Arizona Prop 140 Polling

N=550
MOE=+/- 4.26
9/7/2024 - 9/9/2024
Hello, I am calling from a public opinion research firm and I would like to ask you some questions. I
am not trying to sell you anything and I won’t be asking for a contribution of any kind. Can I please
speak with [READ NAME ON LIST]?
Q) There is an initiative that will appear on the 2024 General Election called Proposition 140. It
reads as follows:
All primary election candidates for a given office will have the same signature requirements for ballot
qualification. Eligible voters may vote for candidates regardless of party affiliation. The legislature
may prescribe the number of candidates advancing to the general election. Prohibits using public
monies for political party elections.
A “yes” vote shall have the effect of allowing all eligible voters to vote for any primary election
candidate, regardless of party affiliation; imposing the same signature requirements on all candidates
for a given office who wish to appear on the primary ballot; generally prohibiting the use of public
funds for political party elections; allowing future law to determine how many candidates advance
from the primary election, as well as the process by which candidates are elected at the general
election; and if future law provides that three or more candidates may advance to the general
election for an office to which one candidate will be elected, voter rankings shall be used.
A “no” vote shall have the effect of maintaining current requirements related to primary and general
elections processes.
If the election were today, would you vote yes or no?
Total Yes 256 46.5%

Strongly Yes 157 28.6%
Somewhat Yes 98 17.9%
Total No 176 32.0%
Somewhat No 57 10.3%
Strongly No 119 21.7%
Total Yes vs No 80 14.5%
Neutral 16 2.8%
Undecided 99 18.0%
Refused 4 0.7%
Total 550 100.0%
Q) Opponents of Proposition 140 argue that it is a sprawling measure that adds 15 separate
amendments to the Arizona constitution to implement California-style election schemes in Arizona
that are confusing, results in candidates from only one political party appearing on the general
election ballot and gives one partisan politician the power to decide how many candidates appear
on the general election ballot.
After hearing this argument,
Total Yes 155 28.1%

Strongly Yes 89 16.3%
Somewhat Yes 65 11.9%
Total No 229 41.7%
Somewhat No 75 13.5%
Strongly No 155 28.1%
Total Yes vs No -75 -13.5%
Neutral 33 5.9%
Undecided 127 23.2%
Refused 6 1.1%
Total 550 100.0%
Demographics:
Q) Which of the following age categories do you fall into?
18 to 24 44 8.0%
25 to 34 72 13.0%
35 to 44 77 14.0%
45 to 54 80 14.5%
55 to 64 96 17.5%
65 and over 182 33.0%
Total 550 100.0%
Q) How would you classify yourself in terms of race or ethnicity – White, African American, Hispanic,
Asian American, or something else?
White 391 71.0%

African American 22 4.0%
Hispanic 110 20.0%
Asian 14 2.5%
Other/Refused 14 2.5%
Total 550 100.0%
Q) Are you registered as a Republican, Democrat, Independent/Unaffiliated or something else?
Republican 209 38.0%

Democrat 176 32.0%
Independent/Unaffiliated 141 25.7%
Other/Refused 24 4.3%
Total 550 100.0%
Q) What is your highest level of education completed?
Less than a high school diploma 9 1.7%

High school degree or equivalent 78 14.2%
Some college, no degree 231 42.0%
Bachelor's degree 119 21.7%
Graduate degree or higher 101 18.3%
Refused 11 2.0%
Total 550 100.0%
Region
North 70 12.8%
Maricopa 336 61.0%
Pima 84 15.3%
South 60 10.9%
Total 550 100.0%
Phone Type
Cell 378 68.8%

Landline 172 31.2%
Total 550 100.0%
Congressional Districts
1 76 13.8%
2 66 12.0%
3 36 6.5%
4 59 10.7%
5 68 12.3%
6 72 13.1%
7 47 8.5%
8 65 11.9%
9 62 11.2%
Total 550 100.0%
Legislative Districts by Lean
Safe R 251 45.7%

Lean R 41 7.5%
Safe D 145 26.3%
Lean D 35 6.3%
Swing 78 14.2%
Total 550 100.0%
Last Four General Elections
0-4 83 15.0%
1-4 82 15.0%
2-4 94 17.1%
3-4 69 12.5%
4-4 222 40.4%
Total 550 100.0%
Interview Method
live 363 66.0%

text 187 34.0%
Total 550 100.0%

Arizona Prop 140 Polling

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N=550

If the election were today, would you vote yes or no?

Total Yes 256 46.5%

After hearing this argument,

Total Yes 155 28.1%

Q) Which of the following age categories do you fall into?

White 391 71.0%

Q) Are you registered as a Republican, Democrat, Independent/Unaffiliated or something else?

Republican 209 38.0%

Q) What is your highest level of education completed?

Less than a high school diploma 9 1.7%

Cell 378 68.8%

Legislative Districts by Lean

Safe R 251 45.7%

Last Four General Elections

live 363 66.0%

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