Business Plan Cofi Shop
Business Plan Cofi Shop
Business Plan Cofi Shop
The Daily Perc (TDP) is a specialty beverage retailer. TDP uses a system that is new to the beverage and food service industry to
provide hot and cold beverages in a convenient and time-efficient way. TDP provides its customers the ability to drive up and order
(from a trained Barista) their choice of a custom-blended espresso drink, freshly brewed coffee, or other beverage. TDP is offering a
high-quality option to the fast-food, gas station, or institutional coffee.
The Daily Perc offers its patrons the finest hot and cold beverages, specializing in specialty coffees, blended teas, and other custom
drinks. In addition, TDP will offer soft drinks, fresh-baked pastries and other confections. Seasonally, TDP will add beverages such
as hot apple cider, hot chocolate, frozen coffees, and more.
The Daily Commuter- someone traveling to/from work, out shopping, delivering goods or services, or just out for a drive.
The Captive Consumer- someone who is in a restricted environment that does not allow convenient departure and return while
searching for refreshments, or where refreshments stands are an integral part of the environment.
The Daily Perc will penetrate the commuter and captive consumer markets by deploying Drive-thru facilities and Mobile Cafes in the
most logical and accessible locations. The Drive-thru facilities are designed to handle two-sided traffic and dispense customer-
designed, specially ordered cups of premium coffees in less time than required for a visit to the locally owned cafe or one of the
national chains.
In addition to providing a quality product and an extensive menu of delicious items, to ensure customer awareness and loyalty, as
well as good publicity coverage and media support, we will be donating up to 7.5% of revenue to local charities based upon
customer choices.
The Daily Perc's financial picture is quite promising. Since TDP is operating a cash business, the initial cost is significantly less than
many start-ups these days. The process is labor intensive and TDP recognizes that a higher level of talent is required. The financial
investment in its employees will be one of the greatest differentiators between it and TDP's competition. For the purpose of this pro-
forma plan, the capital expenditures of facilities and equipment are financed. There will be minimum inventory on hand so as to keep
the product fresh and to take advantage of price drops, when and if they should occur.
The Daily Perc anticipates the initial combination of investments and long term financing of $425,000 to carry it without the need for
any additional equity or debt investment, beyond the purchase of equipment or facilities. This will mean growing a bit more slowly
than might be otherwise possible, but it will be a solid, financially-sound growth based on customer request and product demand.
The Daily Perc chooses to become the Drive-thru version of Starbucks between the mountains, obtaining several million dollars
through an initial public or private offering that would allow the company to open twenty to thirty facilities per year in all metropolitan
communities in the North, Midwest, and South with a population of over 150,000. This is the preferred Exit Strategy of the
Management Team. The danger in this is that competitors would rise up and establish a foothold on a community before--or in the
midst of--the arrival of The Daily Perc, causing a potential for a drain on revenues and a dramatic increase in advertising
expenditures to maintain market share. Knowing these risks--and planning for them--gives TDP the edge needed to make this
scenario work.
The balance sheet estimates a Net Worth of $1,075,969 for the third year, cash balances of $773,623 and earnings of $860,428,
based on 13 Drive-thrus and four Mobile Cafes, it is not unrealistic to put a market value of between $4 and $9 million on the
company. At present, such companies are trading in multiples of four to 10 times earnings, and it is simple mathematics to multiply
the success of TDP by the number of major and smaller metropolitan areas between the mountain ranges of the United States.
1.1 Objectives
The Daily Perc has established three firm objectives it wishes to achieve in the next three years:
1. Thirteen Drive-thru locations and four fully booked Mobile Cafes by the end of the third year.
2. Gross Margin of 45% or more.
3. Net After-tax Profit above 15% of Sales.
1.2 Mission
The Daily Perc Mission is three-fold, with each being as integral to our success as the next.
Product Mission - Provide customers the finest quality beverage in the most efficient time.
