2023 Transaction Review
2023 Transaction Review
2023 Transaction Review
Defense, Government & Intelligence Physical & Cyber Security Critical Infrastructure Maritime Transport & Facilities
©The
2024McLean
The McLeanGroup
Group. All rights reserved. The McLean Group | 8260 Greensboro Drive | Suite 350 | McLean, VA 22102 | (703) 827-0200 | www.mcleanllc.com
Securities transactions
Premier middle market conducted throughbank
investment McLean Securities, member FINRA/SIPC
January 2024
ANNUAL
TMG OVERVIEW
M&A REPORT 2023 NOVEMBER 2023
Illustrative Transactions
January 2023: Main Street Capital March 2023: Eqlipse Technologies April 2023: ASRC Federal acquired
August 2023: Michael Baker September 2023: Anduril Industries November 2023: Godspeed Capital
International, a global provider of (“Anduril”) acquired Blue Force announced the formation of its new
engineering, planning, and consulting Technologies (“Blue Force”), a Tyler intelligence platform with a number
services acquired Tidal Basin, a developer of autonomous aircraft of acquisitions, including Seaford
program manager for emergency with an integrated aerostructures Consulting, a provider of services to
response and disaster planning. Tidal
Basin will continue to operate as a
division serving a wide range of
defense and commercial customers.
Tyler the Intelligence Community including
IT, business transformation, and
stand-alone Company and will work Blue Force has been developing Fury, financial management. Seaford’s
in connection with Michael Baker to serve their shared a group 5 autonomous air vehicle with fighter-like highly cleared employee base has spent over 13 years
customer base. While not consolidated operationally, performance since 2019. The acquisition expands delivering successful solutions on full and open contracts
the two Companies are expected to create significant Anduril’s existing autonomous fleet to now include large to its customer, and will now join the larger Crimson
revenue synergies for DC Capital while working towards high-performance aircraft, and significantly increase the Phoenix platform to continue delivering their services
their shared mission of improving the nation’s recovery Company’s reach and impact within the Department of across customers within the Intelligence Community.
efforts and infrastructure resiliency. Defense.
Fairness
Busine Opinion
McLean provides McLean provides McLean provides McLean provides McLean provides
Solvency Opinion Purchase Price Allocation Business Valuation Fairness Opinion Business Valuation for
Estate and Gift
Goodwill Business
Asset Appraisal
Impairment Test Valuation
Mclean provides McLean provides Mclean provides Assets Mclean provides Goodwill Mclean provides
Pre- IPO Valuation Purchase Price Allocation Appraisal, Business Valuation, Impairment Test Business Valuation
and Purchase Price Allocation
Defense, Government & Physical & Cyber Critical Maritime Transport &
Intelligence Security Infrastructure Facilities
Includes defense, intelligence, and federal Encompasses firms that ensure physical Comprised of firms that provide Includes maritime shipping and
civilian contractors as well as providers of security, digital security, and technology solutions, components, and services to transportation firms as well as related
diversified government services related to risk management. Areas such as security the commercial, industrial, municipal, facilities and vessels. This includes firms
IT and consulting services that help operations, threat intelligence, and agriculture markets. This sector is that are involved in both “blue water“,
support mission critical, core operational, vulnerability analysis, and security data less volatile and will see fewer ebbs and which includes ocean trade, and “brown
and administrative functions of integration/visualization are of particular flows as the market fluctuates. water,” which includes rivers and coastal
government agencies. interest. trade.
55%
52.7%
45%
35% 34.3%
27.0%
25%
15% 14.8%
8.2%
5%
-5%
-15%
Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23
─ Russia and Ukraine fighting intensified in 2023, with many calling President Biden visited Israel, clearly demonstrating who the
the conflict a “war of attrition.” Since Russia’s initial invasion of United States sides with on this conflict. As the proposed $14.3
Ukraine in February 2022, neither side has been able to make a billion in aid to Israel remains in flux, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd
significant breakthrough, and there remains little sign that a peace Austin recently vowed to keep Israel armed with “critical
deal is on the horizon. The U.S. continued its support of Ukraine, munitions, tactical vehicles, and air defense systems.”
