DNV Maritime Forecast To 2050 Webinar Slidedeck
DNV Maritime Forecast To 2050 Webinar Slidedeck
DNV Maritime Forecast To 2050 Webinar Slidedeck
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AGENDA
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Regulations, technologies and fuel production are
developing, with a large impact on shipping’s future
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All decarbonization solutions must be explored
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2,200 carbon-neutral fuel projects identified, most without
final investment decision
afi.dnv.com
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Shipping requires an estimated 30-40% of global
carbon-neutral fuels in 2030
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Emissions from fuel production are part of IMO’s goals
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Regulations are needed to ensure emissions are not
moved from ship to shore
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Onboard carbon capture and storage can reduce the demand
for carbon-neutral fuels
Avoids
competition
for sustainable
biomass and
renewable electricity
Case study
for 15,000 TEU
container vessel
Capturing 70%
of CO2
in 4,000 m3 tanks
CCS high
30% fuel penalty
80 USD/ton CO2
CCS low
15% fuel penalty
40 USD/ton CO2
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Nuclear powered ships are a proven technology used in
navies and ice-breakers
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Case study of 15,000 TEU container vessel shows that nuclear
propulsion can compete with other decarbonization solutions
Nuclear high
CAPEX
6,000 USD/kW
Nuclear low
CAPEX
4,000 USD/kW
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Maritime Forecast to 2050 – key findings
Strengthened Shipping will Half the ordered Global fuel Onboard carbon
IMO ambitions require an tonnage can use production capture and
and first estimated LNG, LPG or standards are nuclear are
international 30-40% of global methanol in needed to meet technically and
CO2 price in EU, cross-sector dual-fuel engines IMO’s net-zero economically
set the carbon-neutral close to 2050 feasible options
decarbonization fuel supply in goal
pathway 2030
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Maritime Forecast to 2050 – implications
Fuel producers Reducing energy The fuel and Further regulatory Cost of
must accelerate consumption technology shift clarity and decarbonization
plans, but need critical to lowering will require large commercialization must be carried
offtake emissions and scale training of of new technologies through the
commitments softening the seafarers, no matter is required maritime value
from fuel buyers impact of which technologies chain by green
increased energy and fuels are the corridors or similar
costs winners mechanisms
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Maritime Forecast to 2050 – recommendations
Shipowners should:
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Related DNV resources and services (selection only)
Decarbonization On-demand Theme pages Publications
hub webinar, podcast DCS, CII, SEEMP III, etc. Alternative fuels, Maritime
Forecast, etc.
Resources on
Maritime
Forecast to 2050
www.dnv.com/decarb www.dnv.com/insights www.dnv.com/insights www.dnv.com/insights
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Thanks for joining!
MARITIME
FORECAST
TO 2050
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