Community Mission - Provide community support through customer involvement.
Economic Mission - Operate and grow at a profitable rate through sound economic decisions.
Company Summary
The Daily Perc is a specialty beverage retailer. TDP uses a system that is new to the beverage and food service industry to provide
hot and cold beverages in a convenient and time-efficient way. TDP provides its customers the ability to drive up and order from a
trained Barista their choice of a custom blended espresso drink, freshly brewed coffee, or other beverage. TDP is offering a high
quality option to the fast-food, gas station, and institutional coffee.
The plan calls for the sale of 100 membership units in the company to family members, friends, and Angel Investors. Each
membership unit in the company is priced at $4,250, with a minimum of five units per membership certificate, or a minimum
investment of $21,250 per investor.
If all funds are raised, based on the pricing established in the financial section of this plan, Bart and Terri Fisher will maintain
ownership of no less than 51% of the company.
Requirements
Start-up Expenses
Legal $3,500
Identity/Logos/Stationary $4,000
Other $5,000
Start-up Funding
Assets
Liabilities
Capital
Planned Investment
Partner 1 $10,000
Partner 2 $10,000
Partner 3 $10,000
Partner 4 $10,000
Partner 5 $11,500
Partner 6 $10,000
Partner 7 $11,500
Partner 8 $10,000
Partner 9 $11,500
Partner 10 $10,000
Partner 11 $11,500
Partner 12 $11,500
Other $97,770
Products
The Daily Perc provides its patrons the finest hot and cold beverages, specializing in specialty coffees and custom blended teas. In
addition, TDP will offer select domestic soft drinks, Italian sodas, fresh-baked pastries, and other confections. Seasonally, TDP will
add beverages such as hot apple cider, hot chocolate, frozen coffees, and more.
Besides coffees, The Daily Perc will offer teas, domestic and Italian sodas, frozen coffee beverages, seasonal specialty drinks,
pastries, and other baked goods. Through the website and certain locations, TDP will market premium items such as coffee mugs,
T-shirts and sweatshirts, ball caps, and more.
The Daily Perc's primary competition will come from three sources:
Two things will make The Daily Perc stand out from all its competitors:
The Daily Perc will be providing products in the most convenient and efficient way available--either at one of the two-sided Drive-
thru shops, or at one of the Mobile Cafes. This separates TDP from the competition in that its customers won't need to find a parking
place, wait in a long line, jockey for a seat, and clean up the mess left by a previous patron. TDP customers can drive or walk up,
order their beverage, receive and pay for the beverage, and drive off.
The second differentiator is The Daily Perc's focus on providing a significant benefit to the community through a possible 7.5%
contribution to customer-identified charities, schools, or other institutions.
3.3 Sourcing
The Daily Perc purchases its coffees from PJ's Coffee. TDP also has wholesale purchasing agreements for other products with
Major Brands, Coca-Cola, Big Train, Al's Famous Filled Bagels, L&N Products, and Royal Distribution.
The Drive-thru facilities are manufactured by City Stations and the Mobile Cafes are manufactured by Tow Tech Industries.
Fulfillment equipment suppliers include PJ's Coffee, City Stations, Talbert Ford, and Retail Image Programs. The Daily Perc's
computer equipment and Internet connectivity is provided by NSI Communications.
3.4 Technology
The Daily Perc's delivery system is based on its technology. TDP is using state-of-the-art, two-sided, Drive-thru facilities to provide
convenience and efficiency for its clientele. An architectural exterior diagram of the Drive Thru building can be found on the following
page (removed from this sample plan).
The Daily Perc has also designed state-of-the-art Mobile Cafes that will be deployed from time to time on high school and college
campuses, corporate campuses, and at special events.
The Daily Perc's primary desire will be to listen to its customers to ascertain what they are looking for most, and provide it.
1. The Daily Commuter - someone traveling to or from work, out shopping, delivering goods or services, or just out for a
drive.
