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ABSTRACT
The incidence of poverty in Bangladesh is one of the highest in the world. Millions of
people suffer from the hardship of poverty. Currently one-third (31.5 percent) of its
population are living below the poverty line. Moreover, inequality afflicts the
persistence of poverty. The average annual rate of poverty reduction in Bangladesh
during 2000-2005 was the second highest among south Asian countries. The pace of
poverty reduction in Bangladesh is, however, much lower than in faster-growing east
Asian countries like China, Thailand, and Vietnam, which underscores the
importance of higher growth for achieving even faster reduction in poverty. The
present study is an attempt to focus on the poverty trends, economic growth and
inequality in Bangladesh. This paper is also focused on to decompose inequality and
poverty by rural, urban and national level households. The study is based on the
analysis of secondary informations which have been collected from different sources.
Since 1991-92, the incidence of poverty has decreased to 31.5 percent in 2010 from
56.7 percent in 1992. From the study, it is evident that, the incidence of poverty is
higher in rural areas than that of the urban areas and the rate of decrease of poverty
is also higher in rural areas (1.24 percent) than that of the urban areas (1.13
percent). Both general inflation and food inflation are responsible for raising the
income inequality in Bangladesh. Despite steady growth of GDP in last one decade,
the general people are suffering more due to higher growth in household expenditure
and food inflation in compare with growth in income. The analysis shows a clear
picture of the current trend of poverty and inequality in Bangladesh.
Keywords: Poverty, Income inequality, Economic growth, Bangladesh
INTRODUCTION
Reduction of poverty is a fundamental challenge for Bangladesh. Although, Bangladesh has
gained important achievements in fighting against poverty since the early 1990s but there is
no room for satisfaction. The incidence of poverty in Bangladesh is still one of the highest in
the world. About one-third (31.5 percent) of its population are still living below the so-called
poverty line (HIES, 2010). In this context, likewise many other countries, poverty is still a
vital concern and challenge for Bangladesh. Despite the large numbers of people living in
poverty, the definition of poverty has been the subject of debate. The mainstream emerging
sees poverty as generally being characterized by inability of individuals, households, or entire
communities, to have control over sufficient resources to satisfy a socially acceptable
minimum standard of living. The alternative view understands poverty as a part of social
property relations. Inequality is a term which is antonyms or opposite of equality, a state of
social organization that enables or gives equal access to resources and opportunities to all
members. Since last more than one decade Bangladesh has got a steady growth in its
economy (more than 5 on average) but a large section of its population couldn’t be benefited
enough from it because of the unequal growth in income, household expenditure and food
inflation. Thus the number of total people has increased than before. As such the progress of
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7.1 percent (1.42 percent per annum) in urban area during 2005 to 2010. Using the lower
poverty line, in HIES 2010, the HCR of incidence of poverty estimated at 17.6 percent at
national level, 21.1 percent in rural area and 7.7 percent in urban area. In HIES 2005, these
rates were 25.1 percent, 28.6 percent and 14.6 percent in national, rural and urban area
respectively. Thus HCR recorded a reduction by 7.5 percent at national level, 7.5 percent in
rural area and 6.9 percent in urban area during the period 2005 to 2010.
Table 1. Head count rates of incidence of poverty.
50
40
percentage
30 2000
20
2005
10
0 2010
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The analysis of different reports (World Bank and HIES) shows an estimate of head count
rates by divisions using upper poverty line (figure 1) which reveals that the incidence of
poverty is higher in Barisal division with 39.4 percent among all other divisions followed by
Rajshahi including Rangpur (35.7 percent), Khulna (32.1 percent), Dhaka (30.5 percent) and
Sylhet (28.1 percent). However, the incidence of poverty is the lowest in Chittagong division
with 26.2 percent. Climate change might be a dominant factor responsible for the higher
incidence of poverty in those areas (Barisal, Khulna and Rajshahi). Whereas the incidence of
poverty in Chittagong division is lower than other divisions, which might be due to the
business activities centring on the seaport and natural resources (Rahman et. al., 2012).
