BP Canada PDF
BP Canada PDF
BP Canada PDF
Katherine Ray
Bachelors of Science, University of Victoria, 1992
MASTER OF
Business Administration
In the
Faculty
of
Business Administration
August 2004
Title of Project: A Strategic Analysis for New Product Entry into the
Nutraceuticals, Functional Foods, and Vitamins and
Supplements Markets
Examining Committee:
Jill S%epherd
Assistant Professor,
--, MO,T MBA
Elicia Maine
Assistant Professor, MOT MBA
Date Approved:
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financial gain shall not be allowed without my written permission.
Title of Project:
Author:
Katherine Ray
ABSTRACT
Forbes Medi-Tech operates a biopharmaceutical company which is involved in research
and development for the nutraceuticals and pharma industries. They have had some success in
the nutraceutical industry. A supplement has been formulated and they are considering entering
into the vitamins and supplements industry to target cardiovascular disease since it is vast.
Billions of dollars are spent every year combating this disease.
The nutraceutical and functional foods industry is growing and has evolved over the last
few decades. It is estimated to be over $70 billion. Distribution for functional foods is mainly
through grocery outlets. The competition is fierce with food, pharma, agriculture, and
nutraceutical companies involved in creating products such as Benecol and Nutrisoy. The market
is driven by an aging population which wants to live longer, consumers who want convenient
foods, and companies looking for new areas to pursue. Entrance barriers consist of legislation,
high cost of R&D, sceptical consumers, misunderstandings of scientific claims, and the increased
cost of adding these ingredients into foods.
Vitamins and supplements is a maturing market; however, supplements such as omega-3s
are experiencing growth. The over the counter (OTC) market was worth -$85 billion in 2002,
vitamins and dietary supplements (VDS) accounted for 40.2% of this market, and is occupied by
companies such as pharma, supplement, natural foods and agriculture companies. Distribution is
through chemists and pharmacies in most countries. The driving forces are consumers willing to
self-medicate, alternatives to prescription drugs, and the aging population around world. Barriers
to entry include the cost of R&D, quality control problems, and negative publicity with such
supplements as ephedra, and legislation.
Forbes' plant sterols are their core technology which has sustained them since the early
1990s. They have a number of experienced employees in pharma and nutraceuticals. Forbes'
strategy is to build both of these businesses in order to succeed using their core competencies in
R&D and discovery. Critical success factors have been being part of a biotech cluster, and
partnering with strong companies. It is recommended that Forbes enter the vitamins and
supplement market with the ReducoVomega-3 fatty acid combination and then move into
functional foods. However, they have a few barriers to overcome both externally and internally in
order to launch successfully.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I would like to thank everyone at Forbes for their time and patience as well as opening
their doors and providing an opportunity to complete this project. Jeff and Paul were
instrumental in allowing the flexibility and providing any information that was required. I would
also like to thank Jill for her guidance and direction during this process.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Approval ................................................................................................................................... 11..
...
Abstract ..................................................................................................................................... ~ I I
Acknowledgements.......................................................................................................................iv
Table of Contents............................................................................................................................v
List of Figures .............................................................................................................................
...
vlii
List of Tables..............................................................................................................................ix
List of Abbreviations and Acronyms ............................................................................................ x
1 Introduction and Scope ..............................................................................................................1
1.1 Forbes MedGTech. Inc........................................................................................... 1
1.2 Reducol ................................................................................................................ -2
1.3 The New Product .................................................................................................. -3
1.4 Aim and Scope of Project ....................................................................................... 5
2 Nutraceuticals and Functional Foods .......................................................................................
7
Introduction .......................................................................................................... -7
What are Nutraceuticals and Functional Foods?...................................................... 7
The Market ............................................................................................................ 8
Canada's Role ..................................................................................................... 12
Areas of Interest for Nutraceuticals and Functional Foods .................................... 12
Cardiovascular Health and Cardiovascular Disease.............................................. 1 3
Cholesterol..........................................................................................................1 4
Distribution of Nutraceuticals and Functional Foods............................................. 15
Unsuccessful Functional Foods ........................................................................... 1 6
Successful Products............................................................................................. 1 6
Competition ...................................................................................................... 1 8
BenecolTM........................................................................................................... 18
Diminocol63........................................................................................................ -20
Cargill Health & Food Technologies ....................................................................20
NutriSo* and Novasoy@................................................................................... 21
Abacoa ..............................................................................................................21
Market Drivers.................................................................................................... -22
Youth Market ................................................................................................... 26
Over 35 ............................................................................................................ 26
Women ............................................................................................................ 26
Company Strategies ............................................................................................. 26
Barriers to Nutraceuticals ..................................................................................... 28
Legislation .......................................................................................................... -30
Codex .............................................................................................................. 30
The European Union ........................................................................................ 31
The United States............................................................................................. 33
Canada ............................................................................................................3 5
Japan............................................................................................................ 3 6
2.13.6 Product Life Cycle ...................................................................................... 3 8
2.14 Are Functional Foods Necessary?......................................................................... 39
2.15 Future of Nutraceuticals and Functional Foods ..................................................... 40
2.15.1 Overview of the Market ................................................................................... 40
2.15.2 Future Trends................................................................................................... 40
2.15.3 The Consumer.................................................................................................. 42
2.15.4 Company Strategies .................................................... 1.................................... 43
3 Vitamins and Dietary Supplements (VDS).............................................................................45
Introduction ......................................................................................................... 45
The Market .......................................................................................................... 45
Fish Oils .............................................................................................................. 49
Distribution.......................................................................................................... 49
Competition ........................................................................................................ 51
OmegaPureTM..................................................................................................... -52
CardioTabsTM ...................................................................................................... 5 2
Ocean Nutrition (ONC) ........................................................................................53
Omegacin' ........................................................................................................... 54
Spectrum Ingredients ........................................................................................... 54
DSM Nutritional Products .................................................................................... 55
Bioral Nutrient Delivery (BND) ........................................................................... 55
Market Drivers..................................................................................................... 56
The Big Players.................................................................................................... 59
Company Strategies .............................................................................................60
Barriers to Dietary Supplements ...........................................................................64
Legislation ........................................................................................................... 66
Codex .................................................................................................................. 66
Europe ................................................................................................................. 67
The United States ................................................................................................. 67
Canada ............................................................................................................... 6 9
Japan................................................................................................................... 70
Future of VDS................................................................................................... 7 1
Overview of the Market ................................................................................... 71
Future Trends................................................................................................... 71
The Consumer.................................................................................................. 72
Company Strategies ......................................................................................... 72
Comparison of Functional Foods and VDS ........................................................... 74
4 Internal Analysis .......................................................................................................................
79
Forbes Through the Years .................................................................................... 79
Technology Platform........................................................................................... 81
Management .......................................................................................................-82
Board of Directors (BOD) .................................................................................... 83
Senior Management Team .................................................................................... 83
Advisory Boards .................................................................................................. 85
Medical and Scientific Advisory Board ................................................................ 85
Functional Food & Nutraceuticals Advisory Board ............................................... 85
Core Competencies ............................................................................................. -85
Intellectual Property .............................................................................................86
Company Strategies ............................................................................................. 87
Critical Success Factors........................................................................................ 90
4.8 Competitive Advantage .......................................................................................9 1
4.9 Finances............................................................................................................. 9 2
5 Recommendations and Conclusion .........................................................................................
94
5.1 Recommendation ................................................................................................. 95
5.1.1 Suggestions for Successful Launch of Reducol/Omega -3 Supplement ................. 97
5.1.2 Barriers to a Successful Launch ........................................................................ 1 0 0
5.2 Conclusions ......................................................................................................1 0 3
Appendices ..................................................................................................................................107
Reference List .............................................................................................................................114
vii
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Omega-3 Product Innovation ...................................................................................... .5
Figure 2: The Expanding Realm of Nutraceuticals ...................................................................... 6
Figure 3: Product Trends Since the 1970s ................................................................................... 8
Figure 4: Global Sales in 200 1 by Percent ................................................................................... 9
Figure 5: Percentage of Functional and Fortified New Product Launches. 2000-01 ................... 17
Figure 6: Product Lifecycle ......................................................................................................
39
Figure 7: Value Chain for Nutraceuticals/Functional Foods ...................................................... 41
Figure 8: Breakdown of the Global OTC Market. 2001 ............................................................. 46
Figure 9: Distribution of Vitamins and Supplements ................................................................. 51
Figure 10: Increases in Self-medication in Consumers. 2002 ..................................................... 57
Figure 11: The Increasing Cost of Drug Development............................................................... 58
Figure 12: Timeline for Forbes Medi-Tech 1993-2000.............................................................. 79
Figure 13: Pharmaceutical Value Chain ................................................................................... 85
Figure 14: The Spread of Nutraceuticals ................................................................................... 88
Figure 15: Consumer Sales of Nutrition Products by Percent in 2001 ........................................94
...
Vlll
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Global Functional Food Market Value Sales 1998-2008.............................................. 10
Table 2: Functional Food Market By Region ............................................................................11
Table 3: Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease 1998-2010 (in thousands) ................................. 14
Table 4: Global Sales of the four Key Cardiovascular Therapy Areas................................... 1 5
Table 5: Global Functional Foods Distribution. 2003 ................................................................ 15
Table 6: Per Capita Consumer Spending on Health Goods and Medical Services ...................... 23
Table 7: World Aging Population (in thousands) ...................................................................... 24
Table 8: Per Capita Government Expenditure on Public Heath Services.................................... 25
Table 9: Vitamin and Mineral Supplements Sales .....................................................................47
Table 10: Global Sales of Dietary Supplements by Type ........................................................... 48
Table 11: Forecasted Global Sales of VDS by Region..............................................................-48
Table 12: Global Distribution of OTC Healthcare Sales by Retail Channel ............................... 50
Table 13: Distribution of Global Vitamin and Dietary Supplements.......................................... 50
Table 14: Global Company Shares of Vitamins and Supplements ............................................. 60
Table 15 : Functional Foods Market in 200 1.............................................................................. 75
Table 16: Comparison of Nutraceuticals/FunctionalFoods and Vitamins and
Supplements ............................................................................................................ 77
Table 17: Global Anti-dyslipidemics Market by Drug Class...................................................... 82
Table 18: Omega-3 Supplements on the Market ................................................................... 1 01
Table 19: Principle Ingredients used in Nutraceuticals ............................................................107
Table 20: Consolidated Balance Sheets (Expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars)
from 1997-2004................................................................................................... 109
Table 21 : Consolidated Statements of Operations and Deficits (Expressed in thousands
of Canadian dollars) fi-om 1997-2004.....................................................................111
Table 22: Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow (Expressed in thousands of Canadian
dollars) from 1997-2004 ..................................................................................... 1 12
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
AD Androstenedione
ADD androstadienedione
ADM Archer Daniels Midland
AHA American Heart Association
ALA alpha-linolenic acid
ANZFA Australia New Zealand Food Authority
B billion
BC British Columbia
BND Bioral Nutrient Delivery
BOD Board of Directors
CDC Centers for Disease Control
CEO Chief Executive Officer
CFIA Canadian Food Inspections Agency
CFO Chief Financial Officer
CFSAN Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition
CHD coronary heart disease
CRO contract research organization
CSM Committee on Safety of Medicines
CVD cardiovascular disease
DAG Diacylgycerol
DHA Docosahexaenoic
DIN Drug Identification Number
DSHEA Dietary Supplements Health and Education Act
EC European Commission
EFA essential fatty acids
EFSA European Food Safety Authority
EPA Eicosapentanenoic
EU European Union
FA0 Food and Agriculture Organization
FDA Food and Drug Administration
FDAMA FDA Modernization and Accountability
FNFC Foods with Nutrition Function Claims
FOSHU Food for Specific Health Use
FSDU Food for Special Dietary Uses
FTC Federal Trade Commission
GAIN Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition
GCP Good Clinical Practices
GI gastro-intestinal
GLA gamma-linolenic acid
GM genetically modified
GMP Good Manufacturing Practices
GNC General Nutrition Cos
GRAS generally recognized as safe
GSK GlaxcoSmithKline
HACCP Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point
HBP high blood pressure
HDL high-density lipoprotein
HMO Health Management Organizations
ICH International Conference on Harmonization
IP intellectual property
J&J Johnson and Johnson
JHFA Japan Health Food Authorisation
LDL low-density lipoprotein
LFI Leatherhead Food International
m million
MHW Ministry of Health and Welfare
MLM multi-level marketing
NAS National Academy of Sciences
NBJ Nutrition Business Journal
NFIF New Functional Ingredients and Foods
NFR Novel Foods Regulation
NHP natural health products
NHPD Natural Health Products Directorate
NHPR Natural Health Products Regulation
NM National Institutes of Health
NLEA Nutrition Labelling and Education Act
NPD new product development
ONC Ocean Nutrition Canada
OTC over-the-counter
PARNUTS PARticular NUTritional
P&G Procter & Gamble
PCT Patent Cooperation Treaty
PPO Preferred Provider Organizations
PUFA poly saturated fatty acids
R&D research and development
RDA recommended daily allowance
RDI recommended daily intake
S/F structure/function
SOP standard operating procedures
TPD Therapeutic Products Directorate
TSE Toronto Stock Exchange
mc University of British Columbia
UK United Kingdom
us United States
USL upper safety limits
VDS vitamins and dietary supplements
VP Vice President
WHO World Health Organisation
WTO World Trade Organization
INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE
Forbes Medi-Tech. Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company in Canada. Their scientific
platform is based on sterol technology which extracts plant sterols to be used in pharmaceuticals,
hnctional foods and dietary supplements. They have one branded product, ~ e d u c o P ' .Forbes
is currently working on a dietary supplement, a combination of Reducol and omega-3 fatty acids
as well as a pharmaceutical that will compete with cholesterol lowering drugs. "Let food be thy
medicine and medicine be thy food." Although spoken by Hippocrates almost 2,500 years ago,
the philosophy of "food as medicine" is gaining renewed interest among nutrition experts and
consumers. This chapter will discuss the company and provide the background for the analysis
with an explanation of phytosterols and omega-3s, concluding with the aim and scope of the
project.
