MEC101 C4 - Eng. Est. & Approx.
MEC101 C4 - Eng. Est. & Approx.
MEC101 C4 - Eng. Est. & Approx.
Content of Chapter 4
ENGINEERING ESTIMATION & APPROXIMATIONS
Errors
Significant Digits
Accuracy and precision
Approximations
1
Learning Objectives
Introduction
2
Objectives
• Learn the differences in:
▫ Accuracy/precision,
▫ Random/systematic error,
▫ Uncertainty/error
Numbers &
Significant Digits
3
Real and Integer Values
L
Integer (exact) numbers represent discrete quantities, e.g.,
number of marbles, number of people, number of
computers, etc. For example, 65, 7, and −756 are
integers; 1.6 and 1½ are not integers.
4
Accuracy
Accuracy - nearness to the correct value.
Example:
A chemistry instructor makes a 5.00% sugar
solution. Using a sugar test, a team of students
analyzes the solution and reports the following
results:
Student Result
A 5.03%
B 4.96%
C 2.98%
Precision
Precision - repeatability of the measurement
indicates scatter in the data
Example:
A chemistry instructor makes a 5.00% sugar solution.
Using a sugar assay, a team of students analyzes the
solution in triplicate and reports the following results:
Students Results
A 5.03%, 4.97%, 5.07%
B 4.49%, 5.52%, 5.01%
C 2.98%, 7.98%, 9.23%
5
Precision vs. Accuracy
Measurements
• Measurements can be reported as a value plus or
minus a number
• Example;
▫ 32.3±0.2
32.3, 32.1 and 32.5 are acceptable
▫ 220 oF with ±1%
Accuracy ±2.2 oF
6
4.4 Errors
Errors
Error is the difference between a measured or
calculated (reported) value and the true value.
7
Simple Error Analysis
Suppose a rod of unknown length is measured with a
standard meter stick.
Systematic Errors
Systematic Errors - errors that can be
recognized to some regular outside
occurrence.
8
The error associated with systematic errors can
be corrected if the source and magnitude are
known.
Temperature effect;
9
Random Errors
Accidental (Random) Errors - errors that occur in
a random nature.
10
Definitions
There are three ways to numerically describe
error:
Example:
Calculate the true error, fractional error and
percent error for:
Reported Value Correct Value
Distance Distance
feet feet
109 100
1050 1000
45 50
17 20
11
4.5 Approximations
Approximation
• Engineers strive for high-level precision
• Also, it is important to be aware of an
acceptable precision and the time and cost of
attaining it
• Engineers are expected to make an
approximation to the solution before time
and funds invested to increase accuracy
• Engineers rely on their basic understanding
of the problem under discussion coupled with
their previous experience
12
Approximation
The accuracy of these estimates depends on:
1. Consequences/cost of error,
2. Available reference materials,
3. Time allotted for estimate,
4. Experience with similar problems.
Example
• Estimate the number of paper
clips that will fit in a box 16cm by
10cm by 12cm
(1 paper clip = 1.5cm by 1cm by 0.2cm)
1 minutes solution
13
NEXT CLASS
Chapter 5
DIMENSIONS & UNITS
Physical Quantities
Dimensions
Units (SI and USCS)
Rules in SI
Dimensional Analysis
14