Ilp - 2023 - Ncert Module (Economy) 1 Van
Ilp - 2023 - Ncert Module (Economy) 1 Van
Ilp - 2023 - Ncert Module (Economy) 1 Van
ILP - 2023
Integrated Learning Programme
Important Note- We assume that most of you are freshers and hence the
VANs cannot be compressed into bullet points all the time. Economy needs
detailed coverage and we cannot compensate it with lesser number of pages
skipping important topics.
Introduction
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Q.) India has experienced persistent and high food inflation in the recent past.
What could be the reasons?
1. Due to a gradual switchover to the cultivation of commercial crops, the
area under the cultivation of food grains has steadily decreased in the
last five years by about 30%.
2. As a consequence of increasing incomes, the consumption patterns of
the% people have undergone a significant change.
3. The food supply chain has structural constraints.
Q.) In terms of economy, the visit by foreign nationals to witness the XIX
Common Wealth Games in India amounted to
a) Export
b) Import
c) Production
d) Consumption
Q.) In India, in the overall Index of Industrial Production, the Indices of Eight
Core Industries have a combined weight of 37-90%. Which of the following
are among those Eight Core Industries?
1. Cement
2. Fertilizers
3. Natural gas
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Q.) Which one of the following best describes the term “Merchant Discount
Rate” sometimes seen in news?
a) The incentive given by a bank to a merchant for accepting payments
through debit cards pertaining to that bank.
b) The amount paid back by banks to their customers when they use debit
cards for financial transactions for purchasing goods or services.
c) The charge to a merchant by a bank for accepting payments from his
customers through the bank’s debit cards.
d) The incentive given by the Government, to merchants for promoting
digital payments by their customers through Point of Sale (PoS)
machines and debit cards.
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2. Increasing the knowledge, skill levels and capacities of the people of the Notes
country.
3. Accumulation of tangible wealth.
4. Accumulation of intangible wealth.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
a) 1 and 2
b) 2 only
c) 2 and 4
d) 1, 3 and 4
Q.) Which one of the following is the correct sequence in the decreasing order
of contribution of different sectors to the Gross Domestic Product of India.?
a) Service-Industry-Agriculture
b) Service-Agriculture-Industry
c) Industry- Services-Agriculture
d) Industry-Agriculture-Services
Q.) To obtain full benefits of demographic dividend, what should India do?
a) Promoting skill development
b) Introducing more social security schemes
c) Reducing infant mortality rate
d) Privatization of higher education
Mains
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Note: Refer to Previous Years Questions almost every day. Make it a habit to
refer and make a note of those concepts that you learn and are repeated in
PYQs.
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Notes
Political
Economic Scientific
National
Development
Social Cultural
Material
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The value of final goods and services produced in each sector during a
particular year provides the total production of the sector for that year. The
sum of production in the three sectors gives Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of
a country. GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced within a
country during a particular year. It shows how big the economy is. In India, the
task of measuring GDP is undertaken by a central government ministry. The
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Central Statistics Office does this job. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Notes
Implementation is the concerned Ministry.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the monetary value of all finished goods and
services made within a country during a specific period. GDP provides an
economic snapshot of a country, used to estimate the size of an economy and
growth rate. GDP can be calculated in three ways, using expenditures,
production, or incomes. It can be adjusted for inflation and population to
provide deeper insights. Though it has limitations, GDP is a key tool to guide
people in strategic decision-making.
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Year 2020-2021
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In the recent years, the tertiary sector emerged as the largest producing
sector in India, replacing the primary sector. The tertiary sector has become
important in India because of the following reasons:
• Services such as hospitals, educational institutions, post and telegraph
services, police stations, courts, village administrative offices, municipal
corporations, defence, transport, banks, insurance companies, etc. are
considered as basic services and are necessary for all people.
• The development of agriculture and industry leads to the development
of services such as transport, trade, storage, etc.
• With the rise in the income of people, they start demanding more
services like eating out, tourism, shopping, private hospitals, private
schools, professional training, etc.
• Over the past decade, certain new services based on information and
communication technology have become important and essential.
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21.81
24.45
25.12
Thus, there is a mismatch between the share of sector in the GDP and the
employment ratio.
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MARKET is defined as the sum total of all the buyers and sellers in the area or
region under consideration. The value, cost and price of items traded are as per
forces of supply and demand in a market. The market may be a physical entity,
or may be virtual. It may be local or global, perfect and imperfect.
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Marginal Utility: measures the added satisfaction that a consumer gets from
consuming additional units of goods or services. Positive marginal utility occurs
when the consumption of an additional item increases the total utility, while
negative marginal utility occurs when the consumption of an additional item
decreases the total utility.
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Notes
Focus area:
• If you are asked to do a comparison on the state of Indian Economy,
pre- and post-independence? You should be in a position to give major
points to substantiate.
• How did India perform just after independence?
• Assessment of India’s planning process etc.
Purpose of the British colonial rule in India: To reduce the country to being a
feeder economy for Great Britain’s own rapidly expanding modern industrial
base
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• Economic policies pursued- concerned more with the protection and Notes
promotion of the economic interests of their home country than with
the development of the Indian economy
• A fundamental change in the structure of the Indian economy was
brought about— India was transformed into a net supplier of raw
materials and consumer of finished industrial products from Britain
• No attempt to conduct proper estimation- The colonial government
never made any sincere attempt to estimate India’s national and per
capita income
• Notable estimators: Dadabhai Naoroji, William Digby, Findlay Shirras,
V.K.R.V. Rao and R.C. Desai
Rao: Estimates of the national and per capita incomes during the colonial
period by him were considered very significant
Rao’s Studies: Found that the country’s growth of aggregate real output during
the first half of the twentieth century was less than two per cent coupled with
a meagre half per cent growth in per capita output per year.
Agriculture Sector
India’s economy under the British: Fundamentally agrarian — about 85 per
cent of the country’s population lived mostly in villages and derived livelihood
directly or indirectly from agriculture
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Industrial Sector
Manufacturing: India could not develop a sound industrial base even while
carrying the legacy of churning out the best handicraft stuff in the world—it
declined rapidly and no corresponding modern industrial base was allowed to
take its place
Primary motive of the colonial government behind using the policy of
systematic deindustrialisation—
▪ To reduce India to the status of a mere exporter of important raw materials
for the upcoming modern industries in Britain
▪ To turn India into a sprawling market for the finished products of those
industries so that their continued expansion could be ensured to the
maximum advantage of their home country — Britain
Second half of the nineteenth century→ Modern industry began to take root
in India but its progress remained very slow
Confined to the setting up of cotton and jute textile mills
▪ Cotton textile mills: In the western parts of the country- Maharashtra and
Gujarat (Indians)
▪ Jute mills: Dominated by the foreigners—mainly concentrated in Bengal.
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Foreign Trade
Ancient times: India has been an important trading nation.
Colonial Government: Followed restrictive policies of commodity production,
trade and tariff→ adversely affected the structure, composition and volume of
India’s foreign trade
India: Became an exporter of primary products such as raw silk, cotton, wool,
sugar, indigo, jute etc. and an importer of finished consumer goods like cotton,
silk and woollen clothes and capital goods like light machinery produced in the
factories of Britain
India became a puppet in the hands of: Britain— maintained a monopoly
control over India’s exports and imports leading to more than half of India’s
foreign trade to be restricted to Britain while the rest was allowed with a few
other countries like China, Ceylon (Sri Lanka) and Persia (Iran). The opening of
the Suez Canal further intensified British control over India’s foreign trade
Generation of a large export surplus—Drain of Wealth— oriented to feed the
Industrial Revolution in Britain
• Several essential commodities—food grains, clothes, kerosene etc. —
suffered acute scarcity in the domestic market
• No generation of flow of gold or silver into India—used to make payments
for
▪ The expenses incurred by an office set up by the colonial government
in Britain
▪ Expenses on war fought by the British government
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Demographic Trend
1st documentation of the population of British India: Through a census in
1881; every ten years such census operations were carried out. (Who was the
Governor General then?)
Revealed: The unevenness in India’s population growth
India’s stages of demographic transition:
1st stage: Before 1921
2nd stage: After 1921; neither the total population of India nor the rate of
population growth at this stage was very high and the various social
development indicators were also not quite encouraging
✓ Overall literacy level: less than 16 per cent; the female literacy level was at
a negligible low of about seven per cent
✓ Public health facilities: either unavailable to the larger population or, when
available, were highly inadequate
✓ Rampant occurrence of water and air-borne diseases taking a huge toll on
life—the overall mortality rate was very high and the infant mortality rate
was quite alarming—about 218 per thousand in contrast to the present
infant mortality rate of 38 per thousand (WB & UNICEF)
✓ Life expectancy was also very low—32 years (at the time of Independence)
✓ Extensive poverty prevailed in India during the colonial period which
contributed to the worsening profile of India’s population of the time.
Occupational Structure
Occupational structure: It means the distribution of working persons across
different industries and sectors
Colonial period: Very little signs of changes
Largest share of workforce: Witnessed in agriculture- remained at a high of 70-
75 per cent
Manufacturing and the services sectors: Accounted for only 10 and 15-20 per
cent
Growth in regional variation:
✓ Parts of the then Madras Presidency, Maharashtra and West Bengal
witnessed a decline in the dependence of the workforce on the agricultural
sector with a commensurate increase in the manufacturing and the services
sectors
✓ Increase in the share of workforce in agriculture during the same time-
Orissa, Rajasthan and Punjab
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Madras Presidency: areas of the present-day states of Tamil Nadu, Andhra Notes
Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka
Infrastructure
Colonial times: Development of basic infrastructure (railways, ports, water
transport, posts and telegraphs)
Why did this development happen— To sub-serve various colonial interests
(not to provide basic amenities to the people)
Roads:
✓ To mobilize the army within India
✓ To draw out raw materials from the countryside to the nearest railway
station or the port to send these too far away England or other lucrative
foreign destinations
✓ To reach out to the rural areas during the rainy season
Railways:
Introduction: In 1850 (one of their most important contributions)
✓ Affected the structure of the Indian economy in two important ways—
✓ Enabled people to undertake long distance travel thereby breaking
geographical and cultural barriers
✓ Fostered commercialisation of Indian agriculture which adversely affected
the comparative self-sufficiency of the village economies in India
✓ Volume of India’s export trade expanded with benefits rarely been accrued
to the Indian people
Social benefits outweighed the country’s huge economic loss with the
‘railways’ needing further upgradation, expansion and public orientation
Development of the inland trade and sea lanes: Mixed reaction to the
development of these as sometimes they proved uneconomical (Coast Canal
on the Orissa coast)
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B. Socialist society:
• The government decides what goods are to be produced in accordance
with the needs of society—assumed that the government knows what
is good for the people of the country as well as how they should be
distributed.
• A socialist society has no private property since everything is owned by
the state.
C. Mixed Economy:
• Most economies are mixed economies, i.e., the government and the
market together answer the three questions of what to produce, how
to produce and how to distribute what is produced
• The market will provide whatever goods and services it can produce
well, and the government will provide essential goods and services
which the market fails to do.
There are different types of economic systems explained above and among
them, ‘Socialist Economy’ appealed to the then Prime Minister Jawaharlal
Nehru the most. However, he was not in favour of the kind of socialism
established in the former Soviet Union where all the means of production, i.e.,
all the factories and farms in the country, were owned by the government.
There was no private property. It is not possible in a democracy like India for
the government to change the ownership pattern of land and other properties
of its citizens in the way that it was done in the former Soviet Union.
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Nehru, and many other leaders and thinkers of the newly independent India,
sought an alternative to the extreme versions of capitalism and socialism.
In this view, India would be a ‘socialist’ society with a strong public sector but
also with private property and democracy. I.e., the government would ‘plan’
for the economy with the private sector being encouraged to be part of the
plan effort. (Concept of Mixed Economy)
In 1950, the Planning Commission was set up with the Prime Minister as its
Chairperson and the era of five-year plans had begun.
• 1938 was the year that witnessed the first attempt to develop a national
plan for India when national planning Committee was set up. This
committee was set up by Subhash Chandra Bose and chaired by
Jawaharlal Nehru. However, the reports of the committee could not be
prepared and only for the first time in 1948 -49 some papers came out.
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• In 1944 Eight Industrialists of Bombay including Mr. JRD Tata, GD Birla, Notes
Purshottamdas Thakurdas, Lala Shriram, Kasturbhai Lalbhai, AD Shroff,
Ardeshir Dalal, & John Mathai working together prepared “A Brief
Memorandum Outlining a Plan of Economic Development for India”
which was popularly known as Bombay Plan. This plan envisaged
doubling the per capita income in 15 years and tripling the national
income during this period. However, Nehru did not officially accept the
plan, yet many of the ideas of the plan were inculcated in other plans
which came later.
• A People’s Plan also came out during that era which was based upon
Marxist socialism and drafted by M N Roy on behalf of the Indian
federation of Lahore. It called for nationalization of all agricultural
production and distribution besides development of consumer goods
industries by the state only.
• Another plan called as Gandhian Plan was put forward by Sri Shriman
Narayan in 1944 who was principal of Wardha Commercial College. It
was a modest kind of plan.
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Notes
Post-Independence:
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Economic Planning comes under List III (Concurrent List) of Seventh Schedule. It
means that laws can be made by the central Government as well as the State
Government for Planning.
The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year
plans were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-
Pakistan Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency,
a general rise in prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process
and after three Annual Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan
was started in 1969.
The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast-changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as
Annual Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation
of structural adjustment policies.
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take place for entire period of 20 years. In this planning targets are framed for Notes
particular time period for example five years like five years plan in India they
are also known as short period plan. They can be further divided into annual
plans. These five-year plans generally maintain continuity. They can be further
bifurcated as regional plan which pertains to state and districts.
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• This system of planning fails to take into account future changes in the Notes
world economy or any other natural calamity.
• This type of planning is not suitable for projects, which have long
execution time frame, which is more than the particular plan period as
they will spread into more than one plan the intensity of their execution
will also change.
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Plan Description
• It was based on Harrod-Domar Model.
First Plan (1951 - 56) • Influx of refugees, severe food shortage &
mounting inflation confronted the country at
Target Growth: 2.1 % the onset of the first five-year Plan.
Actual Growth 3.6 % • The Plan Focused on agriculture, price
stability, power and transport
• It was a successful plan primarily because of
good harvests in the last two years of the plan.
Objectives of rehabilitation of refugees, food
self-sufficiency & control of prices were more
or less achieved.
• Simple aggregative Harrod Domar Growth
Second Plan (1956 - 61) Model was again used for overall projections
and the strategy of resource allocation to
Target Growth: 4.5% broad sectors as agriculture & Industry was
Actual Growth: 4.3% based on two & four sector Model prepared
by Prof. P C Mahalanobis. (Plan is also called
Mahalanobis Plan).
• Second plan was conceived in an atmosphere
of economic stability. It was felt agriculture
could be accorded lower priority.
• The Plan focused on rapid industrialization-
heavy & basic industries. Advocated huge
imports through foreign loans.
• The Industrial Policy 1956 was based on
establishment of a socialistic pattern of
society as the goal of economic policy.
• Acute shortage of forex led to pruning of
development targets; price rise was also seen
(about 30%) vis a vis decline in the earlier Plan
& the 2nd FYP was only moderately
successful.
• At its conception, it was felt that Indian
Third Plan (1961 - 66) economy has entered a “takeoff stage”.
Therefore, its aim was to make India a 'self-
Target Growth: 5.6% reliant' and 'self-generating' economy.
Actual Growth: 2.8%
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Note: The growth targets for the first three Plans were set with respect to National
Income. In the Fourth Plan it was Net Domestic Product. In all the Plans thereafter,
Gross Domestic Product has been used. UPSC has been asking direct questions from
this section.
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Notes
STRATEGIES OF PLANNING
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Liberty Indicators
• 'Liberty indicators' are those indicators which represent the degree of
civil and political freedom to individuals in a country.
• They are also needed along with indicator of income, health and
education in the human development index. One such indicator has
actually been added as a measure of 'the external of democratic
participation in social and political decision-making' but it has not been
given any extra weight.
• Some other 'liberty indicators' are measures of 'the extent of
constitutional protection given to rights of citizens' or 'the extent of
constitutional protection of the Independence of the Judiciary and the
Rule of Law' which have not been introduced In HDI till now.
• Without including such indicators and giving them adequate weightage,
the construction of a human development index remains incomplete
and its usefulness remains limited, e.g., Government allows the labour,
capital and goods to move freely in the economic system.
Protectionism
• Protectionism means the use of tariff and non-tariff barriers to protect
the local industry against foreign competition.
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• The index documents the progress made by India’s States and Union Notes
Territories towards achieving the 2030 SDG targets.
• The third edition covers 16 Goals on 115 quantitative indicators, with a
qualitative assessment on Goal 17.
• The SDG India Index has been developed in collaboration with the
Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), the
United Nations, and the Global Green Growth Institute.
