Women in Industrial and Systems Engineering: Key Advances and Perspectives On Emerging Topics Alice E. Smith
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Women in Industrial and Systems Engineering: Key Advances and Perspectives On Emerging Topics Alice E. Smith
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Women in
Industrial
and Systems
Engineering
Key Advances and Perspectives on
Emerging Topics
Women in Engineering and Science
Series Editor
Jill S. Tietjen
Greenwood Village, Colorado, USA
123
Editor
Alice E. Smith
Department of Industrial
and Systems Engineering
Auburn University
Auburn, AL, USA
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
This volume is dedicated to my parents, Lois
Elizabeth Krutsch Chupp and John Paul
Chupp, now both deceased. My mother was
the first in her family of immigrants from
Russia to attend college, and while she was a
mathematics student at Purdue University,
she had the good fortune to meet Dr. Lillian
Gilbreth. My father came from a humble
Swiss Amish farming stock, but his father had
advanced himself by earning a doctorate at
Cornell University and was then a professor
there for many years. My father, a PhD in
chemistry, was proud when I earned my
doctorate, making three generations of PhDs.
My parents’ examples and encouragement
facilitated my career in engineering
academia, and I am grateful to them for that,
as well as for so much more.
Foreword
vii
viii Foreword
I joined the Stanford faculty in 1985 and have been there ever since, working on
interesting problems with amazingly talented students and colleagues. I wouldn’t
change a single day!
Broadly speaking, industrial engineering focuses on determining how best to
organize people, money, and material to produce and distribute goods and services.
Industrial engineering has its roots in the industrial revolution in the mid-18th
to early nineteenth century. As production shifted from small enterprises to large-
scale factories, and the production of goods became increasingly mechanized and
specialized, factory owners realized that improving the efficiency of these new
production processes could reduce waste and increase productivity.
One of the first scientific studies of work processes was The Principles of
Scientific Management by Frederick Taylor (1911). Taylor, who is known as the
father of industrial engineering, set forth principles for organizing, planning, and
standardizing work. Around this time, a young man named Frank Gilbreth, who
had started a job as a bricklayer’s helper, began to study the practices of different
bricklayers, trying to determine “the one best way” to perform the task. In 1904,
he married Lillian Moller, an engineer who also became his work partner in their
business and engineering consulting firm.
Lillian Moller Gilbreth was one of the first women engineers to earn a PhD (in
psychology). She worked for many years applying industrial engineering concepts
such as time and motion studies to improve work processes, first with her husband
and then on her own for many years after his death. Her work emphasized a human
approach to scientific management. During her career, Lillian Gilbreth published
numerous books and papers, some with her husband and some on her own. If
Frederick Taylor is the father of industrial engineering, Lillian Gilbreth is surely
the mother of industrial engineering.1
From this beginning nearly 100 years ago, it is wonderful to see an entire
volume of work by women industrial engineers. Since those early days, industrial
engineering has of course changed, and this is reflected in this volume. Once
focused on factory control, industrial engineering now focuses more broadly on
both manufacturing and services. Once focused on techniques such as time and
motion studies and Gantt charts, industrial engineering now includes a wide range
of modern computational and analytical techniques.
In this volume, 59 women (and 3 male coauthors) present their work in 25 chap-
ters covering such diverse topics as logistics costs in warehousing, container depot
operations, multimodal transportation systems, price contracts in manufacturing,
crop cultivation, food supply chains, healthcare operations, patient safety, clinical
decision-making, disease modeling, and education. Methodologies discussed in
these chapters are similarly broad and include human factors engineering, statistics,
1 Lillian
Gilbreth also had 12 children. Her family life was famously immortalized in the book
Cheaper by the Dozen, written by two of her children, Frank Gilbreth Jr. and Ernestine Gilbreth
Carey. Growing up, this was one of my favorite books. In 1994, I had the great pleasure of meeting
Ernestine.
