This document provides information on Severe Tropical Storm Maring, including its current location and intensity, forecasted track and intensity, weather hazards like heavy rainfall, strong winds and coastal inundation, and warnings in effect. It notes that Maring will continue moving westward and may pass over or near Babuyan Islands before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility and potentially making landfall in China. Hazardous weather is expected over northern Philippines.
This document provides information on Severe Tropical Storm Maring, including its current location and intensity, forecasted track and intensity, weather hazards like heavy rainfall, strong winds and coastal inundation, and warnings in effect. It notes that Maring will continue moving westward and may pass over or near Babuyan Islands before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility and potentially making landfall in China. Hazardous weather is expected over northern Philippines.
This document provides information on Severe Tropical Storm Maring, including its current location and intensity, forecasted track and intensity, weather hazards like heavy rainfall, strong winds and coastal inundation, and warnings in effect. It notes that Maring will continue moving westward and may pass over or near Babuyan Islands before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility and potentially making landfall in China. Hazardous weather is expected over northern Philippines.
This document provides information on Severe Tropical Storm Maring, including its current location and intensity, forecasted track and intensity, weather hazards like heavy rainfall, strong winds and coastal inundation, and warnings in effect. It notes that Maring will continue moving westward and may pass over or near Babuyan Islands before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility and potentially making landfall in China. Hazardous weather is expected over northern Philippines.
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 20
Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” (KOMPASU) Issued at 5:00 PM, 11 October 2021 Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM “MARING” CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AS IT ENDANGERS BABUYAN
ISLANDS. Location of Center (4:00 PM)
The center of Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” was
estimated based on all available data at 105 km East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 120 km East Southeast of Calayan, Cagayan (18.8°N, 122.5°E) Intensity Maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 115 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa Present Movement
Westward at 20 km/h Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 850 km from the center TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST Center Position Intensity Movement dir. and Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW Location Cat. speed (°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h) 12-Hour Forecast 2:00 AM 19.0 120.1 145 km West Southwest of Calayan, Cagayan 100 STS W 25 12 October 2021 24-Hour Forecast 460 km West of Calayan, Cagayan 2:00 PM 18.9 117.1 110 STS W 25 (outside the PAR) 12 October 2021 36-Hour Forecast 775 km West of Calayan, Cagayan 2:00 AM 18.8 114.1 120 TY W 25 (outside the PAR) 13 October 2021 48-Hour Forecast 1,105 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon 2:00 PM 18.8 111.0 110 STS W 25 (outside the PAR) 13 October 2021
Page 1 of 3
Prepared by: SMRR Checked by: JSG
WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph Republic of the Philippines DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 20
Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” (KOMPASU) Issued at 5:00 PM, 11 October 2021 Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
2 Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, the northern portion of
(Damaging gale- Isabela (Palanan, Divilacan, Maconacon, Ilagan City, Tumauini, Cabagan, San to storm-force Pablo, Santa Maria, Santo Tomas, Delfin Albano, Quirino, Gamu, Roxas, Mallig, - - winds prevailing Quezon), Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Abra, Ilocos Norte, and or expected Ilocos Sur within 24 hours)
1 The rest of Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Ifugao, Benguet, La Union,
(Strong winds Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Zambales, Pampanga, prevailing or Bulacan, the northern portion of Bataan (Samal, Morong, Dinalupihan, - - expected within Abucay, Orani, Hermosa), the northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar, 36 hours) Infanta) including Polillo Islands, and Calaguas Islands
Page 2 of 3
Prepared by: SMRR Checked by: JSG
WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph Republic of the Philippines DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 20
Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” (KOMPASU) Issued at 5:00 PM, 11 October 2021 Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Today, Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” will bring heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Batanes, northern portion of mainland Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Apayao, Abra, Mountain Province, and Benguet. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over the rest of mainland Cagayan, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Ilocos Region. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Central Luzon and the rest of Cagayan Valley. Under these conditions, scattered flash floods and rain-induced landslides are highly likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps. Under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by Severe Tropical Storm “MARING”, monsoon rains are possible over Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro in the next 24 hours. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #4 issued at 11:00 AM today and 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast at 4:00 PM today.
Severe Winds Gale- to storm-force strength will be experienced within any of the areas where Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #2 is in effect. This may result in generally light to moderate damage to structures and vegetation. Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale conditions) with higher gusts will be experienced within any of the areas where TCWS #1 is currently in effect. This may generally bring up to very light damage to structures and vegetation. Due to the expansive wind field of “MARING” and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon, occasional gusts reaching strong to gale- force in strength are possible over the island, coastal, and upland/mountain localities of Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, Misamis Occidental, Camiguin, Zamboanga del Norte, and the rest of Luzon.
Coastal Inundation A minimal to moderate risk of life-threatening storm surge reaching up to 1.0 m in height may occur in the next 24 hours. Rising sea water along with the high waves from the shoreline moving inland may cause flooding in the low-lying coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands and Ilocos Norte. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning #1 for Severe Tropical Storm “MARING” issued at 2:00 PM today. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS Under the influence of Severe Tropical Storm “MARING”, a Gale Warning is in effect for the seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas and the western seaboard of Central Luzon that is not under the TCWS. For more information, refer to Gale Warning #8 issued at 5:00 PM today. In the next 24 hours, rough to high seas (2.5 to 7.5 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas where TCWS #2 and #1 are in effect. These conditions are risky for all types of sea vessels. Mariners are advised to remain in port or take shelter in port until winds and waves subside. Within the same period, moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.8 m) will prevail over the remaining seaboards of Luzon and Visayas and the northern, eastern, and western seaboards of Mindanao. These conditions are risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
“MARING” will continue moving westward over the Luzon Strait until tomorrow early morning. On the forecast track, the center of the storm is forecast to pass very close or over the Babuyan Islands between tonight. “MARING” may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning. Outside the PAR, the storm will continue moving westward over the West Philippine Sea until it makes landfall in the vicinity of Hainan Island on Wednesday afternoon. This tropical cyclone may reach typhoon category tomorrow evening while moving over the West Philippine Sea. Weakening will likely take place on Wednesday afternoon as it interacts with the landmass of southern China.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
Unless superseded by an intermediate bulletin, the next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA Page 3 of 3
Prepared by: SMRR Checked by: JSG
WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
