The Army's Future Combat System (FCS) : Background and Issues For Congress
The Army's Future Combat System (FCS) : Background and Issues For Congress
The Army's Future Combat System (FCS) : Background and Issues For Congress
Andrew Feickert
Specialist in Military Ground Forces
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Form Approved
Report Documentation Page OMB No. 0704-0188
Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and
maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information,
including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington
VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it
does not display a currently valid OMB control number.
14. ABSTRACT
16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF
ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON
a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE Same as 30
unclassified unclassified unclassified Report (SAR)
Summary
The Future Combat System (FCS) is the U.S. Army’s multiyear, multibillion
dollar program at the heart of the Army’s transformation efforts. It is the Army’s
major research, development, and acquisition program consisting of 14 manned and
unmanned systems tied together by an extensive communications and information
network. FCS is intended to replace such current systems as the M-1 Abrams tank
and the M-2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle. The FCS program has been
characterized by the Army and others as a high-risk venture due to the advanced
technologies involved and the challenge of networking all of the FCS subsystems
together so that FCS-equipped units can function as intended.
Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
FCS Program Origins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Additional Reading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
List of Tables
FCS Program Schedule . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
The Army’s Future Combat System (FCS):
Background and Issues for Congress
The primary issues presented to 110th Congress are the capabilities and
affordability of the FCS program, and the likelihood, given a myriad of factors, that
the Army will be able to field its first FCS-equipped brigade by 2014 and eventually
field up to 15 FCS-equipped brigades. Key oversight questions for consideration
include:
The 110th Congress’s decisions on these and other related issues could have
significant implications for U.S. national security, Army funding requirements, and
future congressional oversight activities. This report will address a variety of issues
including the program’s timeline, budget, program management issues, current
program developmental progress and challenges, and FCS’s relevance in the current
and potential future security environments.
1
Government Accountability Office (GAO) Report “Defense Acquisitions: Improved
Business Case is Needed for Future Combat System’s Successful Outcome,” GAO-06-367,
March 2006, p. 2.
CRS-2
Background
FCS Program Origins
In October 1999, then Chief of Staff of the Army (CSA) General Eric Shinseki
introduced the Army’s transformation strategy which was intended to convert all of
the Army’s divisions (called Legacy Forces) into new organizations called the
Objective Force. General Shinseki’s intent was to make the Army lighter, more
modular, and — most importantly — more deployable. General Shinseki’s
deployment goals were to deploy a brigade2 in four days, a division in five days, and
five divisions in 30 days.3 As part of this transformation, the Army adopted the
Future Combat System (FCS) as a major acquisition program to equip the Objective
Force.4
General Shinseki’s vision for the FCS was that it would consist of smaller and
lighter ground and air vehicles — manned, unmanned, and robotic — and would
employ advanced offensive, defensive, and communications/information systems to
“outsmart and outmaneuver heavier enemy forces on the battlefield.”9 In order to
2
According to Department of the Army Pamphlet 10-1, “Organization of the United States
Army,” dated June 14, 1994, a brigade consists of approximately 3,000 to 5,000 soldiers and
a division consists of approximately 10,000 to 18,000 soldiers.
3
Frank Tiboni, “Army’s Future Combat Systems at the Heart of Transformation,” Federal
Computer Week, February 9, 2004.
4
James Jay Carafano, “The Army Goes Rolling Along: New Service Transformation
Agenda Suggests Promise and Problems,” Heritage Foundation, February 23, 2004, p. 5.
5
Bruce R. Nardulli and Thomas L. McNaugher, “The Army: Toward the Objective Force,”
in Hans Binnendijk, ed. Transforming America’s Military (National Defense University
Press, 2002), p. 106.
6
The Army currently plans to field six active and one National Guard Stryker Brigade
Combat Teams.
7
The Stryker is the Army’s name for the family of wheeled armored vehicles which will
constitute most of the brigade’s combat and combat support vehicles.
8
Annex A (Modular Conversion) to Army Campaign Plan, Change 2, September 30, 2005,
p. A-1.
9
The following description of the early stages of the FCS program is taken from Frank
(continued...)
