Assessment of The Economic Impact of Cruise Tourism in Papua New Guinea & Solomon Islands
Assessment of The Economic Impact of Cruise Tourism in Papua New Guinea & Solomon Islands
Assessment of The Economic Impact of Cruise Tourism in Papua New Guinea & Solomon Islands
JUNE 2016
©2016 International Finance Corporation.
Images used courtesy of Solomon Islands Visitor Bureau and Carnival Australia.
This report was prepared by ICF Consulting Services Hong Kong Limited in association with
TNS Australia and Seaport Group.
This study into the economic impact of cruise tourism in Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands was
commissioned by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Carnival Australia and the
International Finance Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group.
Conducted by ICF Consulting Services Hong Kong Ltd, the study utilizes the same methodology
undertaken in a commissioned study in Vanuatu in 2014; and similar methodology to studies
undertaken in Australia and the Caribbean on a regular basis.
Data for the study was provided by Carnival Australia.
About IFC
IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, is the largest global development institution focused exclusively
on the private sector in emerging markets. Working with more than 2,000 businesses worldwide, IFC
uses capital, expertise, and influence to create opportunity where it’s needed most. In FY15, IFC’s long-
term investments in developing countries rose to nearly $18 billion, helping the private sector play an
essential role in the global effort to end extreme poverty and boost shared prosperity.
IFC’s work in the Pacific is guided by the Pacific Partnership, through which IFC works with the
Australian and New Zealand governments to stimulate private sector investment and reduce poverty
in the region. For more information, visit www.ifc.org.
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GLOSSARY2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
1 INTRODUCTION 23
ANNEX 1 METHODOLOGY 88
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Executive summary
In recent years cruising has become one of the fastest growing segments of the
tourism industry. Globally, the Pacific Islands account for a small fraction of the
cruise industry (around two per cent in 2015)1, but expected growth in the coming
years is high. Given their geographic proximity, Australia and New Zealand are the
most important source markets for the region.
The Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), the International
Finance Corporation (IFC) and Carnival Australia have partnered in an effort to
provide baseline data on the cruise sector’s impact on the economies of Pacific
Island Countries (PICs). Given the importance of tourism to the economies of
many Pacific Islands and the growth of cruise tourism, there is an opportunity
to support further strategic, targeted development of the sector to increase its
positive impact on local economies.
The focus of this study is on the cruise tourism sector in Papua New Guinea (PNG)
and Solomon Islands (SI). PNG received 136 cruise ship calls at various ports in
2015, (which is similar to 137 in 2007). However, whereas the average passenger
capacity of cruise ships in 2007 was 347 passengers, in 2015 average passenger
capacity was 705 passengers. This trend indicates an increase in large cruise ships
in recent years. While SI received a lower number of cruises, it displayed an upward
growth projection.
The study contributes to a wide body of evidence on the tourism sector in the
Pacific Islands and builds on the strategies and initiative proposed to support
growth. To enable comparison of results between parallel studies, this study has
taken into account the methodological approach adopted in earlier studies, in
particular the 2015 study on the cruise tourism sector in Vanuatu2.
1 Cruise Line International Association (CLIA) 2014 Deployed Survey among 18 international brands shows 6 per cent of the global capacity was
deployed in Australia/New Zealand and Pacific. CLIA 2014 Australia Cruise Industry Source Market Report shows 39 per cent of the Australian
cruise market is in South Pacific.
2 Assessment of the Economic Impact of Cruise Ships to Vanuatu, International Finance Corporation, August 2014
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
KEY DEFINITIONS
Total economic impact is the direct economic impact plus the indirect economic impact
of each country. It is a measure of the total economic activity generated by cruise tourism. For
the purpose of this study the final total economic impact is broken down by sector and by final
beneficiary (i.e. government, private beneficiaries and leakage).
Added value is the contribution of total economic impact to GDP. It is calculated as a sum of
wages and profits generated from cruise tourism.
Employment impact is the total economic impact on employment in the country. Calculations
are based on the ratio of reported employment (full-time and part-time employment) to revenue by
sector. This ratio is then multiplied by revenue from cruise tourism in each sector to estimate the
final employment impact. The data was collected through face-to-face interviews with businesses
in six visited ports by asking questions about their total revenues and the number of people they
employ. For example, if the businesses noted they employ two workers and had AUD 20,000 of
revenue in 2015, then AUD 10,000 of total economic impact from cruise tourism generates one job
in this sector. Due to low business acumen some businesses could not provide full-time equivalent
figures, so instead reported on the number of people that worked in the business on the day of the
cruise. As a result we refer to employment impact as employment opportunities.
Throughout the study, monetary values are reported in Australian Dollars (AUD) unless
otherwise stated.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Methodology
This study is based on primary quantitative and qualitative data gathered from the passengers and crew
on two cruises in November 2015 and January 2016:
Cruise 1: November 2015 - Pacific Dawn with 2020 passengers and 690 crew capacity visited five ports
in PNG (Alotau, Kitava, Rabaul, Kiriwina and Doini Island)
Cruise 2: January 2016 - Sea Princess with 2272 passengers and 875 crew capacity visited five ports in
PNG (Alotau, Doini Island, Kiriwina, Kitava, and Rabaul), one port in SI (Honiara) and one port in Vanuatu
(Port Villa)
The study also used interviews conducted with businesses serving the cruise tourism sector at the visited
ports, as well as data provided by cruise companies handling cruise ships in PNG and SI. The methodology
is closely aligned to the approaches adopted in earlier studies, in particular the 2014 study on the cruise
tourism sector in Vanuatu3. The four core tasks completed as part of this study were:
Direct economic impact analysis based on the expenditure data of 2,254 cruise passengers who
completed a short survey at five PNG ports4 and one SI port5, and gathered administrative data
Indirect economic impact analysis pertaining to the cost structure of business beneficiaries (and their
suppliers) using information collected from face-to-face interviews with businesses, and the inputs of
in-country experts
A list of opportunities to develop cruise tourism in PNG and SI based on qualitative research (focus
groups, face-to-face interviews) with passengers at surveyed ports and businesses, cruise lines, ship
agents and in-country workshops with local stakeholders. Participants were asked to provide personal
views on the current barriers and future opportunities to cruise tourism at particular ports, or in PNG
and SI in general
A Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) of a shortlist of opportunities to help prioritise future actions to improve
the impact of cruise tourism in the relevant economies
Unless otherwise stated, the impact reported is based on the economic impact of the researched
ports. Insufficient data was available to estimate the country level impacts other than in aggregate.
3 Assessment of the Economic Impact of Cruise Ships to Vanuatu, International Finance Corporation, August 2014
4 Alotau, Rabaul, Kitava, Kiriwina, Doini Islands
5 Honiara
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Direct economic impact AUD 5.7 million Other 5%, AUD 294,652
in 2015 was AUD 5.7 million at the
Transport businesses 2%, AUD 123,197
five researched ports. Fifty-four per Cruise passengers F&B businesses 3%, AUD 203,993
cent was generated from spending AUD 2.5million 43% Retail stores 3%, AUD 176,383
Souvenir sellers 6%, AUD 340,223
by cruise operators (mainly through
Crew members Tour operators
port fees), 43 per cent was generated
AUD 0.2million 3% 30% AUD 1.7million
by passengers, and three per cent by
crew members purchasing goods and
services from local businesses. The
Cruise operators Government
majority (50 per cent) of this revenue
AUD 3million 54% 30% AUD 2.8million
went to the government through
the collection of port fees and tour
operators (30 per cent).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
SOLOMON ISLANDS
(Honiara)
AUD 0.60 million Other 0%, AUD 3,031 Direct economic impact
in 2015 was AUD 0.60 million in Honiara.
Transport businesses 5%, AUD 28,350
Cruise passengers F&B businesses 4%, AUD 25,235 Sixty-five per cent was generated from
AUD 0.18million 31% Retail stores 3%, AUD 18,965 spending by cruise operators (mainly
Souvenir sellers 7%, AUD 38,982 through port fees), 31 per cent was
Crew members Tour operators generated by passengers and four per
AUD 0.02million 4% 15% AUD 0.09million cent by crew members purchasing
goods and services from local
businesses. The majority (65 per cent)
Cruise operators Government
of this revenue went to the government
AUD 0.39million 65% 65% AUD 0.39million
through the collection of port fees and
tour operators (15 per cent).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
6 Extrapolation accounts for 76 ship calls made at other PNG ports to those researched. Passengers, crew and cruise line operators’ expenditure
were adjusted accordingly to account for a much smaller average vessel size (150 – 300 passengers).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Table ES1 Total estimated direct impact by PNG port 2015 (AUD)
Figure ES1 Breakdown of direct impact by PNG port and source in 2015 (AUD)
Kitava
3%, Kiriwina Cruise Crew
Doini Island
AUD 5%, Company 3%,
9%,
192,065 AUD 54%, AUD 0.16
AUD 476,159
296,226 AUD 3.04 million million
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Solomon Islands
The total direct economic impact to Honiara port in SI for 2015 is estimated at AUD 0.6 million with each
cruise ship call contributing an average of AUD 46,169 to the Honiara economy.
As in the case of PNG, when this data is extrapolated to account for the smaller cruise ships and other SI
ports of call, the total direct economic impact of cruise tourism is estimated at AUD 0.9 million7.
The majority of expenditure comes from cruise companies (65 per cent of total expenditure). The
remaining expenditure comes from passengers (31 per cent) and crew (four per cent). Table ES2 provides a
summary of headline expenditure and Figure ES2 provided a breakdown of its source.
Figure ES2 Breakdown of direct impact by SI port and source in 2015 (AUD)
Passengers
31%,
AUD 182,671
Honiara
100%,
AUD
600,201
Cruise Crew
Company 4%,
65%, AUD
AUD 392,730 24,800
7 Extrapolation accounted for 47 calls at other SI destinations. Passenger, crew and cruise line operator expenditures were adjusted to account
for a much smaller average vessel size (150 – 300 passengers).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Passenger expenditure
Depending on the port, average passenger expenditure is estimated between AUD 7 and AUD 76 per day
in PNG. Average passenger expenditure is estimated at AUD 28 per day in Honiara, SI.
Passenger expenditure varies significantly due to large differences in spending opportunities (e.g. pre-
booked tours through cruise companies are only available in Rabaul and Alotau), and other factors (such
as the availability of ATMs, foreign currency exchange, shaded areas and toilets ashore), which make
venturing ashore more attractive.
Figures ES3 and ES4 following provide a summary breakdown of expenditure by port and expenditure type
for PNG and SI respectively.
Figure ES3 Average passenger expenditure by port and type8 in PNG (AUD)
ToursPB Tours Transport Services Souvenirs Retail Food & Beverage Other
Rabaul 76
Kitava 7
Kiriwina 9
Doini Island 11
Alotau 47
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
ToursPB Tours Transport Services Souvenirs Retail Food & Beverage Other
Honiara 28
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
8 Services include hair braiding and massage. Tour PB refers to Pre-Booked Tours which are arranged on-board the cruise ship by the cruise
company in advance of port arrival. Tours refers to purchases made by individuals on arrival at the port with local operators.
9 Services include hair braiding and massage.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Passengers’ satisfaction with the variety of things to see and do: Passengers spend
more if they think there are a greater variety of things to see and do. The majority of
passengers that spent in PNG and SI would spend more on clothing, watches/jewellery
and handicraft/souvenirs if more options were available.
Crew expenditure
Due to only a small number of survey responses from crew members, the estimates of crew expenditure
are based on the Vanuatu 2014 study. Ports were classified into two groups: small ports (Doini Islands,
Kiriwina and Kitava) and medium ports (Alotau, Rabaul and Honiara). Based on the Vanuatu 2014 findings,
the analysis assumes that crew members spend an average of AUD 5 per day at small ports and AUD 28
per day at medium ports.
PNG and SI lack pull factors for crew members to go and spend ashore. Global studies11
indicate that crew members go ashore to access low-cost communication services (i.e.
internet and phone) as on-board alternatives are expensive, food and beverage at local
restaurants and bars, entertainment/night clubs and transportation from the ship to
these amenities. They also tend to spend on clothes and electronics. All these facilities/
products are scarce or not available in PNG and SI.