I
Trademark of Forbes Medi-Tech. Inc.
Trademark of Eli Lilly
Through a joint venture, Forbes and Chusei (USA) Inc. operate a phytosterol
manufacturing plant, Phyto-Source LP, in Texas with annual production capacity of 1000 metric
tonnes to Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) standards. Unlike vegetable sterols, wood
phytosterols have an advantage of being non-genetically modified (GM). In December 2003, it
was announced that the facility would be expanded to a capacity of 1500 tonnes to meet demands.
Forbes' lead product, Reducol, is sold as a functional food and dietary supplement
ingredient. TwinLab has incorporated it into "Cholesterol Success" while Pharmavite's Nature
Made has incorporated it into "Cholest-Off'. Forbes has succeeded in getting Reducol and its
non-branded phytosterols and phytostanols to market using delivery mechanisms such as
margarine. The company also has patents pending for other novel functional foods with
phytosterols, such as Vivola oilTM3,and is looking at ingredients that address health benefits
away from the cardiovascular area.
The revenues generated from these products have allowed Forbes to continue research in
other ingredients. They are currently developing FM-VP4, an analogue of phytostanol, which has
demonstrated lipid-lowering and anti-atheroscleroticproperties in animal studies as well as
possible anti-obesity indications. Forbes anticipates entering into a partnership with a large
pharma company to commercialize FM-VP4 after Phase I1 clinical trials.
Forbes' strategy is to use its core technologies to partner and obtain business associations
to provide functional foods, dietary supplements and pharma products for prevention and
treatment of disease, in particular cardiovascular disease (CVD). To date, they have successfully
generated revenue and customer loyalty through Reducol (see financials in the appendix, Tables
20-22). All revenue generated for Forbes is linked to phytosterols and phytostanols by selling or
licensing. They have a potential to increase revenue with the new product and a possible future
with a pharma product. The following sections will provide details of Reducol, which is already
commercially available, and the new product to be commercialized.
1.2 Reducol
Reducol is a clinically proven ingredient, which lowers cholesterol levels safely and
naturally by inhibiting the absorption of cholesterol in the small intestine. It is a unique blend of
compounds known as phytosterols and phytostanols. These compounds are found in plants such
as corn, soybeans, rice bran, wheat germ, nuts and spices. There are three different sources of
sterols, soybeans, canola and wood pulp. However, 90% of soybeans and canola are GM.
Soybean sterols are a by-product of vitamin E production.
Norman 1
Gladding 110
Whole Fitness 2004
Figure 1: Omega3 Product innovationa
-
Omega-3s are gaining in popularity due to their positive effects. Manufacturers are
adding omega-3s to a wide variety of foods. Launches in North America include Quebec-based
dairy Natrel's Omega-3 nutrient-enriched milk beverage in Canada and GFA Brands' Smart
Balance in the US, which is a sterol-enriched spread with omega-3 fish oils. Minute Maid
released an omega-3 enriched orange juice, Premium Heartwise, in the US.
The combination Reducol/omega-3s is potentially a new therapeutic approach for
prevention of CVD. Studies link increased omega-3s intake with reduced risk of coronary heart
disease ( 0 ) and stroke mortality due to decrease of triglyceride levels and improvement of
blood lipids. In addition, omega-3s have been shown to reduce risk factors associated with
obesity and type I1 diabetes by improving fat and glucose-insulin metabolism. Omega-3s have
been granted a health claim by FDA and can indicate, "may reduce the risk of CHD" on the label.
* Gladding 112
the landscape. So, companies find themselves competing all these areas in order to leverage their
products to the health conscious consumer.
Companies entering the market must consider more than the product specifications. They
must look at regional and global markets, the consumer, distribution, barriers to entry, legislation,
competition, changing trends, innovation, products in their pipeline and their own competencies.
With this in mind, the following analysis will provide Forbes with the information needed to
decide whether to introduce the new supplement andlor in which market to introduce the product
in line with their strategy to be a nutraceutical and pharmaceutical company. It is a good time to
stop and reflect on the company's successes so far and how to maintain this in the evolving sector
and find ways of survival and profit.
Chapter 2 discusses and provides details of the functional foods market while Chapter 3
focuses on VDS since the new ingredient could be introduced as either a supplement or a
functional food ingredient. VDS could help Forbes generate revenue and allow the continuation
of research and development (R&D) in other ingredients and supplements as well as pharma.
Chapter 4 provides an internal analysis of Forbes and how they have endured in a competitive and
somewhat unpredictable industry. Recommendations and conclusions regarding the potential of
marketing the supplement and continuing sales in functional foods are given in Chapter 5.
Broome 46
2 NUTRACEUTICALS AND FUNCTIONAL FOODS
Forbes is considering launching the new ingredient to the supplement market. However,
they currently operate in the nutraceutical sector. So, in order to understand and provide
recommendations regarding launching the Reducol/omega-3 supplement, Forbes' current focus of
nutraceuticals must be analyzed. Forbes is focusing on CVD in particular and this supplement
fits in with this focus. Nutraceuticals have come a long way over the past few decades and are
now competing with pharma. Functional foods have successfullybeen introduced but there have
been many high profile failures. Also, competitors are numerous including traditional food
manufacturers, functional foods and nutraceutical companies, ingredient companies, and pharma
companies all with different strategies for survival. Market drivers such as consumer
expectations, innovations and suppliers are important factors, and barriers to entry are numerous.
2.1 Introduction
There is a lot of confusion surrounding nutraceuticals and functional foods. In the US,
these terms (considered marketing terms) are used interchangeably; however, in Canada, they are
defined separately. To add to the confusion, they are fast encroaching on what was strictly the
pharma market. Blurring the line even farther are VDS. Currently, individuals are more likely to
self-medicate through nutraceuticals, functional foods, organic foods and botanicals, VDS, and
over-the-counter (OTC) drugs than at any other time in history. There is a lot of scepticism
regarding big pharma and people are turning to more natural ways to heal and prevent disease.
Functional foods are not new. They have been available in grocery stores for years. Milk
has been fortified with vitamin D to combat rickets since the early 1930s, and breakfast cereals
have been fortified with vitamins and minerals since the 1940s. Key ingredients that are used in
nutraceuticals and functional foods range from antioxidants like ascorbic acid added to soft drinks
to phytochemicals such as herbal extracts added to fruit juices. Table 19 in the appendix provides
a detailed list. Some emerging ingredients and areas of research include carotenoids which are
naturally occurring in tomatoes and red grapefruit, amino acids some of whlch are already in
foods such as arginine and glutamine, natural source vitamin E, and glucosamine and chondroitin.
There are a few whole foods that in themselves are functional foods. For example, Quaker's
Porridge Oats was repositioned as a functional food even though the product had not changed;
rather, it was based on the soluble fibre and cholesterol-lowering benefits of oats.
Global sales of natural health products (NHP), nutraceuticals, and hnctional foods are
estimated to be between $70 and $250 billion (b) annually depending upon the food categories
The global market for nutraceuticals was estimated to be worth about $65 b in 2003.16
Forecasting to 2010 predicts the growth of the market at 9%. Markets in less developed countries
are prime targets. In 2003, the World Health Organization (WHO) launched its Global Alliance
for Improved Nutrition (GAIN) program, an initiative to bring the benefits of fortified foods to
the developing world such as China, Morocco, South Africa and Vietnam. But, the US is
forecasted to become a key area for development by 2005. They have highly developed
processed food, ingredients and pharmaceuticals as well as a large consumer base. In addition,
US-based multinational companies such as Kellogg, RJB Nabisco, Campbell Soups, Quaker,
Monsanto and DuPont have invested heavily in creating specialist nutritional divisions.
The market for global functional foods was estimated at $55.5 b in 2001 by NBJ. In the
US, functional foods sales accounted for 3.7% of total food sales. Functional foods grew 7.3%
while non-functional food sales grew 1.4% and total food sales grew 1.6%. By 2010, functional
food sales are expected to represent 5.2% of total food sales in the US ($3 1.2 b)." To put new
fknctional food products into the context of the food industry, in 2002 more than 20,000 new food
and beverage products were launched worldwide. Of these, over 5% were categorized as
Another issue regarding market values is which country is the leader. Some reports claim
the US is the biggest consumer and others feel it is Japan. According to Euromonitor, Japan is
the largest market for functional foods, with sales of $1 1.7 b in 2003. This compares to sales of
$10.5 b in the Table 2 shows international sales by region. It must be noted that many
nutrition products which are fairly new to most of the world, such as probiotics and isotonic
drinks, have a long history in Japan (nutraceuticals were originally pioneered in Japan) and are
accepted as mainstream products. Japan's market continues to develop due to regulations
allowing market entry, consumers relatively open to innovation, and the long-standing history of
development. As a result, the market is well established, diverse and innovative. Approximately
80% of h c t i o n a l foods available on the market are now standard, and not marketed for their
functional benefits which make it difficult to track. Among all industries in Japan, only the
l8 Heasman 2003
l9 Rea 2003
20 Euromonitor International 2004
21 Euromonitor International 2004
nutraceutical industry showed an annual growth rate in the double-digits, average rate of 15%, for
the last 15 years. Health Industry News, a leading Japanese health food newspaper, predicts that
the annual growth of the industry will continue at 7 %. By 2010, this will mean a market
capitalization of $35 b.22 In 1987, according to a Nutraceuticals Japan 2003 report, the industry
was just over $2 b in size; today, it is $2 1.1 b. Since the Japanese population is 126 million (m),
this means that each person spends $166 per year on nutraceutical products. This compares with
American spending $136 and European spending $92 a year.23
The European Union (EU) has not been as accepting of functional foods but is still a
considerable market. The UK represented the largest market for fimctional food in Western
Europe, with sales of $2,625 m.25Growth has been held back by a growing cynicism towards
overly manufactured foods and concerns regarding GM foods. Health conscious consumers are
attracted to natural and organic foods, and are becoming increasingly distrustful of foods
perceived as scientific.
Nutraceuticals and fimctional foods are divided into the categories of breakfast cereals,
diary, fats and spreads, and confectionary (baked goods). Fortified breakfast cereals market had
reached some maturity by 1999. Growth is slowing and even declining in some countries;
however, products are coming out with more functionality. Functional dairy products have
shown strong growth, except in Japan where a decline represents a developed market. Fats and
spreads have grown in Europe and Japan. In the US, this growth is over 22% per The
confectionery category has shown little growth in Europe with an overall rate of 0.8% per m u m ,
but stronger growth of 5% in the US and a rapid decline of -6.8% in Japan. Sports and energy
drinks continue to show growth in Europe of 7.5% and US of 7.0%.~'
22 Yamaguchi 2003
23 Yamaguchi 2003
24 Euromonitor International 2004
25 Yamaguchi 2003
26 Broomel 9
27 Broome20
NBJ has stated that global growth in nutritional products will range from 5% to 10% with
the greatest growth potential in the Latin American countries, followed by Europe, Canada, Asia,
Australia and New Zealand, and ~fi-ica.*'Europe is predicted to have a rapid rate of development
due to anticipated legislative changes. Within Europe, countries such as the United Kingdom
(UK), Netherlands and Scandinavia are more receptive than Italy or Spain, where natural
ingredients are widely consumed. Germany is also expected to start accepting more ingredients.
The US and Canada are considered to be the most open to new ingredients, followed by Japan.
It must be kept in mind that different countries mature are at different levels of maturity,
with Japan, of course, being the most mature. Key factors for maturity in functional foods
include, level of government support and compatibility of legislation with market growth,
presence of a mature market for processed foods, level of consumer demand for supplementary
nutrition, consumer confidence in products, health awareness, and threats to fimctional food.
2.5.2 Cholesterol
A key risk to CVD is increased cholesterol. Cholesterol is synthesized by the liver and
consumed through diet. It is essential since it is a building block for steroid hormones, like
testosterone and estrogen, and for cell walls. It has been established that cholesterol, particularly
LDLs (bad cholesterol), needs to be controlled to minimize the risk of CHD. Excess LDLs can be
oxidized which form plaques that can build up on artery walls restricting blood flow and
elevating blood pressure leading to a heart attack or stroke. To lower cholesterol, patients are
advised to exercise and change their diet to include more fibre, and lower intake of saturated fats
and cholesterol. Products containing rolled oats and oat bran were the first to receive approval
from the FDA to have on their labels that they may reduce the risk of heart disease when
combined with a diet low in saturated fat and cholesterol. However, to obtain all cholesterol-
lowering benefits of oats, about 314 of a cup of raw oatmeal must be eaten daily. Soy is another
ingredient that aids in lowering cholesterol. Scientists made the connection after discovering
Asian countries, where soy is part of the diet, had significantly lower levels of heart disease than
Americans. Isoflavones, natural soy compounds, are believed to act like hormones that regulate
cholesterol levels. A 1998 study concluded that regular consumption of soy isoflavones might
reduce total cholesterol levels by up to 10 %.34 However, a minimum of 25 grams of soy protein
must be consumed daily in order to reap the benefits. A 1% reduction in cholesterol has been
shown to give a 1% reduction of risk of C H D . ~Controlling
~ diet is not sufficient for all patients
and they must take medication or add plant sterolhtanol esters to their diet.