with President Biden making an unannounced visit to Kyiv in
February 2023 and providing additional security assistance packages ─ On October 31st, the Department of Veteran Affairs (VA) named a
throughout the year. As of December 2023, the U.S. Government list of 30 companies that were given awards for the 10-year, $60.7
has provided over $45 billion in military aid to Ukraine alone. billion T4NG2 contract vehicle. The VA indicated that its plan is to
continue legacy work and issue new task orders on the original
─ Government funding levels for defense and space-related T4NG contract until the ceiling is reached. According to GovTribe
technologies continued to rise in 2023. The government is data, the current T4NG vehicle has issued approximately 65% of its
diversifying its approach and allocating financial resources to the ceiling value to date across 587 awards. Notable T4NG2 awardees
space market through new channels, including loans and other include Deloitte, Mantech, and SAIC.
transaction agreements. The Biden Administration’s FY 2023 budget
included historic science and technology investments, surpassing ─ Large government contractors continue to stand up internal
$200 million in total federal R&D for the first time in history. In the venture capital arms, with the goal of investing in startup
proposed FY 2024 budget, the U.S. Space Force funding exceeds that companies across defense, artificial intelligence/machine learning,
of NASA by $1 billion, confirming space and space-based intelligence and cybersecurity areas. These contractors include Booz Allen
as a priority and focus of the U.S. government. Hamilton, SAIC, Lockheed Martin, RTX, and most recently,
Maximus. As the government looks to speed up innovation and
─ On October 7th , the Israel-Hamas war began when Hamas launched adoption of new technology, many believe venture capital and
an unprecedented attack on southern Israel. Shortly thereafter, growth equity will continue to increase in popularity across the
federal contracting space.
Source(s): FedScoop, Washington Technology, GovTribe,
Congressional Research Services, VAO News, RSM
30% 28.5%
24.7%
20%
16.5%
10%
0% 1.4%
-10%
-20%
Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23
Commentary
─ Despite the economic turbulence in early 2023, largely stemming from rapid inflation, interest rate hikes, and the banking crisis, equity markets
performed quite well, with the S&P 500 finishing up 24.7% for the year.
─ Defense and government contractors continued to perform well in 2023 on the heels on geopolitical events, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine
war, the Israel-Hamas events, and ongoing government initiatives, including IT system modernization, AI/ML adoption, and national security.
─ Looking ahead to 2024, economists and analysts are bullish on the outlook for the economy, predicting that the Federal Open Market Committee
(“FOMC”) will begin rate cuts by May and the markets will reach new all-time highs during the calendar year.
Source(s): S&P CapIQ
1. For index composition, please see page 37
Transactions by Quarter 1
2020: 155 Deals 2021: 205 Deals 2022: 220 Deals 2023: 199 Deals
82
71 71
57 57 60
53 52
47
43
35 34 34 34
30
19
Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23
Source(s): CapIQ
* announcement date
Lockheed Martin 453.24 126,286 66,623 9,912 15% 68,673 9,891 14% 1.90x 12.74x 1.84x 12.77x
Northrop Grumman 468.14 83,785 39,088 5,287 14% 41,086 5,761 14% 2.14x 15.85x 2.04x 14.54x
General Dynamics 259.67 80,381 42,774 5,277 12% 45,838 6,011 13% 1.88x 15.23x 1.75x 13.37x
L3Harris 210.62 53,794 19,362 3,483 18% 21,340 3,966 19% 2.78x 15.45x 2.52x 13.56x
BAE Systems 14.15 47,394 31,500 4,181 13% 33,824 4,523 13% 1.50x 11.33x 1.40x 10.48x
Average $248.33 $90,889 $45,433 $6,873 15% $48,282 $7,384 15% 2.05x 13.72x 1.92x 12.60x
Gov’t Contractors
Booz Allen Hamilton 127.91 19,763 9,259 1,014 11% 10,483 1,138 11% 2.13x 19.49x 1.89x 17.36x
Leidos 108.24 19,403 15,259 1,618 11% 15,950 1,680 11% 1.27x 11.99x 1.22x 11.55x
CACI 323.86 9,209 6,703 716 11% 7,348 770 10% 1.37x 12.86x 1.25x 11.96x
SAIC 124.32 8,556 7,704 680 9% 7,343 688 9% 1.11x 12.58x 1.17x 12.44x
Parsons 62.71 7,451 5,285 452 9% 5,648 507 9% 1.41x 16.48x 1.32x 14.69x
V2X 46.44 2,569 3,929 288 7% 4,079 304 7% 0.65x 8.93x 0.63x 8.44x
