different ways. Thus, using the
E
Take note that getting a 6 and a 1 when two dice are rolled is an event
consisting of {(1, 6), (6, 1)} as outcomes. This is a compound event.
D
The next activity will help you understand the concept of intersection and
union of events.
331
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Activity 3:
PY
O
Extra-curricular activities
participated by senior students
Reflect:
EP
a. How were you able to find the total number of students in the senior
class?
b. How does the concept of set help you in finding the intersection and
union of two or more events?
D
c. What are some notations that are used in your study of sets in
grade 7 that you can still recall? Do you think these are needed in
the study of probability of compound events?
332
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Illustrative Example: The Venn diagram below shows the probabilities of
grade 10 students joining either soccer (S) or basketball (B).
B S
PY
Use the Venn diagram to find the probabilities.
a. P(B)
b. P(S)
O
c. P(BS)
d. P(BS)
e. P(BS)
C
To further understand the above problem, read the discussion of the
solution.
D
Actually, the diagram does not show or represent the entire sample
space for B and S. What is shown are the probabilities.
E
a. To find the P(B), we will add the probability that only B occurs to the
probability that B and S occur to get 0.4 + 0.3 = 0.7. So, P(B) = 0.7.
EP
Complement of an Event
The complement of an event is the set of all outcomes that are NOT in
the event. This means that if the probability of an event, A, is P(A), then the
probability that the event would not occur (also called the complementary
event) is 1 P(A), denoted by P(A). Thus, P(A) = 1 P(A).
333
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P(BS) can be determined by finding the part of the diagram where
everything outside of B overlaps with everything outside of S. It is the region
outside of both circles and that probability is 0.1. Another way to think of this
is P(BS) or 1 - P(BS).
The next activity will help you understand the concepts of events which are
mutually exclusive and which are not mutually exclusive. As you answer the
next activity, try to figure out events which are mutually exclusive and which are
not.
Activity 4:
PY
Consider the situations below and answer the questions that follow.
O
a. 7 or 15?
b. 5 or a number divisible by 3?
c. even or divisible by 3?
d. a number divisible by 3 or divisible by 4?
C
2. Dario puts 44 marbles in a box in which 14 are red, 12 are blue, and 18
are yellow. If Dario picks one marble at random, what is the probability
D
that he selects a red marble or a yellow marble?
3. Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and
E
303 had both a dog and a cat. What is the probability that a randomly
selected household has a dog or a cat?
EP
Reflect:
a. How did you answer each question?
b. What do you notice about the events in each question? (e.g., 1.c as
compared to 1. d, question 2 as compared to question 3).
D
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To help you understand the concepts of mutually exclusive and non-
mutually exclusive events, read the discussion below.
Consider the Venn diagram below. What do you notice about the
events A and B? These two events are mutually exclusive. In problem 1b of
the preceding activity, the event of getting a 5 and the event of getting a
number divisible by 3 from the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14,
15} are mutually exclusive events.
PY
O
If two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive, then the probability
C
that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities. In symbols,
11, 12, 13, 14, 15} are not mutually exclusive events. Observe that a subset
of numbers divisible by 3 also contains an element which is a subset of the
EP
numbers divisible by 4.
The Venn diagram below shows events A and B which are not
mutually exclusive because A and B intersect. Note that there are outcomes
that are common to A and B which is the intersection of A and B.
D
A B
P (A or B)
335
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If two events, A and B, are not mutually exclusive, then the probability
that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities decreased by the
probability of both occurring. In symbols,
This section requires you to use the mathematical ideas you learned from
the activity and from the discussion. Answer the problems in the following
activities in different ways when possible.
PY
Activity 5:
O
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
C
1. A restaurant serves a bowl of candies to their customers. The bowl of
candies Gabriel receives has 10 chocolate candies, 8 coffee candies,
and 12 caramel candies. After Gabriel chooses a candy, he eats it.
D
Find the probability of getting candies with the indicated flavors.
a. P (chocolate or coffee) c. P (coffee or caramel)
E
2. Rhian likes to wear colored shirts. She has 15 shirts in the closet. Five
EP
of these are blue, four are in different shades of red, and the rest are of
different colors. What is the probability that she will wear a blue or a
red shirt?
D
3. Mark has pairs of pants in three different colors, blue, black, and
brown. He has 5 colored shirts: a white, a red, a yellow, a blue, and a
mixed-colored shirt. What is the probability that Mark wears a black
pair of pants and a red shirt on a given day?
336
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Did you answer all the questions correctly? To help you understand more
about mutually exclusive events, you may proceed to Activity 6.
Activity 6:
Consider each problem below. Draw a Venn diagram for each. Determine
whether the events are mutually exclusive or not mutually exclusive. Then,
find the probability.