2. The Captive Consumer - someone who is in a restricted environment that does not allow convenient departure and
return while searching for refreshments, or where refreshments stands are an integral part of the environment.
Commuters are defined as any one or more individuals in a motorized vehicle traveling from point "A" to point "B." The Daily Perc's
greatest concentration will be on commuters heading to or from work, or those out on their lunch break.
Captive Consumers would include those who are tethered to a campus environment, or in a restricted entry environment that does
not allow free movement to and from. Examples would include high school and college campuses, where there is limited time
between classes, and corporate campuses where the same time constraints are involved, but regarding meetings and project
deadlines, and special events--such as carnivals, fairs or festivals--where there is an admission price to enter the gate, but exiting
would mean another admission fee, or where refreshments are an integral part of the festivities.
The following chart and table reflect the potential numbers of venues available for the Mobile Cafes and what growth could be
expected in those markets over the next five years. For a conservative estimate of the number of Captive Consumers this
represents, multiply the total number of venues in the year by 1,000. As an example, in the first year, The Daily Perc is showing that
there are a total of 2,582 venues at which we might position a Mobile Cafe. That would equate to a Captive Consumer potential of
2,582,000.
Similarly, there are well over 2,500,000 commuters in the metropolitan area, as well as visitors, vacationers, and others. It can also
be assumed that these commuters do not make only one purchase in a day, but in many cases, two and even three beverage
purchases.
The chart reflects college and high school campuses, special events, hospital campuses, and various charitable organizations. A
segment that is not reflected in the chart (since it would skew the chart so greatly) is the number of corporate campuses in the
metropolitan area. There are over 1,700 corporate facilities that house more than 500 employees, giving us an additional 1,700,000
prospective customers, or total of 2,582 locations at which we could place a Mobile Cafe.
Market Analysis
To penetrate the target market for the Mobile Cafes, these units will do what they were designed to do. The Daily Perc will take the
cafe to the customer! By using the community support program TDP is instituting, arrangements will be made to visit a high school,
college campus, or a corporate campus once or twice a month (Even visit these facilities for special games, tournaments, recruiting
events, or corporate open houses). And, for every cup or baked good sold, a portion is returned to the high school or college. It
becomes a tremendous, painless way for the institution to gain a financial reward while providing a pleasant and fulfilling benefit to
their students or employees.
4.2.1 Market Trends
Nearly twenty years ago, a trend towards more unique coffees began to develop in the U.S. There had always been specialty coffee
stores, such as Gloria Jeans and others, but people began to buy espresso machines for their homes and offices, and people began
to have coffee tastings. Then espresso bars began to appear and, inevitably, along came Starbucks ... the quintessential bastion of
the upwardly mobile professional who wanted to take control over how their beverage would taste and smell.
However, we have also become more rushed for time during that same period. Those same consumers who helped push Starbucks
to $2.2 billion in global sales are now rushing kids to soccer and basketball games, running to the grocery and trying to get to work
on time and back home in time for dinner ... or to get to the next soccer game. Yet, they still have the desire for that refreshing,
specially blended coffee each morning.
Lately, we've seen the introduction of beverage dispensers at convenience stores that spit out overly-sweet, poorly blended
cappuccinos in flavors such as french vanilla or mocha, and consumers are paying as much as $3.00 for these sub-standard
beverages.
The market is primed for the introduction of a company that offers a superior quality, specially blended product in a convenient,
drive-thru environment at a price that is competitive to the national coffee houses.
That is the coffee consumer market. The segment of that market we are targeting is the commuter and that number is increasing. In
the metropolitan area, as with many metropolitan areas in the country, there is a migration away from the cities.
It is estimated that there are well over 2.5 million commuters driving to and from work each day in our market. Statistically, at least
50% of those are coffee drinkers. That gives The Daily Perc a significant daily target for its products. Those numbers are growing
by 6% per year.