10 Tours sold on board are compliant with cruise-line operating standards that meet or exceed minimum international standards for safety and
insurance protection, as well as the level in quality as outlined by each cruise-line’s brand position.
11 Business Research & Economic Advisors (BREA) report 2014-2015
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Figure ES5 Total cruise line expenditure by port and type in 2015 (million AUD)
1.6
0.1
1.4
1.2
1.0 0.1
0.8
1.5
0.6
0.9
0.4
0.2 0.4
0.2
0.1 0.1
0.0
Alotau Doini Island Kiriwina Kitava Rabaul Honiara
12 To account for differences in average passenger capacity and vessel size, cruise line estimates on port fees paid were re-weighted for ports
where average passenger capacity was <700 pax (i.e. Honiara). It was assumed port fee per passenger are twice as high for smaller vessels (<700
pax) if compared to bigger vessels. This assumption is based on the results of Anonymous Survey of Cruise Operators Expenses conducted by
Seaports in 2014.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The added value of cruise tourism to PNG’s GDP is estimated at AUD 1.1 million or 0.01 per cent of GDP in
2015. The gross value added of cruise tourism to SI’s GDP is estimated at AUD 0.09 million or 0.01 per cent
of GDP in 2015.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Employment impact
In PNG, cruise tourism generated an estimated 203 employment opportunities (0.6 per cent of working
age population of the five researched ports). In SI, the industry generated 21 employment opportunities
in Honiara (or 0.06 per cent of the working age population). Measured employment opportunities relate
only to the private sector and exclude any impact by cruise tourism on employment in the public sector.
Figure ES6 presents the estimated impact of cruise tourism on employment opportunities in PNG and SI
by sector and by port.
These figures do not indicate full-time equivalent (FTE) jobs only but the number of jobs (including a
mixture of full-time and part-time/ad hoc employment depending on the sector) that cruise tourism
generates. The estimates are calculated on a ratio of reported employment to revenue for each sector
based on data obtained from interviews with businesses. For each sector, these numbers were used to
estimate the employment ratios which were applied to the total direct and indirect economic impact for
private beneficiaries. Due to the limited understanding of some business representatives interviewed,
full-time equivalent figures for employment were not provided. Instead, the number of employees
working in the business on the day of the cruise (e.g. the number of family members selling handicrafts)
was reported. As a result, for the purpose of this study, employment impact is referred to as employment
opportunities or jobs.
In line with the approach adopted in the Vanuatu 2014 study, the employment impact does not include
employment resulting from fees paid by cruise operators at ports or other tax and duty collections. But
given the significant size of this expenditure relative to other spend in PNG and SI some employment
impact is likely to occur (i.e. in port and government administration).
The specialist tourist retail sector (selling handicrafts and souvenirs) benefits the most in terms of total
employment opportunities despite the fact that this sector receives only about six per cent of total
economic impact in both PNG and SI. Handicraft and souvenir businesses have many ‘employees’ and are
mainly family run, but the intake from cruise tourism is low and not consistent because businesses only
open when a cruise ship is in port. For instance, based on qualitative research there are many handicraft
sellers at Kiriwina, but the majority of sellers are subsistence farmers. As a consequence, the number of
full-time equivalent employment created by cruise tourism is currently low as cruise calls are infrequent
and last for only a day. But the number of employment opportunities created is high since many people
engage in the sector once the cruise ship arrives.
The lessons of Vanuatu and Fiji (as more developed tourism economies) illustrate the future potential
for PNG and SI. Increasing the frequency of cruise calls and the numbers of passengers will encourage
local businesses to establish permanent retail premises and employ of full-time staff. The Vanuatu study
estimated full-time equivalent employment at 1,170 jobs. Similar numbers can be expected in PNG and
SI given a similar number and frequency of cruise passengers. Many of these jobs would come from the
services and amenities that are not yet available in PNG and SI, and/or new products such as organised
tours.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Figure ES6 Impact on employment opportunities in PNG and SI by sector (above) and port (below)
PNG SI
135
Employment Opportunities
52
16
6 7
3 0.5 1 3 0.8
Tours and General retail Food & Beverage Transport Specialist tourist retail
Entertainment
PNG SI
Employment Opportunities
135
Employment Opportunities
72
44 41
52 31
21
15
16
6 7
3
Alotau 0.5
Doini Island Kiriwina 1 Kitava 3 0.8 Rabaul Honiara
Tours and General retail Food & Beverage Transport Specialist tourist retail
Entertainment
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Table ES3 Comparison of key indicators in the 2015 PNG, SI; 2014 Vanuatu study13 and 2015
BREA study14
1214
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Improving port amenities (such as the provision of shaded areas and seating, sanitation blocks and
litter bins) in many destinations is shown to have a significant net positive impact. The option makes the
port area more attractive to passengers considering a trip ashore. When ashore, it also increases the
time passengers are willing to spend in the port with a proportional increase in expenditure assumed in
the analysis
Opening up cruise destinations, such as Gizo and Tavanipupu in SI, requires significant upfront
investments at high cost. For example, this includes jetties, upgrades to wharfs and hydrological
surveys to be carried out before larger cruise ships can operate efficiently in these ports. However,
over time the improvements will increase levels of expenditure due to a higher frequency of calls and
numbers of passengers
The new wharf at Honiara is already under construction and will provide net benefits within 25 years.
However, the benefits to freight shipping operators from a new wharf are not quantified and are
considered significant as they are the largest users of this infrastructure
In conclusion, the CBA highlights the importance of capacity building, improved communication and
information options to facilitate higher cruise tourism expenditure. These options also contribute to
supporting economic development through tourism where a limited formal economy currently exists
in many smaller destinations. Often low cost to implement, these options ensure local communities,
businesses and government realise the potential of cruise tourism for economic growth and employment.
These options achieve the highest benefit-cost ratios.
Infrastructure investment is also important for the longer-term prospects of these cruise tourism
economies. High in upfront costs, the benefits of these investments may seem low but they are essential
prerequisites for future economic development. Without a new wharf in Honiara, or similar infrastructure
at other destinations, cruise tourists will not visit these countries in the numbers expected, consequently
reducing the economic impact of the sector.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Table ES4 Summary of the benefit-cost ratio of proposed opportunities to improve the impact
of cruise tourism in PNG and SI15
Option Details Present Value Net Benefit-
(AUD million) Present cost
Value ratio
Costs Benefits
15 Costs and benefits of investments are estimated over 10 years. Costs and benefits of investment in Honiara’s wharf is estimated over 25 years
reflecting the longer life to asset and the fact that this is investment is on-going.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary JUNE 2016
Improve Kitava – extend a jetty to enable simultaneous 0.7 3.1 2.4 4.3
infrastructure to disembarkation of two tenders for more efficient
existing ports of transportation of passengers to and from larger
call cruise ships
Alotau – provide fresh water supplies for cruise
ships to World Health Organization (WHO)
standards. As the first port of call for cruise ships
from Australia, development of this capability is
considered a priority for cruise development in
the region
Madang – reinforce and extend the port berth
to enable more regular and larger ships to dock
in port. Based on the assessment of Seaports
marine engineers, this would entail construction
of two sinker blocks and upgrades to fenders.
Solomon Islands
Develop the Establish a more formalised cruise committee 0.1 1.58 1.47 15
product offering in Develop more tours and excursions
Honiara
Open new Open Gizo as a destination for large vessels. This 1.5-2.6 4.5-12.7 3-10.1 1.7-8.6
destinations in the will require:
SI cruise offer • A hydrographical study for the destination
• Additional bollards/large cleats to be added
adjacent the sloping concrete ferry wharf
at Gizo to allow ship tenders to safely berth
alongside
• The red and white navigational beacon’s
and green starboard hand buoy as marked
on official chart BA 1735 to be replaced to
International Association of Lighthouse
Authorities (IALA) standards at Gizo. This will
assist ship tenders (lifesaving appliances) in
making safe entrance/egress from the port
area
• Encouraging and supporting the Solomon
Islands Maritime Safety Administration
(SIMSA) to ensure the maintenance of
navigational aids and an effective marine
safety information (MSI) system as required
by the International Maritime Organization
Safety of Life at Sea (IMO SOLAS) convention
Open Tavanipupu as destination for large
vessels. This will require:
• Preliminary weather monitoring
• Hydrological survey of reef entrance to
Tavanipupu
• Destination impact study
• Landing facilities (i.e. jetty)
Beach shelters/huts
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Improve Provide quarantine videos and leaflets to 0.1 0.7 0.6 6.7
information passengers
provided to Update destination information provided by
passengers cruise operators to passengers
Develop and provide maps of the port, city
centre and areas of interest
Inform passengers of the opportunity to make
donations
Upgrade Honiara’s Construct and maintain a sanitation block 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.8
port amenities Provide covered areas (including seating for
passengers) considered important to provide
shade and cover in times of inclement weather
Improve signage to enable cruise passengers
to navigate from the port area to leading
attractions and points of interest
Provide litter bins and port beautification actions
to make the area more attractive for cruise
passengers
Upgrade Honiara’s Construct a wharf capable of handling future 48.5 49.3 0.7 1.02
port infrastructure cruise ships of up to 264m in length and current
ships of 220m in length (already in construction)
Provide water supplies to WHO standards of 50
tonnes per hour
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
INTRODUCTION JUNE 2016
1 Introduction
1.1 Approach and methodology
This study followed a data driven approach, including primary data collection from cruise operators, passengers,
crew, and tourism related businesses in PNG and SI. This data was collected through surveys, focus groups and
interviews on-board two separate cruises in November 2015 and January 2016. The ports of call on each cruise
are summarised in Figure 1.1 below.
Figure 1.1 Data collection cruise itineraries and ports of call (November 2015 and January 2016)
Solomon Islands
Honiara
The approach and methodology used for the economic impact assessment of the cruise tourism industry on the
economies of PNG and SI is in line with the global cruise industry studies conducted by Business Research and
Economic Advisors (BREA)16, as well as the previous Vanuatu 2014 study in assessing the following.
Direct economic impact is the revenue the government and businesses receive from cruise ship tourism from
the expenditure of cruise passengers, cruise crew members and cruise operators on goods, services, taxes and
port fees in each country. Data was collected through passengers and crew surveys on board, as well as data
provided by cruise operators (i.e. Carnival Australia)
Indirect impact is the revenue received by suppliers of goods and services to businesses affected by direct
impact. It is the second round impact of cruise tourism. The data was collected through face-to-face interviews
with businesses in the six visited ports by asking questions about their cost structure and main suppliers
16 Business Research & Economic Advisors (BREA) conducted several Economic Contribution of Cruise Tourism to the Destination Economies studies, the
latest was published in October 2015. The scope of the study concerns the Caribbean, Mexico and Central and South America.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
INTRODUCTION JUNE 2016
Total economic impact is the aggregation of direct and indirect economic impacts, and represents the total
economic activity generated by cruise tourism in each country. In this study the final total economic impact
is broken down by sector and by final beneficiary (i.e. government, private beneficiary or leakage). This study
does not measure induced impacts which measures the additional impact from private beneficiaries through
household expenditure by employees (direct and indirectly) employed by the tourism industry
Added value is the contribution of total economic impact from cruise tourism to GDP. It is calculated as a sum of
wages and profits generated by total impact
Employment Impact is the total economic impact on employment in the country. It is calculated based on the
ratio of reported employment (full-time and part-time employment) to revenue by sector. This ratio is then
multiplied by revenue from cruise tourism in each sector to estimate the final employment impact. The data was
collected through face-to-face interviews with businesses in each port by asking questions about their total
revenues and the number of people they employ. For example, if the businesses noted they employ two workers
and had AUD 20,000 of revenue in 2015, then AUD10,000 of total economic impact from cruise tourism generates
one additional job in this sector. Due to the limited understanding of some business representatives interviewed,
they could not provide full-time equivalent figures but rather reported the number of people that worked in the
business on the day of the cruise. As a result we refer to employment impact as employment opportunities
Unless otherwise stated, the impacts reported are based on the economic impact on the researched ports.
Insufficient data was available to estimate the country-wide impacts disaggregated by sector and port.