Foreword ix
Dedication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v
Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii
Part I Background
1 Lillian Moller Gilbreth: An Industrial Engineering Pioneer . . . . . . . . . . 3
Jill S. Tietjen
Part II Analytics
2 Emergence of Statistical Methodologies with the Rise
of BIG Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Nedret Billor and Asuman S. Turkmen
3 Specifying and Validating Probabilistic Inputs for Prescriptive
Models of Decision Making over Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Sarah McAllister Ryan
4 Towards a Stable Graph Representation Learning Using
Connection Subgraphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
Saba A. Al-Sayouri and Sarah S. Lam
5 Parameter Tuning Problem in Metaheuristics: A Self-Adaptive
Local Search Algorithm for Combinatorial Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93
Cigdem Alabas-Uslu and Berna Dengiz
6 A Partition-Based Optimization Approach for Level Set
Approximation: Probabilistic Branch and Bound . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Zelda B. Zabinsky and Hao Huang
xi
xii Contents
Part IV Health
9 Healthcare Teams Can Give Quality Patient Care, but at Lower
Environmental Impact: Patient-Centered Sustainability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199
Janet Twomey and Michael Overcash
10 Improving Patient Care Transitions at Rural and Urban
Hospitals Through Risk Stratification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211
Shan Xie and Yuehwern Yih
11 To Be Healthy, Wealthy, and Wise: Using Decision Modeling
to Personalize Policy in Health, Hunger Relief, and Education . . . . . . . 233
Julie Simmons Ivy, Muge Capan, Karen Hicklin, Nisha Nataraj,
Irem Sengul Orgut, Amy Craig Reamer, and Anita Vila-Parrish
12 Improving Patient Safety in the Patient Journey: Contributions
from Human Factors Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275
Pascale Carayon and Abigail R. Wooldridge
13 Advanced Medical Imaging Analytics in Breast Cancer Diagnosis . . . 301
Yinlin Fu, Bhavika K. Patel, Teresa Wu, Jing Li, and Fei Gao
14 Decision-Making in Sequential Adaptive Clinical Trials, with
Implications for Drug Misclassification and Resource Allocation . . . . 321
Alba C. Rojas-Cordova, Ebru K. Bish, and Niyousha Hosseinichimeh
15 Calibration Uncertainty and Model-Based Analyses with
Applications to Ovarian Cancer Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347
Jing Voon Chen and Julia L. Higle
Part V Logistics
16 Contributions to Humanitarian and Non-profit Operations:
Equity Impacts on Modeling and Solution Approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371
Burcu Balcik and Karen Smilowitz
17 Simulation-Based Approach to Evaluate the Effects of Food
Supply Chain Mitigation and Compliance Strategies
on Consumer Behavior and Risk Communication Methods . . . . . . . . . . . 391
Jessye Talley and Lauren B. Davis
18 Contributions of Women to Multimodal Transportation Systems . . . . 417
Heather Nachtmann
Contents xiii
Part VI Production
22 Sustainability and Life Cycle Product Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517
Deborah Thurston and Sara Behdad
23 Dynamic Price and Lead Time Quotation Strategies to Match
Demand and Supply in Make-to-Order Manufacturing
Environments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 541
Esma S. Gel, Pinar Keskinocak, and Tuba Yilmaz
24 Oyster Mushroom Cultivation as an Economic and Nutritive
Alternative for Rural Low-Income Women in Villapinzón
(Colombia). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 561
Natalia Vargas, Carmen Gutierrez, Silvia Restrepo, and Nubia Velasco
25 Data-Driven Intelligent Predictive Maintenance of Industrial
Assets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 589
Olga Fink
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 607
Part I
Background
Chapter 1
Lillian Moller Gilbreth: An Industrial
Engineering Pioneer
Jill S. Tietjen
Contents
1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.2 Early Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.3 The One Best Marriage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
1.4 On Her Own . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
1.5 Honors and Awards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
1.1 Introduction
Career interest tests. The butter dish, egg tray, and vegetable and meat drawers
in your refrigerator. The pump and return water hose on your washing machine.
The foot pedal trash can. The design of the kitchen triangle. Accommodations for
disabled people. What do these all have in common? They are the legacy of the
“First Lady of Engineering” also called “The Mother of Industrial Engineering,”
“the Mother of Ergonomics,” and “the greatest woman engineer in the world,”
one of the founders of the field of industrial engineering, Lillian Moller Gilbreth.
She and her husband, Frank Gilbreth, are considered two of the cornerstones of
the field of industrial engineering—a branch of engineering that is concerned with
optimizing complex systems, processes, and organizations. Frank’s focus was “The
One Best Way” to do any task or series of tasks. Lillian’s strength was bringing the
social sciences to bear in combination with the mathematical and physical sciences.
Popularized in books and movies as the mother of 12 children (Cheaper by the
Dozen and Belles on Their Toes), Gilbreth (see Fig. 1.1) was not only a mother but
also a significant force as a pioneering woman industrial psychologist and engineer.
Her story is fascinating and too rarely known (Des 2013; Lancaster 2004).
J. S. Tietjen ()
Technically Speaking, Inc., Greenwood Village, CO, USA
System,” reorganized it, fixed the grammar, and added an index. They were married
in October 1904 (Des 2013; Lancaster 2004; Proffitt 1999; Yost 1943; Gilbreth Jr
1970).
After their marriage, it became apparent that Lillian’s selected areas of study
for her Ph.D.—English and Comparative Literature—were not going to work for
the couple’s idea of shared work life. Instead, she became Frank’s engineering
apprentice, learning the types of work he used in his construction business. That
education began in earnest on their honeymoon. As their family began to grow,
much of that apprenticeship actually occurred at home. And, it was decided that
her Ph.D. would be in the field of industrial psychology (Proffitt 1999; Yost 1943,
1949).
As Frank wrote about his original work methods, Lillian served as editor, thus
learning the business thoroughly. She also took care of all client calls. In addition,
Lillian was the researcher. She also went on site visits and met Kate Gleason, one
of the very few, if not the only, woman heading an engineering company at the
time, during a visit to Rochester, New York. Lillian located and sifted through the
materials that would be incorporated in Frank’s speeches at universities and at pitch
meetings to clients. Her role of editor and writer was such that she should have
been acknowledged as the co-author of Frank’s books including Concrete System
(1908), Bricklaying System (1909), and Motion Study (1911). Concrete System and
Bricklaying System were two books that Lillian insisted be written to document
methods already in practice on Frank’s jobs and to expand the Gilbreth system.
Bricklaying System described what Frank called “Motion Study” to cut product costs
and increase efficiency. Frank and Lillian said “Motion Study” should be applied to
all industries so that workers and management would share the benefits (Des 2013;
Lancaster 2004; Yost 1943; Gilbreth Jr 1970).
Lillian also became convinced that human beings in the industry needed to be
approached through psychology. The tragic fire at the Triangle Shirtwaist Factory
in 1911 further reinforced her belief that the workers needed to be considered
and she worried that much damage had been done through the introduction of
efficiency mechanisms without consideration of the cost to human beings (Des
2013; Lancaster 2004; Yost 1943).
