AFM Important Theory
AFM Important Theory
AFM Important Theory
IMPORTANT QUESTION
Venture capital (VC) is a form of financing that is provided by investors, typically in the
form of professional individuals or firms, to startup companies and small businesses with
high growth potential. In exchange for their investment, venture capitalists receive equity
ownership in the company. This means they become partial owners and share in the potential
profits and losses of the business.
Venture capital is often sought by new businesses that have limited operating history, lack
access to traditional forms of financing, and are in need of significant capital to fund their
development, research, and initial market entry. It is a riskier form of investment compared
to traditional financing, as many startups may fail, but the potential for high returns on
successful investments is also significant.
Venture capitalists typically play an active role in guiding and supporting the companies they
invest in, providing not just capital but also strategic advice, industry expertise, and
networking opportunities to help the startups succeed. The ultimate goal for venture
capitalists is to realize a profitable exit from their investment, which may come in the form
of the company going public, being acquired, or through other means.
The optimum capital structure refers to the ideal mix of debt and equity that a company
should maintain to maximize its overall value and minimize its cost of capital. Achieving the
optimum capital structure involves determining the right balance between debt and equity
financing that allows a company to optimize its financial performance and shareholder
wealth.
1. Cost of Capital: Balancing the costs associated with debt (interest payments) and equity
(dividends and dilution of ownership) to minimize the overall cost of capital.
2. Risk Tolerance: Assessing the company's risk tolerance and choosing a capital structure
that aligns with its ability to manage financial risk. Debt brings financial leverage but also
increases risk, as interest payments are contractual obligations.
3. Flexibility: Ensuring that the capital structure provides the company with the financial
flexibility needed to pursue growth opportunities, handle unforeseen challenges, and adapt to
changing market conditions.
4. Tax Considerations: Taking into account the tax advantages associated with interest
payments on debt, as interest is typically tax-deductible, while dividends on equity are not.
Finding the optimum capital structure is an ongoing process and may change over time as a
company evolves and market conditions shift. It is a critical aspect of financial management,
as it directly impacts the cost of capital and, ultimately, the valuation and financial health of
the company.
The Net Operating Income (NOI) approach is often associated with capital budgeting and
investment decisions, particularly in real estate. The prime assumption of the Net
Operating Income approach is that the value of an income-producing asset is primarily
driven by its net operating income.
The central idea is that the value of an investment property is based on the income it
generates rather than the capital appreciation or depreciation. This approach is commonly
applied in real estate valuation, where the focus is on the property's ability to generate
income through rent or other operating revenues.
Capital rationing refers to the situation where a company or investor faces constraints on the
amount of capital available for investment in various projects or opportunities. In other
words, there is a limitation on the total amount of funds that can be allocated to different
investment projects within a given period. This constraint may arise due to internal financial
policies, limited access to external financing, or a desire to maintain a specific level of
financial stability.
1. Hard Capital Rationing: This occurs when external factors, such as limited access to
financing or stringent borrowing conditions, restrict the amount of capital available for
investment. Hard capital rationing is typically non-negotiable and imposed by external
circumstances beyond the company's control.
2. Soft Capital Rationing: In contrast, soft capital rationing is more of an internal constraint
imposed by the company's management or board of directors. It may be based on strategic
decisions, risk tolerance, or a desire to maintain a certain level of financial conservatism.
Soft capital rationing is often more flexible and can be adjusted based on changing
circumstances.
In a capital rationing scenario, decision-makers must carefully allocate the limited capital
among various investment options. They need to prioritize projects based on their expected
returns, risk profiles, and strategic alignment with the organization's goals. The goal is to
maximize the overall value or profitability of the investment portfolio given the constraints
on available capital.
1. Identification of Key Variables: The first step is to identify the critical variables or
factors that could significantly influence the future. These variables can include economic
indicators, market trends, regulatory changes, technological advancements, or any other
factors relevant to the situation being analyzed.
2. Definition of Scenarios: Once the key variables are identified, different scenarios are
created based on varying assumptions about the future values of these variables. Scenarios
are plausible, internally consistent narratives of how the future might unfold. They often
include both optimistic and pessimistic outcomes, as well as a middle-of-the-road or baseline
scenario.
