Weekly Learning Activity Sheets Basic Concepts of Probability

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WEEKLY LEARNING ACTIVITY SHEETS


Mathematics 8 Quarter 4 Week 6

Basic Concepts of Probability

Name: ___________________________________________ Section: ____________________

Most Essential Learning Competency (MELC)

• illustrates an experiment, outcome, sample space and event. M8GE-IVf-1

Learning Objective:
• Define probability
• Determine experiment, outcome, sample space and event
• Relate applications of probability in real- life situations

Time Allotment: 60 minutes for four (4) days

Key Concepts

• Probability is the chance that something will happen. Events cannot be predicted with total
certainty. We can say, “How likely they are to happen.”

❖ Ways of Showing Probability

Probability goes from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain):

0 1

➢ certain (probability of 1, the highest possible likelihood)


➢ likely (probability between ½ and 1)
➢ even chance (probability of ½)
➢ unlikely (probability between 0 and ½)
➢ impossible (probability of 0, the lowest possible likelihood)

Example:

Consider a box that contains only red cubes. If you were to select from the box, you are
certain to pick a red one. We say that an event that is certain to happen has a probability of 1. If
we were to reach into the same bag of cubes, it is impossible to select a yellow cube. An impossible
event has a probability of 0.

Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan Reviewers: 1.


School/Station: Florida National High School 2.
Division: Butuan City 3.
Email address: [email protected] 4.
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❖ Probability is often shown as a decimal or fraction. Example: the probability of getting
a "Head" when tossing a coin:

➢ As a decimal: 0.5
➢ As a fraction: ½
➢ As a percentage: 50%
➢ Or sometimes like this: 1-in-2

• Probability Experiment is a chance process that leads to a well-defined result called an


outcome.

Examples: Flipping a coin


Rolling a die

• Outcome is the result of a single trial of an experiment.

Experiment Outcome

Flipping a coin Head (H) Tail (T)

Rolling a die 1,2,3,4,5,6

• Sample space is the set of all the possible outcomes or sample points

• Sample point is just one of the possible outcomes.

Experiment Sample space Sample Point

Flipping a coin HH, HT, TH, TT HH

Rolling a die 1,2,3,4,5,6 5

Flipping a coin and a die H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T3
Simultaneously T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, T6

Drawing a card from a deck 13 diamonds, 13 Hearts, 13 Queen of Hearts


Spades, 13 Cubs (Ace, 2, 3,
4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10,
Jack, Queen, King)

Note: “Queen” is not a sample point because there are four Queens which are four different sample
points in a deck of cards.

• Event is any set of one or more outcomes satisfying some given conditions. Event is a subset
of sample space.

Examples:
a. Getting a TTT when flipping a coin thrice
b. Choosing a “Queen” from a deck of cards (any of the 4 Queens)
c. Getting an “odd number” (1, 3, or 5) when rolling a di

Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan Reviewers: 1.


School/Station: Florida National High School 2.
Division: Butuan City 3.
Email address: [email protected] 4.
3
Exercises / Activities

Activity No. 1: ANSWER ALL YOU CAN!

• What you need: Pen and paper


• What to do: Relate each sentences below with your day to day activities. Fill in the blanks
with the correct words in the box below that would make the following sentences
meaningful.

Impossible Even
Unlikely Chance
Likely 1 in 6 Chance
Certain 4 in 5 Chance

1. To God, nothing is _________.


2. Now is your ____________ to change for the better.
3. I’m ___________ that you can do better than what is expected of you.
4. Given the chance to win in the Math Contest, I prefer the ____________.
5. You and I have ___________ chance to succeed in life.

Activity No. 2: MATCH ME WITH THE PROBABILITY SCALE

• What you need: Pen and paper


• What to do: Match the following with each letter on the probability line. Number 1 is done
for you.

e___ 1. There are 7 days in a week.


____ 2. Out of 20 items, Jann got 15.
____ 3. In the Philippines, it will snow in March.
____ 4. If you flip a coin, it will come down heads.
____ 5. All months of the year have 28 days.
____ 6. It will be daylight in Manila at midnight.
____ 7. The day before Monday is Sunday.
____ 8. Of the 40 seedlings, only 10 survived.
____ 9. Next year, the month after November has 30 days.
____ 10. The third person to knock on the door will be a female.
____ 11. The chance that the last outcome in rolling a number cube is an even number.

Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan Reviewers: 1.


School/Station: Florida National High School 2.
Division: Butuan City 3.
Email address: [email protected] 4.
4
Activity No. 3: YOU AND I ARE MEANT TO BE

• What you need: Pen and paper


• What to do: Choose among the basic concepts of probability to identify the following.

Probability Sample Space

Probability Experiment Sample Point

Outcome Event

______________________ 1. 5/6

______________________ 2. Tail

______________________ 3. 50%

______________________ 4. Right, Wrong

______________________ 5. KING of Spades

______________________ 6. Rolling an odd number (1, 3 or 5)

______________________ 7. Flipping a 10-peso coin five times

______________________ 8. Getting a head in a single toss of coin

______________________ 9. The chance that something will happen

______________________ 10. The result of a single trial of an experiment

______________________ 11. Tossing a coin and rolling a die simultaneously

______________________ 12 Set of all possible outcomes of an experiment

______________________ 13. Guessing the number of marbles in a container

______________________ 14. Choosing an ACE from a deck of standard cards

______________________ 15. A chance process which leads to well –defined results

Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan Reviewers: 1.


School/Station: Florida National High School 2.
Division: Butuan City 3.
Email address: [email protected] 4.
5
Activity No. 4: LET’S ROLL IT!

• What you need: Pen and paper


• What to do: Suppose you are holding two dice. If you roll the dice at the same time, how
many outcomes are possible? Analyze the problem carefully. Fill in the table correctly and
answer the questions that follow.

SIDES OF 1 2 3 4 5 6
A DIE
1

2 3, 2 6, 2

6 5, 6

QUESTIONS:
1. If you roll a die once, how many outcomes are possible? _______
2. What are those outcomes? _______
3. How do we call those outcomes? _______
4. Rolling two dice simultaneously, how many outcomes are possible? _______
5. How did you find the answer?

Reflection:
Make a list of at least three situations in which probability is applied. Explain why such
situations are considered as applications in probability.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________________________

References for learners:


Grade 8 Teacher’s Guide Mathematics 4th Quarter Module 11: “Introduction to
Probability”

Rautraut, J. G. (2020). Mathematics- Grade 8 Quarter 4 –Module 5: (Basic Concepts of


Probability). Gingoog City: Department of Education.

Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan Reviewers: 1.


School/Station: Florida National High School 2.
Division: Butuan City 3.
Email address: [email protected] 4.
4. Email address: [email protected]
3. Division: Butuan City
2. School/Station: Florida National High School
Reviewers: 1. Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan
Activity No. 1: ANSWER ALL YOU CAN!
1. impossible
2. chance
3. certain
4. 4-in-5 chance
5. even
Activity No. 2: MATCH ME WITH THE PROBABILITY SCALE
1. e
2. d
3. a
4. c
5. e
6. a
7. e
8. b
9. e
10. c
11. c
Activity No. 3: YOU AND I ARE MEANT TO BE
1. Probability
2. Sample point
3. Probability
4. Sample space
5. Sample point
6. Sample point
7. Experiment
8. Event
9. Probability
10. Outcome
11. Experiment
12. Sample space
13. Experiment
14. Event
15. Experiment
Answer Key
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4. Email address: [email protected]
3. Division: Butuan City
2. School/Station: Florida National High School
Reviewers: 1. Author: Sheldine R. Abuhan
Activity No. 4: LET’S ROLL IT
SIDES OF 1 2 3 4 5 6
A DIE
1 1, 1 2, 1 3, 1 4, 1 5, 1 6, 1
2 1, 2 2, 2 4, 2 5, 2
3 1, 3 2, 3 3, 3 4, 3 5, 3 6, 3
4 1, 4 2, 4 3, 4 4, 4 5, 4 6, 4
5 1, 5 2, 5 3, 5 4, 5 5, 5 6, 5
6 1, 6 2, 6 3, 6 4, 6 6, 6
Questions:
Possible answer
1. 6 4. 36
2. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 5. By counting the outcomes listed in the table
3. Results, (sample space)
Reflections:
Answers may vary
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