Her ideas began to appear in these works. For example, in Motion Study
(1911), there is mention of a worker’s physiology as well as his temperament and
contentment in the factory. Further, workers needed adequate tools, an environment
that was pleasing, some form of entertainment, and a clear understanding of the
reward and punishment system in place. [These same ideas appear in Lillian’s
first doctoral dissertation.] In Field System (1908), employers were encouraged
to set up suggestion boxes and to ensure that workers had periodicals that would
provide mental stimulation. All workers, including factory hands, office workers,
6 J. S. Tietjen
career achievement as she said it had done the most good (Perusek 2000). As she
lectured around the country as a psychologist and engineer, she said “The mental
state of the disabled is all-important. If a person has the normal American outlook,
the optimism, the belief in God, man and the future, it is a beginning.” She served
on committees for other Presidents as well including Eisenhower, Kennedy, and
Johnson dealing with topics including civil defense and the problems of aging
(Lancaster 2004; Gilbreth Jr 1970).
At the end of the postwar recession, she had numerous work assignments both
in the USA and overseas. She also was well known as a scientific researcher in
academic circles. Her work style was described thusly: (Lancaster 2004)
The pattern is always the same: first, Dr. Gilbreth has a helpful idea; next she inspires
someone to start a pilot project to explore the idea. She herself stands by to help if needed.
She offers few suggestions but asks many, many penetrating questions. As the pilot project
develops she spreads the news, mentions it in her talks, discusses it with people who have
something helpful to offer, particularly management people and generally stimulates an
exchange of ideas until finally the baby project is “born” into a welcoming climate where
it can grow and prosper and expand.
From 1954 to 1958, she worked with Harold Smalley to apply industrial
engineering to hospitals. In his textbook, issued in 1966, he stated “one of the most
significant developments in the methods improvement movement occurred in 1945
when Dr. Lillian M. Gilbreth . . . began to urge that hospitals take advantage of the
tools and techniques of industrial engineering.” With Smalley, Lillian researched
nursing, organization of hospital supplies and the best types of hospital beds
(Lancaster 2004).
Her postwar work also extended her efforts with the disabled; her audience was
now primarily “handicapped homemakers” in lieu of the “crippled soldiers” with
whom she was involved after World War I. For almost 10 years, she worked in
this area which she regarded as her most important contribution to motion study.
She demonstrated how disabled women could perform a variety of tasks around the
house including keeping house in a wheelchair, peeling a potato with one hand,
and making a bed while on crutches. The Heart Kitchen, which she developed
in collaboration with the New York Heart Association, was an outgrowth of the
Kitchen Practical where the kitchen was fitted to the height of its occupants. She
taught courses at Rutgers where students learned to place items requiring water near
the sink and those implements needed for cooking near the stove. She worked with
teams comprised of industrial engineers, home economists, rehabilitation experts,
psychologists, and architects to build a model kitchen. Many non-disabled people
would see the kitchen and wonder if it was possible for them to acquire the Heart
Kitchen (Lancaster 2004; Gilbreth Jr 1970).
From 1953 to 1964, Lillian served as a consultant to the University of Connecti-
cut. Originating from a conference she organized on work simplification for the
handicapped, Lillian helped the University procure a vocational rehabilitation grant
to study work simplification for handicapped homemakers. Part of the grant was
the production of a movie Where There’s a Will and Lillian appeared on camera
at the beginning and end of the film. Her efforts in work simplification led to
1 Lillian Moller Gilbreth: An Industrial Engineering Pioneer 19
her 1954 book Management in the Home: Happier Living Through Saving Time
and Energy. In 1957, she was instrumental in ensuring that a conference of home
economists and psychologists was organized to discuss the feasibility and contents
of a course on work simplification for working women. This led to a book issued
by the U.S. Office of Education titled Management Problems for Homemakers
(Lancaster 2004).
In 1955, the University of Wisconsin named her the Knapp Visiting Professor
(Lancaster 2004). She maintained a torrid pace of consulting, travel and lectures for
20 years after her “retirement”—from Purdue—until 1968 when her doctor forced
her to rest (Des 2013; Lancaster 2004).
In 1952, she was described as “The World’s Greatest Woman Engineer” because
of “her impact on management, her innovations in industrial design, her method-
ological contributions to time and motion studies, her humanization of management
principles, and her role in integrating the principles of science and management.
Although we may be unaware today, she influenced the way we work, the way we
arrange our houses, and our attitude toward time” (Lancaster 2004).
FOOTNOTES:
[11] Even M. Hamel admits this (Hist. de Robespierre, III. p. 499
et seq.), although he endeavours, in a manner that is not
convincing, to throw the responsibility on to Carnot. Carnot
claimed to have saved Hoche's life. He certainly joined in ordering
his release from prison almost immediately after Robespierre's
fall.
[12] Robespierre himself said, on the 8th Thermidor, that for the
last six weeks he had 'absolutely abandoned his functions as a
member of the Committee of Public Safety.' Louis Blanc argues
that he was therefore not responsible for the Terror. But another
of Robespierre's admirers, Hamel, has taken pains to prove that
Robespierre was constantly present at the Committee's meetings
up to the 9th Thermidor, and decides that his alleged retirement
must consequently have been 'toute morale' (vol. III. pp. 594-
601).
CHAPTER XI.
The Reaction.