5. Contingency Planning: Scenario analysis helps in developing contingency plans and risk
management strategies. Organizations can identify early warning signs that a particular
scenario is unfolding and take proactive measures to mitigate risks or capitalize on
opportunities.
Scenario analysis is widely used in various fields, including finance, business planning,
project management, and public policy. It is particularly valuable in situations where there is
a high degree of uncertainty and where the future is influenced by multiple factors that may
interact in complex ways. Overall, scenario analysis enhances strategic decision-making by
providing a more comprehensive understanding of potential future developments.
1. Liquidity for Daily Transactions: Cash is the most liquid form of asset, and having
cash on hand allows individuals and businesses to quickly and easily settle transactions
for goods and services. It is especially important for small, routine transactions where
using electronic payments or credit may not be practical.
While holding cash for transaction motive provides liquidity and convenience, it's
essential to strike a balance. Excessive cash holdings may result in missed investment
opportunities, as cash typically earns lower returns compared to other forms of
investments. Therefore, individuals and businesses need to manage their cash holdings
efficiently, considering both the transactional needs and the opportunity cost of holding
excess cash. This balance is a crucial aspect of cash management in personal finance and
corporate financial management.
Treasury bills (T-bills) are short-term debt securities issued by a government as a way to
raise funds. These securities are typically considered low-risk investments and are often used
by investors as a safe haven for their funds. Treasury bills are issued with maturities ranging
from a few days to one year, making them a short-term investment instrument.
Here are some key features of Treasury bills:
1. Issuing Authority: In the United States, Treasury bills are issued by the U.S. Department
of the Treasury. In other countries, similar short-term government debt securities may have
different names.
2. Maturity Periods: Treasury bills come with maturities of 4 weeks (28 days), 13 weeks
(91 days), 26 weeks (182 days), or 52 weeks (364 days). Investors can choose the maturity
that aligns with their investment horizon.
3. Zero Coupon Securities: Treasury bills are sold at a discount to their face value. Unlike
traditional bonds that pay periodic interest (coupons), T-bills do not make interest payments
during their term. Instead, investors earn a return by purchasing the bill at a discount and
receiving the face value at maturity.
4. Liquidity: Treasury bills are highly liquid instruments. They can be easily bought or sold
in the secondary market before their maturity, providing investors with flexibility.
5. Risk Profile: T-bills are considered one of the safest investments because they are backed
by the government's ability to tax and print money. They are often used as a benchmark for
the risk-free rate in financial markets.
6. Interest Rate: The return on a Treasury bill is the difference between the purchase price
and the face value, expressed as an annualized percentage. This return is known as the
discount rate, and it represents the interest earned over the bill's maturity.
Investors, including individuals, institutions, and central banks, often use Treasury bills as a
way to preserve capital and have a safe and liquid investment option. The short-term nature
of T-bills makes them suitable for those looking to park funds temporarily or manage
liquidity. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury regularly auctions T-bills to raise funds, and the
market for these securities is an integral part of the broader financial system.
The stability of dividends refers to the consistency and predictability with which a company
pays dividends to its shareholders over time. A company with a stable dividend policy aims
to provide regular, reliable, and relatively predictable dividend payments, typically on a
scheduled basis, such as quarterly or annually.
2. Cash Flow Adequacy: Stable dividends require sufficient cash flow to meet the
company's operational needs and fund future growth initiatives while still having surplus
cash to distribute to shareholders. Companies that can consistently generate positive cash
flow are better positioned to maintain stable dividend payments.
3. Financial Health: The financial health of a company influences its ability to sustain
dividends. A stable dividend policy is more likely in financially sound companies with
manageable debt levels, healthy profit margins, and effective cost management.
6. Dividend Payout Ratio: The dividend payout ratio, which is the proportion of earnings
paid out as dividends, is an important metric. A moderate and sustainable payout ratio is
often associated with a more stable dividend policy.