• The Competition Act, 2002 was passed by the Parliament in the year
2002, to which the President accorded assent in January, 2003. It was
subsequently amended by the Competition (Amendment) Act, 2007.
• Competition Commission of India is a statutory body within the Ministry
of Corporate Affairs of the Government of India, responsible for
enforcing the Competition Act, 2002 throughout India and to prevent
activities that have an adverse effect on competition.
• The Commission consists of one Chairperson and six Members as per
the Competition Act who shall be appointed by the Central
Government.
• It is the duty of the Commission to eliminate practices having adverse
effect on competition, promote and sustain competition, protect the
interests of consumers and ensure freedom of trade in the markets of
India. The Commission is also required to give opinion on competition
issues on a reference received from a statutory authority established
under any law and to undertake competition advocacy, create public
awareness and impart training on competition issues.
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Notes
Topics: Economic Reforms- Liberalization, Privatization and Globalization
Mains Essay
• Near jobless growth in India: An anomaly or an outcome of economic
reforms. – (Essay 2016)
• Poverty anywhere is a threat to prosperity everywhere – (Essay 2018)
• There can be no social justice without economic prosperity but
economic prosperity without social justice is meaningless – (Essay 2020)
• Globalization would finish small-scale industries in India. - (Essay 2006)
Mains GS3
• Examine the impact of Liberalization on companies owned by Indians.
Are they competing with the MNCs satisfactorily? Discuss. – (GS3 Mains
2013)
• Liberalisation of the Indian economy since 1991 has led to excessive
consumerism and over-production of 'white goods'. Elucidate. - (GS3
Mains 2001)
• Discuss the Role of Public Sector during the post-reform period of Indian
economy. – (GS3 Mains 2006)
• Identify and analyse a few major management problems which the
Indian public enterprises are facing today. In the light of your analysis,
would you advocate "Privatisation" of some of our public enterprises? -
(GS3 Mains 1990)
• Examine the effects of globalisation on Poverty removal in India. - (GS3
Mains 2006)
• How is Poverty Level measured? Evaluate poverty eradication
programmes in India. - (GS3 Mains 2004)
• How Globalization has led to the reduction of Employment in the formal
sector of the Indian economy? Is increased informalization detrimental
to the development of the country? - (GS3 Mains 2016)
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Prelims
Q1). Consider the following statements: - (Prelims 2019)
As per the Industrial Employment (Standing Orders) Central (Amendment)
Rules, 2018
1. If rules for fixed-term employment are implemented, it becomes easier
for the firms/companies to lay-off workers.
2. No notice of termination of employment shall be necessary in the case
of temporary workman.
Which of the statements given above is / are correct?
a) 1 only
b) 2 only
c) Both 1 and 2
d) Neither 1 nor 2
Q3). In a given year in India, official poverty lines are higher in some States than
in others because - (Prelims 2019)
a) Poverty rates vary from State to State
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Q5). Why is the government of India disinvesting its equity in the central public
sector enterprises (CPSEs)? - (Prelims 2011)
1. The government intends to use the revenue earned from the
disinvestment mainly to pay back the external debt.
2. The government no longer intends to retain the management control
of the CPSEs.
Which the correct statements given above is/are correct?
a) 1 only
b) 2 only
c) Both 1 and 2
d) Neither 1 nor 2
Q7). India has experienced persistent and high food inflation in the recent past.
What could be the reasons? – (Prelims 2011)
1. Due to a gradual switchover to the cultivation of commercial crops, the
area under the cultivation of food grains has steadily decreased in the
last five years by about 30%.
2. As a consequence of increasing incomes, the consumption patterns of
the people have undergone a significant change.
3. The food supply chain has structural constraints.
Which of the statements given above are correct?
a) 1 and 2 only
b) 2 and 3 only
c) 1 and 3 only
d) 1, 2 and 3
Q8). With reference to the provisions made under the National Food Security
Act, 2013 consider the following statements: - (Prelims 2018)
1. The families coming under the category of 'below poverty line (BPL)'
only are eligible to receive subsidised grains.
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2. The eldest woman in a household, of age 18 years or above, shall be the Notes
head of the household for the purpose of issuance of a ration card.
3. Pregnant women and lactating mothers are entitled to a take-home
ration of 1600 calories per day during pregnancy and for six months
thereafter.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
a) 1 and 2
b) 2 only
c) 1 and 3
d) 3 only
Note: Refer to Previous Years Questions almost every day. Make it a habit to
refer and make a note of those concepts that you learn and are repeated in
PYQs.
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Self-reliance: Notes
• The first seven five-year plans gave more importance to self-reliance
which means avoiding imports of those goods which could be produced
in India itself→ in order to reduce our dependence on foreign countries,
especially for food
• There was a fear that dependence on imported food supplies, foreign
technology and foreign capital may make India’s sovereignty vulnerable
to foreign interference in our policies.
Equity:
• Philosophy: To ensure that the benefits of economic prosperity reach
the poor sections as well instead of being enjoyed only by the rich—
every Indian should be able to meet his or her basic needs such as food,
a decent house, education and health care; and inequality in the
distribution of wealth should be reduced.
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• Used this delay to register their lands in the name of close relatives→to Notes
escape from the legislation
Success of Land reforms witnessed: Kerala and West Bengal; had governments
committed to the policy of land to the tiller.
India’s agriculture→ dependent upon monsoon; and if the monsoon fell short
the farmers were in trouble (if no access to irrigation facilities)
The portion of agricultural produce which is sold in the market by the farmers
is called marketed surplus.
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• Were given certain concessions such as tax benefits and electricity at a Notes
lower tariff→ To promote regional equality.
• Even an existing industry had to obtain a license for expanding output
or for diversifying production (producing a new variety of goods)→to
ensure that the quantity of goods produced was not more than what
the economy required
• License to expand production was given only if the government was
convinced that the economy required the larger quantity of goods.
Small-scale Industry:
Karve Committee: In 1955→possibility of using small-scale industries for
promoting rural development
A ‘small-scale industry’ is defined with reference to the maximum investment
allowed on the assets of a unit
• More ‘labour intensive’ i.e., they use more labour than the large-scale
industries and, therefore, generate more employment
• Inability to compete with bigger firms— reservation of a certain number
of products for the small-scale industry; the criterion of reservation
being the ability of these units to manufacture the goods
• Were given concessions- lower excise duty and bank loans at lower
interest rates
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▪ The 1991 policy made ‘License, Permit and Quota Raj’ a thing of the
past. It attempted to liberalise the economy by removing bureaucratic
hurdles in industrial growth.
▪ Limited role of Public Sector reduced the burden of the Government.
▪ The policy provided easier entry of multinational
companies, privatization, removal of asset limit on MRTP companies,
liberal licensing.
o All this resulted in increased competition, that led to lower prices in
many goods such as electronics prices. This brought domestic as well
as foreign investment in almost every sector opened to private
sector.
▪ The policy was followed by special efforts to increase exports. Concepts
like Export Oriented Units, Export Processing Zones, Agri-Export Zones,
Special Economic Zones and lately National Investment and
Manufacturing Zones emerged. All these have benefitted the export
sector of the country.
Limitations of Industrial Policies in India
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BACKGROUND (Reasons for economic crisis and need for new set of policy Notes
measures)
• The origin of the financial crisis can be traced from the inefficient
management of the Indian economy in the 1980s. Government’s
expenditure was more than its income.
Government neither made any attempt to reduce such profligate spending nor
sufficient attention was given to boost exports to pay for the growing imports.
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The government initiated a variety of policies which fall under three heads:
viz., liberalization, privatization and globalization.
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to be obtained. So, liability of loan and its interest payment goes on increasing. Notes
It made balance of payments adverse.
4. Iraq-Kuwait War: In 1990-91, war in Iraq broke, and this led to rise in
petrol prices. The flow of foreign currency (remittances) from Gulf
countries stopped and this further aggravated the problem.
5. Dismal performance of the main drivers of socialism (Public Sector
Undertakings): PSU’s are enterprises wholly owned by Government
have invested crores of Rs. in these enterprises. These are no
performing well due to political interference and became big liability for
Government.
6. Fall in Foreign Exchange Reserves: Indians foreign exchange reserve fell
to low ebb in 1990-91 and it was insufficient to pay for an import bill for
2 weeks. In 1986-87 foreign exchange reserves were Rs. 8151 crores ad
in 1989-90, it declined to Rs. 6252 crores.
The IMF conditions put forth for India were as follows:
• Devaluation of the rupee by 22 per cent.
• Drastic reduction in the peak import tariff from the prevailing level of
130 per cent to 30 per cent.
• Excise duties to be hiked by 20 per cent to neutralize the revenue short
falls due to the custom cut.
• All government expenditure to be cut down by 10 per cent, annually.
The economic reform programme, that India launched, consisted of two
categories of measures:
Liberalization
Rules and laws which were aimed at regulating the economic activities became
major hindrances in growth and development. Hence, Liberalisation was
introduced to put an end to these restrictions and open up various sectors of
the economy.
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liberalization intended to liberalize commerce and business and trade from the Notes
clutches of controls and obstacles.
Major economic activities are opened for private participation keeping only key
issues of welfare and other regulatory mechanism with the state. This opening
up of various sectors of the economy for private participation and allowing
them to manage the businesses for maximizing their profits will clearly
underline the freedom available for the private-players to have their own labor
participation practices and deployment of human resources.
IMPORTANT MEASURES
1. Removal of Industrial Licensing:
• All industrial licensing was abolished except a shortlist of 18 industries
related to security and strategic concerns, social reasons, hazardous
chemicals and over-riding environmental reasons and items of elitist
consumption industries reserved for the small-scale sector which were
to continue under the reservation list.
• Subsequently, all industries except for a small group of five industries
[alcohol, cigarettes, hazardous chemicals industrial explosives,
electronics, aerospace and drugs and pharmaceuticals], industrial
licensing requirements have been done away with.
• Reservations for Public sector: defence equipment, atomic energy
generation and railway transport.
• Deregulation of goods produced in small scale industries.
• Market mechanism to determine the prices.
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5. MRTP Act:
• The Industrial Policy 1991 restructured the Monopolies and Restrictive
Trade Practices Act. Regulations relating to concentration of economic
power, pre-entry restrictions for setting up new enterprises, expansion
of existing businesses, mergers and acquisitions etc. have been
abolished.
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GDP growth rate – India’s annual average growth rate from 1990 – 2017 has
been around 6.6 % which is almost double than pre-reforms era.
Why the service sector has been called as the economic engine?
India’s dominant service sector is called as economic engine due to following
reasons.
• The Services Sector accounted for about 54 percent of the economy and
Gross Value Added (GVA) growth, two-thirds of total FDI inflows into
India and about 38 percent of the total exports.
• Services sector in India is the most dynamic sector, growing at an
average annual rate of about 10 per cent, and exhibiting enough
resilience to nullify the negative repercussions of the global financial
crisis.
• The growth rate of agriculture has shown downward trend since 1980,
while the industrial and service sectors have continually shown upward
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trend. The average growth rate of agriculture was below 3 per cent and Notes
that of industrial and service sectors, was 5.5 per cent and 7.5 per cent
respectively during the period 1950 to 2017.
• There has been rapid growth of service sector during the post-reform
period which has created substantial employment opportunities in the
country. The share of service sector in the employment has increased
from 20 per cent in 1990-91 to over 28 per cent in 2017-18. In urban
areas, 68.3% persons were employed in the service sector. Services like
trade, travel, tourism and hotels provide the highest employment
(9.4%) followed by transport, storage and communication services
(4.0%).
• The service sector has a substantial but untapped employment growth
potential particularly in IT and IT-enabled services, telecom services,
travel, tourism, healthcare, financial services, retail services, media and
entertainment services. There is still much scope for the development
of service sector due to low wages and highly educated and skilled
personnel.
• The service exports constitute 36.80% in overall exports of India.
India’s services exports are dominated by the software sector followed
by business, travel, transportation, and other services such as financial,
insurance and communication services.
• Service Sector accounted for 54 per cent of the total FDI inflows into
India. This was driven by strong inflows into sub-sectors such as
Information & Broadcasting, Air Transport, Telecommunications,
Consultancy Services and Hotel & Tourism.
• Transition to Knowledge based Economy: The economic liberalization
policy of the government has brought in rapid and drastic changes in
the service sector. As a result, there has been an increasing transition
of Indian economy from the agrarian economy to a knowledge-based
economy. India has a potential to become knowledge-based economy
due to fast development of service sector, growth of IT and software
sector, largest pool of skilled and highly educated English-speaking
people and increasing exports of IT based services.
What are the reasons for the huge growth of services vis-a-vis industry in the
country?
The possible reasons are as follows.
• India has immense human resources that are well-educated and fluent
in English acted as cheap labour. Thus, propelling the service sector.
• The license Raj, restrictions on foreign investment, lack of measures to
promote private industry, import of cheap manufactured goods all
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Privatization
• The policies through which the ‘roll back’ of the state was done included
deregulation, privatization and introduction of market reforms in public
services. Privatization at that time was used as a process under which
the state assets were transferred to the private sector.
• But during the period several connotations and meanings of the term
‘privatization’ have developed. We may see them as follows:
• Privatization in its purest sense and lexically means denationalization,
i.e., transfer of the state ownership of the assets to the private sector
to the tune of 100 per cent. India never ventured into such type of
privatization.
• Another type of privatization is disinvestment. This process includes
selling of the shares of the state-owned enterprises to the private
sector. Disinvestment is de-nationalization of less than 100 per cent
ownership transfer from the state to the private sector. If the sale of
shares of the state-owned assets has been to the tune of 51 per cent,
the ownership is really transferred to the private sector even then it is
termed as privatization.
• The third type, in which the term privatization has been used around
the world, is very wide. Basically, all the economic policies which
directly or indirectly seem to promote the expansion of the private
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sector or the market (economy) have been termed by experts and the Notes
governments as the process of privatization. We may cite few examples
from India—de-licensing and de-reservation of the industries, even cuts
in the subsidies, permission to foreign investment, etc.
CONCEPT OF DISINVESTMENT
• Divestment or disinvestment means selling a stake in a company,
subsidiary or other investments. Businesses and governments resort to
divestment generally as a way to pare losses from a non-performing
asset, exit a particular industry, or raise money.
• The Indian government started divesting its stake in public-sector
companies in the wake of a change of stance in economic policy in the
early 1990s commonly known as 'Liberalisation, Privatisation,
Globalisation'.
E.g.; Hindustan Zinc, BALCO, Container Corp of India, VSNL, Air India etc.
Do you know?
• In the initial phase of development planning in India, more especially
after the Industrial Policy of 1956, the socialisation of the economy was
measured by the size of the public sector in the national economy. The
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greater the share of the public sector, the greater was the degree of Notes
socialisation of the economy.
• Under economic reforms after 1991, the main thrust is that the private
sector is considered as the engine of growth. By placing restrictions on
the public sector and by reducing its role in several areas where it earlier
enjoyed a monopolistic position, the new environment assigned an
increasing role for the private sector.
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(i) Public Sector Undertakings are the wealth of the Nation and to
ensure this wealth rests in the hands of the people, promote public
ownership of CPSEs;
(ii) Unlisted CPSEs with no accumulated losses and having earned net
profit in three preceding consecutive years are to be listed.
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(ii) NITI Aayog to identify CPSEs for strategic disinvestment and advice on Notes
the mode of sale, percentage of shares to be sold of the CPSE and
method for valuation of the CPSE.
Importance of Disinvestment:
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Globalization
ELEMENTS OF GLOBALISATION:
The phenomenon of globalization caught momentum in India in 1990s with
reforms in all the sectors of the economy. The main elements of globalization
were:
1. To open the domestic markets for inflow of foreign goods, India
reduced customs duties on imports. The general customs duty on most
goods was reduced to only 10% and import licensing has been almost
abolished. Tariff barriers have also been slashed significantly to
encourage trade volume to rise in keeping with the World trade
Organization (WTO) order under (GATT) General Agreement on Tariff
and Trade.
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themselves in Indian markets and were given a level playing field to Notes
compete with Indian enterprises.
4. India signed many agreements with the WTO affirming its commitment
to liberalize trade such as TRIPs (Trade Related Intellectual Property
Rights), TRIMs (Trade Related Investment Measures) and AOA
(Agreement on Agriculture).
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garments, Juices, Snacks, food grains etc. are also branded. Brand Notes
development has led to quality improvement.
• Development of Capital Market: - Globalization has helped in Indian
capital market development now many foreign investors invest in
Indian capital market recently there has been substantial increase in
inflow of foreign.
• Increase in Employment: - As a result of Globalization foreign
companies are establishing their production and trading units in India.
It has increased employment opportunities for Indian. E.g., many
Indians are employed in foreign insurance companies, mobile
companies etc.
• Reduction in brain Drain: - as a result of globalization, many
multinational corporations have set up their business units in India.