With the fall of Robespierre the Terror came to an end. The men
who overthrew him were many of them worse men than he. They did
not intend to repudiate his system. They had acted from personal
motives, from a desire to save their lives and to maintain themselves
in power. But without Robespierre the Terror could not continue. It
was his reputation for moral earnestness and for disinterested
conviction which alone had reconciled to it many honest, narrow-
minded men, who accepted his theory, believed in his sincerity, and
had not the capacity to criticise his actions. In him and his associates
the principles of the Terror perished. There remained no one to throw
over the system the veil of sentimental virtue, and without that veil its
uglier aspects stood disclosed. Men who to the last had respected
Robespierre could not respect Collot d'Herbois or Billaud-Varennes.
The Convention which had revolted against Robespierre was not
likely, when once it had tasted freedom, to replace on its neck the
yoke of his colleagues. The Committee of Public Safety had
appeared irresistible so long as it was undivided. But when it broke
up into parties and appealed to the Convention to protect it, its
dictatorship necessarily expired.
Accordingly, in the weeks which followed the 9th Thermidor, a
number of measures testified to the growing reaction. The
Committee of Public Safety was remodelled, and a system was
enforced under which three of its members retired, without the right
of re-election, every month. The Convention and its Committees
resumed the powers of government. The Revolutionary Tribunal was
reconstituted and the law of the 22nd Prairial repealed. The
redoubtable Commune was abolished, and for purposes of local
government Paris was placed under the authority of the Department
of the Seine. The staff of the National Guard was reorganised. The
Revolutionary Committees in Paris and elsewhere were reduced in
number and shorn of their powers. The meetings of the Sections
were limited to three a month, and the decree which provided a
payment of forty sous for all citizens who attended them was
repealed. In the departments the officials of the Communes and of
the Clubs were sifted and replaced. Everywhere the prison doors
were opened and hundreds of prisoners were set free. Before the
end of August, voices were raised in the Convention against the
Terrorists who continued in the Government, and at the beginning of
September, Billaud-Varennes, Collot d'Herbois and the remaining
Terrorists retired.
As the autumn went on, the pace of the reaction increased. The
Jacobins, it is true, were still numerous and active. Although the
reputation of the leading Terrorists was shaken, the Mountain was
still a force in the Convention. Besides the members of the old
Committees, many deputies, like Romme and Soubrany, Goujon and
Bourbotte, maintained without flinching extreme Jacobin views.
Others, like Thuriot and Cambon, were not prepared to go too far
with the reaction. The Jacobin Club, though weakened by the fall of
Robespierre, had resumed its old activity, and, supported by some of
its confederates in the provinces, determined not to surrender its
power without a struggle. Billaud-Varennes declared passionately
that the old lion was not dead. But the tide flowed heavily against the
Mountain. The majority of the Convention was determined at all
costs to break with the system of the Terror. The deputies of the
Right and of the Centre recovered their voices under the courageous
leadership of Boissy-d'Anglas and Thibeaudeau. The Thermidorians,
under Tallien and Fréron, rallied to the side of the moderate
members, and gathered round them many old Dantonists and many
old adherents of the Mountain, Legendre, Lecointre and Bourdon de
l'Oise, Merlin of Thionville and Merlin of Douai, Cambacères, and
André Dumont. Sieyès, released from the necessity of silence,
brought to the same side his affectation of inscrutable wisdom.
Encouraged by the divisions in the Assembly, public opinion
expressed itself outside. The independence of the Press revived.
Fréron's paper, the Orateur du Peuple boldly took the lead of the
reactionary journals. The trial of the prisoners sent up from Nantes to
be tried at Paris revealed for the first time to the public the worst
iniquities of Carrier's rule, and in the weeks and months which
followed, evidence began to pour in against the agents of the Terror.
The indignation against the Terrorists in Paris increased every day.
Reactionary feeling showed itself overwhelmingly strong in the
Sections, in the cafés, in the streets. Bodies of young men, some of
them men of family and wealth, but most of them drawn from the
ranks of tradesmen, clerks and artisans, representing the great
majority of respectable people which had allowed itself to be
tyrannised over so long, and which had shown its readiness to rise
as early as May, 1793, gathering in the Palais Royal, once the
headquarters of revolutionary agitation, organised themselves into
an effective force, armed themselves with short and heavy sticks,
and led by Lacretelle and encouraged by Fréron and Tallien, began
to parade the streets, to suppress Jacobin speakers and meetings,
to pour contempt on Jacobin opinions, and to wage war against
Jacobinism in whatever shape it might be found. Extravagant and
ridiculous in some respects the 'Jeunes Gens' were, and in later
days it suited the Thermidorians to turn their affectation into ridicule,
and to denounce them as 'Jeunesse Dorée,' as 'Elégants' and
Muscadins.' But in their origin at any rate they represented a genuine
popular movement, and up to April, 1795, they acted cordially with
the moderate party, and rendered valuable service in destroying the
terrorism which the Jacobins had established in Paris. With the new
movement a new song came into fashion, and the Jeunes Gens,
rejecting the Marseillaise, sang in the streets the 'Réveil du Peuple':
—
'Quelle est cette lenteur barbare?
Hâte-toi, peuple souverain,
De rendre aux monstres de Ténare
Tous ces buveurs de sang humain.'
The reaction in Paris soon made itself felt in the Assembly. The
attacks upon the Terrorists and their supporters redoubled. In
October a law was passed forbidding the federation of popular clubs.
