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    Engineering Project Management: Tutorial 3 2017/2018

    Uploaded by

    Mohamed Sadek
    This document provides information on project management using PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique). It includes a sample PERT chart with activities and time estimates. It then calculates the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the project duration. Using this data and the normal distribution, it determines the probability the project will be completed within 30 weeks (95.55%) and within 22 weeks (13.2%).

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Engineering Project Management: Tutorial 3 2017/2018

    Uploaded by

    Mohamed Sadek
    21 views10 pages
    This document provides information on project management using PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique). It includes a sample PERT chart with activities and time estimates. It then calculates the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the project duration. Using this data and the normal distribution, it determines the probability the project will be completed within 30 weeks (95.55%) and within 22 weeks (13.2%).

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    Tutorial 3 PM

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    This document provides information on project management using PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique). It includes a sample PERT chart with activities and time estimates. It then calculates the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the project duration. Using this data and the normal distribution, it determines the probability the project will be completed within 30 weeks (95.55%) and within 22 weeks (13.2%).

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    21 views10 pages

    Engineering Project Management: Tutorial 3 2017/2018

    Uploaded by

    Mohamed Sadek
    This document provides information on project management using PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique). It includes a sample PERT chart with activities and time estimates. It then calculates the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the project duration. Using this data and the normal distribution, it determines the probability the project will be completed within 30 weeks (95.55%) and within 22 weeks (13.2%).

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 10

    ENGINEERING

    PROJECT
    MANAGEMENT
    Tutorial 3
    2017/2018

    1
    PERT
    Equipment Equipment testing
    installation and modification
    1 4
    Final
    6,8,10 2,4,12 System
    debugging
    training
    System 10
    development 8
    Manual 1,4,7
    2 3,7,11
    Start testing Finish
    3,6,9
    5 11
    2,3,4 9
    Position 1,10,13
    recruiting 2,4,6
    Job Training
    System
    3 6 changeover
    System
    1,3,5 testing
    3,4,5

    Orientation
    7
    2,2,2

    2
    tp + 4 tm + to
    Mean (expected time): te =
    6

    Variance: Vt = 2 =
    tp - to
    6

    x-
    Z=

    Where;  = te = project mean time


     = project standard mean time
    x = (proposed ) specified time

    3
    TIME ESTIMATES (WKS) MEAN TIME VARIANCE
    ACTIVITYOptimistic Most likelyPessimistic t б2

    1 6 8 10 8 0.44
    2 3 6 9 6 1.00
    3 1 3 5 3 0.44
    4 2 4 12 5 2.78
    5 2 3 4 3 0.11
    6 3 4 5 4 0.11
    7 2 2 2 2 0.00
    8 3 7 11 7 1.78
    9 2 4 6 4 0.44
    10 1 4 7 4 1.00
    11 1 10 13 9 4.00

    4
    1 0 8 4 8 13

    8 1 9 5 16 21
    10 13 17

    1 0 3
    Start 8 9 16 Finish
    2 0 6
    7 9 16
    6 0 6 9
    5 6 11 16
    13 25
    3 6 9 9 9
    9 16 25
    4 12 16
    3 0 3 6 3 7

    3 2 5 4 5 9 A ES EF

    7 3 5
    D LS LF
    2 14 16

    5
    ACTIVITY t б ES EF LS LF S

    1 8 0.44 0 8 1 9 1
    2 6 1.00 0 6 0 6 0
    3 3 0.44 0 3 2 5 2
    4 5 2.78 8 13 16 21 8
    5 3 0.11 6 9 6 9 0
    6 4 0.11 3 7 5 9 2
    7 2 0.00 3 5 14 16 11
    8 7 1.78 9 16 9 16 0
    9 4 0.44 9 13 12 16 3
    10 4 1.00 13 17 21 25 8
    11 9 4.00 16 25 16 25 0

    6
    Total project variance

    б2= б22 + б52 + б82 + б112


    б2= 1.00 + 0.11 + 1.78 + 4.00
    = 6.89 weeks

    7
    Z-Probability Distribution Table

    8
    What is the probability that the project is
    completed within 30 weeks?
    x-
     2 = 6.89 weeks Z =

     = 6.89 = 30 - 25
    2.62
     = 2.62 weeks
    = 1.91

    From the Z table a Z score of 1.91 corresponds to a probability of 0.9555

    0.96 − 0.95 2.0 − 1.80


    =
    0.96 − 𝑥 2.0 − 1.91

    X = 0.9555

    9
    What is the probability that the project is
    completed within 22 weeks?
    x-
     2 = 6.89 weeks Z =

     = 6.89 = 22 - 25
    2.62
     = 2.62 weeks
    = -1.14

    From the Z table a Z score of -1.14 corresponds to a probability of 0.132

    10

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