Project and Investment Appraisal - 055542
Project and Investment Appraisal - 055542
Project and Investment Appraisal - 055542
Areas to be Covered.
1. Definitions and key terminology
i. Technical appraisal
ii. Social Appraisal
iii. Commercial appraisal
iv. Legal Appraisal
v. Institutional appraisal
vi. Financial appraisal
vii. Economic appraisal
6. Funding a Construction Project
i. Sources of Financing Construction projects
ii. Factors to consider before Investment in construction projects
iii. Economic life of construction plant
iv. Construction Capital budgeting
v. Scenario Analysis
vi. Simulation
vii. Breakeven analysis
viii. Discounting factors, Interest time relations, Inflation considerations
7. Project Appraisal Techniques
i. Whole-life costs
ii. Net benefits
iii. Return on investment (ROI)
iv. Payback period:
v. Discounted cash flow:
vi. Net present value:
vii. Sensitivity analysis
A project is a series of related a tasks which when they are carried in the
correct order will lead to the completion of the project.
A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to create a unique product ,
service or result.
Temporary does not typically apply to the product, service or result created by the
project, most projects are undertaken to create a lasting outcome.
A project has a definite beginning and end. The end is reached when the project’s
objectives have been achieved or when the project is terminated because its
objectives will not or cannot be met.
Project Management
• Planning, - Those processes required to establish the scope of the project, refine
the objectives, and define the course of action required to attain the objectives
that the project was undertaken to achieve.
• Closing,- Those processes performed to finalize all activities across all Process
Groups to formally close the project or phase.
• Identifying requirements;
• Balancing the competing project constraints, which include, but are not limited
to:
○ Scope,
○ Quality,
○ Schedule,
○ Budget,
○ Resources, and
○ Risks
Project Manager
The project Manager is the person assigned by the performing organisation to lead
the team that is responsible for achieving the project objectives.
Project Managers’ objectives are those aligned with the strategic needs of an
organisation and project managers focus on the following;
Project appraisal is the process of analysing the technical feasibility and economic
viability of a project proposal with a view to financing their costs.
• Technical appraisal
• Social Appraisal
• Commercial appraisal
• Legal Appraisal
• Institutional appraisal
• Financial appraisal
• Economic appraisal
There are many investment appraisal techniques, and organizations will often have
preferences on which to adopt for specific projects. The selection of technique may
be influenced by the type of organization (e.g. public sector accounting rules) or
the organization’s own standards.
Whole-life costs : Analysing the total cost of implementation and any incremental
transitional, operational and maintenance costs.
● Net benefits: Analysing the total value of the benefits less the cost of
implementation, transition and ongoing operation, calculated over a defined
period.
● Payback period: A calculation of the period of time required for the ROI to repay
the sum of the original investment.
● Discounted cash flow: A means of expressing future benefits based on the current
value of money. Sometimes discounted cash flows include risk adjustments as the
business may not be confident that all the benefits will materialize.
● Net present value: The total value of discounted future cash inflows less the initial
investment. For example, if the discount rate is 6 per cent, the value of money
halves approximately every 12 years. If a project is forecasting a $500 000 benefit to
materialize in year 12, then it is only worth $250 000 in today’s money.
It helps to understand how the variations in the project’s objectives correlate with
variations in different uncertainties.
One typical display of sensitivity analysis is the Tornado diagram (Bar Chart) which is
useful for comparing relative importance and impact of variables that have a
higher degree of uncertainty to those that are more stable.
This is placed in descending order so that the project manager can take decisions
on the high impact items first.
In a tornado diagram, the Y-axis contains each type of uncertainty at base values,
and the X-axis contains the spread or correlation of the uncertainty to the studied
output. In this figure, each uncertainty contains a horizontal bar and is ordered
vertically to show uncertainties with a decreasing spread from the base values.
What-if Scenario Analysis (Class member presentation)
This is an analysis of the question, “what if the situation represented by scenario “X”
happens?”
The outcome of the what-if scenario analysis can be used to assess the feasibility of
the project schedule under adverse conditions, and in preparing contingency and
response plans to overcome or mitigate the impact of unexpected situations.
Break-even analysis entails calculating and examining the margin of safety for an
entity based on the revenues collected and associated costs.