Our market is made up of consumers who have busy schedules, a desire for quality, and disposable income. As much as they
would like the opportunity to sit in an upscale coffee house and sip a uniquely blended coffee beverage and read the morning paper,
they don't have the time. However, they still have the desire for the uniquely blended beverage as they hurry through their busy
lives.
Even general coffee sales have increased with international brands such as Folgers, Maxwell House, and Safari coffee reporting
higher sales and greater profits.
America is definitely a coffee drinking country and the coffee industry is reaping the rewards.
Patrons to a Starbucks, or to one of the local cafes, are looking for the "experience" of the coffee house. They want the ability to
"design" their coffee, smell the fresh pastry, listen to the soothing Italian music, and read the local paper or visit with an
acquaintance. It is a relaxing, slow paced environment.
Patrons of the fast food restaurants or the convenience stores are just the opposite. They have no time for idle chatter and are
willing to over-pay for whatever beverage the machine can spit out, as long as it's quick. They pay for their gas and they are back on
the road to work. Although they have the desire and good taste to know good from bad, time is more valuable to them.
Competitors to the Mobile Cafes on campuses would include fast food restaurants--assuming they are close enough to the
consumer that they can get there and back in the minimal allotted time, vending machines, and company or school cafeterias. The
consumers in this environment are looking for a quick, convenient, fairly priced, quality refreshment that will allow them to purchase
the product and return to work, class, or other activity.
Competitors to the Mobile Cafes at events such as festivals and fairs would include all the other vendors who are licensed to sell
refreshments. Attendees to such events expect to pay a premium price for a quality product.
National Chains:
Starbucks, the national leader, had revenues in fiscal year 2000 of $2.2 billion. That is an increase of 32% over fiscal year 1999.
Starbucks plans to increase revenues to over $6.6 billion from 10,000 retail outlets by 2005.
Panera had revenues of $151 million from corporate owned stores and $350 million from franchised locations in fiscal year 2000.
This fiscal year revenue was an increase in 28.9% on a per store basis versus fiscal year 1999.
The Daily Perc believes it has a significant competitive advantage over these chains because of the following benefits:
Drive-thru Service
More Substantial Customer Service
Community Benefit
Mobile Cafes
Selection
Higher Product Quality
Local Cafes:
The toughest competitor for The Daily Perc is the established locally owned cafe. TDP knows the quality and pride that the local
cafe has in the product purchase by their customers. Any local cafe has a customer base that is dedicated and highly educated. The
quality of beverages served at an established cafe will surpass any of the regional or national chains.
The competitive edge The Daily Perc has on the local cafes is based on the attributes of:
Drive-thru Service
Supply Discounts
Mobile Cafe
Consistent Menu
Community Benefit
Quality Product
Mobile Cafes
Consistent Menu
Community Benefit
Quality Product
Supply Discounts
Valued Image
Greater Product Selection
Other competition:
The Daily Perc knows that once it has entered the market and established a presence, others will try to follow. However, TDP
believes that the corporate missions and even the organizational design will be imitated, but never duplicated. TDP will constantly
evaluate its products, locations, service, and corporate missions to ensure that it remains a leader in the specialty beverage
industry.
The Daily Perc has identified its market as busy, mobile people whose time is already at a premium, but desire a refreshing, high
quality beverage or baked item while commuting to or from work or school.
In addition to providing a quality product and an extensive menu of delicious items, to ensure customer awareness and loyalty, as
well as positive public and media support, The Daily Perc could be donating up to 7.5% of revenue from each cup sold in individual
Drive-thrus to the charities of the customers' choice.
The Daily Perc concept is that the customer drives up, places the order, receives a high quality product at a competitive price, and
drives away, having wasted little time in the process.
The Daily Perc is also providing a significant community value to patronizing TDP. For every purchase a customer makes from us,
TDP will donate up to 7.5% of the sale to the local charity selected by the customer.
The Daily Perc will be implementing a low cost advertising/promotion campaign which could involve drive-time radio, but not much
more.