Average $132.25 $11,158 $8,023 $795 9% $8,475 $848 10% 1.33x 13.72x 1.24x 12.74x
Teledyne Technologies 446.29 23,798 5,664 1,373 24% 5,899 1,470 25% 4.20x 17.33x 4.03x 16.18x
Elbit Systems 215.20 11,114 5,978 578 10% 6,463 617 10% 1.86x 19.23x 1.72x 18.01x
Kratos Defense & Security 20.29 2,939 1,018 89 9% 1,108 104 9% 2.89x 33.10x 2.65x 28.19x
Mercury Systems 36.57 2,735 974 132 14% 955 158 17% 2.81x 20.68x 2.87x 17.33x
Average $179.44 $13,023 $3,320 $586 16% $3,647 $662 17% 4.00x 24.54x 3.54x 21.05x
Low $14.15 $2,569 $974 $89 7% $955 $104 7% 0.65x 8.93x 0.63x 8.44x
Mean $187.10 $39,847 $19,843 $2,878 13% $21,105 $3,100 14% 2.37x 16.90x 2.16x 15.13x
Median $127.91 $19,763 $7,704 $1,014 12% $7,348 $1,138 13% 1.90x 15.45x 1.84x 13.56x
High $468.14 $153,691 $73,251 $13,095 26% $78,928 $14,152 25% 8.26x 33.10x 6.44x 28.19x
─ Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) have become ─ The federal government released the long-awaited draft of the
increasingly important to cybersecurity as the technology matures. Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC) guidelines,
AI can help counter cyberattacks, and ML algorithms can analyze which lays out DoD expectations for how government contractors
data in real-time more efficiently than humans. AI can learn to are expected to maintain and protect sensitive military data.
identify patterns that indicate a threat, making it easier to predict
and prevent attacks. According to IBM, businesses that use AI to ─ The CMMC draft contains no mention of waivers for small
detect and respond to data breaches save an average of $3 million. businesses, meaning smaller contractors may need to
undertake the expensive and lengthy task of obtaining
─ Hackers are also turning to AI/ML to find system necessary certification levels.
vulnerabilities. Bad actors are employing AI algorithms that scan
for and identify vulnerable systems, thus increasing the ─ Prime contractors will be tasked with ensuring compliance
quantity and efficiency of threats. AI is also being used to create among applicable suppliers, introducing costs associated with
large numbers of targeted and personalized phishing emails oversight and enforcement.
designed to manipulate recipients. ─ Corporate cybersecurity customers seek shorter-term contracts
from vendors after a volatile year, according to a recent Wall Street
─ The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency
Journal report. In many instances, customers are seeking to shield
published guidelines in November to ensure secure
themselves from suppliers who are acquired or are struggling
development practices in AI. The guidelines emphasize
financially.
incorporating security in new AI applications and using a
"secure by design" approach, as well as ensuring security in ─ Increasing emphasis on “sovereign cloud” networks: Cloud
operational practices and maintenance. system users are becoming increasingly focused on where their
data is stored in cloud networks. Sovereign clouds ensure data is
─ President Biden signed an executive order focused on addressing
stored on servers located on sovereign soil, which helps prevent
the rapid advancements of AI. The order lays the groundwork for
unauthorized foreign access.
the U.S. government to embrace AI as a tool in national security
while also urging companies to develop the technology safely.
Source(s): SC Magazine, CNBC, InfoSecurity, Washington Technology, IBM
40%
30% 27.4%
24.7%
20%
20.6%
10%
0% 1.0%
-10%
-20%
Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23
Security Services Security Solutions Cyber Security S&P 500
Commentary
─ All indices finished positive in the last twelve months, driven by better-than-expected macroeconomic conditions and evolving security threats.
─ The Cyber Security index outperformed the S&P 500, reflecting investors’ awareness of the increasingly important service of cyber threat
mitigation. In particular, the emergence of AI threats has caused companies to rethink how they will safeguard sensitive data.
─ The Security Solutions index, which has substantial exposure to the real estate sector, posted relatively weak gains. Customers in the
commercial real estate space sought to cut back on spending in various areas, including security, to offset rising interest rates and vacancies.