These MNCs provide attractive salary package and good working
conditions to efficient, Skilled Indian get good employment
opportunities in India. It has resulted in reduction in brain- drain.
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• During 1990-91, India’s GDP growth rate was only 1.1% but after 1991
reforms due LPG policy India’s GDP growth rate has increased year by
year.
• Because of the abolition of Industrial licensing, privatization, advanced
foreign technology and Reduction of taxes India’s GDP has increased
after 1991 reforms.
• Currently, the country is ranked SIXTH in the world in terms of nominal
GDP. In terms of PPP, India is third largest economy.
• India is tipped to be the second largest economy in the world by 2050.
• India Falls to 6th Spot in Global GDP Rankings: World Bank Report
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Notes
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Notes
• In 1991 unemployment rate was 4.3% but after India adopted new LPG
policy more employment has been generated. Because of globalization
many new foreign companies came in India and due to liberalization,
many new entrepreneurs have started new companies because of an
abolition of Industrial licensing / Permit Raj.
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• India’s unemployment rate has reduced from 4.3% in 1991 to 3.6% in Notes
2014. However recent trends show an increase in unemployment rate.
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7. Disinvestment Notes
• Discussed above
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• Agriculture has been and still remains the backbone of the Indian
economy. It plays a vital role not only in providing food and nutrition to
the people, but also in the supply of raw material to industries and to
export trade.
• In 1991, agriculture provided employment to 72 per cent of the
population and contributed 29.02 per cent of the gross domestic
product. However, in 2014 the share of agriculture in the GDP went
down drastically to 17.9 per cent and in 2017 to 16.8%. This has resulted
in a lowering the per capita income of the farmers and increasing the
rural indebtedness.
• It is estimated that India’s agriculture sector accounts only for around
20 percent of the country’s economy but for more than 45 percent of
total employment.
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• Though the GDP growth rate has increased in the reform period,
scholars point out that the reform-led growth has not generated
sufficient employment opportunities in the country. This is shown in
the jobless growth scenario of India. (We will discuss Economic
Growth-related issues in future economy modules)
KINDLY NOTE- Do not focus on data as of now. Try to understand the overall
trends of Indian Economic Sectors post LPG reforms.
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Poverty
http://iasbaba.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Poverty-and-development-
Issues.jpg
What comes to your mind, when you listen to the word- ‘Poverty’? Check this
Mind Map and think a while!
• Poverty can be defined as a social phenomenon in which a section of
society is unable to fulfill even the basic necessities of life. When a
substantial section is deprived of minimum level of living and continues
with a bare subsistence level, that society is said to be plagued with
mass poverty.
• Poverty implies a condition in which a person is unable to maintain
living standard adequate for his/her physical and mental efficiency.
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Poverty erodes self-esteem and opportunities to live life to the fullest. Notes
The cumulative effect is the wide gap between haves and have not’s.
• According to World Bank, Poverty is deprivation in well-being and is
multi-dimensional. It includes low incomes and inability to acquire the
basic goods and services necessary for survival with dignity.
Types of Poverty:
• Absolute poverty: The state in which people do not have the minimum
level of income deemed necessary for living in a civilized way.
• Relative poverty: Relative poverty is when some people’s way of life and
income is so much worse than the general standard of living in the
country or region in which they live that they struggle to live a normal
life and to participate in ordinary economic, social and cultural
activities.
• Always poor: These people are never having income above poverty line
in their lifetime.
• Usually poor: Those people who are generally poor but who may
sometimes have a little more money. E.g. casual workers
• Chronic poor: Always poor and usually poor together are categorized
under chronic poor.
• Churning poor: Those people who regularly move in and out of poverty.
E.g.: small farmers and seasonal workers.
• Occasionally poor: Those who are rich most of the time but may
sometimes have a patch of bad luck.
• Transient poor: Churning poor and occasionally poor are categorized
under this.
• Non – Poor: Those who are never poor in their lifetime.
• The new data show that 53% of all children in low- and middle-income
countries suffer from learning poverty.
• This high rate of learning poverty and slow progress is an early warning
sign that all of the targets outlined in SDG4 are at risk – including the
target to increase the number of youth and adults who have relevant
skills for employment, decent jobs, and entrepreneurship.
• The World Bank has adopted a Learning Poverty Target that aims to cut
the global rate of learning poverty by at least 50% by 2030.
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The Committee recommended using Mixed Reference Period (MRP) based Notes
estimates, as opposed to Uniform Reference Period (URP) based estimates that
were used in earlier methods for estimating poverty.
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Think!
• Poverty estimates provide the proportion and size of the poor
population and their spread across states and broad regions.
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• But they cannot be used for identification of the individual poor, which Notes
is necessary to ensure that the benefits of programmes and schemes
reach only the deserving and targeted group.
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Post – independence:
• Poor planning
• Failure of trickledown theory
• Emphasis on economic growth and not on development
• Slow economic growth
• Unequal distribution of wealth
• Poor land reforms – fragmentation of land
• Green revolution - helping large land owners and not small farmers.
Causes of Rural Poverty:
Rural poverty is a multi-dimensional social problem. Its causes are varied. They
are as follows:
Climatic factors:
Climatic conditions constitute an important cause of poverty. The hot climate
of India reduces the capacity of people especially the ruralites to work for
which production severely suffers. Frequent flood, famine, earthquake and
cyclone cause heavy damage to agriculture. Moreover, absence of timely rain,
excessive or deficient rain affect severely country’s agricultural production.
Demographic factors:
The following demographic factors are accountable for poverty in India.
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Size of family:
• Size of the family has significant bearing on rural poverty. The larger the
size of family, the lower is the per capita income, and the lower is the
standard of living. The persistence of the joint family system has
contributed to the health and earning capacity of the ruralites.
Personal Causes:
Lack of motivation:
• Lack of motivation is an important cause of rural poverty. Some ruralites
do not have a motive to work hard or even to earn something. This
accounts for the poverty of the ruralites.
Economic Causes:
Low agricultural productivity:
• Poverty and real income are very much interrelated. Increase in real
income leads to reduction of the magnitude of poverty. So far as
agricultural sector is concerned, the farmers even today are following
the traditional method of cultivation. Hence there is low agricultural
productivity resulting in rural poverty.
Over-reliance on Agriculture:
• In India there is high level of dependence on primitive methods of
agriculture. There is a surplus of labour in agriculture. Farmers are a
large vote bank and use their votes to resist reallocation of land for
higher-income industrial projects. While services and industry have
grown at double digit figures, the agriculture growth rate has dropped
from 4.8 per cent to below 2 per cent. About 60 per cent of the
population depends on agriculture, whereas the contribution of
agriculture to the GDP is below 18 per cent. The agricultural sector has
remained very unproductive. There is no modernization of agriculture
despite some mechanization in some regions of India.
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Immobility of labour:
• Immobility of labour also accounts, for rural poverty. Even if higher
wages are offered, labourers are not willing to leave their homes. The
joint family system makes people lethargic and stay-at-home.
• The ruralites are mostly illiterate, ignorant, conservative, superstitious
and fatalistic. Poverty is considered as God-given, something pre-
ordained. All these factors lead to abysmal poverty in rural India.
Lack of employment opportunities:
• Unemployment is the reflection of poverty. Because of lack of
employment opportunities, people remain either unemployed or
underemployed. Most of these unemployed and underemployed
workers are the small and marginal farmers and the landless
agricultural labourers.
Social Causes:
Education:
• Education is an agent of social change and egalitarianism. Poverty is also
said to be closely related to the levels of schooling and these two have
a circular relationship. The earning power is endowed in the individual
by investment in education and training. But this investment in people
takes away money and lack of human investment contributes to the low
earning capacity of individuals.
• In this way people are poor because they have little investment in
themselves and poor people do not have the funds for human capital
investment.
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Social customs:
• The ruralites spend a large percentage of annual earnings on social
ceremonies like marriage, death feast etc. As a result, they remain in
debt and poverty.
Growing indebtedness:
• In the rural sector most of the ruralites depend on borrowings from the
money-lenders and land-lords to meet even their consumption
expenses. Moneylenders, however, exploit the poor by charging
exorbitant rates of interest and by acquiring the mortgaged land in the
event of non-payment of loans.
• Indebted poor farmers cannot make themselves free from the clutches
of moneylenders. Their poverty is further accentuated because of
indebtedness.
Geographical Reason:
• Regional imbalances
• Heterogeneous availability of resources
• Poor exploitation of minerals
• Poor fertility of land
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Socio-Economic Reasons:
• Unemployment and under – employment
• High inflation
• Poor capital formation
• Lack of infrastructure
• Lack of demand
• High population growth
• Lack of social/ welfare nets – poor implementation of existing
welfare schemes
• Poorly targeted poverty alleviation programs and high leakages
• High corruption
• White elephant approach
• Politicisation of policies
• Poor PDS system
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Lack of Investment for the Poor: There is lack of investment for the
development of poorer section of the society. Over the past 70 years, India
decided to focus on creating world class educational institutions for the elite,
whilst neglecting basic literacy for the majority. This has denied the illiterate
population – 33 per cent of India – of even the possibility of escaping poverty.
Thus, there is no focus on creating permanent income generating assets for the
poor people.
Social System in India: The social system is another cause of poverty in India.
The social subsystems are so strongly interlocked that the poor are incapable
of overcoming the obstacles.
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Consequences of Poverty:
• Poverty has far-reaching consequences on the society. People suffering
from poverty will generally have a low standard of living. They are not
able to afford education and lack access to health care and education.
This will lead to a low quality of human capital and thus compromise
economic growth.
• Poverty takes a toll on poor children’s development. For example,
poverty causes malnutrition which would affect the development of a
child’s mental thinking and healthy body.
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• Poverty may also lead to political instability and lead to increased risk Notes
of war, mass emigration of population and terrorism.
Incidence of Poverty
Incidence of poverty varies widely across social groups.
• High incidence of poverty prevails among the scheduled tribe and
scheduled caste population, which have suffered from social and/or
economic exclusion for centuries in India.
• More than 45% of households among the ST group are poor while the
corresponding number is only 15% among the non-backward households
classified under the ‘others’ category.
• Data suggests that the ¾th of the rural poor belong to the category of
landless labourers and marginal farmers. The incidence of poverty is
highest among agricultural labour households (59%), labour households
(38.5%) and among Marginal Farmers (30%).
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• Another cause of rural poverty is low asset base of the poor. According Notes
to data – worst 10 percent of rural population owns virtually nothing
and bottom 30 percent just own 2 percent of total assets.
• It may also be noted that large number of rural poor remain in poverty
not only because they have very few assets, but also because most of
these assets are in the form of durable consumer goods, rather than
assets such as land, implements, livestock etc. which can increase their
productive capacity.
• Another major cause is low educational attainment of the poor. These
educational differentials are one of the main factors for relatively lower
level of income among poor. Another popular myth for poverty is rapid
increase in population.
• Population growth puts pressure on the land base and as a
consequence the real per capita income fall.
• Semi-feudal agrarian relation is another important cause of poverty.
Land reforms initiated after independence has not brought about
substantial changes in agrarian relations.
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Thus, it becomes clear from the above diagram that the main reason of poverty
is the low level of saving. Consequently, investment is not possible in
production channels. A huge chunk of GDP is used for consumption purposes.
People cannot save. So, there is lack of investment and capital formation.
Although rich people can save, they spend their surplus on luxurious goods
instead of saving. They gave preference to high priced items and foreign
products. Thus, their demand does not enlarge the size of the market. The
developing countries, therefore, lack investment facilities.
Market Imperfections
According to Meier and Baldwin, the existence of market imperfections
prevents optimum allocation and utilization of natural resources, and the result
is underdevelopment, and this, in turn, leads to poverty. The development of
natural resources depends upon the character of human resources. But due to
lack of skill and low level of knowledge, natural resources remain unutilized,
underutilized and misused.
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Notes
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The second strategy, which is, specific poverty alleviation programs include Notes
several programs for employment generation and self-employment as well as
wage employment.
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• With four out of every five of India’s poor people living in rural
areas, progress will need to focus on the rural poor.
• It’s not just about agricultural growth, which has long been considered
the key driver of poverty reduction. In fact, rural India is not
predominantly agricultural and shares many of the economic conditions
of smaller urban areas.
• Capitalizing on growing connectivity between rural and urban areas,
and between the agriculture, industry and services sectors, has been
effective in the past two decades and holds promise for the future.
• The road out of poverty in India has been built on the performance of
the labor market, but also benefited from rising transfers and
remittances, and favorable demographics among other factors.
• Future efforts will need to address job creation in more productive
sectors, which has until now been lukewarm and has yielded few
salaried jobs that offer stability and security.
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• India’s women have been withdrawing from the labor force since Notes
2005 and less than one-third of working age women are now in the
labor force. As a result, India today ranks last among BRICS countries,
and close to the bottom in South Asia in female labor force
participation.
• Scheduled Tribes started with the highest poverty rates of all of India’s
social groups, and have progressed more slowly than the rest.
• Women and Scheduled Tribes are at risk of being locked out of India’s
growth and prosperity.
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Notes
Year Rural Urban Total
1993-94 50.1 31.8 45.3
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Notes
Q. In a given year in India, official poverty lines are higher in some states than
in others because (UPSC-PRELIMS 2019)
a) Poverty rates vary from State to State
b) Price levels vary from State to State
c) Gross State Product varies from State to State
d) Quality of public distribution varies from State to State
Unemployment
Who is a worker?
• A person who is involved in production activity contributing to the flow
of goods and services is the economy is called as worker.
Types of Workers:
• Self-Employed: Workers who own and operate a business for a living are
referred to as self-employed. Consider a farmer who is working on his own
farm. More than half of the workforce falls into this category.
• Hired Workers: Hired workers are persons who are hired by others and are
given wages and salaries in exchange for their services. The two types of
hired workers are:
o Casual Workers: Casual workers are those who are not engaged on
a regular/permanent basis by their companies, and are given wages
on an hourly/ day basis, and do not receive social security benefits.
o Regular Workers (Salaried): Regular salaried employees or regular
workers are those who are employed by someone or an
organization on a regular basis and are paid their salaries on a
regular basis.
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Jobless Growth
It is characterised as a condition in which the economy's growth outpaces job
prospects, resulting in unemployment.
• Casualisation of Employment
Casualisation is a term used to describe a situation in which the percentage
of workers hired on a temporary basis increase over time. People start
working as casual labourers due to a lack of chances in the organised sector.
Furthermore, the freedom in terms of working conditions, as well as the
lack of particular enforcement of labour laws, encourages businesses to
hire more casual workers.
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Unemployment Rate
It is calculated as the percentage of the labour force who are unemployed, not
as a percentage of total population. It is calculated as:
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑜𝑛 𝑢𝑛𝑒𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑒𝑑
Unemployment Rate = x 100
𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑟
Types of Unemployment
• Rural unemployment: It is defined as unemployment that occurs in rural
areas. There are two types:
o Seasonal Employment: It describes a situation in which a large
number of people are unable to obtain work during a specific
season. Agriculture, ice cream factories, woollen mills, and other
industries are examples.
o Disguised Employment: When the marginal physical productivity of
labour is zero or negative, it is referred to as "disguised
employment."
• Urban Unemployment: It refers to the employment occurring in urban
areas. There are three types:
o Industrial Unemployment: This category includes illiterate people
who want to work in industries, mining, transportation, trading, and
construction, among other things.
o Educated Unemployment: Among the educated people, apart from
open unemployment, many are underemployed because their
qualification does not match the job. Faulty education system, mass
output, preference for white collar jobs, lack of employable skills
and dwindling formal salaried jobs are mainly responsible for
unemployment among educated youths in India.
o Technological Unemployment: As a result of technological
advancements, an economy may experience some structural
unemployment. Such unemployment may be described as
technological unemployment. Some workers are being replaced by
machines as a result of the introduction of new machinery,
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Slow
economic
growth
Rapid
Inadequate
population
employment
growth
Causes of Un-
employment
Shortage of Overuse of
financial foreign
resources technology
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Rural Credit:
• Rural credit means credit for the farming communities. Farmers require
credit for various purposes like purchasing agricultural tools and
machines, digging wells and tube wells, purchasing seeds, fertilizers,
pesticides, etc. The time between seeding and harvesting is very long.
As a result, farmers have to borrow money to meet their demands at
this time.
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Transportin Distribu
Storing Processing Packaging Grading
g tion
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Organic Farming
• Organic farming is the natural way of growing food. Synthetic chemical
fertilisers and genetically engineered organisms are not used in this
procedure. It is both environmentally friendly and necessary for long-
term development. It has a zero impact on the environment.
Advantages of Organic
Farming:
• It replaces more
expensive agricultural
inputs like HYV seeds,
chemical fertilisers,
herbicides, and so on
with locally generated
organic inputs that are
less expensive and
offer good returns on
investment.
• It generates income
through export as the demand for organically grown crops is on the rise.