Stable dividends are attractive to income-focused investors, such as retirees or those seeking
regular income from their investments. A consistent dividend stream can also be an indicator
of a company's financial strength and management's confidence in its future prospects.
However, it's essential for investors to conduct thorough research and assess the factors
mentioned above to determine the sustainability and reliability of a company's dividend
policy.
• Define the term 'Financial planning'
7. Tax Planning: Strategic tax planning aims to optimize tax efficiency by identifying legal
ways to reduce tax liabilities. This may involve taking advantage of tax deductions, credits,
and other incentives.
8. Estate Planning: Preparing for the orderly transfer of assets to beneficiaries involves
estate planning. This may include the creation of wills, trusts, and other arrangements to
ensure the smooth transition of assets.
9. Debt Management: Evaluating and managing debt is part of financial planning. This
includes strategies for debt reduction, consolidation, and optimizing the use of credit.
Financial planning is a dynamic and ongoing process. As life circumstances change, such as
marriage, starting a family, career advancements, or unexpected financial events, the
financial plan may need to be adjusted accordingly. The goal of financial planning is to help
individuals and organizations make informed financial decisions that align with their
objectives and improve overall financial stability.
1. Financial Accounting:
- In financial accounting, capitalization refers to the process of recording an expenditure as
an asset rather than as an expense. This is often done when the expenditure is expected to
provide benefits over multiple accounting periods. For example, if a company spends money
to acquire a long-term asset, such as machinery or a building, it may choose to capitalize the
cost over time rather than expensing it all at once.
Market Cap = Current Market Price per Share x Total Outstanding Shares
2. Project Evaluation: Once potential projects are identified, they undergo a thorough
evaluation. Various financial and non-financial criteria are considered to assess the
feasibility and potential returns of each project. Financial metrics such as Net Present Value
(NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback Period, and profitability index are commonly
used in this evaluation process.
3. Risk Analysis: Capital budgeting involves assessing the risks associated with each
investment project. Factors such as market conditions, technological uncertainties, regulatory
changes, and other variables are considered to estimate the potential risks and uncertainties
that may impact the success of the project.
4. Capital Rationing: Organizations often have limited capital resources. Capital budgeting
helps in allocating these resources efficiently among competing projects. This may involve
setting priorities based on the potential return on investment and strategic importance of each
project.
5. Decision Making: Based on the evaluation and risk analysis, management makes
decisions about which projects to pursue and which to reject. Projects that are expected to
generate positive returns and contribute to the organization's overall objectives are typically
approved.
- Net Present Value (NPV): Calculates the present value of expected future cash flows
minus the initial investment.
- Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Represents the discount rate that makes the present value
of cash inflows equal to the present value of cash outflows.
- Payback Period: Measures the time required for the initial investment to be recovered
from the project's cash inflows.
Effective capital budgeting is crucial for allocating resources wisely and ensuring that the
selected projects contribute to the organization's long-term success. It requires a careful
balance between financial analysis, strategic alignment, and risk management.
• Define Cash management
1. Cash Collection: Efficient cash management begins with the timely collection of
receivables. Organizations need to ensure that customers pay their invoices promptly to
maintain a healthy cash inflow.
3. Cash Forecasting: Cash forecasting involves estimating future cash inflows and
outflows. It helps organizations plan for potential cash shortages or surpluses and make
informed financial decisions.
4. Optimal Cash Balance: Determining the optimal level of cash to hold is crucial.
Holding too much cash can result in missed investment opportunities, while holding too
little can lead to liquidity issues. The goal is to strike a balance between liquidity and
opportunity cost.
5. Investment of Surplus Cash: Organizations with excess cash may choose to invest it
in short-term, low-risk instruments to earn some return while maintaining liquidity.
Common investment options include money market funds, Treasury bills, or short-term
certificates of deposit.
7. Cash Flow Management: Understanding the patterns of cash inflows and outflows
helps organizations identify potential cash flow gaps or surpluses. This knowledge
enables better decision-making in terms of timing payments or taking advantage of early
payment discounts.
8. Working Capital Management: Efficient management of working capital, including
inventory and accounts payable, can contribute to optimizing cash flow. Minimizing
excess inventory and negotiating favorable payment terms with suppliers can positively
impact cash positions.
