Price Action Madness, Part 3 - 2-22-17

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The key takeaways are that fractals describe patterns within patterns across different timeframes in nature and financial markets. Fractals show how larger patterns are composed of smaller, identical patterns.

Fractals apply to financial markets by creating patterns within patterns across different timeframes, just like in nature. Larger timeframe movements are made up of several identical smaller timeframe movements.

The two main rules for price fractals are: 1) Larger timeframes establish and dominate the trend, and 2) Reversals start from smaller timeframes and propagate upwards.

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PRICE ACTION MADNESS


PART THREE!

Starting 1900 CT tonight


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Goals for Tonight


• Continuing last week’s “single timeframe” session on price
action by adding multiple timeframes
• Focusing on rules/structure for fractal timeframe price action
• Questions
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I: What are Fractals?


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“Fractal” means that


larger things are really
made up of a collection of
identical smaller things…..
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…with these “smaller”


things actually being
miniature versions of
larger things.
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This entire tree is


made up from a
main trunk, main
limbs, and smaller
branches, going all
the way out to the
leaves at the very
end.
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You can see in this


picture how the
larger “tree” is
made up of many
smaller, identical
limbs, larger to
smaller.
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Each “cone”. is made


up from a series of
progressively
smaller, identical
cones.
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This Fern leaf is made up


from a series of identical,
progressively smaller fern
leaves.
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Even the roadway


system is made up
from a series of
identical,
progressively-
smaller roads.
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Our circulatory
system is made up
from the same type
of Fractal structure.
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If you think about it, Financial


Markets can also be
considered an “organism.”
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It’s made up from millions of


individuals that collectively
bind together to form an
overall financial Market.
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And as we’ll see later, it


“breathes” and gets tired just
like a person.
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And you’ll also see how


financial Markets are
“Fractal” as well.
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Section Summary
• Fractals are just smaller things that combine to
create bigger things…..
• …and each of the smaller things is identical in
shape to the larger thing.
• We see these Fractal Relationships everywhere in
Nature.
• And we’ll also see them in Markets.
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II: How do Fractals


apply to Financial
Markets?
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Markets do the same thing as


what we see in nature, creating
“patterns within patterns” from
smaller timeframes to larger
ones.
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Larger timeframe swings are


comprised of several identical
smaller-timeframe swings.
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We use a “Factor of Five”


to break up the different
timeframes.
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Fractal Timeframe Series

Monthly
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Fractal Timeframe Series

Weekly
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Fractal Timeframe Series

Daily
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Fractal Timeframe Series

Intraday
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A Family of Timeframes
• Think of this as two “Parent”
Timeframes (Monthly/Weekly)
• And two “Child” Timeframes
(Daily/Intraday)
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Let’s see an example with


three timeframes with the XLI
(Industrials SPDR ETF).
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Monthly
Chart
If we just
examine this
one swing on
the Monthly
chart…..
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Notice how a
single swing
on the
Monthly chart
Weekly
shows
“patterns” on
Chart
the Weekly
chart?
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Daily Chart
And inside of
each Weekly
Swing we see
Daily patterns.
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And we could split the Daily


chart down to the next “5x”
multiple, (78 min)and see the
same patterns.
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It doesn’t matter what


instrument, or how we
view the chart….the 5x
relationship is there.
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For now I just want you to


understand that Markets are
Fractal and larger timeframe
moves have smaller timeframe
patterns inside of them.
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As we move forward, we’ll show


how those smaller-timeframe
patterns can clue you in to the
actions of the larger timeframes.
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Section Summary
• Fractals are just smaller things that combine to
create bigger things…..
• We define “bigger” and “smaller” with markets
based on a 5x multiplier.
• And we often (but not always) see five distinct
“waves” of the child timeframe inside one parent
timeframe price swing.
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III: Understanding
Trends with Price
Fractals
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There are two major rules


for Price Fractals:
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1) Larger Timeframes
establish and dominate
the trend.
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Larger Timeframes = Trend


The Monthly Chart, and
to a smaller degree the
Weekly Chart, establishes
the main trend of the
market.
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2) Reversals start from the


“inside-out” with smaller
timeframes first, and
propagate upwards.
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Reversals Start Small


Reversals start from the
very smallest
timeframes, and
“propagate” upwards.
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By understanding the
trend condition at each
Parent/Child timeframe on
the chart…..
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…I already have a much


better sense of where the
chart has been, and where
it’s likely to go.
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In fact, I could use only a


Fractal Chart Series to
trade from if I had to.
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Application 1: We will be able


to differentiate a “pullback”
on the daily chart vs. the
beginning of a correction.
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Pullbacks….

….vs.
Corrections.
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Application 2: We will be able


to read the “child”
timeframes to see when that
pullback is about to reverse.
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Application 3: We will also be


able to spot potential
reversals before they “change
polarity.”
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Potential
Reversals
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Let’s go back to our two


main price action rules.
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1) Larger Timeframes
establish and dominate
the trend.
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This means when a larger


“parent” timeframe trend is
in play, you will see pullbacks
on the “child” timeframes.
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2) Reversals start from the


“inside-out” with smaller
timeframes, and
propagate upwards.
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This means that we’ll see


this “change in polarity”
show up on the shorter
timeframe charts first.
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Fractal Reversals
• Trends/Reversals begin from the inside-out.
• The smallest Intraday timeframes will start the
move.
• Followed by Daily timeframes, propagating
to….
• Weekly Timeframe charts, and then finally….
• Monthly Timeframe charts.
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Confused about what to do from here?


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1) Define what your “signal” chart is. For swing


traders, this will generally be a Daily chart. For
Daytraders, this will be a smaller time-or-tick
chart.
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2) Add an “anchor” chart that is either 5x or


25x larger than your signal chart.
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3) Trade your signal chart as before, but trade


in the direction of the swings on that anchor
chart!
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4) Just stick to adding one additional


timeframe for now. No need to add a full
fractal series. Master that parent/child
relationship first before adding more.
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Let’s move over to the charts for a quick


example on the NQ….
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Questions?

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