• It provides nutritious food since organically cultivated food has more
nutrients than food produced through chemical farming.
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• It has the potential to create more jobs in India because it requires more Notes
labourers to grow organic crops than chemically generated commodities.
• Organic food is pesticide free and is produced in an environmentally
sustainable way, thus positively contributing towards the society.
Food Security
Food security normally refers to the availability, accessibility & also
affordability of food for people at all times. The poor households are more
susceptible to the food insecurity in times of food production problems or the
problems with crop distribution. Public Distribution System (PDS) along with
the government vigilance usually responsible for ensuring food security for all
in the country.
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mostly among women and this remains a matter of grave concern as it Notes
increases the risk of new born child malnutrition manifold.
• Few states in the country have a large number of food insecure people.
These places may be tribal, remote, prone to any kind of natural disasters
or economically backward.
Buffer Stock
• Buffer stock is normally the stock of food, primarily rice and rice which is
procured centrally through the Food Corporation of India. FCI now
purchases the grains from the farmers of the states where it is grown in
surplus.
• The farmers, then in turn, get a price known as Minimum Support Price or
the MSP which the government decides in every financial year before the
commencement of the sowing season.
• The purchased food grains are then stored in the government granaries.
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• The grains are usually distributed amongst financially weaker sections of Notes
the society at a much lower price than the market rate which popularly
known as the issue price.
• The buffer stock then also helps to resolve problems in periods of natural
calamities.
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• In 2013, Parliament enacted the National Food Security Act, 2013. The Act
relies on Targeted Public Delivery System to deliver food grains as legal
entitlements to poor households. This marks a shift by making the right to
food a justiciable right.
• Initially the Public Distribution System was universal. There was no
discrimination b/w the poor & the non-poor but currently, the policy has
been revised to make it more efficient & targeted to provide benefits to the
remote and backward areas.
• It mainly targets poor in the country. In the year 2000 two schemes were
launched - The Antyodaya Anna Yojana & the Annapurna Scheme. The PDS
has been facing various criticism on several grounds in past years. There
were instances of hunger being prevalent in the country in spite of
overflowing granaries in godowns.
Do You Know?
Sen Index
• The Sen Index or Sen Poverty Index is a composite poverty measure,
which combines incidence and intensity of poverty risk with the
distribution of income among those at risk of poverty. Amartya Sen,
noted Nobel Laureate, has developed an index known as Sen Index.
There are other tools such as Poverty Gap Index and Squared Poverty
Gap.
Kudumbashree
• It is the poverty eradication and women empowerment programme
implemented by the State Poverty Eradication Mission (SPEM) of the
Government of Kerala.
• The name Kudumbashree in Malayalam language means ‘prosperity of
the family’.
• Kudumbashree was set up in 1997 following the recommendations of a
three-member Task Force appointed by the State government.
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• Its formation was in the context of the devolution of powers to the Notes
Panchayat Raj Institutions (PRIs) in Kerala, and the Peoples’ Plan
Campaign, which attempted to draw up the Ninth Plan of the local
governments from below through the PRIs.
Indian Human Development Survey: Nearly half (47.9 per cent) the Indian
households that have more than five children are severely deprived of shelter,
water, sanitation, health and education as compared to 7.8 per cent of poor
families without children, according to the latest Indian Human Development
Survey.
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lead a long and healthy life, they will be able to make other choices Notes
which they value.
• Human capital treats human beings as a means to an end; the end
being the increase in productivity. In this view, any investment in
education and health is unproductive if it does not enhance output of
goods and services.
• In the human development perspective, human beings are ends in
themselves. Human welfare should be increased through investments
in education and health even if such investments do not result in higher
labour productivity. Therefore, basic education and basic health are
important in themselves, irrespective of their contribution to labour
productivity.
The Head Count Ratio (HCR) is the proportion of a population that exists, or
lives, below the poverty line.
• The Poverty headcount ratio at national poverty line (percentage of
population) in India was last reported at 21.9% in 2011-12.
• When the number of poor is estimated as the proportion of people
below the poverty line, it is known as 'head count ratio'.
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Notes
Topics: Environment and Sustainable Development, Infrastructure,
Comparative Economy etc.
Note- Infrastructure and all other topics will be covered in detail under
advance modules. Here focus only on basics as per NCERT’s.
Let us go through few Previous Year Questions from Mains from these
topics:
Essay
1. Protection of ecology and environment is essential for sustained
economic development. – 2006
2. GDP (Gross Domestic Product) along with GDH (Gross Domestic
Happiness) would be the right indices for judging the wellbeing of a
country – 2013
3. If development is not engendered, it is endangered. – 2016
GS3 Mains
1. “Investment in Infrastructure is essential for more rapid and inclusive
economic growth.” Discuss in the light of India’s experience. – (GS3 Mains
2021)
2. Explain the purpose of the Green Grid Initiative launched at World
Leaders Summit of the COP26 UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow
in November, 2021. When was this idea first floated in the International
Solar Alliance (ISA)? - (GS3 Mains 2021)
3. Define the concept of carrying capacity of an ecosystem as relevant to an
environment. Explain how understanding this concept is vital while
planning for Sustainable Development of a region. - (GS3 Mains 2019)
4. “Access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern Energy is the sine
qua non to achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)”. Comment on
the progress made in India in this regard. - (GS3 Mains 2018)
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Prelims
Q1). With reference to the international trade of India at present, which of the
following statements is/are correct? - (Prelims 2020)
1. India’s merchandise exports are less than its merchandise imports.
2. India’s imports of iron and steel, chemicals, fertilizers and machinery
have decreased in recent years.
3. India’s exports of services are more than its imports of services.
4. India suffers from an overall trade/current account deficit.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
a) 1 and 2 only
b) 2 and 4 only
c) 3 only
d) 1, 3 and 4
Q2). Which one of the following is not a sub-index of the World Bank's 'Ease of
Doing Business Index'? – (Prelims 2019)
a) Maintenance of law and order
b) Paying taxes
c) Registering property
d) Dealing with construction permits
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Q8). Which of the following best describes the term 'import cover', sometimes Notes
seen in the news? - (Prelims 2016)
a) It is the ratio of value of imports to the Gross Domestic Product of a
country
b) It is the total value of imports of a country in a year
c) It is the ratio between the value of exports and that of imports
between two countries
d) It is the number of months of imports that could be paid for by a
country's international reserves
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Q13). The national income of a country for a given period is equal to the - Notes
(Prelims 2013)
a) total value of goods and services produced by the nationals
b) sum of total consumption and investment expenditure
c) sum of personal income of all individuals
d) money value of final goods and services produced
Q16). In the context of the affairs of which of the following is the phrase
"Special Safeguard Mechanisms" mentioned in the news frequently? - (Prelims
2010)
a) United Nations Environment Programme
b) World Trade Organization
c) ASEAN - India Free Trade Agreement
d) G - 20 Summits
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Q18). Indian Human Development Report does not give for each sample Notes
village - (Prelims 2000)
a) Infrastructure and Amenities Index
b) Education Related Index
c) Health Related Index
d) Unemployment Related Index
Mains
Infrastructure
Types of infrastructure
• Economic infrastructure: It is directly linked with the economic
development of a country or an organisation. It includes the basic
amenities and services that directly influence and benefit the
production process of economic distribution. A few examples of
economic infrastructures are power, transportation, irrigation,
communication, etc. It promotes economic growth, thus improving
people's living standards.
• Social infrastructure: It has the basic services that improve individual
productivity and achieve social objectives. Social infrastructure
contributes indirectly to the country’s economic development. For
instance, the education sector does not contribute directly to the
economic development of a country. However, it helps indirectly by
providing high-quality education to the students, therefore producing
doctors, scientists, engineers, and technologists. Few examples of social
infrastructure are water supply, sanitation, health, housing, etc. It
accelerates the human development process.
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Importance of
Infrastructure
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5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
India's infrastructure investment accounts for about 3.9% of GDP (2021), which
is much lower than China (6.4%) and Indonesia (7.7%). In cooperation with the
government, the cooperation between the private sector and the public sector
also plays a very important role in the development of infrastructure. India
needs to develop its infrastructure, especially in the areas of rural energy,
water, basic services and sanitation needs.
Q.) Among other things, which one of the following was the purpose for which
the Deepak Parekh Committee was constituted? - 2009
a) To study the current socio-economic conditions of certain minority
communities
b) To suggest measures for financing the development of infrastructure
c) To frame a policy on the production of genetically modified
organisms.
d) To suggest measures to reduce the fiscal deficit in the Union Budget.
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Power is among the most critical components of infrastructure, crucial for the Notes
economic growth and welfare of nations. The existence and development of
adequate power infrastructure is essential for sustained growth of the Indian
economy.
• India's power sector is one of the most diversified in the world.
• Sources of power generation range from conventional sources such as
coal, lignite, natural gas, oil, hydro and nuclear power to viable non-
conventional sources such as wind, solar, and agricultural and domestic
waste.
• Electricity demand in the country has increased rapidly and is expected
to rise further in the years to come. In order to meet the increasing
demand for electricity in the country, massive addition to the installed
generating capacity is required.
• India is the only country among the G20 nations that is on track to
achieve the targets under the Paris Agreement.
Energy/Electricity
• Energy is the lifeline of all production activities. In fact, energy is
inseparable from any type of production activity.
• Electricity is a secondary form of energy produced from primary energy
resources including coal, hydrocarbons, hydro energy, nuclear energy,
renewable energy etc.
• The most obvious form of energy, usually considered to be the
advancement of modern civilization, is energy/electricity.
• As per India Energy Outlook 2021, published by International Energy
Agency (IEA), India has been ranked third largest primary energy consumer
in the world and third-largest consumer of electricity worldwide, with an
installed power capacity of 395.07 GW, as of January 2022.
• 100% FDI allowed in the power sector has boosted FDI inflow in this sector.
• Commercial primary energy consumption in India has grown by about 700%
in the last four decades. The current per capita commercial primary energy
consumption in India is about 350 kgoe/year which is well below that of
developed countries.
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Note- The same trend is still relevant. Don’t focus on date, focus on trend. Notes
Sources of Energy:
• Conventional energy: These are energy sources that we know and have
been widely used for a long time. Examples include coal, oil, natural gas,
and electricity. They are of two types:
o Commercial sources: coal, oil and electricity.
o Non-commercial sources: agricultural waste from firewood and dry
manure.
• Unconventional energy: These are recently discovered or explored energy
sources, but have not yet been widely used.
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• Due to high electricity prices and prolonged blackouts in different areas Notes
of the country, the public is generally turbulent.
• Thermal power plants, the backbone of India's energy sector, face
shortage of raw materials and coal.
• Nuclear energy accounts for only 2 per cent of total energy
consumption, against a global average of 13 per cent.
• The growth rate of demand for power is generally higher than the GDP
growth rate. Studies point that in order to have 8 per cent GDP growth
per annum, power supply needs to grow around 12 per cent annually.
Note- In this question, if you focus on 3rd statement and have a common sense
of ‘India being an energy deficit country relying mostly on coal energy’, you
can easily eliminate the 3rd statement and arrive at (a) as the correct answer.
Sometimes, you don’t need to focus on every statement and bog down. Even a
single fact can let you solve the question with 100% precision. That’s the beauty
of UPSC questions!
UJALA Scheme
• In May 2015, the Indian government introduced the UJALA (Unnat Jyoti
by Affordable LEDs for All) scheme, which is also known as the LED-
based Domestic Efficient Lighting Programme, to promote energy
efficiency in all households.
• The UJALA scheme works on a ‘demand aggregation-price crash model’,
which involves lowering costs by using economies of scale.
• In 2015, EESL invited manufacturers to submit open bids for a large-
scale LED lamp procurement and covered all upfront costs. Due to this
market aggregation, the retail prices of LED dramatically declined to as
low as Rs. 65 in 2016.
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• The UJALA Scheme is a joint project of the Government of India's Public Notes
Sector Undertakings, the Union Ministry of Power's Energy Efficiency
Services Limited (EESL) and DISCOM.
Health
• It is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not
just absence of diseases or infirmity.
• A person's ability to work largely depends on their health. It improves
quality of life.
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• Regulated private sector health services can improve the situation. At Notes
the same time, NGO and community involvement is very important in
health service delivery and health awareness.
• The recent Covid-19 pandemic showed the weak condition of India’s
health sector especially the government hospitals.
Some facts:
• India has one-of-the highest level of Out-Of-Pocket Expenditures
(OOPE) oh health contributing directly to the high incidence of
catastrophic expenditures and poverty as per the Economic Survey.
• Though 70 per cent of India’s population lives in rural areas, only one-
fifth of its hospitals (including private hospitals) are located in rural
areas. Rural India has only about half the number of dispensaries. Out
of about 6.3 lakh beds in government hospitals, roughly 30 per cent are
available in rural areas.
• The poorest 20 per cent of Indians living in both urban and rural areas
spend 12 per cent of their income on healthcare while the rich spend
only 2 per cent.
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Ministry of Health and Family Welfare and other agencies for policy and Notes
programme purposes, and b) to provide information on important
emerging health and family welfare issues.
• The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MOHFW), Government of
India, designated the International Institute for Population Sciences
(IIPS) Mumbai, as the nodal agency, responsible for providing
coordination and technical guidance for the survey. IIPS collaborated
with a number of Field Organizations for survey implementation.
Environment
The environment is the sum total of all the biotic elements like plants and
animals and abiotic elements like the air, water, soil, and minerals that make
up our surroundings and impact our existence and the quality of our life.
Functions of Environment
• Offers resources: The environment offers resources for production. It
includes physical resources like minerals, wood, water, soil, and others
which can be used as inputs for production. Normally, two types of
resources are provided by the environment, namely:
o Renewable resources: Renewable resources are those that can be
used indefinitely without getting depleted or exhausted. For
example, air, sunlight, etc.
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Carrying Capacity
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• It does so in such a way that if food demand is not met over a given period Notes
of time the population size will eventually decrease until the resources
become adequate.
• By contrast, when food supply exceeds demand then the population size
will soon increase and will stop increasing when the source is consequently
depleted.
• Carrying capacity may also be defined as the population size at which the
population growth rate equals zero.
Absorptive Capacity:
• It is the ability of the environment to absorb degradation and pollution.
Global Warming
• Global warming is the long-term heating of Earth’s climate system observed
since the pre-industrial period (between 1850 and 1900) due to human
activities, primarily fossil fuel burning, which increases heat-trapping
greenhouse gas levels in Earth’s atmosphere. The term is frequently used
interchangeably with the term climate change, though the latter refers to
both human- and naturally produced warming and the effects it has on our
planet. It is most commonly measured as the average increase in Earth’s
global surface temperature.
• Since the pre-industrial period, human activities are estimated to have
increased Earth’s global average temperature by about 1 degree Celsius
(1.8 degrees Fahrenheit), a number that is currently increasing by 0.2
degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade. It is unequivocal that
human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land.
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• The ozone hole is not technically a “hole” where no ozone is present, but is
actually a region of exceptionally depleted ozone in the stratosphere over
the Antarctic that happens at the beginning of Southern Hemisphere spring
(August–October).
• You must have studied that the ozone hole is caused by chemicals called
CFCs, short for chlorofluorocarbons. CFCs escape into the atmosphere from
refrigeration and propellant devices and processes. In the lower
atmosphere, they are so stable that they persist for years, even decades.
This long lifetime allows some of the CFCs to eventually reach the
stratosphere. In the stratosphere, ultraviolet light breaks the bond holding
chlorine atoms (Cl) to the CFC molecule. A free chlorine atom goes on to
participate in a series of chemical reactions that both destroy ozone and
return the free chlorine atom to the atmosphere unchanged, where it can
destroy more and more ozone molecules.
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Notes
Montreal Protocol
• The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer is
the landmark multilateral environmental agreement that regulates the
production and consumption of nearly 100 man-made chemicals
referred to as ozone depleting substances (ODS). Adopted on 15
September 1987, the Protocol is to date the only UN treaty ever that
has been ratified every country on Earth - all 198 UN Member States.
• The Montreal Protocol phases down the consumption and production
of the different ODS in a step-wise manner, with different timetables
for developed and developing countries (referred to as “Article 5
countries”). Developing and developed countries have equal but
differentiated responsibilities, but most importantly, both groups of
countries have binding, time-targeted and measurable commitments.
• The Meeting of the Parties is the governance body for the treaty, with
technical support provided by an Open-ended Working Group, both of
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which meet on an annual basis. The Parties are assisted by the Ozone Notes
Secretariat, which is based at UN Environment Programme
headquarters in Nairobi, Kenya.
• Multilateral Fund for the Implementation of the Montreal Protocol was
established in 1991 under Article 10 of the treaty. The Fund's objective
is to provide financial and technical assistance to developing country
parties to Protocol whose annual per capita consumption and
production of ODS is less than 0.3 kg to comply with control measures
of the Protocol.
a. Land degradation
Land degradation—the deterioration or loss of the productive capacity of the
soils for present and future—is a major challenge in India that affects everyone
through food insecurity, higher food prices, climate change, environmental
hazards, and the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Globally, about 25
percent of the total land area has been degraded.