Source(s): S&P CapIQ
1. For index composition, please see page 37
Transactions by Quarter
2020: 120 Deals 2021: 147 Deals 2022: 126 Deals 2023: 129 Deals
38 38 37 38 39
34 33 35 35
32 30
26 28 27 28
24
Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23
Security Services
Securitas 9.80 10,026 15,812 1,365 8.6% 16,444 1,463 8.9% 0.63x 7.34x 0.61x 6.85x
The Brink's Company 87.95 6,819 4,876 892 18.3% 5,095 962 18.9% 1.40x 7.64x 1.34x 7.09x
Prosegur 1.95 2,792 4,823 560 11.6% 5,071 622 12.3% 0.58x 4.99x 0.55x 4.49x
Loomis 26.61 2,159 2,866 559 19.5% 3,032 621 20.5% 0.75x 3.86x 0.71x 3.48x
Average $31.58 $5,449 $7,094 $844 14.5% $7,411 $917 15.1% 0.84x 5.96x 0.80x 5.48x
Security Solutions
Honeywell International 209.71 152,169 36,911 9,595 26.0% 38,955 10,261 26.3% 4.12x 15.86x 3.91x 14.83x
Johnson Controls 57.64 49,778 26,861 4,031 15.0% 28,461 4,326 15.2% 1.85x 12.35x 1.75x 11.51x
Motorola Solutions 313.09 57,570 9,947 3,056 30.7% 10,508 3,244 30.9% 5.79x 18.84x 5.48x 17.74x
ADT 6.82 15,653 5,702 2,437 42.7% 5,590 2,529 45.3% 2.75x 6.42x 2.80x 6.19x
Allegion 126.69 12,917 3,658 874 23.9% 3,761 901 24.0% 3.53x 14.77x 3.43x 14.34x
Alarm.com Holdings 64.62 3,109 880 144 16.3% 920 148 16.1% 3.53x 21.65x 3.38x 21.00x
Napco Security Technologies 34.25 1,190 174 51 29.1% 191 54 28.1% 6.85x 23.54x 6.24x 22.18x
Arlo Technologies 9.52 797 491 28 5.8% 529 44 8.3% 1.62x 28.16x 1.51x 18.10x
Average $102.79 $36,648 $10,578 $2,527 23.7% $11,114 $2,688 24.3% 3.76x 17.70x 3.56x 15.74x
Cyber Security
SolarWinds 12.49 3,107 751 323 43.0% 785 340 43.2% 4.14x 9.62x 3.96x 9.15x
Varonis Systems 45.28 4,513 497 37 7.5% 546 46 8.4% 9.09x NA 8.26x NA
Tenable Holdings 46.06 5,111 792 121 15.2% 904 139 15.3% 6.45x 42.36x 5.65x 36.83x
NetScout Systems 21.95 1,381 814 172 21.1% 844 246 29.1% 1.70x 8.05x 1.64x 5.62x
SecureWorks 7.38 588 364 (30) -8.3% 354 17 4.7% 1.62x NA 1.66x 35.14x
Average $26.63 $2,940 $643 $124 15.7% $687 $157 20.2% 4.60x 20.01x 4.23x 21.69x
Low $1.95 $588 $174 -$30 (8%) $191 $17 5% 0.58x 3.86x 0.55x 3.48x
Mean $63.64 $19,393 $6,836 $1,424 19% $7,176 $1,527 21% 3.32x 15.03x 3.11x 14.66x
Median $34.25 $4,513 $2,866 $559 18% $3,032 $621 19% 2.75x 12.35x 2.80x 12.92x
High $313.09 $152,169 $36,911 $9,595 43% $38,955 $10,261 45% 9.09x 42.36x 8.26x 36.83x
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
─ The EPA completed its 2023 Drinking Water Infrastructure Needs ─ Increasing regulation of wastewater discharge has led many
Survey and Assessment, encompassing the capital needs of all 50 companies to create inventive ways to service new industrial and
states and U.S. territories, including over 100,000 planned municipal municipal customers subject to rapidly evolving regulations. The
investments. The assessment highlighted a total planned investment rate of regulatory change and the capital investment required to
in U.S. drinking water infrastructure over the next 20 years of meet discharge limits has led many customers to outsource
roughly $625 billion. Further analysis of the survey breaks down the ownership of filtration equipment, paying for throughput on an
number into subsectors where money will be directed, including: as-needed basis. Called “Filtration as a Service” (FaaS), outsourcing
§ Water Networks – 58.6% § Pump Stations – 8.7% allows customers to focus on their core competency while
receiving highly customized filtration services without having to
§ Drinking Water Treatment – 17.1% § Other – 2.8%
invest in new equipment that may become obsolete in the face of
§ Water Resources - 12.8% new discharge limits. FaaS often includes the integration of
monitoring systems and data tools to optimize system
─ The influx of money to the municipal water industry and greater
performance.