Depth and Severity of Poverty
The poverty gap (PG) estimates the depth of poverty in the population. The head count rates
give only the percentage value of poverty incidences, but it does not measure the distance of
the poverty prone households from the poverty line whereas the squared poverty gap (SPG)
measures the severity of poverty. A substantial fall in poverty gap and squared poverty gap
indicates the improvement of consumption of those who are living below the poverty line
(upper). A drop in the poverty gap measurement indicates that the average distant of the poor
from the poverty line has fallen and a decline in squared poverty gap indicates that the
distribution of consumption among the poor has become more equitable.
Table 2. Over all poverty: poverty gap and squared poverty gap.
Poverty Gap Change Squared Poverty Gap Change
Year
National
1995-96 8.6 2.4
2000 12.8 4.2 4.6 2.2
2005 9.0 3.8 2.9 2.3
2010 6.5 2.5 2.0 0.9
Rural
1995-96 9.2 2.2
2000 13.7 4.5 4.90 2.7
2005 9.8 3.9 3.1 0.2
2010 7.4 2.2 2.2 0.9
Urban
1995-96 7.7 2.7
2000 9.1 1.4 3.3 0.6
2005 6.5 2.6 2.1 1.2
2010 4.3 2.2 1.3 0.8
Source: HIES data
In 1995-96 nationally the poverty gap was 8.6 which increased to 12.8 percent in 2000 and
decreased to 9.0 percent in 2005, which further decreased to 6.5 percent by 2010 (Table 2).
At national level the poverty gap started decreasing since 2000. The rate of decrease of
poverty gap during 2005 to 2010 was lower than that of 2000 to 2005. Similar results were
also found in case of squared poverty gap, which was 4.6 percent in 2000, decreased to 2.9
percent and 2.0 percent in 2005 and 2010 respectively (Table 2). In rural areas, poverty gap
was estimated at 7.4 percent in 2010, which was 9.8 percent, 13.7 and 9.2 percent in 2005,
2000 and 1995-96 respectively. In this case it is also seen that the rate started decreasing from
2000. Here, also the rate of reduction during the last five years (i.e. from 2005 to 2010) is
lower than that of the rate between 2000 and 2005. Comparable scenario was also found in
case of urban area.
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12
10
8
6 National
4
2 Rural
0 Urban
Figure 2. Area wise growth rate since 1995-96 to 2010 [Data source: HIES]
25
Growth rate in percent
20
15
10 National
5 Rural
0 Urban
Figure 3. Area wise different growth rate since 2005 to 2010 [Data source: HIES]
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Figure 4. Percentage share of household income by decile group (Data source: HIES)
Decile groups from the figure 4 shows the pattern of distribution of income from percentage
share of income of households. It is clear from the figure that the gap between the poorest of
the poor (bottom 5%) and the richest of the rich (top 5%) is extremely high. In HIES 2010,
the income accruing to top 5% of the household was 24.61%, whereas, the same was 0.78%
for the bottom 5% household. In 2005, income accruing to top 5 percent of the households
was 26.93%, where the same was 0.77% for the bottom 5%. It slightly increased from 0.77%
to 0.78% in 2010. On the contrary, the share of income of the top 5% decreased from 26.93%
to 24.61% over the same period indicating redistribution of income in favour of the mid-
level. In 2000, income accruing to top 5 percent of the households was 28.34%, where the
same was 0.93% for the bottom 5%. In 1995-96, income accruing to top 5 percent of the
households was 23.62%, where the same was 0.88% for the bottom 5%. (HIES, 2010). Figure
4 provides a clear image of the overview of inequality situation in Bangladesh.
Inequality in Income
Gini co-efficient is an instrument to measure inequality. This is the most popular composite
indicator that summarizes the extent of concentration (inequality) of household income. Gini
co-efficient can vary between ‘0’ and ‘1’. The ‘1’ is the most unequal state and the ‘0’ is the
most equal state. At national level, the Gini co-efficient of income has increased from 0.432
in 1995-96 to 0.451 in 2000, which has further increased to 0.467 in 2005 but decreased to
0.458 in 2010 from 0.467 in 2005. Gini co-efficient of income has increased from 0.385 in
1995-96 to 0.393 in 2000, which again increased to 0.428 in 2005 and further increased to
0.430 in 2010 at rural area, whereas for urban area it increases from 0.444 in 1995-96 to
0.497 in 2000 and remain same between 2000 and 2005 and again decreased from 0.497 to
0.452 in 2010 (HIES, 2000, 2005 and 2010). The Gini co-efficient of income has decreased at
national and urban level over the last five years (2005 to 2010) while it has slightly increased
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in rural areas during the same time. Table 3 provides the Gini co-efficient of income
inequality data for Bangladesh since 19995-96 to 2010. The data shows that inequality
situation is better in rural area than in urban and at national level.