It occurs due to following reason:
• Excessive extraction of fuelwood and fodder.
• The practice of shifting cultivation.
• Forest land encroachment.
• Forest fires and overgrazing.
• Lack of implementation of soil conservation measures.
• No or improper crop rotation.
• Excessive use of agrochemicals like fertilizers and pesticides.
• Inefficient planning and management of irrigation systems.
• Excess extraction of groundwater.
Do You Know?
• The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD),
adopted in 1994, is the sole legally binding international agreement
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b. Air pollution
Air pollution can be defined as the presence of toxic chemicals or compounds
(including those of biological origin) in the air, at levels that pose a health risk.
In an even broader sense, air pollution means the presence of chemicals or
compounds in the air which are usually not present and which lower the quality
of the air or cause detrimental changes to the quality of life
It occurs owing to the presence of pollutants in the air. These are contributed
by:
• Smoke is emitted by the industries, particularly those using coals as energy.
• Poisonous gases emitted in the process of chemical treatment of materials.
• The emission of gases by motor vehicles is assuming alarming proportions
due to the exponential rise in the number of vehicles.
c. Biodiversity loss
It refers to the decline, depletion or extinction of the living species of the world
due to reasons such as, climatic change, pollution, over-exploitation of natural
resources etc.
d. Management of Freshwater
Improper management of water resources, or water pollution is another issue
the environment is facing. The water pollution is caused due to:
• Industrial waste discharged in water resources that contaminates the water
owing to toxic chemicals and pollutants.
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Some facts:
• India accounts for a meagre 2.4 percent of the world surface area yet it
supports and sustains a whopping 17.7 percent of the world population.
• Since Population of India is increasing with slower rate than the world,
its global share is decreasing. By 2100, 13.34% of the earth population
will be in India i.e. 4.42% less than the peak level of 17.76% in 2013.
• The total forest and tree cover of the country so estimated comes out
to be 778,229 km2 constituting 23.68 % of its geographic area against
757,010 km2 constituting 23.03% of geographic area in 2001
assessment.
• The per capita forest and tree cover in the country is 0.07 ha. Total
forest and tree cover of the country is 80.9 million hectare which is
24.62 percent of the geographical area.
• The Chipko movement or chipko andolan, was a forest conservation
movement in India. The movement originated in 1973 at the Garhwal
region of Uttarakhand and went on to become a rallying point for many
future environmental movements all over the world. It created a
precedent for starting nonviolent protest in India.
• The famous Chipko Andolan (Hug the Trees Movement) of Uttarakhand
in the Himalayas inspired the villagers of the Uttara Kannada district of
Karnataka to launch a similar movement to save their forests. In
September 1983, men, women and children of Salkani ‘hugged the
trees’ in Kalase forest. The local term for "hugging" in Kannada is
appiko.
• The Jungle Bachao Andolan took shape in the early 1980s when the
government proposed to replace the natural Sal Forest of Singhbhum
District, Bihar (now Jharkhand), with commercial teak plantations. The
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movement, which spread to nearby states, has highlighted the gap Notes
between the Forest Department’s aims and the people.
Sustainable Development
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• The government gave a big push to the public sector. The highest revenue Notes
was invested in this sector, which increased from Rs. 81.1 crore in the First
Five-Year Plan (1951-56) to Rs 34,206 crores in the Ninth Five-Year Plan
(1992-97).
• The public sector was prioritized in order to eliminate poverty,
unemployment, and other social ills.
• The public sector aided in the industrialization of the economy. It also aided
the Indian economy in achieving a high level of self-sufficiency.
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2011 2020
% of % share of % of population % share of
population agriculture dependent on agriculture
dependent on in GDP agriculture in GDP
agriculture
India 56 19 50 20.2
China 37 9 35 7.6
Pakistan 45 21 42 19
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Let us go through few Previous Year Questions from Mains from these
topics:
GS3 Mains
• Explain the difference between computing methodology of India’s
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) before the year 2015 and after the year
2015. - 2021
• Define Potential GDP and explain its determinants. What are the factors
that have been inhibiting India from realizing its potential GDP? - 2020
• Do you agree with the view that steady GDP growth and low inflation
have left the Indian economy in good shape? Give reasons in support of
your arguments. - 2019
• Do you agree with the view that steady GDP growth and Low inflation
have left the Indian economy in good shape? Give reasons in support of
your arguments. – 2019
• “Industrial growth rate has lagged behind in the overall growth of
Gross-Domestic-Product (GDP) in the post-reform period” Give reasons.
How far the recent changes are Industrial Policy are capable of
increasing the industrial growth rate? – 2017
MAINS
Q) Discuss the concept of tax to GDP ratio. What does a lower tax to GDP ratio
indicate? How does it affect a developing economy like India? What reform
measures are required to improve it? Discuss.
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Microeconomics Macroeconomics
✓ Deals with the individual ✓ It deals with the whole market
markets. as one like GDP.
✓ Supply and demand in ✓ Deals with big phenomena
individual markets. which economists call
✓ Individual labour markets e.g. aggregate variables.
wage determination etc. ✓ Supply and demand in
✓ Externalities arising out of aggregate markets.
the production and ✓ For comparing differences in
consumption of goods like economic growth rate of
pollution due to burning of different economies.
fuel. ✓ Aggregate demand and
✓ Price mechanisms depend aggregate supply determine
upon the demand and supply the macroeconomic
forces. phenomena like GDP, National
✓ Microeconomics can have an Income etc.
international component as ✓ Macroeconomics often
well. Single markets are not extends to the international
always confined to single sphere because domestic
countries. E.g. Global market markets are linked to foreign
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Types of Goods:
Free Goods Common Goods Public Goods
Points to Ponder:
• A good given away for free may not be a free good because there is an
opportunity cost (example healthcare paid for out of taxes).
• Not all goods provided by public sectors are public goods. Example:
Education is provided by public sector but it is a merit good, not a public
good.
• Opportunity cost is the “cost” incurred by not enjoying the benefit
associated with the best alternative choice on choosing the option.
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“The demand for goods is schedule of the amounts that buyers would be willing
to purchase at all possible prices at any one instant of time”-Prof Mayers.
The demand schedule is a table that shows the relationship between the price
of the good and the quantity demanded. As prices increase the quantity
demanded will go down.
LAW OF DEMAND: All other factors being equal as the price of a good or
service increases, the quantity of goods or services demanded will decrease,
and vice versa.
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Notes
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Notes
Fig: The supply curve will move upward from left to right, which expresses
the law of supply.
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Notes
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM:
If, at a given quantity, the highest price that buyers are willing to pay is equal
to the lowest price that sellers are willing to accept, we say the market has
reached its equilibrium quantity. Alternatively, when the quantity that buyers
are willing and able to purchase at a given price is just equal to the quantity
that sellers are willing to offer at that same price, we say the market has
discovered the equilibrium price.
So, equilibrium price and quantity are achieved simultaneously, and as long as
neither the supply curve nor the demand curve shifts, there is no tendency for
either price or quantity to vary from their equilibrium values.
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Notes
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Notes
Macro Economics
• The term macro is derived from the Greek word ‘makro’, which means
“large”. It is a branch of economics concerned with the description and
explanation of economic processes involving aggregates.
• An aggregate is a collection of economic subjects that have some
characteristics in common.
• Macroeconomics emerged after the publication of John Maynard Keynes'
book, ‘The Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money’ in 1936. This
branch investigates the economic relationships or issues that affect an
economy as a whole, such as saving and total consumption.
• It investigates the principles, problems, and policies associated with
attaining full employment and expanding production capacity.
• Adam Smith was a Scottish economist and philosopher who was a pioneer
of political economy and key figure during the Scottish Enlightenment. He
wrote two classic works, The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759) and An
Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776). The
latter, often abbreviated as The Wealth of Nations, is considered his
magnum opus and the first modern work of economics.
• David Ricardo was a British political economist, one of the most influential
of the classical economists along with Thomas Malthus, Adam Smith and
James Mill. In his Theory of Profit, Ricardo stated that as real wages
increase, real profits decrease because the revenue from the sale of
manufactured goods is split between profits and wages. He also wrote
Essay on Profits.
• Thomas Robert Malthus was an English cleric, scholar and influential
economist in the fields of political economy and demography. In his 1798
book An Essay on the Principle of Population, Malthus observed that an
increase in a nation's food production improved the well-being of the
population, but the improvement was temporary because it led to
population growth, which in turn restored the original per capita
production level.
• John Stuart Mill was an English philosopher, political economist, Member
of Parliament (MP) and civil servant. He contributed widely to social theory,
political theory, and political economy. Dubbed "the most influential
English-speaking philosopher of the nineteenth century", he conceived of
liberty as justifying the freedom of the individual in opposition to unlimited
state and social control.
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Great Depression:
• The Great Depression is widely regarded as the worst and longest economic
downturn or recession in modern history. It all started in the United States.
It then had a cascading effect on the world's economies.
• The Great Depression is said to have begun with the October 1929 stock
market crash in the United States. To be more specific, the stock market
crashed on October 24, 1929, which became known as Black Thursday in
American history.
• The stock market crash caused panic among Wall Street investors, causing
the stock market to lose nearly billions of dollars. This resulted in the failure
of major financial institutions, such as banks.
• The depression was caused by an overabundance of food grains in the
market, which resulted in a drop in agricultural prices.
• During the war, Canada, Australia, and the United States emerged as new
alternate wheat-producing centres. Stocks of finished goods began to pile
up because of underconsumption and excessive investment, resulting in
low prices and, as a result, low-profit margins.
• Money in the economy was converted into unsold finished goods, resulting
in a sharp drop in employment and, as a result, income levels fell drastically.
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The economy's demand for goods was so low that production was reduced, Notes
resulting in unemployment.
• In the United States, the unemployment rate rose from 3% to 25%.
• The Great Depression has its own set of implications and significance in
economics since it leads to the collapse of the classical economic approach.
• Those who believed in the market dynamics of demand and supply, created
the ground for the Keynesian approach to emerge.
• This occurrence
supplied economists Low
Demand
with enough evidence
to identify
macroeconomics as a Low Income
Over
Investment
distinct field of
economics.
• This flow chart
summarizes the cause-
Low level of Low level of
and-effect relationship output employment
of the Great
Depression:
Capitalist Country/Economy
• In a capitalist country, capitalist enterprises perform a majority of the
production activity.
• A typical capitalist enterprise has one or more entrepreneurs. They may
provide the capital required to run the enterprise themselves or borrow it.
• According to Ralph Waldo Emerson – “Doing well is the result of doing
good. That's what capitalism is all about.”
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Notes
Household Firm/Market
Sector Sector
Major sectors
of economy
• The Household Sector, the Business Sector, the Government Sector, and
the Foreign Sector are the four aggregate macroeconomic sectors that
serve as the framework for macroeconomic analysis.
• The Household Sector, the Business Sector, the Government Sector, and
the Foreign Sector are the four aggregate macroeconomic sectors that
serve as the foundation for macroeconomic analysis.
• These four functions oversee four expenditures on Gross Domestic Product
(GDP).
1. Household Sector: This sector covers everyone, consumers, individuals,
and every member of society. The household sector purchases products
and services for consumption while also supplying producing inputs
such as land, labour, capital, and entrepreneurs. This sector oversees
the consumption expenditures component of GDP.
▪ In a nutshell, a household is defined as a single or group of people
who make independent decisions about their economic activities,
such as consumption and production.
2. Firms: People in the household sector work as workers in firms and
make a living. Firms are economic units that produce goods and
services. They utilise and organise production factors and carry out
production processes for the purpose of profit.
▪ This comprises sole proprietorships, partnerships, and corporations.
This sector oversees the GDP's investment expenditure.
3. Government Sector: A government preserves law and order, promotes
growth and stability, and administers government services. This sector
is in charge of the government's purchase involvement in GDP.
▪ A government's primary goal is to levy taxes to fund development
projects such as dams, roads, and heavy industries, which typically
have extended gestation periods.
▪ The government also invests in education and health sectors and
delivers these services at a low cost. Examples include the
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Goods
• In economics, goods are products and resources that meet people's needs
and demands. A good can be a physical object, a man-made object, a
service, or a mix of the three that can command a market price.
Types of Goods:
a) Consumption Goods:
• Consumption goods are items that are utilised directly to satisfy human
demands. Consumption goods support the core goal of an economy,
which is to sustain the consumption of the economy's entire
population.
• These are not used in the manufacturing of other goods.
• Consumption products, often known as final goods, are intended for
final consumption.
E.g., a television, a pen, or a pair of shoes.
b) Capital Goods:
• Capital goods are goods used by one business to assist another in the
production of consumer goods.
• Capital goods cannot be easily transformed into cash.
• They are long-lasting and do not degrade easily.
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Investment
• An investment is an asset or object purchased with the intention of
earning income or increasing in value.
• When a person buys a good as an investment, the intention is not to
consume the good but rather to use it to build wealth in the future.
Gross Investment:
• A company's capital investment before depreciation is referred to as its
gross investment or gross capital investment.
• The absolute investment value made by the company in purchasing
assets each year is shown by gross investment.
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Depreciation:
• Depreciation, in economic terms, is a way of dividing the cost of a
tangible or physical asset over its usable life or life expectancy.
Depreciation is a measurement of how much of the value of an asset
has been diminished.
Capital formation:
• Capital formation is the process of gradually increasing the stock of
capital over time.
Factor Cost:
• These are the earnings obtained by the owners of factors of production
in exchange for providing factor services to the producer.
Basic Prices:
• The basic price is the amount a producer receives from a purchaser for
a unit of a thing or service provided as output, less any tax due and any
subsidy due on that unit as a result of its production or sale.
o Basic price = Factor cost + Production taxes – Production subsidy
Market Prices:
• The market price of a commodity is the price at which it is sold on the
open market. It comprises the costs of production such as wages, rent,
interest, input prices, profit, and so on.
• It also includes government-imposed levies and government-provided
producer subsidies.
o Market price = Basic price + Product taxes – Product subsidy
Transfer Payments:
• Transfer payment refers to payment received without the provision of
any service or goods in exchange.
• These are one-time payments with no expectation of a return. These
are unearned incomes for recipients.
• These are given to you for free, with no need to make any current or
future payments in exchange.
• Transfer payments are essentially government welfare expenditures.
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Flow Variable:
• A flow is a quantity that is measured over a specific timeframe.
• Flows are thus described in terms of a given period, such as hours, days,
weeks, months, or years.
• It has a time dimension to it.
Leakage:
• In the context of a circular flow of income model, leakage is an
economic term that characterizes capital or money that escapes an
economy or system.
• It lowers aggregate demand and income levels.
E.g., taxes, savings, and imports, etc.
Injection:
• When funds are added to an economy from sources other than people
and enterprises, this is referred to as an injection.
• It raises aggregate demand as well as income levels.
• Injections can come from a variety of sources, including government
spending, investment, and exports.
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In one of the reports of United Nations, national income has been defined on
the basis of the systems of estimating national income, as net national product,
as addition to the shares of different factors, and as net national expenditure
in a country in a year’s time. In practice, while estimating national income, any
of these three definitions may be adopted, because the same national income
would be derived, if different items were correctly included in the estimate.
See this example – Suppose Flying machine company buys some cotton from
farmer and give it to weaver who weaves the cotton into cloth and return it to
company. Now company gives this cloth to tailor to stitch a shirt. Tailor stitches
it and return it to the company. Company added some more things in it, packed
it and sold in the market for 1500 rupees. This shirt produced by firm is not
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entirely of its own contribution, it also has contribution of tailors, weavers, Notes
farmers etc. To calculate net contribution of firm we have to subtract the
contributions made by famers, weaver and tailors. If we do not do that then it
will lead to double counting.
Value added by firm is distributed among factors of production i.e. land, labor,
capital and entrepreneurship.
So, wages + interest + profits + rent must be equal to value added of firm.
In short -
Flying machine
Farmer Weaver Tailor
firm
Total
500 300 200 1500
production
Intermediate
0 0 0 500
goods used
1500 – 500 =
Value added 500 300 200
1000
Here intermediate goods used by firm is of 500 rupees for cotton while 1000
rupees is value added, out of which 500 is paid to weaver and tailor as wages.
Value added is a flow variable i.e. measured over a period of time (weekly,
monthly, annually).
A reduction in the value of an asset over time, due in particular to wear and
tear is called depreciation. It is also known as “Consumption of fixed capital”.
But why is it called so?
Capital goods gradually undergo wear and tear and so producer has to invest
in repair or replacing of wear parts to keep the value of capital constant.
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If we add depreciation into value added, then we get Gross value added. Gross
value added = value added + Depreciation.