focus on resource recovery caused by heightened discharge
regulations has led to a shift in the industry to capture the “value ─ The EPA updated its Lead and Copper Revisions to give U.S.
of waste” by recovering key nutrients and energy from water utilities just 10 years to replace 9 million lead service lines. The
treatment byproducts. The growing emphasis on circular economies new guidelines require utilities to eliminate the number of lead
creates a new revenue stream for the municipal industry, which is service lines by 10% each year and distribute point-of-use filters if
increasingly reducing costs with onsite cogeneration while also testing exceeds a certain threshold of lead. The EPA estimates that
offloading byproducts to industrial partners. Circularity not only the approximately 9 million lead service lines will cost $5,000 to
benefits municipalities but also their equipment suppliers and $5,500 per line to replace, for a total cost of $46 billion. This
operating partners who are increasingly being tapped to handle more exceeds the $15 billion allocated for lead pipe replacement by the
complex challenges, including solids handling, dewatering, storage, Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, even after including
and destruction/reuse. another $11.7 billion injected into state revolving funds.
Source(s): Global Water Intelligence, Filtration and
Separation Magazine
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
40%
30.2%
30%
26.4%
24.7%
20%
10%
0%
-3.7%
-10%
-16.1%
-20%
-30%
Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23
Commentary
─ TMG’s indices closely tracked the S&P 500 throughout 2023, with Infrastructure and Components both outperforming the benchmark.
─ Infrastructure continues to benefit from historic government investment, while component providers were insulated from the worst of inflation
due to their decreased reliance on capital expenditures and ability to pass cost increases on to customers faster, thanks to shorter project
lifecycles.
─ Utilities and System Solutions lagged the S&P as margins were more negatively impacted than their peers due to their longer project lifecycles
and inability to expeditiously pass through costs to the end customer as input costs rose.
Source(s): S&P CapIQ
1. For index composition, please see page 37
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Transactions by Quarter
2020: 367 Deals 2021: 392 Deals 2022: 311 Deals 2023: 219 Deals
125 121
97
90 89 89 85 85
73 76 77
63 65
54 50 50
Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
11/28/2023* PCBL Limited Aquapharm Chemical Pvt. Ltd. Manufactures and supplies specialty chemicals $455.9 1.89x 9.11x
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Stock Price Enterprise 2023A 2024E TEV/2023A TEV/2024E
12/31/23 Value Revenue EBTIDA Margin Revenue EBITDA Margin Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Water Utilities
American Water Works 131.99 37,269 4,197 2,269 54% 4,447 2,458 55% 8.88x 16.43x 8.38x 15.16x
Essential Utilities 37.35 17,056 2,313 1,087 47% 2,431 1,218 50% 7.37x 15.69x 7.01x 14.00x
California Water Service Group 51.87 4,132 887 283 32% 931 312 34% 4.66x 14.60x 4.44x 13.24x
American States Water 80.42 3,824 556 210 38% 554 223 40% 6.88x 18.24x 6.90x 17.12x
SJW Group 65.35 3,771 654 262 40% 679 279 41% 5.77x 14.40x 5.55x 13.52x
Consolidated Water 35.60 519 172 40 23% 141 27 19% 3.01x 12.94x 3.67x 19.01x
Global Water Resources 13.08 420 52 25 47% 53 25 46% 8.10x 17.07x 7.96x 17.14x
Average $59.38 9,570 1,262 596 40% 1,320 649 41% 6.38x 15.62x 6.27x 15.60x
System Solutions
Danaher 231.34 181,834 27,042 8,306 31% 24,122 7,881 33% 6.72x 21.89x 7.54x 23.07x
