Therapy Studies What Question Did The Study Ask?
Therapy Studies What Question Did The Study Ask?
Therapy Studies What Question Did The Study Ask?
THERAPY STUDIES
What question did the study ask?
Patients – Intervention - Comparison - Outcome(s) –
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) = risk of the The absolute risk reduction tells us the absolute difference in the
outcome in the control group - risk of the outcome rates of events between the two groups and gives an indication
in the treatment group. This is also known as the of the baseline risk and treatment effect. An ARR of 0 means
absolute risk difference. that there is no difference between the two groups thus, the
treatment had no effect.
In our example, the ARR = 0.15 - 0.10 = 0.05 or 5% The absolute benefit of treatment is a 5% reduction in the death
rate.
Relative Risk Reduction (RRR) = absolute risk The relative risk reduction is the complement of the RR and is
reduction / risk of the outcome in the control group. probably the most commonly reported measure of treatment
An alternative way to calculate the RRR is to effects. It tells us the reduction in the rate of the outcome in the
subtract the RR from 1 (eg. RRR = 1 - RR) treatment group relative to that in the control group.
In our example, the RRR = 0.05/0.15 = 0.33 or 33% The treatment reduced the risk of death by 33% relative to that
Or RRR = 1 - 0.67 = 0.33 or 33% occurring in the control group.
Number Needed to Treat (NNT) = inverse of the The number needed to treat represents the number of patients
ARR and is calculated as 1 / ARR. we need to treat with the experimental therapy in order to
prevent 1 bad outcome and incorporates the duration of
treatment. Clinical significance can be determined to some
extent by looking at the NNTs, but also by weighing the NNTs
against any harms or adverse effects (NNHs) of therapy.
In our example, the NNT = 1/ 0.05 = 20 We would need to treat 20 people for 2 years in order to prevent
1 death.
2. How precise was the estimate of the treatment effect?
The true risk of the outcome in the population is not known and the best we can do is estimate the true risk based on
the sample of patients in the trial. This estimate is called the point estimate. We can gauge how close this estimate is
to the true value by looking at the confidence intervals (CI) for each estimate. If the confidence interval is fairly narrow
then we can be confident that our point estimate is a precise reflection of the population value. The confidence interval
also provides us with information about the statistical significance of the result. If the value corresponding to no effect
falls outside the 95% confidence interval then the result is statistically significant at the 0.05 level. If the confidence
interval includes the value corresponding to no effect then the results are not statistically significant.