18 Pak China Partnership Asma Rashid
18 Pak China Partnership Asma Rashid
18 Pak China Partnership Asma Rashid
Abstract
Pakistan and China have always enjoyed multidimensional and cordial
relations on the basis of mutual trust and understanding. These relations have taken
a further boost in the post 9/11 era. Though they made policy adjustments in the light
of global transformations, yet their relations continued to be in harmony with each
other. The year 2015 marked the big boost in these relations through the culmination
of China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) agreement worth $ 46 billion. CPEC
brought forth many opportunities for both the countries to promote their interests
respectively, is viewed negatively by US and India, as a step to contain US role and
Indian ambitious designs in South Asia. Many other countries who were previously
against the CPEC, are now taking interest and wanted to be a part of it. US has
developed Asia pivot to contain China’s rise and to reinforce its position in the Asia
pacific region and also supports India’s reservations over it .While India views it from
the prism of its security concerns in the light of its rivalry with both China and
Pakistan. As an emerging global power, China has the potential and willingness to
support and promote Pakistan more than any other power of the world. This paper
looks into the interests of Pakistan and China associated with each other, CPEC and
the US and India’s responses over their strategic partnership.
Introduction
P akistan and China are ‘all weather tested allies’ yet the signed agreements
needs to be implemented in their true letter and spirit to grasp the actual
potential of this partnership. In fact, it is the mutuality of interests and shared
threat perception that not only have led to the convergence of their interests but
also have made complementary to each other. Pakistan and China both depends
on one another for the fulfillment of their strategic interests as nations have
interests not the friendships. Whenever, Pakistan faces any external pressure or
threats to its security, China has always extended its support to Pakistan via
giving its air cover, supported its nuclear program, and protected its economy
form external pressures. It also supports Pakistan on various international
forums like the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), Nuclear Suppliers
Group (NSG) and the G-20 etc. Pakistan reciprocates with supporting China on
*
Asma Rashid is a PhD scholar at Quaid-i- Azam University, Islamabad. She is a lecturer at the Politics
and International Relations Department of International Islamic University, Islamabad.
This paper has been divided into three sections. First section after giving
a brief description of historical relations, spells light over the importance of
China and Pakistan for each other. Second section probes into the Pak-China
cooperation during the war on terror, explores CPEC and discusses the role of
regional states over it. Third section looks into the US and India’s concerns and
actions to derail this strategic partnership. The final section concludes the whole
article.
India at the expense of Pakistan. Though, initially Pakistan was less careful in its
anti-communist rhetoric as Prime Minister Bogra at a conference in Colombo in
May 1954 spoke of international communism as the biggest potential danger to
democracy in the region1. Premier Zhou Enlai communicated it to the departing
ambassador that he was hurt by Pakistan. Yet still he said that, he fully
understood Pakistan’s circumstances. This signal was carefully taken by Pakistan
and at a meeting after the Bandung conference (April 1955) between Prime
Minister M. Ali Bogra and Premier Zhou Enlai, it was explained to China that
Pakistan’s entry in west sponsored pacts were not to encircle China and that
Pakistan would not take part in any alliance and war against China 2. In 1956
Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai visited Pakistan and in a joint communique it was
stated that the differences of opinion on various issues would not block the
strengthening of relations among Pakistan and China 3. Developments during
1957 and 1969 had brought the relations of both countries into a new phase of
cooperation. India put an allegation on China for supporting the war within
parts of Ladakh (Kashmir) and North East Frontier Agency (NEFA). At the same
time, the American and Soviet inclination towards India revealed the fact that
India got all kinds of military support from both power blocs while Pakistan’s
request was ignored and put down. In the same way Pakistan openly opposed
India’s acts of waging war to get the weapon from West and U.S. in particular.
Amidst the 1965 Indo-Pak war, China fully supported Pakistan not only by
extending diplomatic support but also provided necessary military technology
and financial assistance. All this moved the partnership to the new horizons
beyond the state level interactions and extended to the people of both states4. In
1971, Pakistan was disintegrated and Bangladesh was created due the Indian
conspiracy. Remapping of Pakistan after Bangladesh creation suited well to the
interests of China and they touched the new heights of friendship.
overcome economic difficulties and in 1979 to cope up with the Afghan migrant
issue, who came to Pakistan after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Then, the
ending of the cold war and the shifting of the world’s focus from traditional
security to socio-economic matters changed the spectrum of Pak-China
relations. During this period, China maintained a neutral stance over the
Kashmir issue because, it wanted to settle border dispute with India. Yet, India’s
reluctance to sort out Indo-China border disputes had given further boost to
Pakistan-China entente.6 In 1998 nuclear explosions first by India and then by
Pakistan, China held that India's nuclear explosion test had created a threat of
War in the region and it had damaged the atmosphere of trust among the two
nations7, while it kept quiet over Pakistan’s explosions. The dawn of the new
century further strengthened their ties.
Importance of China
China is a state that is bordering the fourteen countries of the world,
namely Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, India, Nepal, Korea, Pakistan, Afghanistan,
Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Bhutan, Russia and Tajikistan. China is a
peace loving nation and they believe that peace with neighboring countries is
vital for their own security and well-being8.