Hypercholesterolemia is one of the most prevalent conditions in the western world. The
global anti-dyslipidemic market was worth -$22 b in 2002 up from -$1 1 b in 1997 with statins
33 Ehrnreich 23
34 Whole Fitness 2004
35 Broome 24 1
being the most popular pharma for treatment, accounting for over 90% of the market. 36 Table 4
shows the four key CVD drugs and the expenditures during 1998 to 2002.
Confectionary
0 10 20 30 40 50
North America fil Asia Pacific EJ Western Europe El Rest of World
Successful products have been mainstream in that they have been marketed through mass
distribution such as supermarkets. They are generally produced by a well-known brand and have
been positioned as contributing to the overall well-being rather than a specific medical need or
illness. Producers have considered taste, price and convenience and compete against standard
and traditional foods.
Danone's fermented dairy drink Actimel is one example of a successful hnctional food
launch. It was f ~ slaunched
t in Belgium in 1994. By 2003, it was available in 21 markets
including Mexico and the US (where it is marketed as DanActive). They have created a whole
new market segment since it was unlike anything on the market. So, they did have to market
aggressively, including a website devoted to Actimel, advertising claims that it restores the
balance of intestinal flora and helps strengthen the immune system along with being a delicious
yogurt drink. Estimates by New Nutrition Business suggest global marketing cost were -$I10 m
in 2002, compared to total company advertising of $930 m.40 The science is also a factor but not
key. Danone Vitapole, the company's R&D centre, is building an increasing amount of clinical
evidence on the benefits of the product.
Unilever is one of the world's leading suppliers of consumer goods in foods, household
and personal care products. Unilever has been successful with Becel and Flora pro.active (added
sterols), their heart healthy margarines. Becel was launched in the 1960s as a medicine and was
sold only in pharmacies. It's now a leading healthy heart brand in Western Europe and sold in
Turkey, Canada and Brazil. Flora was launched in the UK in 1964 as a sister brand and is now
sold in Australasia, South Africa, Arabia, Ireland, Spain and Central and Eastern Europe. A vital
39 MOOS^ 85
40 Euromonitor International 2004
part of its success is the active support of health professionals and other key opinion leaders, as
well as marketing that does not involve stories of heart disease rather focusing on a healthy heart
leading to a better life. These same cholesterol-lowering ingredients are being included into
products such as yogurt and milk. Also, they have begun to refocus their strategy. Since 2000,
they have reduced the number of brands from 1600 to -400 leading brands and just fewer than
250 tail brands.
2.9 Competition
Concerns about health have contributed to the development and success of foods that are
considered "better for you", meaning removing sugar, fat, or salt. These are complementary to
functional foods and not competition since they do not impart extra value but rather are not as bad
as they could be. However, many products not considered functional foods in themselves are
healthy and high in specific nutrients andlor able to impart improvement in some medical
conditions. These include soy protein, whole wheat, and green tea found in products fiom such
companies as General Mills, DuPont and Ocean Spray who promote their functionality. This
impacts functional foods, since they offer many of the same benefits, but at a lower price and
without the scientific evidence that can be confusing.
The focus of this analysis is direct competitors for Forbes' ingredient, sterols and stanols
and cholesterol-lowering ingredients. In 2003, the vast majority of cholesterol-loweringproducts
were in spread format. However, there has been considerable innovation, with Benecol
launching a little bottle and snack bar format in some markets and Minute Maid launching a
sterol-based orange juice, indicating the beginning of sterols moving into the mainstream. The
functional ingredients industry has a number of players from different disciplines including
pharma companies, life science companies, major food companies, and ingredients companies.
Key functional ingredients companies besides Forbes include Raisio, Valio and Archer Daniels
Midland (ADM). The remainder of this section will illustrate a few of the competitors and some
of their strengths and weaknesses. Also, it must kept in mind that Forbes is manufacturing the
sterols and licensing its use for food companies; so it is difficult to narrow down true competitors.
Many of the other ingredient companies create and market their own products.
2.9.1 ~ e n e c o l ~ ~ ~ '
Raisio Group's key functional ingredient Benecol, plant stanol esters extracted from pine
tree pulp, is used to lower cholesterol (particularly LDLs). In 1995, the first Benecol margarine
42 Broome 24 1
43 Broome 245
2.9.2 ~ i m i n o c o l @ ~ ~
Teriaka develops and markets ingredients and methods for functional foods. Diminicol is
their cholesterol-lowering ingredient containing phytosterols. It contains food fatloil, free plant
sterols or stanols and water. Diminicol's study consisted of 155 people in a 6-month trial. It
lowered total cholesterol by 9% and LDLs by 12%, with a daily dose of 1.5 grams.45 They also
have a patent on the actual method of production for Diminocol.
The competitive advantages of Diminicol include that it has all natural ingredients, does
not require any additives, is simple and inexpensive to produce, lowers cholesterol with small
amounts, has no side effects, has a natural taste and is a stable product, is supported by clinical
research, is patented and has a marketable ingredient name. In the US, it is GRAS for use as an
ingredient in many products such as margarine and vegetable-based spreads, yogurt and yogurt-
like products, cream cheese, snack bars, salad dressings, mayonnaise, and white breads. In
Mexico, it is approved as an ingredient in foods and non-alcoholic beverages. Diminicol was
authorised in April 2004 as a novel food ingredient in yellow fat spreads, cheeses, yogurts and
milk based fruit drinks in Europe. Teriaka also has Oxidant which is an anti-oxidant ingredient
that can be added to a number of foods.
2.9.5 ~bacor@'*
Abacor is a cholesterol-lowering product, based on a patented composition of isolated
soy protein, soy isoflavones, cotyledon soy fibre, and phospholipids created by Nutri Pharma. It
is incorporated into various non and low fat products. In April 2003, they presented evidence of a
significant additional cholesterol lowering effect in patients treated with statins. Normally, in
order to experience a 6% LDL reduction, statin dosages would need to be doubled (statins are the
drug of choice for patients with hypercholesterolemia but they do not lower cholesterol in all
patients andlor cause side effects). The study with Abacor showed an additional 12% lowering
which would be equal to quadrupling the dose of statin5*
Nutri Pharma's has scientific and intellectual property (IP) on their techniques, processes,
compositions, methods of use and the products which places them in a good position as the field
expands. They have more than 1000 patents. Nutri Pharma has conducted more than 40 clinical
and pre-clinical trials and many to the same standards as pharma. In February 2004, Abacor was
Switzerland
Taiwan
Japan
Singapore
Australia
Canada
Germany
Hong Kong, China
Norway
Belgium
Austria
Netherlands
Finland
France
Greece
South Korea
Denmark
Italy
Ireland 297.9 305.7 317.6
(Used by permission of Euromonitor International)
Consumers are taking on more responsibility for their health and focusing on disease
prevention in that healthy living now will prevent disease later. This contributes to consumers
accepting that some foods have medicinal value, and bringing functional foods into their diets.
However, this awareness of disease prevention has not made significant impact on unhealthy
foods. Consumers like convenient, fast and ready to eat foods as well as foods which are
inexpensive and tasty. They are turning to more convenient foods due to the increasing number
of women in the work force, changing family structure, faster paced lifestyle (people are more
rushed, stressed but sedentary), and willingness to pay premium prices for convenience. Most
organic and healthier foods are not so convenient and generally cost significantly more but they
should not be ignored. Many multinational companies such as Heinz, Unilever and Nest16 have
interests in organics and other health foods. Also, consumers do look for healthier alternatives.
This trend affects ingredient categories such as sweeteners, hydrocolloids, fat replacers, and VDS.
Furthermore, environmental concerns have increased demand for organic products. Individuals
are seeing the relationship between physical health and the health of the environment. The
demand and higher price point for natural and organic products means that processed food
manufacturers may have a higher budget for functional ingredients. It creates an opportunity for
branding. There is also the growing fear of foods causing harm such as GM food, mad cow
disease, and E. coli.
This aging population will in turn lead to even greater healthcare spending. Government
spending on healthcare has decreased and forces individuals to seek help through alternative
sources (see Table 8). This includes functional foods, VDS, organic and healthier versions of the
foods they currently consume.
Another important driver is taste. A key challenge facing food manufacturers is
incorporating functional ingredients without affecting the taste. Many ingredients are found to be
bland or the texture changes once the ingredient is added. This is a particularly problem for
omega-3s. Also, some nutrients are incompatible with base products. For example, vitamin E is
not water-soluble and is difficult to mix into existing products. Stability and shelf life are
important factors as well since many nutrients are unstable and sensitive to light, and can react
with other ingredients causing degradation of nutrients.
55 Broome 65
56 Yamaguchi 2003
57 Padhi 28
58 Padhi 27
Table 8: Per Capita Government Expenditure on Public Heath
1996 ($) 1997 ($) 1998 (9) 1999 ($) 2000 ($)
France 3,037.5 3,225.9 3,060.3 3,140.7 2,598.9
Germany
US
Canada
UK
Australia
Spain
Brazil
Poland
South Korea
Turkey
Japan
Russia
China
(Used by permission of Euromonitor International)
Innovation continues to drive the market. The industry is looking at new ingredients,
new packaging, new formulas, and new functionalities. Areas that are showing strong growth
include probiotic yogurts, plant sterol spreads, energy bars, functional waters and juices.
Therapeutic areas include cholesterol-lowering, gut health and bone health products.60 Also, the
discovery of the human genome has opened up possibilities for functional food at the extreme
medical end. This has given birth to nutrigenomy, a scientific discipline that analyses the
relationship between food and genomes, which could mean creating foods to suit different
genotypes. Thus, food can be specifically designed to suit the needs of the individual, and may
lead consumers to select food accordingly. It is still in its infancy.
For food industry companies, stagnating markets have been their primary driving force
towards nutraceuticals. Food and drink companies have seen low levels of growth. By adding
value to products, ordinary food items attain higher value. Pharma companies are looking for
alternatives since many patents on blockbuster drugs are ready to expire. The media through
magazines, TV and the Internet has been a powerful push factor; since, they provide information
to the public regarding preventative nutrition, and holistic and alternative therapies. Retailers are
marketing the idea of living better with many supermarkets now having vitamins and holistic
areas as well as organic foods along side processed foods. Companies are starting to look at
consumer markets and how they are driven. The youth market, women and elderly all have to be
approached differently since their wants and needs are different.
2.10.2 Over 35
The over 35 group is increasing. Life expectancy in the US has increased to 80.2 years
for women and 74.4 years for men in 2001.61 Even though there have been advancements in
medicine, the incidence of diseases such as heart disease and cancer (most having no cure)
increase which creates demand for prevention. Thus, their focus is preventing disease and living
longer, healthier lives. They also have more disposable income than younger consumers.
2.10.3 Women
Women represent a large target audience. They represent over 50% of all adult
consumers and they are the family decision maker when it comes to shopping. Social pressures
are felt more for women to maintain and keep their figures, and their physical appearance is very
important; for evidence, open any magazine or turn on the television. Pregnant women are
important too since they place more significance on health during this time and many studies
have shown the increased need for nutrients such as folic acid.
62 BUPA 2004
that could reduce consumer trust and require greater regulation, as has been the case for
pharmaceuticals.
2.13 Legislation
There .are a number of legislative difficulties facing nutraceuticals, functional foods and
dietary supplements. The approval of novel or innovative ingredients can be lengthy and
complex. While technological and cultural advances and changes have led to a blurring between
the concept of food and drugs, legislation in most countries lags behind. Manufacturers must
choose between marketing as a food or a drug in most cases. Generally, food items are distinct
from drugs in that they cannot confer any kind of health benefits which makes it difficult to
inform the consumer. If a company wants to indicate a health benefit, the food must undergo
lengthy evaluation like a drug. Many manufacturers are petitioning for a third classification
which makes allowances for products that fall between foods and drugs. In other cases, legislation
is being introduced in order to allow claims on products classified as foods. Legislation
differences between countries are making international sales complicated.
The Codex system is an international system created to develop food standards.
Countries are not obligated to comply with the regulations. In the EU, regulation is mostly in the
hands of each individual country so approval can be uncertain. The US has a more developed
system but there is still ambiguity over whether functional foods are foods or dietary
supplements. Canada has very strict regulations, making it a difficult market. Japan is more
advanced, and regulation permits established and accepted ingredients to be used in food but
discourages development of new ones. In general, government regulation is likely the greatest
obstacle to innovative products or those that push nutraceuticals toward pharma.
2.13.1 Codex
Codex Alimentarius Commission was created in 1963 by Food and Agriculture
Organization (FAO) and WHO to develop food standards, guidelines, and related text such as
codes of practice under the Joint FAOIWHO Food Standards Programme. The main purpose of
the Programme is protecting health of the consumers, ensuring fair trade practices in the food
trade, and promoting coordination of all food standards work undertaken by international
governmental and non-governmental organizations.63However, there are no specific regulations
pertaining to nutraceuticals or functional foods.