1. Mario has 45 red chips, 12 blue chips, and 24 white chips. What is the
PY
probability that Mario randomly selects a red chip or a white chip?
2. Of 240 students, 176 are on the honor roll, 48 are members of the
varsity team, and 36 are in the honor roll and are also members of the
O
varsity team. What is the probability that a randomly selected student
is on the honor roll or is a member of the varsity team?
C
3. Rubys dog has 8 puppies. The puppies include white females, 3
mixed-color females, 1 white male, and 2 mixed-color males. Ruby
wants to keep one puppy. What is the probability that she randomly
D
chooses a puppy that is female and white?
4. Carls basketball shooting records indicate that for any frame, the
E
In previous lessons, you learned about counting techniques and you were
able to differentiate permutation from combination. In the next activity, observe
D
337
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Activity 7:
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
There are a total of 48 students in Grade 10 Charity. Twenty are boys and 28
are girls.
PY
2. If a committee of 3 students is formed, what is the probability that
a. all are girls?
b. two are boys and one is a girl?
O
3. Suppose that a team of 3 students is formed such that it is composed
of a team leader, a secretary, and a spokesperson. What is the
C
probability that a team formed is composed of a girl secretary?
Reflect:
D
a. How did you answer each question?
b. In finding the probability of each event above, what concepts are
E
needed?
c. Differentiate the event required in question 1 as compared to
questions 2 and 3.
EP
338
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This time you need to reflect on and further find out your understanding of
compound events and mutually and not mutually exclusive events. You may
also apply your knowledge and skills on the Fundamental Counting Principle,
combinations, and permutations in determining the possible outcomes in the
sample space.
Activity 8:
PY
Answer the following questions
O
events.
3. Suppose there are three events A, B, and C that are not mutually
C
exclusive. List all the probabilities you would need to consider in order
to calculate P(A or B or C). Then, write the formula you would use to
calculate the probability.
4. Explain why subtraction is used when finding the probability of two
D
events that are not mutually exclusive.
E
339
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This section gives an opportunity for you to apply what you have learned
in this lesson to real-life situations. You are asked to do certain tasks that will
demonstrate your understanding of probability of compound events, mutually
exclusive events, and not mutually exclusive events.
Activity 9:
PY
Answer the following questions. Write a report of your answers using a
minimum of 120 words. Be ready to present your answers in the class.
1. Describe a situation in your life that involves events which are mutually
O
exclusive or not mutually exclusive. Explain why the events are
mutually exclusive or not mutually exclusive.
C
2. Think about your daily experience. How is probability utilized in
newspapers, television shows, and radio programs that interest you?
What are your general impressions of the ways in which probability is
D
used in the print media and entertainment industry?
E
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
compound event can be calculated if its outcomes are equally likely. Events
can be mutually exclusive or not mutually exclusive. If two events, A and B,
are mutually exclusive, then the probability that either A or B occurs is the
sum of their probabilities. In symbols, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B). On the other
hand, if two events, A and B, are not mutually exclusive, then the probability
that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities decreased by the
probability of both of them occurring. In symbols,
340
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In Lesson 1 of this module, you learned about the basic concepts of the
probability of compound events. You will formally learn, for example, why the
PY
outcome of the flip of a fair coin is independent of the flips that came before it.
Activity 1:
O
Consider the situations below and answer the questions that follow.
Situation 1: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, and 9
C
yellow balls. A ball is drawn at random and the color is noted and then put
back inside the box. Then, another ball is drawn at random. Find the
probability that:
D
a. both are blue.
b. the first is red and the second is yellow.
E
Situation 2: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, and 9
yellow balls. Suppose that two balls are drawn one after the other without
EP
Reflect:
D
341
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You have just completed Activity 1 on understanding dependent and
independent events. Continue by considering the discussion that follows.
Please read thoroughly and if needed, you may go back to the situations given
in Activity 1 of this lesson.
PY
Example: When a coin is tossed and a die is rolled, the event that a
coin shows up head and the event that a die shows up a 5 are
independent events.
Two events are independent if the occurrence of one of the events
O
gives us no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that
is, the events have no influence on each other.
If two events, A and B, are independent, then the probability of both
C
events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the probability of B.
In symbols,
P(A and B) = P(A) P(B)
D
When the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another event,
they are dependent events. In situation 2, if the ball was not placed back in
E
the box, then drawing the two balls would have been dependent events. In
this case, the event of drawing a yellow ball on the second draw is dependent
EP
7
On the first draw, the probability of getting a white marble is . On
14
6
the second draw, the probability of getting a white marble is . Then on the
13
7
third draw, the probability of getting a red marble is . So,
12
7 6 7 7
P(1 white, 1 white, 1 red) =
14 13 12 52
342
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If two events, A and B, are dependent, then the probability of both
events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the probability of B
after A occurs. In symbols,
This section requires you to use the mathematical ideas you learned from
the activity and from the discussion. Answer the problems in the following
PY
activities in different ways when possible.
