Earnings Presentation 4q
Earnings Presentation 4q
Earnings Presentation 4q
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. Statements of future events, conditions, expectations, plans, or ambitions in this presentation or the subsequent discussion period are forward-looking
statements. Similarly, discussions of future carbon capture, biofuels, and hydrogen plans to drive toward net zero are dependent on future market factors, such as continued technological
progress and policy support, and represent forward-looking statements. Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; potential earnings, cash flow, and rates of return;
total capital expenditures and mix, including allocations of capital to low carbon solutions; realization and maintenance of cost reductions and efficiency gains, including the ability to offset
inflationary pressures; ambitions to reach Scope 1 and Scope 2 net zero from operated assets by 2050, to reach Scope 1 and 2 net zero in Upstream Permian Basin unconventional operated
assets by 2030, to eliminate routine flaring in-line with World Bank Zero Routine Flaring, to reach near-zero methane emissions from its operations, to meet ExxonMobil’s emission reduction
plans and goals, divestment and start-up plans, and associated project plans as well as technology efforts; success in or development of future business markets like carbon capture, hydrogen
or biofuels; maintenance and turnaround activity; drilling and improvement programs; price and margin recovery; shareholder distributions; planned integration benefits; resource recoveries
and production rates; and product sales levels and mix could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include global or regional changes in oil, gas, petrochemicals, or feedstock
prices, differentials, seasonal fluctuations, or other market or economic conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries and the demand for our products; government policies
supporting lower carbon investment opportunities such as the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act or policies limiting the attractiveness of investments such as European taxes on the energy sector;
variable impacts of trading activities each quarter; policy and consumer support for emission-reduction products and technology; the outcome of competitive bidding and project wins;
regulatory actions targeting public companies in the oil and gas industry; changes in local, national, or international laws, regulations, and policies affecting our business including with respect
to the environment; taxes, trade sanctions, and actions taken in response to pandemic concerns; the ability to realize efficiencies within and across our business lines and to maintain current
cost reductions as efficiencies without impairing our competitive positioning; the outcome and timing of exploration and development projects; decisions to invest in future reserves; reservoir
performance, including variability in unconventional projects; the outcome of exploration projects and decisions to invests in future resources; timely completion of construction projects; war
and other security disturbances; expropriations, seizures, and capacity, insurance or shipping limitations by foreign governments or international embargoes; changes in consumer preferences;
opportunities for and regulatory approval of investments or divestments that may arise; the outcome of our or competitors’ research efforts and the ability to bring new technology to
commercial scale on a cost-competitive basis; the development and competitiveness of alternative energy and emission reduction technologies; unforeseen technical or operating difficulties
including the need for unplanned maintenance; and other factors discussed here and in Item 1A. Risk Factors of our Annual Report on Form 10-K and under the heading “Factors Affecting
Future Results” available through the Investors page of our website at exxonmobil.com. All forward-looking statements are based on management’s knowledge and reasonable expectations
at the time of this presentation and we assume no duty to update these statements as of any future date. Neither future distribution of this material nor the continued availability of this
material in archive form on our website should be deemed to constitute an update or re-affirmation of these figures as of any future date. Any future update of these figures will be provided
only through a public disclosure indicating that fact.
Reconciliations and definitions of non-GAAP and other terms are provided in the text or in the supplemental information accompanying these slides beginning on page 26.
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2022: execution of our strategy is driving strong results
Leading Performance | Essential Partner | Advantaged Portfolio | Innovative Solutions | Meaningful Development
• Formed Product Solutions, creating the world’s largest fuels, chemicals, and lubricants business
• Enhanced portfolio, investing $22.7 billion of Capex in advantaged projects and selling ~$5 billion of non-core assets
25 Koebd 100 %
Upstream production growth
Elimination of routine flaring in
despite significant divestments and
Permian Basin operations1
Sakhalin-1 expropriation
$56 billion 87 % 25 %
Earnings ex. identified items of $59 leading peers3 highest one-year ROCE since 2012;
billion; leading peers1,2 leading peers2
1 Reconciliation
to U.S. GAAP of $55.7 billion on page 9.
2 One-year (2022) results with industry peer group estimated using nine month 2022 annualized figures or announced programs (shareholder distributions); industry peer group includes BP, Chevron, Shell, and Total Energies.