CRS-3
initiate the FCS program, General Shinseki turned to the Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency (DARPA), not only because of its proven ability to manage highly
conceptual and scientifically challenging projects, but also because he reportedly felt
that he would receive a great deal of opposition from senior Army leaders who
advocated heavier and more powerful vehicles such as the M-1 Abrams tank and the
M-2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle. In May 2000, DARPA awarded four contracts
to four industry teams to develop FCS designs and in March 2002, the Army chose
Boeing and Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) to serve as the
lead systems integrators to oversee certain aspects of the development of the FCS’s
18 original systems. On May 14, 2003, the Defense Acquisition Board10 (DAB)
approved the FCS’s next acquisition phase and in August 2004 Boeing and SAIC
awarded contracts to 21 companies to design and build its various platforms and
hardware and software.
9
(...continued)
Tiboni’s Army’s Future Combat Systems at the Heart of Transformation.
10
The Defense Acquisition Board (DAB) is the Defense Department’s senior-level forum
for advising the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics
(USD(AT&L)) on critical decisions concerning DAB-managed programs and special interest
programs.
11
Information in this section is taken from the Army’s official FCS website
[http://www.army.mil/fcs/overview.html].
CRS-4
The FCS is to serve as the core building block of the Army’s Future Force. FCS-
equipped brigade combat teams (BCTs) are to consist of:
Capabilities.12 According to the Army, the FCS Brigade Combat Team (BCT)
will be designed to be:
2009 “Go or No Go” Review.14 In 2006 Congress directed that after the
February 2009 FCS System of Systems Preliminary Design Review (PDR), that DOD
conduct a FCS Milestone Review to assess (1) if warfighter’s needs are valid and can
best be met through the FCS program; (2) whether the concept of the program can
be developed and produced within existing resources; and (3) should FCS continue
as currently structured, continue in a restructured form or; (4) be terminated. A
specific date in 2009 for this review has not yet been established.
12
Information in this section is taken from the 2007 Army Modernization Plan, March 5,
2007, pp. 8-11, and FCS Brigade Combat Team 14+1+1 Systems Overview 14 March 2007,
at [http://www.army.mil/fcs/whitepaper/FCSwhitepaper07.pdf].
13
“Glossary of Defense Acquisition Acronyms and Terms,” Defense Acquisition University,
Fort Belvoir, VA, 12th ed., July 2005, p. B-121.
14
For information in this section see P.L. 109-364, John Warner National Defense
Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007, Section 214.
CRS-5
Note: Event descriptions in this table are taken from the Defense Acquisition Acronyms and Terms
Glossary published by the Defense Acquisition University, Fort Belvoir, VA, 12th ed., July 2005.
15
MG Charles A. Cartwright and Mr. Tony Melita, Future Combat Systems (Brigade
Combat Team) Defense Acquisition Board In-Process Review, June 13, 2007, p. 4.
CRS-6
FCS design and production maturity are not likely to be demonstrated until
after the production decision is made. The critical design review will be
held much later on FCS than on other programs, and the Army will not be
building production-representative prototypes to test before production.
The first major test of the network and FCS together with a majority of
prototypes will not take place until 2012. Much of the testing up to the
2013 production decision will involve simulations, technology
demonstrations, experiments, and single system testing.16
GAO suggests that because testing occurs so close to the production decision, that
problems identified during testing will need to be resolved during the production
phase, which historically is the most expensive phase in which to correct problems.17
16
United States Government Accountability Office (GAO), Testimony Before the
Subcommittee on Air and Land Forces, Committee on Armed Services, House of
Representatives, “Defense Acquisitions: Future Combat System Risks Underscore the
Importance of Oversight,” GAO-07-672T, March 27, 2007.
17
Ibid.
18
Information in this section is taken from Government Accountability Office (GAO)
reports GAO-08-408, “Defense Acquisitions: 2009 is a Critical Juncture for the Army’s
Future Combat System,” and GAO-08-409, “Defense Acquisitions: Significant Challenges
Ahead in Developing and Demonstrating Future Combat System’s Network and Software,”
March 7, 2008 and GAO-08-638T, Testimony Before the Subcommittee on Air and Land
Forces, Committee on Armed Services, House of Representatives, “Defense Acquisitions:
2009 Review of Future Combat System is Critical to Program’s Direction,” April 10, 2008.
CRS-7
2007 Program Restructuring. In early 2007 the Army citing “the effects
of budget reductions [by Congress] over the past three years, and the fiscal guidance
for future years [DOD],” reduced the scope and delayed the schedule of fielding the
FCS.20 The major element of this restructuring was eliminating Class II and III
UAVs (company and battalion-level UAVs, respectively) and deferring the Armed
Robotic Vehicle - Reconnaissance, Surveillance, and Target Acquisition until the
Army builds its FY2010 Program Objective Memorandum (POM).21 The Army also
separated the Intelligent Munitions System (IMS) from the FCS program, but will
produce IMS under another program. This restructuring reduced the FCS program
from 18 to 14 systems. In addition, the Army slowed FCS procurement to the rate
of one brigade per year starting in 2015, meaning that it will take until 2030 to field
all 15 FCS-equipped brigade combat teams — a five-year delay to field the last FCS
brigade. The Army has also reduced the number of FCS technology “spin outs” to
current forces from four to three — with the first spin out planned to start in 2008.