If we deduct depreciation from Gross value added, then we get Net value
added. Net Value added = Gross value added – Depreciation
Inventory
Production of the firm ≡ value added + intermediate goods used by the firm.
For the above three statements consider Times of India newspaper inventory.
The change in its paper roll inventory will depend on how much newspaper it
prints and how much newspaper it sells or how much newspapers the
customers read.
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Change in the inventory takes over a period of time i.e. newspaper roll will Notes
accumulate daily, weekly or monthly and so it is a flow variable.
Investment
Investment has 3 major categories –
o Investment expenditure
o Fixed business investment
o Residential investment
Investment expenditure
It is the expenditure incurred by either an individual or a firm or the
government for the creation of new capitals assets like machinery, building etc.
Fixed business investment
Remember it simply – investment in fixed capital.
Gross value added by firm (GVA) ≡ value of sales by the firm + value of change
in inventories – value of intermediate goods used by firm. (Recall that net
contribution of firm does not include intermediate goods value)
Firm sales in not only domestic country but it also sales to other countries.
Net value added of firm (NVA) ≡ GVA – depreciation of the firm
GDP ≡ NVA + depreciation
GDP of the economy is the sum total of the net value added and depreciation
of all the firms of the economy.
NDP (Net Domestic Product) is summing up of net value added of all firms.
Income Method
The calculation of National Income by compiling income of factors of
production is called as Income method.
National income = Total wages + Total rent + Total interest + Total profits
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Notes
Tax on product – It includes taxes like Sales tax and Excise duty. It is the tax
imposed as it was produced and sold.
Tax on production - Tax imposed irrespective of production like license fees and
land tax.
Gross operating surplus – balance of value added after deducting the above 3
components. It goes to pay rent of land and interest of capital.
Expenditure Method
The GDP under this method is calculated by summing up all of the expenditures
made on final goods and services. There are four main aggregate expenditures
that go into calculating GDP: consumption by households, investment by
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businesses, government spending on goods and services, and net exports, Notes
which are equal to exports minus imports of goods and services.
GDP = C + I + G + X – M
• C – Consumption expenditure by consumers or by firms (in exception
case) on consumption goods.
• I – Investment expenditure by firms on capital goods.
• G – Expenditure by government on final goods and services produced
by firms.
• X - M – Net exports i.e., exports – imports.
Consumer Spending
• Most dominant component in calculation of GDP under expenditure
method.
• It accounts for the majority of India’s GDP. It is about 59% and
consumption expenditure is the reason that our economy is less
affected by up and downs in global world. The economies, which export
a lot, are affected by global winds.
• It includes purchasing of durable goods, non-durable goods and
services.
Government Spending
• It is the spending by central, state and local governments on basic
services (like education, health care etc.) and defense.
• Dominant after consumer spending
Business investment
• Most volatile component
• It includes capital expenditure by firms on capital goods.
Net Exports
• It represents the effect of foreign trade of goods and services on the
economy.
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• Growth of GFCE was due to the payment of higher wages and salaries Notes
to the government staff that followed the implementation of the
recommendations of the Seventh Pay Commission.
THINK
• India uses which of the above three methods to calculate national
income?
• What changes were made by India in calculating the GDP? Why they
have been made and what are their implications?
Macroeconomic Indices
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Definition – It is the total value of the total output or production of final goods
and services produced by the nationals of a country during a given period,
generally one year.
It considers income of both resident and non-resident citizens of a country while
the income of foreigners who reside within the geographical boundary of the
country is excluded.
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Example – If we take the same example of GDP, then the GNP would be 120
crores.
How? According to formula the GNP would be 120 crores = 110 + (20 – 10)
crores.
The NNP with market prices includes indirect taxes and excludes subsidies,
which are given to produce goods and services.
Example - The cost of production of LPG gas is 600 rupees for 15 kg but after
government provides subsidy of 200 rupees then the price of product came to
400 rupees. This is called as NNPMP i.e., NNP at market price.
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Formula → Notes
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Constant Prices
• The price of goods and services in base year is called price of base year
or constant price.
Real GDP
• Real GDP is national income at constant price.
• National income at constant price = Q*P
• Where, Q is quantity of goods and services in a particular year
• P is price of the base year (constant price)
• Real gross domestic product (real GDP) is an inflation-adjusted estimate
of the value of all goods and services generated by an economy each
year. It is also known as "constant-price" or "inflation-corrected" or
"GDP at constant prices".
• It is exclusively affected by changes in physical output, not by changes
in the price level. It's referred to as a true indication of economic
advancement.
𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃
Real GDP = 𝐷𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
Nominal GDP
• Nominal GDP is national income at current price.
• National income at current price = Q*P
• Where, Q is quantity of goods and services in a particular year
o P is price of the goods and services in that particular year
(current price)
• The products and services produced by all producing units in a country's
domestic territory during an accounting year and valued at the current
year's prices or current prices are referred to as nominal GDP or GDP at
current prices.
• Changes in both physical output and the price level have an impact on
it. It is not regarded as a reliable indicator of economic advancement.
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Nominal GDP is GDP calculated at the current market price while real GDP
adjusts for price changes due to inflation/deflation. For example, if real GDP
rises 2% during a year and the inflation rate is 1%, nominal GDP would be
2%+1%=3% for that year.
• Nominal GDP represents the current market price value of economic
output produced during the specified time period within a country
while real GDP represents the total economic output produced during
the time period within the country valued at a pre-determined base
market price.
• Nominal GDP does not take inflation/deflation of the country during the
specified time period into consideration while real GDP adjusts for price
changes in the country during the specified time period.
• Nominal GDP is easier to calculate while real GDP is much more complex
since it requires analysis of the base year market price of the current
year economic output for finding out the value
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Economists usually use a GDP price deflator which adjusts for this price change.
GDP deflator measures the price change in goods and services from the base
year used for comparison. Real GDP is derived by dividing nominal GDP by the
GDP deflator. As an example, if we consider that the price of an economy’s
goods and services have increased by 1% compared to the base year, the
deflator would be 1.01.
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more per year more than the average German worker. The calculation Notes
of GDP does not take German workers extra weeks of vacation into
account.
• GDP includes what is spent on environmental protection, healthcare,
and education, but it does not include actual levels of environmental
cleanliness, health, and learning. GDP includes the cost of buying
pollution-control equipment, but it does not address whether the air
and water are actually cleaner or dirtier. GDP includes spending on
medical care, but it does not address whether life expectancy or infant
mortality have risen or fallen. Similarly, GDP counts spending on
education, but it does not address directly how much of the population
can read, write, or do basic mathematics.
• GDP includes production that is exchanged in the market, but it does
not cover production that is not exchanged in the market. For
example, hiring someone to mow your lawn or clean your house is part
of GDP, but doing these tasks yourself is not part of GDP.
• GDP has nothing to say about the level of inequality in society. GDP
per capita is only an average. When GDP per capita rises by 5%, it could
mean that GDP for everyone in the society has risen by 5% or that the
GDP of some groups has risen by more while the GDP of others has risen
by less—or even declined. Relate it with income inequality. Rich getting
richer and poor getting poorer.
• GDP also has nothing in particular to say about the amount of variety
available. If family buys 100 loaves of bread in a year, GDP does not
care whether they are all white bread or whether the family can choose
from wheat, rye, pumpernickel, and many others—GDP just looks at
whether the total amount spent on bread is the same.
• Likewise, GDP has nothing much to say about which technology and
products are available. The standard of living in, for example, 1950 or
1900 was not affected only by how much money people had—it was
also affected by what they could buy. No matter how much money you
had in 1950, you could not buy an iPhone or a personal computer.
• In certain cases, it is not clear that a rise in GDP is even a good thing.
If a city is wrecked by a hurricane and then experiences a surge of
rebuilding construction activity, it would be peculiar to claim that the
hurricane was therefore economically beneficial. If people are led by a
rising fear of crime to pay for installation of bars and burglar alarms on
all their windows, it is hard to believe that this increase in GDP has made
them better off. In that same vein, some people would argue that sales
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Do you know?
• In the revision of National Accounts statistics done by Central Statistical
Organization (CSO) in January 2015, it was decided that sector-wise
wise estimates of Gross Value Added (GVA) will now be given at basic
prices instead of factor cost. The Reserve Bank of India switched back
to the gross domestic product (GDP)-based measure to offer its growth
estimates from the gross value added (GVA) methodology, citing
global best practices. The government had started analysing growth
estimates using GVA methodology from January 2015 and had also
changed the base year to 2018 from January.
The relationship between GVA at Factor Cost and GVA at Basic Prices and GDP
at market prices and GVA at basic prices is shown below:
GVA at basic prices = GVA at factor cost + (Production taxes less Production
subsidies)
GDP at market prices = GVA at basic prices + Product taxes - Product subsidies
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NOTE- Wait for Budget and Economic Survey 2022-23 for Facts/Figures to
solve below questions from UPSC on trends:
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2. The growth rate in per capita income has steadily increased in the Notes
last five years
Which of the statements given is/are correct?
a) 1 only
b) 2 only
c) Both 1 and 2
d) Neither 1 nor 2
Q. National product at factor cost is equal to?
a) Domestic product + Net factor income from abroad
b) National product at market prices - indirect taxes + subsidies
c) Gross domestic product - depreciation
d) National product at market prices + Indirect taxes + subsidies
Q. Which of the following statements is/are, correct?
1. If a country is experiencing increase in its per capita GDP, its GDP
must necessarily be growing.
2. 'If a country is experiencing negative inflation, its GDP must be
decreasing.
Select the correct answer using the code given below Code:
a) 1 only
b) 2 only
c) Both 1 and 2
d) Neither 1 nor 2
What is Gross GVA is the measure of the value of goods and services
Value Added produced in an area, industry or sector of an economy.
(GVA)? Put simply, it is a measure of total output and income
in the economy.
It provides the rupee value for the amount of goods
and services produced in an economy after deducting
the cost of inputs and raw materials that have gone
into the production of those goods and services. It also
gives sector-specific picture like what is the growth in
an area, industry or sector of an economy.
How is it At the macro level, from national accounting
measured? perspective, it is the sum of a country’s GDP and net of
subsidies and taxes in the economy. When measured
from the production side, it is a balancing item of the
national accounts.
What is GDP? It gives the economic output from the consumers’ side.
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• A higher tax to GDP ratio means that the government is able to cast its Notes
fiscal net wide. It reduces a government's dependence on borrowings.
• A higher tax to GDP ratio means that an economy's tax buoyancy is
strong as the share of tax revenue rises in sync with the rise in the
country's GDP.
• India, despite seeing higher growth rates, has struggled to widen the
tax base.
• Lower tax-to-GDP ratio constrains the government to spend on
infrastructure and puts pressure on the government to meet its fiscal
deficit targets.
ALTERNATIVES TO GDP:
• GDP fails to measure quality of life.
• GDP numbers misguide about general welfare indicators.
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Notes
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Do You Know?
Problem of Double Counting:
• When computing national income, the problem of double counting
arises. The national income estimates become muddled when double
accounting occurs in the calculation of national income.
• Methods to avoid the problem of double counting:
o Only the value of finished goods should be counted (final output
method).
o Only the value added that equals the value of output less
intermediary consumption should be counted (Value added
method).
Private Income:
• Private income is the estimated income of all factors and transfers to
the private sector, both within and outside the country.
• Private Income = Factor income from net domestic product accruing to
the private sector + National debt interest + Net factor income from
abroad + Current transfers from government + Other net transfers from
the rest of the world.
Green GDP:
▪ Green GDP is a term used for expressing GDP after adjusting the costs
of environmental damages and ecological degradations from the GDP.
The concept was first initiated through a System of National Accounts.
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Notes
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MAINS
What is ‘inflation targeting’? Discuss the tools that are used for inflation
targeting. How effective have they been in India? Discuss.
Let’s say IASBaba has a small agricultural land in his village and grows apples
there. All his apples are sold in a city store. In 2014, you bought an IASBaba’s
apple for Rs.20 per piece but in 2015, the same apple costs 2 rupees more.
Let’s study two cases to see the cause of this price rise:
Case 1: The rise in price could be because of the increased supply costs like –
▪ increased labour charges,
▪ increased transportation costs or
▪ increased seeds/fertilizers costs
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In both the cases, you can also say that the price of the apple hasn’t increased; Notes
just
• the rupee value got decreased or
• Purchasing power of money was reduced.
With the same amount of money, you could buy lesser apples in 2015 than in
2014. This is Inflation.
Case 1 being an example of Cost push inflation (Price rise due to increase of
production costs) whereas Case 2 is an example of Demand-pull Inflation (Price
rise due to more money in economy creating more demand)
In layman terms - “Inflation can be defined as a sustained increase in the
general level of prices for goods and services”
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a) 1 only Notes
b) 2 and 4 only
c) 1 and 3
d) 2, 3 and 4
Q. Which one of the following indices is now used by the Reserve Bank of
India to measure the rate of inflation in India?
a) NASDAQ Index
b) BSE Index
c) Consumer Price Index
d) Wholesale Price Index
Note:
• Inflation is divided based on the rate, but there are no clear lines of
demarcation and hence you can see them being used often
interchangeably.
• India's Consumer Price Index based-retail inflation climbed to an eight-
year high of 7.79 percent in April 2022 as per National Statistical Office
(NSO).
• In March 2022, the figure was 6.95 percent – making April 2022 the
fourth consecutive month in which the figure stayed well above the
Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) upper tolerance limit of 6 percent.
• An inflation rate is indicative of the rise in prices of commodities in an
economy. Retail inflation, specifically, is measured in consumer price
index (CPI), which is a weighted average of prices of a basket of
consumer goods and services. Therefore, retail inflation is also termed
CPI-based inflation.
• The CPI is the change in retail prices of goods and services which
households purchase for their daily consumption, such as food articles,
fuel, and services such as transportation and health care, among others.
• The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) is
responsible for compiling this data, which is measured by the rate of
change in CPI over a period of time.
• The Reserve Bank of India monitors this figure in view of sustaining a
balance in commodity prices in the economy.
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Notes
Basics Terminologies:
Inflation Types
Creeping When prices rise at very slow rate, i.e. creeper’s speed,
Inflation: it is called ‘creeping inflation. Generally, 3% annual rise
in prices is considered as ‘creeping inflation’.
Walking or When inflation is in between 3% to 7%, it’s regarded as
Trotting Inflation: ‘walking or trotting inflation’. Some economists have
extended the boundary of this type of inflation up to
10% per annum. This type of inflation is considered as a
warning signal for the government to take some
measures to control the situation.
Running Inflation: This type of inflation comes into action when there’s a
rapid rise in prices and the range of this type lies in
between 10% to 20% per annum. This type of inflation
is controllable only by strong monetary and fiscal
measures, lest it will be turned into ‘hyperinflation’.
Galloping The rise of prices from 20% to 100 % per annum is
Inflation: regarded as ‘galloping inflation’. OR when price rises to
double- or triple-digit rate.
Hyperinflation is extremely fast or out-of-control
Hyperinflation: inflation. Hyperinflation occurs when price increases
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Reflation: This term is used to refer the situation where measures are taken to
curb deflation. Steps can be like fiscal policy (reducing taxes) or monetary policy
(increasing money supply or reducing interest rates)
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Slowdown – Recession & Depression: These three terms are inter-linked. Notes
Generally, first slowdown occurs, then recession comes and finally depression
occurs
a) Slowdown: A decline in economy of a country – Link it with GDP, not
inflation
b) Recession: If slowdown occurs for 2 successive quarters i.e. GDP falls
for 2 successive quarters, it is known as recession. Common indicators
are fall in GDP and investments
c) Depression: Generally, if recession lasts long, it is said that the economy
is in depression. Main indicators are huge fall in demand of goods and
services with a sharp decline in GDP and investments. Ex: Great
Depression of 1930.
Now that you have seen inflation and its forms, you can now see that inflation
is not just about raising prices, there is a need to study the causes of inflation
which generally have some other root causes and sometimes concerns. These
vary a lot depending on situation and can be critical at many circumstances.
Base Effect
• The base effect is the distortion in a monthly inflation figure that results
from abnormally high or low levels of inflation in the year-ago month.
A base effect can make it difficult to accurately assess inflation levels
over time. It diminishes over time if inflation levels are relatively
constant.
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Now the question occurs whether inflation is really bad? Let’s try to answer it:
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Notes
High Demand:
Increase in Price
More
Consumption
Decrease in Price
Well, when you have deflation, the following generally take place:
• lowering of prices
• lowering of wages and
• High unemployment.
So, although you could get cheaper products, your disposable income got
reduced because of lower wages and unemployment effect. There might be
some people who are better-off with deflation, but the problem is wider on a
macroscopic view.
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Now we understood that having some inflation is good. So, can’t we keep it
high so that it will never come near ‘0’?
Okay, here we are talking about high Inflation. As you know, inflation makes
your money less valuable.