3 One-year total shareholder return (TSR); industry peer group includes BP, Chevron, Shell, and Total Energies
Permian Basin
• Updated safety, environmental, • Updated portfolio resiliency • Our latest view of global energy
and social performance models under the IEA net-zero by supply and demand through 2050
2050 scenario; added carbon and based on current trends, policies,
• Supports U.N. Sustainable price assumptions and technology
Development Goals
• Discussed value of a lifecycle • Forms the basis for our long-term
approach to measuring emissions business planning
7
4Q: strong earnings despite decline in prices and margins
U/S EP CP SP C&F TOTAL • Liquids and natural gas realizations decreased due to higher
3Q22 GAAP Earnings / (Loss) $12.4 $5.8 $0.8 $0.8 ($0.2) $19.7
global inventory
Tax and other reserve items 0.7 - - - 0.4 1.1
• Resilient industry margins partially offset the absence of 3Q
0.6 - - - - 0.6
Non-U.S. divestments positive price / timing impacts in Energy Products
Impairment (0.7) - - - - (0.7)
3Q22 Earnings / (Loss) ex. identified items
$11.8 $5.8 $0.8 $0.8 ($0.6) $18.7 • Chemical Products margins compressed as a result of
(non-GAAP)
continued supply additions and softening demand in North
Price / margin (3.9) (0.1) (0.4) 0.2 - (4.2)
America and Europe
Unsettled derivatives mark-to-market (MTM) 1.6 (1.0) - - - 0.6
Volume / mix 0.0 (0.3) (0.1) (0.1) - (0.4) • Specialty Products maintained strong profitability
Expenses (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) - (0.5)
U/S EP CP SP C&F TOTAL • Recovering demand and tight supply improved prices and
2021 GAAP Earnings / (Loss) $15.8 ($0.3) $7.0 $3.3 ($2.6) $23.0 margins
Announced divestments 0.5 - - 0.6 (0.0) 1.1
Impairments (0.8) - - - - (0.8)
• Favorable Upstream MTM on declining gas prices and
Contractual provisions (0.3) - - - - (0.3) absence of unfavorable 2021 impacts
Severance - - - - (0.1) (0.1)
2021 Earnings / (Loss) ex. identified items
$16.3 ($0.3) $7.0 $2.6 ($2.6) $23.0
(non-GAAP)
Price / margin 21.3 14.4 (3.0) (0.2) - 32.3
• Strong refining throughput and growth of advantaged
assets increased volumes and improved mix
Unsettled derivatives mark-to-market (MTM) 2.8 0.0 - - - 2.8
Volumes / mix (0.1) 1.1 (0.2) 0.0 - 0.8
Expenses (0.8) (0.4) (0.2) (0.1) - (1.4) • Structural cost savings and disciplined expense
Other (0.1) 1.0 (0.1) 0.1 0.6 1.5 management largely offset increased spending on
2022 Earnings / (Loss) ex. identified items
$39.4 $15.7 $3.5 $2.5 ($2.0) $59.1 advantaged growth projects and inflation
(non-GAAP)
Sakhalin-1 expropriation / charges (2.2) - - - (0.1) (2.3)
Additional European taxes on energy sector (1.4) (0.4) - - - (1.8)
• Other driven by lower corporate and financing costs and
Announced divestments 0.9 - - - - 0.9 net favorable one-time items
Impairments, tax, and other items (0.2) (0.3) - (0.0) 0.4 (0.1)
2022 GAAP Earnings / (Loss) $36.5 $15.0 $3.5 $2.4 ($1.7) $55.7
Billions of dollars unless specified otherwise.
Due to rounding, numbers presented above may not add up precisely to the totals indicated.