Dover 153.81 24,384 8,502 1,815 21% 8,801 1,931 22% 2.87x 13.44x 2.77x 12.63x
Xylem 114.36 29,247 7,300 1,387 19% 8,408 1,663 20% 4.01x 21.08x 3.48x 17.59x
IDE 217.11 17,271 3,250 887 27% 3,309 930 28% 5.31x 19.46x 5.22x 18.56x
Pentair 72.71 13,974 4,094 914 22% 4,244 996 23% 3.41x 15.30x 3.29x 14.03x
A. O. Smith 82.44 12,084 3,840 836 22% 3,967 868 22% 3.15x 14.46x 3.05x 13.93x
Watts Water Technologies 208.34 6,675 2,041 408 20% 2,237 437 20% 3.27x 16.37x 2.98x 15.27x
Average $154.30 40,781 8,010 2,079 23% 7,870 2,101 24% 4.11x 17.43x 4.05x 16.44x
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Stock Price Enterprise 2023A 2024E TEV/2023A TEV/2024E
12/31/23 Value Revenue EBTIDA Margin Revenue EBITDA Margin Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Components
Graco 86.76 14,175 2,192 719 33% 2,253 753 33% 6.47x 19.72x 6.29x 18.82x
Flowserve 41.22 6,465 4,294 498 12% 4,518 577 13% 1.51x 12.99x 1.43x 11.20x
Franklin Electric 96.65 4,569 2,085 320 15% 2,135 331 15% 2.19x 14.26x 2.14x 13.82x
Mueller Water Products 14.40 2,560 1,213 196 16% 1,227 216 18% 2.11x 13.09x 2.09x 11.88x
The Gorman-Rupp Company 35.53 1,321 656 113 17% 691 119 17% 2.01x 11.64x 1.91x 11.14x
Energy Recovery 18.84 973 135 31 23% 147 29 20% 7.22x 31.60x 6.60x 33.71x
Average $48.90 5,010 1,762 313 19% 1,828 337 19% 3.58x 17.22x 3.41x 16.76x
Infrastructure
AECOM 92.43 14,355 14,681 991 7% 15,738 1,111 7% 0.98x 14.49x 0.91x 12.92x
Tetra Tech 166.93 9,809 4,009 507 13% 4,294 563 13% 2.45x 19.33x 2.28x 17.44x
Clean Harbors 174.51 11,615 5,428 1,012 19% 5,677 1,103 19% 2.14x 11.48x 2.05x 10.53x
EMCOR Group 215.43 10,047 12,499 937 8% 13,600 972 7% 0.80x 10.72x 0.74x 10.34x
Arcosa 82.64 4,422 2,280 358 16% 2,474 396 16% 1.94x 12.35x 1.79x 11.16x
Primoris Services 33.21 3,022 5,755 368 6% 6,195 407 7% 0.53x 8.22x 0.49x 7.42x
Average $127.53 8,878 7,442 696 11% 7,996 759 12% 1.47x 12.76x 1.38x 11.64x
Low $13.08 $420 $52 $25 6% $53 $25 7% 0.53x 8.22x 0.49x 7.42x
Mean $98.24 $16,761 $4,620 $953 24% $4,741 $993 25% 3.99x 15.82x 3.88x 15.18x
Median $82.54 $8,242 $2,781 $503 22% $2,891 $570 20% 3.21x 14.55x 3.17x 13.96x
High $231.34 $181,834 $27,042 $8,306 54% $24,122 $7,881 55% 8.88x 31.60x 8.38x 33.71x
Source(s): S&P CapIQ
$USD, Millions besides Stock Price
─ While high shipping costs are frequently blamed for causing ─ The Russian/Ukraine War has continued its impact on the
inflation, the shipping industry was also impacted negatively on a shipping industry into 2023. Following the EU’s sanctions on most
number of fronts by rising global inflation throughout 2023. Rising energy imports from Russia, excluding Liquified Natural Gas (LNG),
costs from direct inputs such as oil and steel decreased profitability, EU LNG imports from Russia rose 38% in 2022. In an effort to
while rising costs for offshore projects including oil rigs and wind continue stemming money flowing to Russia’s war effort, the EU
farms reduced revenue and backlog across the maritime industry as reached a deal in December of this year, allowing nations to ban
certain projects became economically unviable. Russian LNG imports. 2023 also witnessed the collapse of Russia
and Ukraine’s Black Sea Grain Deal, an agreement brokered by
─ 2023 experienced the largest ever yearly addition of new shipping
Turkey to allow the exportation of food and fertilizer through select
capacity, with approximately 2.5 million twenty-foot equivalent
Ukrainian ports. The expiration of the agreements was immediately
units. Coupled with declining demand due to inflation and higher
followed by Russian strikes on key port infrastructure on Ukraine’s
interest rates, container shipping rates fell about 35% through
Danube River, which caused wheat futures to jump 8.5% overnight.