A total of 2,254 passenger responses were collected. The average passenger response rate was eight per cent per
port (344 passengers per port), but passengers reported on average for 2.03 persons, in line with other studies.
Compared to the Vanuatu 2014 study, sample sizes are smaller but this was expected due to the limited number of
cruise ships surveyed (only two ships were surveyed) and the higher number of ports surveyed on each cruise ship
(six ports). However, the achieved sample sizes are large enough to provide statistically robust results.
The survey was complemented with four focus groups and several in-depth interviews with passengers on-board to
build an in-depth understanding of their spending behaviour and drivers.
In addition, 36 face-to-face interviews were conducted with businesses operating in the study ports. The aim of the
interviews was to collect data on the basic cost structure, levels of employment and main suppliers of each business
to compute the supply chain. Twenty-nine businesses were interviewed in PNG and seven businesses in Honiara, SI.
Due to small sample size, data was analysed in aggregate and triangulated with secondary literature and in-country
expert opinion before reaching robust conclusions.
Draft results of the economic impact assessment and underlying assumptions were presented and discussed at the
in-country workshops in PNG and SI in March 2016.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
INTRODUCTION JUNE 2016
The study is based on in-depth qualitative and quantitative research conducted at five ports
in PNG and one port in SI
Alotau – with a population of approximately 12,000, Alotau is one of the larger urban ports in PNG
and the capital of Milne Bay Province. Here, cruise passengers can pre-book the largest variety
of tours combining war, history and culture tours. There is a good range of places available to
purchase food and drinks.
Doini is a privately-owned island and resort with less than 100 inhabitants and a pleasant beach.
Business activities include a restaurant serving food and drinks, and activities such as fishing,
boat trips, kayaking, dancing and singing performances. There were no pre-booked or local tours
available.
Kiriwina with a population of 37,000, this is one of the largest and most populated islands of the
Trobriand Islands where natives live a self-sufficient lifestyle. It is renowned for wood carvings and
snorkelling. Many handicraft vendors line up by the footpaths at the beach to sell their goods to
cruise tourists. No pre-booked tours were available on board cruise ships but local guides can be
hired for a walk to the village in exchange for a donation.
Kitava is a small tropical island with some 2,000 – 3,000 inhabitants. It is part of the Trobriand
islands where the natives live a self-sufficient lifestyle. Cruise passengers can purchase a diverse
range of goods including wood carvings, craft, shells, jewellery and coconuts. No tours were
available to pre-purchase on the cruise ships. However, there are local tour guides offering Skull
Cave visits and boat tours.
Rabaul is an urban port in East New Britain province with a population of approximately 8,000.
It is popular for its volcanoes, scuba diving, snorkelling sites, World War II history and cultural
life. A variety of businesses serve cruise passengers including local tour operators, souvenir and
handicraft vendors, supermarkets and local markets. Tours were available either to pre-book on
cruise ships or to purchase directly from local operators.
Honiara is the capital city of the Solomon Islands and has approximately 65,000 inhabitants.
When large cruise ships arrive local businesses set up a craft and souvenir market at the wharf,
offering a variety of handicrafts. Tours were not available to pre-book on cruise ships, but local
operators were accessible at the wharf.
PAGE 25
1.2 Limitation of this study
While every effort has been made to ensure that the sample of data collected is representative of the population,
and that the methods used in collection and analysis are robust, there are a number of limitations to this study:
Estimation of induced impacts is beyond the scope of this study. Induced impacts, defined as the impacts
of expenditure from private beneficiaries of indirect cruise ship tourism spending, (i.e. household expenditure
from employees of businesses that benefit from cruise tourism) have not been considered as part of this study.
To do so, would require an understanding of how private beneficiaries spend the income they received from
cruise ship tourism
The sample is based on data collected on two large cruise ships and smaller expeditionary cruise ships
were not surveyed. Data collection was undertaken on two large cruise ships visiting PNG and SI with the
most comprehensive itineraries, during the months of November 2015 and January 2016. The cruise tourist
population on-board both cruises is considered representative of the larger vessels visiting PNG and SI in
2015/2016. As the popularity of cruise tourism to PNG and SI continues to expand, the demographics of
tourists and their spending patterns are likely to change. Therefore, the study only provides a snapshot of
expenditure and its impact in 2015/2016. Although PNG and SI are also visited by a number of smaller cruise
vessels and private yachts, surveying these passengers and crew was not within the scope of this study
Sample data for estimating the expenditure of crew members was low. A survey of crew expenditure was
undertaken on each cruise ship but the response rate from those who disembarked at each destination was
very low. Several factors contributed to this outcome: (i) crew have limited time off from their duties while on-
board and are reluctant to spend that time completing a questionnaire; (ii) very few crew members were found
to leave the ship at each destination, other than at larger ports; and (iii) there is a high level of survey fatigue
as most crew have encountered such surveys before on other cruise trips. In response, informal interviews
were held between the researchers on-board and crew members to find out about their spending patterns and
motivations for expenditure, which are included in our assessment. Nevertheless the amount of quantitative
information obtained remains negligible. To account for such a small sample size, care has been taken by on-
board researchers to validate the results by reviewing the estimated expenditure and ensuring it mirrors their
general observations and experience of crew spending patterns. Secondly, the results have been compared to
crew expenditure in other studies. As crew incomes and hours worked are similar across different cruises, it is
reasonable to assume expenditure is similar
Employment impacts from cruise line spending at ports were not estimated as part of this study. Due to
the subsistence nature of the economy in many ports of call, full-time cruise tourism employment is limited.
In addition, due to the limited business understanding of those interviewed, only the number of employees
present on the day of the interview were provided. In the absence of secondary data on the structure of the
supply chain and/or input-output tables for each sector, it was not possible to provide full-time equivalent
(FTE) job numbers or detailed indirect employment impacts. As a result we refer to employment impact as
employment opportunities
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
INTRODUCTION JUNE 2016
Taking these differences into account, levels of passenger and crew spend are broadly aligned with the results
seen in Vanuatu and elsewhere in the Pacific Islands. A change to the itinerary in the second cruise also enabled
the expenditure surveys to be completed for Port Vila in Vanuatu. The results obtained from Port Vila confirmed
broad alignment of the results of this study. Furthermore, the assumptions used have been tested with tourism
representatives in each country and with the researchers who visited each port of call.
PAGE 27
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
PNG summary
In total, cruise companies, passengers and crew spent AUD 5.7 million in PNG during 2015 across the five researched
ports (Alotau, Rabaul, Kiriwina, Kitava and Doini Island). Depending on the port, each cruise ship call brought an
average of between AUD 24,000 and AUD 159,000.
If this data is extrapolated, the total direct economic impact of cruise tourism in PNG is estimated at approximately
AUD 6.3 million.
The major source of the expenditure is cruise companies (which account for 54 per cent of total expenditure) mainly
through a variety of fees paid to ports, government agencies or communities. The remaining expenditure comes from
passengers (43 per cent) mainly through purchases of tours. Crew expenditure accounts for only three per cent.
The distribution among ports differs. The majority of expenditure in PNG benefits Alotau (42 per cent) and Rabaul (41
per cent), as these are entry ports and are more developed ports. Total and breakdown of expenditure by port in PNG
is provided in Table 2.1.
The impact assessment for PNG in 2015 assumed a total of 60 calls at the five researched ports. There were also an
additional 76 calls at other mostly small island destinations with significantly smaller average vessel sizes (between
150 – 300 passengers). It is estimated that these additional calls bring a marginal share (11 per cent) to total cruise
tourism impact in PNG. As a result, the five researched ports in this study provide a good insight.
Table 2.1 Total estimated direct spend per average port call – PNG 2015 (AUD)
PAGE 28
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Rabaul
Kiriwina Kitava
Alotau
Doini
Note: Blue dots mark PNG ports where cruise ships called in PNG in 2015. Red dots mark the ports of Alotau, Doini, Kiriwina, Kitava and
Rabaul included in this study.
SI summary
The direct economic impact to the port of Honiara in SI in 2015 is estimated at AUD 0.6 million. On average each cruise
ship call brought AUD 46,169 to Honiara.
If this data is extrapolated, the total direct economic impact of cruise tourism in SI is estimated at approximately AUD
0.9 million.
The majority of the expenditure comes from cruise companies (65 per cent of total expenditure) mainly through
different fees paid to ports, government agencies or communities. The remaining expenditure comes from
passengers (31 per cent) and crew (four per cent).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Table 2.2 Total estimated direct spend per port call – SI 2015 (AUD)
SI Calls Total Total Crew Total Cruise TOTAL Direct TOTAL
Passenger Impact Line Impact Impact AVERAGE
Impact Impact per call
SI Calls Total Average Total Average Total Average TOTAL TOTAL Direct
Passenger Crew Impact Cruise Line AVERAGE Impact
Impact per per call Impact per Impact per
call call call
Honiara
Note: Blue dots mark SI ports where cruise ships called in 2015. The red dot marks the port of Honiara, which was sampled in this study.
PAGE 30
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
100
80 76
60
47
40
28
20
11 9
7
0
Alotau Doini Island Kiriwina Kitava Rabaul Honiara
17 A large share of passengers pre-book tours if those are available (Alotau, Rabaul). Due to leakage through profits taken by intermediaries (cruise operators)
it was assumed that 70 per cent of this spending effects the local economy.
18 It should be noted that the data for Honiara was gathered on a Sunday when some businesses where closed.
19 USD 128 based on BREA 2014 - 2015
20 Assessment of the Economic Impact of Cruise Ships to Vanuatu, International Finance Corporation, August 2014
PAGE 31
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Figure 2.4 Breakdown of average passenger spend by port and sector (AUD)
Alotau $47 direct spend per passenger day Doini Island $11 direct spend per passenger day
Retail 3%,
Food &
Souvenirs 5%, AUD 2
Beverage 4%,
AUD 2.24
AUD 1.65
Other Other Tours
Transport 10%, AUD 14%, AUD
1%,
4%,
AUD 0.57 1.17 1.58
AUD 1.72
Tours Food &
9%, Beverage
AUD 4 25%,
AUD 2.70 Souvenirs
30%, AUD
ToursPB 3.28
74%,
AUD 35 Retail
21%,
AUD 2.33
Kiriwina $9 direct spend per passenger day Kitava $7 direct spend per passenger day
Food &
Beverage
Food & Transport
Other Tours 7%, AUD Other
Beverage 8%, 7%, AUD
10%, AUD 11%, 0.49 14%, AUD
AUD 0.74 0.63 Tours
0.97 AUD 1.05 1.01 24%, AUD
1.77
Retail
7%, AUD
0.48 Transport
10%, AUD
0.70
Souvenirs Souvenirs
Retail Services Services
57%, 37%, AUD
6%, 1%, AUD 1%, AUD
AUD 5.41 2.73
AUD 0.53 0.14 0.10
Rabaul $76 direct spend per passenger day Honiara $28 direct spend per passenger day
Tours Tours
20%, Souvenirs 49%,
AUD 15 21%, AUD 14
ToursPB AUD 5.75
66%,
AUD 50
Transport
14%,
AUD 3.86
PAGE 32
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Key findings
Qualitative research found passengers are often not expecting many services and don’t particularly
want them. Passengers are mostly interested in, and surprised by, the beautiful unspoilt locations, the
friendliness of the locals and rich local cultural history.
There was a consensus among passengers interviewed that not much money is needed to have a
great time at these locations. The main expectation from passengers is to be able to relax and enjoy
these pristine places.
Quantitative analysis confirms that on average passengers spent little (AUD7 to AUD11) at small
island destinations (Doini Island, Kitava, and Kiriwina).
Passengers’ expenditure during the entire trip (in PNG) is lower or equal to what they expected to
spend. Passengers expected to spend between AUD 150 and AUD 200 in total at the five visited ports
(P&O amount suggested at money exchange points). Based on the quantitative analysis, average
expenditure was AUD 150 per passenger across the five ports in PNG.
Passengers would like to contribute more to the local communities. Quantitative data shows
that most passengers would spend more on entertainment, tours, clothing, watches/jewellery and
handicrafts if more were available), or donations (both monetary and material).