The Daily Perc will rely on building relationships with schools, charities and corporations to provide significant free publicity because
of its community support program. By giving charitable contributions to these institutions, they will get the word out to their
students/faculty/employees/partners about TDP. Word of mouth has always proven to be the greatest advertising program a
company can instill. In addition, the media will be more than willing to promote the charitable aspects of TDP and provide the
opportunity for more exposure every time TDP writes a check to another organization.
Public relations services at $1,000 per month for the next year intended to generate awareness of editors and product
information insertions, reviews, etc. It is anticipated that the school fundraising program will generate a fair amount of
publicity on its own and will, perhaps, minimize--or even eliminate--the need for a publicist.
Advertising at $1,000 per month concentrating on drive time radio. The Daily Perc will experiment with different stations,
keeping careful track of results. As with the school fundraising program, TDP expects the facilities and signage to be a
substantial portion of our advertising. However, in the start-up phase, TDP needs to let people know where to look for the
facilities.
The Daily Perc will also make arrangements for the Mobile Cafes to be at as many schools, businesses, and events as possible
every year, so that new customers, those who come in from areas where TDP may not have a Drive-thru facility, can be reached
and those who didn't have the time to stop off that morning at their favorite Daily Perc.
Distinctive Buildings:
TDP is using diner style buildings for its Drive-thru facilities. TDP has worked closely with the manufacturer to make the building
distinctive, so that it is easy to recognize, and functional.
In the second year, The Daily Perc is increasing the budget, since it will need to promote several locations, with particular emphasis
on announcing these openings and all the other locations. TDP will continue to use publicity as a key component of the marketing
program, since TDP could be contributing over $70,000 to local schools and charities.
In the third year, The Daily Perc will double its advertising and promotion budget, with the majority of the advertising budget being
spent on drive time radio. As in the previous years, TDP will get substantial publicity from the donation of nearly $200,000 to local
schools and charities.
In the second year, The Daily Perc will add two more Drive-thrus and, in the third year, TDP will add an additional nine Drive-thru
facilities. The addition of these facilities will increase the revenue from Drive-thrus with a total of over 1,000,000 tickets in the second
year and 2,675,000 tickets in the third.
In addition to the Drive-thrus, The Daily Perc will deploy one mobile unit in the fourth quarter of the first fiscal year. TDP expects this
mobile unit to generate 10,000 tickets each, at an average ticket price of $2.45.
In the second quarter of the second fiscal year, The Daily Perc will deploy a second and third mobile unit. TDP expects all three
mobile units to generate 150,000 tickets in the second year. In the third fiscal year, with an additional fourth mobile unit deployed,
TDP expects to see 264,000 mobile unit tickets.
The Daily Perc is also showing revenue from the commerce portion of our website, where it will sell "The Daily Perc" t-shirts,
sweatshirts, insulated coffee mugs, pre-packaged coffee beans, and other premium items. TDP is not expecting this to be a
significant profit center, but it is an integral part of the marketing plan -- as a function of developing our brand and building product
awareness. TDP expects revenues from this portion, to begin in the second fiscal year, to reach as much as $3,000 per month in the
third fiscal year.
Total first year unit sales should reach 298,402. The second year will see unit sales increase to 1,177,400. The third year, with the
addition of such a significant number of outlets, we will see unit sales increase to 2,992,000.
Sales Forecast
Unit Sales
Drive-thru #5 0 0 300,000
Sales
Drive-thru #5 $0 $0 $585,000
Drive-thru #5 $0 $0 $177,000
Drink Coupons - At fundraising events for schools and corporate events, we will be giving away drink coupons as door prizes or
awards. This encourages the person to come in for their free beverage and bring a friend or buy a baked item or a package of our
premium coffee. The Drive Thru units will also be distributing coupons for special menu items or new product introductions.