However, the Army will increase the number of brigades receiving spin out
technologies from three to six brigades.
The Army maintains that this restructuring will save the Army $3.4 billion over
the next six years, but will “put at risk our ability to reach the full tactical and
operational potential envisioned for FCS.”22 While the Army may believe that
reducing the cost of the FCS program by decreasing it from 18 to 14 systems will
make FCS less contentious in terms of overall cost, some suggest that while
“stretching out” the FCS program will likely decrease yearly FCS production costs,
it also means that the Army will need additional funds to keep FCS production lines
open longer.23
19
Kris Osborn, “FCS: Fielding Coming Soon,” Army Times, April 2, 2007.
20
2007 Army Modernization Plan, March 5, 2007, p. 8.
21
Information in this section is from Ashley Roque, “Army Retools FCS to Address
Congressional, Service Budget Cuts,” Inside the Army, February 12, 2007.
22
2007 Army Modernization Plan, March 5, 2007, p 9.
23
Ashley Roque, “Army Retools FCS to Address Congressional, Service Budget Cuts,”
Inside the Army, February 12, 2007.
CRS-8
While these and other options may be under consideration by the Army, it is unclear
how these options would have a discernable near-term impact on improving Army
current readiness. Others contend that while accelerating the fielding of certain FCS
platforms might be possible, the FCS network and complementary Joint Tactical
Radio System (JTRS) remain technologically questionable and both systems are
central to any effort to deploy individual FCS systems or entire FCS BCTs. GAO has
also noted that
24
Information in this section is taken from Marina Malenic and Daniel Wasserbly,
“Abercrombie Skeptical of Acceleration Talk,” InsideDefense.com, February 25, 2008;
Marina Malenic and Daniel Wasserbly “Murtha Offers to Find $20 Billion this Year: Key
Lawmaker Pushes Army to Accelerate FCS, Cut Some Components,” InsideDefense.com,
February 18, 2008; Kris Osborn, “More Trouble Ahead for U.S. Army’s FCS,” Defense
News, February 11, 2008.
25
Kris Osborn, “More Trouble Ahead for U.S. Army’s FCS,” Defense News, February 11,
2008.
26
Kris Osborn, “U.S. Wants FCS Vehicles Sooner,” Defense News, March 3, 2008 and
“Battle Over Proposal to Speed FCS,” Defense News, March 24, 2008.
CRS-9
Mounted Combat System (MCS).29 The XM360 120mm cannon for the
MCS FCS manned ground vehicle - the replacement for the M-1 Abrams main battle
tank - is currently undergoing testing at Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland. The
XM-360 is about one third lighter than the current 120mm cannon mounted on the
M-1 Abrams and supposedly can hit targets 8 km away while on the move and up to
12 kms away while stationary.
Spin Out One Preparations.30 Preparations are underway for the first “spin
out” of FCS capabilities to units in the field, which is scheduled to begin in FY2008
and run through FY2010. According to Army officials, the Army Evaluation Task
Force (AETF) at Ft. Bliss, Texas concluded its initial technical field test for the first
27
GAO-08-409, “Defense Acquisitions: Significant Challenges Ahead in Developing and
Demonstrating Future Combat System’s Network and Software,” March 7, 2008.
28
Information in this section is taken from Daniel Wasserbly, “Geren: Army to Cut Three
Copies from FY-08 NLOS-C Production,” InsideDefense.com, March 3, 2008 and “Army’s
First FCS Manned Ground Vehicle Prototype Expected in June,” InsideDefense.com, April
7, 2008.
29
Kris Osborn, “U.S. Army Tests New Tank Gun,” Defense News, March 31, 2008.
