Determinants of Demographic Trends

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DETERMINANTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS

There is no stable population of demographic population. Some populations increase and others
decrease. The size of a given population may change rapidly while others may change much more
slowly. In some populations, there is a high proportion of people under fifteen. The population has more
females than males in the older generation. These and other population characteristics are the results of
many factors which may be biological, demographical, social, economic, political, or cultural.

components of population change—fertility, mortality, and migration as drivers of vital demographic


processes.

Fertility – a demographic phenomenon greatly responsible for setting population trends.

Based on the preliminary results of the 2022 National Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS), the total
fertility rate1 (TFR) of Filipino women aged 15 to 49 years declined from 2.7 children per woman in 2017
to 1.9 children per woman in 2022. Hence, the Philippines is already below the replacement fertility
level of 2.1 children per woman. By area of residence, women living in rural areas had slightly higher TFR
of 2.2 children per woman as compared to women living in urban areas with 1.7 children per woman

Factors influencing fertility differential:

 Education. – the higher the educational attainment, especially that of a woman, the lower the
number of children.
 Occupation of the father and income. – Fathers of high-paying occupations have fewer children.
 Rural-Urban differential. – Fertility is higher in rural areas. The difference is probably because
couples cannot readily get information and facilities for family planning.
 Age at marriage. – Delayed marriage means lesser exposure to fertility and therefore reduces
the number of children born to a woman.
 Ambition. – the desire to maintain or secure a good social status. It is easier for many couples
with a good social status to maintain that status and ensure the same status for their children if
families are relatively small.

Measures of mortality:

 Crude Death Rate (CDR) – the number of deaths per 1,000 populations.
 Age-Specific death rate – the number of deaths or persons in a given age group per 1,000
populations of that age group.
 Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) – is expressed as the number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births;
it indicates how many babies die before reaching the age of one.
 Death Rate by Cause of Death – expressed in terms of deaths from a given disease (cause of
death) per 1,000 populations.
 Maternal Mortality Rate – the number of mothers dying per 1,00 live births.
Migration

The movement of people from one another to settle permanently.

Two General Kinds of Migration

 International Migration
 Internal migration

International Migration – the movement of people from one country to another to settle permanently.

 Immigration – the coming into the country of which the person is not a citizen for permanent
residence.
 Emigration – the going from one’s country for permanent residence in another country.

Internal Migration – the movement of people from one part of the country to another for permanent
residence. Internal migration may be out-migration or in-migration.

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