Esg Budget Management Final Version
Esg Budget Management Final Version
Esg Budget Management Final Version
COURSE CONTENT:
CHAPTER 1 – GENERALITIES ON BUDGETS
CHAPTER 2 - TYPES OF BUDGETS
2.1- SALES BUDGET
2.2 – PRODUCTION BUDGET
2.3-SUPPLY BUDGET
2.4- CASH BUDGET
2.5- INVESTMENT BUDGET
2.6- BUDGET RATIO
Sales Budget is an estimate of anticipation of sales in the near future prepared by the responsible
person for the sale of a product by considering the various factors of influence. Sales budget is
usually prepared in terms of quantity and value. The following factors are normally considered
for the preparation of sales budget of a firm:
∑ 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖
Where, a = ∑ 𝑋𝑖2
, Xi = xi - x̅ , Yi = yi - y̅
b= y̅ − at̅
Example 1 - You are given below the monthly turnovers in thousands of francs from January
to December of the year 2012 in an enterprise:
Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Turnover 91 94 96 100 106 114 126 130 133 138 142 146
in 00Frs
a) Draw a line graph to depict the sales and comment, from your graph, the trend in sales.
b) Determine the trend using the least square method.
c) Assuming that the trend is maintained forecast the turnover of the three first months of
2013.
Solution:
xi yi xi − x̅ yi − y̅ (xi − x̅ ) ( yi − y̅ ) (𝑥𝑖 − 𝑥̅ )2
1 9100 -5.5 -2700 14850 30.25
2 9400 -4.5 -2400 10800 20.25
3 9600 -3.5 -2200 7700 12.25
4 10000 -2.5 -1800 4500 6.25
5 10600 -1.5 -1200 1800 2.25
6 11400 -0.5 -400 200 0.25
7 13600 0.5 800 400 0.25
8 13000 1.5 1200 1800 0.25
9 13300 2.5 1500 3750 6.25
10 13800 3.5 2000 7000 12.25
11 14200 4.5 2400 10800 20.25
12 14600 5.5 2800 15400 30.25
Total = 78 141600 0 0 79000 143
78 1416000
x̅ = = 6.5 , ̅=
Y = 6.5
12 12
79 000
a= 143
= 552 , b = y̅ - ax̅ = 11800 – (552 x 6.5) = 8212
t Tt = 552t + 8212
1 8764
2 9316
∑(xi− x̅)(yi− y
̅)
r=
√∑(xi− x̅)2 ∑(yi − y
̅)2
A.3- THE METHOD OF MOVING AVERAGES: These are averages calculated by moving
along the values or observations of a time series. Corresponding to the seasons or periodicity
of the data, moving or overlapping averages are calculated in order to bring out a trend. The
aim of this method is to come out with a general trend in case of data with seasonal variation
and also to take into consideration these seasonal variations during the forecast. Hence, the
adjustment is no longer done on the original data but it is done on the moving averages obtained
from the original data.
Example 2– The information below is the number of vehicles passing through the Douala-
Yaoundé road within the four past years:
Solution:
5−1
k = 5 (odd), p = =2
2
A.3- THE MOVING TOTALS: This method accurately combines in case of time series,
seasonal variations and the search for general tendency. After fixing the value of the parameter
n, this method replaces each observation by the total of n last observations. The number of
moving totals depends on the value of n. The total observations of the first year from the first
moving total (the value of the parameter n is the number of observations of the first year). For
example n = 12 if observations are monthly, n = 4 if observations are quarterly. The moving
total totals are determined as in the table below:
Months (n=12) Calculation of the moving total
January Total observations from FebN-1 to JanN
February Total observations from MarN-1 to FebN
March Total observations from AprilN-1 to MarN
April Total observations from MayN-1 to AprilN
........ ………………………………………………………………….
........ ………………………………………………………………….
October Total observations from NovN-1 to OctN
November Total observations from DecN-1 to NovN
December Total observations from JanN to DecN
Example 3 – The monthly statistics of sales in thousands of Francs for the year N-1 are
presented as follows:
1. If there are two data with the same x-values, they should be arrange in an increasing order of
their y-values.
2. If the data are odd, after the arrangement the middle data should not be taking into account
for the determination of the equation of the regression (i.e., strike off the middle data).
