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Lecture 1

Engineering data analysis
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15 views5 pages

Lecture 1

Engineering data analysis
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STATISTICS is a scientific body of knowledge that deals with

• collection
• organization or presentation
• analysis and interpretation
• Interpretation of numerical data

Collection of data refer to the process of obtaining numerical measurements

Tabulation or presentation refer to the organization of data into tables,


graphs or chart so that logical conclusions can be derived from the collected
measurements

Analysis of data pertains to the process of extracting relevant information


from which numerical description can be formulated

Interpretation of data refers to the task of drawing conclusions from the


analysed data. It normally involves the formulation of forecasts or predictions
about larger groups based on the data collected from small groups.

Subdivisions of Statistics
• Descriptive Statistics
• Inferential Statistics

DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS is a statistical procedure concerned with describing


the characteristics and properties of a group of persons, places ort things; it
is based on easily verifiable facts

DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS organizes the presentation, description, and


interpretation of data gathered. It includes the study of relationships among
variables.

Measurements Falling Under Descriptive Statistics


• Measures of Central Tendency
• Measures of Dispersion
• Skewness
• Kurtosis
• And other items which help in the description of the data.

Inferential statistics demands a higher order of critical judgment and


mathematical methods. It aims to give information about large groups
without dealing with each and every element of these groups. It uses only a
small portion of the total set of data in order to draw conclusions or
judgments regarding the entire set of data.

The topics under the inferential statistics


• z-test
• t-test
• simple linear regression
• analysis of variance
• chi-square test
• regression analysis and
• time series analysis

Determining Sample Size: Cochran’s Formula


2
z pq
n o= 2
e
Where:
n o=sample ¿ ¿
z=value of selected α level
p=estimated proportion of an attribute that is present in the population
q=1− p
e = margin of error
no
n1=
n
1+ o
N
Where:
n1=required return sample
n o=sample ¿ ¿
N=¿ the population

Example 1: Find the sample size if the population size is 20,000, at 95%
level of significance, proportion is 0.5 and the margin of error is 5%.
2
(1.96) (0.5)(0.5)
n o=
¿¿
384
n1 = =377
384
1+
20000

Example 2: Find the sample size if the population size is 20,000, level of
significance is 99%, proportion is 0.55 and the margin of error is 1%.
2
(2.575) (0.55)(0.45)
n o=
¿¿
16411
n1 = =9014
16411
1+
20000

SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
Population refers to the totality of objects, individuals or reactions that can
be described as having a unique combination of qualities. In statistical
investigations, population is defined by naming its unique characteristics.
The following may be considered populations
• Graduating students of a particular school
• Employees of the company
• Depositors in a bank
More precisely, a population consists of numerical values associated with
objects or individuals. So that we can discuss about the ages of the
graduating students, the educational attainment of the employees or the
amount of savings of depositors.

Census-taking is the process of collecting, tabulating, compiling and


publishing data pertaining to each and every unit of a whole set of objects or
persons

When to use sampling method?


• When the population is too big, census taking is impractical, if not
impossible. Suppose that we want to determine the length of life of all
batteries produced by a company. We would have to use up all the
batteries in order to get the data on their length of life.
• When the mass of data is too great to be handled in its entirety, the
sampling method is utilized.

Sampling method is a system of getting facts from a small but representative


cross-section of the population.

The representative part of the population is called the sample.

Sample is used to describe the population from which it is taken.

Sampling Methods
 Probability Sampling - samples are chosen with members of the
population having a known or sometimes equal probability of being
included in the sample.
a. Simple Random Sampling
b. Systematic Random Sampling
c. Stratified Random Sampling

Simple random sampling – samples are chosen at random with members of


the population having a known or sometimes equal chance of being included
in the samples
• Lottery – needs a complete listing of the members of the population.
The process is relatively easy for small population but complicated and
time consuming for large populations.
• Use of random numbers – computers and even calculators can
generate random numbers.
Systematic random sampling – samples are chosen following certain rules
set by the researcher. This involves choosing the kth member of the
N
population, with k = , but there should be a random start.
n

Example, choose a sample size of 12 from a population of 600, using


systematic random sampling
600
Step 1, determine k = = 50, it means that you have to include every 50 th
12
member of the population after choosing a random start
Step 2, put the random start at 7
Step 3, include in the sample the following 7, 57, 107,157, 207,257,307, 357,
407, 457, 507, and 557

Stratified random sampling – this method is used when the population is too
big to handle, thus dividing N into subgroups or strata is necessary. Samples
per stratum are then randomly selected, but considerations must be given to
the sizes of the random samples to be selected from the subgroups.

A survey is conducted to find if families living in a certain municipality are in


favor of the anti-drug campaign. To ensure that all income groups are
represented, respondents are divided into high-income (Class A), middle
(Class B) and low-income (Class C) groups. Below is the distribution of the
income groups
Strata No. of Families
Class A 1,000
Class B 2,500
Class C 1,500

1. Using a 5% margin of error and proportion of 0.5, how many families


should be included in the sample?
2. Using stratified random sampling, how many from each group should be
taken?

Using Cochran’s formula,


2
(1.96) (0.5)(0.5) 4
n o=
¿¿
384
n1 = =357
384
1+
5000
so, 357 families should be included in the survey

STRATA Number of Families Number of sample


Class A 1,000 1000
x 357 = 71
5000
Class B 2,500 2500
x 357 = 179
5000
Class C 1,500 1500
x 357 = 107
5000
N = 5,000 n = 357

Non-probability sampling – each member of the population does not have a


known chance of being included in the sample. Instead, personal judgment
plays a very important role in the selection
• Convenience sampling is used due to the convenience it offers to the
researcher
• Quota sampling – quotas are given to each researcher
• Purposive sampling – respondents are chosen based on the criteria set
by the researcher

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