Let’s just look at few of the major consequences of having high inflation:
It erodes the purchasing power of money: As we have seen many times before,
inflation makes your monetary assets fall in value. Ex: The same 1000 rupees
with which could serve you 10 meals before can now serve you only 1 because
of inflation.
• Examples of High Inflation in Venezuela and Sudan.
Redistribution of Income among groups: People who know how to save their
assets from inflation gets protected but all others will lose the value of their
monetary assets creating inequality.
Ex: Borrowers are benefitted with inflation as they now need to pay a lower
value of money but lenders suffer. How? Suppose I have Rs.20. You wanted to
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buy an apple now which costs Rs.20 but don’t have money. So, you lend it from Notes
me with 10 % interest. So, you will have to give me Rs.22 next year. So, I am
happy to give it to you as I can buy an apple and save 2 rupees next year. But
unfortunately, this year saw a high inflation of 20 % and hence apple cost is
now Rs.24. So, as a lender I lose 2 rupees in buying an apple instead of gaining
2 rupees but you as a borrower gained because the apple is worth more than
22 which you paid to me.
Loss of Business Confidence and fall in Investments: When the inflation is high,
the aggregate demand reduces (remember that demand increases inflation but
not the vice versa). Also, companies anticipate an increase in interest rates to
combat with inflation and hence will discourage them from investments. Also,
higher fluctuation leads to low confidence in investments. This is particularly
important to India’s “Make in India” initiative.
High /unpredictable inflation
Bad for Balance of Payments: Higher inflation will cause our exports to price
more and imports to cost less.
• Hence, there will be lesser exports and more imports worsening the
Balance of Payment.
• By looking at all the above, it is evident that both a high inflation and
low inflation are harmful to economy.
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the single most important macro-economic objective for most of the Notes
countries.
Were there spikes and dips in inflation of India in the past? Were those spikes
and dips really bad or were sometimes good?
Let’s look at various situations in the past and analyse the inflation history in
India.
Dancing Numbers:
Remember 1930? Yes, it was the Great Depression of 1930’s where India was
affected as well with cotton Industries being the worst hit. It is during this stage,
the prices started dropping with a peak deflation of nearly 11 %. Although the
RBI was set up in 1935, it could control the deflation only to some extent.
Okay, if the prices were going down, why did it shoot up so much suddenly?
It was obviously the World War II effect. Even before the war started, the
expectation of shortage itself spiked the inflation to nearly 40 % but once the
war started it went to an uncontrollable inflationary spiral and by the end of
war it was as high as 150 %. Indians suffered a lot during this period. This was
the only period in Indian history where the prices rose up very sharply for 3
consecutive years. One of the major causes of this is the unrestricted deficit
financing which lead to such an inflationary spiral.
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Notes
World War
Effect
(Speculation
of Shortage)
Partition and
Independence INFLATION
Unrestricted
Deficit
Financing
1950’s & 1960’s:
Lots of fiscal measures were taken in 1949 to bring down the inflation along
with rupee devaluation. All these steps got the inflation to around 2 % by 1950.
But these 2 decades saw some peaks of 15%. These can be mainly accounted
to
• Wars with China & Pakistan,
• Famine in 1965 &
• Adaption of Nehru-Mahalonobis strategy which saw Huge Investments
+ Deficit Financing
But on a whole these two decades saw inflation in an acceptable rate. RBI was
a key performer during this period which took various monetary policy
measures. The end of 1969 saw nationalization of banks in India which was
indeed a major step taken by the government since Independence.
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Government and RBI used all their tools but when they realized that it’s not Notes
enough to bring it down, it started their attacks on hoarders, black markets and
smugglers. Finally, from a high of 25%, it came down to -1% within a year.
Just when things were cooling down, another oil shock in 1980 pulled up the
inflation back to 9%. This stayed around 7 to 9% throughout the 1980’s but one
good thing about this period since the second oil shock is that the fluctuations
were very low during this period. But this decade closed with another hike of
inflation from 7 to 10 % with Gulf wars.
Since 1996, for almost 12 years the inflation was contained at an acceptable
rate and fluctuations were also minimal. There is only one major fluctuation in
2000-01 which can be accounted to the increase of petroleum prices, but was
brought back to control immediately.
The 2008 oil spike was a major event which took India’s inflation to a double
digit.
So, in the past 80 years ranging from 1930’s to 2010, India although have seen
many ups and downs in inflation, we can still say it’s been a good economy
without any major disasters like hyper-inflation. Even if we compare with Asian
countries, India is better off with many countries in terms of inflation. For
around half of the last 80 years, India could contain Inflation below 6 % which
is generally considered good.
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Notes
Differences
WPI- to have inflationary trend in the economy as a whole.
CPI- used for adjusting income and expenditure streams for changes in
the cost of living.
WPI -Wholesale prices for primary articles, administered prices for fuel
items and ex-factory prices for manufactured products.
CPI -Retail prices, which include all distribution costs and taxes.
WPI-Prices for WPI are collected on voluntary basis
CPI- Price data for CPI are collected by investigators by visiting markets.
WPI- Covers all goods including intermediate goods transacted in the
economy.
CPI- Covers only consumer goods and consumer services
WPI- Weights primarily based on national accounts and enterprise survey
data
CPI- Weights are derived from consumer expenditure survey data.
Q. Which of the following brings out the ‘Consumer Price Index Number for
Industrial Workers’? (2015)
a) The Reserve Bank of India
b) The Department of Economic Affairs
c) The Labour Bureau
d) The Department of Personnel and Training
Q. Consider the following items of wholesale price index:
1. Primary articles
2. Fuel, power, lights and lubricants
3. Manufacturing products
Arrange the above items in descending order in terms of their weightage in
calculating wholesale price index:
a) 1, 2, 3
b) 1, 3, 2
c) 3, 1, 2
d) 3, 2, 1
The difference between WPI food and CPI food shows us the supply side
issues.
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Does RBI use WPI or CPI Inflation to manage monetary policy? Notes
While earlier the Reserve Bank of India used WPI inflation to manage monetary
policy expectations, it is now the CPI inflation which is largely taken into
account. The RBI highlights its inflation expectations based on the CPI inflation
data that comes in. For example, it sets targets on CPI Inflation and monitors it
accordingly. Many analysts for long had suggested that the RBI should move to
the CPI data vs the WPI data, which had now happened in the last couple of
years.
WPI Inflation vs. CPI Inflation: Which should you keep in mind?
For the common man it is always better to keep retail inflation which is the CPI
or the Consumer Price Inflation number in mind. It is a better measurement of
what is largely happening with consumer prices. WPI inflation on the other
hand is better known to individuals who track the wholesale prices and is of
better significance to them. In any case both are a measure of inflation.
Credit Control: Central bank (RBI in India) can control the money flow into
economy through various methods. Ex: Changing CRR, SLR, Repo Rate etc.
Increase in taxes: Increasing tax leads to less disposable income, which cuts
consumption and hence controls inflation. But increasing it to a very high-level
leads to low savings and investment which slowdowns economy. Instead, tax
benefits for investments and savings should be encouraged while using this
measure.
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Increasing production: The main factor for inflation is not having enough Notes
supply for the increasing demand. There are various methods to increase
production from expansion to increasing productivity.
Rational Wage Policy: To prevent inflation spiral from happening, the wages
can be freeze-d or can be linked with productivity→ Helps control inflation.
GDP Deflator
GDP deflator, also called implicit price deflator, is a measure of inflation. It is
the ratio of the value of goods and services an economy produces in a particular
year at current prices to that of prices that prevailed during the base year.
𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃
• GDP deflator in % terms = *100
𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃
• Similar to GDP deflator there is also GNP deflator.
This ratio helps show the extent to which the increase in gross domestic
product has happened on account of higher prices rather than increase in
output.
Since the deflator covers the entire range of goods and services produced in
the economy as against the limited commodity baskets for the wholesale or
consumer price indices it is seen as a more comprehensive measure of inflation.
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The Phillips Curve shows the inverse relationship between inflation and
unemployment: as unemployment decreases, inflation increases.
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Inflationary Gap
• An Inflationary Gap is a macroeconomic concept that describes the
difference between the current level of real gross domestic product
(GDP) and the anticipated GDP that would be experienced if an
economy is at full employment, also referred to as the potential GDP.
For the gap to be considered inflationary, the current real GDP must be
the higher of the two metrics.
• The inflationary gap exists when the demand for goods and services
exceeds production due to factors such as higher levels of overall
employment, increased trade activities or increased government
expenditure. This can lead to the real GDP exceeding the potential
GDP, resulting in an inflationary gap. The inflationary gap is so named
because the relative increase in real GDP causes an economy to
increase its consumption, which causes prices to rise in the long run.
Do You Know?
Inflation in India, in April 2022 (Retail Inflation at 7.8%), was at its highest in the
last 8 years, and almost twice the RBI's target. But How and Why?
• Inflation happened because of global factors like commodities (such as
agricultural produce) price rise, energy price rise and interest rate hikes
by the United States Federal Reserve, as well as supply side factors
caused by COVD-induced lockdowns.
• The war in Ukraine: Ukraine is one of the major sunflower oil producers
in the world and India imports a major portion of the commodity from
there. Ukraine is a key supplier of fertilizer to India.
• When prices of oil and fertilizer increase, there is bound to be a
cascading effect on all other prices which eventually the customer has
to pay for. The Ukraine-Russia war has also caused disruptions in the
supply chain.
The Indian central bank has a mandate to keep inflation between 2 percent and
6 percent. If the RBI fails to adhere to this target for three consecutive quarters,
it needs to explain the failure to Parliament in writing.
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MAINS
INTRODUCTION
• This is one of the very important topics for Prelims.
• You have to focus on various terminologies and concepts mostly from
Indian Budget Document.
• They are more or less present in news throughout the year hence to
understand the economy related news; one should be very well versed
with such concepts.
• Our focus through this document is to create dimensions and clear
concepts.
• In Babapedia, we are already covering current affairs part. Your focus
should be to consolidate them well before the examination.
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• Also, do not mug the facts and figures given in the document. Notes
Facts/figures for examination to be taken care from 2022-23 Budget
and Economic Surveys only.
Main Elements
• It is a statement of estimates of government receipts and expenditure.
• Budget estimates pertain to a fixed period, generally a year.
• Expenditure and sources of finance are planned in accordance with the
objectives of the government.
• It requires to be approved (passed) by Parliament or Assembly or some
other authority before its implementation.
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Financial Bill
• At the time of presentation of the Annual Financial Statement before
Parliament, a Finance Bill is also presented detailing the imposition,
abolition, remission, alteration or regulation of taxes proposed in the
Budget. A Finance Bill is a Money Bill as defined in Article 110 of the
Constitution.
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• All government expenditure is made from this fund, except exceptional Notes
items which are met from the Contingency Fund or the Public Account.
No money can be withdrawn from this fund without the Parliament’s
approval.
Contingency Fund of India (Article 267)
• Contingency Fund is created as an imprest account to meet some
urgent or unforeseen expenditure of the government.
• This fund was constituted by the government under Article 267 of the
Constitution of India. This fund is at the disposal of the President.
• Any expenditure incurred from this fund requires a subsequent
approval from the Parliament and the amount withdrawn is returned
to the fund from the Consolidated Fund.
Public Account
• Public Account of India accounts for flows for those transactions where
the government is merely acting as a banker.
• This fund was constituted under Article 266 (2) of the Constitution. It
accounts for flows for those transactions where the government is
merely acting as a banker.
• Examples of those are provident funds, small savings and so on. These
funds do not belong to the government.
• They have to be paid back at some time to their rightful owners.
Because of this nature of the fund, expenditures from it are not
required to be approved by the Parliament.
Demands for Grants (Article 113)
• Estimated expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India included in
the Annual Financial Statement are submitted in the form of Demands
for Grants.
• Demands for Grants are presented to the Lok Sabha along with the
Annual Financial Statement and required to be voted by the Lok-Sabha
• Generally, one Demand for Grant is presented in respect of each
Ministry or Department. However, more than one Demand may be
presented for a Ministry or Department depending on the nature of
expenditure
• In regard to Union Territories without Legislature, a separate Demand
is presented for each of the Union Territories.
Objectives:
In a mixed economy like ours, the government plays a significant role along
with the private sector. The three major functions served by this presentation
of estimates.
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Components:
There is a constitutional requirement in India (Article 112) to present before
the Parliament a statement of estimated receipts and expenditures of the
government in respect of every financial year which runs from 1 April to 31
March. This ‘Annual Financial Statement’ constitutes the main budget
document. Further, the budget must distinguish expenditure on the revenue
account from other expenditures. Therefore, the budget comprises of the (a)
Revenue Budget and the (b) Capital Budget.
Components
of Budget
Revenue
Capital Budget
Budget
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Note: Govt. did away with separate railway budget and planned and non- Notes
planned expenditure in 2017.
Revenue Receipts: Revenue receipts are divided into tax and non-tax revenues.
Tax Revenue:
• Tax revenues consist of the proceeds of taxes and other duties levied
by the central government. Tax revenues, an important component of
revenue receipts, comprise of direct taxes – which fall directly on
individuals (personal income tax) and firms (corporation tax), and
indirect taxes like excise taxes (duties levied on goods produced within
the country), customs duties (taxes imposed on goods imported into
and exported out of India) and service tax.
• Excise taxes are the single largest revenue earner. Other direct taxes
like wealth tax, gift tax and estate duty (now abolished) have never
been of much significance in terms of revenue yield and have thus been
referred to as paper taxes.
Non-Tax Revenue:
• Non-Tax Revenue includes interest receipts on loans given by central
government, dividends or profits in investment of government, fees &
other receipts for services rendered by government. Also, cash grants-
in-aid received from foreign countries and international organizations.
Revenue Expenditure:
Expense other than creation of physical or financial assets of central
government, which means expenditure for normal functioning of government
departments (day to day working)
• Interest payments on debt taken by government
• Grants to state government and others (even for creation of assets).
Revenue Deficit:
• If the balance of total revenue receipts and total revenue expenditures
turns out to be negative it is known as revenue deficit, a new fiscal
terminology used since the fiscal 1997–98 in India.
• Revenue deficit= Revenue expenditure – Revenue receipts
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Capital Receipts:
Capital receipts refer to incoming cash flows. They can be both non-debt and
debt receipts. Loan from the general public, foreign governments and RBI form
a major part of capital receipts.
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Note- In the budget documents, the Union government usually lists non-debt Notes
capital receipts in two broad categories – recovery of loans and other receipts.
Other receipts basically mean disinvestment proceeds from the sale of the
government’s share in public sector companies. Over the years, this has
become a major source of the Union government’s non-debt capital receipts
Capital Expenditure:
Fiscal Deficit
• When balance of the government’s total receipts (i.e., revenue + capital
receipts) and total expenditures (i.e., revenue + capital expenditures)
turns out to be negative, it shows the situation of fiscal deficit, a
concept being used since the fiscal 1997–98 in India.
• The situation of fiscal deficit indicates that the government is spending
beyond its means. To be simpler, we may say that the government is
spending more than its income.
• Fiscal Deficit = Total expenditure – (Revenue receipts+ Non-debt
creating capital receipts)
• Fiscal deficit is targeted at 6.8% of GDP in 2021-22, down from the
revised estimate of 9.5% in 2020-21 (4.6% in 2019-20). The government
aims to steadily reduce fiscal deficit to 4.5% of GDP by 2025-26.
Primary Deficit
• The fiscal deficit excluding the interest liabilities for a year is the primary
deficit, a term India started using since the fiscal 1997–98. It shows the
fiscal deficit for the year in which the economy had not to fulfill any
interest payments on the different loans and liabilities which it is
obliged to, shown both in quantitative and percentage of GDP forms.
• A decrease in primary deficit shows progress towards fiscal health. The
deficit is also mentioned as a percentage of GDP. It is needed to get a
proper perspective and facilitate comparison. Note that the difference
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between the primary deficit and fiscal deficit reflects the amount of Notes
interest payment on public debt generated in the past.
• Primary Deficit= Fiscal deficit – Interest payment
Monetized Deficit
• The part of the fiscal deficit which was provided by the RBI to the
government in a particular year is Monetized Deficit, this is a new term
adopted since 1997–98 in India.
BUDGET DEFICIT
• When a government spends more than it receives by the way of
revenue, it is known as the budget deficit.
• The difference between revenue expenditure and revenue receipts is
known as the revenue deficit.
• The difference between the government’s total expenditure and its
total receipts excluding borrowing is known as the fiscal deficit.
• The growth of revenue deficit as a percentage of fiscal deficit points to
a deterioration in the quality of government expenditure involving
lower capital formation.
• Government deficit can be reduced by an increase in taxes or/and
reduction in expenditure.
• Public debt is burdensome if it reduces the future growth in terms of
output.
• Budget deficit Total Expenditure - Total Receipts
Deficit Financing:
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1. External Aids are the best money as a means to fulfill a government’s deficit
requirements even if it is coming with soft interest. If they are coming without
interest nothing could be better.