Average passengers spent a significant amount (AUD 35 to AUD 50 on average) on pre-book tours to
book on-board cruise ships
Pre-book tours were not available on-board cruise ships to Honiara, Doini Island, Kitava and Kiriwina.
Pre-booked of tours will be available on Carnival Australia cruises to Honiara from May 2016 onwards
Discussions in focus groups highlighted that some passengers preferred to pre-book tours through cruise
operators. Others would like to book directly with local tour operators based on the perception that those
tours are cheaper with more money going straight to the community
The proportion of passengers going ashore is high. Survey results indicated that between 93 per cent (Kitava) and
97 per cent (Doini Islands) of passengers went ashore at the surveyed ports. This is consistent with the Vanuatu
2014 Study and the global average of 94 per cent21.
Once ashore, passengers spend between 3.4 and 4.3 hours (depending on the port) discovering destinations
before returning to the cruise ship. Globally, the average number of hours ashore is 4.4 hours22.
Among the different ports, Kiriwina Island and Kitava attracted the lowest number of passengers. A large
proportion (between 39 and 40 per cent) of passengers did not spend while ashore at these destinations. In
contrast, Rabaul attracted a high amount of passengers ashore (96 per cent), and only six per cent of them chose
not spend, with the average passenger returning to the cruise ship after 4.3 hours. A breakdown of passengers
going ashore by port and their spending pattern is provided in Figure 2.5.
21 BREA 2014-2015
22 Ibid.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Figure 2.5 Proportion of passengers going ashore and not spending by port (AUD)
80%
60%
39% 40%
40%
31%
17%
20% 12%
6%
0%
Alotau Doini Island Kiriwina Kitava Rabaul Honiara
The proportion of passengers going ashore is high, but some passengers still prefer staying on board.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Figure 2.6 below provides details on the observed average time spent ashore by port.
The average time passengers spent ashore is lower than the global average. Qualitative
research found this is partly due to: heat, lack of basic facilities and a lack of food that is
perceived to be safe to consume. Time spent on tours also influences the time spent ashore. A
prominent pattern observed by researchers was that after a few hours of a full-day stop spent
ashore, many passengers return to the cruise ship for lunch and are unlikely to return, choosing
to stay aboard the ship during the remainder of the day. On average passengers spent:
PAGE 35
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Time passengers spend on shore: Survey results across different countries consistently
indicate that passengers who spend more time ashore also spend more on local products and
services.
Passengers’ satisfaction with the variety of things to see and do: Passengers spend more if
they think there are a greater variety of things to see and do. Independent of the country, the
majority of passengers that spent in PNG and SI would spend more on clothing, watches,
jewellery, handicrafts and souvenirs if more options were available.
Availability of pre-booked tours: Passengers who pre-booked tours spent significantly more
(on average AUD 79) than those who did not pre-book tours (on average AUD 21). When
available, many passengers purchased pre-booked tours (47 per cent of passengers in Alotau
and 48 per cent of passengers in Rabaul).
60
Mean Spend Per Passenger (AUD)
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
PAGE 36
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
There was a positive correlation between mean spend and time ashore of up to six hours for PNG and five hours
for SI. The downward trend in expenditure after five hours in SI illustrates the need for more things to do. We know
from qualitative findings that many passengers were prepared to spend more, hence the positive correlation.
In terms of satisfaction, there is a strong positive correlation between “variety of things to see and do” and total
spend in both PNG and SI. On average, passengers who were not at all satisfied with the variety of things to see
and do spent only AUD 13 and those who were extremely satisfied spent AUD 34.
Figure 2.8 Mean spend per passenger by satisfaction with variety of things to see and do
60
PNG
Mean Spend Per Passenger (AUD)
50
40
32
30
24 24
20 15
13
10
0
Not at all satisfied Not very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very satisfied Extremely satisfied
60
SI 53
50
Mean Spend Per Passenger (AUD)
40 36
28
30 26
20
12
10
0
Not at all satisfied Not very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very satisfied Extremely satisfied
PAGE 37
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
More than half of passengers were ‘very’ or ‘extremely satisfied’ with the current variety of
things to see and do at most ports – especially at Doini Island, Kitava and Rabaul
(see Figure 2.9).
Doini Island rates the highest. It offers fishing, boat trips, self-guided walks around the Island and
kayaking. There are many different groups performing cultural dances and songs, but less availability of
crafts. Some passengers pointed out it felt more commercial, less authentic and more in line with other
Pacific Islands
Kitava is liked for being authentic, untouched and un-touristy. Passengers can purchase handicrafts, join
tours with local tour guides to the lookout at the top of the hill, King Cameron’s Grave and Skull Caves,
take a raft-boat to a deserted island and purchase food and drinks (coconut) from stalls
In Rabaul many passengers go on tours (volcanoes and WWII history), the selection of handicrafts is good
and includes local products as well as commercial “made in China” products
Figure 2.9 Share of passengers who were ‘very’ or ‘extremely satisfied’ with the current
variety of things to see and do by port in PNG
Kitava 67%
Rabaul 67%
Alotau 41%
In Honiara, 55% of the passengers very ‘very’ or ‘extremely’ satisfied with the variety of things to see
and do.
PAGE 38
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Around one-fifth of passengers were ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ satisfied with the variety of
things to see and do in Alotau, Honiara and Kiriwina Island (see Figure 2.10).
The main town of Alotau is about 30 minutes walk from the port and (especially those on tours) rarely
make it into the town centre. Tourist offers close to the port are limited, there is no information desk or
local tour operators at the port and signage is poor. Alotau has a good range of places available for food
and drinks, however souvenirs and woodcarvings are less obvious to buy. Tourists can purchase a variety
of tours such as Ahoima traditional cultural experiences (e.g. meet my family, Alotau history tour, the
Battle of Milne Bay tour and traditional cooking classes)
Kiriwina Island has the highest number of local people servicing cruise tourists. It is renowned for the
wood carvings and spectacular snorkelling. But passengers commented there is not enough variety
of handicrafts and some passengers were concerned that crafts are imported. There were local tour
guides available for village tours, but passengers were not aware of this offer. Passengers also expressed
concerns for animals with locals encouraging passengers to pay for photos with parrots and turtles
Figure 2.10 Share of passengers who were ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ satisfied with the current
variety of things to see and do by port in PNG
Alotau 22%
Rabaul 10%
Kitava 9%
Doini Island 6%
In Honiara, 19% of the passengers were ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ satisfied with the variety of things to see
and do.
PAGE 39
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Cruise passengers were asked whether they would spend more if more options were available. More than 50 per
cent of passengers who spent would have spent more on entertainment activities, clothing, watches/jewellery and
handicrafts, if more were available.
Passengers who did not spend would most likely spend more on tours on the day (40 per cent), followed by handicrafts
(30 per cent) and clothing (28 per cent), suggesting a gap in the market for these areas in particular.
Responses were similar at ports of PNG and SI ports, but passengers in SI are more likely to spend more on most
items (if more options were available).
Figure 2.11 Percentage of passengers who would have spent more by country
PNG SI
30%
25%
% passengers who would spend more
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
PAGE 40
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Passengers who pre-booked tours spent significantly more than those that did not pre-book tours.
Figure 2.12 Spend for passengers who booked/did not book tours in PNG (AUD)
PNG
Tours not
19
pre-booked
Tours pre-
78
booked
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Passengers who pre-booked tours spent less on transportation, more in retail and handicrafts, but much the
same on food and beverage.
Collected passengers data does not allow for detailed analysis of spending patterns based on passengers’
demographics. Consistent with studies by BREA and the Vanuatu 2014 study, one survey per cabin was collected
and one passenger was asked to report spending on behalf of all cabin/family members. Based on such data
individual expenditure by gender or age cannot be identified.
Ninety-one per cent of passengers responding to the survey hold permanent residence in Australia. The
sample sizes of passengers from other countries (e.g. UK, US and Canada) are too small for statistical spending
comparison based on country of origin (because calculated differences are not statistically significant).
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Currently PNG and SI lack pull factors for crew members to go and spend ashore. Based on
global studies26, crew members go ashore to access cheap communication services (because
internet and phone, on-board connection is expensive), food and beverage at restaurant and
bars, entertainment/night clubs and transportation to these facilities. They also tend to spend
on clothes and electronics. All of these facilities and products are scarce or not available in PNG
and SI.
Figure 2.13 Crew expenditure breakdown by type of expenditure and port size (AUD)27
ToursPB Tours Transport Services Souvenirs Retail Food & Beverage Other
Medium Port
Small Port
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
24 BREA 2014-2015
25 USD 67 Ibid.
26 Ibid.
27 Based on Vanuatu 2014 data
PAGE 42
ALOTAU RABAUL HONIARA
ITEM Average Share of Weighted Average Share of Weighted Average Share of Weighted
spend per all onshore average spend per all onshore average spend per all onshore average
passenger visits spend per passenger visits spend per passenger visits spend per
who spent passenger who spent passenger who spent passenger
on that (AUD) on that (AUD) on that (AUD)
item (AUD) item (AUD) item (AUD)
Food &
7 25% 1.65 6 14% 0.76 8 24% 2.04
Beverage
Table 2.3 Detailed breakdown of passenger expenditure for Alotau, Rabaul and Honiara
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DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
PAGE 44
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Figure 2.14 Estimated total cruise company expenditures in 2015 by port (AUD million)
1.6
0.1
1.4
1.2
1.0 0.1
0.8
1.5
0.6
0.9
0.4
0.2 0.4
0.2
0.1 0.1
0.0
Alotau Doini Island Kiriwina Kitava Rabaul Honiara
Source: Carnival Australia and PNG and SI cruise agents, internal data
Figure 2.15 Comparative breakdown of fees paid by a large cruise ship (2,000 pax) at larger ports in
PNG and SI
Honiara 9% 91%
Note: *Port fees include anchorage, pilotage, International Ship and Port Facility Security (ISPS) code, berthage, berth reservation, mooring gang
service, agency fee and professional service tax.
Source: Internal data from PNG and SI cruise agents.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
High fees: Based on data gathered, fees charged in PNG are significantly higher than those in SI.
Some stakeholders and cruise ship operators noted recent high fees charges by NMSA might
result in some cruise ships bypassing PNG in the future. Based on their calculations this
especially applies to small (50-100 passengers) exhibition cruises that visit PNG once a year.
Ports in the Pacific region and around the world are under sustained pressure to keep costs to a
minimum, specifically for cruise ships if tourist destinations are to remain competitive.
However, a vast body of literature recommends port fees should be set at a level that covers the
expenses and investment needed to build and maintain a port as well as the local infrastructure
to accommodate cruise passengers28.
Legislation and customs rules: According to current legislation, the first port of entry for cruise
ships in PNG must be a declared port (e.g. Alotau, Rabaul, and Port Moresby). By law cruise ships
need to stop first at one of the declared ports before going to other destinations. However,
other PICs (e.g. Fiji, and SI) allow cruise ships to enter the country also through undeclared ports
(an example of undeclared port in PNG is Conflict Island). This opens up more possibilities for
cruise operators to better tailor their itineraries.
28 See for instance Brida, JG & Zapata, S (2010) Cruise tourism: economic, socio-cultural and environmental impacts.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
PAGE 47
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Crew members
44% AUD 1.0million
AUD 0.07million 3%
Government
Cruise operators
40% AUD 0.9million
AUD 1.0million 44%
Crew members
AUD 0.07million 3% Tour operators
25% AUD 0.6million
Cruise operators
AUD 1.6million 66% Government
61% AUD 1.5million
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Tour operators
Crew members
6% AUD 19,010
AUD 5,110 2%
Cruise operators
Government
AUD 0.12million 41%
41% AUD 0.12million
Tour operators
Crew members
12% AUD 22,511
AUD 3,696 2%
Cruise operators
Government
AUD 0.1million 50%
50% AUD 0.1million
PAGE 49
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
INDIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Indirect economic impact is the revenue received by local businesses that supply goods and services to
businesses directly benefiting from cruise tourism. It is the second round impact of cruise tourism and the size of
this impact indicates how money multiplies in the economy. By definition, indirect impact excludes the portion of
direct economic impact that goes to the government.