Effective cash management is critical for the financial health and stability of both
businesses and individuals. It ensures that there is enough cash to cover operational
needs, emergencies, and opportunities, while also making the most of surplus funds
through prudent investment strategies.
• what is Dividend?
1. Types of Dividends:
- Cash Dividends: The most common type of dividend is a cash payment made to
shareholders. The company pays a certain amount of money per share, and shareholders
receive cash directly into their accounts.
- Stock Dividends: Instead of cash, companies may issue additional shares of stock as
dividends. Shareholders receive additional shares in proportion to their existing holdings.
3. Dividend Yield:
- Dividend yield is a financial metric calculated by dividing the annual dividend per share
by the stock's current market price. It represents the percentage return on investment from
dividends.
4. Importance to Investors:
- Dividends are a source of income for investors, particularly those who rely on investment
income for their living expenses, such as retirees.
- Dividend-paying stocks are often considered by income-oriented investors as a way to
generate a steady cash flow.
5. Dividend Policies:
- Dividend Payout Ratio: The proportion of earnings paid out as dividends. It is
calculated by dividing the total dividends by net income.
- Dividend Stability: Companies may follow different dividend policies, including a
constant dividend per share, a stable dividend payout ratio, or a policy of paying dividends
based on earnings performance.
It's important to note that not all companies pay dividends. Some companies, especially
younger or rapidly growing ones, may choose to reinvest their earnings back into the
business for expansion or development rather than distributing them to shareholders. The
decision to pay dividends depends on the company's financial health, growth prospects, and
the preferences of its management and shareholders.
4. Strategic Focus:
- VBM emphasizes the importance of strategic decisions that contribute to long-term value
creation. This includes evaluating investment opportunities, mergers and acquisitions, and
capital allocation strategies in terms of their impact on shareholder value.
5. Risk Management:
- VBM incorporates risk considerations into decision-making. Companies assess the risks
associated with various strategies and projects and aim to optimize risk-adjusted returns.
6. Continuous Improvement:
- VBM is not a one-time exercise but a continuous process of improvement. Companies
regularly reassess their strategies and operations to ensure they remain aligned with the goal
of maximizing shareholder value.
Value-Based Management is often associated with the idea that successful companies focus
on the long-term creation of shareholder value rather than short-term financial metrics. It
encourages a holistic approach to management that considers the impact of decisions on all
stakeholders while maintaining a primary commitment to shareholder wealth maximization.
• What is Leverage?
Leverage generally refers to the use of various financial instruments or borrowed capital to
increase the potential return on an investment or to amplify the impact of a business
operation. Leverage can be both positive and negative, depending on whether it enhances
returns or increases risk.
1. Financial Leverage:
- Financial leverage involves using borrowed funds (debt) to finance investments with the
expectation that the returns generated will exceed the cost of borrowing. The use of debt
magnifies the potential return on equity, but it also increases the risk, as interest payments
must be made regardless of the profitability of the investment.
- The leverage ratio is a common metric used to assess financial leverage. It compares a
company's total debt to its equity. A higher leverage ratio indicates a higher level of financial
leverage.
2. Operating Leverage:
- Operating leverage refers to the extent to which fixed costs are used in a company's
operations. A business with high fixed costs and low variable costs has a high degree of
operating leverage. This means that a small change in sales can result in a larger percentage
change in profits.
- The degree of operating leverage (DOL) is a measure of how sensitive a company's
operating income is to changes in revenue. It is calculated by dividing the percentage change
in operating income by the percentage change in sales.
Leverage can magnify both gains and losses. When investments or operations are successful,
leverage can lead to higher returns on equity. However, if things go poorly, the impact of
losses can be more significant, potentially leading to financial distress.
It's crucial for individuals and businesses to carefully manage leverage, considering both the
potential benefits and risks. Excessive or poorly managed leverage can lead to financial
instability and increased vulnerability to economic downturns. Understanding the
implications of financial and operating leverage is an important aspect of financial
management and risk assessment.