See Supplemental Information for definitions and reconciliations 9
Continued investment in advantaged projects drove
production growth at a time when it was urgently needed
Upstream • Continued investment in advantaged projects delivered
Contributing factors to change in volumes
Koebd, net growth despite 140 Koebd loss from divestments and
Sakhalin-1 expropriation
3,737 − Guyana Phase 2 started up ahead of schedule
3,712 + Phase 1 and 2 producing above investment basis1
50
− Permian grew ~90 Koebd2
(100)
120
• Mozambique’s Coral LNG started up in 4Q
(40)
2021 ex. Price Volume from Volume from Sakhalin-1 Expenses Other 2022 ex.
ident. items growth divestments ident. items
projects1 / other
See page 9 and Supplemental Information for footnotes, definitions, and reconciliations. 11
Strong operating performance and favorable market drove
earnings growth in Energy Products
Energy Products • Improved margins driven by:
Contributing factors to change in earnings
Million USD − Strengthening demand and low
$ 16,059 10
$ 15,650
990 inventories
1,060 (420)
(420) − Higher contribution from trading and
marketing
$(347)
2021 ex. Margin Volume Expenses Other 2022 ex. Unsettled Price / 2022 ex. • Other includes favorable forex and
ident. items / mix derivatives derivatives timing ident. items year-end inventory effects
and timing
See page 9 and Supplemental Information for footnotes, definitions, and reconciliations. 12
Chemical Products annual earnings above 10 -year average
despite industry margins well below historical range
Chemical Products • Continued investments in performance products and
Contributing factors to change in earnings
Million USD strong cost control improved resiliency of earnings
− ~$1.5 billion improvement versus 20191
$ 6,989
See page 9 and Supplemental Information for footnotes, definitions, and reconciliations. 13
Specialty Products delivered another strong year
$ 2,625 • Robust demand for our products drove pricing that largely
(220) 20 90 $ 2,455 offset feedstock and energy cost increases
(60)
Cash flow • Strong earnings and asset sales resulted in ~$24 billion
Billion USD
increase in free cash flow
20.0
• Strong balance sheet provides financial flexibility
5.2 − Retired ~$7 billion of debt
7.2
− Reduced net debt-to-capital to ~5%
Dividends
Peer group for comparison of cash flow from operations includes BP, Chevron, Shell, and Total Energies.
See Supplemental Information for footnotes, definitions, and reconciliations. 15
First-quarter 2023 outlook
Energy
Products
• Higher turnarounds and planned maintenance
Specialty
Products
• Higher turnarounds and planned maintenance
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Growing shareholder value through investments in
advantaged growth projects
UPSTREAM PRODUCT SOLUTIONS LOW CARBON SOLUTIONS
>10% return at <$35/bbl1 >30% return3 >10% return4
• Expected 2023 production of ~360 Kbd • 250 Kbd Beaumont crude expansion • Advancing diverse portfolio of
in Guyana and ~600 Koebd in Permian2 ramping up in 1Q23 hydrogen, CCS, and lower-emission
fuels projects with competitive returns
• Payara startup in Guyana (3rd major • 750 Kta Baytown performance
development) chemicals expansion to start up in • Strength of ExxonMobil’s offering
mid-2023 recognized by the market with
• ~1 Moebd net production in Permian significant customer interest
expected by end of 2027 • 20 Kbd project in Strathcona for
renewable diesel reached final • Technology organization focused on
• On track with 2030 net-zero Scope 1 investment decision in 1Q23 breakthrough developments in carbon
and 2 plans for unconventional capture and hydrogen
operated assets
See Supplemental Information for footnotes, definitions, and assumptions around these future plans. 17
2023: growing shareholder value by meeting global needs
and reducing emissions
Leading Performance | Essential Partner | Advantaged Portfolio | Innovative Solutions | Meaningful Development
• Deliver an additional $2 billion in 2023 structural cost reductions; meeting $9 billion target versus 2019
• 2023 capex of $23-$25 billion underpins asset and product mix improvement
• Progress Baytown blue hydrogen project including front end engineering and design
• Grow Low Carbon Solutions customer base and reduce our own lifecycle emissions
Upstream scheduled maintenance earnings impact1 Energy products scheduled maintenance earnings impact3
Million USD Million USD
860
900 900
600 600
590
250
300 300
0 0
50 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 est.
1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 est.
Chemical Products scheduled maintenance earnings impact2 Specialty Products scheduled maintenance earnings impact4
Million USD Million USD
190 100
200
160 50
100
40
0 0
1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 est. 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 est.
