Confiabilidad Sistemas de Distribución
Confiabilidad Sistemas de Distribución
Confiabilidad Sistemas de Distribución
net/publication/3267258
CITATIONS READS
328 3,039
3 authors, including:
SEE PROFILE
All content following this page was uploaded by Lina Bertling Tjernberg on 06 August 2013.
Abstract—This paper proposes a method for comparing the measures can impact on reliability by either improving the con-
effect of different maintenance strategies on system reliability and dition, or prolonging the lifetime of an asset. Reliability overall
cost. This method relates reliability theory with the experience can be improved by lowering either the frequency or the du-
gained from statistics and practical knowledge of component fail-
ures and maintenance measures. The approach has been applied ration of interruptions. PM activities could impact on the fre-
to rural and urban distribution systems. In particular, a functional quency by preventing the actual cause of the failure. Conse-
relationship between failure rate and maintenance measures has quently, PM is cost-effective when the reliability benefit out-
been developed for a cable component. The results show the value weighs the cost of implementing the PM measure. There is,
of using a systematic quantitative approach for investigating the therefore, a need for utilities to incorporate systematic methods
effect of different maintenance strategies.
which relate maintenance of system assets to the improvement
Index Terms—Asset management, electric power distribution in system reliability. This is part of the wider concept of asset
system, maintenance strategy, reliability evaluation, relia- management. Asset management involves making decisions to
bility-centered asset maintenance (RCAM).
allow the network business to maximize long term profits, while
delivering high service levels to the customers with acceptable
I. INTRODUCTION and manageable risks.
Reliability evaluation and maintenance planning techniques
E LECTRIC power distribution systems constitute the
greatest risk to the interruption of power supply [1]–[3].
Traditionally, however, distribution systems have received less
have separately been well developed, for example [1]–[4],
[8], [9], with reliability assessment starting in the 1930s [10].
attention than generation and transmission, evidenced by the However, few techniques relate system reliability to component
difference in the number of publications [4]. However, focus is maintenance. Furthermore, the available techniques are not
moving toward distribution as the business focus changes from generally put into practice. The reason for this, according with
consumers to customers. the authors, is the lack of suitable input data and a reluctance
Deregulation of the power system market has led to a shift to use theoretical tools to address the practical problem of
from technical to economic driving factors. The utilities that maintenance planning.
own and operate the power distribution systems now face One method for relating reliability to PM is known as relia-
various market requirements. On the one hand, customers are bility-centered maintenance (RCM). RCM is a qualitative sys-
paying for a service (delivered energy) and the authorities are tematic approach to organizing maintenance [11]–[13]. It origi-
imposing regulation, supervision, and compensation depending nated in the civil aircraft industry in the 1960s with the introduc-
on the degree to which contractual and other obligations are tion of the Boeing 747 series, and the need to lower PM costs
fulfilled, see for example Norway [5], Sweden [6], and the U.K. in attaining a certain level of reliability. The results were suc-
[7]. On the other hand, utilities must ensure that their expendi- cessful and the methodology was developed further. In 1975,
ture is cost-effective. This means that electricity utilities must the U.S. Department of Commerce defined the concept RCM
satisfy quantitative reliability requirements while at the same and declared that it should be used in all major military sys-
time minimizing their costs. tems [11]. In the 1980s, the Electric Power Research Institute
One predominant expense for a utility is the cost of main- (EPRI) introduced RCM into the nuclear power industry. Today
taining system assets, for example through adopting preventive RCM is used or being considered by an increasing number of
measures, collectively called preventive maintenance (PM). PM electrical utilities [14], [15]. The main feature of RCM is its
focus on preserving system function where critical components
for system reliability are prioritized for PM measures. However,
Manuscript received June 29, 2004. This work was supported by the Com- the method is generally not capable of showing the benefits of
petence Center in Electric Power Engineering at the Royal University of Tech- maintenance for system reliability and costs.
nology (KTH). Paper no. TPWRS-00271-2003. This paper proposes a reliability-centered asset maintenance
L. Bertling and R. Eriksson are with the Electrical Engineering Department,
Royal Institute Technology (KTH), 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden (e-mail: (RCAM) method, which provides a quantitative relationship
[email protected]; [email protected]). between PM of assets and the total maintenance cost [2].
R. Allan is with the Electrical Engineering Department, Manchester Centre The method is developed from RCM principles attempting to
for Electrical Energy, University of Manchester Institute of Science and Tech-
nology (UMIST), Manchester, U.K. (e-mail: [email protected]). relate more closely the impact of maintenance to the cost and
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TPWRS.2004.840433 reliability of the system. The method has been developed from
0885-8950/$20.00 © 2005 IEEE
76 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 20, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2005
comprehensive application studies for real power distribution input data, defines the quantitative relationship be-
systems. Application studies have been made on two different tween reliability and PM measures.
distribution systems in Sweden: a rural system of overhead Stage 3 System reliability and cost/benefit analysis: puts the
power lines in southern Sweden, and an urban underground results of Stage 2 into a system perspective, and
cable system in central Stockholm, the Birka System. Both evaluates the effect of component maintenance on
studies used data for the systems in question, and were done in system reliability and the impact on cost of different
close co-operation with the operating utilities (Sydkraft AB and PM strategies.
