Probability and Statistics: Essays in Honor of David A. Freedman
Probability and Statistics: Essays in Honor of David A. Freedman
Probability and Statistics: Essays in Honor of David A. Freedman
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Deborah Nolan
University of California, Berkeley
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Series Editor:
Anthony Davison
Preface
Deborah Nolan and Terry Speed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v
Contributors
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vi
PROBABILITY
Probability theory and its models
Paul Humphreys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Dutch book in simple multivariate normal prediction: Another look
Morris L. Eaton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
A transient Markov chain with finitely many cutpoints
Nicholas James, Russell Lyons and Yuval Peres . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Moments of convex distribution functions and completely alternating sequences
Alexander Gnedin and Jim Pitman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Brownian motion on disconnected sets, basic hypergeometric functions, and
some continued fractions of Ramanujan
Shankar Bhamidi, Steven N. Evans, Ron Peled and Peter Ralph . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
STATISTICS
Characteristics of hand and machine-assigned scores to college students’ answers
to open-ended tasks
Stephen P. Klein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
Alternative formulas for synthetic dual system estimation in the 2000 census
Lawrence Brown and Zhanyun Zhao . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
On the history and use of some standard statistical models
E. L. Lehmann . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
Counting the homeless in Los Angeles County
Richard Berk, Brian Kriegler and Donald Ylvisaker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127
Statistical adjustment for a measure of healthy lifestyle doesn’t yield the truth
about hormone therapy
Diana B. Petitti and Wansu Chen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142
Multiple tests of association with biological annotation metadata
Sandrine Dudoit, Sündüz Keleş and Mark J. van der Laan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
Multivariate data analysis: The French way
Susan Holmes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219
The future of census coverage surveys
Kenneth Wachter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234
Three months journeying of a Hawaiian monk seal
David R. Brillinger, Brent S. Stewart and Charles L. Littnan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246
Projection pursuit for discrete data
Persi Diaconis and Julia Salzman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
DNA Probabilities in People v. Prince: When are racial and ethnic statistics
relevant?
David H. Kaye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
iii
iv Contents
Deborah Nolan
Terry Speed
v
Contributors to this volume
Bengtsson, T., Bell Labs
Berk, R., University of California, Los Angeles
Bhamidi, S., University of California, Berkeley
Bickel, P., University of California, Berkeley
Brillinger, D. R., University of California, Berkeley
Brown, L., University of Pennsylvania