Indirect economic impact was calculated by simulating the supply chain of the five main industries benefiting from
cruise tourism in SI and PNG. In summary, the following was observed:
Tour and entertainment services: The main local suppliers of tour operators are transport service providers
(i.e. providing mini buses)
Transport services: Transport services mainly rely on imported goods (imports of fuel and vehicle) and have
limited indirect impacts
Specialist tourist retail such as handicrafts, souvenirs and artwork: The majority of businesses in this sector
operate in the informal economy. Data from this informal economy is difficult to capture and has limited indirect
impacts as revenue is kept by the family producing the good or service
General retail such as supermarkets: The main local suppliers of general retail industry (such as supermarkets)
are larger local general retailers
Food & beverage services: The main local suppliers of food and beverage services are local general retail
industry (i.e. supermarkets)
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
TOTAL ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Added value impact of cruise tourism to PNG’s GDP is estimated at AUD 1.1 million or 0.01 per cent of GDP in
2015. Value add of cruise tourism to SI’s GDP is estimated at AUD 0.09 million or 0.01 per cent of GDP in 2015.
Note: Other includes services such as hair braiding and donations from passengers.
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
TOTAL ECONOMIC IMPACT JUNE 2016
Private beneficiaries receive a high share of direct expenditure because the revenue is mainly used to hire local
tour guides and local transport providers.
Table 4.2 Key findings of the economic impact analysis of tours and entertainment services
Alotau Rabaul Honiara
Government 6% 3%
Leakage 7% 9%
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Government 9% 5%
Table 4.4 Key findings of the economic impact analysis of specialist tourist retail services
Government 0% 0%
Leakage 0% 1%
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Table 4.5 Key findings of economic impact analysis of food and beverage service industry
Government 2% 3%
Leakage 7% 26%
Table 4.6 Key findings of economic impact analysis of general retail industry
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Table 4.7 Average number of employment opportunities per AUD 10,000 of revenue per sector and
estimated employment impact in PNG and SI 2015
TOTAL 203 21
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Figure 4.1 Total employment opportunities by country and sector (above) and by port (below)
PNG SI
135
Employment Opportunities
52
16
6 7
3 0.5 1 3 0.8
Tours and General retail Food & Beverage Transport Specialist tourist retail
Entertainment
PNG SI
135
Opportunities
Opportunities
72
Employment
Employment
52
44 41
31
21
15 16
6 7
3 0.5 1 3 0.8
Tours and General retail Food & Beverage Transport Specialist tourist retail
Alotau Doini Island Kiriwina Kitava Rabaul Honiara
Entertainment
The method adopted to calculate employment impacts in the previous Vanuatu 2014 study and BREA studies
differ marginally from the approach adopted in this study. In these studies the employment impact was estimated
by using the average full-time salaries for employees in each sector. The Vanuatu study additionally assumed that
more than 33 per cent of employment is part-time to derive estimate of employment opportunities. This study
does not make use of full-time salaries for employees in each sector due to the lack of available data for PNG and
SI, and the high share of sectors operating in the informal economy. As a result, the employment impact estimates
are based on a ratio of reported employment-to- turnover data obtained during interviews with businesses.
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The following is an outline of the problems identified, summarising the responses received from cruise
passengers, crew and businesses, and the findings of in-country workshops held in Port Moresby and Honiara in
March 2016.
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5.1.1 Basic port infrastructure is inadequate, limiting access for larger cruise ships
A leading barrier to the development of cruise tourism in many of the ports is the lack of adequate infrastructure
to permit efficient access for larger cruise ships. Additional infrastructure is also required in hub ports (i.e.
Alotau and Honiara) to enable cruise ships to extend their stay at small ports and offer a more extensive cruising
schedule.
In Honiara, the wharf must be sufficiently large enough to permit the largest cruise ships in the Pacific region
(maximum length size of 264 metres) to berth and take on-board fresh water supplies at 50 tonnes per hour at a
quality meeting World Health Organization (WHO) standards. At present, cruise ships must anchor offshore and
tender passengers to shore. Passenger responses indicate that the inconvenience of this slow and inefficient
process was one of the reasons some passengers decided to stay on-board. For others it limited the time they had
ashore. The new wharf currently under construction will accept its first 200-metre plus cruise ship in September
2016.
As Alotau is the port of call for many cruise ships from Australia, there is a need for the same standard of fresh
water supplies to be available as in Honiara. The ability to take on fresh water is an important factor as it improves
the comfort levels for cruise ship passengers and helps to open up other destinations in the area to cruise tourism.
In smaller ports of call, (such as Kitava), the construction of a new jetty is required to enable two tenders to
disembark simultaneously so that passengers can be transported to and from larger cruise ships more efficiently.
Improvements are also required at Madang port to reinforce and extend the port berth to enable larger ships to
dock in port more regularly.
Without these infrastructure improvements, cruise operators will not be able to extend their cruise offer in
PNG and SI using larger cruise ships. The impact on passenger comfort and access to ports will also hinder the
development of cruise tourism in both countries.
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Without an established tourism industry in smaller ports, there may be a reluctance to see its longer term
potential. One business owner interviewed suggested that some vendors may see tourists as an opportunity to
‘make a quick buck’, opposed to a long- term business opportunity. In part this reflects the short time cruises
have been stopping in these ports, and the infrequency of cruise ships which currently visit. This short-term
mentality reduces the willingness of local businesses to invest in premises and the quality of their products and
services, subsequently hampering the development of a more substantive tourism industry
While these issues are more acute in the smaller ports, the tourism industry in Alotau, Rabaul and Honiara is
no less under-developed according to passenger and business feedback (see box below). The contrast of PNG
and SI destinations with Port Vila on the second cruise in this study illustrates the scale of the gap – not only
in the number of businesses established to serve cruise passengers, but also in the level of cruise passenger
expenditure and its economic impact.
If PNG and SI are to benefit from the opportunities that cruise tourism offers, one of the first steps must be to
establish an economy and tourist industry with the capacity to handle the influx of tourists in a sustainable way,
while at the same time maintaining the unspoilt and uncommercial nature of the ports, (which many passengers
highlighted as a drawcard). Factors limiting the growth of businesses include limited access to start-up capital,
limited knowledge of financial management among business owners, limited awareness of tourism possibilities in
remote areas, and cultural challenges such as issues with local women setting up businesses.
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In some destinations the lack of established business premises to operate from meant that many handicraft
sellers have to travel from nearby villages in order to meet the cruise ship on arrival and sell products by the
roadside, at irregular intervals and with limited information on the price of goods for sale. On the second cruise
researchers noted some improvement in business acumen with vendors displaying fixed prices in Doini, providing
straws for coconut drinks, and instilling hygienic food-handling practices. However, this is not considered
common practice and passengers expect a higher standard before they are willing to increase expenditure.
Quotes from interviews highlighting this issue are provided in the box below.
The stop at Port Vila on the second cruise reinforced the scale of the problem. Casual observation of the
researchers revealed that expenditure by cruise passengers was much higher in Port Vila compared to previous
destinations visited. In part this was due to the fact that this was the last stop on the cruise and passengers were
encouraged to spend left-over currency.
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5.1.5 Cruise passengers lack confidence in the goods and services available
Although less developed than some South Pacific Island destinations, PNG and SI does offer a choice of
attractions, goods and services (including organised tours, handicrafts, food and drink) which passengers can
spend their money on. However, researchers observed that many passengers were reluctant to purchase goods
and services available for several reasons:
Passengers were uncertain regarding quarantine rules and this deterred many consumers from buying
handicrafts. On the first cruise passengers were provided with information through a video presentation,
an on-board quarantine box, and a presentation by a cruise ship representative. On the second cruise less
information was available to passengers and no quarantine box was provided. This meant passengers were not
given nearly enough information to make informed purchasing decisions. Their concerns included not wanting
to lose souvenirs at customs, not wanting to line up for inspection at customs, and not wanting to damage
Australia’s ecosystem
There was scepticism about whether the products available are genuine. Passengers were not willing to
purchase handicrafts if they thought they were mass-produced or not locally made. Concerns about the finish
of some items, (which were considered too consistent to be handmade), and the fact that the same items would
appear at multiple destinations at different prices also led scepticism and confusion
Prior to disembarking, passengers also stated that they are poorly informed of the spending opportunities
and activities available at each destination (i.e. local markets, crafts, local tour guides, schedule of
performances). On the first cruise, a printed document was left in cabins prior to each port of call. On the
second cruise, no written information for Doini, Kiriwina, Kitava and Honiara was made available to passengers.
In Alotau, Rabaul and Port Vila pamphlets were distributed on the first day of the cruise providing information
on tours available for purchase through the cruise operator. However, some of the printed materials were
out-of-date and not informative enough for passengers wishing to plan a day of activities. A destination
expert was also on board the second cruise to provide lectures about each stop. The content of the lectures
focussed on history, culture and sightseeing, but there was limited practical information on where things can
be found at each destination, the prices of goods and services, and the options available to those wanting to
take a local tour (see summary in the box following). Passenger feedback highlighted frustration at a general
lack of practical information and in some instances “misinformation” provided by the lecturer on some ports.
Although many were willing to explore each port with an open mind, they lacked the basic information needed
to navigate each destination, arrange activities and make the most of the opportunities available
These factors resulted in passengers not feeling sufficiently confident and empowered to make the most of
the spending opportunities in each port of call. A summary of the feedback from businesses and passengers is
provided in the box following.
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Destination information
“There should be ‘do’ and ‘don’t’ information on what passengers can bring for the children on the island – books,
pens, and paper are good. Lollies and soft drinks are not.” (Business, Kitava)
“Awareness needed about local providers – there is no information on the boat leaflets about them.” (Business,
Alotau)
“There is no tourist website for Rabaul – it needs more advertising abroad which should be done by the local
tourism board.” (Business, Rabaul)
“There needs to be more information and more maps for tourists as well as easier transport – [the business] get
very few visitors from the cruise ships.” (Business, Rabaul)
There is an historical society in Rabaul – the cruise ships should contact them to help train tour guides who
currently only give basic or incorrect information.” (Business, Rabaul)
“Passengers had not conducted detailed research prior to this trip and were unsure of what to expect.”
(Passenger focus groups and in-depth interviews)
“The current consensus was that these documents [cruise provided leaflets] contain some information but most
passengers would like more.” (Passenger focus groups and in-depth interviews)
“Passengers like bringing gifts for the local communities which are much appreciated (e.g. pens, paper, and toys).
However, many were unaware this was an option.” (Passenger focus groups and in-depth interviews)
“Passengers would like more information about the products and services each port is renowned for.” (Passenger
focus groups and in-depth interviews)
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This refers to Honiara in particular, where the second cruise did not arrange tours and it would have been helpful
to know what local alternatives were available. Businesses confirmed they were willing to provide hire cars,
drivers and other services to cruise passengers if tourists came to them but they require some promotion and/
or information to be provided on-board the cruise ships
Trip itineraries did not allow sufficient time to enjoy the scenery or learn from the experience. Many
passengers felt rushed to “tick boxes” with little time left to engage with local communities and purchase the
goods and services available. While it is understandable that tourists want to spend more time to explore and
experience a place of interest, the research consultant noted that the tour provider often requires a strict
schedule to enable the timely pick up of the next group of tourists. Feedback from passengers suggests
the current balance is not quite right as passengers were only given to 5-10 minutes at each site on some
excursions. On other trips, the number of stops was cut short, and in one case, the attraction was closed,
unbeknownst to the tour guide
Prices were higher than expected in PNG and SI, limiting cruise passenger expenditure. Many tourists
expected PNG, in particular, to be relatively inexpensive and planned their expenditure accordingly. In reality,
prices were broadly comparable to Australia for items such as drinks and food, which came as a surprise to
many. More pre-cruise information was requested by passengers to plan their trips
Information about the range of activities available was often limited. Passengers stated that they were given
insufficient information about what there was to do at each destination, subsequently contributing to lower
expenditure. Businesses highlighted the need to promote awareness of the activities and attractions available
at each destination, (including scuba diving, surfing, sailing, fishing, walking etc.)
Insights from passengers and businesses concerning expectations are provided in the box below.