Fortum Distribution AB (former Birka Nät AB), respectively). These three stages emphasize a central feature of the method:
More details are provided for the Birka System in Section IV. that the analysis moves from the system level to the component
level and back to the system level.
II. RCAM METHOD B. Economic Evaluation
A. Reliability Evaluation The economic evaluation brings the RCAM analysis to its
This paper addresses the effects of failure events in electric final step: to relate the benefits in costs due to the impact of
power distribution systems. These events occur randomly and maintenance on reliability. The motivation for any PM strategy
therefore models based on probability theory have been used. is that the cost of applying the PM measure should be less than
A computer code RADPOW (reliability assessment of elec- taking no action at all. If little or no PM is done, then more
trical distribution systems), based on the analytical approach, system failures are likely to occur resulting in more repair ac-
has been developed within the Competence Centre of Electrical tions being required, i.e., in more corrective maintenance (CM)
Engineering at KTH [2]. A network modeling technique and the actions. Therefore, the important issue is to compare the costs
minimal cut set (load-point-driven) approach [1] is used to de- associated with different maintenance methods, including both
duce the failure modes. RADPOW evaluates the load point in- PM and CM with the objective of minimizing the total cost of
dices, and the overall system indices. maintenance.
There are several costs that can be related to the effect of
— The load point indices are: expected failure rate
system failures. Two direct utility costs are: 1) cost of failure
, annual outage time
(CM), e.g., repair costs and losses in revenue due to nondeliv-
(unavailability) (U) [h/yr], average outage duration (r)
ered energy and 2) cost of the PM actions, e.g., planned main-
[h/int], and average energy not supplied (E) [kWh/yr].
tenance or replacement of a component in advance of failure.
— The system indices are: SAIFI [int/yr,customer],
However, the cost of failure also depends on the customer cost
SAIDI [h/yr,customer], CAIDI [h/int], and AENS
[16]. A supply interruption affects the customer, who will suffer
[kWh/yr,customer].
supply unavailability and may suffer direct costs and/or be com-
As a first step in the method, the critical components for
pensated via a penalty payment. Consequently, the proposed
the system reliability are identified from a sensitivity analysis.
cost analysis considers:
These components are further studied, focusing on the impact
of maintenance measures. The relationship between reliability • the cost of failure ;
and maintenance has been established by relating the effect of • the cost of preventive maintenance ;
PM to the causes of failures for the component being assessed. • the cost of interruption .
Two different approaches have been used. The first approach The optimal maintenance method and PM strategy is the solu-
assumes a constant reduction ratio between failure rates and the tion that minimizes the sum of these three costs. However, in
effect of PM, whereas the second approach assumes this ratio to some cases it may not be necessary to include , for example
be dependent on time. In the first case, depends only on for a simple or first-order comparison of strategies.
the effect of PM (Approach I). In the second case, is The economic evaluations have been made using fundamental
also time-dependent (Approach II), and the failure rate reduction techniques. The costs are evaluated on an annual basis with an
is a consequence of the PM actions considered for the specific assumed increase due to inflation . Furthermore, the invest-
component that is studied. ments in PM measures are spread over the remaining time of
Formulating the failure rate model for Approach II is a com- the assessment period . Finally, the present worth value of the
plicated task. This has presently been done for one component total annualized costs is evaluated. The present worth value of
type, underground cables, which was shown to be critical for the one outlay to be paid after years with the discount rate
reliability of one of the systems used in these studies. The de- , is gained by multiplying by the present worth value factor
tails of the underlying theory are too extensive to be developed .
in this paper, so only the overall principles, results and applica-
tions are included. III. STEPS IN THE RCAM METHOD
The main stages of the RCAM approach are as follows. Fig. 1 illustrates the logic for the RCAM method. This figure
Stage 1 System reliability analysis: defines the system and includes the different stages and steps in the method, and the
evaluates critical components affecting system reli- systematic process for analyzing the system components and
ability. their causes of failures. The resulting method has been imple-
Stage 2 Component reliability modeling: analyzes the com- mented in MATLAB where output from RADPOW is used as
ponents in detail and, with the support of appropriate input [2].
BERTLING et al.: RCAM METHOD FOR ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF MAINTENANCE IN POWER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS 77
(1)
b) Approach II:
Assume that the component failure rate function can
be obtained as a sum of contributions from the different
causes of failures of type . Deduce a
model for the failure rate as a function of time, using
experience data from Step 2 for the failure rate mod-
eling, as follows:
(2)
(9)
(5)
where is the inflation rate.