Activity 2:
O
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
chocolate?
3. A rental agency has 12 white cars, 8 gray cars, 6 red cars, and 3 green
cars for rent. Mr. Escobar rents a car, returns it because the radio is
broken, and gets another car. What is the probability that Mr. Escobar
D
Did you answer all the questions correctly? If not, you may go back to the
discussion. Otherwise you may proceed to Activity 3. Now, using your own
words, differentiate independent events from dependent events. Then, you may
answer the questions in the next activity.
343
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Activity 3:
Determine whether the events are independent or dependent. Then, find the
probability.
1. A toy box contains 12 toys, 8 stuffed animals, and 3 board games.
Maria randomly chooses 2 toys for the child she is babysitting to play
with. What is the probability that she chose 2 stuffed animals as the
first two choices?
2. A basket contains 6 apples, 5 bananas, 4 oranges, and 5 guavas.
Dominic randomly chooses one piece of fruit, eats it, and chooses
another piece of fruit. What is the probability that he chose a banana
PY
and then an apple?
3. Nick has 4 black pens, 3 blue pens, and 2 red pens in his school bag.
Nick randomly picks two pens out of his school bag. What is the
probability that Nick chose two blue pens, if he replaced the first pen
O
back in his pocket before choosing a second pen?
C
This time you need to reflect on and further find out your understanding of
D
dependent and independent events.
E
Activity 4:
EP
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
2. Rene and Cris went to a grocery store to buy drinks. They chose from
10 different brands of juice drinks, 6 different brands of carbonated
drinks, and 3 different brands of mineral water. What is the probability
that Rene and Cris both chose juice drinks, if Rene randomly chose
first and liked the first brand he picked up?
344
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Activity 5:
Reflect:
a. What new realizations do you have about the probability of a
dependent event?
b. How would you connect this topic to other concepts that you have
previously learned?
c. How would you use these concepts in real life?
PY
O
This section is an opportunity for you to apply what you have learned
in this lesson to real-life situations. You are asked to do certain tasks that
C
will demonstrate your understanding of probability of compound events,
dependent events, and independent events.
Activity 6:
D
events.
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
Two events are independent if the occurrence of one of the events gives
D
no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that is, the events
have no influence on each other. If two events, A and B, are independent, then
the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probability of A and
the probability of B. In symbols,
P(A and B) = P(A) P(B).
When the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another event,
they are dependent events. If two events, A and B, are dependent, then the
probability of both events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the
probability of B after A occurs. In symbols,
P(A and B) = P(A) P(B following A).
345
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Conditional probability plays a key role in many practical applications
of probability. In these applications, important conditional probabilities are
often drastically affected by seemingly small changes in the basic information
from which the probabilities are derived.
PY
In this lesson, we will focus on finding a particular kind of probability
called a conditional probability. To understand conditional probability, you may
begin by answering Activity 1.
Activity 1:
O
C
Consider the situation and answer the questions that follow.
Mario bought four different batteries. Of these four, one is defective.
Two are to be selected at random for use on a particular day.
D
1. Draw a tree diagram associated with the experiment of selecting two
batteries from among four, in which one is defective.
E
4. What if you find the probability that the second battery selected is not
defective, given that the first was not defective?
Reflect:
a. How did you answer question number 3? How is the condition
D
In Activity 1, you notice that a condition was given when you were asked
to find the probability of an event. How does the given condition affect the
probability of an event? Activity 1 shows an example of probability involving
conditions which we refer to as conditional probability. To understand
conditional probability further, you may proceed to Activity 2.
346
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Activity 2:
PY
Suppose that an employee is selected at random from among the 100
employees who took the examination.
O
2. Are the events P and F independent? Explain.
3. Find the probability that the employee passed the exam, given that he
was a male.
C
4. Find the probability that the employee was a male, given that a passing
grade was received.
D
5. Find the probability that the employee was a female, given that a
passing grade was received.
E
The usual notation for "event A occurs given that event B has
occurred" is "A|B" (A given B). The symbol | is a vertical line and does not
imply division. P(A|B) denotes the probability that event A will occur given
that event B has occurred already. We define conditional probability as
follows:
For any two events A and B with P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of
A given that B has occurred is defined by
P( A B)
P( A | B)
P (B )
347
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When two events, A and B, are dependent, the probability of both
events occurring is
Sample Problem: A mathematics teacher gave her class two tests. Twenty-
five percent of the class passed both tests and 42% of the class passed the
first test. What percent of those who passed the first test also passed the
second test?