1. Purpose:
- The primary purpose of issuing bonus shares is not to provide additional value to
shareholders in terms of cash but to capitalize the company's reserves and surplus. It is a way
for the company to convert a part of its retained earnings into share capital.
2. Proportional Distribution:
- Bonus shares are distributed to existing shareholders on a proportional basis. The number
of bonus shares received is typically determined by the number of shares a shareholder
already holds. For example, if a shareholder holds 100 shares and the company announces a
1-for-1 bonus issue, the shareholder will receive an additional 100 bonus shares.
3. Impact on Share Price:
- In theory, the issuance of bonus shares does not impact the overall market value of the
company or the wealth of shareholders. Since the additional shares are distributed for free,
the market price per share should adjust to reflect the increase in the number of outstanding
shares. However, in practice, the announcement of bonus shares can sometimes lead to
positive market sentiment, and the share price may experience upward movement.
4. Capitalization of Reserves:
- Bonus share issues are often used as a way to capitalize the reserves and surplus of a
company. By converting a portion of retained earnings into share capital, the company
strengthens its equity base.
5. Improving Liquidity:
- Bonus shares can increase the liquidity of a company's shares in the market. With more
shares available, there may be a higher trading volume, and the shares may become more
accessible to a broader range of investors.
6. Tax Implications:
- In many jurisdictions, the issuance of bonus shares is generally not subject to taxation for
shareholders. Since no cash is received, there is no immediate tax liability for the bonus
share issuance. However, tax laws can vary, and shareholders should consult with tax
advisors for specific guidance.
Bonus share issues are a way for companies to reward existing shareholders without
impacting their cash position. It is a form of financial restructuring that adjusts the
company's capital structure by converting retained earnings into additional shares.
1. Project Identification:
- The first step is to identify potential investment opportunities. This can come from
various sources, including market research, internal departments, technological
advancements, or strategic initiatives. Project proposals are generated, outlining the details of
each potential project.
2. Project Screening:
- In the screening stage, project proposals are evaluated based on predefined criteria. This
may include alignment with the company's strategic goals, potential return on investment,
risk factors, and other qualitative and quantitative factors. Projects that do not meet the
criteria may be eliminated from further consideration.
3. Project Evaluation:
- The evaluation stage involves a detailed financial analysis of the remaining projects.
Common financial metrics used in this stage include:
- Net Present Value (NPV): Calculates the present value of expected future cash flows
minus the initial investment.
- Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Represents the discount rate that makes the present
value of cash inflows equal to the present value of cash outflows.
- Payback Period: Measures the time required for the initial investment to be recovered
from the project's cash inflows.
- Profitability Index: Compares the present value of cash inflows to the initial
investment.
4. Risk Analysis:
- Assessing and managing risks associated with each project is a crucial step. This includes
considering factors such as market uncertainties, technological risks, regulatory changes, and
other variables that could impact the success of the project. Risk-adjusted discount rates or
scenario analysis may be used.
5. Capital Rationing:
- Companies often have limitations on the amount of capital available for investment.
Capital rationing involves prioritizing projects based on their expected returns and overall
strategic importance. It ensures that the most valuable projects receive funding within the
available budget constraints.
6. Decision Making:
- After evaluating and analyzing the projects, management makes decisions about which
projects to pursue and which to reject. Projects that are expected to generate positive returns
and contribute to the organization's overall objectives are typically approved.
7. Implementation:
- Once a project is approved, it moves to the implementation phase. This involves
executing the plans outlined in the project proposal, allocating resources, and initiating the
necessary activities to bring the project to fruition.
8. Post-Implementation Review:
- After the project is completed, a post-implementation review is conducted to assess
whether the project achieved its objectives, stayed within budget, and generated the expected
returns. Lessons learned from the review can inform future capital budgeting decisions.
Trade credit refers to the credit extended by one business to another for the purchase of
goods and services. It is a common practice in business-to-business transactions and plays a
significant role in facilitating trade and supporting the smooth functioning of supply chains.
The objectives of trade credit can vary for both the buyer (debtor) and the seller (creditor).