A.5 – THE EXTREME POINT METHOD: Also called the high and low value method. This
method consists of coming out with a regression line in the form y = ax +b, with the following
consideration:
Application :
1- Income of workers and their expenditures on food are summarized in the table below:
▪ Determine the equation of the regression line through the double average method.
▪ Forecast :
➢ full expenditures for consumers earning 260 000F
➢ what may be the income of a consumer who spend 1 500 000F for food?
2 – Considered a discrete data provided to you by a sole proprietor for the financial year 2016.
Employees (X) 5 7 8 10 11 12 13
Profit (Y) 60 80 80 110 100 120 120
Required: Determine the equation of the regression through the extreme point method.
In a time series where there are seasonal variations, the calculation of forecasts should take
into account these variations. Seasonal coefficients are used to take into account seasonal
variations in forecasting. Many methods enable to calculate these seasonal coefficients.
a) Simple method called method of periodical averages: The seasonal coefficient of each
period is calculated by applying the following formula:
N.B.:
▪ If seasonal coefficients are calculated monthly, the total coefficients should be equal to
12.
▪ If seasonal coefficients are calculated quarterly, the total coefficients should be equal to
4.
b) Method of ratios to the trend: This method enables to determine the equation of the trend
line using the least squares, which is used to determine the adjusted values of the periods
(months or quarters). The seasonal coefficient of a period is determined by applying the
following formula:
Example 4 - the quarterly sales of the four last months (in thousands of units) of an enterprise
are given in the following table:
1. Determine the equation of the general trend line using the least squares method.
2. Calculate the seasonal coefficients:
Solution:
By using the adjustment equation: y = 18.83x + 363.95 the adjusted values of the 1st term of the
year N-3 to the 4th quarter of the year N should be calculated:
514.59
3rd quarter 4068/4 = 1017 420.44+495.76+571.08+646.4 1017/533.42 = 1.91
= 533.42
4
552.25
3. Use of the adjustment equation of the line and seasonal coefficients to forecast for the
year N+1 :
Quarters Forecasted sales
1st quarter [(18.83*17) + 363.95] * 0.67 = 458.32
2nd quarter [(18.83*18) + 363.95] * 0.99 = 695.86
3rd quarter [(18.83*19) + 363.95] * 1.91 = 1378.49
4th quarter [(18.83*20) + 363.95] * 0.43 = 318.44
The sales budget is a summary table of forecasted sales in quantities and in values, displayed
per periods (months, weeks, quarters, . . . ) or by geographical regions or by product or family
of product with the possibility of combining the various criteria, for instance per product and
per geographical region and even per period in a single table. In function of the criterium
considered, we can have the following presentations:
Example 5 - The Joint Stock Company TIAM & Bros exclusively sells a product called BIZOU
in bottle. Its market which is in Cameroon and in the CEMAC countries is divided into 03
zones. You are given for the year N the following information:
c- Selling expenses:
d- Evolution of the selling price: During the 3rd quarter of the year N an increase of the selling
price is forecasted at 20% for home sales, but a drop of 5% in the other CEMAC countries.
1- Graphically represent the evolution of quarterly sales in quantity in the CEMAC zone
during the year N.
2- Present for the year N the sales budget (in term of turnover).
Solution:
Solution:
It is one of the important sub functional budgets, prepared by the sales manager who is
responsible for the sales volume of the enterprise to increase through various devices/tools of
sales promotion. The sales overhead can be classified into two categories viz fixed sales
overhead and variable sales overhead.
➢ Fixed sales overhead is the expenses incurred for promoting the sales, which remains
the same or fixed irrespective of the volume of the sales. Example, salaries to sales
department, Salaries to the Administrative Staff and Salary to Salesmen.
➢ Variable sales overhead is the expenses incurred for the promotion of the sales, which
is varying along with the volume of sales of the firm. Example, sales commission,
agents commission, and carriage outward expenses.
As for the sales, a table summarising these charges is presented. We can have the following
presentations:
Periods 1 2 3 ............... ............... Totals
Elements
Fixed expenses
..............................
.............................
Variable expenses
.............................
............................