The pace of Chinese progress is so fast and its progress is not limited
only till China but it is recognized internationally. It is contributing a lot more
for regional integration and for integration of the economies of the friendly
states. This century is said to be of Asians due to shifting of world political focus
from Europe to Asia, and due to the rise of Asian powers like China, India, etc.
There is increased US presence in the region that is on one hand to constrain and
counter increased Chinese influence and on the other to have access and control
over the untapped resources of Central Asia. US’s defence pacts with Australia,
South Korea, Japan, India and ASEAN states are steps to contain China’s
increasing power and influence in Asia Pacific and Indo-Pacific regions. On the
economic front, the US and its allies (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan,
Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, New Zealand, Singapore, the United States and Vietnam)
were negotiating and successfully signed Trans-Pacific Partnership was signed on
6 October 2015, aiming to strengthen US business opportunities in the region
and counter China–ASEAN trade9.
Keeping in view the regional and global dynamics, China has tried to
pacify its image by replacing the term “Rising China” with the Peaceful Rise of
China. It is making its advances to engage the states with whom it was having
hostile past like India and Japan.
U.S. has been making use of India for advancing its interests in South-
Asia. In fact, it has been a tactic to pressurize China and put down its rising
power. China’s pace of progress is so fast in every field of life and in order to limit
it, U.S. has developed strategic partnership with India that has been evident from
Indo-U.S. nuclear deal 2005, maritime strength and moving forward towards the
New Silk route. Against this background, China-Pakistan partnership becomes a
necessity to maintain the balance of power in Asia, and to tackle the moves India
and U.S. have been making against Pakistan and China. Pak-China friendship has
also been very unique in the sense that both the states are ideologically different,
having different administrative set-ups and have formed such a lasting and
durable partnership between them.
China has supported Pakistan's stance regarding Osama Bin Laden and
defended that Pakistani government may not have known about Laden's
presence on its soil.13 During his April 2015 visit to Pakistan, President Xi publicly
stated that Pakistan has played a productive role to resolve the Afghan problem
and that China would continue to cooperate with Pakistan to promote the
reconciliation process to ensure the peaceful transition of Afghanistan 14.
In the last thirteen years during its global war on terror, US has
supported Pakistan by providing $10.5 in economic assistance, $ 7.6 billion
security assistance and $13 billion as a reimbursement for counterterrorism 21.
In 2011, US gave the idea of New Silk Road Initiative (NSRI) and the
basic aim behind this initiative was to integrate Afghanistan with the region and
to link the regions of south and central Asia. All this would be done through
regional energy markets, trade and transport, increase their customs and border
operations and people to people contacts. 22 CPEC is also for integration and it is
integrating China and Pakistan currently and other states like CARs,
Afghanistan, Iran, Russia are showing their interest and taking initiatives to be a
part of this mega project. Russia has sent its elite forces for military drills in GB
and FATA to support CPEC. It seems that the US role from South Asia is likely to
decrease due to China’s presence as a balancer and CPEC might also challenge
the US influence on the oil CARs, yet the strong US-India partnership can't be
ignored in this regard, as both countries have developed strong strategic,
economic and political partnership. While, Pakistan is viewed only through a
security lens and in the future US and India may work together to contain
China's role in the region.
India’s View
India keeps a strict watch over China’s developments. Though, the thaw
is coming in India-China relations as both are engaging in successful diplomatic
engagements, India is cautious and suspicious enough over every China’s moves
to Pakistan. For India and China, the point of annoyance is the balance of power
considerations, although both put down this proposition 23. It is attempting its
best to disrupt and damage China-Pakistan cordiality through its antagonist
diplomacy.”24 It sees the growing warmth between Pakistan and China as an
attempt to counter India. It considers that China avoids discussion over the
nuclear issues with India having the fear that it will give de facto recognition to
Indian nuclear power status.
India is having the aims of getting the regional superiority in South Asia
and China Pakistan cooperation is a direct challenge to Indian hawkish policies.
Indian Prime Minister is openly criticizing CPEC and says that it poses a great
threat to the Indian interests because it passes through the disputed areas of
Kashmir and Gilgit Baltistan that is very near to Indian borders.25 India and
China both are energy consumers and both are emerging economies.
India considers CPEC as a thorn in its paw, has chalked out new ways to
put obstacles in the smooth implementation of CPEC. Indian intelligence agency
Research and Analysis Wing’s (RAW) opening of an office in Delhi and allocation
$300 million to disrupt the projects associated with CPEC 26 has been a clear
indication of Indian plans and actions. Pakistan has handed over Gwadar port to
China and India feels perturbed due to the edge China will get in the Arabian
Sea.
Evidences suggest that India has been involved behind the Baluchistan’s
insurgency, the province that is abundant in oil and gas reserves. India strongly
object to the civilian nuclear deal between China and Pakistan on the charge that
it would violate international protocol related to trade of nuclear equipment and
materials27.
India develops new ties with Iran and this Indo-Iran nexus is founded to
counter the CPEC. Indian Prime Minister in his historic visit to Iran in May 2016
showed his deep interest in Chahbahar Port and signed MOU for the
development of port. India, Afghanistan and Iran has signed a trilateral treaty for
developing the port and other projects 28 . India is renewing its relations with
UAE, Prime Minister Modi visited UAE and both countries vowed to establish
the infrastructural investment fund and aim of reaching the target of 75billion. 29
All this has been done to counter and contain the Pak-China partnership and
particularly CPEC.
NOTES
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