November of 2023 before increasing on account of instability in the
Red Sea. A report by Sea-Intelligence highlighted the industry’s
─ Since the middle of November, Houthi rebel groups in Yemen
current level of overcapacity could take at least four years to be
have conducted repeated attacks on commercial vessels in the
resolved. Capacity is currently being buoyed by an aging fleet
Red Sea and have stated that Israeli-linked ships will continue to be
(average age of over 14 years) and an order book set to deliver an
targeted as long as Israel continues its aggression on Gaza. Conflict
additional 25% capacity.
in the Red Sea (responsible for about 15% of global trade) has led
─ Current woes in the shipping industry, including rising input costs many shipping companies, including market leaders such as
and lower rates, have led many in the industry to undertake Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd, to divert to alternative
dramatic cost-saving initiatives, including reducing headcount and routes. The longer, more expensive routes have led to an increase
capital expenditures. Industry leader Maersk announced 10,000 job in container shipping rates since November (+20%) and an increase
cuts in 2023, in addition to a 17% reduction in capex from 2023 to in the share price of many publicly traded shippers.
2024.
Source(s): Sea-Intelligence, CNN, S&P Global
50%
45.4%
40%
28.8%
30%
26.8%
24.7%
20%
18.8%
10%
0%
-10%
Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23
Diversified Shipping Shipyard & Port Dry Bulk Shipping Petroleum Products S&P 500
Logistics Services Transportation
Commentary
─ TMG’s maritime indices performed well throughout 2023 with both Shipyard & Port Services as well as Petroleum Products Transportation
tracking the S&P throughout the year.
─ Dry Bulk shipping lagged the S&P for most of 2023 due to declining shipping rates but staged a rally in Q4 on account of increasing rates.
─ The Logistics Index outperformed the S&P, aided by Matson and ArcBest, which will benefit from higher rates and don’t have as much exposure
to conflict in the Red Sea.
Transactions by Quarter
2020: 109 Deals 2021: 123 Deals 2022: 113 Deals 2023: 96 Deals
41
35 35
32 33
30
28 27 28
25 25 24
23
20 19
16
Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23
4/27/2023 Trimac Transportation Services Rand Logistics Operates as a bulk shipping company NA NA NA
7/7/2023 AS BaltCap; Cogel Investments Xpediator Freight forwarder based in the U.K. $198.5 0.44x 6.92x
7/28/2023 Allcargo Belgium Nordicon Offers ocean freight and rail transportation $82.3 NA NA
10/31/2023* Ocean Network Express International Transportation Container terminal operation in California $416.7 0.80x NA
11/22/2023 CMB Euronav Transports and stores crude oil $5,687.9 4.26x 6.18x
Minoan Lines Shipping; Grimaldi Offers port services including ferries, cargo,
12/18/2023 Heraklion Port Authority $130.4 NA NA
Group cruise, and dockyards
12/29/2023 Cadeler Eneti Installs offshore wind turbines $539.9 2.83x 3.53x
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock 7.68 949 599 56 9% 748 116 16% 1.58x 16.97x 1.27x 8.17x
Tidewater 72.11 4,278 1,015 367 36% 1,408 641 46% 4.21x 11.65x 3.04x 6.67x
Orion Group 4.94 282 701 20 3% 772 46 6% 0.40x 13.80x 0.37x 6.16x
DEME Group 123.13 3,942 3,361 596 18% 3,647 671 18% 1.17x 6.61x 1.08x 5.87x
Average $42.46 4,382 1,603 499 26% 1,803 602 30% 2.54x 11.52x 2.17x 7.00x
Star Bulk Carriers 21.26 2,545 692 382 55% 766 446 58% 3.68x 6.67x 3.32x 5.71x
Golden Ocean Group Limited 9.76 3,392 633 312 49% 695 395 57% 5.36x 10.88x 4.88x 8.59x
Danaos Corporation 74.06 1,545 974 740 76% 984 749 76% 1.59x 2.09x 1.57x 2.06x
