SP Las 1 Quarter 4 Melc 1
SP Las 1 Quarter 4 Melc 1
SP Las 1 Quarter 4 Melc 1
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Introductory Message
Welcome to Statistics and Probability for Senior High School!
The Statistics and Probability for Senior High School will help you
facilitate the teaching-learning activities specified in each Most Essential Learning
Competency (MELC) with minimal or no face-to-face encounter between you and
learner. This will be made available to the learners with the references/links to ease
the independent learning.
The Statistics and Probability for Senior High School is developed to help
you continue learning even if you are not in school. This learning material provides
you with meaningful and engaging activities for independent learning. Being an
active learner, carefully read and understand the instructions then perform the
activities and answer the assessments. This will be returned to your facilitator on the
agreed schedule.
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Quarter 4, Week 1
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Example:
One-tailed Ha:
Ha: The average number of students in a class is greater than 40.
In symbols, Ha: 𝝁 > 𝟒𝟎
Ha: The average number of students in a class is less than 40.
In symbols, Ha: 𝝁 < 𝟒𝟎
Two-tailed Ha:
Ha: The average number of students in a class is not 40.
In symbols, Ha: 𝝁 ≠ 𝟒𝟎
Answer: This is an alternative hypothesis. We will use the one-tailed test since
it is directional (less than). In mathematical symbols, Ha: 𝜇 < 7
Level of Significance
The level of significance (in symbols, 𝛼, read as alpha) refers to the
probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis. The value can range from 0 to 1
or 0% to 100%.
The usual significance level in research or social science research is 5%
(𝛼 = 0.05). It means that there is a 5% chance of rejecting a true null hypothesis
and we are 95% confident that the result is true.
In health and other applied sciences, 1% significance level (𝛼 = 0.01) is
used and sometimes (𝛼 = 0.001).
If the alternative hypothesis requires the two-tailed test (≠), the alpha is
divided by 2 later in determining the critical region.
Alpha One-tailed Two-tailed
0.1% 𝛼 = 0.001 𝛼
= 0.0005
2
1% 𝛼 = 0.01 𝛼
= 0.005
2
5% 𝛼 = 0.05 𝛼
= 0.025
2
10% 𝛼 = 0.1 𝛼
= 0.05
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Rejection Region
The rejection region or also know as the critical region is the range of
values that corresponds to the region where the null hypothesis is rejected. The
critical values is/are the numbers that determine the rejection region. If the
value of the test statistic falls within the rejection region, the null hypothesis is
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rejected. If the test statistic falls outside the rejection region (acceptance
region), then the null hypothesis is not rejected (accepted).
Critical Values using Z-scores
Level of Test Types
Significance
One-tailed
𝜶 Two-tailed
Left-tailed Right-tailed
0.05 −1.645 or 1.645 ±1.96
Example: A labor union president claims that the mean age of the employees
in a certain company is 38 with a standard deviation of 6. A random sample of
30 employees from the same company has a mean age of 36 and standard
deviation of 5. Test at 5% significance level that the mean age of the employees
is not 38.
a. What is the null hypothesis? 𝝁 = 𝟑𝟖
b. What is the alternative hypothesis? 𝝁 ≠ 𝟑𝟖
c. Is the test to be used one-tailed or two-tailed? Two-tailed
d. What is the significance level? 𝜶 = 𝟓%
e. What is the appropriate value of the alpha to be used in determining the
𝜶
critical region? = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟐𝟓
𝟐
f. What is/are the corresponding critical values? 𝑧 = ±𝟏. 𝟗𝟔
g. Illustrate the rejection region/critical region.
𝛼 𝛼
= 0.025 = 0.025
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Types of Error
In hypothesis testing, we make decisions about the null hypothesis. There
are risks when we make decisions. When we conduct a hypothesis test, there
are four possible outcomes.
True Status of Ho Null Hypothesis is Null Hypothesis is
Decision TRUE FALSE
Type I Error Correct Decision
Reject Ho
(False Positive) (True Positive)
Do not Reject (Accept Correct Decision Type II Error
Ho) (True Negative) (False Negative)
Type I error happens when we reject a true null hypothesis. The probability
of committing this error is known as the alpha risk or the level of significance
(𝛼).
Type II error happens when we accept a false null hypothesis. The
probability of committing this error is denoted by (𝛽) or also known as the power
of the test.
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Exercise 1: Read each statement carefully. On the 2nd column, determine
whether the following statements describe a null hypothesis (Ho) or alternative
hypothesis (Ha). On the 3rd column, leave blank if your answer in the 2nd column
is the null hypothesis and if it is the alternative hypothesis, identify if it is one-
tailed or two-tailed test. On the 4th column, write in mathematical symbols the
given statement.
Null or One-tailed
Mathematical
Statement Alternative or Two-
Symbols
Hypothesis tailed Test
1.The number of books in the
library is above 1000.
2. 90% of the Covid 19 patients
have mild symptoms.
3. The phone’s average battery life
is not 12 hours.
4. All 35 students volunteered for
the club’s outreach program.
5. There is no significant difference
in my mean daily allowance before
and during the pandemic which is
50 pesos.
Guide Questions:
a. What makes you decide whether to identify the statement as null or
alternative hypothesis?
b. How did you determine whether the test to be used is one-tailed or two-
tailed?
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Exercise 3: Determine the type of error committed in the following situations.
a. A politician who steals some government funds for his own benefit is
absolved of his crime.
b. The village people believed the boy when he cried that there is a wolf in
the farm, so they come to his rescue when the truth is there is no wolf.
c. There is no fire, but the fire alarm rings because some students are
playing with the alarm.
d. A student is cheating during the exam to get high grades but is praised
for being smart.
e. You think that it is not yet the deadline of your requirements in school, but
the reality is, it is already the deadline.
V. Reflection
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Exercise 3
a. Type II
b. Type I
c. Type I
d. Type II
e. Type I
Exercise 2
a. 𝜇 = 7
a. 𝜇 < 7
b. one-tailed
c. 𝛼 = 5%
d. 𝛼 = 0.05
e. 𝑧 = −1.645
f.
Exercise 1:
Null or One-tailed or
Mathematical
Statement Alternative Two-tailed
Symbols
Hypothesis Test
1.The number of books in the library is Alternative One-tailed 𝜇 > 1000
above 1000.
2. 90% of the Covid 19 patients have mild Null 𝜇 = 90
symptoms.
3. The phone’s average battery life is not Alternative Two-tailed 𝜇 ≠ 12
12 hours.
4. All 35 students volunteered for the Null 𝜇 = 35
club’s outreach program
5. There is no significant difference in my Null 𝜇 = 50
daily allowance before and during the
pandemic which is 50 pesos.
Answer Key: