Netscape

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Title: Netscape: Simulation Techniques for Company Valuation

IESE code case: AD-351-E

This spreadsheet supplements the case prepared by Professor Rafael de Santiago. May 2016.

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Netscape Figures other than percentages are in thousands (except Beta and Price/share)

Assumptions 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001


Revenue growth rate 65.00%
Terminal value growth rate 4.00%
Cost of sales (% revenues) 10.44%
R&D (% revenues) 36.76%
Tax rate 34.00%
Other operating expenses (% revenues) 0.80 0.65 0.55 0.45 0.35 0.25
Capital Expenditure (% revenues) 0.45 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.10
Depreciation (% revenues) 5.50%
Change in working capital 0.00%
Beta (β) 1.50
Risk-free rate 6.71%
Market-risk premium 7.50%
Discount rate 17.96%
Shares outstanding 38,000

Model
1995 actual Forecast
Revenues 33,250 54,863 90,523 149,363 246,449 406,641 670,958
Cost of goods sold 3,471 5,728 9,451 15,594 25,729 42,453 70,048
R&D expenses 12,223 20,167 33,276 54,906 90,595 149,481 246,644
Depreciation 1,829 3,017 4,979 8,215 13,555 22,365 36,903
Other operating expenses 26,898 43,890 58,840 82,150 110,902 142,324 167,739
EBT -11,171 -17,940 -16,023 -11,501 5,668 50,017 149,624
Taxes -3,798 -6,100 -5,448 -3,910 1,927 17,006 50,872
Net Profit -7,373 -11,840 -10,575 -7,591 3,741 33,011 98,752

Capital expenditure 15,236 24,688 36,209 44,809 49,290 40,664 67,096


Change in working capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Free Cash Flow (FCF) -20,780 -33,511 -41,805 -44,185 -31,994 14,712 68,558
Cumulative FCF -20,780 -54,291 -96,096 -140,281 -172,275 -157,563 -89,004
Terminal value (TV) 5,008,313
PV Free Cash Flow 243,199
PV Terminal value 813,971

Performance
Total NPV 1,057,170
Ratio TV/Total NPV 0.77
Year FCF > 0 2002
Max loss -172,275
Price/share 27.82

Auxiliary
Zero out negatives 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Isolate first positive 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Calculate year first positive 0 0 0 0 0 0 2002
ice/share)

2002 2003 2004 2005

0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20


0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10

1,107,081 1,826,683 3,014,027 4,973,145


115,579 190,706 314,664 519,196
406,963 671,489 1,107,956 1,828,128
60,889 100,468 165,771 273,523
221,416 365,337 602,805 994,629
302,233 498,684 822,829 1,357,668
102,759 169,553 279,762 461,607
199,474 329,132 543,067 896,061

110,708 182,668 301,403 497,314


0 0 0 0

149,655 246,931 407,436 672,270


60,651 307,582 715,018 1,387,288

60,651 307,582 715,018 1,387,288


0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0

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