Totals
The preparation of the production budget is mainly dependent on the sales budget. The
production budget is a statement of goods, how much should be produced. It may be in terms
of quantities, Kilograms in monetary terms and so on. Production budget shows the production
for the budget period based upon:
1. Sales budget,
Generally, the activities of the industrial enterprises are carried out in workshops. These
workshops function within a certain limit due to the capacity of machines which is also limited.
In fact, the enterprise limits the production of outputs to the capacity of workshops, to the
quantity of inputs available and to the capacity of the market.
Solving a linear programme implies the determination of values of the decision variables for
which the value of the objective function is maximised or minimised. The solution to linear
programmed is done using two techniques: - graphical method and Simplex method.
I - GRAPHICAL METHOD
The graphical method is used only when the enterprise envisages producing only two types of
products. That is, a two variable linear programming problem can be easily solved graphically.
The method is simple but the principle of solution depends on the following steps:
Step 1: Draw constraint-lines and determine which side of the line satisfy the inequality.
Each constraint consists of a line, and to draw, one sets the inequality to be the equality. In a
simple approach, we look for the value of y when x = 0, and the value of x when y = 0. We
obtain two points coordinates (x1, y1) and (x2, y2), which are plotted and a straight line is draw
joining them.
Step 2: Define feasible region. This is done by selecting the region that satisfies all the
constraints including the non-negativity constraints.
Step 3: Find the optimum point for which the value of the objective function is maximum or
minimum. Each point within the feasible region constitutes a feasible solution. The coordinate
of each point is substitute into the objective function, and the point with the max or min value
of Z gives the optimum solution.
X2
200
2x1+ 5x2= 800 (line 2)
160
5x1 + 6x2= 1200 (line 3)
X2
200
2x1+ 5x2= 800 (line 2)
160
B 5x1 + 6x2= 1200 (line 3)
C
Feasible
region
A D
X1
200 240 400
• Feasible Region: The complete intersection of these three closed half planes is shown
in the above graph as ABCD. The region ABCD is called the feasible region. The
collection of all the feasible solution is known as the feasible region. The feasible region
is a convex polygon. The extreme point of this convex region are A, B, C and D.
• Feasible Solution: Any non-negative value of x1, x2 that is x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0 is known as a
feasible solution of the linear programming problem if it satisfies all the existing
constraints.
• Optimal point and optimum solution: The coordinate with the maximum value of z
is known as the optimal point. The following table shows the calculation of maximum
value of the objective function:
Coordinates
Extreme point Max Z = 30x1 + 40x2
x1 x2
The linear programming with two variables can be solved graphically. The graphical method
of solving linear programming problem is of limited application in the business problems as the
number of variables is substantially large. If the linear programming problem has larger number
of variables, the suitable method for solving is Simplex method.
➢ SIMPLEX STEPS: The following steps are used for the Simplex approach:
Step 1: Transform the standard form of the LP into canonical form (or equation). The
transformation is done by including surplus, slack and artificial variables into the system.
▪ Artificial Variable: A non-negative variable introduced to provide basic feasible
solution and initiate the simplex procedures. It is introduced for ≥ or = types
inequalities.
▪ Slack Variable: A variable corresponding to a ≤ type constraint is a non-negative
variable introduced to convert the inequalities into equations.
▪ Surplus Variable: A variable corresponding to a ≥ type constraint is a non-negative
variable introduced to convert the constraint into equations.
Step 1 could be summarised as follows:
Cj 8 6 0 0
BV x1 x2 s1 s2 Value
8 x1 1 0 1/3 -1/6 12
Given that all the cj-zj≤ 0, the above solution is optimal: x1 = 12, x2 = 6, s1=s2 = 0 and z* = 132.
Application:
The production department has established the times in hours necessary for the manufacturing
of a unit of each product and in each workshop, the maximal capacity of the manufacturing
workshops, and the variable cost per unit of work as follows:
Work required:
2 – Mr Tem, the technical director in charge of the production, envisages according to the
diversification policy of the enterprise, to produce two new types plumbing tabs for the public.
The first model is called VALDUS and is a tab for the bathing room, while the second model
REGULUS is a wash basing tab. These tabs are produced in three workshops: Mounting-
Assembling-Finishing:
Workshops Model
Work required:
1. The quality standards for each item of material have to be specified. In this connection,
standardisation of size, quality, colour, etc., may be considered.
2. Standard requirement of each item of materials required should also be set.
3. Standard prices for each item of materials should be set after giving consideration to stock
and contracts entered into.