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On the second cruise, no similar provision was made available. In the less commercial destinations of Kitava,
Kiriwina and Doini, there was no currency exchange facilities available ashore, forcing some vendors to
exchange AUD for local currency, to enable passengers to make purchases. With limited local currency available
to vendors, many passengers in focus groups considered they could have spent more. At larger destinations,
passengers were frustrated by a lack of information about the location and opening hours of banks or currency
exchange facilities. Without this information, very few passengers were able to find and use these facilities,
leaving many with limited local currency. The exception was Honiara where foreign exchange facilities are
available, ATMs are located close to the wharf and AUD is widely accepted
Lack of maps and directional information to guide passengers: Passengers noted it was difficult to find
destination maps and/or directions to basic amenities and services, (e.g. banks, toilets, food and beverage
retailers, attractions, points of interest etc.). This information was not available prior to arrival in port, and once
ashore there were limited signs and directions. As consequence, cruise passengers were reluctant to explore
some destinations and were unaware of opportunities for leisure and entertainment where they could have
spent money. This also contributed to many passengers returning to the cruise ship after only a short visit
ashore, and the difficulty passengers had in exchanging currency on the second cruise
Lack of sanitation facilities: many passengers were concerned about the lack of sanitation facilities ashore,
particularly in the smaller ports of call. Even in the larger ports this was also considered a problem due to limited
directional signage making it difficult for passengers to find these facilities even where they were available. As
the number of cruise ship passengers visiting PNG and SI grows, this is clearly a priority need
Lack of shaded areas: passengers reported that there was insufficient seating and shaded areas available in
Kitava, Kiriwina and Doini. Many older passengers surveyed on both cruises cited this reason for staying on-
board or returning to the ship after only a short time on-shore
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A high proportion of cruise passengers go ashore, but return early, reducing the size of the captive market for
local economies. For example, feedback from the first cruise highlighted that while passengers went ashore in
the morning, many went back on-board for lunch and did not return ashore in the afternoon.
Interviews with businesses in Honiara and Rabaul also highlighted that other than tour companies and vendors,
local businesses (specifically cafes, restaurants and hotels) are not getting many tourists through the door. This
reflects a number of issues related to limited transportation, the lack of prior information at each destination,
low passenger awareness about what is available and a lack of local business promotion. Consultant notes
highlighted that it may also not be in the interests of cruise operators for passengers to be spending more
money on local food and drink. A local businessperson in Alotau suggested that better information could be a
solution saying that:
“Cruise operators also tell tourists to be wary of buying local food… they once prepared 1,500 meals and sold about 30”
Foreign-owned businesses: As in the Vanuatu study, the research found that many businesses profiting from
cruise tourism, (e.g. shop owners and tour operators) are owned by expatriates. Consequently, there is leakage
of profits overseas which could otherwise be reinvested into local economies. In part, this is a reflection of the
limited tourism industry and the difficulties associated with starting businesses in these countries, which can be
addressed by supporting the development of local economies and increasing tourist numbers in the long-term
5.1.9 The numbers of cruise tourists visiting PNG and SI is currently low
compared to similar destinations.
The reasons given by businesses and passengers suggested that the reasons more people do not visit PNG and SI are:
PNG has a negative reputation among some potential tourist markets, driven by crime in Port Moresby
and media reports about the country. This negative perception is not limited to just cruise tourism and was
identified by passengers and businesses as a hindrance to tourism growth in PNG
There is limited promotion of PNG and SI as tourist destinations in the media. This extends to a lack of
guidebooks, websites, and other sources of information that inform and promote destinations. These
sources are also helpful for tourists who have decided to visit PNG and SI, as they can find out more about
the attractions, culture and activities available. Businesses also suggested that more could be made of the
connections many potential tourists have with the region (e.g. family members who fought in World War II) to
find out more and visit in the future. Natural attractions such as unspoilt beaches, volcanoes, and coral reefs
could also be featured more in promotional materials.
Businesses on the smaller islands indicated that improved coverage of the water-based activities (such as
scuba diving) would help to bring in more tourists
Customs and immigration procedures in PNG could be improved. At present, cruise ships must use proclaimed
ports for clearance which limits cruise itineraries and the frequency of calls. Cruise operators consider this a
competitive disadvantage compared to other Pacific Island destinations. This could be addressed by PNG and
SI permitting cruise operators to bear the cost of using immigration services at non-proclaimed ports, and
bringing the process in line with other PICs in order to increase passenger time on-shore
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Each proposed action was prioritised as either a short-term priority (enabling planned cruise schedules in PNG
and SI to take place), or a longer-term priority to develop the potential of, and maximise the future benefits of
cruise tourism in each country. This helped to identify the most urgent actions that could be grouped together
as options. This exercise also identified actions that are so long-term in nature that they are not priorities for
this study. For example, developing a fly-cruise offer in PNG and SI was considered a long-term action which
requires not only cruise ships to be based in PNG or SI, but also a high frequency of direct flights and sufficient
airport capacity to be established before such an offer can be developed. This would also include improved road
connections between the port and airport. Experts consulted considered this action unfeasible in the foreseeable
future, but suggested it could be considered once the necessary infrastructure is in place 10 years or more from
now. For this reason the action was screened out.
The shortlist of proposed actions were then grouped as options, giving consideration to the on-going actions
of the private sector, local and national governments and development partners to any potential synergies to
support cruise tourism in PNG and SI. The final shortlist of options was then taken forward for the CBA.
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6.1.2 Methodology for assessing the costs and benefits of the proposed options
The CBA aims to quantify the costs and benefits of the proposed shortlist of options. The impacts are assessed
over a 10-year period, reflecting the fact that many options require action in the first year, resulting in benefits
from years 2 to 10. This approach is consistent with the Vanuatu 2014 study.
A summary of the general assumptions used in the analysis is provided in Table 6.1. A more detailed description
of methodology used to quantify each option, the assumptions and data sources used is provided in Annex 4. An
elaborated summary accompanies the assessment of each option in the following sub-sections outlining options
for PNG and SI. The final sub-section provides the consultant’s concluding remarks on the CBA.
1.3USD: AUD
Discount rate 1% 2% Vanuatu study 2014 discount rate (7%), minus (-) average
inflation rate 2011-14 of SI and PNG (5.95%/4.8%)30
Estimated impact is reported as the present value of the costs and benefits over the 10-year period in today’s
money. That is, by discounting the flow of costs and benefits in years 1-10, we account for inflation which would
otherwise mean AUD 1 today is only worth AUD 0.95 next year and even less the year after. The net impact of the
costs and benefits is referred to as the net present value (NPV) of the options as it is the expected benefits of the
option minus its expected costs. This value is also presented as a ratio of benefits to costs. For example, a 2:1 ratio
would imply spending AUD 1 results in benefits of AUD 2.
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Costs
The assumed unit costs are consistent with those used in the SI assessment, based on estimates provided
by Seaport Group. In year 1 this includes the construction of beach shelters/huts (AUD 65,000) and
extension of the existing jetty at Kitava (AUD 195,000), the improvement of water supplies at Alotau to
WHO standards (AUD 195,000), and the construction of two sinker blocks and upgrades to fenders at
Madang (AUD 39,000).
Maintenance costs incurred in years 2-10, differ by capital asset, with 1-2 per cent of CAPEX per year
assumed in the case of landing facilities (i.e. jetty), 15-20 per cent for beach shelters and 10 per cent for
water supply equipment.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.7 million
Benefits
These infrastructure improvements will increase the attractiveness and accessibility of these destinations
for cruise ships, resulting in an increased number of calls to Kitava (an additional four in years 2-4 and seven
in years 5-10 according to Carnival Australia projections, Alotau (two additional call in years 5-10), and
Madang (an additional three in years 2-4 and eight in years 5-10).
Present value of benefits: AUD 3.1 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 2.4 million
Benefit-cost ratio
4.3:1
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Costs
The costs are assumed to be AUD 52,000 for the construction of a sanitation block, and AUD 97,500 for
the construction of covered areas and seating for passengers in Kitava and Kiriwina. In Alotau and Rabaul
improvements to signage are assumed to cost AUD 19,500. All costs are based on Seaport Group estimates
and occur in year 1.
Maintenance of the sanitation block is estimated to cost 10 per cent of CAPEX in years 2-10 and 5 per cent
for the maintenance of covered seating areas.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.2 million
Benefits
These improvements are likely to result in passengers spending more time ashore at each destination,
increasing their total expenditure as a consequence. Passenger expenditure is assumed to increase
proportionally with increased time ashore as follows:
In Kitava and Kiriwina, time spent is increased from to 3.4 to 3.6 hours currently to 3.8 hours; as observed in
Doini Island from year 3; and
In Alotau and Rabaul, passenger time spent ashore is assumed to increase by 15 minutes from year 3.
Present value of benefits: AUD 1.6 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 1.4 million
Benefit-cost ratio
7.6:1
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This option should be implemented by PNG’s customs and immigration service. The CBA results are provided in
the box below.
Costs
A Standard Cost Model (SCM) approach was used to quantify the cost of this option assuming:
The time of 10 legislators for one month are required to undertake legislative change, (at PNG government
pay scale 18); and
The cost of training equates to 20 customs officers’ time for one month (at PNG government pay scale 10).
Present value of costs: AUD 0.1 million
Benefits
As in the previous options, the benefits are assumed proportional to the additional time passengers spend
ashore due to less onerous customs procedures. This option is also assumed to increase the number of
calls to Conflict Island, which will be accessible under the new legislation. The detailed assumptions are:
The number of calls to Conflict Island increases to nine calls per year in years 3-10. Spending levels are
assumed to be similar to passenger expenditure observed in Kitava; and
Increase in time spent ashore in Alotau by 15 minutes in years 3-10, due to less time spent on customs
procedures by passengers.
Present value of benefits: AUD 0.9 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 0.8 million
Benefit-cost ratio
13.8:1
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Costs
The costs of installing and operating a foreign exchange service in Alotau is estimated based on the
following assumptions:
AUD18,850 for the purchase and installation of an ATM machine in year 1; and
10% of the purchase cost per annum in maintenance in years 2-10.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.03 million
Benefits
From year 2, the presence of a foreign exchange service is estimated to increase expenditure by an average
of AUD25 per passenger for the 20% of passengers who are assumed to make use of this new service.
Present value of benefits: AUD 1.9 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 1.87 million
Benefit-cost ratio
57:1
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The terms of reference related to the roles and responsibilities of the cruise committee should include:
Dissemination of information (e.g. cruise schedules, alerting businesses to Sunday arrivals)
Share information on passenger expenditure and feedback
Collect the opinion of businesses, conduct passenger research once ashore to provide accurate market
intelligence to inform future development and decision-making
Work with cruise operators to develop the cruise offer
Planning and identifying future investment needs
Function as the principle source of information to feed into leaflets, videos and other marketing information
materials
Consultation also highlighted the need for the development of tours and excursions to meet passenger demands.
The analysis shows that the economic impact of cruise tourism is greatest from passenger expenditure on tours
and excursion in each destination. On the cruise trips surveyed, there were no tours available on-board in Kitava
and Kiriwina and the local tour market is in its infancy. It is recommended that capacity development training is
organised for current and potential tour operators in Kitava and Kiriwina.
The cost benefit analysis assumed the main cost under this option would be time spent by cruise committee
members to perform their function, as well as funding the capacity building for tour operators in Kitava and
Kiriwina. The main benefit would come from increased spending by passengers visiting PNG.
Costs
A SCM approach was used to estimate the costs of committee meetings and the time needed to administer
the sharing of information. It is assumed that these costs will be incurred in all years. The Consultant has
used SI employee survey data on average wage costs and estimated the time each activity involves, and
estimated the cost by multiplying these two numbers per activity. The total cost is estimated by multiplying
the number of persons involved in the activity, and/or it frequency. Table A4.6 in Annex 4 provides more
details on the data used.
Training costs were obtained via quotation from a training provider for a 1-3 month business capacity
course in PNG. It is further assumed that this training is provided in years 1 and 2 only, with a 20 per cent
administration fee charged on the training cost.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.2 million
Benefits
Through improved communication and a better developed tour offer, it is assumed passengers visiting
Alotau will spend more achieving 80 per cent of expenditure observed in Rabaul in years 3-10. In Kitava and
Kiriwina passengers will spend twice more than the current spending on tours.