On the 12th November, the Committee of Public Safety announced
that it had closed the Jacobin Club. In the same month Carrier was
arrested. He was sent for trial before the Revolutionary Tribunal and
a few weeks later to the scaffold. On the 8th December, the seventy-
three deputies who had been imprisoned for protesting against the
expulsion of the Gironde, were readmitted to their places in the
Convention. At the end of that month the Assembly decided that
there was ground for investigating the charges against Billaud-
Varennes, Collot d'Herbois, Vadier and Barère. As the winter went
on, the members of the Right, reinforced by the seventy-three, and
determined to undo the work of the Terror, demanded a
reconsideration of the laws against Emigrants and priests, and the
restoration in certain cases of property confiscated for political
offences. In February, 1795, the Convention decreed the freedom of
all forms of religious opinion; but at the same time it continued the
penal enactments against non-juring priests, imposed a variety of
restrictions on the exercise of public worship, and, while refusing to
contribute towards the maintenance of any religion, retained its hold
upon the buildings and property of the old Church. A further advance
made in June towards the principles of complete toleration was
afterwards repealed by the influence of the Left. On the 2nd March,
Legendre carried a motion for the arrest of Billaud-Varennes, Collot
d'Herbois, Vadier and Barère. On the 8th, the survivors of the
Girondist leaders proscribed on the 31st May, including Isnard,
Lanjuinais and Louvet, were recalled to their seats in the Assembly.
The triumph of the reaction seemed to be assured.
But the Jacobins were not to fall without a struggle. They had more
than once secured the victory by appealing to the physical
necessities of the poor, and it was by that means that they
endeavoured to conquer again. In the spring of 1795 the distress in
Paris was exceptionally keen. With the political reaction an economic
reaction had begun. After Thermidor it became evident that the
economic system of the Terror could not stand. Its drastic laws were
on all sides disregarded. No penalties or prohibitions could force
men to observe laws which they were resolutely determined to
infringe. The State might fix the price of food, but the producers
would not produce it at that price, and when the guillotine had
ceased to compel submission, the vain attempts of the State to fix
prices broke down. Economic causes more powerful than any laws
overthrew the Maximum, and at last, towards the end of December,
the Convention recognised the fact and repealed the Maximum
decrees. With the repeal of the Maximum the whole system of
Terrorist finance collapsed. The practice of requisition was
abandoned. The restrictions upon foreign trade and upon the
exportation of specie were removed. In a short time the Bourse was
reopened. The intrepid experiment by which the economists of the
Terror had endeavoured to concentrate in the hands of the
Government the whole commercial system of the country, fell to the
ground, and the old methods of monopoly and competition, which
the Terrorists had so constantly denounced, and which they had so
boldly but recklessly attacked, reasserted their sway and exacted
their penalty. The financial system of the Terror was ruinously
mistaken, but by its draconian methods it had to some extent
checked the rise in prices, and had perhaps saved from extinction
the vanishing credit of the Assignats. Yet even under the Terror the
Assignats had deteriorated in value. In spite of the imperious
demands of the Terrorist Exchequer, in spite of its forced loans and
wholesale confiscations, in spite of the plunder which it drew from its
victims and of the money which, as Barère boasted, it coined on the
Place de la Révolution, the Jacobin Government had never been
free from financial troubles. The non-payment of taxes, the
peculation of local authorities, the failure of the forced loans to bring
in anything like the sum expected, the depreciation in value of
national property, the ignorance of economics which prevailed
among the ruling party, and above all the enormous expenses of the
war, of the administration, and of supplying Paris and the great
towns with food, had created a perpetual deficit. 'The Revolution and
the war,' said Cambon, the chief financier of the Terror, in a report of
January, 1795, 'have cost in four years five thousand three hundred
and fifty millions above the ordinary expenses;' and Cambon's
estimate was probably much below the fact. In vain had Cambon by
a partial bankruptcy put out of circulation fifteen hundred million
francs of Assignats which bore the image of the King. In vain had the
Convention, in August 1794, decreed, on Cambon's proposal, the
Republicanisation of the National Debt, ordered all the creditors of
the State to send in their claims, entered their titles in a Great Ledger
of the Public Debt, declared the capital borrowed by the State to be
irrecoverable, and, regardless of all engagements entered into and
of all promises of high interest previously made, informed them that
in future the State would pay five per cent interest to all its creditors
alike. This summary method of escaping liabilities had introduced, it
is true, some order into the finances, but it had not improved the
credit of the State. The chief resource of the Government had
continued to be the Assignats, and not even the drastic legislation of
the Terror had been able to keep their credit up.
The repeal of that drastic legislation and the financial policy of the
Convention in the winter of 1794-95 accelerated their decline[13].
