OB - Decision Making
OB - Decision Making
OB - Decision Making
BEHAVIOUR
Decision
Making
Maria V Simanjuntak : 1513221007
Nia Febriana : 15132210019
Ferdial : 1513221006
Rinto Suherman : 15132210016
KELOMPOK 4
Decison Making Process
TOPICS
Models of Decision Making
Decisions Making & Risk
Individual Influence in Decision
Making
Techniques for Group Decision
making
Decision-making in a Cultural
context
DECISION
MAKING
PROCESS & MODEL
2.Nonprogrammed Decision
A new, complex decision that requires a
creative solution.
Sample decisions : like buying out another
company are nonprogrammed.
The decision to acquire a company is
another situation that is unique and
unstructured and requires considerable
judgment.
Decision Making
Process
Decision
Making
Process
Model of
Decision Making
The bounded
rationality model
The decision maker strives to optimize, that is, to select the best
possible alternative.
One of the reasons managers face limits to their rationality is that they must
make decisions under risk and time pressure.
MODEL 3
Garbage Can Model
MODEL 3
Garbage Can Model
In the garbage can model, decisions are random and unsystematic.
The garbage can model illustrates the idea that not all
organizational decisions are made in a step-by-step, systematic
fashion. Especially under conditions of high uncertainty, the
decision process may be chaotic. Some decisions appear to
happen out of sheer luck.
Decision Making
and Risk
Many decisions involve some element of risk. For managers, hiring decisions, promotions, delegation,
acquisitions and mergers, overseas expansions, new product development, and other decisions make risk a
part of the job.
Some people experience risk aversion. They choose options that entail fewer risks, preferring familiarity and
certainty. Other individuals are risk takers; that is, they accept greater potential for loss in decisions, tolerate
greater uncertainty, and in general are more likely to make risky decisions. Risk takers are also more likely
to take the lead in group discussions.
Research indicates that women are more averse to risk taking than men and that older, more
experienced managers are more risk averse than younger managers.
There is also some evidence that successful managers take more risks than unsuccessful ones.
Risk taking is influenced not only by an individual’s tendency but also by organizational factors. In commercial
banks, loan decisions that require the assessment of risk are made every day.
Upper level managers face a tough task in managing risk-taking behavior. By discouraging lower level managers
from taking risks, they may stifle creativity and innovation. If upper level managers are going to encourage risk
taking, however, they must allow employees to fail without fear of punishment. One way to accom- plish this is
to consider failure “enlightened trial and error.”
INDIVIDUAL
INFLUENCE
IN DECISION MAKING
Individual Influences -
Jung’s Cognitive Styles
Rely on facts. impersonal analysis of the situation and then make an Alienate others because of their
Sensing/Thinking analytical, objective decision. They are valuable in organizations because tendency to ignore interpersonal
(ST) produce a clear, simple solution. STs remember details and seldom make aspects of decisions. In addition,
factual errors they tend to avoid risks
Gather factual information, but they make judgments in terms of how they
Sensing/Feeling affect people. They place great importance on interpersonal relationships but Have trouble accepting new ideas
(SF) also take a practical approach. SFs’ strength in decision is to handle that break the organization’s rules
interpersonal problems well and to take calculated risks.
Focus on the alternative possibilities in a situation and then evaluate them Tendencies to ignore arguments
Intuiting/Thinking
objectively and impersonally. They initiate ideas, focus on the long term. They based on facts and to ignore the
(NT)
are innovative and will take risks. E.g: new business development. feelings of others
Creativity
at Work
Individual Influences
Several individual variables are related to creativity. One group of factors
involves the cognitive processes that creative individuals tend to use. One
cognitive process is divergent thinking, meaning the individual’s ability to
generate several potential solutions to a problem
Organizational Influences
The organizational environment people work in can either support or impede
creativity. Flexible organizational structures and participative decision making
have also been associated with creativity. An organization can also present
impediments to creativity
Individual/Organization
Fit Research has indicated that creative performance is highest when there is a
match, or fit, between the individual and organizational influences on creativity.
Research has shown that individuals can be trained to be more creative.8
GROUP DECISION
MAKING TECHNIQUE
Group Decision
Making Technique
Group Decision-making is a form of participative decision-
making, where a group of individuals work together to solve a
problem complex in nature.
What is a Group?
Group is the number of individuals who come
together and work to attain a common objective.
What is Decision-making?
It is a process of selecting the best solution to
solve a critical problem.