Codex also recommend re-evaluations of such foods having stated health claims for expected
effects or adverse effects, which may appear after a long-term consumption of the food.
31
In May 1997, the EU introduced new regulation governing novel foods. The Novel Food
Regulations (NFR) requires that new functional products must be submitted to each member state
in which the product will be launched. Each state then has 3 months to decide to accept, reject or
defer the de~ision.~'The EU discourages descriptive or comparative health claims and prohibits
any direct comparison of health related qualities with a competing product. The NFR covers
foods whose active ingredients have been derived from genetic engineering or deemed novel due
to the process used in creating the ingredient. Novel foods are defined as the following:
Food and food ingredients containi~gor consisting of generically-modified organism
Foods and food ingredients produced from, but not containing, genetically modified
organisms.
Foods and food ingredients with a new or intentionally modified primary molecular
structure
Foods and food ingredients consisting of or isolated from micro-organisms, fungi or
algae
Foods and food ingredients consisting of or isolated from plants and food ingredients
isolated from animals, except for food and food ingredients obtained by traditional
propagating or breeding practices and having a history of safe food use.
Foods and food ingredients to which has been applied a production process not currently
used, where that process gives rise to sigmficant changes in the composition or structure
of the foods or food ingredients which affect their nutritional value, metabolism or level
of undesirable substance^.^^
Foods which have not been consumed for a significant time before the introduction of
NFR must either submit an application with the science information and safety record or follow a
simplified procedure. The simplified procedure requires a notification to the European
Commission (EC) from the company when the food or ingredient is considered, after an
assessment, as "substantially equivalent" to existing foods or ingredients regarding their
composition, nutritional value, metabolism, intended use and level of undesirable substance^.^^
The Regulations do not allow claims that a food can prevent, treat or cure a disease, but will
allow some "risk-reduction claims" (e.g. calcium helps to reduce the risk of osteoporosis), as long
as they are proven by clinical tests and receive pre-marketing approval from the European Food
Safety Authority (EFSA). Foods bearing such claims must bear a statement that diseases have
multiple risk factors and that "altering one of these risk factors may or may not have a beneficial
effect". 68 This all creates additional costs of around EUR$250,000 to $1 m for manufacturers
above and beyond the cost of applying for and waiting for approval.69
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66 Eurornonitor International 2004
67 Eurornonitor International 2004
Eurornonitor International 2004
69 Eurornonitor International 2004
In July 2003, the EC proposed new measures that would establish more rigorous
guidelines for functional foods. It plans to publish a list of permitted claims and forbidding all
others. This legislation would also set out strict guidelines for the use of such terms as "fat free"
and "low fat", "low calorie" and "no added sugary7which could potentially be in force by 2005.
In countries where fortification is allowed, there is no agreement among member states regarding
limits for vitamins (in relation to RDA) and which foods may be fortified or which vitamins used.
The EU has launched a proposal on the regulation of the addition of vitamins and minerals to
food in February 2003 which aims to make the rules more liberal, looking not only at using
fortification to address deficiencies but also to achieve optimum nutrition. The proposal includes:
Prohibits the addition of vitamins and minerals to fresh produce and to drinks containing
more than 1.2% ABV
Proposes criteria for setting maximum levels of vitamins and minerals.
Provides for the regulation of "substances under Community scrutiny" - namely guarana,
taurine and glucuronolactone.
Provides for restricting the use of certain substances, specifically caffeine and quinine in
soft drinks.
Proposes Community-wide prohibition of the addition of some substances to foods, such
as kava kava, ephedra and St John's wort.
Provides for a future review of the effects of the regulation of the evolution of the market
for the foods concerned, their consumption, nutrient intakes for the population and
changes in dietary habits."
With respect to labelling, the proposal includes mandatory nutrition labelling for all foods to
which vitamins and minerals have been added, including full information on energy, protein,
carbohydrate, sugars, fats, saturates, fibre and sodium content as well as the amount of vitamins
and minerals added, the consumer must not be misled as to the nutritional merit of the food, and
labelling must not imply that a balanced diet can not provide adequate quantities of nutrients.
The process of approval tends to be complex and lengthy and parts of the regulations are
not always clear so disagreements arise. For small companies, the legislation deters launching
innovative products and may be cost prohibitive especially if the active ingredients in their
functional products are herbal due to the difficulties in prove them scientifically.
The FDA Modernization and Accountability Act (FDAMA) became law in November
1997. It contains provisions to reduce the hurdles in the health claim approval process. It allows
the FDA to authorize health claims based on published statements from agencies such as the
Centers for Disease Control (CDC), the National Academy of Sciences (NAS), or the National
Institutes of Health (NM). Health claims can be made without going through the FDA review
process, if they have already been published by these agencies. But, pre-market notification to the
FDA of 120 days is required.73
-- - -
2.13.4 Canada
There are no regulations dealing specifically with nutraceuticals or functional foods. All
foods and drugs fall under the provisions of the Food and Drugs Act and Regulations. However,
Health Canada has established a new Natural Health Products Directorate (NHPD) to develop a
new regulatory framework for NHP (including nutraceuticals). The goal is to protect the health of
consumers while giving them choice and access to products.
In September 2001, the NHPD proposed NHP to include products manufactured, sold or
represented for use in: (i) the diagnosis, treatment, mitigation or prevention or prevention of a
disease, disorder, or abnormal physical state or its symptoms in humans; (ii) resorting or
correcting organic functions in humans, or (iii) maintaining or promoting health or otherwise
modifying organic functions in humans. Specifically these products will include homeopathic
preparations, substances used in traditional medicine, a mineral or trace element, a vitamin, an
amino acid, an essential fatty acid or other botanical, animal or microorganism derived substance.
Most NHPs, nutraceuticals and medicinal herb products marketed in Canada make no
claims and are regulated as foods. When regulated as a food, there are no provisions in the
legislation to make claims of a "health" or "therapeutic" nature regarding the use of, or possible
side effects of, the product. 74 NHPs, nutraceutical or functional foods that carry a health claim
are treated as drugs. A Drug Identification Number (DIN) is required which is issued by the
Therapeutic Products Directorate (TPD). The current regulations permit: positioning food as part
of healthy eating and claiming a nutrient or nutritive substance (listed in the Regulations) is
generally recognized as an aid or factor in maintaining the functions of the body, or necessary for
the maintenance of good health and normal growth and development (also known as "biological
role claims" and nutrient function claims).'' Nutraceuticals have been included in the framework
for NHP. It will be similar to the DSHEA but one key difference is that the proposed changes
could allow product specific claims whereby a company with supporting R&D for its product
would be allowed an exclusive claim. Another food with the same ingredient would not be able to
make the claim unless supported by research. To protect consumers, Health Canada has banned or
restricted some NHPs because they were unsure of the product's safety.
The current regulatory environment is discouraging to innovation and marketing for
nutraceuticals/functionalfoods. Many feel that the standards and regulations applied to NHPs in
Canada are inappropriate, and lead to restricted entry of many safe and effective products.
2.13.5 Japan
Japan's nutraceutical regulation is based on FOSHU introduced by the Ministry of Health
and Welfare (MHW) in 1991. FOSHU are defined as those that are consumed in a normal way
(as opposed to pills and capsules) and which support the improvement of the diet and help
maintain or improve health. Products are licensed so they may make limited health claims. To
be considered, products must demonstrate specific health effect due to the product's composition,
and the effect has to be scientifically evaluated, and non-toxic and not pose a health or hygiene
risk. Before a license is issued, there has to be proof that product contributes to the improvement
of dietary habits and enhance health, the health benefits of the food or ingredient should have a
clear medical basis, foodhgredient must have definable dosage level, based on medical
knowledge, safe, relevant information should be defined in terms of physiochemical properties,
If a manufacturer can show that its food product contains one of the approved foods/ingredients,
it can carry the FOSHU label. Such ingredients include but are not limited to maltitol, wheat bran,
soy protein, phosphorus, and rice globulin.
Until 1997, regulations were strict and time consuming, 4-year approval process. In an
effort to update the system, the government introduced some revisions. Approvals are no longer
time-limited, and the supporting documentation for the claim has been reduced and the process
shortened. Also, licensing of individual ingredients occurs rather than individual products. This
allows companies to use a pre-approved functional ingredient and display a FOSHU symbol
without the approval process. This change has helped, while only 25% of functional foods had the
FOSHU symbol in 1997, more than 50% bore the symbol by 2002.'~
The FOSHU system is authorized by the Nutrition Improvement Law and the Nutritional
Improvement Law Enforcement Regulations. In 2001, a new regulatory system divided health
claims into two categories, FOSHU and Foods with Nutrient Function Claims (FNFC)(similarto
S/F claims in the US), 12 vitamins and 2 minerals are standardized. FOSHU applications are
submitted to local authorities and to the MHW. The application process takes about 1 year.
Further regulations include Foods for Special Dietary Uses (FSDU) that covers foods for medical
purposes and foods for pregnant and lactating women, infants and the elderly, and Health
Promotion Law which aims to improve long-lasting health and counter lifestyle-related diseases
76 Broome 172
77
Broome 173
78 National Centre of Excellence in Functional Foods 2004
79 Euromonitor International 2004
through better dietary habits. Lastly, there is also the Japan Health Food Authorisation (JHFA)
with some authority.
The level of uptake of a product will determine how it will fair against those already on
the market and whether the whole market size will increase. Products go through four stages (see
Figure 6). During stage 1, the product is launched into the market. This stage is relatively short
unless uptake of the product is low. This is where the product is considered most innovative and
premium prices will be paid. Also, organizations must consider distribution channels, which are
complex. Stage 2 involves competitors entering the market. Marketing and distribution of the
brand is very important at this stage. This is likely the stage Forbes will enter with the
combination. A combination of sterols and omega-3s has already been introduced to the market
by CardioTabs and Smart Balance who entered in stage 1. Then, there is adaptation and
improvements occurring in stage 3 as companies try to keep their market share. Improvements
include the introduction of new benefits such as additional fortification, new flavours, and low fat
variants. Also, companies look at addressing new distribution channels, packaging and format,
and promotion. This stage will not be too far away as omega-3s gain in popularity and become
mainstream (omega-3 fortified orange juice). Omega-3s and sterols find themselves in the midst
of finding other functionalities. Finally, they enter the sales decline phase in stage 4 where there
is integration and rejection. An example is functional breakfast cereals, which are a mature
market where consumers want more for their money. Also, fats and spreads are coming up into a
maturation part of their lifecycle which is where sterols are currently most popular. Companies
must become more innovative and find themselves moving into stage 1 again which essentially
completes a circle or the lifecycle. Thus, companies adding omega-3s to sterols to produce a
more functional product complete the lifecycle and move products back into stage one. As new
brands emerge in the earlier stages, pressure is brought on older products. The position of
products is not fixed and is entirely dependent on competing products. Also, stage 4 splits into
two opposing pathways, rejection and integration. Nutraceutical development is heavily
dependent on R&D. This innovation effects how long a group of products or brands spend in a
particular stage. So, it is important to consider the function, type of usage and target consumers
of potential or competing products.
Figure 6: Product ~ i f e c ~ c l e ~ ~
Stage 1: Infancy Stage 2: Early Growth Stage 3: Late Growth/ Stage 4: Maturity/
Maturity Replacement
Totals
lndusG
Total Profit
Time try
L
r , b
so Shapiro 207
Registered trademark of Abbott Laboratories
wellness area, but combine a spectrum of product solutions, often from medicine to dietary
supplements to ingredients or nutritional interventions, including foods and beverages.
R&D plays a central role in nutraceuticals and functional foods. Their development is
resource intensive both financially and in time required for basic research, technology
development and commercialization. Also, interesting to note, there is a significant correlation
between the number of patents a company owns and its financial valuation in capital markets.
Companies having a higher market valuation will be in a better position to leverage additional
financial resources to invest in R&D. So, the roles of patents will increase however it can be
difficult to patent these types of ingredients. If companies have limited access to funds, they will
be forced to partner or merge much earlier and innovators often are not able to undertake supply
chain activities beyond technology transfer, leaving companies vulnerable for take over. Also,
large manufacturers will try to vertically integration back along the supply chain to secure access
to IP. This is where disputes will arise and companies need to be cautious since large companies
have funds to fight these legal battles whether they are ultimately right or wrong.
Diverse regulations in different markets increase transaction costs for firms. Product
development, approval and marketing costs are all increased if product standards, requirements
for scientific evidence and labelling regulations differ. Efforts to establish international guidelines
for the labelling of nutraceuticals and functional foods would facilitate international trade. Codex,
the body through which (non-binding) agreements are reached internationally on food
regulations, does not have a specific committee to examine either nutraceuticals or functional
foods. Addressing these issues is important and being considered but solutions are still in the
distant future. Globalized pharma regulations are still being worked out so functional foods and
nutraceuticals have an uphill battle. So, mergers and alliances will be encouraged so that
companies can access global markets. Harmonization is possible. Just look at the EU, after
many years of negotiation, they have passed laws to allow fair-trade between these countries.
Japan may have a well-developed market but it is still an area for growth. They are
expected to have a huge senior population. Developed countries should still be targeted since
legislation does change and consumers will continue to be concerned with health needs as well as
the increasing disposable income in countries such as Eastern Europe, and Asia.
3.1 Introduction
VDS are generally considered part of the OTC healthcare market so a number of large
companies are involved. The ReducoVomega-3 combination in a softgel capsule would be
marketed in this arena, which is the subject of this paper. Most manufacturers and retailers in
VDS have complete lines of vitamins and supplements including herbals and multi-vitamins.
Also, manufacturers have more than one product which they are supplying as well as being
involved in continuing R&D for new applications of their current products and innovative new
products. Leading drug companies participate in this industry and they have established R&D
capabilities as well as marketing means which allows them to compete.
Far East
6%
Europe
32%
The market for VDS is established and maturing. However, VDS accounted for 40.2% of
global OTC healthcare sales in 2002. Global sales of W S are shown in Table 9. Asia-Pacific
represented the most valuable regional market, with 43.5% of VDS global sales. The US
accounted for 36.6%, experiencing sales growth of 9.8% between 1997 and 2002 (it is estimated
that 70% of the US adult population use dietary supplements). Japan experienced the second
largest sales in 2002, accounting for 3 1.1%, which was an increase of 0.5% from 2001. South
Korea was a distant third with a share of 3.4% in 2002. s4. Between 2000 and 2001, the US
market grew by 2.4% followed by the UK with 0.9% and France with 0.6%? Recently, rulings
in the EU have made VDS part of standard EU regulation rather than national regulation which
will help the market in those countries that were once restrictive (i.e. France, Spain, and
Germany). The rapid growth of distribution channels such as mail order and the Internet provide
83 Padhi 46
84 Euromonitor International Nov.2003
85 Padhi 100
market increases. Moreover, in contrast to pharma drugs, it is relatively easy to manufacture and
obtain a sales licence for health supplements which leads to growth.
The US VDS grew by 2.1% in 2002 to surpass $12.6 b.87Growth in the past has been
higher and the increasing declines are likely due to concerns of efficacy and safety. For example,
reports have been published implicating negative interactions of ginkgo biloba with some Rx
drugs as well as findings of little noticeable improvement in memory after 6 weeks of use. Thus,
herbal supplements such as ginkgo biloba, echinacea, and St John's wort, which had strong
growth in 1998, saw declines of 33.7%, 9.7% and 36.l%, respectively. In general, consumers
did not see the benefits promised and stopped buying the products.
Dietary supplements represent the largest VDS sector. In 2002, this amounted to sales in
the US of $6,614 m, an increase of 2.6% from 2001 slightly up from 1997 of $5,037 m. s9 Top
selling dietary supplement brands in 2002 were General Nutrition Cos (GNC), Nutrilite,
Herbalife, Rexall Sundown, and Nature Made. This market is large, relatively mature and is
highly fragmented with numerous herbals available. Table 10 illustrates global sales of dietary
supplements by type from 1997 to 2002. Calcium is the most popular supplement experiencing
sales of -$l,894 m in 2002 followed by mineral supplements with sales of -$l,3O7 m and fish
oils with sales of -$869 m.
The VDS market is predicted to grow by 12.7% between 2002 and 2007, and reach sales
of -$l4.2 b. Table 11 demonstrates global sales for VDS in 2002 and the predicted sales for
2007 with the Asia-Pacific being the largest consumer followed by North America. As the baby
boomers age, their interest in age-specific products such as vitamin K and B, glucosamine,
probiotics, fish oils, black and cohosh root is expected to continue. Dietary supplements, used to
treat specific aliments, sales are expected to increase by 17.6% between 2002 and 2007, to
approach $7.8 b.91The dietary supplements market is known for its high but intermittent growth
as new deficiencies in consumers' diets are discovered. In the US, the primary reason for growth
has been the aging population. Consumers are expected to increase their use of health products in
order to maintain their quality of life and prevent disease. More importantly, with the increasing
criticism over the generally poor standard of dietary intake, North Americans are considered to
have much to gain from the use of supplements.
3.3 Distribution
Global distribution of OTC is shown in Table 12. At the top of the list are chemists and
pharmacies followed by drugstores and parapharmacies and grocery outlets. As illustrated, there
has not been much change since 1997. The chemists have lost some ground with discount stores,
drugstores, and direct sales gaining. In 10 of the top 15 largest OTC markets, the
chemists/pharmacistschannel accounted for more than 50% of value sales in 2002. The US and
Canada are exceptions since OTC products see few distribution restrictions, and can be found in a
wide variety of outlets including supermarkets, drugstores, health food shops, mass
merchandisers, and convenience stores. Chemistslpharmacies accounted for 89% of OTC sales in
countries such as Turkey, France and Spain in 2002. In Mexico, 42.8% of OTC sales occurred in
grocery outlets.94Canada and the US saw major distribution through drugstoreslparapharmacies
as well as health food stores. Italy ranks high in health food stores as the main outlet for sales.
The US, Canada and Germany see consumers purchasing from discounters (retailers such as Wal-
Mart and Target). Direct sales are mainly used in countries like South Korea, Taiwan and Japan.
Table 13 shows the distribution of VDS globally. This distribution is very similar to OTC
with chernists/pharmacists leading distribution. However, health food stores come in second
whereas drugstores are second for OTC. This differs slightly from the US market where more
sales are made through health food outlets. But as illustrated in the Table, drugstores and grocery
outlets are becoming popular in global markets.
Though VDS in the US were once exclusively found in health food stores and direct
sellers, sales growth in recent years has led to a presence in mainstream channels. Figure 9
illustrates the sectors of distribution by percent in the US. Health food stores remain the leader in
distribution, despite a decline of 3.3 % between 1997 and 2002, with 39.2% of the sector value in
2002.~'The advantage health food stores have is their large product selections and knowledgeable
staff. Direct sellers come second for
Chemists1
Pharmacies Other
1% 9%
Health Food
Stores
39%
L ~ i r e cSellers
t
23%
3.4 Competition
The US VDS market saw hundreds of new products introduced in 2001 and 2002. In line
with sales trends, many of these products were condition-specific and several were linked to age-
related issues targeting the large, aging baby boomer population. Many of the products launched
claimed to promote circulation and the cardiovascular system as well as lowering cholesterol.
August 2001 saw the introduction of CardioPC, which claimed to offer protection for arterial
walls and to promote healthy circulation and heart function. Tenshin Essentials Elastese Dietary
Supplement from Japan's Taiko Healthcare Inc, released in January 2002, claimed to help
consumers maintain healthy cholesterol levels through a naturally occurring enzyme. May 2002
saw the US debut of Heart Formula Pioneer Supplement Capsules from Pioneer Nutritional
Formulas Inc. This vegetarian capsule is designed to strengthen and support cardiovascular
function through its blend of co-enzyme Q10, hawthorn extract, B vitamins, vitamin E,
magnesium, and chromium. Nature's Formulary LLC debuted Arjuna Ayurvedic Dietary
Supplement in October 2002. This vegetarian product is claimed to support cardiac function using
East Asian herbal tradition.
The following section discusses a few manufacturers and supplements already on the
market with omega-3s. There is a long list of companies so only a few have been used to
demonstrate the VDS market and how companies survive. Most of the large VDS companies
have some kind of omega-3 or fish oil supplement. However, there are not a lot of competitors
that have a combination sterollomega-3. All omega-3 manufacturers have some kind of oil or
capsule with they sell and most are involved in on-going research. Forbes does not manufacturer
--
51
nor do they have expertise in omega-3s so they will be looking for this expertise and need to be
aware of all the suppliers and manufacturers in the marketplace.
3.4.1 ~ r n e ~ a ~ u r e ~ ~ ~ ~
The Omega Protein Corporation is one of the largest US producers of fish oil and protein
products from menhaden (type of fish). OmegaPure, their functional ingredient, has GRAS
status. It is non-GM or genetically enhanced and claims to leave no aftertaste. In addition to
being stable, OmegaPure is kosher and organic and can be formulated into many products.
Additional categories for omega-3 are now being considered for approval by the FDA and they
are expected to broaden the food applications to include breads, beverages, chewing gum,
confections and frostings, dairy products, gelatins & puddings, pasta, candy, and jams and jellies.
Omega-3s can be tricky to incorporate into foods; so Omega Protein provides tips for
customers via their website. Some guidelines include the equipment must be free from metals, it
can't be used in products with skim milk powders, storage containers must be closed and kept
frozen or refrigerated to prevent oxidation, and it must be incorporated as part of the fat system
late in the production process. Omega Protein also provide oils in different forms including
liquid, powders and capsules so that they can be incorporated into a number of foods.
In April 2003, Omega Protein expanded their operations in Virginia so they could have a
fully equipped lipids laboratory to assist in R&D of omega-3 oils and food products. Omega
Protein announced, in Nov.2003, that GFA Brands, Inc. was introducing ~ m a r t ~ a l a n c e @ ' ~ ~
OmegaPlus, a buttery spread fortified with omega-3s to be available in stores in the US. It
contains OmegaPure and natural plant sterols with no hydrogenated oils or trans-fats as well as
both EPA and DHA from marine sources and alpha-linolenic acid (ALA) omega-3s from plant
sources. H&H Foods announced that they would be launching the first line of omega-3-fortified
foods with OmegaPure developed to make school meals healthier for Texas schoolchildren in
January 2004. Food products will include breakfast tacos, tamales and cheese sauces and will be
available in February 2004.
3.4.4 Omegacin+
Vaxa has a line of proactive cardiac care products which include Omegacin. Since 1987,
Vaxa has been formulating homeopathic medicinals. They combine homeopathy with vitamins,
minerals, amino acids and herbal medicines to provide natural alternatives for health concerns.
They offer an extensive line of herbs, and vitamins and supplements through their website.
Omegacin is a combination supplement that contains 38-bioavailableomegas 3-6-9 and
essential lipids, plus phytosterols and antioxidants. They claim that the ingredients in this formula
have been shown to naturally help strengthen cell membrane integrity, help repair cellular and
tissue damage, help optimize neurological transmission and brain function, help improve heart
and circulatory function, and help produce supple, moist skin for a mere $32.95.Io4 They provide
a description of lipids and why they are important, and they provide information on cholesterol
and essential fatty acids (EFAs) as well as providing references.
106
Spectrum Ingredients 2004
lo7 Registered trademark of Roche
log Trademark of DSM Nutritional Products
'09 Trademark of BioDelivery Sciences International, Inc
phosphatidylserine, a naturally occurring soy lipid that may reduce the risk of senile dementia or
age-related cognitive decline. Other potential applications may include cereals, chips, candy bars,
and beverages. However, all the testing to date has been performed on a small scale, and they do
not assure that it will scale and perform as well in a larger production setting.
This arena is full of supplement suppliers, food ingredient suppliers, food manufacturers,
and agri-food companies. Those supplying omega-3s could be potential suppliers for Forbes or
competitors. All companies in omega-3s are large and have global reach with many other
ingredients and products in their profile and in their pipelines.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
I Take an I Wait to I Consult
Another factor that drives this market is products switching from Rx to OTC status. This
offers manufacturers the opportunity to prolong the life of Rx drugs, and obtain further returns
from the investment already made in R&D of the original drug. Figure 11 illustrates the rising
drug costs which have opened the door for not only pharma companies trying to prolong drug
lives but for the switch to functional foods, nutraceuticals and VDS. The transfer to OTC status
may offer the opportunity to develop OTC sectors, by offering a technologically advanced
formulation. Also, switching enables healthcare funders to save on public funding of treatments,
through extending the availability of OTC alternatives. OTC products enable consumers to self-
medicate without the time and expense of consulting a doctor. The changes in legislation in
different markets generally tend towards a more liberal classification, with many national
governments supporting self-medication. Between 2001-2002, approximately 52 products were
switched from Rx to OTC status in the 15 most valuable OTC markets."' However, the
switching process can be reversed, given that regulatory authorities have a duty to safeguard
patients/consumers against abuse of non-Rx medication. For example, in 1997, the Committee on
Market drivers for companies in the industry include the increasing concern regarding the
preservation and protection of ingredient patents as well as other IP. Branding activity has
increased over the past few years behind proprietary, patented, or in some cases even commodity
ingredients due to a stagnating marketplace and the increased use of borrowed science.
Furthermore, eroding consumer confidence and faltering brand loyalty has created some urgency
with IP violations helping to fuel the fire. The result is that manufacturers are looking for
categories or segments they can own and that pressure has been transferred to their suppliers and
partners, who are trying to meet demand with patented, proprietary or unique raw ingredients of
their own (also branded). By partnering in the promotion of a branded ingredient, a manufacturer
and supplier can share the cost of developing and introducing products. The supplier gains a
customer that will purchase raw material exclusively from them as long as the branded ingredient
or logo is in the product and on the label. The manufacturer gains a value-added product, which
can be sold at a premium price. Also, there is the additive effect of the marketing dollars that each
is willing to spend to build brand awareness and to encourage consumers to try the products.