Prices, no longer fixed by law, rose rapidly, as the value of the paper
money fell. The Government, no longer able to rely on the methods
which the Terrorists had used to swell their income, and face to face
with high prices and diminishing credit, could think of no better
resource than to issue Assignats faster than before; and of course
with every fresh issue the depreciation increased. At the end of
1794, some seven thousand million francs of Assignats were in
circulation. In May, 1795, these had risen to ten thousand millions, in
the August following, to sixteen thousand millions, and in the
October following that, to many thousand millions more. In proportion
to these enormous issues, the value of the currency declined. At the
end of the reign of Terror, Assignats had been worth 33 or 34 per
cent of their nominal value. In December, 1794, they had fallen to 22
per cent. In the ensuing May they stood at 7 per cent, and in the
months which followed they fell to 4, to 2, and even to less than 1
per cent. In vain different members of the Convention proposed
schemes for diminishing the number. The Government had no other
resource to look to, and its expenses seemed daily to increase, as
claims for compensation poured in upon it from those who had
suffered under the Terror. With the fall of the Assignats, prices rose
to an alarming height. All wage-earners who could not raise their
wages in proportion to the rapid rise in prices, all who lived upon
fixed incomes, all who depended on the paper-money and whose
small savings consisted of Assignats, suffered acutely from the
economic crisis. A certain number of people, tenant farmers for
instance, who paid their rent in Assignats, and who made it many
times over by the high prices fetched by corn, debtors who could pay
off long-standing debts in Assignats at their nominal value, and
speculators, who sprang up on all sides to traffic in the fluctuations of
the currency, made heavy profits and enriched themselves. But to
the great majority of people the fall of the Assignats meant grave
distress. The prices of bread, of meat, of fuel, of all the necessaries
of life, rose as in a siege. One reads of the most fantastic payments,
of thousands of francs paid for a dinner, a cab-fare or a load of
wood. The sense of the value of money vanished, when its
purchasing power declined every day. But it was only those who had
plenty of it who possessed the power to purchase at all.
There is overwhelming evidence of the general distress in the winter
of 1794-95. From all sides complaints came in of the exorbitant
dearness of food, and that trouble was aggravated by the intense
cold. In Paris and many great cities the authorities bought up food at
ruinous prices and distributed it in meagre rations to the poor. But as
the year advanced, these rations constantly diminished. The country
districts bitterly complained that they were starved in order that the
big towns might be fed. 'Many families, entire communes,' wrote an
official from Laon, in the summer of 1795, 'have been without bread
two or three months and are living on bran or herbs.' Around Caen
the peasants were living on unripe peas, beans and green barley. In
Picardy 'the great majority of people' overran the woods for food.
From all sides the same reports poured in upon the Government.
'Yesterday,' wrote the authorities of Montreuil-sur-Mer, 'more than
two hundred of our citizens set out to beg in the country;' and those
who could not get food in other ways took it by force. Nor, in spite of
the efforts of the authorities, were the large towns better off. Lyons,
in January, was without bread 'for five full days.' At Troyes, in March,
the public distribution of bread fell to two ounces a day. At Amiens, a
few months later, it ceased altogether. At Nancy a traveller noticed a
crowd of 'three thousand persons imploring in vain a few pounds of
flour.' In Paris the police reported case after case of misery and
starvation. 'Every day,' wrote a friend to Mallet du Pan, 'I see people
of the poorer class dying of starvation in the streets.... Workmen
generally have to work short time, owing to the weakness and
exhaustion caused by want of food.'
It is no wonder if this acute distress resulted in an outbreak. Many of
those who suffered the most had sympathised with the Jacobin party,
and the arrest of the Terrorist leaders gave a certain political colour
to the agitation which famine had produced. But in the main the
insurrection which broke out on the 12th Germinal (1st April), which
for a time threatened the safety of the Convention, and which joined
to its demand for bread a demand for the Constitution of '93, was a
spontaneous movement due to the pressure of starvation rather than
to political intrigue. The leaders of the Mountain failed to turn it to
account. The Jeunes Gens and the battalions of the Sections
enabled the Government to win an easy victory, and the failure of the
rising helped the reaction on. Motions were quickly passed for the
transportation of Billaud-Varennes, Collot d'Herbois, Vadier and
Barère, and for the arrest of Cambon, Thuriot, Amar, and other
prominent members of the Mountain. Pichegru restored order in the
streets. The Convention decreed the disarming of the Terrorists and
the reorganisation of the National Guard. The officials of the
Departments and of the Districts were restored to their old authority.
The State, which had already undertaken to pay the debts of
Emigrants whose possessions it had confiscated, now resolved to
restore to the families of the victims the property of all persons who
had been executed for political offences since the 10th March, 1793.
A commission of eleven members was appointed to consider the
bases of a new constitution. Early in May, Fouquier-Tinville and
several of his associates in the old Tribunal were sent to the
guillotine.
But the Jacobins were not yet silenced. The rapid progress of the
reaction disquieted many. The reappearance of Emigrants and of
non-juring priests, the extravagance of the Jeunes Gens, the revival
of Royalist opinions in Paris, the terrible excesses which began to
stain the reaction in the South-East of France, and which, under the
direction of the 'Compagnies de Jésus' and the 'Compagnies du Sol,'
had already made Lyons the scene of murder and of civil war,
alarmed the Thermidorians and many other members of the
Convention. The majority oscillated from day to day between their
fear of the Mountain and their fear of a Royalist reaction, and
displayed to all the world the vacillation and weakness of the ruling
powers in France. At the beginning of May, the Jacobins so far
prevailed as to carry a decree for the immediate arrest of returned
Emigrants and refractory priests, and for the prosecution of Royalist
publications. The disarming of Terrorists practically ceased. The high
prices of food and the distress which they occasioned became more
serious every day, and Jacobin agents laboured persistently to rouse
the workmen to another insurrection. On the 1st Prairial (20th May),
their efforts succeeded. A second rising, more formidable and better
organised than that of Germinal, confronted the Government, and
the Convention, after a sharp struggle, only saved itself by yielding to
the demands of the insurrectionary leaders. Fair promises, however,
gained the Assembly time to bring up troops for its defence. On the
evening of the 22nd May, a strong force of cavalry and infantry
arrived in Paris. The next day, the Faubourg St. Antoine was
besieged and compelled to surrender at discretion. Numerous
arrests were made. The disarming of the Terrorists was completed.