Here are the objectives from both perspectives:
1. Maintaining Cash Flow: One of the primary objectives for the buyer is to maintain
positive cash flow. By negotiating favorable trade credit terms, the buyer can delay payment
for goods or services, preserving cash for other operational needs.
2. Managing Working Capital: Trade credit allows buyers to effectively manage their
working capital. By obtaining goods or services on credit, the buyer can use its available
cash for other critical aspects of the business, such as inventory management or debt
reduction.
3. Taking Advantage of Discounts: Some suppliers may offer discounts for early payment.
Buyers can use trade credit strategically to take advantage of these discounts, optimizing
their cost of goods or services.
5. Supporting Seasonal Cash Flow Needs: In industries with seasonal variations in sales,
trade credit can be particularly beneficial. It allows businesses to acquire inventory or
resources during peak seasons and delay payments until revenue is generated.
3. Building Customer Loyalty: Offering trade credit fosters a positive relationship between
the seller and the buyer. By providing credit options, sellers can build trust and loyalty with
customers, encouraging repeat business.
4. Reducing Financing Costs: Sellers often factor financing costs into their pricing. By
offering trade credit, sellers can reduce the need for buyers to secure external financing,
potentially leading to higher sales and increased profitability.
5. Managing Cash Flow for the Seller: While trade credit involves a delay in receiving
cash payments, it also allows sellers to manage their own cash flow more effectively. Sellers
can negotiate credit terms that align with their own working capital needs.
Overall, the objectives of trade credit vary depending on the specific circumstances and goals
of the parties involved. It is a dynamic aspect of business transactions that requires careful
negotiation and management to achieve mutually beneficial outcomes.
Interim dividend and final dividend are two types of dividends that a company may declare
and distribute to its shareholders. The key distinction between them lies in the timing of the
declaration and payment, as well as the circumstances under which they are distributed.
Interim Dividend:
1. Timing: Interim dividends are declared and paid by a company at any time during its
financial year, before the annual financial statements are prepared and finalized.
2. Purpose: Interim dividends are usually paid to distribute a portion of the profits earned by
the company during a specific period before the end of the fiscal year. The company may
choose to distribute interim dividends if it has generated significant profits and wants to
share them with shareholders before the year-end.
3. Approval: The declaration of an interim dividend is typically at the discretion of the
company's board of directors. They have the authority to declare an interim dividend without
seeking approval from shareholders.
4. Financial Statements: Interim dividends are not based on audited annual financial
statements. Instead, they are often declared based on unaudited or interim financial
statements.
Final Dividend:
1. Timing: Final dividends are declared and paid by a company after the completion of its
financial year and the preparation and audit of the annual financial statements.
2. Purpose: Final dividends are paid to distribute the remaining profits or retained earnings
after the company's financial performance for the entire fiscal year has been assessed. It
represents the final distribution of profits for that specific financial year.
3. Approval: The declaration of a final dividend usually requires approval from shareholders
at the annual general meeting (AGM). The AGM is where shareholders formally approve the
company's financial statements and the proposed final dividend.
4. Financial Statements: Final dividends are based on audited annual financial statements,
providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial performance for the entire fiscal
year.
In summary, the primary difference between interim and final dividends lies in the timing of
their declaration and payment. Interim dividends are declared and paid during the fiscal year
based on unaudited or interim financial statements, while final dividends are declared and
paid after the completion of the financial year based on audited annual financial statements
and require shareholder approval at the annual general meeting.
• Sensitivity Analysis.
Sensitivity analysis is a technique used in financial modeling and decision-making to assess
how changes in one or more variables impact the outcomes or results of a model, project, or
investment. It helps in understanding the sensitivity of a particular output or outcome to
variations in input parameters, allowing decision-makers to assess the robustness of their
assumptions and make more informed choices.
1. Purpose:
- The primary purpose of sensitivity analysis is to evaluate the impact of changes in key
input variables on the results of a model or decision. It helps identify which variables have
the most significant influence on the output and where the model or decision is most
sensitive.
2. Variables:
- Sensitivity analysis typically involves varying one or more input variables while keeping
other factors constant. Common variables include market conditions, interest rates,
production costs, sales volumes, and other relevant factors.