..
.
(6 )
BERTLING et al.: RCAM METHOD FOR ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF MAINTENANCE IN POWER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS 79
c) Approach I:
(10)
.. .. (11)
. .
80 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 20, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2005
TABLE I
RELIABILITY RESULTS APPLYING DIFFERENT MAINTENANCE METHODS
3) %;
4) %;
5) total of – %;
6) total for %.
The difference in percentages between cases 5 and 6 (25%)
relates to those causes that were reported as included in ma- Fig. 7. Impact of different maintenance methods on the total annual costs of
terial and method, but with no further detailed level of clas- applying a PM strategy for the Birka system. Results are shown for the case with
sification. Fig. 5 shows the benefit of these different cases on the interest rate d = 2% (Step 10, Approach II).
the system indices. It has been assumed for each case that the
causes of failures can be eliminated by the PM activities. Thus Fig. 6 shows one result from the economic evaluation ac-
the corresponding failures would be eliminated and the relia- cording to the RCAM method. Input data for the economic as-
bility indices influenced. The results show that PM measures sessment was provided by the utility, and from the Swedish cus-
to reduce individual causes of failures for a critical compo- tomer interruption costs included in [23]. It is seen that the cost
nent in the system can significantly improve the system reli- of failures is decreased for the Birka system, when the 11-kV
ability. The cases represent different maintenance strategies cables are affected by PM measures. Furthermore, it is seen that
for the RCAM method with Approach I (Step 7). the most significant decrease in cost of failures is achieved with
2) Approach II: the replacement method.
A system analysis is performed for the Birka system in- The final step in the RCAM analysis is to evaluate the present
cluding two strategies for applying the PM with either reha- worth values of the annualised total costs of maintenance. Fig. 7
bilitation or replacement . Both of these in- presents annual costs for the different maintenance methods
volve PM applied on three occasions (years ), using PM strategy S1. It can be seen directly from the annual
and with the following proportions of cables subject to PM costs that PM is a dominating cost. Furthermore, it is clearly
per occasion: 10% for and 30% for (Step 7). The re- more cost-effective to rehabilitate the cable than to replace
sults from the system reliability analysis, as shown in Table I it, since the greater benefit in reliability by the replacement
(Step 9), show consistently that the best reliability is achieved method is offset by the higher investment cost. Consequently,
with PM by replacement and with as much as possible of the the cost-effective solution is not to carry out PM in this case, but
component replaced, that is . if PM is carried out, rehabilitation is better than replacement.
82 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 20, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2005
This is, however, a constructed example considering only one [10] R. Billinton, “Bibliography on the application of probability methods in
type of component and does not provide the complete result power system reliability evaluation,” IEEE Trans. Power App. Syst., vol.
PAS-91, Mar./Apr. 1972.
for the Birka system. It is also important to note that cables [11] F. S. Nowlan and H. F. Heap, Reliability-Centered Mainte-
compared with other components in a power system involve nance. Springfield, VA: National Technical Information Service,
extremely high PM costs with relatively few possible PM U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1978.
[12] A. M. Smith, Reliability-Centered Maintenance. New York: McGraw-
actions. It is, however, of significant importance for efficient Hill, 1993.
maintenance planning to evaluate the relative values of im- [13] J. Moubray, Reliability-centred Maintenance. Oxford, U.K.: Butter-
plementing different maintenance strategies, as shown in this worth-Heinemann, 1995.
[14] A. B. Swedenergy, RCM for electrical distribution systems—A sim-
application example. plified decision model for maintenance planning part I, in RCM För
Elnät En förenklad beslutsmetod för underhållsplanering—Del 1 An-
V. CONCLUSION vändningsområden och arbetssätt, 2001.
[15] International Council on Large Electric Systems, “Life Management of
A RCAM has been presented which includes establishing a Circuit-Breakers,” Cigré Working Group 13.08, Paris, France, Report
165, 2000.
quantitative relationship between system reliability and main- [16] K. K. Kariuki and R. N. Allan, “Application of customer outage costs in
tenance effort. Results from application studies show how the system planning, design and operation,” Proc. Inst. Elect. Eng. Genera-
RCAM method can be used to compare different maintenance tion, Transmission, and Distribution., vol. 143, no. 2, Mar. 1996.
[17] L. Bertling, R. Eriksson, R. N. Allan, L. Å. Gustafsson, and M. Åhlén,
methods and PM strategies based on the total cost of mainte- “Survey of causes of failures based on statistics and practice for improve-
nance, which includes the impact of the PM measure on the ments of preventive maintenance plans,” in Proc. 14th PSCC, Sevilla,
system reliability. Furthermore, the application study shows that Spain, Jun. 2002.