All pikes were seized. The reorganisation of the National Guard was
accomplished, and the right of serving in it was once more restricted
to members of the bourgeois class. A temporary military commission
was established to try those accused of complicity in the
insurrection, and the Revolutionary Tribunal was abolished. Six
prominent deputies of the Mountain, including Goujon, Romme,
Soubrany and Bourbotte, were sent to the scaffold. Lebon, long
since put under arrest, Panis, almost forgotten, Lindet, Jean Bon St.
André, Guffroy and Rühl, all except three of the members of the two
redoubtable Committees, Pache, Bouchotte, and several of their
associates in the former Ministry of War, shared in the proscription of
their party. The influence of the extreme Jacobins was finally
destroyed, and once again the policy of the reaction triumphed.
The decisive success of the moderate party was not without its effect
upon European politics. At the time of the insurrection of Prairial, the
French arms were completely victorious and many had begun to
hope for the cessation of the war. The history of the revolutionary
armies is the finest part of the French Revolution. There the spirit
which the Revolution had inspired, and which had spent itself so
fruitlessly in Paris, was seen at its best in the enthusiasm, the
devotion and the gallantry of the troops. There too the high qualities
of the Jacobin administrators appeared, their determined patriotism,
their dauntless vigour and resource. There the Government which in
Paris seemed to be only a Government of tyrants, revealed itself as
a Government of heroes. There the politicians and intriguers of the
Terror turned to the nobler work of national defence. Carnot and St.
Just, Merlin of Thionville, Rewbell and Barras, Milhaud and
Soubrany, Richard, Drouet, Cavaignac and Fabre d'Hérault are only
some among the many brave men who, as Representatives on
Mission with the armies, inspired the French troops with their own
lofty courage, and both by precept and example taught them the
impossibility of defeat. The enthusiasm which political intrigues had
wasted found a deeper expression in the war, and the levelling
freedom of the Republic threw open to all ranks alike the prospects
of a great career. In the campaigns of 1793-94, Hoche, Pichegru and
Jourdan had already reached the highest place, and Moreau and
Kléber, Bernadotte, Ney, Davoût, Augereau and Victor, Soult,
Masséna, Bonaparte were winning their way to notice and
command. It is true that at the first the French levies were ill-
organised and ill-disciplined, and that their earlier successes were
due chiefly to the disunion or incapacity of their opponents. But the
progress of the war and the vigorous measures of the Jacobin
Government soon produced a remarkable change. There was no
lack of material upon which to draw. To the old royal army there had
in turn been added the battalions of national guards, the volunteers
raised in 1792, the levée en masse of the same year, which was,
however, of very little use, the levy of 300,000 men formed, largely
by conscription, in the spring of 1793, and the forces raised in the
following summer by the imperious decrees of the Government,
which claimed the services of all men between the ages of eighteen
and twenty-five. On this material the Convention set to work, and the
efforts of Dubois-Crancé and Carnot, seconded by their able
advisers, and perfected by the strenuous action and wide powers of
the great Committee, met with complete success. To Dubois-Crancé
especially belongs the credit. It was he who, in the winter of 1793-94,
at last carried through the Convention the great scheme for the
reorganisation of the army which he had advocated so long, who
committed the Government to the principle of conscription and to the
amalgamation of the regulars with the volunteers, and who fused the
two elements together by dividing the army into demi-brigades made
up of one battalion of regulars and four of volunteers. The result of
these measures appeared before long in the formation of a
magnificent army, which for numbers, discipline and the spirit of its
troops, was a match for the united forces of Europe.
The campaign of 1793, which at one time threatened France with
serious danger, ended in complete success. The valuable victories of
Houchard and of Jourdan on the North-Eastern frontier in September
and October, drove the Allies back upon Belgium. The equally
notable successes of Hoche and Pichegru, which followed in Alsace,
drove the victorious Austrians and Prussians again across the Rhine.
The brave insurgents of La Vendée found themselves at last
opposed by a powerful army under a general of high ability, and
were defeated by Kléber at Chollet in October, and subsequently
routed at Le Mans. By the end of the year France had ten armies for
service in the field and an effective force of some six hundred
thousand men. On the North-East, four armies, those of the Rhine,
of the Moselle, of the Ardennes, and of the North, stretched from
Strasbourg to the sea. Further to the South, the army of the Alps
occupied Savoy, and the army of Italy, which had just reduced
Toulon, waited for a new commander to launch it on an illustrious
career. In the West, two more armies held the Pyrenees, and a third
watched the insurgents of La Vendée; while on the Northern coast,
the army of Normandy, not yet organised into a definite force,
guarded the sea-board and dreamed vainly of invading England.