112
Broome 43
There is the possibility that a new sector in the OTC market will be created with the
anticipated switch of Rx cholesterol-loweringdrugs to OTC. However, the FDA has yet to
approve any of the products submitted. One incident that may be slowing the process was the
voluntary recall of Bayer's Baycol, Rx-based cholesterol reducer, after reports of severe muscle
weakne~s."~
If CVD medications do receive OTC distinction, consumers will have a choice, a
cholesterol-lowering spread from the grocery section or a pill from the pharmacy section. This
could cause problems for functional food brands that are already having trouble. Benecol can
cost up to 50 cents a serving whereas Pravachol I 0 (a statin drug) would cost 30 cents a
So, this threat creates packaging innovations such as the advent of Benecol daily dose dairy
drinks. This type of format offers a single bottle dosage, instead of 3 servings of spread a day,
coupled with the lower unit cost, that could enable sterol foods to better compete on both
convenience and price with OTC statins. On the other hand, if statins are on sale in pharmacies
and find their position being threatened by sterol products, it won't be long before pharma points
out the contradiction of having two ingredients in the supermarket, one in the food section, and
the other in the pharmacy section. Both products offer the same health benefit but one is
regulated as an OTC and the other as a food. It might be tempting for pharma companies to lobby
for OTC regulations for sterol products. This could open the door to more regulation for all
functional foods, ingredients and VDS.
Hilton 2003
'I4 Hilton 2003
Healthcare sales. These companies have large coffers from which to market OTCs and
provide for R&D. There are also many large supplement companies that include Taisho
Pharmaceutical, a global leader of VDS with the bulk of revenues from its brands of tonics and
nutritive drinks. Otsuka Pharmaceutical focuses on global VDS and sells to western markets
through is US-based subsidiary, Pharmavite LLC. According to Euromonitor in 2002, Taisho
Pharmaceutical had the largest share of the global market followed by Otsuka Pharmaceutical
(both are Japanese companies). In April 2003, Procter & Gamble (P&G) licensed the use of the
Olay trademark to Pharmavite to manufacture and market Olay Vitamins, designed for women's
health and beauty needs. Olay Vitamins will consist of two lines, Beauty Nutrients and Wellness
Nutrients, and will be launched in late 2003 in the US. During 2002, GNC, Nutrilite, Herbalife,
Rexall Sundown, and Nature Made maintained their lead among branded US dietary supplements
by offering a wide range of supplements and multi-supplements. Table 14 illustrates the top VDS
companies according to their share of the market. Each companies share seems small but it is a
multi-billion dollar industry, and there are a lot of players that the market supports.
3.9 Legislation
Regulatory authorities are clear in that any product making a therapeutic claim is
considered a drug, and is subject to strict regulatory procedures before it can be sold. However,
there is variation from one country to another in terms of definitions of foods and drugs. Thus, in
some countries, vitamins are categorised as drugs, requiring government approval to make health
claims, while in other countries they are regarded as foods for which such claims are not allowed.
This distinction often depends on the dosage level of the product.
In the absence of uniform regulations, manufacturers must market their products
according to each individual market which creates added expense. For example, vitamin-enriched
nutrient drinks are popular in Japan, where they are allowed to promote specific health claims,
but must be sold as energy drinks, in markets such as the UK and Germany. Below, legislation
details are provided for Codex, Europe, US, Canada, and Japan.
3.9.1 Codex
In 2004, the Codex Commission endorsed draft guidelines on vitamins and supplements
that recommend basing maximum levels of nutrients on safety rather than RDA. Maximum levels
are of key importance to the supplement industry as they determine the amount of nutrients
allowed in supplements. Some countries such as Norway, Malaysia, Thailand, and much of Latin
America, still require that the vitamins or minerals contained in a supplement should not exceed
100% of the RDI determined by the FAO. However, many countries now base the maximum
levels on safety and upper safety limits (USL), rather than RDA. This allows for formulas to
contain significantlyhigher amounts of vitamins and minerals. The Codex guidelines are
important because they offer standards that are harmonized at an international level and facilitate
global trade which is after all one of the main reasons for the creation of Codex.
3.9.2 Europe
In Europe, a draft directive on food supplements, including VDS, was published by the
European Parliament in February 2000. The Food Supplements Directive was subsequently
passed by the European Parliament and will be legislated in all member states by 2005. The
Directive contains a list of 112 vitamins and minerals which can be used in the manufacture of
food supplements. It includes specifications on packaging and labelling of VDS and sets out
minimum and maximum ingredient levels. VDS that are not included within the directive cannot
be sold in member states without being supported by evidence of their health benefits. However,
manufacturers have up to seven years to provide that evidence, at the discretion of each member
state.'*' The overall goal of the directive is to offer a high level of protection and information to
the consumer while ensuring products the ability to move across national borders.
The EC will limit the number of allowable dietary ingredients used in supplements and
establish USLs for vitamins and minerals. Thus, 277 various nutrient forms could be disallowed.
It is felt that the USLs established will fall below accepted scientifically recognized levels. This
could stop many American made supplements from being sold abroad.
"a product, other than tobacco, intended to supplement the diet that contains at
least one or more of the following ingredients: a vitamin, a mineral, a herb or
other botanical, an amino acid, or dietary substance for use to supplement the diet
by increasing the total dietary intake; or concentrate, metabolite, constituent or
extract or combination of any of the previously mentioned ingredient^."'^^
Dietary supplements are intended for ingestion in the form of a capsule, powder, softgel or gel
cap and should not be represented as a food or a sole item of a meal or diet.
3.9.4 Canada
NHPs are defined as vitamins and minerals, herbal remedies, homeopathic medicines,
traditional medicines such as Traditional Chinese Medicines, probiotics, amino acids and EFAs.
Under the new Regulations, the product must be as safe as an OTC since they do not require an
Rx to be sold. The consumer will benefit from having more information on the label to make
informed decisions. The Regulations aim to protect the health interests of consumers, but flexible
enough for the industry to develop useful, reasonably priced products. In the past, NHP were
sold as either drugs or foods because they did not have their own category. If classified as a drug,
NHPs had to adhere to the drug review process, which included proof of safety and efficacy
through clinical trials, and receive a DIN to be sold. If classified as a food, NHPs could make
very limited health claims and did not have much safety information on their labels. Natural
Health Products Regulations (NHPRs) have been developed in order to address the problems with
NHPs. The transition to these new regulations will be staggered over the next 6 years. Each of the
three phases will begin in January 2004, with completion of the transition over the following
schedule:
by the end of two years, all manufacturers, importers, packagers and labellers will
employ GMPs and have site licences;
by the end of six years, NHPs that currently have a product licence as a DIN, will have
transferred to have a NPN or a DIN-HM (homeopathic m e d i ~ i n e ) . ' ~ ~
The NPN on the label will inform consumers that the product has been reviewed by Health
Canada for safety, quality and health claims. For homeopathics, the label will bear the
designation DIN-HM. A site licence will be required for manufacturers, packagers, labellers, and
importers of NHPs. One of the prerequisites that must be met before a site licence is issued is that
GMP is employed.
Vitamins and minerals are regulated as a sub-set of drugs because they are considered to
be NHPs. Previously, vitamins and minerals, in dosage form, were regulated as drugs. However,
because they are intended to be used for health benefits, they have to have indications for use on
their label. As recommended by the Standing Committee on Health, regulating vitamins and
3.9.5 Japan
Many countries have laws covering.supplements where the efficacy or preventive
properties of the foods themselves are concerned, whereas Japan does not. In Japan, substances
ingested orally are classified either as foods, pharmaceuticals or quasi-pharmaceuticals. Whether
a product is a pharmaceutical is determined based on the type of ingredients, the format
(formulation, package, wrapping, design), labelling, the effects and efficacy, the method of
dosage and sales, and decided according to whether it is usually perceived as a product intended
for the purposes described in the Pharmaceutical Affairs Law. Thus, even though a product may
be sold in other countries as a food, it may come under the pharmaceuticals classification in
Japan. The MHW has established the category of "quasi-drug", which refers to substances that
have a mild action on the human body and are allowed to claim a degree of preventative effect.
Included in this category are vitamin C, vitamin E, and combined vitamin E and C preparations
for oral administration; tonics and health supplements containing the vitamins B1, B2 and B6 for
oral administration; and calcium mineral supplements for oral admini~tration.'~~
The term dietary supplement means a product intended to supplement the diet that
contains of one or more of the following dietary ingredients: (a) a vitamin; (b) a mineral; (c) an
herb or other botanical; (d) an amino acid and a protein; (e) a fatty acid and its glyceride; ( f ) a
dietary fiber and a carbohydrate; (g) a dietary substance for use by man to supplement the diet;
(h) a concentrate, metabolite, constituent, extract, or combination of any ingredient described in
Foods including dietary supplements have to be safe and convenient for consumers and
appropriate for maintaining their quality. Health benefit claims of the structure or function in
humans are allowed for supplements if they have scientific proof. A vitamin including its various
chemical forms and compounds and a mineral compound in a vitamin or mineral dietary
supplement is considered a food stuff and not a food additive because it is the main ingredient of
a dietary supplement. Complex supplements, which contain multiple ingredients of vitamins,
minerals and/or herbs, are popular in Europe and the United States. But in Japan, all other
ingredients except for one, which is the main food stuff of a dietary supplement, could be
interpreted as food additives. Also, MHW has established RDAs for many nutrients recently.
A number of factors and issues continue to impact the nutraceuticals market. Positive
drivers are increasing consumer interest in a healthy diet and lifestyle, and increasing
responsibility for their health as the aging population grows. Moreover, increasing legislation is
expected to slow market launches and growth in functional foods. Misunderstandings of
scientific benefits, and price and taste will exclude some products from success. Also, when
buying a drug, the label explains how much to take, for how long to take it and who shouldn't
take it. With functional foods and many supplements, the consumer is on their own. For example,
most echinacea supplement labels caution users not to take the herb for extended periods of time
and warn people that are immunocompromised or have autoimmune diseases not to take it. These
Market in 2002 $39bn, Market still in growth phase $34bn, Market mature but room for growth of supplements
Development Japan, US, E.Europe, Asia, other developing countries Japan, US, developing countries
Growth
Areas of Cholesterol, CVD, osteoporosis, HBP, diabetes, obesity Speciality supplements, fish oils
Growth
Targeting General well being Specific ailment such as cholesterol
4 Maintenance of health Preventative
4
Companies Food manufacturing, pharma, consumer goods, agriculture, nutraceutical, Pharma, medical, healthcare, food manufacturing, generic manufacturers,
generally multi-national supplement, generally multi-national
Examples of Cargill, Nestle, ADM, PepsiCo, Danone, Raisio Wyeth, Otsuka, Herbalife, GSK, Omega Protein, DSM Nutritionals
Companies
Market Drivers Alternative to pharma and VDS, consumers becoming responsible for their Alternative to pharma, aging population, increased self-medication, healthy
health (health and diet are related), in~reasedhealthcare costs, convenience, lifestyles, convenient, increased health costs, inability to see physicians, media
taste, price, health care costs, aging population, innovation, media and and education, alternative to eating properly, expect to cure, baby boomers
education, product ranges, rising awareness of health, awareness of dietary have disposable income, specific aliments, Rx to OTC switching, generation of
deficiencies, increasing competitive market, better compliance than drugs or IP, companies can utilize existing competencies in R&D and marketing, price
vitamins
Barriers Consumer scepticism, taste and texture problems, long term benefits, cost of Safety and efficacy issues, quality issues, rapid changing interests of
R&D, misunderstandings of science, unaware of the benefits, price, natural consumer, medical warnings, over saturation, not living up to claims, dosage
and safe ingredients, changing innovation size, technical challenges
Future Focusing marketing on the consumer not the product, more R&D focus, More regulation, IP important, marketing to healthcare professionals, self-
4 medication increasing, core competencies from pharma, branding, more
03 changing regulations
switching, alternative to Rx by PPO and HMOs, reimbursements, more pharma
4 INTERNAL ANALYSIS
Forbes has been working with a technology to combine Reducol with an omega-3 in
order to create a supplement. Both ingredients have clinically proven cholesterol-lowering
abilities. A patent has been filed for this combination; however, the synergistic effects of the two
have not been proven to date. They are planning on bringing it to market so an understanding of
the company and its internal processes is necessary. This chapter provides background on
Forbes' success to date, the technology on which they have relied, the management team, their
core competencies, their critical success factors, and company strategies. By considering the
market and their competencies so far as well as barriers to entry, recommendations and
conclusions will be made in Chapter 5.
80
raised while they settled the license agreement with Novartis and regained the rights to Reducol.
The Amqui pilot plant was sold for CND$1.6 m since they had Phyto-Source operating. The
investment into Amqui allowed them to develop and refine manufacturing.
In 2003, they secured CND$10.8 m financing with Great Point Partners and BioAsia as
lead investors.' The European Phase I1 trials were completed for FM-VP4 and they started pre-
clinical trials for FM-VPx library of compounds. The ADIADD technology was sold for
CDN$1.9 m. The FDA issued health claims letter allowing the advertisement of health benefits
of Reducol.
Forbes has entered into numerous partnerships. ACIC Fine Chemical was their exclusive
sales representative for AD and ADD. UBC and Forbes have a long-standing relationship since
the development of the original core sterol technology. This technology was licensed from UBC
and Forbes pays royalties when products are sold. McGill University has been involved in
pivotal clinical studies for Forbes. In addition, they partnered with Novartis for a time until
Novartis sold the Quaker Oats divisions and the Aviva line didn't move forward.
As external conditions have changed, so has Forbes. In 2002, they changed their focus to
being a biopharrna company rather than a diversified health sciences company dedicated to the
research, development and commercialization of innovative nutraceutical and pharma products
derived from nature. They purchased back the rights to use the Reducol name. They have
continued moving forward with their phytosterols to much success and have moved away from
technologies and products that were not part of their strategy and were using up revenue.