30
Information from this section is taken from Daniel Wasserbly, “Future Combat Systems
Completes Technical Field Test for Spin Out 1,” InsideDefense.com, April 7, 2008; “AETF
to Complete New Equipment Training on FCS Spin Out 1 Next Month,” InsideDefense.com,
December 24, 2007; Kris Osborn, “Vehicles With FCS Gear Put Through Paces,” Defense
News, December 10, 2007, p. 20; Kris Osborn, “February Tests Set for FCS Gear,” Defense
News, October 29, 2007; and Scott R. Gourley, “U.S. Begins Set Up of FCS Spin Out One
Package,” Jane’s Defense Weekly, October 24, 2007, p. 30.
CRS-10
group of technologies to be fielded during Spin Out One. These tests, which
concluded on March 25, 2008, focused primarily on Tactical and Urban Unattended
Ground Sensors and B-Kits - the communications and software kits that are installed
on current combat vehicles that link them to the FCS network and sensors. In May
2008, a more rigorous exercise simulating force-on-force combat conditions will be
conducted, and in July 2008, a large scale FCS limited-user test will be conducted to
help determine whether to approve the production of “B” Kits and other FCS
technologies.
JTRS Ground Mobile Radio (GMR).31 The Boeing-led JTRS GMR team
consisting of Northrop Grumman, Rockwell Collins, and BAE Systems, with support
of Harris Communications, have begun initial production of the Engineering Design
Models (EDMs)32 of JTRS GMR which are to be used in FCS ground vehicles. These
models are scheduled to undergo testing throughout 2008 and formal government
certification and field testing is planned to begin in late 2008.
31
Boeing Press Release “Boeing Begins Production of Joint Tactical Radio System Ground
Mobile Radios Engineering Model,” January 8, 2008.
32
Engineering Design Models (also referred to as engineering development models) are
defined by the Defense Acquisition University as a production representative system
acquired during the System Development and Demonstration (SDD) Phase and may be used
to demonstrate maturing performance via an Operational Assessment (OA) or Operational
Testing (OT) and to finalize proposed production specifications and drawings.
33
Ann Roosevelt, “Lockheed Martin Tops Boeing for JTRS AMF Work,” Defense Daily,
March 31, 2008.
CRS-11
TSAT is crucial to the secure networking capabilities that underpin FCS. Given
the cutbacks, if TSAT collapses, which looks like a distinct possibility, soldiers
may have to rely on links that are harder to access on the move, more vulnerable
to jamming and interceptions, and offer nowhere near as much bandwidth.37
34
Information in this section is taken from Kris Osborn “U.S. Army Faces Spectrum
Crunch,” Defense News, January 7, 2008: Sandra I. Erwin, “Army Struggling With Rising
Demand for Communications,” National Defense, April 2008; and Alec Klein, “Weapons
Upgrade Faces Big Hurdles: Problems With Wireless Technology May Threaten Army’s
Ambitious Plans,” Washington Post, April 8, 2008 .
35
Alec Klein. “Weapons Upgrade Faces Big Hurdles: Problems With Wireless Technology
May Threaten Army’s Ambitious Plan,” Washington Post, April 8, 2008
36
Ibid.
37
Ibid.
CRS-12
dispersed and highly mobile force.”38 WIN-T, reportedly now expected to cost
approximately $16.4 billion, is intended to permit the Army to communicate and
transfer large amounts of data on the move.39
WIN-T Field Testing.41 The Army has reportedly approved the final designs
for WIN-T Increments One and Two for field testing in October 2008. A General
Dynamics/Lockheed Martin/BAE Systems/Harris(HRS)/L-3 Communications (LLL)
team is currently building test articles for an Increment Two Limited User Test that
will involve a division headquarters and two maneuver brigades. Successful testing
could lead to deployment of these capabilities in 2009.
The APS program came under public criticism in September 2006 when a press
report alleged that the Army rejected an Israeli-developed APS called “Trophy” for
use in the FCS program, despite the system being successfully tested on U.S. combat
38
Scott Nance, “Analyst: Advanced Networks to be Rumsfeld Legacy,” Defense Today,
Volume 26, Number 233, December 8, 2005, p. 3.
39
“Army Restructures WIN-T to Meet Future Combat System Requirements,” Inside the
Army, July 3, 2006 and Josh Rogin, “DOD: Projected WIN-T Costs Soars by $2.2 Billion,”
Federal Computer Weekly, April 10, 2007.
40
Information in this section is from Giles Ebbut, “WIN-T Restructuring Fuels Greater
Demand,” Jane’s International Defence Review, December 2007, p. 17.