Present value of benefits: AUD 3.1 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 2.9 million
Benefit-cost ratio
13:1
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Costs
Estimates of the costs of this option are based on:
A quotation of AUD 81,000 for the production of a three-minute video providing quarantine information;
AUD 0.1 per double sided leaflet produced for passengers. It is assuming all passengers receive a leaflet on
each cruise.
Three days of a person’s time on an average government salary (from PNG Employment survey) per year to
update map and destination information.
The updating of the information and provision of leaflets occurs in each and every year.
Present value of costs AUD 0.1 million
Benefits
This analysis conservatively estimates that by being more informed, passengers on average spend 20 per
cent more on souvenirs and donations in years 3-10 than they do at present.
Present value of benefits: AUD 3.2 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 3.1 million
Benefit-cost ratio
27:1
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An additional benefit of the new wharf is increased capacity of Honiara’s port to handle larger cargo ships. The
expected increased number and revenue from cargo ships is not quantified due to the lack of available data. The
result of the CBA for Option 1 are presented in the box below.
Costs
JICA’s ‘Project for the Improvement of Honiara Port Facilities’ has allocated AUD 33.8 million including
construction of the new wharf, which is assumed to take place in year 1. Seaport Group estimates the cost
of improving the water supply available at Honiara to WHO standards to be AUD 195,000 in year 1, plus
maintenance costs of 2 per cent of the initial cost per year thereafter.
Present value of costs: AUD 48.5 million
Benefits
Two benefits are quantified:
• Increased number of cruise calls to Honiara, including larger ships due to improved infrastructure
(based on Carnival Australia growth projections)
• Time spent onshore by passengers is increased from 3.7 hours on average to 4.3 hours (best
performing large port of call surveyed – Rabaul)
A third benefit – improved cargo handling from the new wharf – has not been quantified. The assessment is
conservative, as in practice a new wharf would be expected to have a lifecycle in excess of 10 years, which
would see the benefits exceed the costs over time.
Present value of benefits: AUD 49.3 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 0.7 million
Benefit-cost ratio
1.02:1
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COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS JUNE 2016
For cost purposes it would beneficial if these actions are implemented simultaneously to uplift the port area and
its facilities in preparation for larger cruise visits starting 1 October 2016. Actions should be taken by SIPA in
cooperation with the Honiara City Council. The CBA analysis is summarised in the box below.
Costs
Seaport Group provided estimates on the unit costs of constructing a sanitation block at Honiara (AUD
52,000), covered areas and seating for passengers32 (AUD 97,500), provision of signage (AUD 19,500) and
litter bins/beautification of the port area (AUD 13,000). These are all considered one-off costs incurred
in year 1. Maintenance costs of 10 per cent of CAPEX are assumed for the sanitation block and other
amenities, incurred in years 2-10.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.3 million
Benefits
The benefit of the port improvements is that by making the area more attractive to tourists, they are
more likely to spend more time ashore and therefore increase their expenditure (assumed proportionally).
Time spent ashore is assumed to increase from the current 3.7 hours on average to 4.3 hours, based on
the best performing port (Rabaul). It is assumed spending increases proportionally with time (i.e. a one per
cent increase in time spent ashore increases spending by one per cent) The number of calls to Honiara is
assumed to remain constant at seven calls per year from 2017.
Present value of benefits: AUD 0.5 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 0.2 million
Benefit-cost ratio
1.8:1
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COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS JUNE 2016
A major barrier to cruise tourism development and its economic impact is the lack of communication related
to passenger data and cruise schedules between cruise operators and local stakeholders, and inadequate
dissemination of information within the local community.
A cruise committee currently exists in Honiara, which meets on an ad hoc basis prior to the arrival of each cruise
ship. Individual businesses also broadcast cruise arrivals the day before to ensure businesses are open (especially
on Sundays) and are prepared to manage cruise arrivals on the day. However, the cruise committee would benefit
from more formalised roles and responsibilities, regular meetings, and the provision of a single point of contact for
all information on cruise tourism in the Soloman Islands.
The terms of reference for a more formalised cruise committee should include:
Dissemination of information (e.g. cruise schedule, alerting businesses to Sunday arrivals)
Share information on passenger expenditure and feedback
Collect the opinion of businesses and conduct passenger research to provide accurate market intelligence to
inform future development and decision-making
Work with cruise operators to develop the cruise offer
Plan and identifying future investment needs
Function as the principle source of information to feed into leaflets, videos and other marketing and
information materials
The last bullet mentioned above is important for a number of stakeholders (including cruise operators and
websites promoting SI as a tourism destination) to ensure that the information they provide to passengers is
accurate and reliable. The recommended frequency of meetings is once per month with attendance by all major
stakeholders.
Consultation also highlighted the need to develop tours and excursions to meet passenger demands. The analysis
shows that the economic impact of cruise tourism is greatest from passenger expenditure on tours and excursion
in each destination. On the cruise trip surveyed, there were no tours available on-board. Tours will be available on
P&O cruise ships from May 2016 onwards.
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Since the market is in its infancy, there is a need to improve the quality of tours. It is recommended that a capacity
development training is organised for current and potential tour operators in Honiara. The CBA results are
provided below.
Costs
A standard cost model approach was used to estimate the costs of committee meetings and the time
needed to administer the sharing of information. It is assumed that these costs will be incurred in all years.
This study has used SI employee survey data on average wage costs and have estimated the time each
activity involves and the cost by multiplying these two numbers per activity. To estimate the total cost, this
is then multiplied by the number of persons involved in the activity, and/or its frequency (see Table A4.6 in
Annex 4 provides more details on data used).
Training costs were obtained via a quotation from a training provider for a 1-3 month business capacity
course in SI. It is further assumed this training is provided in years 1 and 2 only, with a 20 per cent
administration fee charged on the training cost.
Present value of costs: AUD 0.1 million
Benefits
Through better communication between stakeholders and the development of a tour offer, it is assumed
passengers visiting Honiara will spend more, achieving level of expenditure close to the level observed in
Alotau. Conservatively, the analysis assumes the spending increases to 80 per cent of the level reported in
Alotau in years 3 and 4 (i.e. after training in years 1 and 2), and to 100 per cent of the level reported in Alotau
in years 5 to 10.
Present value of benefits: AUD 1.58 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 1.47 million
Benefit-cost ratio
15:1
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Costs
The actions required for the development of the SI cruise offer have been provided by Seaports. The estimated
unit costs are summarised in the table below for Gizo and Tavanipupu, which are assumed to be incurred in year 1.
Additional bollards/large cleats to be added adjacent the sloping concrete ferry wharf to 19,500
allow ships tenders to safely berth alongside
The red and white navigational beacons and green starboard hand buoy as marked on official 26,000
chart BA 1735 to be replaced to IALA standards (SIMSA)
Action 2: Tavanipupu
Consistent with earlier assessment, maintenance costs are assumed to equate to 10 per cent of CAPEX
incurred in years 2-10. Based on passenger survey results, passenger expenditure in both destinations is
assumed equivalent to average expenditure in Kitava.
Present value of costs: AUD 1.5m – AUD 2.6 million
Benefits
The number of cruise visit calls for Gizo and Tavanipupu will increase as per the projections from Carnival
Australia in the table below. The number of port calls are additional to the baseline of currently projected
calls over the next 10 years (see Section A4.2.3 of Annex 4).
33 Cost of hydrography survey based on a 5-day survey at location and processing by SIHU
34 Cost of hydrography survey based on a 5-day survey at location and processing by SIHU
35 Landing facilities include 2 berths for ships tenders; valuation highly dependent on location for anchoring and access
36 Two 4m by 4m beach shelters, self-erected on site
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COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS JUNE 2016
Costs
Estimates of the costs of this option are based on:
A quotation of AUD 81,000 for the production of a three-minute video providing quarantine information
AUD 0.1 per double sided leaflet produced for passengers (it is assumed that all passengers receive a
leaflet on each cruise)
Three days of a person’s time on an average government salary (from SI Employment survey) per year to
update map and destination information
Updating the information and the provision of leaflets occurs every year.
Present value of costs AUD 0.1 million
Benefits
The Consultant conservatively estimates that by being more informed, passengers on average spend 20 per
cent more on souvenirs and donations in years 3-10 than they do at present.
Present value of benefits: AUD 0.7 million
Net Present Value (NPV)
AUD 0.6 million
Benefit-cost ratio
6.7:1
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Table 6.1 Summary of the costs and benefits of the proposed options to improve the impact of
cruise tourism to PNG and SI37
37 Costs and benefits of investments are estimated over 10 years. Costs and benefits of investment in Honiara’s wharf is estimated over 25 years reflecting
the longer life to asset and the fact that this is investment is ongoing.
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ANNEXES
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CRUISE TOURISM IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA & SOLOMON ISLANDS
ANNEXES
Annex 1 Methodology
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ANNEXES
ANNEXES JUNE 2016
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ANNEXES
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Satisfaction
Variety of things to see Strongly Positive Strongly positive Strongly positive correlation
and do correlation correlation
Availability of options
If more options were Would have spent more Would have spent more on clothing, watches/jewellery,
available, those who on clothing, watches/ handicrafts/souvenirs, and entertainment
spent would have jewellery, and souvenirs
spent more on…
If more options were Would have spent more Would have spent more on tours on the day, handicrafts/
available, those who on clothing, souvenirs souvenirs
did not spend would
have spent more on…
Pre-purchased tour
Pre-purchased tour Spend less in transport Spend less in transport, more in souvenirs if tours were
and more in souvenirs if pre-purchased. Spend about the same in F&B
tours were
pre-purchased
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ANNEXES
These assumptions and cost structures were applied to the ports of Alotau, Doini Island, Kitava, Kiriwina
and Rabaul in PNG and Honiara port in SI.
Insurance 8% 8%
Labour
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Assumption Source for Papua New Guinea Source for Solomon Islands
Cost structure TNS and ICF business survey
Share of local goods, 100% based on TNS and ICF business survey. Services supplied by local transport
equipment and services providers (mini bus) and hiring local tour guides
GST 10% applied to staff costs and profit. VAT GST (goods and service tax rates applied)
on intermediate consumption refunded 10% Services tax applied to staff costs.
to business operators so not calculated. It GST on intermediate consumption
is further assumed only 50% ashore tour refunded to business operators so not
providers are registered and pay VAT as calculated (10% tax on domestic goods
there are many ad-hoc tour guides offering and 15% tax on imported goods not
services accounted). It is further assumed only 50%
of ashore tours providers are registered
and pay GST as there are many ad-hoc tour
guides offering services
Insurance 100% of insurance costs are assumed to be imported, with no import duties applied
Income tax 42% tax rate applied on average salary only 11% tax rate applied on average salary only
for registered tour operators for registered tour operators
Social Security Not applied – most businesses in tours and For registered businesses contribute 7.5%
entertainment sector employ less than 15 of salary cost and deduct 5% from private
employees beneficiaries (employee salary)
Corporate taxes No corporate tax applied to profits of No corporate tax applied to profits of
family businesses. 30% tax rate for family businesses. 30% tax rate for
residents and 48% for non-residents residents and 35% for non-residents.