Table 3. Gini co-efficient of income inequality in Bangladesh
7
6 6
5.4 5.3 5.1 5.5
5 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.9
4 3.8
3 2.8 GDP
2
1
0
Figure 5. Annual per capita GDP growth [Source: WDI, World Bank]
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The service sector has grown to account for about half of the total GDP (World Bank, 2008).
The long-term trend in GDP and annual per capita growth rates by years (2002-2012) are
shown in figure 5. From the analysis of the figure, it is seen that, the growth rate expanded
significantly from 2002 to 2012, shooting up to over 5 percent (5.27 percent) per annum on a
10 year average. The expansion of growth did face a shatter in the wake of the global food,
fuel and financial crisis during 2008 to 2010.
The Economy of Bangladesh is growing one. It is basically divided into three basic sectors
i.e. service, agriculture and industry. Among the economic sectors in Bangladesh, service
sector is most important. The contribution of service sector to the GDP is about 50%
(Bangladesh Economic Review, 2010). So, service sector influences the development of
national economy. The enormous contribution of service sector and an increasing trend
therein have played an important role in high growth of GDP. The analysis of last few years’
figure gives a clear idea on the phenomenon which is given in table 4.
Table 4. Sector wise growth of GDP in percentage
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Sectors Average
-02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10
Agriculture 0.01 3.08 4.09 2.21 4.94 4.56 3.21 4.12 4.39 3.21
Industry 6.53 7.26 7.60 8.28 9.74 8.38 6.78 6.46 6.42 7.49
Service 5.43 5.38 5.66 6.36 6.40 6.90 6.52 6.32 6.59 6.17
Total GDP 4.42 5.26 6.27 5.96 6.63 6.43 6.19 5.74 6.00 5.88
Source: Bangladesh Economic Survey, 2010
From the comparative presentation of the sectors, it is found that service sector is sustainable
in terms of growth and contribution to total GDP (Table 4). Here, from the table 4, it is seen
that the contribution of service sector is steady. Figure 6 shows the representation of average
contribution of different sector to the GDP from 2002-2012. From the figure, it is seen that
the average contribution of service sector, industry and agriculture sectors are 49.33%,
28.42%, and 22.25% respectively. So, the service sector is the half of total GDP. The growth
rate of service sector, industry sector and agriculture sector are 6.17%, 7.49% and 3.21%
respectively. The contribution of industry sector is increasing with the reducing trend of
agriculture sector.
Agricultu
re
22%
Serrvice
49%
Industry
29%
Figure 6. Sector wise contribution in GDP [Data source: Bangladesh economic review, 2010]
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According to World Bank report, growth in consumption, fueled by robust GDP growth, was
the dominant force in reducing poverty. Real per capita consumption expenditure increased at
an average annual rate of 2.3 percent, with a higher increase for rural than urban areas. The
national income accounts shows that the growth of private consumption per capita was the
highest during 2000-2005. Decompositions of changes in poverty indicate that consumption
growth (from HIES) accounted for nearly all the reduction in national poverty headcount.
Inflation and Poverty
Since early 2000, Bangladesh has been experiencing a high rate of inflation particularly in
food grain at the backdrop of global price hike in food grains. The high prices of essential
commodities, especially, food prices have imperiled the poor and worsened equity. Food
inflation has a profound nexus with poverty and inequality. Food inflation hits hard the poor
since their purchasing power decreases due to the erosion in real income. There is a
relationship between food inflation and poverty. The upward trend of general inflation as well
as food inflation has pulled more people into poverty. Figure 7 shows the change in food
inflation in Bangladesh since 2000 to 2010. From the analysis of different data it is seen that,
in 2000, the average food inflation was 2.68 percent for 12-month while 55.8 million people
were living under poverty line. In 2005, the food inflation has increased to 7.91 percent (12-
month average) when the number of total population living below the poverty line was 56
million. The food inflation has further increased by 10.8 percent in 2010(WFP, 2010 and
Bangladesh Economic Update, 2011).