Remarks:
• After setting standards for quality, quantity and prices, the direct materials budget can
be prepared by multiplying each item of material required for the production by the
standard price. If there is any existing stock of raw materials, i.e. opening stock of raw
materials available from years, it should be deducted from the volume of materials
required for production to be ordered and placed. The remaining volume should be the
volume to be ordered for production.
Example 9: The sales manager of the Lord Ltd. reports that next year he anticipates to sell
50,000 units of a particular product. The production manager consults the storekeeper and casts
his figures as follows: Two kinds of raw materials A and B are required for manufacturing the
product. Each unit of the product requires 2 units of A and 3 units of B. The estimated opening
balances at the commencement of the next year are:
Finished product: 10,000 units
Raw Materials A: 12,000 units
Raw Materials B: 15,000 units
The desirable closing balances at the end of the next year are
Finished products: 14,000 units
Raw materials A: 13,000 units
Raw materials B: 16,000 units
Prepare production budget and materials purchase budget for the next year:
Solution:
The problem of supply in enterprises can be defined as a policy enabling to all external
elements necessary to realize the production when and where the enterprise is in need with a
pre-defined level of quality, this by minimizing the global cost. The construction of a supply
budget is done at two levels:
2.3.1- Stock management techniques: The management of stock aims at minimizing the
global supplying cost with stocking cost included. The simplest theoretical reasoning is based
on the following quantities: -
▪ The alarm stock: it is the stock level from which an order should be placed. Alarm
stock = safety stock + daily consumption x supplying duration in days.
▪ The safety stock or security stock represents the quantity that will be permanently in
stock to face unforeseen circumstances. Safety stock = usage rate x days of safety, where
usage rate = Annual usage/ Days of safety;
Again, let Q = economic order quantity, A = Annual consumption and N = Optimal number of
command to place during the year. The following relations can be established:
A A Q A
Q = N ; N = Q; A = NQ , Average stock = 2 = 2N.
Example 10- From the following information calculate, (1) Re-order level (2) Maximum level
2.3.2- ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY (EOQ) AND ECONOMIC ORDER NUMBER (EON)
One of the major inventory management problems to be resolved is how much inventory should be
added when inventory is ordered. These problems are called order quantity problems, and the task of
the firm is to determine the optimum or economic order quantity (or economic lot size). Determining an
optimum inventory level involves two types of costs :(a) ordering costs and (b) carrying or possession
costs. The economic order quantity is that inventory level that minimizes the total cost of ordering and
carrying costs. Meanwhile, the economic order number (EON) refers to the number of commands or
order to be placed during the year that minimizes the total cost of ordering and carrying costs.
▪ ORDER COSTS
It represents the amount of indirect and direct expenses linked to the treatment and placing of
commands. For example, they include costs incurred in the following activities: requisitioning, purchase
ordering, transporting, receiving, inspecting and storing. The total ordering cost is proportional to the
number of commands (N) placed during the year.
𝐴
EON or N = the optimal number of commands to place during the year =𝑄.
A
➢ Total order cost (TOC) == Q
∗ O (in terms of order size) . Or,
Costs incurred for maintaining a given level of inventory are called carrying or possessing costs. In
other words, it concerns all what has been spent in keeping and conserving stocks by the enterprise.
They include storage, insurance, taxes, deterioration and obsolescence.
Let us assume that carrying cost (or holding cost or possession cost) per unit, c, is constant, and Q is
the order size. Then, average inventory will be:
Order size Q A A
➢ Average inventory = =2 = 2N (since Q = N )
2
Q
➢ Total carrying cost =2 x c (in terms of quantities) or
Ax c
➢ Total carrying cost = 2N
(in terms of commands or order)
The total inventory cost is the sum of the carrying and ordering cost:
Qxc AxO
➢ Total cost of inventory (TC) = + (in terms of order quantity).