Global Ship Lease 19.82 1,418 660 454 69% 662 459 69% 2.15x 3.13x 2.14x 3.09x
Source(s): S&P CapIQ
$USD, Millions besides Stock Price
International Seaways 45.48 2,869 1,047 713 68% 952 596 63% 2.74x 4.02x 3.01x 4.81x
Teekay Tankers 49.97 1,707 915 647 71% 753 455 60% 1.87x 2.64x 2.27x 3.75x
DHT Holdings 9.81 1,946 398 305 77% 493 388 79% 4.89x 6.38x 3.95x 5.02x
Nordic American Tankers 4.20 1,063 273 192 70% 293 208 71% 3.90x 5.55x 3.63x 5.12x
Ardmore Shipping 14.09 671 260 159 61% 248 158 64% 2.58x 4.21x 2.70x 4.25x
Average $30.73 2,106 705 491 69% 669 443 67% 3.21x 4.58x 3.17x 4.68x
Low $2.97 $282 $239 $20 3% $230 $46 6% 0.40x 2.09x 0.37x 2.06x
Mean $38.77 $2,666 $1,189 $412 45% $1,254 $444 47% 2.73x 7.38x 2.55x 5.86x
Median $18.21 $1,827 $697 $368 51% $759 $451 53% 2.71x 6.50x 2.67x 5.79x
High $123.13 $12,461 $4,425 $1,454 77% $4,667 $1,535 79% 5.36x 16.97x 5.11x 9.41x
Defense, Government & Intelligence Physical & Cyber Security Critical Infrastructure Maritime Transport & Facilities
Defense Primes Security Services Water Utilities Diversified Maritime Logistics
RTX RTX Securitas AB SECU B American Water Works AWK Algoma Central TSX: ALC
Lockheed Martin LMT The Brink’s Company BCO Essential Utilities WTRG Matson MATX
Northrop Grumman NOC Prosegur PSG California Water Service CWT Kirby KEX
General Dynamics GD Loomis AB LOOMIS American States Water AWR ArcBest ARCB
L3Harris Technologies LHX Security Solutions SJW Group SJW Diana Shipping DSX
BAE Systems BA. Honeywell International HON Consolidated Water CWCO Shipyard & Port Services
Government Contractors Johnson Controls International JCI Global Water Resources GWRS International Container Services ICT
Booz Allen Hamilton BAH Motorola Solutions MSI System Solutions Great Lakes Dredge & Dock GLDD
Leidos LDOS ADT ADT Danaher DHR Tidewater TDW
CACI International CACI Allegion ALLE Dover DOV Orion Group ORN
Science Applications Intl. SAIC Alarm.com Holdings ALRM Xylem XYL DEME Group NV DEME
Parsons PSN Napco Security Technologies NSSC IDEX IEX Dry Bulk Shipping
V2X VVX Arlo Technologies ARLO Pentair PNR Costamare CMRE
Defense Systems Cyber Security A. O. Smith AOS Star Bulk Carriers SBLK
HEICO HEI SolarWinds SWI Watts Water Technologies WTS Golden Ocean Group GOGL
Teledyne Technologies TDY Varonis Systems VRNS Components Danaos DAC
Elbit Systems ESLT Tenable Holdings TENB Graco GGG Global Ship Lease GSL
Kratos Defense & Security KTOS NetScout System NTCT Flowserve FLS Safe Bulkers SB
Mercury Systems MRCY SecureWorks SCWX Franklin Electric FELE Eagle Bulk Shipping EGLE
Mueller Water Products MWA Genco Shipping & Trading GNK
The Gorman-Rupp GRC Petroleum Products Transportation
Energy Recovery ERII Scorpio Tankers STNG
Infrastructure International Seaways INSW
AECOM ACM Teekay Tankers TNK
Tetra Tech TTEK DHT Holdings DHT
Clean Harbors CLH Nordic American Tankers NAT
EMCOR Group EME Ardmore Shipping ASC
Arcosa ACA
Primoris Services PRIM
Mark Bertler Marc Gruzenski Ryan Berry Tyler Halstead Harry Ward
Chicago, IL Los Angeles, CA McLean, VA McLean, VA New Orleans, LA
Water & Wastewater Security & Technology Valuation Advisory Valuation Advisory DLS Marine
(847) 226-0793 (703) 827-0246 (703) 827-0091 (703) 752-9013 (504) 835-8505
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Paul S. Klick IV Mitch Martin Michael Loftus Shari Overstreet Norman Dufour
McLean, VA McLean, VA McLean, VA Austin, TX New Orleans, LA
Tech. & Critical Infrastructure Defense & Gov’t Services Valuation Advisory Valuation Advisory DLS Marine
(703) 752-9019 (703) 752-9009 (703) 827-0200 (512) 687-3485 (504) 835-8505
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
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