Chamber of Commerce and Professional Memberships - Because of the need to sell the Mobile Cafe services, TDP will be an
active participant in the Regional Chamber, local Chambers of Commerce, Food Service Associations, and Specialty Beverage
Associations. The exposure and education that these organizations provide is outstanding, but equally important are the contacts
and opportunities made available for deploying a Mobile Cafe--or even two--at a special event.
We also consider the schools, non-profit organizations, and even corporations who host one of our Mobile Cafes as a strategic
alliances, since they are providing exposure to our products and we are providing them a financial benefit.
5.7 Milestones
The Milestone table reflects critical dates for occupying headquarters, launching the first Drive-thru and subsequent Drive-thrus, as
well as deployment of the mobile units. The Daily Perc also defines our break-even month, our website launch and subsequent
visitor interaction function, and other key markers that will help us measure our success in time and accomplishment.
Milestones
Receive Second and Third Mobile Units 7/15/2002 9/1/2002 $172,900 COO Admin.
Open Drive-thrus 11, 12, and 13 1/15/2004 3/1/2004 $316,200 COO Admin.
Totals $2,122,043
Management Summary
The Daily Perc is a relatively flat organization. Overhead for management will be kept to a minimum and all senior managers will be
"hands-on" workers. There is no intention of having a top-heavy organization that drains profits and complicates decisions.
At the zenith of this three-year plan, there will be four "Executive" positions: chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief
information officer, and director of marketing. There will be other mid-management positions, such as district managers for every
four Drive-thrus, and a facilities manager to oversee the maintenance and stocking of the Mobile Cafes, as well as overseeing the
maintenance and replacement of equipment in the Drive-thru facilities.
Ms. Mary Jamison has been selected to fulfill the position of bookkeeper and office manager. Mary has been the business
administrator of Jones International, Inc. for the past four years. Jones is a $4 million company that retails vitamins and other
betterment products. Over those four years, Mary has written numerous corporate policies and directed the financial reporting and
reconciliation. The Daily Perc considers Mary to be a great addition to the team when she becomes available in November of 2001.
Until that time, she will be working with Mr. Fisher on a part-time basis to help establish the corporate accounts and policies.
Mr. Tony Guy has been selected to perform the duties of corporate events coordinator on a part time basis. Mr. Guy has over five
years in the business-to-business sales realm. Last year he was responsible for over $250,000 in sales of promotional material to
corporate and educational clients.
Mr. Chuck McNulty has been selected to fulfill the position of warehouse/trailer manager. Chuck has been working for Nabisco, Inc.
as a service representative for over ten years. His experience in account services, merchandising, and inventory control is a
welcome addition to The Daily Perc team. Chuck will use his knowledge in conjunction with the rest of the team to establish
inventory and warehouse policies. The warehouse manager is responsible for inventory of all products sold by The Daily Perc.
Some merchandising experience is a welcome addition. Training in the First In First Out (FIFO) style of inventory control is a
requirement. Also, knowledge of ergonomics and health issues would be important. Chuck's domain will be the headquarters, the
trailers, and the drive-thrus--ensuring that minimum and maximum inventories are maintained. Working with the mobile and drive-
thru Baristas will be integral to his task as well.
By the beginning of the third year, The Daily Perc will hire three key senior managers. They are: a chief financial officer, a chief
information officer, and a director of marketing. The role of each of these individuals will be discussed in subsequent sections of this
plan.
There are three functioning groups within the company: Production, Sales and Marketing, and General and Administrative. For
purposes of this plan--and to show the details of adding senior level management--The Daily Perc has broken management down
as a separate segment, but it is an integral part of the General and Administrative function.
Production involves the Baristas, or Customer Service Specialists, who will be manning the Drive-thrus and Mobile Cafes and
blending the beverages for the customers. Sales and Marketing will handle the promotion and scheduling of the Mobile Cafes, as
well as the promotion of the Drive-thrus and the Community Contribution program. General and Administrative manage the facilities,
equipment, inventory, payroll, and other basic, operational processes.