50 (40)
3,822 • Favorable entitlement benefits in Qatar and lower
40 scheduled maintenance
3,716 100
• Advantaged projects delivering growth
(40) − Permian production of >560 Koebd1
$ 11,841
• Higher volume / mix driven by Guyana and Permian
growth nearly offset by unfavorable sales timing
30
(2,300) (210) $ 8,762 • Structural savings and disciplined cost control partly offset
(600) timing of activity spend
3Q22 ex. Margin Volume Expenses Other 4Q22 ex. Unsettled Price / 4Q22 ex.
ident. items / mix derivatives derivatives timing ident. items
and timing
(130)
$ 250
(20)
(120)
200 • Lower volume on basestock supply length
30 $ 800
$ 762 (70)
ExxonMobil reported emissions, including reductions and avoidance performance data, are based on a combination of measured and estimated data. Calculations are
based on industry standards and best practices, including guidance from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and Ipieca. Emissions reported are estimates only, and
performance data depends on variations in processes and operations, the availability of sufficient data, the quality of those data and methodology used for
measurement and estimation. Emissions data is subject to change as methods, data quality, and technology improvements occur, and changes to performance data
may be updated. Emissions, reductions and avoidance estimates for non-ExxonMobil operated facilities are included in the equity data and similarly may be updated as
changes in the performance data are reported. ExxonMobil’s plans to reduce emissions are good faith efforts based on current relevant data and methodology, which
could be changed or refined. ExxonMobil works to continuously improve its approach to identifying, measuring and addressing emissions. ExxonMobil actively engages
with industry, including API and Ipieca, to improve emission factors and methodologies, including measurements and estimates.
All references to production rates, project capacity, resource size, and acreage are on a gross basis, unless otherwise noted.
Actions needed to advance the Company’s 2030 greenhouse gas emission-reductions plans are incorporated into its medium-term business plans, which are updated
annually. The reference case for planning beyond 2030 is based on the Company’s Energy Outlook research and publication. The Outlook is reflective of the existing
global policy environment. The Energy Outlook does not attempt to project the degree of required future policy and technology advancement and deployment for the
world, or ExxonMobil, to meet net zero by 2050. As future policies and technology advancements emerge, they will be incorporated into the Outlook, and the
Company’s business plans will be updated accordingly.
ExxonMobil has business relationships with thousands of customers, suppliers, governments, and others. For convenience and simplicity, words such as venture, joint
venture, partnership, co-venturer, operated by others, and partner are used to indicate business and other relationships involving common activities and interests, and
those words may not indicate precise legal relationships.
Competitor data is based on publicly available information and, where estimated or derived, done so on a consistent basis with ExxonMobil data. Future competitor
data, unless otherwise noted, is taken from publicly available statements or disclosures by that competitor and has not been independently verified by ExxonMobil or
any third party. We note that certain competitors report financial information under accounting standards other than U.S. GAAP (i.e., IFRS).
See the Cautionary Statement at the front of this presentation for additional information regarding forward-looking statements.
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Supplemental Information
27
Supplemental Information
28
Supplemental Information
OPERATING COSTS AND CASH OPERATING EXPENSES 2019 2022
Components of operating costs
From ExxonMobil’s Consolidated statement of income (U.S. GAAP)
Production and manufacturing expenses 36.8 42.6
Selling, general and administrative expenses 11.4 10.1
Depreciation and depletion (includes impairments) 19.0 24.0
Exploration expenses, including dry holes 1.3 1.0
Non-service pension and postretirement benefit expense 1.2 0.5
Subtotal 69.7 78.2
ExxonMobil’s share of equity company expenses 9.1 13.0
Total operating costs (Non-GAAP) 78.8 91.2
Less:
Depreciation and depletion (includes impairments) 19.0 24.0
Non-service pension and postretirement benefit expense 1.2 0.5
Other adjustments (includes equity company depreciation and depletion) 3.6 3.5
Total cash operating expenses (cash opex) (Non-GAAP) 55.0 63.2
Energy and production taxes 11.0 23.8
Activity / Structural
Market
Other Savings
Total cash operating expenses (cash opex) excluding energy and production taxes (Non-GAAP) 44.0 +3 -1 -7 39.4
2022
Net cash provided by operating activities (U.S. GAAP) 76.8
Additions to property, plant and equipment (18.4)
Proceeds associated with sales of subsidiaries, property, plant and equipment, and sales and returns of investments 5.2
Additional investments and advances (3.1)
Other investing activities including collection of advances 1.5
Free cash flow (non-GAAP) 62.1
2022
Net cash provided by operating activities (U.S. GAAP) 76.8
Asset sales 5.2
Cash flow from operations and asset sales (non-GAAP) 82.0
Because of the regular nature of our asset management and divestment program, the company believes it is useful for investors to consider proceeds associated with the sales
of subsidiaries, property, plant and equipment, and sales and returns of investments together with cash provided by operating activities when evaluating cash available for
investment in the business and financing activities.