External Grants are even better elements in this case (which comes free—
neither interest nor any repayments) but it either did not come to India (since
1975, the year of the first Pokhran testing’s) or India did not accept it (as
happened post-Tsunami, arguing grants/aids coming with a tag/condition).
2. External Borrowings are the next best way to manage fiscal deficit with the
condition that the external loans are comparatively cheaper and long-term.
External Borrowings are better than the internal borrowings due to two
reasons.
• External borrowing brings in foreign currency/hard currency which
gives extra edge to the government spending as by this the government
may fulfill its developmental requirements inside the country as well as
from outside the country.
• It is preferred over the internal borrowings due to ‘crowding out effect’.
If the government itself goes on borrowing from the banks of the
country, from where will others borrow for investment purposes?
4. Printing Currency is the last resort for the government in managing its
deficit. But it has the biggest handicap that with it the government cannot go
for the expenditures which are to be made in the foreign currency. Even if the
government is satisfied on this front, printing fresh currencies does have other
damaging effects on the economy:
• It increases inflation proportionally. (India regularly went for it since the
early 1970s and usually had to bear double digit inflations.)
• It brings in regular pressure and obligation on the government for
upward revision in wages and salaries of government employees-
ultimately increasing the government expenditures necessitating
further printing of currency and further inflation—a vicious cycle into
which economies entangle themselves.
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Effects on Economy:
• Deficit financing is inherently inflationary.
• It has adverse effects on investments.
• Printing new currency notes increases the flow of money in the
economy. This leads to increase in inflationary pressures which leads to
rise of prices of goods and services in the country.
• Deficit financing raises aggregate expenditure and hence aggregate
demand.
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Q. Which of the following is/are included in the capital budget of the Government of Notes
India?
1. Expenditure on acquisition of assets like roads, buildings, machinery, etc.
2. Loans received from foreign governments
3. Loans and advances granted to the States and Union Territories
Select the correct answer using the code given below.
a) 1 only
b) 2 and 3 only
c) 1 and 3 only
d) 1, 2 and 3
Q. Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effect?
(a) Repayment of public debt
(b) Borrowing from the public to finance a budget deficit
(c) Borrowing from banks to finance a budget deficit
(d) Creating new money to finance a budget deficit
Q. The concept which tries to ascertain the actual deficit in the revenue account after
adjusting for expenditure of capital nature is termed as
a) revenue deficit
b) effective revenue deficit
c) fiscal deficit
d) primary deficit
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Types of Budgeting
1. Performance Budgeting
• A performance budget reflects the goal/objectives of the organization
and spells out its performance targets.
• These targets are sought to be achieved through a strategy. Unit costs
are associated with the strategy and allocations are accordingly made
for achievement of the objectives.
• A Performance Budget gives an indication of how the funds spent are
expected to give outputs and ultimately the outcomes.
• However, performance budgeting has a limitation – it is not easy to
arrive at standard unit costs especially in social programmes, which
require a multi-pronged approach.
2. Zero-based Budgeting
• The basic purpose of ZBB is phasing out of programmes/activities,
which do not have relevance anymore. ZBB is done to overhaul the
functioning of the government departments and PSUs so that
productivity can be increased and wastage can be minimized. Scarce
government resources can be deployed efficiently. Therefore, Zero
Based Budgeting is followed for rationalization of expenditure.
• The concept of zero-based budgeting was introduced in the 1970s. As
the name suggests, in the process every budgeting cycle starts from
scratch.
• Unlike the earlier systems, where only incremental changes were made
in the allocation, under zero-based budgeting every activity is evaluated
each time a budget is made and only if it is established that the activity
is necessary, funds are allocated to it.
• Under the ZBB, a close and critical examination is made of the existing
government programmes, projects and other activities to ensure that
funds are made available to high priority items by eliminating outdated
programmes and reducing funds to the low priority items.
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3. Programme Budgeting
• Programme budgeting aimed at a system in which expenditure would
be planned and controlled by the objective. The basic building block of
the system was classification of expenditure into programmes, which
meant objective-oriented classification so that programmes with
common objectives are considered together.
5. Outcome Budget
With effect from Financial Year 2007-08, the Performance Budget and the
Outcome Budget hitherto which were presented to Parliament separately by
Ministries/Departments, were merged and presented as a single document
titled "Outcome Budget" in respect of each Ministry/ Department.
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6. Gender Budgeting
• The 2005-06 Budget introduced a statement highlighting the gender
sensitivities of the budgetary allocations.
• Gender budgeting is an exercise to translate the stated gender
commitments of the government into budgetary commitments,
involving special initiatives for empowering women and examination of
the utilization of resources allocated for women and the impact of
public expenditure and policies of the government on women.
Balanced Budgeting
• A Balanced Budget is that budget in which Government receipts are
equal to Government expenditure.
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Unbalanced Budgeting
• An unbalanced budget is that budget in which receipts and expenditure
of the government are not equal.
• In this, two cases concerning surplus Budget and Deficit Budget arise.
• In Surplus Budget, Government receipts are greater than Government
expenditures. While in the case of Deficit Budget, Government
expenditures are greater than Government receipts.
FISCAL POLICY
Fiscal policy has been defined as ‘the policy of the government with regard to
the level of government purchases, the level of transfers, and the tax
structure’.
• Fiscal policy is based on the theories of British economist John Maynard
Keynes. It is also known as Keynesian economics. Fiscal policy plays a
very important role in managing a country's economy.
• This theory basically states that governments can influence
macroeconomic productivity levels by increasing or decreasing tax
levels and public spending. This influence, in turn, curbs inflation,
increases employment, and maintains a healthy value of money.
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Let us first discuss the taxes and their impact on the economy:
• Taxes have a direct bearing on people’s income affecting their levels of
disposable incomes, purchase of goods and services, consumption and
ultimately their standard of living;
• Taxes directly affect the savings of individuals, families and firms which
affect investment in the economy—as investment affects the output
(GDP) thereby influencing the per capita income;
• Taxes affect the prices of goods and services as factor cost (production
cost) is affected thereby affecting incentives and behavior of economic
activities, etc.
Government expenditures affect/influence the economy in two ways:
• There is some expenditure on government purchases of goods and
services, for example construction of roads, railways, ports, food grains,
etc., in the goods category and salary payments to government
employees in the services category; and
• There is some expenditure due to government’s income support, to the
poor, unemployed and old-age people (known as government transfer
payments).
Government’s fiscal policy has big role in stabilizing the economy during
business cycles. The two important phases of business cycles are boom and
recession.
Practically fiscal policy responses using taxation and expenditure can go in two
ways in response to the business cycle: Countercyclical and procyclical.
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person or organization that ultimately pays the tax e.g. personal tax, corporate Notes
tax, securities transaction tax etc.
Indirect taxes are charged and collected from persons other than those who
finally end up paying the tax. The legal responsibility of paying the tax to
government lies with the seller, but the tax is paid by the buyer, For example
Goods and Services tax (GST).
Note: All indirect taxes subsumed into GST (except customs, petroleum,
electricity, alcohol consumption etc.)
DIRECT TAXES
Personal Income Tax: a tax paid by people on the money they earn, as opposed
to a tax that a company pays on its profits. Divided into many slabs for different
income groups.
Corporate tax: Tax paid by domestic companies on net profit. This tax is also
payable by foreign corporations whose income arises or is deemed to arise in
India. Income earned as interest, royalties, dividends, technical services fees,
or gains through the sale of assets based in India is taxable.
Types:
• Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT): Levied on zero tax companies whose
accounts are prepared as per the guidelines of the Companies Act.
• Fringe Benefits Tax: Such direct tax is paid by companies on fringe
benefits (helpers, drivers, etc.) provided to employees.
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• Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT): This tax is levied on any amounts that Notes
are declared, distributed, or paid by domestic entities as dividends to
the shareholders; foreign companies are exempt from DDT.
• Securities Transaction Tax (STT): This liability arises from income earned
through taxable securities transactions.
• Capital Gains Tax: This type of direct tax in India is payable on income
earned from the sale of investments or assets. Capital assets include
investments in homes, art, businesses, shares, bonds etc.
It recommended replacing all indirect taxes except the customs duty with value
added tax on all goods and services with complete set off in all stages of making
of a product.
The Constitution Amendment Bill was passed by the Lok Sabha in May, 2015.
the bill was ratified by required number of States and received assent of the
President on 8th September, 2016 and has since been enacted as Constitution
(101st Amendment) Act, 2016 w.e.f. 16.09.2016.
TAX
STRUCTURE
GST(EXCEPT
DIRECT TAX
CUSTOMS)
INTRA- INTER-
STATE(CGST STATE(IGST INCOME TAX
CENTRAL) CENTRAL)
Highlights:
• GST is a single consumption tax that replaced existing taxes, including
Service Tax, Octroi, Sales Tax, Value added Tax, Excise Duty etc.
• Any business which ‘supply’ goods and/or services to any person or
entity in India has to pay GST.
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The 122nd Constitution Amendment Act established a GST Council tasked with
optimizing tax collection for goods and services by the State and Centre.
The Council consists of the Union Finance Minister (as Chairman), the Union
Minister of State in charge of revenue or Finance, and the Minister in charge of
Finance or Taxation or any other, nominated by each State government.
The GST Council is the body that decides which taxes levied by the Centre,
States and local bodies will go into the GST; which goods and services will be
subjected to GST; and the basis and the rates at which GST will be applied.
Do You Know?
Debt: A quantity of the money borrowed by one entity, the borrower, from
another entity, the lenders, is referred to as debt. Governments borrow money
to cover their deficits, which allows them to fund regular operations as well as
large capital expenditures. This debt might be in the form of a loan or bond
issuance.
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Types of Invisibles
• Invisibles are both international payments for services (as opposed to
goods), as well as movements of money without exchange for goods or
services.
• These invisibles are called 'transfer payments' or 'remittances' and may
include money sent from one country to another by an individual,
business, government or non-governmental organisations (NGO) –
often charities.
FOREX RESERVE
The forex are reserve assets held by a central bank in foreign currencies. It acts
as buffer to be used in challenging times and used to back liabilities on their
own issued currency as well as to influence monetary policy. Almost all
countries in world, regardless of size of their economy, hold significant foreign
exchange reserves.
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India’s forex reserves recently crossed the $500-billion mark for the first time Notes
in history due to higher foreign direct investment, foreign institutional
investment. Low oil prices also helped reduce outflows.
The increase in reserves does give India adequate cushion to combat external
shocks. India is one of the few nations whose forex reserves are more than
forex debt. The increase in FDI signals faith in the future of the economy, rather
than a commentary on its present state. Lower imports are a result of lower
domestic demand, but currently, it is due to the lockdown too. It is, therefore,
difficult to consider the increase in reserves as a direct sign of a healthy
economy.
External Debt
• The RBI and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) jointly release the external
debt stock position of India. The Reserve Bank of India releases India's
external debt statistics for the quarters ending March and June with a
lag of one quarter and those for the quarters ending September and
December by the finance ministry.
• External debt, otherwise known as foreign debt, is the component of
total debt held by creditors of the foreign nations. Debt can be in the
form of money owed to banks (Asian Development Bank (ADB),
International Bank for Restructuring and Development (IBRD) outside
the domestic nation or borrowings from the global financial institutions
like the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The external debt in India is classified as long-term debt and short-term debt.
• The long-term debt consists of external commercial borrowings,
borrowings from global financial institutions like IMF (Multilateral
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Debt), borrowings from private banks (Bilateral Debt), trade credit, NRI Notes
deposits, etc.
• On the other hand, short-term debt comprises of FII investments in
government T-bills, investment in T-bills by foreign central banks,
external debt liabilities of commercial banks and RBI.
FINANCE COMMISSION
Its recommendations are also geared towards improving the quality of public
spending and promoting fiscal stability. The first Finance Commission was set
up in 1951 and there have been fifteen so far. Each of them has faced its own
unique set of challenges.
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The Commission determines its procedure and have such powers in the
performance of their functions as parliament may by law confer on them.
(i) The first report, consisting of recommendations for the financial year 2020-
21, was tabled in Parliament on February 1, 2020.
(ii) The final report with recommendations for the 2021-26 period will be
submitted by October 30, 2020.
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Sources: Report for the year 2020-21, 15th Finance Commission; PRS.
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Income distance: Income distance is the distance of the state’s income from Notes
the state with the highest income. The income of a state has been computed
as average per capita GSDP during the three-year period between 2015-16 and
2017-18. States with lower per capita income would be given a higher share to
maintain equity among states.
Forest and Ecology: This criterion has been arrived at by calculating the share
of dense forest of each state in the aggregate dense forest of all the states.
Tax effort: This criterion has been used to reward states with higher tax
collection efficiency. It has been computed as the ratio of the average per
capita own tax revenue and the average per capita state GDP during the three-
year period between 2014-15 and 2016-17.
Grants-in-aid
In 2020-21, the following grants will be provided to states: (i) revenue deficit
grants, (ii) grants to local bodies, and (iii) disaster management grants. The
Commission has also proposed a framework for sector-specific and
performance-based grants. State-specific grants will be provided in the final
report.
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20. These states are Karnataka, Mizoram, and Telangana. The Commission has Notes
recommended special grants to these states aggregating to Rs 6,764 crore.
Grants to local bodies: The total grants to local bodies for 2020-21 has been
fixed at Rs 90,000 crore, of which Rs 60,750 crore is recommended for rural
local bodies (67.5%) and Rs 29,250 crore for urban local bodies (32.5%). This
allocation is 4.31% of the divisible pool. This is an increase over the grants for
local bodies in 2019-20, which amounted to 3.54% of the divisible pool (Rs
87,352 crore). The grants will be divided between states based on population
and area in the ratio 90:10. The grants will be made available to all three tiers
of Panchayat- village, block, and district.
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Fiscal deficit and debt levels: The Commission noted that recommending a
credible fiscal and debt trajectory roadmap remains problematic due to
uncertainty around the economy. It recommended that both central and state
governments should focus on debt consolidation and comply with the fiscal
deficit and debt levels as per their respective Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
Management (FRBM) Acts.
Tax capacity: In 2018-19, the tax revenue of state governments and central
government together stood at around 17.5% of GDP. The Commission noted
that tax revenue is far below the estimated tax capacity of the
country. Further, India’s tax capacity has largely remained unchanged since the
early 1990s. In contrast, tax revenue has been rising in other emerging
markets. The Commission recommended: (i) broadening the tax base, (ii)
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streamlining tax rates, (iii) and increasing capacity and expertise of tax Notes
administration in all tiers of the government.
Other recommendations:
Financing of security-related expenditure: The ToR of the Commission required
it to examine whether a separate funding mechanism for defence and internal
security should be set up and if so, how it can be operationalised.
In this regard, the Commission intends to constitute an expert group
comprising representatives of the Ministries of Defence, Home Affairs, and
Finance.
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COMMITTEES
• Arvind Mayaram Committee is related to FDI liberalisation. Constituted
in 2013, it recommended increasing the FDI limits in 12 sectors.
• Capital Account Convertibility - Tarapore committee
• Inflation Targeting – Urijit Patel committee
• Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) review – N K
Singh committee
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for measuring the progress of the SDGs and associated targets at the Notes
national level.
• NIF will give appropriate direction to the policy makers and the
implementers of various schemes and programs.
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Main Features:
• The FRBM Act made it mandatory for the government to place the
following along with the Union Budget documents in Parliament
annually-details of fiscal indicators such as fiscal, revenue and primary
deficit as a percentage of GDP, tax and non-tax revenues as a
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Provided that exceeding annual fiscal deficit target due to ground or grounds
of national security, act of war, national calamity, collapse of agriculture
severely affecting farm output and incomes, structural reforms in the economy
with unanticipated fiscal implications, decline in real output growth of a
quarter by at least three per cent points below its average of the previous four
quarters, may be allowed for the purposes of this section.
Note: NK Singh committee, that was set up in 2016 to review the FRBM Act,
recommended that the government must target a fiscal deficit of 3% of the
GDP in the years up to March 31, 2020, subsequently cut it to 2.8% in 2020-21
and to 2.5% by 2023.
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debt, fiscal deficit and revenue deficits to certain targets is good for fiscal Notes
consolidation in India.
▪ Public debt to GDP ratio should be considered as a medium-term
anchor for fiscal policy in India. The combined debt-to-GDP ratio of the
centre and states should be brought down to 60 per cent by 2023
(comprising of 40 per cent for the Centre and 20% for states) as against
the existing 49.4 per cent, and 21per cent respectively.
▪ Fiscal deficit as the operating target: The Committee advocated fiscal
deficit as the operating target to bring down public debt. For fiscal
consolidation, the centre should reduce its fiscal deficit from the
current 3.5% (2017) to 2.5% by 2023.
▪ Revenue deficit target: The Committee also recommends that the
central government should reduce its revenue deficit steadily by 0.25
percentage (of GDP) points each year, to reach 0.8% by 2023.
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