41
“General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin Authorized to Prepare WIN-T for Field Tests,”
Defense Daily, Vol. 238, No. 22, April 30, 2008.
CRS-13
vehicles.42 The report further contended that the Army was favoring the APS system
in development by Raytheon over the Trophy system because of “money and
politics” and that U.S. forces in the field were suffering casualties because of this
decision.43 A GAO report however, maintains that there was no conflict of interest,
concluding that:
No officials from the offering companies participated in the evaluation and all
offers were evaluated based on the same criteria. Four proposals were evaluated
and three were determined to be comparable in terms of cost and schedule. The
winner — Raytheon — was chosen on technical merit, as being more likely to
meet APS requirements although its design had less mature technology.44
The Army contends that the Raytheon system under development can detect and
engage incoming projectiles from the front, back, sides, and the top of a vehicle
whereas the Trophy system does not detect or engage top-down projectiles thereby
creating a significant vulnerability for U.S. vehicles.45 In addition, the Trophy system
presently has a single-shot capability and once a threat is engaged from a certain
direction, the vehicle is vulnerable to a second shot from that direction. The Army
also believes that the Raytheon system will result in less collateral damage than the
Trophy system. The Army suggests that adopting the Trophy system could provide
soldiers with a “false sense of security” and also suggests that the Raytheon-
developed system is progressing favorably, noting that it was knocking down live
warheads during testing. Reports suggest that APS development has progressed
better than anticipated and that the Army may begin to install the “Quick Kill” APS
system on FCS vehicles in 2010, two years earlier than previously planned.46
42
Adam Ciralsky and Lisa Meyers, “Army Shuns System to Combat RPGs,” MSNBC.com,
September 5, 2006.
43
Ibid.
44
United States Government Accountability Office (GAO), Report to the Chairman,
Subcommittee on Air and Land Forces, Committee on Armed Services, House of
Representatives, Defense Acquisitions: Analysis of Processes Used to Evaluate Active
Protection Systems, GAO-07-759, June 2007, Executive Summary.
45
Information from this section is from an Army FCS Briefing given on September 7, 2006.
46
Kris Osborn, “U.S. Army Adapts FCS Design to Take On IEDs,” Defense News,
December 10, 2007.
47
House Armed Services Committee Press Release “Agreement Reached on H.R. 1585, The
Fiscal Year 2008 National Defense Authorization Act Conference Report,” December 6,
2007.
CRS-14
to procurement accounts for JNN to support the fielding WINT-T Increment One and
stipulated that no more than 50% of these funds may be obligated until the Director
of Operational Test and Evaluation has approved the WIN-T Increment One Test and
Evaluation Master Plan and Initial Operational Test Plan.
... based on the need to shift funding to higher priority Army readiness needs and
the fact that the FCS program, in addition to a history of delays and cost
overruns, continues to operate in violation of many major Department of Defense
acquisition policies, including the basic and long-standing policy requiring full
and adequate testing of equipment before production begins.50
48
Information in this section is taken from “The Army Budget - Fiscal Year 2009,” U.S.
Army News Release, Army Public Affairs Office, February 4, 2008 and Daniel Wasserbly,
“Army’s FY-09 Budget Includes $3.6 Billion for Future Combat Systems,”
InsideDefense.com, February 11, 2008.
49
Press Release, United States Senate Committee on Armed Services, “Senate Armed
Services Committee Completes Markup of National Defense Authorization Bill for Fiscal
Year 2009,” May 1, 2008; John M. Donnelly, “Defense: House Armed Services Panel Aims
at Administration’s Defense Priorities,” CQ Today, May 7, 2008, p. 11; Statement of
Chairman Neil Abercrombie, Air and Land Forces Subcommittee Mark-Up of H.R. 5658,
National Defense Authorization Act for FY2009, May 7, 2008; and Daniel Wasserbly,
“House Panel Votes to Cut $200 Million from FCS, Boost Oversight,” InsideDefense.com,
May 7, 2008.
50
Statement of Chairman Neil Abercrombie, Air and Land Forces Subcommittee Mark-Up
of H.R. 5658, National Defense Authorization Act for FY2009, May 7, 2008.
CRS-15
Some members however, disagree with the mark-up reductions and provisions.