During these years, changes in inflation have not followed any monotonic pattern. 12-month
average food inflation increased to 10.8 percent in 2010 from 2.68 percent in 2000 with an
annual rate of increase of 22.24 (WFP, 2010). If other things remain the same, this may
indicate that, 0.04 million people might be newly gone under poverty line due to one percent
increase in the food inflation. Therefore, in January 2011, 11.73 percent food inflation
indicates that more people are newly added to the population who are living below the
poverty line (Bangladesh Economic Update, 2011).
Figure 7. Food inflation in Bangladesh since 2000 to 2010 (Data source: WFP, 2010)
Higher food inflation shrinks the expenditure on basic non-food items which has an adverse
impact on the poor, not only on their current quality of life and human welfare but also on
future human development. It becomes a challenge to control such rising inflation. The
expenditure as a percentage of total expenditure increased from 50.75 percent in 2000 to
53.85 percent in 2010 (Saleh et al., 2011). Increase in food inflation drags down additional
number of people under the poverty line. Therefore, with the increase in food prices, they
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have the least ability to cut non-food expenditure for compensating the increased cost of
food. Price hike of food commodities over the past few years have eroded the purchasing
power of the marginalized section of the population and let them go down under the poverty
line.
Factors Influencing Reduction of Poverty
Since 90es Bangladesh has gained some achievements in the fight against poverty. The
reduction on poverty incidence, however, witnessed a slower pace during 2005-2010 than
that of first half of the decade. Unrealistic intervention strategies and policies are more
responsible for this lower reduction in poverty. From the analysis of different report it is
evident that lack of adequate state intervention for the expansion of production, deficiency of
equalizing income augmenting employment system, shortfalls in public expenditure for
enhancements of capabilities, inadequacies in regulatory regimes, lack of complementary
policy structure and non-existence of enforceability of constitutional rights, climate change
are the major reasons for persistence of poverty in Bangladesh. In the study it is also found
that there is a growing gap between income and expenditure over the years that hamper the
standard of living of people. Additionally, the standard of living is hindered due to higher rate
of increase in monthly household expenditure, higher rate of food inflation and lowered rate
of growth in monthly household income.
CONCLUSION
The eradication of poverty and inequality and meeting of basic needs are the primary goals
for any government. However, achieving a reduction in poverty and inequality is a
fundamental challenge in Bangladesh. Despite considerable trust on poverty alleviation in all
plan documents since the independence of Bangladesh, a significant number of people are
still living below the poverty line. Bangladesh is still a low income country with substantial
poverty, inequality and deprivation. Most of the labor force is engaged in informal low
productivity and low income jobs. The access to secondary and tertiary education is limited
and the quality of education at all levels is deficient. The poor group of the population is
severely disadvantaged in terms of ownership of assets and has inadequate access to
institutional finance as well as to basic services including quality education, healthcare, water
and sanitation. Over the years, the rate of increase in the monthly household income is lower
than that of the expenditure, which makes the poor more difficult to sustain and drags down
more people into poverty. This is also reflected in the increasing trend of inequality over the
years. High price of food and high food inflation bring miserable sufferings to its population
specially those who have no or little income. Along with focus on economic growth and
employment, substantial attention needs to be given to reduce the growth of population.
Inequality emerges from a combination of greatly unequal distribution of physical assets as
well as human capital. There is considerable concern in Bangladesh about the growing
income inequality. Results show that the distribution of income is much more unequal than
the distribution of consumption. Bangladesh development experience also shows
considerable spatial differences. Broadly speaking, the Divisions of Barisal, Khulna and
Rajshahi show higher poverty and lower income growth than the Divisions of Chittagong,
Dhaka and Sylhet. Bangladesh needs adequate state intervention programmes and strategic
policies to improve the current poverty situation. Theoretically, there are some of the
strategic documents and policy papers are seemed to be implementable to reduce the poverty
situation in Bangladesh. However, without proper monitoring and evaluation, the
implementation of all these policies, strategies and programmes seems useless. Building on
the lessons of the past experience, the poverty reduction strategy should emphasize girl’s
education, female reproductive health, population control service delivery based on public-
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private partnership, and social mobilization. The government needs to be creative in renewing
and revising strategies and approaches to control the rising food prices and sequentially food
inflation as well as should increase budgetary allocation in poverty alleviation programme.
REFERENCES
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