2 Q
Or,
Axc
➢ TC = + N x O (in terms of number of commands)
2N
ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY (EOQ): The optimal size of an order for replenishment of inventory
is called economic order quantity. Economic order quantity (EOQ) or optimum order quantity is that
size of the order where total inventory costs (ordering costs + carrying costs) are minimized. Economic
order quantity can be calculated from any of the following two methods:
1. Formula Method: It is also known as ‘square root formula’ or ‘WILSON formula’ as given
A A
below: EOQ or Q = √2AO/C and EON or N = Q =
√2AO/C
Where, A = Annual usage (or consumption) of inventories (units), O = Ordering cost per unit and C =
Carrying (or holding or possession) cost per unit
2. Graphical Method: - The economic order quantity can also be determined with the help of
graph. Under this method, ordering costs, carrying costs and total inventory costs according to
different lot sizes are plotted on the graph. The intersection point at which the inventory carrying
cost and the ordering cost meet, is the economic order quantity. At this point the total cost line
is also minimum. The EOQ occurs at the point Q* where the total cost is minimum. On the
other hand, the EON or N, occurs at the point N* where the total cost is minimum as shown in
the figure below:
Qxc
TCC= 2
AxO
TOC = Q
Q*
Order size Q
TOC= O x N
Ax c
TCC = 2N
N* Number of command N
Example 11 - The annual demanded of FOKOU Ltd is 50 000 bags of cement and the ordering cost
order is 15 000F. The purchase per bag is 5 000F and the carrying cost is 12% of the purchase per
annum. Calculate the EOQ.
Solution:
A = 50 000
O = 15 000
2(50 000)(15000)
EOQ= √
600
Application:
An enterprise consumes per year 48 000 kg of raw materials M. The cost of placing an order
is 6 000F and the possession cost is made up of the financial cost of 5%, depreciation of 2%,
warehouse keeping 2%. The unit purchase price of a kg is 100F.
Calculate:
a) The economic number of order and quantities that will enable to minimize the total
cost.
b) Develop the equation of total cost, and use it to calculate the total cost for 1-12 numbers
of orders.
Once the EOQ and EON are known, a schedule of commands and deliveries should be
established in function of consumptions (exists) forecasted. Budgeting can be either by constant
(regular) quantities or by constant periods.
1. Budgeting by constant quantities: The quantity to order (Q) is determined by dividing the
𝐶
annual consumption (C) by the number of commands (N). That is Q = 𝑁 .
This method enables to present a double entry table having at least the following columns:
o Periods
o Exists or consumptions
o Stock with rupture (shortage)
o Entries or deliveries
o Corrected stock
o Commands (date of commands and quantities ordered)
• Fill the periods (which are generally months from December N to December N+1)
• Fill the exists or consumptions
• In the column of stock with eventual rupture and on the line corresponding to the first
period (December N), write the initial stock (which is the final stock of the year N that
is December N)
• The other stocks with eventual rupture are determined by applying the following
formula: Stock with eventual ruptures period N = Stock with eventual rupture or
corrected stock period N-1 - Consumptions period N.
• From the forecasted deliveries and considering the replenishment period, the different
dates of commands which enable to fill the column which is reserved for it is
determined.
Example 12– An industrial enterprise uses a raw material for the manufacturing of finished
products. The stock on the 31/12/N was 480 FRS.
- Possession cost of the average stock is 5F per unit and per month;
- The cost of placing a command is 5 760F;
- The safety cost corresponds to one month of consumption;
- Commands are placed at the beginning of the month and deliveries are received at the
same time;
- The replenish period is one month; and
- The forecasted consumptions for the year N+1 are the following :
Months J F M A M J J A S O N D Total
Consumptions 120 360 420 432 150 540 328 522 688 604 432 204 4800
Work required:
Solutions:
M D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Needs 480 780 852 582 690 868 850 1210 1292 1036 636 x
IS 480 360 960 540 1068 918 378 1010 1448 760
Deliveries 960 960
M J F M A M J J A S O N D
IS 480 360 960 540 1068 918 378 1010 1448 760 1116 684
Consumptions 120 360 420 432 150 540 328 522 688 604 432 204
Commands 01/01 01/03 01/06 01/07 1/9
Qty ordered 960 960 960 960
Date of delivery 01/02 01/04 01/07 01/08 1/10
Qty delivered 960 960 960 960 960
FS with rupture 360 0 540 108 918 378 50 1448 760 156 684 480
Corrected FS 360 960 540 1068 918 378 1010 1448 760 1116 684 480
Budgets of commands, deliveries, exists and stocks for the year N+1:
Month D J F M A M J J A S O N D
commands 960 960 960 960 960 x
Deliveries 960 960 960 960 960
Exists 120 360 420 432 150 540 328 522 688 604 432 204
Stock 480 360 960 540 1068 918 378 1010 1448 760 1116 684 480
When the gaps among deliveries are constant knowing the number of commands, the date of
the first delivery is determined and from there the other dates of delivery can easily be
determined. The main problem is that of determining the various quantities to order. To
overcome this problem the supply program should be established in such a way that the delivery
should bring up the opening stock at the level of needed consumption. The accounting or the
graphical method is used.