CardioRex was abandoned after clinical trials data did not deliver the expected results of a 20-
25% LDL reduction and findings were inconsistent with previous study results which had shown
reductions of 15%. The ADIADD technology was sold; since, it did not fit with the overall
company direction. Forbes has continued to look at pharma products with FM-VP4 which has
shown some promising results. They are continuing to focus on CVD and risks thereof with
future products.
4.3 Management
Management has undergone some changes since Forbes7inception. Tazdin Esmail, Egon
Novak and James Kutney worked for the company in different capacities (all were instrumental in
Forbes' spinning off from UBC and forming into a company). Forbes has had some staff
turnover but this is not unusual with start up companies. As companies find their way, they hire
those that can help achieve the goals and strategies at the time. Management changes as the
research scientists who usually lead start up companies move aside as the business grows to be
replaced by experienced business managers. Also, individuals leave for other opportunities and
personal reasons. Jack Miller was the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) in 1998, became Senior
Vice President (VP), Corporate Development in 1999 in order to identify and develop strategic
associations with major pharma and life science companies, and resigned in 2000. Don
MacDonald, Chief Financial Officer (CFO), was with Forbes for just over a year, and left to go
back to the mining industry in 2003. Some individuals have stayed with the company from the
beginning including David Stewart and Haydn Pritchard from 1998, and Jerzy Zawistowski and
Reuters 8 1
Charles Butt from 1999. In May 2001, restructuring occurred with Tazdin Esmail giving CEO
responsibilities to Charles Butt to manage the day to day activities while Esmail (remaining
President) focused on development of more targeted and concentrated R&D programs, strategic
associations, and longer term vision. Forbes was making a transition fi-om purely R&D to one
focused on manufacturing and commercializing its products. In March 2002, Esmail stepped
down as President and was replaced with Charles Butt (taking on President and CEO of the
company) in order to prepare the company for its next stage of development and to focus on
pharma products. They restructured in late 2002 by moving all research programs out of its
laboratory facility and outsourcing to selected universities and contract research organizations
(CRO) in order to decrease the rate at which they were going through money. They reduced their
head count from 35 to 17 which was expected to save CDN$854,000. Three new appointments
were made that year as well. Tanya Lukic became VP, Scientific Affairs, Haydn Pritchard
became a consultant so as to pursue teaching (with Forbes since 1998), and Laura Wessman was
promoted to VP, Business Development.
Forbes' current core competencies involve their ability to discover novel technologies,
ingredients and pharmaceuticals that are concerned with lowering cholesterol in the fight against
CVD. They have a competency in manufacturing sterols, which they entered into in part due to
dealings with Novartis and have gained expertise over the years. In the hture, Forbes will
concentrate their efforts on R&D and discovery, leaving other areas to those with expertise
through outsourcing agreements. However, they will maintain the plant in Texas for
manufacturing sterols. Forbes will stay involved in clinical trials and product development but in
partnership with another organization rather than developing this as a competency. They need to
build on their competencies in order to add value to their company and make them desirable for a
potential partner or alliance.
Forbes needs to have successful R&D and build up a technology base. They have relied
'
on one key technology to date but this cannot sustain the company indefinitely. Sterols demand
is increasing (favourable clinical studies, new product launches with sterols, and combination of
sterols and other ingredients), and they still have ample time to see more revenue. However, new
ingredients are not far behind. Life cycles for nutraceuticals are getting shorter so products do
not remain new and innovative very long. Forbes needs to acquire another revenue stream in
order to become profitable and survive. They can do this with their current competencies in R&D
and in working with universities and researchers. Partnering is still an important part of the
business; since, they will be outsourcing. So, they need to obtain partners that fulfill the
competencies that Forbes lacks. There are two schools of thought with partnering. In the past
pharma companies and the like would partner later in the development stage. This is important in
that companies must produce compelling results in order to have an organization show interest.
However, pharma is running out of products in their pipelines (R&D is expensive so relying on
drugs on the market for revenue) so partnerships are starting to spring up closer to the
development part of the technology or product. Forbes cannot rely on either of these but must
find the best-suited partner for them. They need to be prepared to spend money to develop their
technology further than the patenting stage. The problem is that the funds they have from sales of
phytosterols may not cover all projects that are under way (FM-VP4, Viola Oil and softgel
supplements).
IP is an important factor for companies with an R&D focus. Forbes has successfully filed
and received patents on their discoveries which solidifies their competency in R&D. The
supplement technology is undergoing examination in many jursidictions. Patents will continue to
be important as companies file for ingredients and functional foods to provide some security in an
ever-increasing competitive market.
BENEFITS
juices, etc
Therapeutic
,
Pharniaceuticsl DELl?iElY SYSTEMS Food 8 drink
140 Ehrnreich 48
clinical trials. Also, core resources, such as human resources, can be used by all areas of the
company. The nutraceutical side has had only one ingredient make it out of the labs to
commercialization since 1993. But, companies like QLT have been successful to date with only
one product on the market.
Partnering has been a company strategy for many years. Forbes partnered with Novartis
to commercialize Reducol as well as conducting R&D and clinical trials with the help of
researchers at local and national universities. They have partnered with different departments at
UBC including Departments of Chemistry, Pathology and Laboratory medicine; Food, Nutrition
and Health; Food Science Program; Faculty of Agriculture Sciences; and Faculty of
Pharmaceutical Sciences. They have collaborated with UBC pharmacology, Dr. Kisher M
Wasor, to do preclinical and animal studies. They have conducted some studies with McGill and
Dr Peter Jones as well as studies at the University of Toronto. In 2003, Forbes' lab and
equipment at UBC were leased to Cavendish Analytical Laboratory Limited since Forbes holds
the lease on the facility until 2005. Cavendish signed a two-year lease agreement which included
conducting some chemistry related services for Forbes. Future potential partners need to
compliment Forbes for them to be successful. This includes a partner that understands the VDS
market because they do not have a huge marketing department (exists of two people at the
moment). This will allow sharing of costs to commercialize. By sharing, they can brand their
ingredients and have the backing of a company that has the financial means to market effectively
on a national and international basis. Forbes does not have the budgets to launch products on
their own at this time.
The branding strategy for Reducol has been successful. The partnership with Novartis
was beneficial in getting Reducol to market; however, they did have some non-compliance in
their licensing agreement so the partnership dissolved. Forbes originally was not going to
purchase the Reducol name and was going to return to the original name, Phytrol, or market
under another name, leaving Novartis rights to the Reducol name. However, they did purchase
the name which has been beneficial. Branding has been important in an arena where there are
numerous players with ingredients and like so many other products some ingredients are better,
safer and more effect than others. So, in order to have the consumer associate quality with an
ingredient, the brand is important.
They do not intend on becoming a fully integrated company but rather focus on R&D,
patent technology, and outsource to CROs and labs to continue development of the technology
and conduct clinical trials. Many companies in biotech have focused on achieving full
integration. This is not sustainable anymore and Forbes has taken this to heart. Instead, Forbes
will focus on outsourcing to competent organizations. So, IP is an important factor and can
provide security for Forbes for any technology they discover.
4.9 Finances
All revenue generated to this point by Forbes has come from phytosterols. However,
Forbes has yet to make a profit and has filed losses every year to date (see Tables 20-22). With
all the projects that they have underway, Forbes will continue to operate at a loss for a time. All
the revenue has been put back into R&D as well as covering overhead costs. Over the years,
Forbes has had to make cutbacks. They have leased out their lab and equipment at UBC due to
some hard financial times and cut back on staff by more than 50%. Even thought they continue
to operate at a loss, they are able to obtain monies from private placements and investors. They
do have promising results with FM-VP4 and the library of compounds which could generate
revenue for the company. But, this is in the hture and most pharmaceuticals take a long time to
get to market if they even make it that far. Forbes has already scrapped one drug, CardioRex,
which seemed to have potential but it did not produce the expected results. In the meantime, they
are looking for revenue streams and thus the VDS market may be an option for the
ReducoWomega-3 combination. The problem is that they lack expertise in VDS. To date, they
have supplied a few top supplement manufacturers with phytosterols. They will have to build
that part of the business if they choose to enter the VDS market. This could mean stretching
resources even farther in a time when they are feeling the crunch. The last few years have seen
some dramatic losses and they need to generate some real profits soon. The boom of biotech
companies is unlikely to happen again, and investors may start to get anxious.
Functional foods and VDS face some challenges. Formulation issues arise including
stability, taste, texture, bioavailability, and delivering an efficacious dose as well as how easily
the ingredient can be incorporated into a recipe or food. Formulation challenges for dietary
supplements include stability (especially in formulations with several ingredients), ease of
tableting or encapsulating, bioavailability, and keeping the dosage size as small as possible.
Then, there are the legislation hurdles, consumer wants and needs, markets intertwined with
pharma, and innovation for both industries.
Forbes is intending to bring their Reducol/omega-3 combination to the VDS market.
However, they are a nutraceutical and pharma company. They need to analyze whether or not to
introduce this new ingredient and if so, the best market and best way to accomplish the
5.1 Recommendation .
It is recommended that Forbes move forward with their supplement combination
Reducol/omega-3. Another revenue stream is imperative for Forbes; since, they have been
operating at a loss for almost a decade. It is important that they start generating some profits so
they can keep R&D,activities for other ingredients and pharmaceuticals alive as well as affiliating
themselves with another product to show investors and consumers that viable research is still
taking place. Many investors look at the IP a company has in order to give it value. Furthermore,
they have only one branded product on the market (phytosterols are added to foods without
naming Forbes as the supplier), and companies can only survive on one product for a limited
time. For example, QLT has now purchased another company in order to expand their portfolio
past their one product, Visudyne. The combination supplement is close to commercialization.
Forbes has been working with it for over 3 years, first announced its existence in 2001. It also
fits into their strategy to be an R&D and discovery company for nutraceuticals and pharma, and
their intent to help prevent and treat CVD. VDS is compatible with pharma in that they need to
support health claims using clinical trials for both areas. They can use their competencies from
nutraceuticals and pharma to promote this supplement. Forbes has utilized their expertise in
R&D and taken an existing ingredient (Reducol) and made it more functional by incorporating it
into a combination supplement. Furthermore, omega-3s are a hot ingredient. They have been in
a growth phase since 1997 and are expected to continue due to the many benefits they possess.
Supplements are a cheaper alternative to Rx especially in countries like the US where Rx
drugs are expensive and elderly consumers have limited disposable income. Consumers buy
VDS because they are easy to swallow and relatively inexpensive and fit into a quick paced
lifestyle. Because consumers are price sensitive, the cost of a few vitamin pills may be cheaper
than a serving of certain functional foods. Consumers see VDS as a natural alternative as well as
having fewer adverse side effects than Rx drugs. Many consumers take VDS in order to
supplement an unhealthy diet or to prevent disease in the future. Baby boomers have disposable
income to spend on maintenance, and they are not aging gracefully rather they are trying to stay
young and healthy as long as possible. VDS fits into this lifestyle for them. There are only a few
supplements already on the market that incorporate both sterols and omega-3s. Furthermore, for
those people that dislike fish, supplements are a good alternative. So, the US is the best market to
enter with the supplement; since, they are open to new products and have a large consumer base.
Forbes has already conducted clinical trials showing that the supplement does decrease
cholesterol levels, in particular LDL and triglycerides, so this data could be incorporated into any
registering of the product (DIN numbers in Canada, or changing legislation in the US and EU)
and health claims. They would also have to ensure that manufacturing is done to GMP standards
because they are also a pharma company and want all products, including VDS, to be safe and up
to standards. Most of the big omega-3 suppliers have this capability. VDS are undergoing a lot
more scrutiny due to some safety and efficacy problems in the past. Forbes is pursing a patent on
the combination supplement in the US and other internationaljurisdictions. The US patent was
filed in 1998, and there have not been any competitor filings as yet. This will enable them to
licence the technology and collect royalties.
Forbes exists amongst one of the largest biotech clusters in Canada and is well known
globally. There are a number of universities, hospitals and biotech companies in the Vancouver
area. They have successfully obtained financial investors every year. They are a leading supplier
of sterols to food and VDS manufacturers especially in the US. Forbes currently has contracts
with TwinLab, Pharmavite, Iljin, and Macro to name a few. Forbes has been supplying TwinLab
and Phannavite with Reducol since 2001. Macro and Iljin are in the business of supplying
ingredients to the VDS market; so they could help supply the combination. So, Forbes could
potentially sign contracts with these existing customers.
Forbes has a marketing division with experience in pharma. They have successfully
signed agreements with partners, joint ventures and manufacturers for both supplements and
functional foods. They are actively involved in pursuing other avenues for Reducol and non-
branded sterols worldwide. They have launched a website for Reducol which will allow
educating consumers as well as health professionals and the virtues of the supplement can be
added to the site. In addition, Smart Balance and other current combination products will assist in
opening the market by educating the public and doing the initial aggressive marketing.