3. Methods:
- There are various methods for conducting sensitivity analysis, including:
- One-variable analysis: Examining the impact of changes in a single variable while
keeping others constant.
- Scenario analysis: Evaluating outcomes under different scenarios by varying multiple
variables simultaneously.
- Tornado diagrams: Graphical representations that show the impact of variables on a
particular output.
- Monte Carlo simulation: A more complex method that involves generating multiple
random scenarios to assess the distribution of potential outcomes.
4. Risk Assessment:
- Sensitivity analysis is closely related to risk assessment. By understanding how changes
in key variables affect outcomes, decision-makers can better assess the risks associated with
a project, investment, or decision.
5. Decision Support:
- Sensitivity analysis provides decision-makers with valuable insights into the factors that
have the most significant impact on the success or failure of a project. This information can
guide strategic decision-making and risk management efforts.
6. Model Validation:
- Sensitivity analysis is a critical component of model validation. It helps ensure that a
financial model or decision-making tool is robust and can withstand variations in input
parameters without leading to unrealistic or unexpected outcomes.
7. Limitations:
- While sensitivity analysis provides valuable insights, it has limitations. It assumes that
variables change independently, and it may not capture complex interactions between
variables. Additionally, it may not account for uncertainties that arise from factors outside
the modeled variables.
Sensitivity analysis is widely used in various fields, including finance, investment analysis,
project management, and operations research. It enables decision-makers to make more
informed and resilient decisions by considering the potential impact of uncertainties and
variations in key input parameters.
5. Transaction Costs:
- The model assumes that there are fixed costs associated with each cash management
transaction. These costs include fees, administrative expenses, and other costs related to
buying or selling marketable securities to adjust the cash balance.
The decision rules in the Miller-Orr Model are based on comparing the actual cash balance
to the upper limit, lower limit, and action point. The company takes the following actions:
- No Action: If the actual cash balance is between the upper and lower limits, no action is
taken.
- Buy or Sell Securities: When the actual cash balance reaches the upper or lower limit, the
company initiates a transaction to either buy marketable securities (if the balance is too high)
or sell marketable securities (if the balance is too low).
- Determining the Order Size: The model helps determine the order size or the amount of
securities to be bought or sold to return the cash balance to the target level.
The Miller-Orr Model is particularly suitable for businesses with uncertain cash flows and
aims to strike a balance between the opportunity cost of holding excess cash and the
transaction cost of frequent cash management activities. It provides a systematic approach to
cash management by establishing trigger points for action based on predefined limits.
- Assumptions:
- Capital markets are perfect and efficient.
- There are no taxes or transaction costs.
- Investors have the same information and expectations regarding the company's
future prospects.
- Investment decisions are independent of financing decisions.
- Key Propositions:
- According to this theory, dividend policy has no impact on the overall value of a
firm under the specified conditions.
- Investors are assumed to be indifferent between receiving dividends and capital
gains from the sale of shares. In other words, they can create their own dividends by
selling shares if needed.
- The value of a firm is determined by its investment policy and the expected
profitability of its projects, not by its dividend policy.
- Conclusion:
- In a world without taxes and perfect capital markets, a firm's decision to pay
dividends or retain earnings does not affect its overall value. Investors are primarily
concerned with the total return on their investment, which includes both capital gains
and dividends.
2. Relevance Theory:
- Proposed by: While Modigliani and Miller's dividend irrelevance theory provides
valuable insights, it has limitations in the real world, particularly in the presence of
taxes and information asymmetry. Some argue that dividends can be relevant in
certain situations.
- Conclusion:
- Dividend policy can be relevant in certain situations, depending on the
preferences of investors, tax considerations, and signalling effects.
In summary, while the dividend irrelevance theory suggests that, under certain ideal
conditions, dividend policy does not affect the value of a firm, the relevance theory
acknowledges that in the real world, factors such as taxes, signalling effects, and
investor preferences can make dividend decisions relevant. The actual impact of
dividends on the value of a firm can vary based on the specific circumstances and the
characteristics of the investors and markets involved.