Example 13 - The management of SAMY enterprise thinks that during the year to come, there
will need 24 000 units of raw materials M in the manufacturing process. The stock on the 31/12
of the present year is 2800 units:
Months J F M A M J J A S O N D Total
Consumption 1000 1800 2180 2160 2280 2700 2640 600 2940 2520 2160 1020 24 000
Work required:
Solution:
Month J F M A M J J A S O N D
commands 4340 4980 3240 5460 3180 x
Deliveries 4340 4980 3240 5460 3180 x
Exists 1000 1800 2180 2160 2280 2700 2640 600 2940 2520 2160 1020
Stock 1800 4340 2160 4980 2700 3240 600 5460 2520 3180 1020 x
The treasury budget is the summary of all transactions involving the bank and the cash accounts
that is all expenditure and receipts. In the other hand, cash budget is nothing but an estimation
of cash receipts and cash payments for specified period. It is prepared by the head of the
accounts department, i.e. chief accounts officer.
• Cash budget represents the cash requirements of the business during the budget period.
It is the plan of receipts and payments of cash for the budget period, analysed to show
the monthly flow of cash drawn up in such a way that the balance can be forecasted at
regular intervals.
• The cash budget is one of the most important elements of the budgeted balance sheet.
Information from the various operating budgets, such as the sales budget, the direct
materials purchases budget, and the selling and administrative expenses budget, affects
the cash budget.
• In addition, the capital expenditures budget, dividend policies, and plans for equity or
long-term debt financing also affect the cash budget.
Sections of a cash budget : The treasury budget is divided into :
a) The table of encashment or collections. They concern:
▪ Transactions created during the previous periods but having their outcome during the
current year. Ex., collections of customer’s debt;
▪ Or, transactions created during the current periods and having their outcome during the
same period, such as cash sales of goods.
Example 15- A friend of yours, Mike Anderson, has recently been made redundant from his
job as a sales representative for an arts and crafts company. Mike has decided to set up in
business on his own selling art supplies to shops and art societies. He plans to invest 20,000 of
Dr. Forbeneh Jude (Ph.d in Finance) Page 49
his savings into the new business. He has a number of good business contacts, and is confident
that his firm will do well. He thinks that some additional finance will be required in the short
term and plans to approach his bank for this.
Mike asks for your assistance in producing a cash statement for his new business for the next
six months. He provides the following information:
• The business, which is to be called ‘Art Supplies’ will commence in January 2021.
• Non-current assets costing 8,000 will be bought in early January. These will be paid for
immediately and are expected to have a five-year life, at the end of which they will be worthless.
• An initial stock (inventory) of goods costing 5,000 will be bought and paid for at the beginning
of January.
• Monthly purchases of goods will then be made at a level sufficient to replace forecast sales
for that month, i.e., the goods he expects to sell in January will be replaced by purchases made
in January, and so on.
• Forecast monthly sales are:
January February March April May June
3,000 6,000 6,000 10,500 10,500 10,500
• The selling price of goods is fixed at the cost price plus 50 per cent; for example, the goods
he expects to sell in January for 3,000 will have cost him 2,000 (two-thirds of the selling price),
i.e., his mark-up is 50%.
• To encourage sales, he will allow two months’ credit to customers; however, only one month’s
credit will be received from suppliers of goods (but the initial goods will be paid for
immediately).
• Operating expenses of the business, including rent of premises, but excluding depreciation of
non-current assets, are estimated at 1,600 per month and are paid for in the month in which they
are incurred.
• Mike intends to draw 1,000 each month in cash from the business.
Work required - You are asked to prepare cash statement for the first six months of the
business.