Representative Saxton is said to have urged the subcommittee to “give the Army one
year of stable funding in order to let the Secretary of Defense and the Army decide
the fate of the FCS program in 2009.”51 Other members are said to have expressed
worries about the lead system’s integrator provision.52
51
Daniel Wasserbly, “House Panel Votes to Cut $200 Million from FCS, Boost Oversight,”
InsideDefense.com, May 7, 2008.
52
Ibid.
53
Ann Roosevelt, “FCS Incurs Schedule Breach, Operational Capability Slips to 2017,”
Defense Daily, February 8, 2008 and Marina Malenic and Daniel Wasserbly, “Army Budget
Official Unveils Service Request, Reiterates Concerns About Supplemental Funds,”
InsideDefense.com, February 4, 2008.
54
Information in this section is taken from Marina Malenic, “Second Reprogramming Effort
Pending: House Panel Denies Army Request to Move Funds for FCS Acceleration,”
InsideDefense.com, April 7, 2008; Marina Malenic, “Another Reprogramming Action on
Capitol Hill: Army Seeks to Reallocate Over $250 Million to Sustain FCS Program,”
InsideDefense.com, April 14, 2008; and Kris Osborn, “Army Wants to Add $252 Million
to FCS,” Army Times, April 14, 2008.
CRS-16
up the delivery of certain sensors and UAVs, and field the first two FCS-equipped
BCTs in 2013 - two years earlier than currently planned.
FCS Cost Estimates. In March 2006, GAO estimated that the current total
cost for the FCS program was $160.7 billion (then-year dollars) — an increase of
76% over the Army’s first estimate.55 In July 2006, the Department of Defense’s
Cost Analysis Improvement Group (CAIG) estimated that the total cost for the
development, procurement and operations of FCS had increased to more than $300
billion.56 The Army maintains that the total cost for the FCS program will be roughly
$230 billion, based on an April 2006 estimate from the FCS Program Office.57 An
August 2006 Congressional Budget Office (CBO) study postulated that, given
historic cost growth in similar programs, that annual FCS costs could reach $16
billion annually, exceeding the Army’s estimates of $10 billion annually.58 The
Army has disputed CBO’s estimates, calling them “seriously flawed” suggesting that
CBO does not address the strategic environment or changing operational
requirements.59 In June 2007, the Institute for Defense Analysis (IDA) — a nonprofit
corporation that administers three federally funded research and development centers
— reportedly concluded that the FCS program would cost $13 billion more than
what the Army has estimated, a conclusion that the Army has rejected.60 Some
maintain that this wide disparity in FCS cost estimates eight years into the program
has resulted in a lack of confidence that the FCS program can be conducted in a cost-
efficient manner.
55
Government Accountability Office (GAO) Report “Acquisitions: Business Case and
Business Arrangements Key for Future Combat System’s Success,” GAO-06-478T, March
1, 2006, p. 8.
56
Megan Scully, “Army Sticks to its Guns, Rejects New FCS Cost Estimates,” National
Journal’s Congress Daily AM, July 13, 2006.
57
Ibid.
58
“The Army’s Future Combat Systems Program and Alternatives,” A CBO Study, August
2006, p. xii.
59
Ann Roosevelt, “Army Calls CBO’s FCS Report Seriously Flawed,” Defense Daily, Vol.
231, No. 52, September 19, 2006.
60
Daniel Wasserbly, “Study: Army FCS Program Will Cost $13 Billion More than
Estimated,” InsideDefense.com, July 30, 2007.
61
DOD Press Release, “Department of Defense Releases Selected Acquisitions Reports,”
Number 276-08, April 7, 2008 and Marina Malenic, “DOD Revises FCS Cost Downward
Using New Inflation Indicies,” Inside Defense.com, April 14, 2008.
CRS-17
While there may be certain FCS technologies and perhaps even major systems
that might be accelerated if funding is made available, there are critical aspects of the
program - such as the FCS Network, WIN-T, JTRS, the Active Protection System
(APS), and composite armor - that are highly dependent on scientific and
technological advancements and less so on funding. The Army maintains that FCS
is a “system of systems” whereby survivability and lethality are highly dependent on
information. If FCS information, communications, and survivability systems prove
to be less conducive to acceleration than manned and unmanned FCS platforms, a
situation could arise where accelerated FCS platforms are fielded with highly
immature information, communications, and survivability systems and a less than
optimal weapons- to- sensor interface needed to identify and engage targets. Such
a scenario, while providing forces in the field with “new” FCS systems, could instead
result in a less capable and more vulnerable force.