Solution: This problem involves a conditional probability since it asks for the
probability that the second test was passed given that the first test was
passed.
PY
P First and Second
P Second|First
P First
0.25
O
0.42
25
C 42
0.60 or 60%
D
Activity 3:
E
Consider the table below showing A as the age group under 30 years
old who purchase 2 different brands of shoes.
EP
348
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Question for discussion: Does the occurrence of event A give information
about the probability of event X? Why or Why not?
1. P(X) = 0.15 S X A
2. P(A) = 0.40
3. P( X A) = 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.34
P (X A)
4. P X |A
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P A
0.51
0.06
0.40
O
0.15
Take note that from 1) and 4), P(X) and P(X|A) are both equal to 0.15.
C
Notice that the occurrence of event A gives no information about the
probability of event X. The events X and A are independent events.
D
Two events A and B are said to be independent if either:
i. P(A | B) = P(A), i.e., P(B | A) = P(B), or equivalently,
E
P (A B )
P A|B
P B
349
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
Sometimes a conditional probability is known, and we want to find the
probability of an intersection. By rearranging the terms in the definition of
conditional probability and considering the definition of independence, we
obtain the Multiplicative Rule which is
P(A B) = P(A)P(B).
Let us look at some other problems in which you are asked to find a
conditional probability in Activity 4.
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This section requires you to use the mathematical ideas you learned from
the previous activities and from the discussion. Answer the problems in the
following activities in different ways when possible.
Activity 4:
O
C
Answer the following questions.
D
1. Given that P(S) = 0.3, P(S|Q) = 0.4, and P(Q) = 0.5, find the following
probabilities:
E
a. P(SQ)
b. P(Q|S)
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c. P(S|Q)
d. P(S|Q)
P(Q) = 0.3. Let T be the event that at least one of S or Q occurs, and
let R be the event that exactly one of S or Q occurs. Find the following
probabilities
a. P(T)
b. P(R)
c. P(S|R)
d. P(R|S).
e. Determine whether S and R are independent.
350
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Reflect:
a. What do you notice about the conditional probability of
independent events?
b. How about the conditional probability of dependent events?
Activity 5:
1. A family has two children. What is the probability that the younger child
is a girl, given that at least one of the children is a girl?
2. At a basketball game, 80% of the fans cheered for team A. In the same
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crowd, 20% of the fans were waving banners and cheering for team A.
What is the probability that a fan waved a banner given that the fan
cheered for team A?
O
C
This time you need to reflect on and further find out your understanding
of dependent and independent events.
E D
Activity 6:
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P(B|A)?
3. Write a situation that can be illustrated by
the Venn diagram.
351
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
This section provides an opportunity for you to apply what you have
learned in this lesson to real-life situations. You are asked to do certain tasks
that will demonstrate your understanding of conditional probability.
Activity 7:
Make a research report. Choose your own topic of study or choose from any
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of the four recommended topics given below. Focus on the question that
follows:
How can I use statistics and probability to help others make informed
decisions regarding my chosen topic?
Recommended Topics:
1. Driving and cell phone use
O
2. Diet and health
C
3. Professional athletics
4. Costs associated with a college education
D
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
E
For any two events A and B with P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of
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P (A B )
P A|B
P B
D
352
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GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Complement of an Event a set of all outcomes that are NOT in the event.
If A is the event, the complement of the event A is denoted by A
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Dependent Events Two events are dependent if the occurrence of one
event does affect the occurrence of the other (e.g., random selection without
replacement).
O
Events a set of possible outcomes resulting from a particular experiment.
For example, a possible event when a single six-sided die is rolled is {5, 6},
C
that is, the roll could be a 5 or a 6. In general, an event is any subset of a
sample space (including the possibility of an empty set).
Intersection of Events a set that contains all of the elements that are in
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Union of Events a set that contains all of the elements that are in at least
one of the two events. The union is written as A B .
Venn Diagram a diagram that uses circles to represent sets, in which the
relations between the sets are indicated by the arrangement of the circles.
353
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.
REFERENCES AND WEBSITE LINKS USED IN THIS MODULE
References:
Carpenter, T. Corbitt, M., Kepner, H., Lindquist, M. & Reys, R. (1981). What
are the chances of your students knowing probability? The
Mathematics Teacher 74(5), 342-344.
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Website Links as Reference and Sources of Learning Activities:
O
Accessed on 3 March 2014.
Conditional Probability.http://www.stat.yale.edu/Courses/1997-
98/101/condprob.htm Accessed on 6 March 2014
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electronic or mechanical including photocopying without written permission from the DepEd Central Office. First Edition, 2015.