With these resources the Allies could not compete. But even had the
troops been forthcoming, their disunion would have rendered victory
impossible. In 1794, when France was preparing with the brightest
prospects to reopen the campaign, the long-standing jealousy
between Austria and Prussia reached its climax. Thugut, the Austrian
minister, disliked his Prussian allies even more than his French
enemies, and carrying to an extreme pitch the traditional selfishness
of Austrian policy, intrigued on all sides for territorial
aggrandisement, and meditated schemes for extending the Austrian
dominions in every quarter of Europe, in Flanders and Alsace, in
Turkey and Poland, in Bavaria and Venice. In the North, Russia drew
nearer every day to the completion of her long-prepared attack on
Polish freedom, and Prussia, determined not to be left aside when
her rivals shared the spoils of Poland, turned her attention and her
energies towards the Vistula, when the sympathies of her king would
gladly have turned towards the Rhine. In vain the English
Government threw itself with fresh energy into the war, laboured to
draw the coalition together, and promised generous supplies. In
April, 1794, at the very moment when Malmesbury, the English
envoy at the Hague, was pledging England, Holland and Prussia to
renewed efforts in the war with France, the Polish revolt broke out at
Warsaw, and Kosciusko's brave struggle for freedom diverted the
attention of the Central Powers. It was evident that until the Polish
question was settled, neither Prussia nor Austria would act with
vigour against the French. Accordingly, the French armies on the
North-Eastern frontier, now under the command of Pichegru and
Jourdan, advanced against the divided Allies, defeated them at
Turcoign and Fleurus, and entered Brussels on the 11th July. The
conquest of Belgium and the invasion of Holland followed. While
Suvórof stamped out the insurrection in Poland, and Austria and
Russia drew up plans for the partition of that unhappy country, to
which Prussia was afterwards compelled to accede, the French
troops advanced into Holland, drove the Prince of Orange into flight
and occupied the Hague and Amsterdam. At last Prussia, isolated
and alarmed, consented to open negotiations, and on the 5th April,
she definitely separated herself from Austria, and made peace with
France in the Treaty of Bâle.
There were many who hoped that the Treaty of Bâle might prove the
beginning of a general peace, and so prepare the way for a Royalist
restoration. The fresh disturbances among the peasants of La
Vendée and their allies the Chouans of Brittany, which had been
provoked in 1794 by the merciless policy of the Republic, by
Turreau's 'Hellish Columns' and by Carrier's tyranny at Nantes, had
been quieted, in the spring of 1795, by the conciliatory policy of the
Republican generals, and the long struggle in the West seemed to
be drawing to a close. In the Pyrenees the advance of the French
brought the Spanish Government to terms, and a peace between
France and Spain was concluded in July. In Paris the suppression of
the insurrection of Prairial had raised very high the hopes of the
Royalists. Many things seemed to point towards the restoration of
the Constitution of '91, which at that time, as at an earlier date,
would probably have satisfied the wishes of the majority of the
nation. But events ordered otherwise. The high demands of the
French Government, the vigour of English diplomacy, and the
settlement of the Polish difficulty, which left the Emperor free to act,
disappointed the expectations of a general peace. In the summer of
1795, England, Russia and Austria drew closer together and formed
a fresh alliance for the prosecution of the war. Early in June, the
unhappy little Dauphin died in prison, and his death dealt a heavy
blow to the hopes of the Constitutional party. Many who would have
welcomed the son of Louis XVI as Constitutional King, could not
reconcile themselves to the restoration of the Comte de Provence,
the chief of the Emigrants in arms against France, the prince who,
learning nothing from adversity, still condemned in the bitterest
language all the changes which the Revolution had introduced, and
still denounced as an enemy of the Bourbons every advocate of
moderation or of liberal ideas. The French people had not made the
Revolution in order to restore the Ancien Régime. The attempt of the
Emigrants to renew the war in the West by an ill-timed descent upon
Quiberon, although stamped out by Hoche in July, and punished with
terrible severity by the Convention, revived the deep-seated hostility
which all friends of the Revolution entertained towards the
Emigrants. The fresh tidings which came in from the South of terrible
excesses committed in the name of the reaction at Marseilles and
Avignon, Tarascon and Aix, tended to check the flowing tide. The
rapid advance of Royalist opinions in Paris, and the threatening
demeanour of the Jeunes Gens and of the Sections at length
alarmed the Thermidorians. The members of the Convention
recalled to themselves that they were committed to the measures of
the Revolution, and began to fear lest the march of events should
carry them too far and involve them in a policy perilous to
themselves.
Finally the Convention chose a middle course. The Constitution of
1795 retained the Republican form, and divided the supreme
executive power among a Directory of five persons. The legislative
power it committed to a Parliament consisting of two Houses, a
Council of Five Hundred, who must be over thirty years of age, and a
Council of Ancients, who must be over forty. The Parliament was to
elect the Directory, but the functions of each were strictly defined; the
legislative and the executive powers were kept jealously distinct, and
cordial co-operation between them was rendered almost impossible.
The Convention had learned from the experience of the past the
necessity of making the Executive strong, but it had not yet learned
the folly of making the legislature and the Executive independent
rivals instead of harmonious allies. The new Parliament was to last
for three years, but one-third of its members were renewable yearly.
Apart from these new regulations, the Convention, rejecting a series
of fantastic proposals brought forward by Sieyès, adhered to the
main lines of the Constitution of 1791. The system of double election
was re-established. The franchise was limited by a slight property
qualification. In the local administration the division into Departments
and Communes was retained. But the Communes were strictly
subordinated to the Departments, the Districts were abolished
altogether, and the numbers and powers of the officials were so
reduced, as to simplify the whole system, and to increase the
authority of the central Government. Other articles established
freedom of worship, the freedom of labour, and the freedom of the
Press, prohibited political clubs and federations, and forbade the
return of the Emigrants to France.
But although the majority of the Convention yielded to the demand
for the establishment of a settled Government, they had no wish to
extinguish themselves. They knew that in the existing temper of the
nation they had little chance of being returned to power, and they
feared the lengths to which the reaction might run. Accordingly, they
proceeded to apply at once the principles laid down by the new
constitution for the renewal of the legislative body, and by the