62
Information in this section is taken from Government Accountability Office (GAO) report
GAO-08-408, “Defense Acquisitions: 2009 is a Critical Juncture for the Army’s Future
Combat System,” March 7, 2008.
63
Ibid., p. 38.
CRS-18
technologies into the FCS brigade combat teams.”64 GAO further maintains that the
LSI will likely play a significant role in the sustainment phase of the FCS program
which will virtually guarantee that the LSI will “remain indefinitely involved in the
FCS program.”
GAO has warned in previous reports that “the complex relationship with Boeing
increases the burden of oversight and poses risks for the Army’s ability to provide
independent oversight over the long term.”65 Given Boeing’s ever-increasing
involvement in FCS production decisions, spin-outs - as well as their lead roles in
developing the System-of-Systems Common Operating Environment (SOSCOE) and
JTRS (GMR) - GAO is concerned that:
Given the likelihood of increasing LSI involvement in not only the production and
sustainment phases of the FCS program, a detailed examination of the FCS program
in terms of responsibilities - past, current, and anticipated - might be in order. In
areas that the Army does not feel it has the ability to manage, perhaps DOD, a
Defense Agency, or perhaps another service, could be asked to manage a particular
aspect of the program (not unlike how JTRS is currently being managed) as opposed
to turning increasing levels of development and management responsibility over to
the LSI. In this regard, the government might achieve a greater degree of oversight
within the program, perhaps avoiding some of the aforementioned potential problems
cited by GAO.
64
Ibid.
65
Ibid.
66
Ibid., p. 39
CRS-19
dependent on continuous and near real-time data from a variety of sources for not
only its combat effectiveness but its survival on the battlefield. These concerns take
on a greater sense of urgency if the Army intends to accelerate the FCS program in
the near future. The role that the TSAT program plays in the FCS bandwidth
equation might also be a subject for greater study and oversight as it has the potential
to have significant impact on the quantity, quality, security, and speed of information
available to soldiers in FCS BCTs. Given these implications, Congress may choose
to explore this issue in greater detail with not only the Army and DOD but also with
the scientific community and industry.
Some might argue that the Army is being overly optimistic about FCS’s ability
to achieve “continuous situational awareness,” which enables FCS to find and engage
the enemy as well as avoid potential threats that could destroy lightly armored FCS
MGVs. In terms of survivability, the Congressional Budget Office notes:
Many analysts have concluded that current technology does not permit the
construction of light-weight combat vehicles that match or surpass current
vehicles in reliability and invulnerability to enemy weapons. Furthermore, the
Army’s experience in Iraq suggests that its strategy for making lightly armored
vehicles equally as survivable as the heavily armored Abrams tank may not be
feasible. To achieve comparable survivability, U.S. combat vehicles would avoid
being targeted by exploiting superior knowledge of enemy activities. The threat
in Iraq has come primarily in urban settings from individually launched weapons,
and the ability to identify attackers’ locations may be beyond any technology
now envisioned.70
While most agree that the FCS network, as envisioned by the Army, should
provide the Army with enhanced communications, intelligence, and sensing
67
Information in this section is from Ann Roosevelt, “FCS Would Bring Significant
Advantages to Future Insurgency-Type Operations, Harvey Say,” Defense Daily, January
23, 2007, and Fawzia Sheik, “Army Leaders See Future Combat System as
Counterinsurgency Tool,” InsideDefense.com, February 19, 2007.
68
Nathan Hodge, “Avenues of Approach: The U.S. Future Combat System,” Jane’s Defence
Weekly, February 20, 2008.
69
Ibid.
70
Congressional Budget Office (CBO), “Budget Options,” February 2007, p. 8.
CRS-20
capabilities, some might argue that the Army is placing undue emphasis on
theoretical FCS technological capabilities in making its case for FCS relevancy in
counterinsurgency operations. Some suggest that effective counterinsurgency
operations are characterized by cultural awareness, interpersonal relationships, and
security provided through human presence, and are less a function of superior
technology and firepower.