Share of locally owned businesses
Share of locally owned businesses
assumed 100%
assumed 100%
Employment Employment impact has been calculated by calculating the total number of staff
employed in the industry per country and dividing this by the total industry income (for
year 2015)
2nd round of suppliers The main suppliers are transport companies (buses, taxis). It is assumed that 100% of the
money spent on fuel/transport and rent/ownership is further multiplied through the local
transport sector
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Services 0% 8% (electricity/water/gas)
Fuel/transport 37%
(ownership/ rental,
maintenance, and fuel)
Property Rental / 0%
Ownership
Insurance 12%
Other 0% 12%
Labour
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Assumption Source for Papua New Guinea Source for Solomon Islands
Cost structure TNS and ICF business survey
Share of local goods, 100% based on TNS and ICF business survey
equipment and services
VAT 10% applied to staff costs and profit. VAT GST (goods and service tax rates
on intermediate consumption refunded applied) 10% Services tax applied
to business operators so not calculated. It to staff costs. GST on intermediate
is further assumed only 50% ashore tour consumption refunded to business
providers are registered and pay VAT as there operators so not calculated (10% tax
are many ad-hoc tour guides offering services on domestic goods and 15% tax on
imported goods not accounted). It is
further assumed only 50% of ashore
tours providers are registered and
pay GST as there are many ad-hoc
tour guides offering services
Insurance 100% of insurance costs are assumed to be imported, with no import duties applied
Income tax 42% tax rate applied on salaries for registered 11% tax rate applied on salaries for
businesses registered businesses
(90% of businesses are assumed to be (90% of businesses are assumed to
registered) be registered)
Social Security Not applied – most businesses in transport For registered businesses contribute
sector employ less than 15 employees 7.5% of salary cost and deduct 5%
from private beneficiaries
(employee salary)
Fuel 10% ad valorem import tax on fuel 10% ad valorem import tax on fuel
100% of fuel is imported to the economy 100% of fuel is imported to the
economy
Corporate taxes No corporate tax applied to profits of family No corporate tax applied to profits of
businesses. 30% tax rate for residents and family businesses. 30% tax rate for
48% for non-residents residents and 35% for non-residents
Share of locally owned businesses assumed Share of locally owned businesses
80% assumed 80%
Employment Employment impact has been calculated by calculating the total number of staff
employed in the industry per country and dividing this by the total industry income
(for year 2015).
2nd round of suppliers It is assumed that the multiplier effect through the second round of suppliers is
zero– major supply comes through imported goods (fuel, vehicles)
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Equipment 0%
Services 0% 5% (electricity)
Insurance 0%
Other 0% 5%
Labour
Assumption Source for Papua New Guinea Source for Solomon Islands
Cost structure TNS and ICF business survey
Share of local goods, 100% of based on TNS and ICF business survey. The majority of handicrafts and art
equipment and services work is produced locally
Insurance 100% of insurance costs are assumed to be imported, with no import duties applied
Income tax No tax rate applied No income tax applied. Most of the
souvenir sellers have other jobs or
are unemployed and do not normally
pay taxes from these activity
Employment Employment impact has been calculated by calculating the total number of staff
employed in the industry per country and dividing this by the total industry income
(for year 2015)
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Equipment 5% 3%
Fuel/transport 4% 6% 3%
(ownership/ rental,
maintenance, and fuel)
Insurance 2% 2%
Other 4% 15% 1%
Labour
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Assumption Source for Papua New Guinea Source for Solomon Islands
Cost structure TNS and ICF business survey
Share of local goods, 100% based on TNS and ICF business survey. Supplies come from local markets and
equipment and services supermarkets
VAT 10% applied to staff costs and profit. VAT GST (goods and service tax rates applied)
on intermediate consumption refunded to 10% Services tax applied to staff costs.
business operators so not calculated. It is GST on intermediate consumption
further assumed 100% of businesses are refunded to business operators so not
registered calculated (10% tax on domestic goods
and 15% tax on imported goods not
accounted). It is further assumed 100% of
businesses are registered
Insurance 100% of insurance costs are assumed to be imported, with no import duties applied
Income tax 42% tax rate applied on salaries for 11% tax rate applied on salaries for
registered businesses (100% of businesses registered businesses. (100% of
assumed to be registered) businesses assumed to be registered)
Social Security Most of businesses employ more than 15 For registered businesses contribute 7.5%
employees. Calculated contributions to of salary cost and deduct 5% from private
government are 6% of the salary (from beneficiaries (employee salary)
the employee) and 8.4% of salary for the
employer
Corporate taxes No corporate tax applied to profits of No corporate tax applied to profits of
family businesses. 30% tax rate for family businesses. 30% tax rate for
residents and 48% for non-residents residents and 35% for non-residents
Share of foreign owned businesses Share of locally owned businesses
assumed 50% assumed 50%
Employment Employment impact has been calculated by calculating the total number of staff
employed in the industry per country and dividing this by the total industry income
(for year 2015)
2nd round of suppliers The main suppliers are local supermarkets. It is assumed that 100% of the money spent
on goods and material is further multiplied through the local retail industry
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Equipment 0%
Fuel/transport 5%
(ownership/ rental,
maintenance, and fuel)
Insurance 0%
Other 0% 5%
Labour
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Assumption Source for Papua New Guinea Source for Solomon Islands
Cost structure TNS and ICF business survey
Share of local goods, Most of the goods sold at supermarkets are imported. This was assumed at 95%
equipment and services
VAT 10% applied to staff costs and profit. VAT GST (goods and service tax rates applied)
on intermediate consumption refunded 10% Services tax applied to staff costs.
to business operators so not calculated. GST on intermediate consumption
100% of businesses assumed to be refunded to business operators so not
registered calculated (10% tax on domestic goods
and 15% tax on imported goods not
accounted). 100% of businesses assumed
to be registered
Insurance 100% of insurance costs are assumed to be imported, with no import duties applied
Income tax 42% tax rate applied on salaries for 11% tax rate applied on salaries for
registered businesses registered businesses
Social Security Most of businesses employ more than 15 For registered businesses contribute 7.5%
employees. Calculated contributions to of salary cost and deduct 5% from private
government are 6% of the salary (from beneficiaries (employee salary)
the employee) and 8.4% of salary for the
employer
Corporate taxes 30% tax rate for residents and 48% for 30% tax rate for residents and 35% for
non-residents non-residents. Share of locally owned
businesses assumed 70%. Retail trade is
Share of foreign owned businesses
predominantly Chinese owned
assumed 80% (Most of the supermarkets
are owned by Chinese and Pilipino expats)
Employment Employment impact has been calculated by calculating the total number of staff
employed in the industry per country and dividing this by the total industry income
(for year 2015)
To capture the potential for part-time employment, a range has been calculated based on
the assumption of 33% of FTE to be consistent with Vanuatu study
38
38 http://www.customs.gov.pg/06_legislation_and_publications/1_legislation/09_Import_Export_Tariff_2012_Version.pdf
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Share of local goods, 100% of their materials (i.e. wood, vegetables) is sourced locally. It is assumed there is no
equipment and services leakage
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Maintenance (landing facilities) 1-2% of CAPEX per year Seaport Group estimate
Maintenance (beach shelters) 15-20% of CAPEX per year Seaport Group estimate
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Additional assumptions
Cost for water supplies to reach WHO standards assumes worst case provision, and includes package
water treatment, storage and pump
Revenue from water supply has not been taken into account
Number of calls at Alotau is likely to decline in the medium to long-term without this action; assumes
two additional calls with freshwater supply
Action 3 – Reinforcement and extension of the port berth in Madang to enable more regular and larger
ships to dock in port and construction of a sanitation block
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Additional assumptions
Baseline is 2-4 calls; 10-12 calls expected from year 4 with reinforcement and extension of port
Similar impact per passenger as observed in Kitava
Increase in passenger spend from Increase to current level observed in ICF estimate
more hours ashore in Kitava and Doini Island
Kiriwina from year 3
Additional assumptions
Cost for covered areas and seating for passengers includes purchase, delivery and erection of four 4x4-
metre shelters, self-erected on-site
Assume passenger spend increases proportionally with the increase in time spent ashore; time spent
to be increased from the current 3.4 and 3.6 hours (at Kitava and Kiriwina respectively) to 3.8 hours, as
observed in Doini Island
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ANNEXES JUNE 2016
Cost of training for customs officers 20 customs officers x 1 month ICF estimate, PNG government pay
scale 10
Additional assumptions
Wage of legislators assumed to be PNG government pay scale point 18
Wage of customs officers assumed to be PNG government pay scale point 10
Impact per passenger in Conflict Island similar to impact observed in Kitava
Assume passenger spend increases proportionally with the increase in time spent ashore
Increased passenger spend in Alotau Additional AUD25 spend x 20% ICF estimate
from year 2 passengers who utilise service
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Time spent to share information 2 hours per cruise ship x ICF estimate
average wage per hour
Cost of training AUD 22,000 Quote for a 1-3 month training course
Additional assumptions
Average wage of committee members assumed to be PNG government pay scale point 18
Government wage assumed to be PNG government pay scale point 10
Meetings of the committees is ongoing, i.e. costs are incurred throughout 10 years, assuming 4 cruise
committees operate
Trainings for business operators occur in year 1 (2 trainings) and year 2 (2 trainings).
70 per cent of pre-booked tours spending goes into the economy
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ANNEXES JUNE 2016
Distribution of leaflets and AUD0.1 for each double sided leaflet ICF estimate
promotion material to passengers
x total passengers
Additional assumptions
Three-minute video production
Each passenger receives one leaflet, and total passengers assumed to be baseline number of
passengers to Alotau
Government wage assumed to be PNG government pay scale point 10
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Increase in spend from more hours ashore Hours ashore increase from 3.7 to 4.3 ICF estimate
(current level observed in Rabaul).
Additional assumptions
Wharf under construction is 180-200 metres long
Cost for water supplies to reach WHO standards
assumes worst case provision, and includes package water treatment, storage and pump
Assume passenger spend increases proportionally with the increase in time spent ashore. Time spent
to be increased from the current 3.7 hours to 4.3 hours as observed in Rabaul
Litter bins and port beautification AUD 13,000 Seaport Group estimate
action
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Additional assumptions
Cost of covered areas and seating for passengers includes purchase, delivery and erection of four 4x4-
metre shelters, self-erected on-site
Assume passenger spend increases proportionally with the increase in time spent ashore; time spent
to be increased from the current 3.7 hours to 4.3 hours as observed in Rabaul
Time spent to share information 2 hours per cruise ship x ICF estimate and 2010 SI Employee
survey
average wage per hour
Time spent to collect opinion from 80 days x ICF estimate and 2010 SI Employee
businesses and to develop offer with survey
average government wage per day
cruise operators
Cost of training Two 1-3 months trainings provided in Quote for a 1-3 month international
Year 1 and Year 2, 22,000 each business capacity course
Additional assumptions
Wage of committee members assumed to be the average wage of management level in SI
Government wage assumed to be the average wage of skilled worker in SI
Meetings of the committee are ongoing, i.e. costs are incurred throughout 10 years
1-3 month capacity building programmes take place twice, once in Year 1 and once in Year 2
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Hydrography survey for the location AUD 52,000 Seaport Group estimate
The red and white navigational AUD 26,000 Seaport Group estimate
beacons and green starboard hand
buoy as marked on official chart
BA 1735 to be replaced to IALA
standards (SIMSA).
Public toilet facilities at or near the AUD 52,000 Seaport Group estimate
landing area.
Additional calls at Gizo in years 2-4 1-7 additional calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Additional calls at Gizo in years 5-8 3-12 additional calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Additional calls at Gizo in years 9-10 3-17 additional calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Additional assumptions
Cost of hydrography survey is based on a 5-day survey at location and processing by SIHU
Baseline calls at Gizo is 3; 4-6 calls expected in 2018-2019 and between 12-20 calls could be expected in
2020-2026
Similar impact per passenger as observed in Kitava
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Hydrography survey for this location AUD 52,000 Seaport Group estimate
Landing facilities (i.e. jetty) AUD 325,000 - AUD 650,000 Seaport Group estimate
Calls at Tavanipupu in years 2-4 4-6 calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Calls at Tavanipupu in years 5-8 6-12 calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Calls at Tavanipupu in years 9-10 6-14 calls Carnival Australia and ICF estimate
Additional assumptions
Preliminary weather monitoring involves satellite data analysis
Cost of hydrography survey based on a 5-day survey at location and processing by SIHU
Landing facilities include 2 berths for ships tenders; valuation highly dependent on location for
anchoring and access
Two 4x4-metre beach shelters, self-erected on-site
Baseline calls at Tavanipupu is 0; 4-6 calls expected in 2018-2019 and 12-14 calls could be expected in
2020-2026
Similar impact per passenger as observed in Kitava
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ANNEXES
Time spend to update 3 days per year ICF estimate, 2010 Employment survey SI
information
x average government salary
Additional assumptions
Three-minute video production
Each passenger receives one leaflet, and total passengers assumed to be baseline number of
passengers to Honiara (passengers numbers expected in 2017)
Average wage assumed to be average wage of skilled worker in SI
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