Phytosterols has maintained Forbes' business to this point by supplying them to
manufacturers for supplements and functional foods. The $75 m European plant sterols market is
ready following several ingredient approvals from the EC and an expansion of food categories
that can carry the cholesterol-lowering ingredient. However, Reducol is still awaiting approval
whereas ADM, Teriaka, and Pharmaconsult have ingredients approved under the NFR. But,
Forbes' sterols do have an advantage in that they are non-GM, which would put them in a key
position in Europe due to the increased fear of GM products. However, the EC has issued plant
sterol labelling requirements that will apply to new and existing products. Sterol-fortified foods
must carry the following; "with added plant stanols/sterols" in the same field of vision as the
product name and the quantity per 100 grams or per 100 millilitres must be in the ingredients
list.'43 The product must also carry a warning that stanols/sterols consumption should not exceed
3 grams per day and state, "This product is intended exclusively for people who want to lower
their blood cholesterol This could persuade those with medical conditions to purchase
the product but turn off the average consumer who is just looking for a product that is good for
them or a healthier alternative.
In order for Forbes to successfully launch this product, there are a few suggestions that
need to be considered. There will be some challenges they need to face including lack of profits,
a supply of omega-3s and the technology itself as well as conflicting strategy. Forbes needs to
consider the barriers to entry such as a maturing market, competition and product lifecycles.
The patent process is quite involved and there are a number of players trying to obtain
sterol patents which could affect the status of the combination. Every company in the business
(Raisio, Hoffman La Roche, Henkel, Monsanto and P&G) has filed at least one patent covering
some aspect of phytosterol or stanol ester technology. Most patents were filed between 1997 and
2000 and are still pending. The number of applications covering overlapping technology makes it
difficult to determine who may eventually obtain the actual patent. All applications are published
and many jurisdictions allow a patent owner to sue for back damages from the date of
publication. So, if claims are issued and companies were infringing, they may be forced to pay
damages even if the company ceased the infringing once the patent was issued. It is difficult to
say if Forbes is safe making steroVstano1 esters. Forbes should look at all patents pending in this
areas including prior to 1997. Thus, they can argue there was no infringing; since, they are
practicing what was published before any filings. The esters that Forbes is proposing have been
made for many years. Forbes filed a patent for this combination supplement in 1998 but it is still
in review. They still have to provide more clinical testing in order to prove that the combination
has a sound synergistic effect. However, time is running out and other players are not far behind.
Forbes has been working with the supplement for many years already to get the technology up to
par. It is now or never to get it to market
Forbes needs to be aware of ever changing legislation brought on by safety and efficacy
issues in the VDS market. It costs money to bring the supplement to the different markets. Also,
product life cycles haven gotten shorter in recent years. During the introduction of a product a
5.2 Conclusions
The increased consumer interest for nutrition and health will change the relationship
between the food and pharma industries. Innovative foods with health claims are brought to the
market in the form of novel foods, nutraceuticals and functional foods. Both the food and pharma
industries compete for new products, new forms of food and new technologies for new markets,
and new ways of serving customers. A principal challenge for firms entering any of these markets
is the formulation and implementation of a business strategy. This requires blending core
competencies and capabilities, specifically, the marketing knowledge and food technology skills
of the food industry, and the medical and screening capabilities of the phanna industry. This
means there are several forms of collaboration possible between these industries, from full
integration to supplier relationships.
Functional foods is a very dynamic market with their rise coming from the awareness of
deteriorating of health due to lifestyle choices, increased self-medication due to reduced
government spending for healthcare and increased responsibility for one's health, increased
education on the link between health and diet, competitive environment where companies are
looking for other areas to explore, and innovative R&D. Functional foods are still in a growth
phase, which is predicted to continue to at least 2008. Key areas of growth are new applications
for plant sterols, new applications for probiotics, cosmeceuticals (foods that claim to improve
skin, hair and nails), and the elderly.
Key markets for functional foods continue to be the US and Japan. Japan is a more
developed market with a well-defined regulatory system. Many products such as probiotics and
isotonic drinks are new to most of the world but are mainstream in Japan. In Asia, fortification
with omega-3s is more prevalent than the rest of the world since brain function is important in
this culture. The US' major health concerns are heart health, bone health and energylvitality. So,
cholesterol control and added calcium are important for older consumers while younger
consumers are concerned with sports functions and provision of energy. Functional foods
account for around 3% of total food sales in the US. Europe is most concerned with intestinal
health so probiotics and products with added fibre are strong.
As for the VDS market, there has been bad publicity and medical warnings impacting
firms and products. The market is mature but there is still room for growth, especially for
supplements. Furthermore, developing countries are starting to show interest in VDS because
they are an alternative to Rx drugs (which can be prone to many side effects and are expensive)
and enable consumers to get their RDA of nutrients. Consumers are driven toward self-
medication due to the increased costs of heaithcare, the link between health and disease
prevention, and the fit into current lifestyles. However, will consumers embrace a combination
supplement and see that it is better than taking sterols and omega-3s separately?
More than ever, it will be necessary for companies to differentiate themselves, not only
on the science that supports their products' health benefits, but also on technical characteristics,
such as ease of processing or taste benefits. Four years after the launch of Benecol and Unilever's
Take Control cholesterol-loweringspreads in the US, sales are far below what was once
forecasted. Success has come for many products but it raises many of the contradictions and
complexities associated with functional foods and nutraceuticals. How much science is enough
science, one human clinical study or many, and how many? For marketing purposes, one study
with positive results is all that has been needed for many successful functional food marketing
campaigns. Furthermore, for many functional foods, especially beverages, the science is little
more than circumstantial; since, they are lifestyle products and it is hard to equate these with
long-term health benefits. This then leads into another tricky area, should the concept of
functional foods be confined to ingredients and products that have proven health benefits related
to a specific disease condition or are they more lifestyle products that contribute to an idea and
consumer need of optimum health? At the moment, advertising generally focuses on taste,
convenience, and such rather than the health benefits.
The market continually fails to find consistent solutions to doselefficacy of the product as
consumed, the cost equation of new product development (NPD) and pricing of products,
addressing consumer understanding/awareness, and working out the regulatory environment.
Also, there is the question of the use and protection of IP around technologies and ingredients.
Many companies considering entry into or expansion within the nutraceuticals market
begin by developing an understanding of consumer needs and the corresponding benefits they
seek from nutraceutical products, whether foods or supplements. This often begins by prioritizing
and selecting consumer health conditions for development. Forbes has done this by focusing on
CVD. At this point in product development, a company looking to compete in a particular arena
should have a clear understanding of the market and technical attractiveness of various health
conditions. Forbes has functioned well in their market with phytosterols and their cholesterol-
lowering abilities. Their medical advisory board has many individuals that are experts in the
area. The next step is to determine how well a particular health condition area fits with the
company's current business or future ambitions. Forbes sold the ADIADD technology so all
current products, ReducoVomega-3s supplement and FM-VP4 are cholesterol-loweringproducts.
They are also investigating other indications that involve CVD with their current products and
products in their pipeline. They may move into areas such as obesity and type I1 diabetes which
can lead to CVD. These look to be the next diseases to tackle based on WHO statistics.
However, Forbes must monitor the horizon to ensure they are on track.
Time and energy spent on the front end of the development process will assist product
success. This is especially true for nutraceuticals that must offer a clear health benefit while
providing a satisfying food in terms of flavour, texture, refreshment, satiety, and convenience.
Forbes has spent a good deal of time and money creating SOPSand solid clinical research for
phytosterol incorporation into different foods. They will have to do this for all future ingredients
as well. Accurate decisions made early on in the product development process have far more
impact on product success. Forbes has successfully incorporated sterols into margarines and are
looking at Viola Oil (oils are considered the next break through product for sterols). They will
have to continue perfecting the combination technology in order to market it. Optimizing flavour
and textural properties is one of the greatest challenges in nutraceutical product development.
This is particularly a problem with omega-3s; so, Forbes needs to ensure that their source is a
viable ingredient that can be added to foods in the future if they choose to move in that direction.
There are signs that suppliers have forms that will not degrade even when exposed to heating.
Most suppliers of omega-3s have a powder form that can be incorporated into foods and
supplements.
Forbes must choose an appropriate partner either from the food or pharma industries.
Food companies are consumer focused. Food products tend to have short product-development
cycles, experience in branding, and sell on a low margin at high volume. Producers know how to
determine what the product needs to look like, feel like, taste like, and how it needs to be
packaged for a consumer. Pharma companies, on the other hand, are science based. They have
long product-development cycles that often involve proprietary technologies as well as large
R&D budgets and lots of regulatory experience. Nutraceuticals have allowed food companies to
meet increased revenue targets through increased market share, penetration into new markets, and
the potential for higher margins. For pharma companies, nutraceuticals provide penetration into
new consumer markets through licensing arrangements that enable them to obtain profits. Forbes
is focusing on discovery (using their pharma s l l l s and R&D skills), and outsourcing and
licensing their products to both food and pharma companies. Forbes seems to be living between
these types of companies.
'
Functional foods and VDS success depends on the following: a focus on general well-
being, health benefits linked to a common complaint, extension of existing brandlfood, mass
distribution through multiple channels, a focus on tastelease of use, convenience and price, a
mass marketing position, and effective comrrunication of health benefits. VDS focuses on self-
medication and specific aliments. The future sees the move to more specific aliments for both
foods and VDS as pharma gets more involved. Thus, it is recommended that Forbes move
forward into the VDS market with their combination and then into functional foods once they
have a successful launch. This will allow generation of more revenue; since, they will have
already gotten some customer loyalty. This will only happen if they find a reputable supplier of
omega-3s who is willing to manufacturer (or Forbes needs to manufacturer themselves). They
will also be focusing on their strategy of building both the pharma and nutraceutical parts of their
business in the world of CVD. They will not be able to survive on just one ingredient
indefinitely. By entering into VDS, Forbes will also promote their name and brand globally to
ensure that other products will be accepted in the future, thus, helping ensure Forbes' position in
nutraceuticals and potentially in pharma.
APPENDICES
Table 19: Principle Ingredients used in ~ u t r a c e u t i c a l s ' ~ ~
Ingredient Sources Claims relate to Typical applications
Antioxidants Ascorbic acid Cancer Soft drinks tea
Betacarotene Heart disease Tea
Plant extracts Lignans
Tea
Dietary fibres & Soluble fibre:
oligosaccharides Cereal Extracts Diabetes Soft drinks
Gum Digestion Yogurts
Pectin Heart disease
insoluble fibre:
Bran Cancer Bakery products
Cellulose Digestion Breakfast cereals
Pulses
Glucose replacers Fructose Energy Confectionary drinks
Glucose Fruit juices
lsomalt Soft drinks
Lactitol
Maltitol
Xylitol
Minerals Calcium chelates Dental health Diary products
Casein peptides Osteoporosis Fruit juices
Iron chelates Anaemia Breakfast cereals
Lactoferrin Bakery
Omega three polysaturated DHA Heart disease Bread
fatty acid Fish oils Cholesterol Fats and spreads
Flaxseed Cancer Eggs
lmmune function Soft drinks
Phytochemicals Garlic oil Cancer Fruit
Herbal extracts Heart disease Fruit juices
Plant sterol Vegetable oil Cholesterol Fats and spreads
Wood pulp
Prebiotics Fructo & Digestion Fruit juice
Glacto-oligosaccharides Soft drinks
Cereal fibre extracts Yogurt
Probiotics Bacteria eg. Digestion Dairy drinks
Lactobacillus Heart disease Yogurt
Bifido bacterium Immune system
Vitamins A:
Betacarotene Cancer Fats and spreads
Fish oils lmmune system
Meat Performance
Vegetables Vision
B 1 (thiamin): Digestion Bread
Cereals Nervous system
Cardiovascular svstem Bread
107
lngredient Sources Claims relate to Typical applications
Diary products Vision
Eggs
Meat
c:
Ascorbic acid Immune system Confectionary
Fruit Juices
Vegetables Soft drinks
D:
Diary products Dental health Fats and spreads
Eggs Digestion Yogurt
Fish oils Osteoporosis Milk
Meats Fruit juice
E:
Nuts Cardiovascular system Bakery products
Soya Fertility Breakfast cereals
Vegetables Immune system Fats and spreads
Wheat germ Impotence Dairy products
Menstruation Soft drinks
Skin problems
Others Aloe Skin Diary products
Soft drinks
Caffeine Concentration Soft drinks
Folic acid: Anaemia Fresh foods
Dairy products Pregnancy Breakfast cereals
Eggs
Meat
Vegetables
Ginseng Relaxation Confectionary
Soft drinks
Tea
Guarana Energy Soft drinks
Gymnema Weight loss Tea
Kefir Circulation Yogurt
Taurine Muscle Strength soft drinks
(Used by permission of Reuters Business Insight)
Table 20: Consolidated Balance Sheets (Expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars) from 1997-2004
Notes receivable 30 30
lnventory 60 1,852 4,892 3,415 952 508 585
Prepaids and deposits 28 173 142 412 1,107 1,190 537 326 663
2,703 9,190 23,616 55,911 25,614 14,523 6,092 9,945 23,458
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2001 2002 2003 2004
Deficit (4,416) (3,920) (10,844) (19,750) (44,798) (51,259) (55,379) (56,439) (59,659)
2,578 8,514 27,238 50,777 26,463 20,014 17,000 23,201 36,629
$2,758 $9,277 $29, I26 $64,402 $48,270 $39,984 $27,417 $28,434 $42,103
Note: Year-end until 2001 was July of each year, thereafter year-end was December
Table 21: Consolidated Statements of Operations and Deficits (Expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars) from 1997-2004
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