The Army has also elevated the mission of stabilizing nations involved in conflicts
to a level commensurate with that of conventional combat operations. Given the
significant new emphasis on dealing with local population and rebuilding
infrastructure and government institutions, “some Army officers have also questioned
whether the development of the Army’s Future Combat System ... is consistent with
this new view of war.”75 One Army officer, who has been credited with conducting
a highly-successful counterinsurgency and stabilization campaign in Iraq, suggests
that “the Army is finding it difficult to cut completely loose from years of
wrongheaded thinking, noting that assumptions that high-technology systems will
provide the American military with dominant knowledge of the battlefield has
formed much of the justification for the Army program to build the Future Combat
71
Information in this section is from Jason Lyall and Isaiah Wilson III, “Rage Against the
Machines: Mechanization and the Determinants of Victory in Counterinsurgency Warfare,”
Version 2.3, May 2007.
72
The authors define modern mechanized forces as systems that combine mechanized
vehicles, aircraft, and communications technologies to destroy an adversary’s military in
direct combat. Central to this is the pattern of force employment whereby units are
employed to destroy the largest enemy force over the largest area with the fewest men (and
casualties) in the least possible time.
73
Lyall and Wilson, p. 7.
74
Ibid., p. 3.
75
Michael R. Gordon, “New Weight in Army Manual on Stabilization,” New York Times,
February 8, 2008.
CRS-21
System.”76 The strong contrary opinions held by some analysts and Army officers
regarding FCS’s relevance in counterinsurgency and stabilization operations might
prove to be a subject for further review with the Army and DOD.
Additional Reading
CRS Report RL32476, U.S. Army’s Modular Redesign: Issues for Congress, by
Andrew Feickert.
CRS Report RL33757, U.S. Army and Marine Corps Equipment Requirements:
Background and Issues for Congress, by Andrew Feickert.
CRS Report RL33161, The Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) and the Army’s
Future Combat System (FCS): Issues for Congress, by Andrew Feickert.
CRS Report RL34333, Does the Army Need a Full-Spectrum Force or Specialized
Units: background and Issues for Congress by Andrew Feickert.
76
Ibid.
77
Information for these descriptions are taken from two Army sources: The Army’s FCS
18+1+1 White Paper, dated October 15, 2004, and the FCS 2005 Flipbook, dated August
26, 2004.
CRS-22
is to have a crew of two and might also be able to accommodate two passengers. The
MCS is to be armed with a 120 mm main gun, a .50 caliber machine gun, and a 40
mm automatic grenade launcher.
Class IV UAVs. Class IV UAVs are intended to provide the FCS brigade
commander with a long endurance capability encompassing all functions in Class
I through Class III UAVs. It is intended to stay aloft for 72 continuous hours and
operate over a 75 kilometer radius with a maximum ceiling of 16,500 feet. It is also
planned to interface with other manned and unmanned aerial vehicles and be able to
take off and land without a dedicated airfield.
78
Unless otherwise noted, UAV information for these descriptions are taken from two Army
sources: The Army’s FCS 18+1+1 White Paper, dated October 15, 2004 and the FCS 2005
Flipbook, dated August 26, 2004.
79
Sandra I. Erwin, “Army to Field Four Classes of UAVs,” National Defense, April 2003.
80
Unless otherwise noted, information for these descriptions are taken from two Army
sources: The Army’s FCS 18+1+1 White Paper, dated October 15, 2004 and the FCS 2005
Flipbook, dated August 26, 2004.
CRS-24
damage assessments, act as a communications relay, and support both mounted and
dismounted forces with direct and anti-tank fire as well as occupy key terrain.
Urban UGS. Urban UGS can also be employed by soldiers, vehicles, or robots
and are intended to provide situation awareness inside and outside of buildings for
force protection and also for previously cleared buildings and areas.
The PAM is to have two employment modes — a direct-fire and a fast attack
mode or a boost-glide mode. The missile is intended to receive target information
81
Ibid.
CRS-25
prior to launch and receive and respond to target location updates while in flight.
The PAM can be fired in the laser-designated mode and transmit near real-time target
imagery prior to impact. The PAM is intended to be used against heavily armored
targets.
The LAM is to provide imagery for search, surveillance, targeting, and battle
damage assessment (BDA) and can also serve as an airborne radio retransmission
sight. LAMs are to be capable of flying long distances with significant loiter times.
LAMs are intended to be re-programmed in flight and attack, high value, fleeting
targets.
The Network82
The FCS network is considered the most crucial system of all 14 systems. The
FCS network is to consist of four interactive components — the System-of-Systems
Common Operating Environment (SOSCOE); Battle Command (BC) software;
communications and computers (CC); and intelligence, reconnaissance and
surveillance (ISR) systems.
82
Ibid.
CRS-26
decisions during battle. These packages can also be used in the training and rehearsal
modes.