The third year will see the most dramatic growth in headcount, due to the addition of nine Drive-thrus and another mobile unit. In
the third year, there will also be an increase of 180% over the previous year. Total payroll and payroll burden for the third year
will reflect this, as well as the significant increase in the senior management team, with the addition of a chief financial officer, a
chief information officer, and a director of marketing. There will also be a second and third district manager, and a corporate events
sales executive. Total personnel will reach 81.
The chief financial officer will be brought on to oversee the increase in numbers of retail outlets and to manage a dramatically more
detailed P&L statement and to manage the Balance Sheet. The chief information officer will be brought in to help us with the
deployment of a Point-of-Sale computerized cash register system that will make tracking and managing receipts and charitable
contributions more robust. Ideally, this individual will have a large amount of point of sale and Internet experience. Specifically, how
to tie in POS systems to the Internet and inventory controls. Also, knowledge in establishing technology guidelines for the company
and franchisees in the future. This individual will also be added in fiscal year three.
The director of marketing will be charged with managing the relationships with advertising agencies, public relations firms, the
media, and our website.
Personnel Plan
Production Personnel
Other $0 $0 $0
Other Personnel
Other $0 $0 $0
Total People 15 29 81
Financial Plan
The Daily Perc's financial picture is quite promising. Since TDP is operating a cash business, the initial cost is significantly less than
many start-ups these days. The process is labor intensive and TDP recognizes that a higher level of talent is required. The financial
investment in its employees will be one of the greatest differentiators between it and TDP's competition. For the purpose of this pro-
forma plan, the facilities and equipment are financed. These items are capital expenditures and will be available for financing. There
will be a minimum of inventory on hand so as to keep the product fresh and to take advantage of price drops, when and if they
should occur.
The Daily Perc anticipates the initial combination of investments and long-term financing to carry it without the need for any
additional equity or debt investment, beyond the purchase of equipment or facilities. This will mean growing a bit more slowly than
might be otherwise possible, but it will be a solid, financially sound growth based on customer request and product demand.
General Assumptions
Plan Month 1 2 3
Other 0 0 0
The projections for inventory turnover show that TDP will maintain a relatively stable amount of inventory in its headquarters
warehouse so that it has no less than two weeks of inventory on hand, but no more than three weeks, in order to keep products
fresh. The only time it would consider holding larger stores of inventory is if there was some catastrophic event that could cause a
dramatic rise in the price of its coffees or teas.
Assumptions:
Aside from production costs of 60%, which include actual production of product and commissions for sales efforts, the single largest
expenditures in the first year are in the general and administrative (G&A) area, totaling 23% of sales. G&A includes expenses for
rents, equipment leases, utilities, and the payroll burden for all employees.
Sales increase by nearly 400% in the second year, due to the addition of two more Drive-thrus and two more Mobile Cafes.
Although operating expenses double in the second year, The Daily Perc will be able to realize a Net After-tax profit. In that same
year, TDP will make substantial charitable contributions.
The third year is when The Daily Perc has the opportunity to break into markets outside the metropolitan area. TDP will see nine
additional Drive-thru facilities open in the third year, which will drive sales, increase in production costs, and help improve Gross
Profit Margin. Several expenses take substantial jumps this year--advertising increases and donations increase as well--and TDP
will be adding several key management team members. These increases, as well as those for increased equipment leases and
rents, raise our operating expenses, leaving a respectable Net After-tax profit. The single largest expense sector in the third year,
outside of production, is still G&A costs, but it is down from 23% in the first year and 18.5% in the second year to just 15.02%.
Pro Forma Profit and Loss
Operating Expenses
Other Expenses:
Consultants $0 $0 $0
Taxes Incurred $0 $0 $0
Assuming an initial investment and financing, which would include operating capital, The Daily Perc anticipates no cash flow
shortfalls for the first year or beyond. March and May are the greatest cash drains, since TDP will be experiencing the cost of
second drive thru and mobile unit start-up. Again, TDP sees heavier than normal drains of cash in December and January, as there
will be certain accounts payable coming due.