Group Decision
Making Technique
Group Decision Making aims to:
Notes :
Research shows that greater involvement in all five of above stages has
cumulative effect
Employees who are involved in all five processes have higher satisfaction &
performance levels
Style of participation in decision making may need to change as the company
grwos or its culture changes
Participation in
Decision Making
Advantages
1.More knowledge and info through the pooling of group member resources
2.Increase acceptance of, and commitment to, the decision because members
had a voice in it
3.Greater understanding of the decision because members were involved in
the various stages of the decision process
Disadvantages
1.Pressure within the group to conform and fit in (groupthink)
2.Domination of the group by one forceful member or a dominant clique, who
may ramrod the decision (causing group polarization)
3.The amount of time required, because a group makes decisions more slowly
than an individual
Participation in
Decision Making
Groupthink
One liability of a cohesive group is its tendency to develop groupthink.
Groupthink is a deterioration of mental efficiency, reality testing and moral judgement
(Irving Janis).
Why occurs
Social comparison approach
Prior discussions, individual believe they hold better views that others.
During, they see that views are not so far form average. They shift to extreme
positions
The persuasive arguments view
Discussion reinforces the initial views of members, so they take a more extreme
positions
Participation in
Decision Making
How to avoid Group Polarization
Group polarization is the tendency for group discussion
to produce shifts toward more extreme attitudes among
members
So we need Brainstorming
Brainstorming is a technique for generating as many ideas as possible on a
given subject, while suspending evaluation until all the ideas have been
suggested.
The individualist/collectivist
Japan, with its collectivist emphasis, favors group decisions. The United States has a more difficult
time with group decisions because it is an individualistic culture. Time orientation affects the
frame of reference of the decision. In China, with its long-term view, decisions are made with the
future in mind. In the United States, many decisions are made considering only the short term
CEO ini seorang risk taker. dan sangat gigih dalam mencapai tujuan (nAch sangat tinggi).
Namun dalam mengelola bisnisnya, CEO ini sangat profesional.
Bahkan sewaktu di tanya, bagaimana terkait adik-adiknya. Beliau menyampaikan "Adik saya cukup di RE, tidak perlu
masuk struktur. Ga perlu di C Level juga. Karena adik saya tidak disiplin. Nanti tidak baik buat yg lain"
Di dalam pengembangkan business nya, CEO ini selalu mengajak teamnya untuk eksplorasi. Misalnya bagaimana
membuat outlet ini menjadi simple sehingga mudah di duplikasi.
Sewaktu menggali brainstorming dengan team inti. Hampir semua team terdekatnya menyampaikan bahwa “Saya merasa
di hargai pendapat saya. Dan sini saya bisa berkreasi. Perusahaan ini tumbuh,dan saya merasa memiliki perusahaan ini.
Karena saya merasa ikut membesarkan”.
Studi Kasus
PROSES PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN
MODEL DECISION MAKING
CEO ini banyak menggunakan rasional dan rasional terbatas. Untuk
yang sifatnya jangka menengah dan panjang, CEO menggunakan
model rasional. Namun jika jangka pendek, CEO ini menggunakan
rasional terbatas.
Untuk RESIKO, CEO ini adalah seorang RISK TAKER yang terukur.
Sehingga wajar jika CEO ini bisa membawa perusahaannya tumbuh.
Studi Kasus
Individual Influences
Cognitive style seorang CEO ini adalah NF (Intuiting/Feeling (NF) yang
sangat terbuka untuk berbagai idea dalam problem solving dan
melibatkan berbagai pihak dalam berdiskusi. Seorang NF Membuat
keputusan apa yang terbaik untuk kepentingan bersama dari orang-
orang yg terlibat di organisasi
Yang menarik, mengingat perusahaan tersebut awalnya perusahaan keluarga yang ingin berubah menjadi
profesiona, maka si CEO berusaha membatasi terhadap kemungkinan adanya Groupthink (dominasi dari
salahsatu keluarganya dalam perusahaan daat pengambilan keputusan) dan juga Group Polarization (menjaga
adanya kelompok-kelompok dari keluarganya yang menjadi bagian perusahaan untuk mencari dukungan
karyawan lain sehingga terkesan nantinya ada 2 kelompok yang berseteru yang justru akan merugikan
perusahaan itu sendiri.
Untuk menghindari adanya hal-hal diatas, setidaknya 2 cara yang dilakukan oleh CEO, yaitu :
1. Membatasi wewenang keluarganya dalam bisnis serta menilai mereka berdasarkan kompetensi secara
objektif
2. Membawa budaya brainstorming, karena dia percaya bahwa inilah yang akan membawa terus maju
perusahaannya