Patterns: The Three Drives Pattern
Patterns: The Three Drives Pattern
BULLISH
BEARISH
Although it was not specifically identified, one of the first references
to a Three Drives pattern was outlined in Robert Prechter's book,
"Elliot Wave Principle." He described the general nature of price
action that possessed either a three-wave or a five-wave structure.
Adapted from this principle, symmetrical price movements that
possess identical Fibonacci projections in a 5- wave price structure
constitute a Three Drives pattern. The critical aspect of this pattern
is that each drive completes at either a 1.27 or a 1.618. Also, the
price legs should possess clear symmetry with each drive forming
over equivalent time periods.
Butterfly pattern
BULLISH
BEARISH
The structure of the Butterfly pattern was discovered by Bryce
Gilmore. In my experience, I believe an Ideal Butterfly Pattern,
which requires specific Fibonacci in the structure - including a
mandatory 0.786 retracement of the XA leg as the B point - offers
more precise Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ). Also, the Butterfly
pattern must include an AB=CD pattern to be a valid signal.
Frequently, the AB=CD pattern will possess an extended CD leg
that is 1.27 or 1.618 of the AB leg. Although this is an important
requirement for a valid trade signal, the most critical number in the
pattern is the 1.27 XA leg. The XA calculation is usually
complemented by an extreme (2.00, 2.24, 2.618) BC projection.
These numbers create a specific Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
that can yield powerful reversals, especially when the pattern is in
all-time (new highs/new lows) price levels.
BULLISH
BEARISH
BULLISH
BEARISH
BULLISH
BEARISH
The Gartley pattern was outlined by H.M. Gartley in his book
Profits in the Stock Market, published in 1935. Although the
pattern is named "The Gartley," the book did not discuss specific
Fibonacci retracements! It was not until "The Harmonic Trader"
was released that the specific retracements of the B point at a .618
and the D point at a .786 were assigned to the pattern. There are
others who have assigned Fibonacci retracements to this
framework. However, they use a variety of Fibonacci numbers at
the B and D points. Despite these variations, the Fibonacci
retracements that yield the most reliable reversals are the .618 at
the B point and the .786 at the D point. Furthermore, the pattern
should possess a distinct AB=CD pattern that converges in the
same area as the 0.786 XA retracement and the BC projection
(either 1.27 or 1.618). The most critical aspect of the Gartley is the
B point retracement, which must be at a 0.618 of the XA leg.
BULLISH
BEARISH
BEARISH
BULLISH