Solution:
Total receipts for month 20,000 4,400 3,000 6,000 6,000 10,500
Payments :
Non-current assets 8,000 - - - - -
Inventory 5,000 - - - - -
Trade payables - 2,000 4,000 4,000 7,000 7,000
Operating expenses 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600
Drawings 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Total payments for month 15, 600 4,600 6,600 6,600 9,600 9,600
Balance c/d 4,400 (2 00) (3,600) (600) (3,600) 900
Bank balance (or overdraft) - +200 +3,600 +600 +3,600 -
Application:
The balance sheet of TATA enterprise on the 31/12/2010 is presented as follows (in 00 000F):
Fixed assets 2 330 Capital 2 144
Deposits and advance on fixed assets 31 Financial provision for risk 148
Stocks 1 863 Medium term loans 298
Customers 54 Current account of shareholders 360
Cash 133 Suppliers 828
Short term loan 205
Accrued charges 12
Bank 261
Results 155
For the 1st semester of the year 2011 the forecasts are given as follows: (in 00 000FCFA)
a) The cost of the investment: The amount of capital invested should include:
N.B – the scrap (or residual) value of the project is considered as the cash-flow of the year N+1.
Example 16– A joint stock company wishing to expand and diversify its activities envisage to
acquire at the beginning of the year a new machine costing 30 000 000F having a life span of
5years, and to be depreciated linearly. The residual value of this asset at the end of the fifth year
is zero. The forecasted production in quantity is presented as follows:
It is assumed that the entire production will be sold and the unit selling price will be 200 F and
will be constant all over the 5 years. The operating charges relating to this equipment amount
to 150 FCFA per unit sold. The company tax rate is 38.5%. Calculate the yearly cash-flows.
1 2 3 4 5
Turnover 10 000 000 12 000 000 14 000 000 16 000 000 18 000 000
Charges 7 500 000 9 000 000 10 500 000 12 000 000 13 500 000
c) CRITERIA OF DECISION
✓ Accept / Reject criteria: If the actual pay-back period is less than the predetermined
pay-back period, the project would be accepted. If not, it would be rejected.
Example 17- Project cost is 30,000 and the cash inflows are 10,000, the life of the project is5
years. Calculate the pay-back period.
Solution:
Initial investment 30 000
Pay-back period = Annual cash inflows = 10 000 = 3 years
✓ For uneven cash inflows: Normally the projects are not having uniform cash inflows.
In those cases the pay-back period is calculated, cumulative cash inflows will be
calculated and then interpreted.
Example 18- Certain projects require an initial cash outflow of 25000. The cash inflows for 6
years are 5000, 8000, 10000, 12000, 7000 and 3000.
Solution:
= 3 years 2 months.
2-Return on capital employed (ROCE) or Accounting rate of return (ARR)
ARR uses accounting information to measure profitability of an investment. Average rate of
return means the average rate of return or profit taken for considering the project evaluation. In
other words, it is the ratio of the average after tax profit divided by the average investment. The
average investment would be equal to half of the original investment if it were depreciated
constantly. Alternatively, it can be found out by dividing the total of the investment’s book
values after depreciation by the life of the project.
Average income
Accounting rate of return (ARR) = Average investment(book value) x 100
EADIT/n
ARR = Io+ In ,
2
where, EADIT = earnings after depreciation, interest and Taxes, Io = Initial investment, In =
Final investment and n = periods.
Initial investment (Io )+Final investment( In )
Average investment =
2
Initial investment−Scrap
Or, average investment = 2
✓ Accept/Reject criteria: If the actual accounting rate of return is more than the
predetermined required rate of return, the project would be accepted. If not it would be
rejected.
Period
1 2 3 4 5 Average
EBDIT 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 20 000 14 400
Depreciation 8 000 8 000 8 000 8 000 8 000 8 000
(-) EBIT 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 12 000 6 400
Taxes (50%) 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 6 000 3 200
EBIT 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 6 000 3 200
Book value of investment
Beginning 40 000 32 000 24 000 16 000 8 000
Ending 32 000 24 000 16 000 8 000 -
Average 36 000 28 000 20 000 12 000 4 000 20 000
3 200
IRR = 20 00 x 100 = 16 per cent
Net present value method is one of the modern methods for evaluating the project proposals.