[18] L. Bertling, R. Eriksson, and R. N. Allan, “Relation between preventive
the RCAM method can be performed and supported by real maintenance and reliability for a cost- effective distribution systems,” in
input data. Relating maintenance effort and reliability improve- Proc. IEEE PowerTech’01, vol. 4, Sep. 2001.
ment is, however, a complex problem, and substantial input data [19] A. B. Swedenergy, The Lifetime and Usefulness of XLPE Cables, 1990.
PEX-kablar livslängd och användbarhet, Swedish.
is required to support the method, which may need significant [20] P. Werelius, P. Thärning, R. Eriksson, B. Holmgren, and U. Gäfvert,
updates of relevant data bases. “Dielectric spectroscopy for diagnostics of water tree deteriorated XLPE
cables,” IEEE Trans. Dielect. Elect. Insulation, vol. 8, no. 1, Feb. 2001.
[21] H. Faremo, “Report: Rehabilitation of XLPE Cables with long Water-
ACKNOWLEDGMENT trees,” SINTEF, Trondheim, Norway, 1997. Energiforsyningens Forskn-
ingsinstitutt (EFI), EFI TR A 4512, Norwegian.
The authors express their gratitude to those people who made [22] J. Pilling and G. Bertini, “Incorporating cablecure injection into a
the application studies possible, particularly to staff at Fortum cost-effective reliability program,” IEEE Ind. Appl. Mag,, vol. 3333,
Distribution and Fortum Service involved in the Birka system no. 208 333, Sep./Oct. 2000.
[23] Methods to Consider Customer Interruption Costs in Power System
case study. A special thanks to Dr. J. Endrenyi for contributions Analysis. Paris, France: Cigré Task Force 38-06-01, 2001.
during final discussions. The financial support from the Compe-
tence Center in Electric Power Engineering at KTH is gratefully
acknowledged, as well as the input from the associated reference
group. Lina Bertling (S’98-M’02) received the Ph.D. degree in electric power systems
in 2002 from the Department of Electrical Engineering and the M.Sc. degree in
systems engineering in 1997, both at the Royal Institute of Technology (KTH),
REFERENCES Stockholm, Sweden.
She is currently a visiting postdoctoral student at the University of Toronto,
[1] R. Billinton and R. N. Allan, Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems, Toronto, ON, Canada, associated with Kinectrics Inc. She is also engaged at
2nd ed. New York: Plenum, 1996. KTH as Research Associate and Project Leader of the research program on asset
[2] L. Bertling, “Reliability centred maintenance for electric power distribu- management in power systems. Her research interests are in reliability evalua-
tion systems,” Ph.D. dissertation, Dept. Elect. Power Engineering, KTH, tion of power systems and development of methods for maintenance optimiza-
Stockholm, Sweden, 2002. tion.
[3] R. E. Brown, Electric Power Distribution Reliability. New York:
Marcel Dekker, 2002.
[4] R. Billinton, M. Fotuhi-Firuzabad, and L. Bertling, “Bibliography on the
application of probability methods in power system reliability evaluation
1996–1999,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 595–602, Nov. Ron Allan (F’88) is an Emiritus Professor of Electrical Energy Systems at the
2001. University of Manchester Institite of Science and Technology, Manchester, U.K.
[5] G. H. Kjølle, A. T. Holen, K. Samdal, and G. Solum, “Adequate inter- He was previously a Visiting Professor at the Royal Institute of Technology
ruption cost assessment in a quality based regulation regime,” in Proc. (KTH), Stockholm, Sweden (during the time these studies were done). His re-
IEEE PowerTech’01, vol. 3, Porto, Portugal, Sep. 2001. search interests include power system reliability and customer outage costs, on
[6] Swedish National Energy Administration, “Nätnyttomodellen,” which he has published numerous papers and books.
Distribution System Utility Effectivity Model, News Report,
http://www.stem.se/, 2002. in Swedish.
[7] OFGEM, Report on Services for Electricity Customers, Office of Gas
and Electricity Markets, published annually.
[8] C. Singh, M. Schwan, and W. H. Wellssow, “Reliability in liberalized Roland Eriksson (SM’89) received the M.Sc. and Ph.D. degrees in electrical
electric power markets—From analysis to risk management,” in Proc. engineering from the Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), Stockholm,Sweden,
14th PSCC, Sevilla, Spain, Jun. 2002. in 1969 and 1975, respectively.
[9] J. Endrenyi et al., “The present status of maintenance strategies and the Since 1988, he has been a Professor in the Department of Electrical Engi-
impact of maintenance on reliability,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 16, neering, KTH. His research interests include condition-based maintenance and
no. 4, pp. 638–646, Nov. 2001. electrical insulation diagnostics.