Cash Received
Dividends $0 $0 $0
Assets
Current Assets
Long-term Assets
Current Liabilities
TDP's return on net worth and net worth number differ from the Industry Profile due to the lack of overhead when compared to a
typical walk-in cafe. The Drive Thru and Mobile business model is lean thus allowing for increase return ratio and providing a lower
Net Worth.
Ratio Analysis
Percent of Sales
Main Ratios
Activity Ratios
Debt Ratios
Liquidity Ratios
Additional Ratios
Scenario One:
The Daily Perc becomes extremely successful and has requests from other communities for Daily Perc operations to be opened
there. This opens the door for franchising opportunity. When one looks at the wealth that has been created by the likes of
McDonald's, Wendy's, Kentucky Fried Chicken, Burger King, and Taco Bell, the value of franchising a great idea cannot be
dismissed. However, developing a franchise can be extremely costly, take years to develop, and be destroyed by one or two
franchisees who fail to deliver the consistency or value on which the founding company had built its reputation.
Scenario Two:
The Daily Perc chooses to become the Drive-thru version of Starbucks, obtaining several million dollars through an initial public or
private offering that would allow the company to open twenty to thirty facilities per year in the region of the country between the
mountain ranges, in both major and small metropolitan communities. This is the preferred Exit Strategy of the Management Team.
The danger in this is that competitors would rise up and establish a foothold on a community before--or in the midst of--the arrival of
The Daily Perc, causing a potential for a drain on revenues and a dramatic increase in advertising expenditures to maintain market
share. Knowing these risks--and planning for them--gives TDP the edge needed to make this scenario work.
Scenario Three:
By the third year, the growth and community support for The Daily Perc will have made the news in more than just the metropolitan
area. It can be assumed that competitors, such as Starbucks or Quikava, will have seen the press and realized the value proposition
in The Daily Perc's business plan. This will make TDP an attractive target for buyout. The company could be purchased by a much
larger competitive concern by the end of the third year.
Taking a conservative approach to valuation and estimating that The Daily Perc would be valued at $7.5 million, and assuming that
all 250 units of ownership in TDP are distributed to investors, a cash purchase of TDP would net each unit $30,000. With each unit
selling at $4,250, that constitutes a Return on Investment of 705% over the three years. However, any buyout will most likely involve
a cash/stock combination. A cash/stock buyout would be favorable, since the buying company would pay a higher price and the
transaction would not have such severe tax consequences to the sellers.
Conclusion:
Of the three scenarios, the management team prefers Scenario #2. The same numbers would relate to a public or private offering as
are used in Scenario #3, but to make an offering available, there would be a dilution of shares that would provide additional shares
for sale to the new investors.
Assuming the capital acquisition described in this plan is completed, there will be 250 units of the company in the hands of
investors, constituting 100% of the authorized and issued units. For purposes on future fundraising, it will be necessary to authorize
a stock split of, perhaps 5,000 to one, turning the current 250 units into 1,250,000 units.
Using the balance sheet for the third year, which estimates Net Worth, Cash Balances and Earnings, based on 13 Drive-thrus and
four Mobile Cafes, it is not unrealistic to put a market value of $15 million to $25 million on the company. At present, such
companies are trading in multiples of 20 to 30 times earnings, and it is simple mathematics to multiply the success of TDP by the
number of commuter heavy metropolitan areas in the United States.
With a corporate valuation of $7,500,000, each of the new units would have a market value of $6/unit. By authorizing an additional
750,000 units, there would be a total of 2,000,000 units with a market value of $3.75 per share. By offering the 750,000 shares at
the price of $3.75 per unit, TDP would raise an additional $2,812,500 in expansion capital, which would be sufficient to open
locations in an additional three to five cities.