Under this method, all cash inflows and outflow are discounted at a minimum acceptable rate
of return; usually the firm’s cost of capital. Mathematically,
tC
t − Co , where, Ct = Cash inflows of period t, Co = Initial investment outlay, r =
NPV =∑ (1+r)
▪ Accept/Reject criteria:
➢ NPV > 0, project is acceptable, in other words, a positive NPV means the project earns
a rate of return higher than the firm’s cost of capital.
➢ NPV < 0 , project is rejected.
➢ NPV = 0, may be either rejected or accepted.
Example 20 - From the following information, calculate the net present value of the two
projects and suggest which of the two projects should be accepted at discount rate (10%) of the
two.
Project 1 2 3 4 5
X 5 000 10 000 10 000 3 000 2 000
Y 20 000 10 000 5 000 3 000 2 000
Solution:
t C
NPV(X)=∑ (1+r)t − Co
NPV(X) = 4.227
t C
NPV(Y) = ∑ (1+r)t − Co
NPV(Y) = 4.728
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Cash flow(F) 4 000 1 200 1 410 1 875 1 150
Estimate the IRR at the cost of capital of 14% p.a
Solution:
83
IRR = 14% + (16 − 14)% = 14% + (0.5𝑥2%) = 15%
83−−81
PI is the ratio of the present value of cash-inflows, at the required rate of return, to the initial
cash outflow of the investment. The profitability index (PI) is the present value of a project’s
future cash flows divided by the initial investment. It can be expressed as:
NPV
=1−
Initial investment
Application:
The Gerhardt Corporation investment had an outlay of €50 million, a present value of future
cash flows of €63.136 million, and an NPV of €13.136 million. What is the profitability index?
d) CHOICE OF INVESTMENT WITH UNCERTAINTY
It is a matter of minimizing risk, when it comes to choosing among many investment projects
with a variability of cash-flows. Here, we attribute respective probability to each cash-flow.
Possible techniques are:
• Standard deviation
• Coefficient of variation
σ(X)
Coefficient of variation (CV) = 𝐸(𝑋), where, σ(X) = standard deviation and E(X) = mathematic
Cash flows 0 40 000 80 000 120 000 160 000 200 000
Probability 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05
Project B:
Cash flows 0 40 000 80 000 120 000 160 000 200 000 240 000 280 000
Probability 0.25 0.32 0.16 0.1 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.01
Work required: what is the best project for the enterprise?
Project A:
57 410.8
CV = = 0.7953
72 000
Project B:
70 103.92
CV = = 0.9846
71 200
Many methods enable to compare projects having different life spans. These methods include
among others:
Project A Project B
Acquisition price of equipments 14 000 000 14 000 000
Forecasted annual net cash flows 5 000 000 3 200 000
Life span 4 years 8 years
Residual value at the end of the life span 0 0
Equipments are depreciated according to the constant system of depreciation and the net
accounting value is considered as the residual value at the end of each year. The actualization
rate is 10%.
1- Using the method of identical renewal and by calculating the net actual value
2- By calculating the NAV of each investment after a life span of 4 years
3- Using the method of equivalent constant annuity.
Solution:
Project 2:
1− (1.10)−8
-14 000 000 + 3 200 000( ) → NAV = 3 071 763
0.10
Project 2:
0.1
Constant annuity = 3 071 763 (1− (1.10)−8 ) = 575 783
2.6.2- Calendar ratio: This ratio may be defined as the relationship between the number of
working days in a period and the number of working as in the relative budget period. It is
Available workink days
calculated as follows: Calendar ratio = Budgeted working days x 100
2.6.3-Control ratio: Budget is a part of the planning process. After the various budgets,
including the master budget, have been prepared, you may like to compare actual performance
with the budgeted performance. This can be done by using three important ratios as shown
b) Capacity Ratio: This ratio indicates whether and to what extent budgeted hours of activity
are actually utilised. It shows the relationship between the actual number of working hours and
the maximum possible number of working hours in a budgeted period. It is calculated as
Actual hours worked
follows: capacity Ratio = x 100
Budgeted hours
2.6.4- Efficiency Ratio: This ratio indicates the degree of efficiency attained in production. It
is obtained by expressing the standard hours equivalent to the work produced as a percentage
of the actual hours spent in producing that work. It is calculated as follows: Efficiency ratio
Standard hours for actual production
= x 100
Actual hours worked in production