Capital employed is a measure of net investment. When viewed from the perspective of how the capital is used by the businesses, it includes ExxonMobil’s net share of
property, plant and equipment and other assets less liabilities, excluding both short-term and long-term debt. When viewed from the perspective of the sources of capital
employed in total for the Corporation, it includes ExxonMobil’s share of total debt and equity. Both of these views include ExxonMobil’s share of amounts applicable to equity
companies, which the Corporation believes should be included to provide a more comprehensive measure of capital employed.
Return on average capital employed (ROCE) is a performance measure ratio. From the perspective of the business segments, ROCE is annual business segment earnings
divided by average business segment capital employed (average of beginning and end-of-year amounts). These segment earnings include ExxonMobil’s share of segment
earnings of equity companies, consistent with our capital employed definition, and exclude the cost of financing. The Corporation’s total ROCE is net income attributable to
ExxonMobil excluding the after-tax cost of financing, divided by total corporate average capital employed. The Corporation has consistently applied its ROCE definition for
many years and views it as one of the best measures of historical capital productivity in our capital-intensive, long-term industry. Additional measures, which are more cash flow
based, are used to make investment decisions.
Slide 11
Slide 4 1. Includes Guyana and Permian.
1. References to routine flaring herein are consistent with the World Bank’s Zero
Routine Flaring Initiative/Global Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership’s (GGFRP)
principle of routine flaring, and excludes safety and non-routine flaring. Slide 12
2. 2021 vs. 2016 levels (at ExxonMobil operated assets); we are working to 1. North America refining throughput record on a same-site basis.
continuously improve our performance and methods to detect, measure and 2. Highest global refining throughput since 2012 on a same-site basis.
address greenhouse gas emissions.
Slide 13
Slide 5 1. ~$1.5 billion based on annualized difference in Chemical Products earnings
1. 10-year range includes 2010-2019. between 4Q22 and 4Q19, which represents the latest quarter with a market
2. Source: S&P Global Platts. environment comparable to 4Q22.
3. Source: ICE. Equal weighting of Henry Hub and NBP.
4. Source: S&P Global Platts and ExxonMobil analysis. Net margin calculated by Slide 15
equal weighting of U.S. Gulf Coast (Maya – Coking), Northwest Europe (Brent – 1. Includes PP&E adds of (18.4) billion and net investments / advances of (1.6)
Catalytic Cracking), and Singapore (Dubai – Catalytic Cracking) netted for billion in 2022.
industry average Opex, energy and renewable identification numbers (RINS).
5. Source: IHS Markit, Platts, and company estimates. Weighting of global
polyethylene (one-third each region), global polypropylene (one-third each
region), and AP paraxylene based on ExxonMobil capacity.
Slide 8
1. North America refining throughput record on a same-site basis.
33
Supplemental Information
Slide 17
1. Includes projects that bring on new volumes. Break-even based on cost-of-
supply to generate a minimum of 10% return on a money-forward basis.
2. Net production for Permian.
3. Return based on 2023 money-forward, remaining Capex-weighted basis, at full
capacity across Product Solutions using 2010—2019 annual average margins for
the following projects: Baton Rouge polypropylene, Baytown chemical
expansion, China chemical complex, Beaumont light crude expansion, Permian
logistics and processing, Singapore resid upgrade, Fawley hydrofiner and
pipeline, and Strathcona renewable diesel.
4. ~$17 billion lower-emission investment portfolio delivers >10% return on a
capital-weighted basis under current and potential future government policies
based on ExxonMobil projections.
Slide 20
1. Estimate based on January prices.
2. Estimate based on operating expenses related to turnaround activities.
3. Estimate based on December margins and operating expenses related to
turnaround and planned maintenance activities.
4. Estimate based on operating expenses related to turnaround and planned
maintenance activities.
Slide 21
1. Net production.
Slide 23
1. Highest global refining throughput since 2012 on a same-site basis.
34